"대폭발 직전이다" 알트코인 미친듯 대폭등한다. 비트코인 쟁탈전이 벌어졌다 (강환국 작가 / 요약본)
Summary
TLDRIn this insightful video, the speaker discusses the cyclical nature of the cryptocurrency market, focusing on Bitcoin’s role and the rising potential of altcoins. They highlight key phases such as Bitcoin’s periodic crashes, followed by its recovery, and then the altcoin boom that typically follows. With Bitcoin dominance currently decreasing, the speaker predicts that altcoins are about to outperform Bitcoin in the coming months. They also emphasize the long-term opportunities available in the crypto market, positioning it as a key asset class for financial transformation in the near future.
Takeaways
- 😀 Long-term wealth-building opportunities are coming, and the chance to change one's life will continue to arise over time.
- 😀 The speaker believes they will live for at least 5,000 more years, meaning numerous opportunities for life-changing events will occur in that time.
- 😀 The highest expected returns in the near future are from altcoins, which the speaker sees as the key to life-changing wealth.
- 😀 The speaker wrote the book over several months, and while initially uncertain, they were surprised to find that the market trends matched historical patterns.
- 😀 The market has a cyclical nature, with similarities to past cycles, including patterns seen 4 or 8 years ago, making the future somewhat predictable.
- 😀 Bitcoin faces a major market collapse every four years, typically losing around 70-80% of its value, while altcoins may drop by 90% or more.
- 😀 After a crash, Bitcoin will lead the recovery, but altcoins will follow later, with Bitcoin first rising significantly, then altcoins following after a few months.
- 😀 The speaker predicts that the upcoming market cycle will include a phase where Bitcoin leads the market, followed by a bullish phase for altcoins.
- 😀 Bitcoin's dominance in the market is currently at 58%, down from around 60%, suggesting that altcoins may experience significant growth soon.
- 😀 A decrease in Bitcoin's dominance means that the overall market cap of altcoins is growing, and this growth could lead to a strong altcoin rally in the near future.
Q & A
What is the speaker's belief regarding the opportunity to change one's life?
-The speaker believes that there will continue to be opportunities that can significantly change one's life, particularly through the rise of assets like altcoins, which could offer life-changing financial gains over the next 5,000 years.
What is the highest expected return in the near future, according to the speaker?
-The speaker expects the highest returns to come from altcoins, particularly in the short-term, within the next 6 months to a year.
What does the speaker think about the possibility of life-changing events occurring in their lifetime?
-The speaker believes that life-changing events are always possible but feels that altcoins are the current means through which such events can occur, given their potential for high returns.
How did the speaker's perspective on the cryptocurrency market evolve while writing their book?
-While writing the book, the speaker initially had doubts about their claims, but as they continued, they realized that the market was indeed following a similar pattern to previous years, reinforcing their predictions.
What does the speaker predict about the market for the near future?
-The speaker predicts that while the distant future is uncertain, they are confident about the cryptocurrency market through the next year, especially with the rise of altcoins and Bitcoin dominance shifting.
What does the speaker mean by the 'four-year cycle' in the cryptocurrency market?
-The 'four-year cycle' refers to a pattern where Bitcoin experiences significant downturns approximately every four years, followed by a recovery period, with altcoins also facing drastic price drops during Bitcoin's downturns.
What happens during Bitcoin's major market crashes, according to the speaker?
-During these crashes, Bitcoin typically loses 70-80% of its value, and altcoins experience even steeper declines, with some losing over 90% of their value.
What is the market phase called when Bitcoin begins to rise after a crash?
-This phase is referred to as 'Season 1,' where Bitcoin leads the market by increasing in price, often reaching a brief all-time high before entering a period of sideways trading.
What does 'Season 2' refer to in the context of cryptocurrency market cycles?
-Season 2 refers to the sideways or consolidation phase that typically follows Bitcoin's initial rise, where the market experiences a period of stagnation or small fluctuations.
What is 'Season 3' in the market cycle?
-Season 3 is the period of the overall bull market, which typically comes after a halving event and occurs in the latter half of the cycle, where both Bitcoin and altcoins experience significant upward momentum.
When does the altcoin market typically start to rise in the cycle?
-The altcoin market generally begins to rise a few months after Bitcoin's initial rise post-halving, typically about 3-4 months after Bitcoin's price begins to increase.
What does the term 'Bitcoin dominance' mean, and how does it affect altcoins?
-Bitcoin dominance refers to the percentage of the total cryptocurrency market capitalization that is attributed to Bitcoin. When Bitcoin dominance decreases, it signals that altcoins are gaining more value, often leading to a surge in their prices.
What is the current state of Bitcoin dominance according to the speaker?
-Bitcoin dominance has recently dropped to around 58%, signaling that altcoins are beginning to outpace Bitcoin in terms of market growth and value.
How does the speaker view the timing of their book's release?
-The speaker views the timing of their book's release as particularly favorable, believing that it is perfectly aligned with the impending rise of altcoins and the overall market shift.
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