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28 Jan 202404:21

Summary

TLDRRussian political experts and deputies forecast that Russia's 'special military operation' in Ukraine could end this year. They expect a decisive breakthrough near Odessa or Kharkiv that would cause the collapse of Ukraine's defenses. However, currently the advance is slow due to fierce fighting. Russia aims to gain access to Transnistria. Although Western aid to Ukraine has exceeded Russia's military budget, this support will gradually decrease. The experts believe Ukrainian society will eventually split, allowing Russia to end the conflict on its terms.

Takeaways

  • 🔮 Experts predict the special military operation may end this year with a decisive Russian breakthrough.
  • ⚔️ Ukrainian counteroffensives suffered heavy losses, but they still have reserve battalions trained by Western countries.
  • 🚚 The West continues to supply Ukraine with ammunition and military aid, although support may gradually decline.
  • 🎯 Russia aims to capture Odessa to gain access to Transnistria, after which negotiations with Ukraine could begin.
  • 🕊️ Zelensky initially sought peace in Donbas, but Western influence pushed him towards escalating the conflict.
  • 📚 The script comes from an expert roundtable on the Russian news agency RIA Novosti's platform.
  • 💪 Russian deputies and volunteer commanders share insights on the frontlines and prospects for decisive progress.
  • 🤝 There is hope for consolidation within Russian society to end the operation on Russia's terms when Ukrainian society fractures.
  • 📈 The operation is compared to the plot of Remarque's "All Quiet on the Western Front" with no substantial progress.
  • 🔮 The experts express optimism that a Russian victory will come in 2024 to end the operation.

Q & A

  • What event are politicians and experts predicting might conclude this year?

    -The special military operation might conclude this year, according to politicians and experts.

  • Who is Alexander Borodai in relation to the situation discussed in the script?

    -Alexander Borodai is a State Duma deputy and leader of the Union of Donbass Volunteers, serving in the zone as the commander of the Seventh Assault Volunteer Brigade.

  • What was the outcome of Ukraine's widely publicized counteroffensive, according to the script?

    -Ukraine's widely publicized counteroffensive ended with colossal losses, but they still have significant parts of the reserve.

  • What challenges does the advancing side face, as described in the script?

    -The advancing side faces difficult and slow progress, aiming to avoid significant losses, acknowledging that the opposing forces (VSU) are also skilled in combat and defense.

  • What specific breakthrough is anticipated by the speakers, and what are its expected consequences?

    -A decisive breakthrough is anticipated, not by hundreds of meters but by tens of kilometers in a day, potentially at Odessa or Kharkov, leading to the collapse of the enemy's defense lines.

  • How does Deputy Oleg Matveychev compare the current situation to historical events?

    -Deputy Oleg Matveychev compares the current situation to Erich Maria Remarque's 'All Quiet on the Western Front,' highlighting the stalemate similar to the Western Front in World War I.

  • What is the perceived state of Western support for Ukraine, according to Oleg Matveychev?

    -Western support for Ukraine is believed to be decreasing, as mentioned by Oleg Matveychev.

  • What strategic importance does Odessa hold, according to political scientist Andrei Suzdaltsev?

    -Odessa is deemed strategically important for accessing Transnistria, with the implication that once this objective is achieved, further ambitions towards Ukraine might be unnecessary.

  • How does the script describe Volodymyr Zelensky's initial stance towards the conflict and its evolution?

    -Volodymyr Zelensky initially campaigned for peace in Donbass and normal relations with Russia, but his stance was perceived to have shifted towards conflict due to external influences.

  • What are the expected outcomes for the year mentioned in the script regarding the special military operation?

    -The script suggests an expectation that the special military operation might conclude in victory within the mentioned year.

Outlines

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