New ABC News/Ipsos poll in the closing days of the campaign

Summary

In the final days of the campaign, an ABC News/Ipsos poll shows a tight race, with Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump 51-47 nationally, though battleground states indicate a deadlock. Trump excels on economic and immigration issues, while Harris is favored on abortion rights and democracy protection. The candidates' final messages emphasize their distinct strengths, with Trump urging voters to reflect on their current situation and Harris framing the election as a critical choice for democracy. The race is too close to call, with the potential for outcomes hinging on key battlegrounds and even single electoral votes.

Takeaways

• 😀 The latest ABC News-Ipsos poll shows Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump 51% to 47% among likely voters.
• 😀 Despite Harris's lead, the race remains highly competitive, especially in key battleground states.
• 😀 Recent trends indicate Trump gaining momentum in battleground states, making the race increasingly close.
• 😀 Voter concerns reveal a split between the candidates, with Trump favored on economic issues and Harris leading on abortion rights and protecting democracy.
• 😀 The battleground states are critical, with margins within the poll's margin of error indicating a very tight race.
• 😀 The election could hinge on a single state or even a city, particularly areas like Omaha in Nebraska.
• 😀 Each candidate's messaging is crucial in the final days; Trump will likely emphasize economic improvement.
• 😀 Harris's campaign is focusing on framing Trump as a threat to American democracy and referencing his controversial past.
• 😀 The undecided voters' opinions are pivotal, with a significant portion acknowledging Trump's flaws but still considering voting for him.
• 😀 The political landscape remains fluid, and turnout will be key to determining the election outcome.

Q & A

What is the current lead of Kamala Harris in the ABC News Ipsos poll?

Kamala Harris has a 51-47 lead among likely voters, but it is considered a narrow and unsafe lead.

How do the polling numbers vary in the Battleground States?

The race in the Battleground States is essentially deadlocked, with Trump showing slight momentum recently.

What are the key issues where Donald Trump has an advantage according to the poll?

Donald Trump has a clear edge on economic concerns and immigration.

Which issues favor Kamala Harris in the polling?

Kamala Harris has an advantage on abortion rights and protecting American democracy.

Could the election outcome hinge on a single state or city?

Yes, the election could come down to one city or even a single electoral vote, such as in Nebraska where Harris has a lead.

What is the significance of undecided voters in this election?

The presence of undecided voters is crucial, as their decisions could significantly impact the election outcome.

What is Donald Trump's main argument to appeal to voters?

Donald Trump's main argument is whether voters are better off today than they were four years ago.

How does Kamala Harris frame her campaign message against Trump?

Kamala Harris frames her campaign by labeling Trump as a threat to American democracy and emphasizing the importance of the election.

What challenge does Trump face regarding message discipline?

Trump struggles with message discipline, often straying from key campaign messages to discuss unrelated topics.

What do the polling averages suggest about the overall national race?

The 538 polling average shows Harris slightly ahead by a little more than a percentage point nationally.