100 solutions to reverse global warming | Chad Frischmann
Summary
TLDRThe script introduces 'drawdown,' a concept where atmospheric greenhouse gases decline, aiming to reverse global warming. It emphasizes that climate change is a symptom, with the root cause being human-induced global warming. The speaker from Project Drawdown outlines 100 viable solutions, 80 of which are currently actionable, to achieve this goal. Solutions range from renewable energy and food system changes to education and family planning, highlighting their potential to not only combat climate change but also improve overall well-being and yield economic benefits.
Takeaways
- 🌍 Drawdown is a concept that aims to reverse global warming by reducing the concentration of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere.
- 🔍 Climate change is a symptom, not the root cause; the core issue is global warming caused by human activities.
- 🌱 Project Drawdown has identified 100 solutions to achieve drawdown, with 80 existing today and 20 in development.
- 💡 These solutions are viable, scalable, and financially feasible, focusing on replacing fossil fuels, reducing consumption, and biosequestration.
- 🌳 The top 20 solutions include a mix of renewable energy, food system changes, and land management practices.
- 🏠 Refrigeration management, specifically reducing HFCs, is the single most impactful solution, with the potential to reduce up to 200 gigatons of greenhouse gases.
- 🌬️ Onshore wind turbines are a significant part of the renewable energy solutions, contributing to a reduction in carbon emissions.
- 🌿 Regenerative agriculture and a plant-rich diet are key to sustainable food production and consumption.
- 🌳 Protecting and restoring forests and wetlands is crucial for creating and expanding carbon sinks.
- 👨👩👧👦 Educating girls and providing family planning resources are interconnected solutions that can significantly reduce greenhouse gas emissions.
- 💰 Implementing all 80 solutions would cost about 29 trillion dollars over 30 years, but the estimated savings could be 74 trillion dollars, resulting in a net savings of 44 trillion dollars.
Q & A
What is the term 'drawdown' referring to in the context of global warming?
-Drawdown refers to the point in time when atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases begin to decline on a year-to-year basis, meaning we remove more greenhouse gases than we emit into the atmosphere.
Why is climate change not considered the main problem according to the transcript?
-Climate change is seen as an expression of the problem, which is global warming. It is the feedback from the planet's system indicating the impact of increasing greenhouse gases caused by human activity.
What is the role of Project Drawdown in addressing global warming?
-Project Drawdown is an organization that has mapped, measured, and detailed 100 solutions to reversing global warming, 80 of which already exist and can achieve drawdown when implemented together.
What are the three main mechanisms through which drawdown becomes possible?
-The three main mechanisms are: replacing fossil fuel-based energy generation with clean, renewable sources; reducing consumption through technological efficiency and behavior change; and biosequestering carbon in plants' biomass and soil through photosynthesis.
How does the transcript suggest we shift the discourse on climate solutions?
-The transcript suggests shifting the discourse from one of fear and confusion to one of understanding and possibility, thereby creating opportunities for action and implementation of solutions.
What is the significance of the top 20 solutions listed in the transcript?
-The top 20 solutions are a diverse set of actions that, when implemented globally over a 30-year period, can significantly reduce the equivalent carbon dioxide from the atmosphere, contributing to the reversal of global warming.
Why is the food system highlighted as a critical area for climate solutions?
-Eight of the top 20 solutions relate to the food system, indicating that the decisions we make about food production, purchase, and consumption have a significant impact on reversing global warming.
What is the most impactful solution according to the analysis presented in the transcript?
-The most impactful solution is refrigeration management, which involves properly managing and disposing of hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs) used in refrigerators and air conditioners, as they are potent greenhouse gases.
How does the transcript address the concern about the cost of implementing climate solutions?
-The transcript estimates that implementing all 80 solutions would cost about 29 trillion dollars over 30 years, but the estimated savings from these solutions is 74 trillion dollars, resulting in a net savings of 44 trillion dollars.
What is the role of educating girls and family planning in achieving drawdown?
-Educating girls and family planning are intertwined and together are considered the number one solution to reversing global warming, as they contribute to a reduced global population, decreased resource demand, and improved human rights and gender equality.
How does the transcript define the goal beyond sustainability towards regeneration?
-The goal beyond sustainability is defined as moving towards a regenerative system that is restorative by nature, which not only reverses global warming but also brings about a new normal that is inherently beneficial to both human and planetary well-being.
Outlines
🌿 Introduction to Drawdown and Global Warming Solutions
The speaker introduces the concept of 'drawdown,' a pivotal point in time when the concentration of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere begins to decline annually. The focus shifts from climate change as a symptom to global warming as the core issue, exacerbated by human activities. The speaker emphasizes that reversing global warming is achievable through existing technologies and practices, advocating for Project Drawdown's research on 100 viable solutions, 80 of which are currently implementable. These solutions aim to reduce greenhouse gases through clean energy, efficiency, and photosynthesis, highlighting the need for a shift in discourse towards understanding and opportunity.
🌱 The Role of Food Systems and Land Management in Drawdown
This paragraph delves into the significance of the food system and land management in achieving drawdown. It reveals that 12 of the top 20 solutions relate to how land is utilized, challenging traditional views on climate solutions. The speaker highlights refrigeration management as the most impactful solution, emphasizing the potency of hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs) in contributing to global warming. The discussion also covers the methodology behind the calculations of the solutions' impacts, including statistical analysis and conservative projections, to ensure a comprehensive and plausible approach to reversing global warming.
🌞 Rooftop Solar, Tropical Forests, and Regenerative Agriculture
The speaker discusses specific solutions such as rooftop solar, which has broad applicability across different settings and offers safety and security benefits. The protection and regeneration of tropical forests are presented as significant for carbon sequestration, drawing down carbon through natural processes. Regenerative agriculture is introduced as a way to restore soil health, increase yields, and improve water retention, positioning it as a solution that benefits both smallholder farmers and large-scale operations while contributing to drawdown.
🌾 Food Consumption, Waste, and the Impact of Family Planning
This section examines the impact of food consumption patterns, emphasizing the need for a plant-rich diet to reduce meat consumption in affluent regions and address insufficient caloric intake in low-income countries. The speaker points out that reducing food waste is crucial, as it accounts for a significant portion of global greenhouse gas emissions. Family planning and equal education for girls are highlighted as interconnected solutions that can significantly reduce greenhouse gas emissions, promoting human rights, gender equality, and economic improvement.
💰 The Economic Viability and Transformative Potential of Drawdown Solutions
The final paragraph addresses the economic considerations of implementing the 80 drawdown solutions, estimating a cost of 29 trillion dollars over 30 years. However, it also presents the potential savings of 74 trillion dollars, resulting in a net gain. The speaker argues that these solutions not only reverse global warming but also transition business practices towards a regenerative and restorative model, advocating for a shift from sustainability to regeneration as a global goal.
Mindmap
Keywords
💡Drawdown
💡Greenhouse gases
💡Renewable energy
💡Photosynthesis
💡Regenerative agriculture
💡Food system
💡Plant-rich diet
💡Food waste
💡Family planning
💡Education
💡Ecosystem protection
Highlights
Drawdown is a new approach to reversing global warming by reducing greenhouse gas concentrations.
Climate change is the expression of the problem, while global warming is the actual issue caused by human activities.
The solution to global warming involves avoiding emissions and removing existing greenhouse gases.
Humanity already possesses technologies and practices capable of achieving drawdown.
Project Drawdown has mapped, measured, and detailed 100 solutions to reversing global warming.
Eighty existing solutions can achieve drawdown, with 20 more in development.
Solutions are viable, scalable, and financially feasible, focusing on renewable energy, efficiency, and carbon sequestration.
The top 20 solutions to reversing global warming include a diverse range of strategies.
Only five of the top 20 solutions are related to electricity generation.
Surprisingly, eight of the top 20 solutions are related to the food system.
The food system and land management are crucial for reversing global warming.
Refrigeration management is the most impactful solution, reducing HFCs' greenhouse gas emissions.
The Kigali agreement of 2016 could further increase the reduction of HFCs.
Rooftop solar is ranked as the 10th most impactful solution, beneficial in various settings.
Tropical forest protection and regeneration is a top solution, acting as a significant carbon sink.
Regenerative agriculture restores soil health, increases yield, and benefits both smallholder farmers and large operations.
A plant-rich diet is a key solution, impacting both health and global warming.
Food waste reduction is a major solution, with significant greenhouse gas emissions.
Educating girls and family planning are intertwined solutions, ranking as the top solution for reversing global warming.
Implementing all 80 solutions is estimated to cost 29 trillion dollars over 30 years, with a net savings of 44 trillion dollars.
Drawdown is not only possible but also economically beneficial, shifting business towards a regenerative model.
Transcripts
Hello.
I'd like to introduce you to a word you may never have heard before,
but you ought to know:
drawdown.
Drawdown is a new way of thinking about and acting on global warming.
It's a goal for a future that we want,
a future where reversing global warming is possible.
Drawdown is that point in time
when atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases begin to decline
on a year-to-year basis.
More simply, it's that point
when we take out more greenhouse gases than we put into Earth's atmosphere.
Now, I know we're all concerned about climate change,
but climate change is not the problem.
Climate change is the expression of the problem.
It's the feedback of the system of the planet telling us what's going on.
The problem is global warming,
provoked by the increasing concentrations of greenhouse gases
caused by human activity.
So how do we solve the problem?
How do we begin the process of reversing global warming?
The only way we know how is to draw down,
to avoid putting greenhouse gases up
and to pull down what's already there.
I know.
Given the current situation, it sounds impossible,
but humanity already knows what to do.
We have real, workable technologies and practices
that can achieve drawdown.
And it's already happening.
What we need is to accelerate implementation
and to change the discourse
from one of fear and confusion, which only leads to apathy,
to one of understanding and possibility,
and, therefore, opportunity.
I work for an organization called Project Drawdown.
And for the last four years,
together with a team of researchers and writers from all over the world,
we have mapped, measured and detailed
100 solutions to reversing global warming.
Eighty already exist today,
and when taken together, those 80 can achieve drawdown.
And 20 are coming attractions, solutions on the pipeline,
and when they come online,
will speed up our progress.
These are solutions
that are viable, scalable and financially feasible.
And they do one or more of three things:
replace existing fossil fuel-based energy generation with clean, renewable sources;
reduce consumption through technological efficiency
and behavior change;
and to biosequester carbon in our plants' biomass and soil
through a process we all learn in grade school,
the magic of photosynthesis.
It's through a combination of these three mechanisms
that drawdown becomes possible.
So how do we get there?
Well, here's the short answer.
This is a list of the top 20 solutions to reversing global warming.
Now, I'll go into some detail,
but take a few seconds to look over the list.
It's eclectic, I know,
from onshore wind turbines to educating girls,
from plant-rich diets to rooftop solar technology.
So let's break it down a little bit.
To the right of the slide, you'll see figures in gigatons,
or billions of tons.
That represents the total equivalent carbon dioxide
reduced from the atmosphere
when the solution is implemented globally over a 30-year period.
Now, when we think about climate solutions,
we often think about electricity generation.
We think of renewable energy as the most important set of solutions,
and they are incredibly important.
But the first thing to notice about this list
is that only five of the top 20 solutions relate to electricity.
What surprised us, honestly,
was that eight of the top 20 relate to the food system.
The climate impact of food may come as a surprise to many people,
but what these results show is that the decisions we make every day
about the food we produce, purchase and consume
are perhaps the most important contributions
every individual can make to reversing global warming.
And how we manage land is also very important.
Protecting forests and wetlands
safeguards, expands and creates new carbon sinks
that directly draw down carbon.
This is how drawdown can happen.
And when we take food and land management together,
12 of the top 20 solutions relate to how and why we use land.
This fundamentally shifts traditional thinking on climate solutions.
But let's go to the top of the list,
because I think what's there may also surprise you.
The single most impactful solution,
according to this analysis, would be refrigeration management,
or properly managing and disposing of hydrofluorocarbons, also known as HFCs,
which are used by refrigerators and air conditioners to cool the air.
We did a great job with the Montreal Protocol
to limit the production of chlorofluorocarbons, CFCs,
because of their effect on the ozone layer.
But they were replaced by HFCs,
which are hundreds to thousands of times more potent a greenhouse gas
than carbon dioxide.
And that 90 gigatons reduced is a conservative figure.
If we were to account for the impact of the Kigali agreement of 2016,
which calls for the phaseout of hydrofluorocarbons
and replace them with natural refrigerants, which exist today,
this number could increase to 120, to nearly 200 gigatons
of avoided greenhouse gases.
Maybe you're surprised, as we were.
Now, before going into some details of specific solutions,
you may be wondering how we came to these calculations.
Well, first of all, we collected a lot of data,
and we used statistical analysis to create ranges
that allow us to choose reasonable choices
for every input used throughout the models.
And we chose a conservative approach, which underlies the entire project.
All that data is entered in the model,
ambitiously but plausibly projected into the future,
and compared against what we would have to do anyway.
The 84 gigatons reduced from onshore wind turbines, for example,
results from the electricity generated from wind farms
that would otherwise be produced from coal or gas-fired plants.
We calculate all the costs to build and to operate the plants
and all the emissions generated.
The same process is used to compare recycling versus landfilling,
regenerative versus industrial agriculture,
protecting versus cutting down our forests.
The results are then integrated within and across systems
to avoid double-counting
and add it up to see if we actually get to drawdown.
OK, let's go into some specific solutions.
Rooftop solar comes in ranked number 10.
When we picture rooftop solar in our minds
we often envision a warehouse in Miami covered in solar panels.
But these are solutions that are relevant in urban and rural settings,
high and low-income countries,
and they have cascading benefits.
This is a family on a straw island in Lake Titicaca
receiving their first solar panel.
Before, kerosene was used for cooking and lighting,
kerosene on a straw island.
So by installing solar, this family is not only helping to reduce emissions,
but providing safety and security for their household.
And tropical forests tell their own story.
Protecting currently degraded land in the tropics
and allowing natural regeneration to occur
is the number five solution to reversing global warming.
We can think of trees as giant sticks of carbon.
This is drawdown in action every year,
as carbon is removed from the atmosphere through photosynthesis,
which converts carbon dioxide to plants' biomass and soil organic carbon.
And we need to rethink how we produce our food
to make it more regenerative.
There are many ways to do this, and we researched over 13 of them,
but these aren't new ways of producing food.
They have been practiced for centuries, for generations.
But they are increasingly displaced by modern agriculture,
which promotes tillage, monocropping
and the use of synthetic fertilizers and pesticides which degrade the land
and turn it into a net emitter of greenhouse gases.
Regenerative agriculture, on the other hand,
restores soil health and productivity,
increases yield,
improves water retention,
benefits smallholder farmers and large farming operations alike
and brings carbon back to the land.
It's a win-win-win-win-win.
(Laughter)
And it's not just how we produce food,
but what we consume
that has a massive impact on global warming.
A plant-rich diet is not a vegan or a vegetarian diet,
though I applaud any who make those choices.
It's a healthy diet in terms of how much we consume,
and particularly how much meat is consumed.
In the richer parts of the world,
we overconsume.
However, low-income countries
show an insufficient caloric and protein intake.
That needs rebalancing,
and it's in the rebalancing
that a plant-rich diet becomes the number four solution
to reversing global warming.
Moreover, approximately a third of all food produced is not eaten,
and wasted food emits an astounding eight percent of global greenhouse gases.
We need to look where across the supply chain
these losses and wastage occurs.
In low-income countries, after food leaves the farm,
most food is wasted early in the supply chain
due to infrastructure and storage challenges.
Food is not wasted by consumers in low-income countries
which struggle to feed their population.
In the developed world, instead, after food leaves the farm,
most food is wasted at the end of the supply chain
by markets and consumers,
and wasted food ends up in the landfill
where it emits methane
as it decomposes.
This is a consumer choice problem.
It's not a technology issue.
Preventing food waste from the beginning
is the number three solution.
But here's the interesting thing.
When we look at the food system as a whole
and we implement all the production solutions
like regenerative agriculture,
and we adopt a plant-rich diet,
and we reduce food waste,
our research shows that we would produce enough food on current farmland
to feed the world's growing population a healthy, nutrient-rich diet
now until 2050 and beyond.
That means we don't need to cut down forests for food production.
The solutions to reversing global warming are the same solutions to food insecurity.
Now, a solution that often does not get talked enough about,
family planning.
By providing men and women the right to choose
when, how and if to raise a family
through reproductive health clinics and education,
access to contraception
and freedom devoid of persecution
can reduce the estimated global population by 2050.
That reduced population means reduced demand
for electricity, food, travel, buildings and all other resources.
All the energy and emissions
that are used to produce that higher demand
is reduced by providing the basic human right
to choose when, how and if to raise a family.
But family planning cannot happen without equal quality of education
to girls currently being denied access.
Now, we've taken a small liberty here,
because the impact of universal education
and family planning resources
are so inextricably intertwined
that we chose to cut it right down the middle.
But taken together, educating girls and family planning
is the number one solution to reversing global warming,
reducing approximately 120 billion tons of greenhouse gases.
So is drawdown possible?
The answer is yes, it is possible,
but we need all 80 solutions.
There are no silver bullets or a subset of solutions
that are going to get us there.
The top solutions would take us far along the pathway,
but there's no such thing as a small solution.
We need all 80.
But here's the great thing.
We would want to implement these solutions
whether or not global warming was even a problem,
because they have cascading benefits to human and planetary well-being.
Renewable electricity results in clean, abundant access to energy for all.
A plant-rich diet, reduced food waste
results in a healthy global population with enough food and sustenance.
Family planning and educating girls?
This is about human rights,
about gender equality.
This is about economic improvement and the freedom of choice.
It's about justice.
Regenerative agriculture, managed grazing, agroforestry, silvopasture
restores soil health, benefits farmers
and brings carbon back to the land.
Protecting our ecosystems also protects biodiversity
and safeguards planetary health
and the oxygen that we breathe.
Its tangible benefits to all species are incalculable.
But one last point, because I know it's probably on everybody's mind;
how much is this going to cost?
Well, we estimate that to implement all 80 solutions
would cost about 29 trillion dollars over 30 years.
That's just about a trillion a year.
Now, I know that sounds like a lot,
but we have to remember that global GDP is over 80 trillion every year,
and the estimated savings from implementing these solutions
is 74 trillion dollars, over double the costs.
That's a net savings of 44 trillion dollars.
So drawdown is possible.
We can do it if we want to.
It's not going to cost that much, and the return on that investment is huge.
Here's the welcome surprise.
When we implement these solutions,
we shift the way we do business
from a system that is inherently exploitative and extractive
to a new normal that is by nature restorative and regenerative.
We need to rethink our global goals,
to move beyond sustainability
towards regeneration,
and along the way reverse global warming.
Thank you.
(Applause)
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