Piyasalarda Sert Satışlar, Gümüş Ne Olacak?

Summary

In today's market commentary, Tunç Şatıroğlu highlights a sell-off in U.S. stocks and precious metals, advising against new purchases amidst a bearish trend. Key levels to watch are 8933 for stocks, while gold and silver prices are under pressure, with a focus on maintaining positions for future opportunities. The rise in U.S. Treasury yields poses a negative influence on precious metals, raising concerns about fundamental market drivers. Investors are encouraged to remain calm during these fluctuations, especially in the volatile cryptocurrency market, with specific support levels noted for Bitcoin.

Takeaways

• 📉 The stock market is currently in a downward trend, and new purchases are not recommended.
• 💰 Gold has seen some sales after a rapid rise, and while holding is advised, new purchases are not recommended at this time.
• 🔍 Silver should be closely monitored; purchases will be recommended once it surpasses 32.5, with potential movement towards 35.
• 🔒 Investors should not engage in frequent buying and selling; holding investments is preferable during downturns.
• 📊 Market declines are viewed as buying opportunities, and patience is advised for long-term investors.
• 📈 American 10-year bonds are on a rising trend, affecting precious metals negatively.
• ⚖️ The significant debt of the U.S. government raises concerns about the sustainability of rising interest rates.
• 🧠 The market can behave irrationally for extended periods, which could lead to significant losses for leveraged investments.
• 💔 Historical examples show the risks of using leverage, particularly in market downturns.
• 🌐 Bitcoin is also experiencing declines, and the recommended support level is around 65.4 to 66.2.

Q & A

What is the current trend in the stock market according to the analysis?

The stock market is currently in a downward trend, and the analyst does not recommend any new purchases until the market surpasses the level of 8933.

What level must be exceeded for a potential reversal in the stock market?

The level of 8933 must be exceeded, and it should remain above that level for at least two hours to suggest a reversal.

What is advised regarding existing positions in the gold market?

The analyst advises holding existing gold positions and not making new purchases, as there may be some selling pressure.

What are the potential price movements in the silver market as mentioned in the analysis?

If silver surpasses the resistance level of 32.5, it may quickly move up to 35. The current declines could be viewed as a buying opportunity.

How does the analyst view the recent movement in the US Treasury Bonds?

The analyst notes that US Treasury Bonds are currently in a rising trend, which negatively affects precious metals, but questions the sustainability of this upward movement.

What historical context does the analyst provide regarding market behavior?

The analyst refers to historical instances of irrational market behavior, emphasizing that markets can act irrationally for extended periods, as demonstrated by Irwin Fisher before the 1929 crisis.

What is the advice regarding leveraged investments?

The analyst advises against leveraged investments unless there are clear indications of a market bottom, as they can lead to significant losses.

What does the analyst suggest for Bitcoin's current price levels?

For Bitcoin, the analyst suggests that levels around 66,200 and slightly below 65.4 could serve as strong support levels, and advises remaining calm amid market corrections.

What is the general recommendation for investors during this market period?

Investors are encouraged to stay calm, avoid panic selling, and focus on long-term strategies instead of short-term trading in the current volatile environment.

What is the significance of the recent selling in the precious metals market?

The recent selling in precious metals is viewed as a natural correction after rapid price increases, and the market may eventually see recovery, making it important to hold positions rather than sell prematurely.