Indonesia Launches ‘Tariff War’ With China! Rates Soar to 200%! What China Feared Has Happened

China Observer
12 Jul 202417:19

Summary

TLDRIndonesia's Trade Minister, Zulki Hassan, announced safeguard tariffs of 100% to 200% on imports, including footwear and ceramics, to protect domestic industries from Chinese products flooding the market due to trade wars. This move is part of Indonesia's strategy to reduce reliance on China, as it strengthens economic ties with other nations, including Japan and the US, and engages in regional cooperation to address security challenges in the South China Sea.

Takeaways

  • 📢 Indonesia's trade minister, Zukii Hassan, announced the imposition of safeguard tariffs ranging from 100% to 200% on various imported products to protect domestic industries.
  • 🛡️ The Indonesian government is sending a warning to Chinese goods, indicating that they can impose the same high tariffs as the United States on ceramics or clothes to support local businesses.
  • 🌐 Chinese products, affected by the trade war and shut out by Western countries, are now flooding the Indonesian market, prompting the government to draft new regulations.
  • 🏭 The newly announced tariff policy will impact products such as shoes, clothing, cosmetics, and ceramics, and is part of Indonesia's strategy to gradually restrict the import of Chinese goods.
  • 🔑 Indonesia is naming these tariff measures 'Safeguard measures import tax (BMTP)' and 'anti-dumping import tax (BMAD)', emphasizing their role in protecting domestic industries.
  • 📈 Indonesia is actively promoting economic cooperation and trade with other countries to reduce reliance on China, strengthening ties with Asian countries like India, Japan, and South Korea, as well as with Europe and the United States.
  • 🤝 Indonesian president-elect, Proo Subbiano, expressed a desire to strengthen the relationship with Japan, who agreed to provide patrol vessels and support in infrastructure and energy sectors.
  • 📊 Investment from South Korean companies in Indonesia has increased significantly, with businesses like Hyundai and LG Electronics shifting their focus from China to Indonesia.
  • 🌏 The United States and Indonesia have upgraded their relationship to a comprehensive strategic partnership, with cooperation in critical minerals, semiconductor supply chains, and climate issues.
  • 💡 Microsoft and Apple are investing in Indonesia, with Microsoft training people in AI and Apple considering moving production lines to the country, highlighting Indonesia's growing economic importance.
  • ⚓️ Indonesia is participating in regional cooperation organizations and addressing security challenges in the South China Sea, showing a firm stance in its relations with China and other regional players.

Q & A

  • What action has Indonesia announced regarding tariffs on imported products?

    -Indonesia announced that it will impose safeguard tariffs ranging from 100% to 200% on imported products such as footwear and ceramics, as a measure to protect domestic industries.

  • Why is Indonesia considering imposing such high tariffs on certain imported products?

    -Indonesia is considering high tariffs to protect its micro, small, and medium enterprises and industries from the influx of Chinese goods that have been shut out by Western countries and are now flooding the Indonesian market.

  • What is the impact of the trade war on Chinese products in Western countries as mentioned in the script?

    -The trade war has resulted in Chinese products being shut out by Western countries, leading to these products flooding the Indonesian market instead.

  • What measures is Indonesia taking to address the influx of Chinese goods?

    -Indonesia is drafting new regulations to address previous ones that were not stringent enough and is imposing safeguard tariffs on certain imported products.

  • What are the high-sounding names given to Indonesia's tariff measures?

    -The tariff measures are named Safeguard measures import tax (BMTP) and anti-dumping import tax (BMAD).

  • What is the purpose of BMTP according to the Indonesian Finance Minister?

    -BMTP is a national tax measure aimed at preventing domestic industries from facing severe damage due to a significant increase in imported goods.

  • How are Chinese enterprises reacting to Indonesia's move towards imposing tariffs?

    -Chinese enterprises are alarmed by Indonesia's move, as it could impact their business in a country that is a significant importer of their goods.

  • What economic strategy is Indonesia adopting to reduce reliance on China?

    -Indonesia is promoting economic cooperation and trade with other countries and regions, strengthening relations with countries like India, Japan, South Korea, Europe, and the United States.

  • What was the outcome of the meeting between Indonesian president-elect and the Japanese Prime Minister regarding their relationship?

    -They expressed their long-term friendship and cooperative relationship and agreed to further strengthen ties, particularly in economic cooperation and defense.

  • What is the significance of the Indonesia-US relationship upgrade to a comprehensive strategic partnership?

    -The upgrade signifies a new era in relations between the two countries, with a focus on economic cooperation, including on supply chain issues, and regular high-level meetings on various topics.

  • How is the 'China plus 1' strategy impacting Southeast Asian economies?

    -The 'China plus 1' strategy, aimed at diversifying manufacturing operations, is stimulating more investment in Southeast Asian countries, benefiting significantly from the shift in supply chains.

  • What steps are being taken by Indonesia to strengthen its maritime capabilities?

    -Indonesia is receiving patrol vessels from Japan and is considering enhancing its maritime capabilities through cooperation with the US and other countries.

  • What is the potential geopolitical impact of the South China Sea conflict on Indonesia and China's relationship?

    -A potential conflict in the South China Sea could severely test the relationship between Indonesia and China, as well as the regional order with ASEAN at its core.

Outlines

00:00

🛃 Indonesia's Tariff War with China and Economic Diversification

Indonesia's trade minister, zukii Hassan, announced the imposition of safeguard tariffs ranging from 100% to 200% on various imported products, including footwear and ceramics, to protect domestic industries from foreign competition, particularly from China. This policy is a response to the influx of Chinese goods into the Indonesian market due to trade wars with Western countries. The Indonesian government is also drafting new regulations to strengthen previous ones and is considering imposing a 200% tariff on ceramics and clothes. The move is part of a broader strategy to reduce reliance on China and to strengthen economic cooperation with other countries, including the United States and Japan. The Indonesian government has named these measures 'Safeguard measures,' 'import tax bmtp,' and 'anti-dumping import tax bmad,' emphasizing their intention to protect domestic industries from severe damage due to increased imports.

05:00

📜 Indonesia's Trade Agreements and Strategic Partnerships

Indonesia is working on improving bilateral economic agreements with Japan, aiming to remove trade barriers and allow more Indonesian products into the Japanese market. The two countries are also looking to strengthen banking sector relations and are hoping to implement the revised Indonesia-Japan Economic Partnership Agreement (JPEPA) by the first quarter of 2024. Indonesia is positioning itself as a significant player in the global EV battery supply chain and has received a patrol vessel from Japan to enhance its maritime capabilities. Additionally, the country is engaging in economic cooperation with South Korea and the United States, with Microsoft investing in cloud services and AI development in Indonesia. These moves indicate Indonesia's proactive stance in economic diversification and strengthening strategic partnerships.

10:02

🌐 Indonesia's Regional Cooperation and Supply Chain Diversification

Indonesia is actively participating in regional cooperation organizations like ASEAN to strengthen economic ties within the region and beyond. The country is also collaborating with ASEAN and other countries to address security challenges and geopolitical impacts in the South China Sea. The 'China plus 1' strategy is driving investment into Southeast Asian countries as foreign and Chinese companies diversify their supply chains to reduce reliance on China. This has led to an increase in foreign direct investment (FDI) into ASEAN economies, with significant inflows from the United States, Japan, the European Union, and mainland China. ASEAN's first joint military exercise in Indonesian waters demonstrates a trend of extending cooperation into the military domain, responding to China's assertive activities in the region.

15:02

⚔️ Geopolitical Tensions and Potential Conflicts in the South China Sea

The South China Sea is a region of escalating tensions, with the potential for conflict testing the relationship between Indonesia and Beijing. Despite not being a main claimant in the dispute, Indonesia faces maritime boundary disputes with China. The Chinese military's construction of military facilities and conflicts with the Philippine military highlight the region's instability. The Philippines has established a coast guard outpost near Taiwan to guard against foreign threats and has signed an agreement with the United States for military access to bases in the country. Observers are concerned about the potential for extreme actions from the Chinese government, which could trigger an escalation of the South China Sea crisis.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Tariff War

A tariff war refers to a situation where countries impose retaliatory tariffs on each other's goods, often as a result of trade disputes. In the video's context, Indonesia is engaging in a tariff war with China, imposing safeguard tariffs of 100% to 200% on imported products to protect domestic industries. This action is part of a broader economic strategy to counter the influx of Chinese goods into the Indonesian market due to trade restrictions imposed by Western countries.

💡Safeguard Tariffs

Safeguard tariffs are temporary trade barriers imposed to protect domestic industries from a sudden surge in imports. The video mentions that Indonesia will impose these tariffs on a range of products from footwear to ceramics, illustrating the government's intent to shield local producers from foreign competition, particularly from Chinese imports that have been redirected to Indonesia due to trade wars with Western countries.

💡Micro, Small, and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs)

MSMEs are business entities classified by size and are crucial for economic development and job creation. In the script, Indonesian Trade Minister Zulki Hassan emphasizes the importance of safeguard tariffs to ensure the survival and growth of MSMEs in the face of competition from Chinese products, which have been flooding the Indonesian market due to trade restrictions elsewhere.

💡Economic Cooperation

Economic cooperation refers to the joint efforts by countries to enhance economic relations and mutual benefits. The video discusses Indonesia's efforts to strengthen economic ties with other nations, such as India, Japan, South Korea, Europe, and the United States, as a way to diversify its trade partners and reduce reliance on China.

💡Comprehensive Strategic Partnership

A comprehensive strategic partnership is a high level of diplomatic relationship between countries, encompassing various fields of cooperation. The video highlights the upgrade of relations between Indonesia and the United States to a comprehensive strategic partnership, indicating a deepening of bilateral ties in economic, security, and other areas.

💡Supply Chain

A supply chain is the network of organizations, people, activities, information, and resources involved in producing and delivering a product or service. The script mentions the reorganization of supply chains, with companies shifting production from China to Southeast Asian countries like Indonesia and Vietnam, due to geopolitical tensions and trade wars.

💡China Plus 1 Strategy

The 'China Plus 1' strategy is a business approach where companies diversify their manufacturing operations by moving part of their production to other countries to mitigate risks associated with over-reliance on the Chinese market. The video suggests that Southeast Asian countries, including Indonesia, are benefiting significantly from this strategy as companies seek to diversify their supply chains.

💡ASEAN (Association of Southeast Asian Nations)

ASEAN is a regional intergovernmental organization comprising ten Southeast Asian countries, which promotes intercultural and economic cooperation. The video discusses ASEAN's role in strengthening economic cooperation within the region and beyond, as well as its joint military exercises, which are seen as a response to China's assertive activities in the South China Sea.

💡South China Sea

The South China Sea is a contested region with overlapping territorial claims by several countries, including China. The video mentions the South China Sea in the context of geopolitical tensions and military activities, highlighting the potential for conflict and its implications for regional stability and the relationships between countries like Indonesia and China.

💡Investment

Investment in this context refers to the commitment of funds or resources for the purpose of financial return or other benefits. The video cites examples of companies like Microsoft and Apple considering or making significant investments in Indonesia, indicating the country's potential as a destination for foreign direct investment and its role in the global supply chain.

💡Infrastructure

Infrastructure refers to the basic physical and organizational structures needed for the operation of a society or enterprise. The script mentions Japan's contribution to Indonesia's infrastructure development, including the provision of patrol vessels and support in sectors like energy, which are crucial for the country's economic growth and security.

Highlights

Indonesia announced plans to impose safeguard tariffs of 100% to 200% on imported products from China, including footwear and ceramics, to protect domestic industries.

Indonesian Trade Minister Zukii Hassan warned that Indonesia can impose high tariffs like the US to ensure survival of local MSMEs and industries.

The new tariff policy will take effect immediately after relevant regulations are issued, impacting products like shoes, clothing, cosmetics and ceramics.

Indonesia is drafting new regulations to address previous ones that were not stringent enough in protecting domestic industries from cheap Chinese imports.

Indonesia's move has alarmed Chinese enterprises, as 36.3% of Indonesia's imports came from China in May of this year.

Indonesia is strengthening economic cooperation with other countries like Japan, India, South Korea, Europe and the US to reduce reliance on China.

Japan agreed to provide patrol vessels to Indonesia and strengthen cooperation in infrastructure, energy, security and defense.

Indonesia and Japan aim to implement a revised economic partnership agreement by Q1 2024 to improve trade relations and remove tariffs.

South Korean companies like Hyundai, Lotte Chemical and LG Electronics are shifting investments and production from China to Indonesia.

Indonesia and the US upgraded their relationship to a comprehensive strategic partnership, with plans for cooperation in critical minerals, semiconductors and climate.

Microsoft will invest $1.7 billion in Indonesia over 4 years to develop cloud services, AI and build data centers.

Apple CEO Tim Cook revealed plans to consider moving production lines to Indonesia due to its investment potential.

Indonesia is actively participating in regional cooperation organizations like ASEAN to strengthen economic and security ties in the Indo-Pacific.

The China Plus 1 strategy of diversifying supply chains away from China is benefiting Southeast Asian countries like Indonesia with increased FDI.

ASEAN conducted its first joint military exercise in Indonesian waters to develop skills in maritime security and humanitarian assistance.

Indonesia renamed part of the South China Sea as the North Natuna Sea to emphasize its exclusive economic zone amid conflicts with China.

A potential conflict in the South China Sea could test Indonesia-China relations and the regional order with ASEAN at its core.

The Philippines established a coast guard outpost near Taiwan to guard against foreign threats amid Chinese military activities in the South China Sea.

Transcripts

play00:00

Indonesia to engage in a tariff war with

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China highest tariff rate reaches

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200% on June 28th Indonesian trade

play00:08

Minister zukii Hassan announced that

play00:11

Indonesia will impose Safeguard tariffs

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of 100% to 200% on imported products

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ranging from Footwear to Ceramics

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reinitiating plans to protect domestic

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Industries this policy will take effect

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immediately once the relevant

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regulations are issued the Indonesian

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government seems to be issuing a warning

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to Chinese Goods ziki Hassan further

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stated the United States can impose a

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200% tariff on imported Ceramics or

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clothes we can do it as well to ensure

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our micro small and medium Enterprises

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and industries Will Survive and

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Thrive Hassan explained that due to the

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trade War Chinese products have been

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shut out by Western countries and are

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now flooding the Indonesian Market as a

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result Indonesia has become a Gathering

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Place for many Chinese Goods the

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Indonesian government is also drafting

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new regulations to address previous ones

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that were not stringent enough the newly

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announced tariff policy will take effect

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after the relevant regulations are

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issued impacting products such as shoes

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clothing cosmetics and Ceramics it

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appears that Indonesia is gradually

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restricting the import of Chinese Goods

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interestingly the Indonesian government

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has given these tariff measures High

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sounding names Safeguard measures import

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tax bmtp and anti-dumping import tax

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bmad

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they sound quite catchy bmtp is a

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national tax measure aimed at preventing

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domestic industries from facing severe

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damage due to a significant increase in

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imported goods Indonesian Finance

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Minister Shri malani indrawati stated

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that the additional import tax bmad is

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designed to protect the textile and

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textile products industry from the

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impact of imported goods as Southeast

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Asia's largest economy Indonesia's move

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has alarmed Chinese Enterprises an

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operator of an international sports shoe

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and apparel brand in China noted that

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Indonesia as a populous country is in a

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stage of Rapid Economic Development both

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Indonesia and Vietnam have become

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destinations for Global shoe

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manufacturers to establish Supply bases

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after moving out of China in recent

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years chairman of China's anime

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technology Wang XA long has a more

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relaxed view competition is normal he

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said the key is to understand who your

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customers are and where your advantages

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lie his words indeed reflect a sense of

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leadership let's look at the data in May

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of this year

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36.3% of Indonesia's Imports came from

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China it seems Indonesia may take some

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measures against this main

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supplier it appears that Indonesia is

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taking a more proactive stance in the

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economic field they have strengthened

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economic cooperation with other

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countries actively participated in Asian

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Affairs and bolstered relations with the

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United States Indonesia seems to be

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adopting a firmer stand in its relations

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with China however it remains to be seen

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how this tariff war will eventually

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unfold in recent years Indonesia has

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implemented several measures in the

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economic and Export sectors indicating

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an increased awareness of countering

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China analysts believe that firstly

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Indonesia has begun actively promoting

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economic cooperation and trade with

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other countries and regions to reduce

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its Reliance on China for instance they

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have strengthened trade relations with

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Asian countries such as India Japan and

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South Korea as well as economic

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cooperation with Europe and the United

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States according to a report by voice of

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America Indonesian president-elect proo

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subbiano expressed in April during a

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Tokyo meeting with Japanese prime

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minister fumio Kisha that Indonesia and

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Japan are long-term friends with a

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Cooperative relationship and he hopes to

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further strengthen the relationship

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kashida welcomed provo's visit to Tokyo

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and expressed to the Future Indonesian

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president that the two countries are

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long-term friends with shared

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fundamental values and principles Japan

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hopes to further strengthen cooperation

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on Regional and Global issues as a

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comprehensive strategic partner kashida

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stated that Japan hopes to contribute to

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the development of Indonesia's

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infrastructure energy and other sectors

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while strengthening security and defense

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cooperation in 2023 Japan agreed to

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provide Patrol vessels to Indonesia

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caboo also held talks with Japanese

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defense minister minoru kihara in a

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statement Japan's Ministry of Defense

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said that the defense Ministers of both

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countries vouch to strengthen defense

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cooperation after the meeting kihara

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told reporters that Japan and Indonesia

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are expanding joint exercises capacity

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building and education programs in the

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indopacific

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region he said he is determined to

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strengthen cooperation between the two

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Maritime Nations to achieve a free and

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open Indo Pacific region based on the

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rule of law in December last year

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Indonesian foreign prime minister Reno

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marsudi stated that Indonesia and Japan

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had agreed to remove more trade barriers

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previously the two countries concluded

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negotiations on improving the bilateral

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economic agreement protocol in a

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statement rno said that Japan would

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allow more Indonesian products to enter

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Japan including removing tariffs on

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processed fishery Goods the two

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countries will also improve relations in

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the banking sector she added that both

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sides hope the revised Indonesia Japan

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economic partnership agreement J PA can

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be implemented by the first quarter of

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2024 although the agreement still needs

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to be formally signed and ratified by

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their respective parliaments after legal

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review retno made the statement after

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Indonesian president Joko Widodo held

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bilateral talks with Japanese prime

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minister fumio kishida during the Tokyo

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Summit marking the 50th anniversary of

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the friendship and cooperation between

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Japan and aan previously Indonesia's

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Ministry of trade stated that during

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negotiations in Indonesia had requested

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Japan to remove tariffs on its canned

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tuna Imports the aim of the negotiations

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was to further Advance the EPA which was

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first signed in

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2007 retno stated that during his talks

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with kashida Joko emphasized the

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importance of agreements between Jakarta

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and Tokyo on critical minerals as

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Indonesia seeks to position itself as a

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significant player in the global EV

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battery supply chain she mentioned that

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Japan has also provided the IND Indian

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coast guard with a patrol vessel worth 9

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billion yen approximately $63 million us

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to help Indonesia enhance its Maritime

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capabilities on May 21st a Conference

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was held at the Grand Hyatt Hotel in

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Soul jointly organized by the Korean

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Ministry of trade the Korea Indonesia

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management association and cisa journal

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in his opening remarks the executive

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director and vice president of cisa

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Journal one of the organizers of the

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conference stated as our trade with

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China remains stagnant Indonesia is

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emerging as a new opportunity to replace

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China Indonesia is the fourth most

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populous country in the world with 280

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million people and its potential is

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Limitless Cho yuno a research Committee

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Member at the Korea institute for

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industrial economics and trade mentioned

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that amid the reorganization of

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internalized Supply chains centered on

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the United States the cheap labor market

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is shifting from China to Southeast

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Asian countries like Indonesia and

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Vietnam she also noted that South Korean

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companies investments in Indonesia have

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significantly increased while Hyundai's

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third plant in China ceased operations

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it is building a production base with a

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capacity of 250,000 units in Indonesia

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and plans to expand its electric vehicle

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production line lot chemical and LG

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Electronics have also liquidated their

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businesses in China and shifted to

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Indonesia Dr Kim Nong Chul of Soul

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365 MC lipo section Hospital which has

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successfully entered the Indonesian

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Market also emphasized that brand

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expansion is the key to success in

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overseas markets especially considering

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incidents in China where hospitals

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illegally used Korean technology Dr Kim

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said that in September 2023 the sales of

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the first 365 MC store in Indonesia

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increased 12 times 7 months after its

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establishment and the opening ceremony

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for the second store is planned for May

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23rd 2024 with a listing on the

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Indonesian stock market expected in

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2026 additionally media reports indicate

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that on November 13th last year

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Indonesian president Joko visited the

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White House in Washington and held talks

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with US President Joe Biden following

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their meeting the White House officially

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announced that the two countries had

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upgraded their relationship to a

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comprehensive strategic partnership

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before their talks the two leaders made

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brief remarks to the media discussing

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the upgrade in their bilateral

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relationship ship Biden said this will

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Mark a new era in relations between the

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United States and Indonesia across the

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board Joko mentioned that the United

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States is one of Indonesia's most

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important Partners the US is one of the

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most important partners for Indonesia

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and we agree to elevate our partnership

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into comprehensive strategic partnership

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but most importantly we have to give a

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real meaning to it for Indonesia

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economic cooperation is priority

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including on Supply chains issues

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in addition to upgrading their bilateral

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relationship the two sides also

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announced cooperation in several areas

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including critical minerals the

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semiconductor supply chain and climate

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issues the two countries will also hold

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regular highlevel meetings such as the

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Indonesia US security dialogue the US

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Indonesia bilateral defense dialogue and

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non-military exchanges moreover on April

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30th Microsoft CEO SAA nadela announced

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that Microsoft would invest 1.7 billion

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Dollar in Indonesia over the next four

play10:01

years to develop cloud services and

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artificial intelligence including

play10:05

building data

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centers Indonesian minister of

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communication and information budy Ari

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Saar stated that nadela met with the

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outgoing president Joko Widodo and the

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current cabinet ministers earlier on

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April 30th to discuss joint AI research

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and talent development the minister

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mentioned that Widodo suggested

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Microsoft consider locating its data

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center in in the Resort destination of

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Bali or in the new capital city of n

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santara currently under construction in

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the jungles of Borneo nadela stated that

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by 2025 Microsoft will train 2.5 million

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people in Southeast Asia to use

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artificial intelligence including

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840,000 in Indonesia on April 17th

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during a meeting with Indonesian

play10:52

president Joko we Doo Apple CEO Tim Cook

play10:55

revealed that the company is considering

play10:56

moving its production lines to Indonesia

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cook said I think the investment ability

play11:01

in Indonesia is endless I think that

play11:04

there's a lot of great places to invest

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and we're investing we believe in the

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country additionally Indonesia actively

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participates in the aan and other

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Regional cooperation organizations

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strengthening economic cooperation both

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within the region and Beyond through

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multilateral platforms Indonesia also

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collaborates with oan and other

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countries to jointly address security

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challenges and geopolitical impacts in

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the South China Sea region

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according to a June 23rd report by CNBC

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COI Lim co-founder and managing partner

play11:36

of Southeast Asia Venture Capital firm

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monks Hill Ventures said that as foreign

play11:41

and Chinese companies diversify their

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supply chains and businesses southeast

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Asia stands to benefit significantly

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from the China plus1 strategy he added

play11:50

these shifts began during the pandemic

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lockdowns and now the geopolitical

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tensions have accelerated these

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activities the China plus1 strategy aims

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to to diversify manufacturing operations

play12:01

with foreign and Chinese companies

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moving part of their production to other

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countries to reduce risks associated

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with complete Reliance on the Chinese

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market or supply chain this supply chain

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diversification strategy has stimulated

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more investment in aian countries

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according to a report by ocbc Bank

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Economist in may direct foreign

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investment FDI into aian economies

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including Indonesia Malaysia the

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Philippines Thailand Singapore and

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Vietnam has increased to $236 billion US

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in

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2023 compared to an annual average of

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billion dollar from 2020 to 2022 with

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inflows mainly from the United States

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Japan the European Union as well as

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mainland China and Hong Kong on

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September 19th last year aian conducted

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its first joint military exercise in

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Indonesian Waters a mid- expanding

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Chinese military activities in the South

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China Sea Indonesia as the aian chair at

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the time stated that the non-combat aian

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solidarity exercise around the Nuna

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Islands aimed to develop military skills

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including Maritime security and patrols

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as well as humanitarian assistance and

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disaster relief operations after the

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opening ceremony Indonesian Chief

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Admiral yudo margono told the media that

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aan had agreed to hold annual military

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exercises which would expand to full

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scale War exercises involving land sea

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and air forces in the future margono

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said those who carry out any exploration

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or activities in that area must not

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violate State territory that has been

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clearly regulated by the United Nations

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convention on the law of the sea when

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asked if oan was sending a stronger

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message against China's sovereignty

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claims in the South China Sea margono

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replied we have had a Firm Stance

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Indonesia is a leading Nation within oan

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although Indonesia is not a claimant in

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the South China Sea its exclusive

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economic zone in the north Nuna sea

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overlap with China's n-h line leading to

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occasional conflicts in 2017 Indonesia

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renamed part of the South China Sea as

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the North natuna Sea to emphasize its

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exclusive economic zone increasing

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activities by Chinese Coast Guard in the

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area prompted the Indonesian Navy to

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conduct a large-scale military exercise

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in July

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2020 last June during the 20th assian

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Chiefs of Defense Forces meeting held in

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Bali Indonesia a document was approved

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to to establish the concept of an aian

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Military Intelligence Community amch

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observers have noted a trend of aian

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countries extending their cooperation

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from political and economic Realms into

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the military domain this joint military

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exercise by aian Nations is seen as a

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stronger response to China's

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increasingly assertive activities in the

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region the first joint exercise among

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aian member states is also considered a

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historic step on May 24th of this year

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the South China Morning Post cited a

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warning from a major Chinese Think Tank

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suggesting that a potential conflict in

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the South China Sea could test the

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relationship between Indonesia and

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Beijing deputy director of the southeast

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Asia and Oceania Research Institute at

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the China Institutes of contemporary

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international relations Lo yongkun

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stated that whether Jakarta can maintain

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its relationship with Beijing remains to

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be seen although Indonesia is not one of

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the main claimants in the South China

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Sea dispute Jakarta and Beijing face

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Maritime boundary disputes La believes

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that if a conflict were to erupt in the

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South China Sea Under the current

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circumstances the relationship between

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China and Indonesia as well as China aan

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relations and interests and the regional

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order with aan at its core would face

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severe tests potentially triggering

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changes in the regional geopolitical

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landscape recently the Chinese military

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has not only been constructing

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large-scale military facilities and

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damaging natural reefs in the disputed

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areas of the South China Sea but has

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also had multiple conflicts with the

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Philippine military including using

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water cannons against Philippine vessels

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highlighting tensions in the region in

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the latest incident China deployed a

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large number of vessels including Coast

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Guard ships attempting to block a

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civilian protest flotilla from the

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Philippines further escalating the

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situation on May 24th according to

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reports from Voice of America and other

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media the Philippines established a

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coast guard outpost on its northern

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islands within 150 k omers of Taiwan to

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guard against foreign threats amid

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Chinese military activities observers

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are concerned about potential extreme

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actions from the Chinese government and

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believe the current tensions between

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China and the Philippines could be a

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trigger for an escalation of the South

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China Sea crisis to counter the Chinese

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threat the United States and the

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Philippines signed an agreement granting

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the US military access to nine bases in

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the Philippines in the Philippines noted

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that compared to Beijing the Philippines

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military forces are much smaller the

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presence of the US troops would provide

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protection regardless of the

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circumstance

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