Trump gets *BIG* endorsement in key swing state

Summary

The video discusses the political dynamics between Georgia Governor Brian Kemp and former President Donald Trump, highlighting their recent reconciliation. It delves into the importance of Georgia as a swing state in the 2020 election and speculates on the potential impact of their alliance on the 2024 race. The script also touches on polling inaccuracies, the influence of media narratives, and the evolving public perception of Kamala Harris as Vice President.

Takeaways

• 😀 The speaker suggests that Georgia's governor, Brian Kemp, has mended fences with Donald Trump, which is seen as a positive change.
• 🏆 Trump has made a video speaking positively about Kemp, indicating a reconciliation between the two after previous disagreements.
• 🗳️ Kemp's decision not to vote in the primary for Georgia was seen as odd, considering his position as governor and the state's importance in the election.
• 📊 The speaker believes that Trump needs to win Georgia, with its 16 electoral votes, to strengthen his chances in the election, despite its close race.
• 📉 The script mentions polls showing Trump with a slim lead in Georgia, but also acknowledges the potential for these polls to be inaccurate based on past experiences.
• 🤔 The importance of Georgia is underscored, with the speaker noting it has more electoral votes than Arizona or Nevada and is a crucial state for Trump.
• 📈 The speaker speculates that Trump could open up a lead in Georgia once the hype around Kamala Harris dies down and more realistic polls are released.
• 🔄 The script discusses the fluctuating approval ratings of Kamala Harris and the impact of media portrayal on public perception.
• 👥 The speaker highlights the importance of Pennsylvania and North Carolina, along with Georgia, as key swing states for the election outcome.
• 📊 The inaccuracies of past polls in Wisconsin are mentioned, suggesting that they have consistently underestimated Trump's support.
• 🤷‍♂️ The speaker expresses skepticism about certain polls, particularly one from 538, which they believe may be manipulating data to show a lead for Harris.

Q & A

What change is being discussed in the script regarding Georgia's governor and Donald Trump?

The change discussed is the apparent mending of the relationship between Georgia's governor, Brian Kemp, and Donald Trump, with Trump making a positive video about Kemp.

Why was Governor Kemp's decision not to vote in the primary considered odd?

It was considered odd because, as the governor and a Republican in an important swing state, it's expected that he would participate in the primary, even if the nominee was expected to be Trump.

What does the script suggest about the importance of Georgia in the 2020 election?

The script suggests that Georgia is a very close and important swing state, with its 16 electoral votes being significant. Trump's loss of Georgia in 2020 by a narrow margin was seen as a 'gut punch'.

What is the script's view on the accuracy of polls leading up to the 2020 election in Georgia?

The script implies that the polls in Georgia were relatively accurate in predicting the close race, despite Trump's surprise loss in the state.

What is the script's perspective on the current political situation in Georgia with Trump and Brian Kemp coming together?

The script suggests that their coming together is a strategic move for both parties, as Kemp's solid approval rating and Trump's need to win Georgia make it beneficial for them to unite.

How does the script describe the role of North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Georgia in the upcoming election?

The script describes these states as crucial swing states, with North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Georgia being particularly important due to their electoral votes and recent polling trends.

What is the script's take on the role of the media in shaping public opinion about political candidates?

The script suggests that the media plays a significant role in shaping public opinion, with some polls being potentially manipulated to favor certain narratives.

What is the script's view on the importance of Wisconsin in the election?

The script views Wisconsin as an important state, with historical polling inaccuracies that have underestimated Trump's support, making it a potentially winnable state for Trump.

What does the script imply about the impact of Kamala Harris becoming the VP candidate on Biden's campaign?

The script implies that Kamala Harris's low initial approval ratings and the media's portrayal of her as a 'goddess' suggest a significant shift in public perception, which could impact the election.

What is the script's opinion on the video of Tim Ryan potentially yanking his son?

The script suggests that the video shows Tim Ryan possibly being aggressive with his son, which has sparked discussions and created memes, indicating a potential negative impact on his image.

Outlines

00:00

😀 Trump and Kemp Reconcile in Georgia

The script discusses the political dynamics in Georgia, highlighting the reconciliation between Governor Brian Kemp and former President Donald Trump. Despite previous tensions, particularly noted when Kemp abstained from voting in the 2020 primary, the two have seemingly come together. The script mentions Trump's endorsement of Kemp and speculates on the impact this might have on the state's political landscape. It also touches on the importance of Georgia as a swing state in the upcoming elections, with its 16 electoral votes being crucial for Trump's potential success. The script suggests that despite losing Georgia in 2020, Trump has a chance to regain support there, and the alliance with Kemp could be strategically significant.

05:00

📊 Analyzing Polls and Political Strategy

This paragraph delves into the intricacies of political polling and strategy, particularly focusing on the 2020 election results and the potential for the 2024 race. It discusses the historical accuracy of polls in Georgia and the surprising outcomes in 2020, where Trump lost by a narrow margin despite leading in polls. The script also examines the role of the media and the potential manipulation of narratives surrounding candidates like Kamala Harris, whose approval ratings are scrutinized. The discussion extends to other swing states like Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and North Carolina, emphasizing their significance in the electoral map. The paragraph concludes with a critique of certain polls and media outlets, accusing them of bias and manipulation in their reporting and polling methodologies.

10:01

🗳️ The Influence of Media and Public Perception

The final paragraph of the script addresses the influence of the mainstream media on public perception of political candidates. It suggests that the media has the power to shape the narrative around candidates, as seen with Kamala Harris's changing public image. The script also touches on the potential for media bias and the 'information war' that exists in politics. It ends with a call to action for viewers to follow the creator on social media, providing a link in the description for further engagement.

Keywords

💡Change

In the context of the video, 'change' refers to a shift in political dynamics, specifically the improved relationship between Georgia's governor and Donald Trump. It's a central theme as it sets the stage for the discussion on political alliances and their impact on the state's political landscape.

💡Approval Rating

The term 'approval rating' is used to describe the public's opinion of a political figure's performance while in office. In the video, it is mentioned in relation to Georgia's governor, Brian Kemp, and is significant as it indicates his popularity and potential influence on political outcomes.

💡Mending Fences

'Mending fences' is a metaphor used in the script to describe the reconciliation or improvement of a previously strained relationship. It is relevant to the video's theme as it highlights the political realignment between Kemp and Trump.

💡Swing State

A 'swing state' is a term used in U.S. politics to denote a state that could vote for either the Democratic or Republican candidate. Georgia is referred to as such in the video, emphasizing its importance in national elections due to its potential to sway the electoral outcome.

💡Electoral Votes

Electoral votes are the mechanism by which the U.S. presidential election is decided. The video discusses the significance of Georgia's 16 electoral votes, indicating their weight in determining the presidential winner.

💡Primary

A 'primary' is an election where voters of each political party select their candidate for the general election. The video mentions the primary in the context of Kemp's decision not to vote, reflecting on political strategy and party loyalty.

💡Polling

Polling refers to the process of surveying public opinion on political matters. The video script discusses various polls, their accuracy, and their implications for the 2020 and potential 2024 elections, showing how they can influence perceptions of a candidate's standing.

💡Oversampling

Oversampling is a statistical technique where a particular group is oversampled to ensure adequate representation in a poll. The video criticizes certain polls for oversampling Democrats, suggesting potential bias and manipulation of poll results.

💡Favorability

Favorability in the context of the video refers to the public's positive perception of a political candidate. The script discusses the favorability ratings of Kamala Harris and Joe Biden, indicating how these ratings can affect the public's view of their candidacy.

💡VP (Vice President)

The term 'VP' stands for Vice President, and in the video, it is used to discuss the political implications of Kamala Harris's role and approval ratings as the Vice President. It highlights the impact of the Vice President on the overall electoral prospects.

💡Narrative

In the video, 'narrative' refers to the story or explanation constructed by the media or political groups to influence public opinion. The script mentions the changing narrative around certain candidates, illustrating how narratives can be manipulated for political advantage.

Highlights

Georgia Governor Brian Kemp has a high approval rating and has seemingly reconciled with Donald Trump.

Trump has released a positive video about Kemp, indicating a change in their relationship.

Kemp had previously taken an unusual stance by not voting in the primary, anticipating Trump's win.

Despite past disagreements, Kemp and Trump coming together could impact the 2020 election.

Georgia is a crucial swing state with 16 electoral votes, which could significantly affect the election outcome.

Polls show a close race in Georgia, with some suggesting a slight lead for Trump.

Trump's approval ratings in Georgia are noted to be higher compared to the 2020 election.

The importance of Georgia and Pennsylvania in the electoral map is emphasized, with 16 and 19 electoral votes respectively.

North Carolina's importance in the election is discussed, with recent polls showing a closer race.

Wisconsin's polling history is highlighted, with past inaccuracies and potential for Trump to win again.

The potential impact of Kennedy's boost on Trump's campaign is mentioned.

There is criticism of the Democratic machine for allegedly bullying third-party candidates like Jill Stein.

Biden's approval ratings are noted to be low, despite recent increases.

A video of Tim Walls potentially yanking his son is discussed, with speculation about Biden's reaction.

The narrative of the Biden-Harris ticket is questioned, with skepticism about media portrayals.

The influence of mainstream media on public perception of politicians is critiqued.

The video concludes with a critique of 538's polling data, suggesting potential inaccuracies or manipulation.

Transcripts

well ladies and gentlemen this is

certainly a change and a change for the

better it's not too surprising but it is

good you've got Georgia governor who has

a very or at least last time I checked

really good approval writing in the

state of Georgia now has apparently

mended the fenes with Donald Trump and

Trump has made a video talking about him

talking nicely about him and everything

like that everyone wondering what's

going on Kemp had the weird moment he's

always kind of been at odds with Trump

at least to a degree he said oh I'm not

going to vot in the primary for the

state of Georgia cuz Trump's going to

win no matter what it's kind of an odd

position to take considering you are the

governor you are a republican in a very

important swing state even though it's

the primary Trump at that point we all

knew he was going to be the nominee

you'd think they'd go vote and the wife

made a really weird statement his his

wife did but it seems like not

surprisingly that they have uh decided

to come together here and in Brian Kemp

with a solid approval writing almost

similar to Glenn yunan I don't know if

it's going to have that much of an

effect because Donald Trump did lose the

state in 2020 although you could argue I

mean based off of how many votes like

5,000 6,000 a lot of people you know

question that and everything like that

but it's a very close state it is a

state that Donald Trump I think needs to

take back it's not 100% he he needs it

or else he's going to lose but 16

electoral votes losing that that would

be a very very big gut punch and looking

at Trump right now in the state of

Georgia he's been kind of able to hold

the line I will caution people this was

not a state like many of the other swing

States number one when we go back to

2020 I thought there's no way Trump

would lose this state Georgia a pure SEC

State there's no way if you look at the

polling in 2020 Trump was actually up by

more in 2020 only by 0.1 uh versus you

see in 2016 Clinton was up by one but

this has been a state that it seems like

it's been pretty accurate in terms of

the way that it's pulled now obviously

Trump did win it by you know a decent

amount in 2016 and then he barely lost

it in 201 20 but when you look at

Georgia you look at Brian Kemp now on

board and you look at the fact that

Trump you've got even New York Times

although those New York time that New

York Times pool was really weird it had

Trump up by four in Georgia it had him

down by five in like Pennsylvania was

really strange poll but e even some of

these more liberal pollsters seemingly

are having this election tied in Georgia

I would say once we get the more

realistic polls once we get really out

of this Cala Harris hype and and with

the bad DNC and everything anything like

that I think you're looking at Trump

opening up a decent lead in well I don't

know about decent but I would say a

three to fourpoint pull lead in a state

like Georgy you take a look at how he

was against Biden um I think that they

have the numbers right here Trump was

sitting at plus 3.8 and that and really

he had recent plls plus four plus three

plus six and he was consistently up at

one point up by five against Biden now

obviously they've gone to Harris you

could even argue I mean we were arguing

maybe Biden would have been a better

candidate than Harris but this just goes

to show you how much of a I mean they

call Republicans to call it's hilarious

it's like Harris had one of the worst

approval ratings of any VP in history

and now she's like this this goddess uh

but I mean what did she do she must have

walked on water or something to be

become this amazing in the span of a

month but either way I mean I think

these are good numbers for Trump Brian

Kemp people wondering why come together

they were at odds this is necessary

Brian Kemp understands his life's going

to be a lot easier with any Republican

as president over a Democrat it's very

simple this is just how politics works

and so that's why we're seeing them come

together together and again Georgia is

very underrated it's a very important

state it's got more electoral votes than

Arizona it's got way more electoral

votes than Nevada I feel like we look at

all these swing States and almost give

them equal you know coverage but but in

reality it you know the big the big kill

shot for Trump it's Georgia and

Pennsylvania Pennsylvania 19 electoral

votes Georgia 16 it's huge Pennsylvania

Trump very very slim leads really good

stuff coming out of there you do have

that Quinn ofc New York Times Two

liberal pollsters with plus three plus4

it's weighing down Trump's aggregate

lead at only Point

plus2 uh but I would say Pennsylvania

Georgia the two most important States

North Carolina holding that is also

extremely important there's a narrative

now based off of the closer recent polls

didn't seem like there was any narrative

with Biden versus trump it seemed like

even liberals admitted that Trump was

going to win that state he was leading

all the polls and Trump has has won

North Carolina twice obviously but now

there's this new thing where oh now

Harris has a chance in North Carolina

and of course Trump supporters are going

to say no not really Trump's won the

last two times now he's got better

approval ratings he's got better

favorability versus his opponent when

you look at his favorability versus

Hillary and also versus Biden versus

what it is now versus Harris even with

Harris getting the massive boost

recently his favorability numbers

they're very high in comparison to where

he was and especially his opponent's

favorability number is lower that's with

Harris getting the massive boost so

that's why you would say North Carolina

I mean listen North Carolina

Pennsylvania and Georgia I mean I think

that's got to be it obviously you would

also want a state like Arizona Nevada I

think Wisconsin's going to be one that

Trump wins we all know about the polling

in Wisconsin you can see Hillary up by

11 this time in 2016 just crazy numbers

that's a state that Trump won Clinton

was up by 11 two months you know two and

a half months before the election three

months whatever it is and Trump ends up

winning it Biden was up by 4.6 I don't

know what was the actual final tally in

Wisconsin um the I mean this is just a

crazy difference so the overall real

politics average was by plus almost

seven points he won it by half a point

so they overestimated him by six points

which is remarkable the 2016 this is

this is the inaccuracy of these plls the

exact same so in 2016 and 2020 they

underestimated Trump by basically

exactly six points could you imagine

even if they just underestimated Trump

by half of that in 2024 he wins by two

points if these plls remain the same if

Trump's able to keep it close with the

aggregate I'm not saying he's a lock but

the fact that he was under estimated

twice back to back in 2016 and 2020

that's very interesting out of Wisconsin

and that's that's really good news for

Trump that's what everyone's been

talking about when you look at that

State we've also got this what is this

another fake PLL we're wasting our time

with these I mean this is a joke um I

don't think this is going to be added to

the aggregate at least uh let's take a

look at this see if it's added to the I

don't think it will be right now they

have Harris up by a point and a half but

uh they've got a New Mexico poll that's

come out that's got Harris up by its end

I'm not too surprised by that New Mexico

you include everyone oh oh yeah you know

what with the Kennedy boost that Trump's

going to be getting it'll be interesting

you know it's also interesting to see

West and Stein get basically zero that's

the Democratic uh machine at play and

just convincing people and bullying

people you can't vote for Wester Stein

they're bullying Jill Stein now they're

telling her she can't be on ballots

she's coming out she's BL she's like

saying they're blatantly cheating um so

it's getting really bad there I do want

to quickly check out b b approval rating

I normally don't look at this very much

uh except for like when I do these

videos and I see it but it's kind of

stagnated see it went way up it went way

up when he said he wasn't going to drop

out and the establishment was pressuring

him to drop out and it's it went it went

back down but but it's still horrible I

mean it is still terrible he's

maintaining minus5 in terms of approval

even with him going up in approval

because the Democrats were very happy

that he dropped out of the race in terms

of that we've also got this video of Tim

Walls

potentially yanking his son

aggressively now people are talking

about maybe there's the teleprompter

there and he's trying to get his son out

of the way of the teleprompter uh but it

does seem like it's hard to really see

based on our our field of view where the

the teleprompter is how close it is to

the to his son uh but if you look at his

face he does seem very upset he seems

disgusted oh yeah I like these memes a

lot you've got the hand reaching behind

Biden Eon bomic is working Camala will

fix the economy yep exchange it with the

hand the hand the Democratic hand put

the new one in Kamala is going to fix

the economy Harris Waltz yep and see he

pulls his hand but look at his face he

does he looks angry there he see how

look at he looks angry now maybe that's

a reaction to the telepromter being

close I want to give him the bit of a

doubt but still he looks very angry in

this clip and everyone's been talking

about it um and remember this is it's

the same thing that happens they try and

be this this big happy family this

Family Guy and then the next day he goes

meet and meets with Alex

Soros but he's this big happy dude who's

GNA help America

wow and I wanted to I guess torture

Myself by looking at

538 now if you guys don't know

538 they're like a I think they went

bankrupt or something honestly I mean

this is like through ABC news they don't

even have a website anymore but this is

538 they've got Harris up by 3.6 take a

look at this favorability for Camala

Harris wouldn't you know it

unbelievable and you would expect this

to to level off here

soon I mean you're just talking about I

mean this was up to 17 in or on July 4th

it was 17 unfavorable and now it's gone

all the way up and just all the reports

that are coming out from the polling

experts all the oversampling they're

forced it they're forcing it now it's

like I mean some some of these instances

they're saying listen they're

oversampling Dems by 10 15 20

25 total points one of them was like Dem

plus 23 and it had her up by seven and

Democrats were like going crazy and it's

like this is all manipulation this is

all crap this is manipulation in of

itself this is ridiculous this is not

how I'll tell you what the mainstream

media now some these polls are fake

there's no way that that that this is

real TR really true where her you know

favorability is this high up but still

it just goes to show you there's a lot

of people that the substance of the

politician does not matter what the

mainstream media tells you is what

matters with people and it's an

information War it is you know they're

going to paint narrative surrounding

candidates I mean they were the same

ones it's the same mainstream media that

had articles back five or six months ago

in the winter saying that they were

concerned Cala Harris was dragging down

the ticket for Biden and that she needed

to be replaced because they were

remember they were all in on Biden until

the debate they were they were all in on

Biden but uh those are remarkable

numbers uh either way guys that is going

to do it for this video make sure you

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