The U.S. Dollar was Just REJECTED | Saudi Arabia & BRICS - Dedollarization.

Meet Kevin
21 Jun 202412:11

Summary

TLDRThe video discusses Saudi Arabia's potential move away from the US dollar in oil transactions, signaling a shift in global power dynamics. It explores the implications of this decision for the US economy and inflation, considering the context of the BRICS+ nations and the US's reduced dependence on Saudi oil. The host suggests that while the petrodollar's importance is significant, diversifying investments into assets beyond the dollar is prudent. The video concludes by emphasizing the need for personal financial strategies that mitigate risks associated with currency fluctuations.

Takeaways

  • 🌍 Saudi Arabia's decision to not renew the agreement to sell oil exclusively in US dollars could signal a shift in global economic power dynamics.
  • 🔄 The BRICS nations, with the potential addition of other countries, are forming a bloc that may challenge the dominance of the US dollar in international trade.
  • 📉 The US is no longer the primary oil consumer that it once was, with domestic production via shale and fracking revolutionizing the energy landscape.
  • 🛑 Saudi Arabia may be reconsidering its relationship with the US, possibly due to the US becoming less dependent on their oil and other geopolitical factors.
  • 💡 The 'petrodollar' system, where oil is predominantly traded in US dollars, is crucial to the dollar's global status, but its importance is being questioned.
  • 🏦 The US dollar's role as the world's reserve currency is tied to approximately 80% of global trade, including a significant portion of the oil market.
  • 📈 The US economy is significantly larger than any single BRICS nation and continues to be the largest economy in the world.
  • 💼 Diversification away from the US dollar into other assets like real estate, stocks, or cryptocurrencies is suggested as a way to hedge against currency risks.
  • 🌐 The potential for a multipolar world where the US is just one of several powerful nations is growing, with implications for the global currency system.
  • 🤔 There is a growing sentiment among Americans about the potential loss of American exceptionalism, possibly due to various domestic issues.
  • 🚀 The focus should be on building assets and wealth, rather than solely on the potential devaluation of the US dollar.

Q & A

  • What does the acronym 'BRICS' stand for and what is its purpose?

    -BRICS stands for Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa. It is an organization that has pooled about a hundred billion dollars of funding together to provide emergency loans to each other if needed, and it is often associated with efforts to reduce the dominance of the US dollar in global trade.

  • Why is the addition of new countries to BRICS significant?

    -The addition of new countries such as Iran, the UAE, Ethiopia, Egypt, and Saudi Arabia, potentially Turkey, Malaysia, and Thailand, signifies the expansion of BRICS into 'BRICS Plus', which could further challenge the traditional Western powers and the US dollar's dominance in global trade.

Outlines

00:00

🌍 Saudi Arabia's Shift from the US Dollar and Its Implications

This paragraph discusses Saudi Arabia's decision to reconsider its 1974 agreement with the US to sell oil exclusively in dollars, and its potential move towards joining BRICS Plus. The growing alliance of BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa) is now expanding to include other nations such as Iran, UAE, and potentially Saudi Arabia, among others. This shift signals a challenge to US economic dominance and a decline in American exceptionalism, with potential long-term impacts on the global influence of the US dollar.

05:01

🛢️ The Changing Dynamics of Oil and the US Dollar

The focus here is on the evolving relationship between Saudi Arabia and the US in the context of oil production and currency. The US, now the largest oil producer, imports significantly less oil from Saudi Arabia compared to the past. This shift has reduced the US's dependency on Saudi oil, undermining the original basis for the 1974 agreement. As Saudi Arabia's oil exports shift towards China, there's a natural move towards trading in Chinese currency instead of the US dollar, reflecting the changing global economic landscape.

10:04

💸 The Petro Dollar and Its Waning Influence

This paragraph explores the significance of the Petro Dollar in global trade, noting that while 80% of global oil trade is in US dollars, the overall US economy is vastly larger than the oil market. Despite the potential for other currencies to gain traction in oil transactions, the US dollar's dominance is supported by the scale of the US economy. The narrative suggests that while shifts in global oil trade dynamics could affect the dollar, they won't necessarily lead to a major decline in its global standing in the short term.

🏠 How to Navigate Potential Declines in US Dollar Dominance

Here, the discussion pivots to personal financial strategy in light of potential declines in the US dollar's dominance. The advice emphasizes the importance of investing in assets like real estate, stocks, and cryptocurrencies rather than holding cash. The comparison to the decline of the British Empire and the Roman Empire suggests that while US dominance may eventually wane, the key is to build and diversify assets now to mitigate future risks.

📈 Investment Strategies Amid Global Economic Shifts

This final paragraph highlights the importance of building wealth through asset investments, mentioning courses and strategies for real estate and stock market investments. The narrative reassures that while dollarization concerns are growing, they shouldn't drive fear but rather strategic planning. The paragraph closes with a disclaimer about the video's content not being personalized financial advice and emphasizes the speaker's credentials and affiliations.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡BRICS

BRICS stands for Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa, an organization that has pooled funding to provide emergency loans to each other. The script mentions that BRICS has regularly been associated with de-dollarization efforts, indicating a shift away from the US dollar's dominance in global trade.

💡De-dollarization

De-dollarization refers to the process of countries moving away from using the US dollar in international trade. The video discusses how BRICS and other countries are exploring alternatives to the US dollar, impacting America's economic influence.

💡Petrodollar

The petrodollar system is an agreement where oil is sold exclusively in US dollars. The script explains that Saudi Arabia's recent decision not to renew this agreement could signal a shift in global economic dynamics and reduce the US dollar's global influence.

💡Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabia is a key player in the oil market and has historically sold oil in US dollars. The video highlights Saudi Arabia's review of joining BRICS and their decision to potentially trade oil in other currencies, impacting the US economy and dollar strength.

💡US Dollar

The US dollar is the world's primary reserve currency, heavily used in international trade. The video's theme revolves around concerns that the US dollar's dominance is waning, particularly with moves by countries like Saudi Arabia and BRICS members to trade in other currencies.

💡Inflation

Inflation is the rate at which the general level of prices for goods and services rises, eroding purchasing power. The script discusses how changes in the global oil trade and reduced confidence in the US dollar could affect inflation in the US.

💡Oil Market

The oil market is a global industry where oil is traded and is a significant part of international trade. The video underscores the importance of the oil market in maintaining the US dollar's strength and how shifts in oil trade practices could impact the US economy.

💡Economic Power

Economic power refers to the ability of a country to influence global markets and economies. The video suggests that the US is losing its economic power as countries explore alternatives to the US dollar for trade, particularly in the oil market.

💡Global Trade

Global trade involves the import and export of goods and services across international borders. The video's focus on changes in currency preferences for oil trade highlights potential shifts in global trade practices and their implications for the US economy.

💡Asset Investment

Asset investment involves putting money into physical or financial assets to generate returns. The video recommends diversifying investments away from the US dollar into assets like real estate, stocks, or cryptocurrencies to hedge against potential devaluation of the dollar.

Highlights

Saudi Arabia has stopped using the US dollar for oil transactions, a move that could impact the US economy and inflation.

BRICS nations, including Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa, have formed an organization to provide emergency loans to each other, challenging the US dollar's dominance.

The BRICS group has expanded to include Iran, the UAE, Ethiopia, Egypt, and potentially other countries, indicating a shift in global alliances.

Argentina was invited to join BRICS but declined, showing a preference for maintaining alliances with the US and Israel.

The US, as the largest oil producer, has reduced its dependence on Saudi oil, altering the dynamics of the 1974 agreement with Nixon.

The potential for a 'BRICS Plus' group signifies a growing movement against the traditional Western alliances led by the US and Europe.

The US dollar's value is tied to its use in global trade, especially in the oil market, which was estimated at $1.4 trillion in 2022.

The US economy is significantly larger than China's and the combined GDP of other BRICS members, suggesting the dollar's strength may not be as threatened as perceived.

The speaker suggests that individuals should diversify their assets to mitigate risks associated with the US dollar's potential devaluation.

The US may face long-term challenges such as depopulation and a slowdown in economic innovation, affecting its global dominance.

The growing popularity of the topic 'dollarization' reflects American discontent with perceived loss of exceptionalism due to various socio-economic issues.

Saudi Arabia's cautious approach to joining BRICS indicates a strategic move that could be a vote against the US.

The speaker emphasizes that the focus should be on building assets rather than worrying about the potential devaluation of the dollar.

The speaker provides a list of investment opportunities, including real estate and stock market alerts, as a way to hedge against currency risks.

The video concludes with the speaker's opinion that the current situation does not warrant significant fear and that individuals should focus on asset diversification.

Transcripts

play00:00

Saudi Arabia just dumped the US dollar

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what this means for United States and

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inflation could be a big deal a lot of

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people are talking about this and a lot

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of people have been asking Kevin what is

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your opinion for example our good buddy

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Andre J made a fantastic video on this

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topic great editing too way better than

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the editing that I will do in this video

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which is next to zero but what I'm going

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to do is give you a quick background of

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what's going on and then I'm going to

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talk about implication for this so first

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of all if you don't know yet bricks

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Brazil Russia India China South Africa

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now that is an organization that has put

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about a hundred billion do of funding

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together and they can give emergency

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loans to each other if they need to and

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brics has regularly been thought of in

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the same sentence as dollarization in

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other words the more these countries try

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to have a common currency or common

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trade agreements the less powerful the

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United States is fair now what's

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interesting is starting in January 24

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bricks has doubled in size it probably

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shouldn't really be called bricks

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anymore because now it includes Iran the

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UAE Ethiopia Egypt and Saudi Arabia was

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announced as a member but they actually

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pulled that back and said we're still

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studying if we want to be a part of it

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turkey has appli to join and Malaysia

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and Thailand may end up joining as well

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now Argentina was invited but president

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mle have mlay chainsaw guy decided

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against it Malay indicated that his ally

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is the US and Israel not China and

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Brazil so what does that reiterate to

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you hm interesting Us Versus Them In

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other words bricks versus the West which

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would be the Euro the US France Canada

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Germany Italy Japan the United Kingdom

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these are sort of your traditional

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Western allies versus now the Brazil

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Russia India China South Africa and then

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potentially the others that I mentioned

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as well so people are sort of picking

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sides but what a big deal is is that at

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the same time as Saudi Arabia is

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reviewing the potential for joining

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bricks and being part of the group

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that's now being called bricks plus you

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have this announcement on June 13th that

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Saudi Arabia will not be renewing an

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agreement they signed with Nixon back in

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1974 to sell oil exclusively in the US

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dollar both of these things happening at

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the same time are sending the signal

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that the US is losing its strength and

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power in the International Community and

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that American exceptionalism is decaying

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away and the dollar is going to go to

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crap and you're going to be screwed with

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inflation

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forever okay now we'll talk about how to

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deal with all of that in just a moment

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but first it's worth thinking

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practically why why would Saudi Arabia

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ice the United States is it because

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Saudi Arabia is pissed off at the United

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States is Saudi Arabia trying to send a

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signal that the US

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sucks maybe but it could also be that

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Saudi Arabia is no longer the number one

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supplier of oil for the United States it

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might have to do with the fact that

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Saudi Arabia used to be the number one

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oil producer in the world but this has

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flip-flopped thanks to the Shale and

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fracking revolution in the United States

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case in point the United States as

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listed here is now the number one oil

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producer in the world and we import less

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than onethird as much oil as we used to

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from Saudi Arabia in other words we

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showed Saudi Arabia up in the oil Market

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we blew them out of the water with oil

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production and we're buying less oil

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from them so back when this agreement

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was signed where the dollar just left

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the oil or the dollar just left the gold

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standard and we needed Saudi Arabian

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oil those factors have essentially

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flipped now we produce the most oil in

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the world we need Saudi Arabia probably

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not at all in fact probably the oil that

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we do buy from Saudi Arabia is just to

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sort of maintain some relationship with

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them we probably don't need any oil from

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them and we need less confidence in the

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US dollar net now than what we needed

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back then now I know that might sound

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crazy you might be thinking to yourself

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Kevin I don't trust this dollar at all

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and trust me you shouldn't you

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definitely shouldn't keep your money

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exposed to the dollar let's be clear

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about that # notp personalized Financial

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advice but back in

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1974 we just left the gold standard for

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a few years inflation expectations were

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skyrocketing the opposite of what's

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Happening Now and inflation was

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skyrocketing still also the opposite of

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what's happening now yes inflation did

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Skyrocket but now it's not skyrocketing

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anymore if anything it's disinf lating

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and so we actually need less support for

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the dollar today than we did then

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because back in the 70s people like what

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money not backed by gold this is a scam

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every fiat currency that has ever

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existed before in history has failed and

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your boy Kevin is out of

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coffee so why should we trust it well

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cuz Saudi Arabia exclusively uses it

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they're the largest oil producer in the

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world notice how then is actually almost

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the opposite of what we see now we are

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the largest oil producer we don't need

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them to reiterate our fake funny money

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anymore and if anything Saudi Arabia's

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top client just became China and it

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entirely makes sense that they probably

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ought to start trading oil in Reni

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Chinese

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currency as opposed to the US dollar now

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I'm not not encouraging

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dollarization just saying it kind of

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makes sense now this is where it's kind

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of worth thinking about the Petro dollar

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and the importance of it in the first

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place about 80% of global trade is

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traded in the US dollar the oil Market

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in 2022 was estimated to be about $1.4

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trillion and so 80% of that is somewhere

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around 1.14 $1 1.15 trillion Okay cool

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so if the oil Market is 1.14

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trillion how does that compare to just

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our GDP alone in other words our GDP

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that's traded in dollars right gross

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domestic product our GDP is 24x the

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entire oil market so yes the oil Market

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seems like a really big deal but let's

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be real the US economy itself is 40%

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larger than China and China's GDP is

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twice X all of the other bricks members

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from last year so like we are huge

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compared to all of them in the bricks at

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the United

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States and even if all oil transactions

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were conducted in some other form of

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currency you know we could slow bleed

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this or it all evaporates tomorrow there

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would still be plenty of demand for the

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dollar given that we are the largest

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economy in the world now could that

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change could the United States suffer

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depopulation or uh you know slowing

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population growth much like China is

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experiencing now although their economy

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in worse off shape shape than ours is uh

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could the United States economy uh end

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up stop innovating could China

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eventually have a larger GDP than the

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United States of course all of these

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things could end up happening in the

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long term and frankly they probably will

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uh so now the question is what do you do

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about it all and does it matter well my

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opinion the answer is it doesn't matter

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the reason it doesn't matter what's

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going on with the pet doll whatever else

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is you shouldn't be exposed to the

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dollar anyway in my opinion one of the

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best things that we can do is just get

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out of exposure from dollars and get

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into assets assets which would be things

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like real estate or stock exposure or

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for some folks those are cryptocurrency

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exposures in other words we don't

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actually need to be exposed to the

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dollar at all we can transact with the

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dollar and then get our butts out of it

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so to speak in that case you're not

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exposed to the risks of a law a dollar

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that's losing its PCH purchasing power

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now is it possible that in the future

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the United States becomes something like

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the British Empire where we're much less

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relevant than uh we used to be right

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British Empire now the United Kingdom

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much less relevant than the British

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Empire was uh sort of like the Roman

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Empire they all sort of die at some

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point in the future anyway at some point

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the United States dominance is going to

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wear away but is this really anything

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more than a partnership

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amongst others to counterbalance the big

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Partnerships we have now not really now

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of course why is the topic then of

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dollarization so popular well it's

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popular because it in my opinion

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represents this growing discontent

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amongst Americans who fear that America

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is losing its exceptionalism could be

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because of unaffordable housing uh lost

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faith in the Federal Reserve frustration

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over crime borders uh political uh you

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know polarization on social media

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practically a growing bricks sort of

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deepens tensions potentially between

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bricks and the United States and sort of

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Western allies and I think this is why

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Saudi Arabia is on the more cautious

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side of like oh yeah I'm going to go all

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in and join bricks because they realize

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like a vote for bricks is sort of a vote

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against the United States so you've got

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some folks here suggesting hey you know

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okay like maybe maybe you don't want to

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blow this up so quickly because the US

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is still pretty

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dominant but again how much does this

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really matter long term in my opinion

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not terribly much in my opinion for

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right now the focus continues to be

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build assets build your exposure to real

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estate assets consider investing in

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things like what I talk about in the

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courses on building your wealth where I

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send stock Buy sell alerts uh when I see

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a trend in the stock market not

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guaranteed to make money but I always

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send uh alerts when I see a trend or

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spot a potential Trend uh uh real estate

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zero to millionaire investing the uh

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we've got Kathy Wood speaking at our

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event this weekend we've got the

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do-it-yourself uh property management

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and ren Renovations course the gold

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course on entrepreneurship and

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productivity a lot of cool things to

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choose from these are the sort of

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Investments that I would make but Fring

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over dollarization I don't think is the

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best so this is my take I see it as a

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growing slow moving trend but not

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something that really creates a lot of

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fear for me at this point anyway I'm

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hedging myself anyway but just not being

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exposed thank you so much for watching

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and we'll see you in the next one

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goodbye and good luck can not advertise

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these things that you told us here I

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feel like nobody else knows about this

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we'll we'll try a little advertising and

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see how it goes congratulations man you

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have done so much people love you people

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look up to you Kevin PA there financial

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analyst and YouTuber meet Kevin always

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great to get your

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take even though I'm a licensed

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financial adviser licensed real estate

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broker and becoming stock broker this

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video is not personalized advice for you

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it is not tax legal or otherwise

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personalized advice tailored to you this

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video provides generalized perspective

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information and commentary any third-

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party content I show shall not be deemed

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endorsed by me this video is not and

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shall never be deemed reasonably

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sufficient information for the purposes

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of evaluating a security or investment

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decision any links or promoted products

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are either paid affiliations or products

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or Services we may benefit from I also

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personally operate an actively managed

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ETF I may personally hold or otherwise

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hold long or short positions in various

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Securities potentially including those

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mentioned in this video however I have

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no relationship to any issuer other than

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house act nor am I presently acting as a

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market maker make sure if you're

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considering investing in house Haack to

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always read the PPM at house.com

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الوسوم ذات الصلة
Saudi ArabiaUS DollarBRICSOil TradeInflationEconomyGeopoliticsInternational TradeDollarizationGlobal Economy
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