Economy stalls with zero growth in April, as Sunak insists election isn’t over
Summary
TLDRこのスクリプトは、選挙戦争における各党の戦略と候補者の背景について触れています。保守党のRishi Sunak首相は、選挙に勝つために闘い、一方で労働党のKeir Starmerは、経済成長を促進するための政策を提唱しています。選挙戦で経済成長の停滞が示されたことや、党の内部での反乱や政策の具体性についても議論されています。
Takeaways
- 🔍 スクリプトを徹底的に分析しました。
- 📋 スクリプトから最低10個の重要なポイントを抽出しました。
- 🎯 各ポイントはスクリプトの主なメッセージを簡潔に要約しています。
- 📝 各ポイントの先頭には適切な絵文字が付きます。
- 👤 リーダーシップの候補者たちが選挙戦でどのように自己の経歴をアピールするかについて触れています。
- 🏆 選挙戦での経済成長の停滞とそれに関連する政府の政策について議論されています。
- 📉 4月の成長率がゼロであり、経済回復のメッセージが弱まっていることが示されています。
- 💡 選挙戦における保守党と労働党の戦略と彼らが選挙に向けたアプローチについて述べています。
- 👥 政治家たちの経歴や成長の背景がどのように彼らの政治的選択やリーダーシップに影響を与えるかについて触れています。
- 📊 経済成長の停滞が英国の政治状況にどのような影響を与えているかについて分析しています。
- 📈 選挙戦中に出された経済政策や税収増加の提案について詳しく説明しています。
- 🚄 交通インフラの改革や鉄道の公的ownershipについての議論がされています。
- 🎰 首相の秘書が選挙日を賭けた問題が、倫理性と正直性の観点から検討されています。
Q & A
リシ・スナク首相の選挙キャンペーンがどのようになっているとされていますか?
-リシ・スナク首相の選挙キャンペーンは、トーリー党上層部の絶望の中で火をつけることができていないようです。彼らは国防大臣を送り出して、キル・スターマーが巨大な多数派を獲得しないようにとメッセージを推進しています。
リシ・スナク首相は選挙に勝つと主張していますが、その可能性はどの程度ですか?
-リシ・スナク首相はオフカメラの短かい説明で、勝利を諦めていないと主張していますが、多くの人々はそれを信じていません。彼らも私たちと同じ数字を見ているようです。
1997年の選挙で労働党はどのような状況でしたか?
-1997年の選挙では、労働党の新しい議員はトーリー党の総数よりも多かったため、政府の長椅からバルコニーにかけて満ち溢れていたとされています。
大規模な勝利は政府にどのような問題をもたらしますか?
-大規模な勝利は政府にとって深刻な問題をもたらし、その問題は制御に関するものです。議院内で鞭を使って制御を行使する方式は、多数のポストを持つことでもたらされます。
リシ・スナク首相が経済回復を主張していますが、実際の成長率はどうですか?
-リシ・スナク首相は経済の隅を曲がって回復していると主張していますが、公式の成長率はゼロで、彼のポジティブなメッセージを裏切っています。
選挙キャンペーン中に金利がカットされる可能性はありますか?
-選挙キャンペーン中に銀行は金利をカットする可能性が低いとされています。これは、最新のインフレーションの数字が予想よりも高く、市場が金利カットを期待していないためです。
キアスターマーは選挙での約束をどのように実現する予定ですか?
-キアスターマーは、選挙での約束を達成するために、経済成長に頼っています。しかし、4月の成長率がゼロであることが示すように、経済は停滞しています。
リシ・スナク首相が子供の頃の犠牲について話した背景は何ですか?
-リシ・スナク首相は、子供の頃の犠牲について話しました。彼は多くの人々のように、子供の頃には欲しかったものがすべて手に入らなかったと述べています。
キアスターマーの子供の頃の犠牲とは何ですか?
-キアスターマーは、子供の頃に父親が工具メーカーとして工場で働くため、電話料金が支払えなくなったという犠牲について話しました。
労働党のマニフェストには何が含まれていますか?
-労働党のマニフェストには、税金の引き上げを含む具体的な計画が含まれています。これには、ウィンドフォール税の拡大、私立学校のVAT割引の削減などが含まれています。
リシ・スナク首相の秘書官が選挙の日に賭けをした件についてどう思いますか?
-リシ・スナク首相の秘書官であるクレイグ・ウィリアムズ氏が選挙の日に賭けをした件は、賭博委員会による調査の対象となっています。彼は賭けをしたことを認め、調査に協力すると述べています。
Outlines
😔 保守党の選挙戦争と経済成長の停滞
第1段落では、保守党の選挙戦争が不振を描写しています。リシ・サナク首相は選挙戦に活気をもたらすことができず、党内の高層は彼が過剰な勝利に陥ることを警戒しています。もしケ・スターマーが首相に就任した場合、彼の政党が过大な影響力を持ちすぎることを懸念しています。さらに、サナク首相は選挙戦に勝つために諦めていないと主張していますが、多くの人がこれに納得していない様子です。労働党は議会内で反乱を続けており、彼らの勝利は選挙戦争の結果に影響を与える可能性があります。経済成長の停滞も、サナク首相のポジティブなメッセージを打ち消していると指摘しています。
📉 経済成長の停滞と選挙戦争の影響
第2段落では、経済成長の停滞が選挙戦争にどのような影響を与えるかについて触れています。リシ・サナク首相は経済の回復を主張していますが、公式な成長データがゼロであることがそのメッセージを弱めています。選挙期間中のインフレデータと市場の予想に反して、インタレストカットが見込まれていないと指摘しています。また、選挙ポスターでの党首との共演や、ケ・スターマーの選挙戦争での財政政策に対する取り組みについても言及されています。
👥 政治家の背景と選挙戦争の戦略
第3段落では、政治家の出身や経歴が選挙戦争にどのように影響を与えるかについて議論しています。リシ・サナク首相とケ・スターマーは、子供の頃の犠牲について話しており、これは彼らが一般大衆の痛みを理解していると示そうとしています。一方、労働党のシャドウ交通大臣は、選挙戦争が英国国民の2つの選択肢を提供していると語り、公共サービスの再建や経済成長を求める労働党の政策を支持しています。
🔎 選挙戦争の詳細と政治家の誠実性
第4段落では、選挙戦争の詳細と政治家の誠実性について触れています。サナク首相の秘書が選挙日の賭博を行った問題や、首相自身の子供の頃の犠牲について話していることに対する批判がされています。また、サナク首相が政策を通じて国民サービスに奉仕していると主張していますが、その政策が持続可能な長期的な成長を保証するものであると強調しています。
Mindmap
Keywords
💡Rishi Sunak
💡保守党
💡選挙戦
💡経済成長
💡労働党
💡選挙約束
💡税金
💡インフレ
💡選挙結果
💡公共サービス
Highlights
Rishi Sunak's campaign struggles to gain momentum amid Tory High command's despair.
Defense Secretary warns against a super majority for Keir Starmer, fearing unchecked power.
Rishi Sunak insists he hasn't given up on winning, despite skepticism from some.
Labor MPs overflow government benches, hinting at potential for a significant shift in power.
Tony Blair's 1997 victory is compared to the potential for a large majority win, raising concerns about complacency.
The argument that big majorities can lead to control issues within the party is presented.
Economic growth figures for April show a zero growth rate, contradicting positive campaign messages.
Speculation on whether the Bank of England will cut interest rates during the election campaign.
Andrea Jenkyns calls for unity among Conservatives to prevent a socialist super majority.
Keir Starmer promises to address infrastructure and service improvements without substantial tax rises.
Both major parties rely on economic growth to fulfill their election pledges, with concerns over April's zero growth.
Helia Ibraimi discusses the UK's economic challenges and potential strategies for the next government.
Politicians Rishi Sunak and Keir Starmer both attempt to relate to ordinary people's struggles.
Louise Haigh emphasizes the importance of integrity and honesty in politics over background.
Discussion on Keir Starmer's background and how it shapes his political choices.
Louise Haigh outlines the Labour party's plans for public services, economy, and workers' rights.
A Conservative MP faces a gambling commission inquiry for betting on the election date.
Gareth Davis addresses the gambling inquiry and Rishi Sunak's policy agenda.
The transcript concludes with a discussion on the UK's economic outlook and government policies.
Transcripts
by the fans here we
go nothing it seems can fire up rishy
sunak
campaign such as the despair in Tory
High command they sent out the defense
secretary this morning to push the
message don't let kir starma run away
with a giant majority you don't want to
have somebody receive a super majority
and in this case of course uh the
concern would be that if K starma were
to go to number 10 it will either be
Rishi Zak or k starm there's no other
outcome to this election uh and that
power was in some way unchecked it would
be very bad news for uh people in this
uh
country you notice this as a prime
minister rishy sunak insisted in an off
camera briefing that he hadn't given up
on winning some aren't convinced it all
suggests doesn't it that they're seeing
the same numbers we are the potential
for the conservative party to just about
to cling on to 200 seats at best maybe
plummet way below that yeah well and and
in a way I that to to me that is
encouraging that they're not deluding
themselves about the situation that they
find themselves in you know for the for
the last few months we've had people
talking about a narrow path to Victory
my my view was that that narrow path
never existed the labor MPS were
meanwhile overflowing from the
government benches up into the balcony
and across the chamber in 1997 Tony
Blair had more new MPS than all the
Tories put together they struggled to
Shadow the briefs were short of funds
the government dominating select
committees faced less
scrutiny but within labor despite
warnings from Tony Blair descent did
flourish realize why you are here you
are here because of the labor party and
you owe that loyalty to the LA 6 months
later and Dennis Skinner and Dian Abbott
were amongst scores of rebels on
benefits Vote many rebellions followed
the notion is that big majorities like
Tony Blair's in 97 mean that you get
very compliant
parties and that politics just sort of
disappears that that that is completely
wrong totally totally wrong um huge
majorities uh have a are a problem for
governments and a serious problem and
the problem is one of control I mean the
way control is exercised in Parliament
through the whips is preferment now how
many posts have you got you run out and
you're still left with 150 members of
parliament and unemployed what happens
is that within the party your own
opposition grows up great to be here at
Silverstone nowhere better in fact to
Mark the fact that our economy has truly
turned a corner now but today's official
growth figure was Zero undermining the
positive message he was projecting at
the Manifesto launch and insiders think
that won't bring the silver lining of an
interest rate cut next week to boost
Tory fortunes I think it's unlikely that
they'll cut interest rates at their next
meeting which is in the next week during
this campaign and that's partly because
the latest inflation Figures were higher
than they expected but it's also markets
don't expect a rate cut I think the bank
of England would be reluctant to do
anything surprising on interest rates
during an election campaign It's Not
Unusual to pose with a party leader in
your election leaflet but this isn't
hers Andre Jenkins is running to
continue serving as a Tor MP in an omen
of arguments to come for the
conservatives she tweeted all
conservatives must be prepared to come
together to prevent a socialist super
majority and the end of Britain as we
know it that's a PO more that's broken
spring yeah K sta was promising to spend
money on potholes tomorrow at his
Manifesto launch the focus will be on
his bigger promises and how he can hope
to improve services and infrastructure
without substantial tax
Rises well both labor and the
conservatives are relying on the economy
to grow to help them meet their election
pledges so how worried should we be
about the zero growth in April our
economics correspondent heliot ibraimi
is with me well as Gary was saying it's
a bad look for a prime minister who's
talking up economic recovery if smack
Bank in the middle of the campaign
growth is revealed to entally be
flatlining now the great the same rain
that was besetting Rishi sunak on the
steps of Downing Street when he called
the election was coming down in April
showers in one of the wetest aprils
we've seen since
1836 washing out consumer spending and
basically putting an end to that run of
positive numbers at the beginning of the
year that the Prime Minister had been
talking about but chrish anyone who
comes into the government will need
better growth and this is not a one-
Monon issue because let's take a look at
GDP since the last election everything
you see above that dotted white line
will be better than 2019 everything
below will be worse and the first line
we're going to see come on that red line
that's about to crash out of the graphic
completely during the pandemic that's
GDP only recovers years later and
basically chugs along sideways tiny bit
of growth at the beginning of this year
and then it's flat again in April as
we've circled the next line you see
that's going to be the hope of the
economy services has done better than we
expected but the problems emerge because
this line that's industry includes
manufacturing and so you can see it's
cratering and those are the kind of
fundamental issues chish the next
government will have to face and is
there a Magic Bullet well you won't hear
this in the manifesto tomorrow but there
has been some chatter about whether a
new labor government might turn to
Europe to try and unlock a bit of the
economic growth puzzle could it be in
the form of a veter agreement which
would help friction at the border or
perhaps some sort of PR professional
qualification regime for doctors for
lawyers or is it likely to be something
much more Niche that won't end up chish
in the front pages of British newspapers
that would help industrial companies
chemical companies farmer companies
don't forget that plummeting purple line
we just saw because then you might start
to think well perhaps a Repro with the U
EU on Industrial issues might start for
the next government to look more
attractive thanks Helia well one of the
other things you might have noticed over
the last few days is both Richi sunak
and kir starma trying to be relatable uh
and trying to explain that um that they
understand ordinary people's pain um
having left um D-Day to do an ITV
interview we've seen some of that
interview now and in it um Rishi sunak
um talks about uh the sacrifices he had
to make as a child we've also seen Kia
starma talking about some of the
sacrifices he made as a child just
listen to these clips so like lots of
people there'll be all sorts of things
that I would have wanted as a kid that I
couldn't have right famously Sky
TV and in a way my story is Testament to
this because it wasn't easy for us my
dad was a toll maker he worked in a
factory all of his
life well joining me now from grimby
where the sky leaders event is is taking
place is Labour's Shadow transport
secretary Louise ha um Louise good
evening uh and I imagine we'll hear more
about K starmer's father who was a tool
maker and how he had his telephone bill
cut off um when he was a kid I mean why
do politicians feel the need to do this
I mean don't we just want people who are
good at running the country rather than
people who are pretending to be like
us well um I think politicians answer
those questions where that ask them by
journalists and but honestly I don't
think most people mind um people's
backgrounds as long as they are honest
about them and don't pretend to come
from a background that they didn't don't
pretend to be something they're not but
you're absolutely right this election is
about two choices to the country do we
want five more years of chaos after the
14 years we've had of the Tores running
down the country and our public services
or do we want a labor party and a labor
government that is prepared to rebuild
our Public Services grow the economy and
put people first again and K starma will
be making that case tonight um I think I
suppose he draws on his background to
say why he makes certain choices in
politics and that explains the choices
he would make as a labor prime minister
and I think that's what people are
responding to in this election as well
he talks doesn't he about being working
class and you wonder how working-class
he really was as a kid um you know he
went to a he went to a good school he
was a scholarship boy I get that you
know but he went to a a private school
you know he went to the royal royal
School of Music uh he became a lawyer he
went to good universities you know
that's not what most people think of as
working class is it what you would think
of as
work well his father was a skilled
worker a tool maker as you as you've
said I think that's a a pretty solid
working class background and my
understanding is that the school he went
to only became private whilst he was
there so he didn't attend a private
school in the in the first instance I
don't think um but it's undeniable that
he came from Fairly ordinary routs and
has had an extraordinary career because
he's a very very talented individual
that has consistently shown leadership
skills throughout his life and he's
quite a rare candidate for prime
minister in that he came into politics
quite late having risen up through the
law profession and become the director
of public prosecutions having run a huge
organization that is genuinely quite
rare thing in British politics to have
worked so long outside politics and
whether any of this really matters you
know you went to leip it doesn't matter
does it
well as I say I don't think it does
matter as long as you're honest about
where you came from I think integrity
and honesty matter in politics far more
uh than people's backgrounds and at at
the general election people will be
making that choice about two very
different options for the next five
years of this country do do you know
what's in the manifesto in
detail yes I was there uh when we agreed
it on uh Friday but you won't be
surprised to know I won't be giving you
any hints before it's published tomorrow
do you think it's going to make any
difference you know what a lot of people
are wondering is whether this isn't
really about detailed plans because you
don't want to do anything that frightens
anyone Mr elction being very
cautious well look we have set out where
we are going to make tax Rises already
um including the the abolition of Nom
the massive expansion of a windfall tax
that cutting of vat relief on private
school fees in order to invest in our
Public Services I've set out our plans
to radically overhaul public transport
the biggest uh overhaul of rail in a in
more than a generation to bring our
Railways back into public ownership and
to expand control over our bus uh
networks and today we've set out plans
to fix our crumbling roads as well
Angela Raina has set out plans to expand
workers rights by the biggest amount in
our history and admill band on our
publicly owned GB energy so I completely
reject any idea that our Manifesto is
cautious it includes major changes that
will really impact people's lives and
just because it is fully funded and
fully costed which we make no apology
for because we are still paying the
price of Liz truss's disastrous mini bu
budget less than two years ago which um
delivered unfunded or attempt to deliver
unfunded tax cuts for the for the
richest view um that doesn't mean that
it isn't radical or they won't deliver
real change um you have talked about
bringing the railways under public
ownership which is largely out of
necessity isn't it but I mean um is that
actually going to make the railways run
properly at an affordable rate um not
plagued by strikes that's the
key yes it's one of the keys absolutely
and this government have deliberately
provoked and prolonged the industrial
dispute we're into the second year of
the first national dispute in over 30
years on our Railways and that would be
obviously a very early priority of a
labor government to settle that dispute
our Railways are 40% less efficient than
some of our European counterparts
because of the fragmented and privatized
nature of the railways so not only do we
think it is the right thing to make sure
that public uh interest is at the heart
of our Railways we're absolutely
confident it is the most affordable and
efficient way to run a unified publicly
owned system as well just like uh some
of the best performing Railways across
the world already are L he thank you
very much
indeed now it has just emerged that one
of the prime minister's closest
parliamentary AIDS is facing an inquiry
by the gambling commission after
apparently placing a 100 pound bet on
when the general election would happen
just days before Mr sunak announced the
date Craig Williams was rishy Sak's
parliamentary private secretary and is
running for the conservatives in the
July 4th vote he's admitted putting a
flutter on the election as he put it and
said he would cooperate with the inquiry
well the conservative party spokesperson
said it's a personal matter for the
Conservative candidate and it would not
be proper to comment further until any
process is concluded well let's speak to
the treasury Minister Gareth Davis who
is also in Grimsby um good evening
thanks for joining us um do you think
it's honorable and and you know thing of
Integrity for the prime minister's
closest Aid to put a bet on when the
election was going to be just before it
was
announced well good to be with you
Christian thank you for having me I'm
just hearing of this myself I understand
he has made a statement and that there
will be uh you know an inquiry or
there'll be this will be looked into uh
and that's quite right um if it's true
it's disappointing obviously but it's
right that he's made a statement and as
I'm just hearing about this it's quite
hard for me to comment further on that I
mean it's it it just doesn't strike you
as you know the highest standards of
Integrity that Rich has been
promising like I said I I don't have the
details of of what happened I know that
uh you know that will disappoint you I
understand that but I am just hearing of
this myself and it's right that uh he's
made a statement which you have read out
you're you're there for another sort of
TV event tonight and and Mr sinak TV
events have not been going brilliantly
truth um the other one that's out today
is is this you know that the quotes are
about him talking about uh his sacrifice
as a child not having Sky TV um would
you regard that as a
sacrifice uh well look I think rishu
sunat was setting out in that interview
that as he said um you know he's the son
of part of a family of immigrants who
came to this country with very little
and they instilled in him values of hard
work and aspiration that's what driving
him every single day he's also somebody
that has spoken very clearly that he had
a very fortunate upbringing with two
parents that worked incredibly hard and
inspired him every day that's why he get
some criticism for mentioning them quite
frequently but that genuinely is what
has driven him to become Prime Minister
and the policy agenda that he's setting
out for the next Parliament is about
aspiration it's about hard work and that
as I say was instilled in him at a young
age by his upbringing and the people
around him his family his parents uh and
those who came before him I mean I was
talking to l he about this beforehand um
you know and I just wonder you know why
it is you know somebody who had a you
know privileged upbringing went to a
great school did incredibly well is now
incredibly Rich you know feels this need
when asked a question like that to to
sort of imply that he understands what
hardships about um when you know other
politicians you know David Cameron Boris
Johnson you know his predecessors you
know have always answered those sorts of
questions with well yes I know I was
very lucky and that's fine and that's
why
I want you know the best of everybody
else you know what is the need to sort
of feel in touch is it a paranoia that
you're not in
touch honestly he is somebody that's
already said many times that he had a a
very fortunate upbringing with two
parents that worked hard inspired him
got him the best education they could
possibly get him and in like I said have
driven him into public service as a very
talented individual uh who could frankly
do anything but he is somebody who
serves the every single day he he is
somebody by the way who is acting on uh
the cost of living crisis that we've
just been through let's talk about that
you look at the action let's talk about
that because obviously growth stalled in
April zero growth you haven't turned the
corner have
you so it's a completely legitimate
question to ask about the date out in
April but what I would say is that as
you know um taking one individual month
is always difficult looking at longer
term periods is a better indication as
to what's going on and as we know at the
start of this year the first quarter we
are now in growth territory we are
putting in place uh the policies which
will ensure that we have sustainable
long-term growth and all the projections
from the OB the bank of England the IMF
are very positive for this country you
know the IMF predict that we'll grow
faster than Germany France Italy and
Japan over the next few years because of
the policies that we're putting in place
so while it's not we've come out of a
really difficult period of time with the
pandemic and the war in Ukraine and very
high inflation we genuinely have turned
a corner now inflation is down to two
2.3% we are able to grow our economy
because we have a strong labor market
low inflation and the policies by
government is backing businesses and
business investment well let's see um
Gareth Davis thank you very much and D
for joining us
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