BACKTEST 100x Strategi Indikator SuperTrend Winrate 85% ??? || Backtest Indikator Tradingview

Summary

In this video, the host demonstrates a Super Trend indicator strategy for beginners, emphasizing its high win rate and accuracy through a 100-trade backtest on the gold market using 15-minute charts. The strategy relies on dual Super Trend indicators to filter false signals, with specific rules for entering buy or sell positions and managing risk. The video also introduces enhancements using additional indicators, aiming to reduce drawdowns and improve win rates. Practical tips on timing trades and avoiding overtrading are shared, providing viewers with a structured approach to profitable and disciplined trading while highlighting risk management and signal confirmation techniques.

Takeaways

• 😀 The video demonstrates a Super Trend indicator strategy for beginners, emphasizing its claimed high win rate and accuracy.
• 😀 A backtest is conducted with 100 trades using a $1000 account, 1% risk per trade, and a 1:1.5 risk-reward ratio.
• 😀 Two Super Trend indicators are used: a fast one for entry signals and a slower one for trend confirmation.
• 😀 The strategy only takes trades when both indicators confirm the trend, reducing false signals.
• 😀 Stop loss is placed at the nearest swing high or low, and the take profit is 1.5 times the risk.
• 😀 Single-entry per trend is enforced, meaning no new entries are taken until the previous trade is closed.
• 😀 Fast-moving prices and large candles should be avoided, as they often trigger stop losses.
• 😀 The initial backtest on gold with a 15-minute chart showed a 55% win rate and 44.2% growth with compounding.
• 😀 The strategy is then improved by adding HP and QQE MT indicators to better identify trend continuation and reduce false signals.
• 😀 The improved strategy increased the win rate to 61% and account growth to 66.7% with compounding, demonstrating effectiveness in selected trading hours.
• 😀 The video emphasizes trading only during comfortable times and avoiding forcing trades, promoting balance between trading and daily life.

Q & A

What is the main objective of the video?

The main objective of the video is to test and review a Supertrend-based trading strategy for beginners, with a focus on backtesting 100 trades to evaluate the strategy's performance, improve its accuracy, and increase its win rate.

How is the Supertrend indicator used in this strategy?

The Supertrend indicator is used to identify the prevailing market trend. A green line below the price indicates a bullish trend, while a red line above the price indicates a bearish trend. The strategy uses two Supertrend indicators, one fast and one slow, to filter out false signals and confirm trends.

What are the entry conditions for a buy position in the strategy?

For a buy position, the fast Supertrend must give a buy signal, and the slow Supertrend must confirm an uptrend. The position is entered when the buy signal is generated, and the stop loss is set at the nearest swing low, with a take profit at 1.5 times the risk.

What are the entry conditions for a sell position in the strategy?

For a sell position, the fast Supertrend must give a sell signal, and the slow Supertrend must confirm a downtrend. The position is entered when the sell signal is generated, and the stop loss is set at the nearest swing high, with a take profit at 1.5 times the risk.

Why is it important to use two Supertrend indicators?

Using two Supertrend indicators helps to filter out false signals. The fast Supertrend gives quick entry signals, while the slow Supertrend acts as a confirmation to ensure that the market is trending in the same direction, reducing the likelihood of entering during market noise or sideways movement.

What is the win rate of the strategy in the original backtest?

In the original backtest, the strategy had a win rate of 55%, with an account growth of 44.2% (with compounding) or 37.5% (without compounding) over 100 trades performed in 6 months.

What improvements were made to the strategy in the second part of the video?

The fast Supertrend was removed, and two new indicators — HP Volume and QQE Mod — were added. These improvements were made to better identify trend continuation and filter out false signals, which ultimately aimed to increase the win rate and reduce drawdown.

How do the HP Volume and QQE Mod indicators work in the improved strategy?

The HP Volume indicator helps to confirm the strength of the trend, and the QQE Mod indicator generates buy or sell signals based on its histogram changes. The strategy requires both indicators to align with the Supertrend signals for confirmation before entering a trade.

What was the result of the second backtest with the improved strategy?

The second backtest showed a significant improvement, with a win rate of 61%. The account growth was 66.7% (with compounding) and 52.5% (without compounding) over 100 trades performed in 4 months.

What is the importance of time management in this strategy?

Time management is crucial as the strategy recommends trading only during specific hours. Traders are advised to backtest during their available trading hours and avoid forcing trades when not actively available to monitor the markets, reducing the likelihood of trading mistakes or missed opportunities.