How Close Is the 2024 Presidential Election? | Inside The Numbers Ep. 524

Summary

In this episode of 'Inside the Numbers,' host Rich Baris addresses the potential voter suppression, polling inaccuracies, and the impact of the election on working-class voters. Baris discusses the importance of the election, the need for vigilance against voter fraud, and the significance of engaging typically passive voters. He also touches on the challenges of polling accuracy, the potential for increased voter turnout, and the influence of media narratives on public opinion.

Takeaways

• 😀 The host, Rich Baris, encourages viewers to engage with their content on social media platforms.
• 🔒 Rich mentions experiencing technical issues with their company servers, suggesting a potential cyber attack.
• 😴 Rich discusses the sleepless nights he's had during the election season, indicating the intensity and pressure of the current political climate.
• 📈 He talks about the discrepancies in the election polls, hinting that the actual election might not be as close as the polls suggest.
• 🤔 Rich expresses skepticism about the accuracy of certain polls, particularly those showing extreme margins that seem unrealistic.
• 🎯 There's a focus on the importance of reaching specific voter demographics, such as educated white voters and typical liberal non-whites.
• 📊 Rich highlights the potential impact of first-time voters and those not typically engaged by the Republican party on the election outcome.
• 🗳️ The discussion includes a website called '10x votes' which aims to increase voter turnout by targeting people who may vote for the candidate you support but are unlikely to vote.
• 📈 Rich points out that the polls may be missing a significant pro-Trump group that could sway the election results.
• 🗣️ The host criticizes Kamala Harris's public speaking and interview skills, suggesting she is not a strong candidate in this area.

Q & A

What is the main concern of the host, Rich Baris, regarding the current election situation?

Rich Baris is concerned about the growing intolerance in the country and the potential for polling inaccuracies to sway the election outcomes.

What does Rich Baris believe could be a significant factor in the election that current polls might be missing?

Rich Baris suggests that the efforts by the Republican side to get out voters who typically wouldn't vote could be a significant factor that current polls might be missing.

What issue does Rich Baris identify as the one that could cause a significant miss in the polls and benefit Trump at the ballot box?

Rich Baris identifies the inability to reach educated white voters and typical liberal non-whites as the issue that could cause a significant miss in the polls and ultimately benefit Trump at the ballot box.

What is the strategy that Rich Baris mentions regarding Kamala Harris and her campaign?

Rich Baris suggests that Kamala Harris's strategy is to run out the clock and try to squeak by with platitudes and a general hatred for Donald Trump.

What is the '10x votes' initiative mentioned by Rich Baris and how is it expected to impact the election?

'10x votes' is an initiative mentioned by Rich Baris that aims to get out voters who typically wouldn't vote, potentially impacting the election by overwhelming any malfeasance with sheer volume of votes.

What does Rich Baris think about the current state of leadership in the country?

Rich Baris expresses a deep disconnect and dissatisfaction with the current leadership, stating that the people do not deserve the leaders they have.

What is the importance of Michigan in the election according to Rich Baris?

Rich Baris emphasizes the importance of Michigan in the election, stating that if Donald Trump wins Michigan, the election is essentially decided.

What does the host suggest could be a potential issue with the current polling data?

The host suggests that current polling data might not accurately represent the new voters that the Republican side is trying to get out, thus potentially underestimating the actual voter turnout.

What is the public polling project mentioned by Rich Baris and its significance?

The public polling project is an initiative mentioned by Rich Baris aimed at getting accurate polling data. Its significance lies in providing a clearer picture of the election landscape, especially in light of potential inaccuracies in current polling data.

What is the host's view on Kamala Harris's public speaking and interview skills?

The host is critical of Kamala Harris's public speaking and interview skills, stating that she is not a great public speaker, tends to give word salads, and struggles when going off-script.

What does Rich Baris think about the current state of the economy and its impact on the election?

Rich Baris believes that despite economic wins, there is a perception that Donald Trump is a better steward of the economy, which could significantly impact the election.

Outlines

00:00

😀 Introduction and Technical Difficulties

The speaker, Rich Baris, welcomes the audience to 'Inside the Numbers' and discusses initial technical issues with their company's servers, which they suspect might be due to a brute force attack. They mention the intolerance and tension during the election season and tease an upcoming discussion about the accuracy of polls and the potential sleeper issue that could impact the election results.

05:01

📊 Polling Analysis and Demographic Discussion

Rich delves into the inconsistencies found in various polls, particularly the Emerson College poll, and expresses skepticism about its results. He suggests that there is only one potential outcome of the race that doesn't align with the polls' suggestions and discusses the challenges in reaching certain demographic groups in the electorate. The conversation also touches on the strategy of running out the clock in the election and the potential impact of getting out the vote from typically non-voters.

10:02

🗳️ The Impact of Voter Mobilization

The speaker discusses the efforts on the Republican side to engage voters who are typically hard to reach. He introduces a website called 10x votes, which aims to connect with voters who are unlikely to vote based on their past behavior. Rich explains how this approach can sway the election results and the importance of voting, especially in states like Michigan, where the leadership does not reflect the values of the people.

15:03

📈 Polling Errors and the 2016 Election

Rich reflects on the polling errors during the 2016 election and how they might repeat in the current election cycle. He talks about the group of first-time voters that could significantly impact the election and the potential for the polls to miss this demographic. The discussion also includes the role of organizations like Turning Point USA and their efforts in increasing voter turnout.

20:04

🌐 Regional Polling Difficulties and Shifts

The speaker addresses the challenges in polling certain regions like the Rust Belt and the Sun Belt, noting that the polling errors have been more pronounced in these areas. He mentions specific states and the potential for the polls to miss significant shifts in voter preferences. The conversation also touches on the importance of states like Pennsylvania and Arizona in the election outcome.

25:05

📉 Public Speaking and Political Performance

Rich criticizes Kamala Harris's public speaking and interview skills, suggesting that she is not a strong candidate in interviews and tends to rely on clichés and word salads. He discusses her recent economic speech and interview with Stephanie Rule, highlighting her inability to answer questions directly and the potential impact on her campaign.

30:06

📅 The Race to the Finish Line

The speaker talks about the final stretch of the election, the importance of the working class vote, and the potential outcomes if this demographic does not turn out to vote. He also discusses the strategy of running up the clock and the possibility of Trump winning if the working class comes out to vote.

35:10

💸 Tax Policies and Economic Impact

Rich discusses the tax policies of the current administration and the potential impact if the tax cuts and jobs act provisions sunset. He expresses concern about the possible negative effects on small businesses and the economy in general. The conversation also includes a discussion about the portrayal of Trump's tax policy and the narrative around it.

40:11

🗣️ Media Bias and Political Reporting

The speaker criticizes MSNBC's Stephanie Rule for her interview with Kamala Harris, accusing her of failing to press Harris on key issues and offering excuses for her non-answers. Rich discusses the role of the media in shaping political narratives and the challenges of maintaining journalistic integrity.

45:11

🌐 Voter Registration and Election Integrity

Rich addresses concerns about voter registration, the potential for voter fraud, and the impact of non-citizens on the electorate. He discusses the importance of focusing on legitimate voter targets rather than fixating on a small number of illegal voters.

50:12

📊 Polling Accuracy and Methodology

The speaker questions the accuracy of polls, particularly those that show significant leads for certain candidates. He discusses the methodology used by pollsters and the potential for adjustments based on early voting data. The conversation also includes a discussion about the role of pollsters in understanding the electorate.

55:14

🌈 Conclusion and Upcoming Plans

Rich concludes the discussion by reflecting on the state of the election, the potential outcomes, and the importance of the upcoming polls. He also talks about his plans for the public polling project and the importance of community engagement.

Keywords

💡Inside the Numbers

Inside the Numbers appears to be the name of the show hosted by Rich Baris, also known as the People's Pundit. The show focuses on analyzing polling data and election insights, aiming to provide a deeper understanding of political trends and outcomes. In the script, Baris uses this phrase to introduce the segment where he discusses the current state of polling and political climate.

💡Polling Project

The term 'Polling Project' refers to the effort led by Rich Baris to conduct and analyze public opinion polls, especially focusing on election forecasting. In the script, Baris mentions the public polling project, indicating his initiative to gather and interpret polling data independently to provide alternative insights to the mainstream narratives.

💡Electoral College

The Electoral College is a body of electors established by the United States Constitution, forming the mechanism by which Americans elect their president and vice president. In the context of the script, Baris discusses the potential outcomes of the election in terms of the Electoral College, emphasizing its role in determining the closeness of a presidential race.

💡Battleground States

Battleground States, also known as swing states, are those that could swing in favor of either the Democratic or Republican candidate due to relatively balanced political preferences. The script mentions Baris's confusion over polls that show a tied race in these states, which are typically crucial in determining the outcome of a presidential election.

💡Brute Force Attack

A 'Brute Force Attack' in the context of the script refers to a cyber attack where an attacker uses systematic trial and error to obtain access to a system by trying a large number of possibilities. Rich Baris mentions this in relation to a suspected attack on his company's servers, indicating potential efforts to disrupt his polling project.

💡Rust Belt

The 'Rust Belt' is a region in the United States that includes states affected by the decline of the U.S. manufacturing sector. In the script, Baris discusses the potential for polling errors in these states, which are often pivotal in presidential elections due to their economic history and political swing nature.

💡Sun Belt

The 'Sun Belt' refers to the southern region of the United States, known for its warm climate and rapid population growth. In the script, Baris mentions the Sun Belt in the context of discussing polling inaccuracies and the potential impact on选举 outcomes, especially given demographic shifts from the Rust Belt to this region.

💡Get Out The Vote (GOTV)

Get Out The Vote (GOTV) efforts are campaigns designed to increase voter turnout. The script references GOTV in relation to the Republican party's attempts to engage voters who are typically hard to reach, indicating a strategic focus on increasing voter turnout to sway election results.

💡First-time Voters

First-time voters are individuals who are eligible to vote for the first time, often due to reaching the voting age. In the script, Baris discusses the potential impact of first-time voters on election outcomes and the challenges pollsters face in accurately predicting their voting behavior.

💡Likely Voter Model

The 'Likely Voter Model' is a methodology used by pollsters to determine who is likely to vote in an upcoming election. Baris critiques this model in the script, arguing that it often excludes or underestimates certain voter groups, leading to polling inaccuracies.

💡Kamala Harris

Kamala Harris, referenced in the script, is a prominent political figure who was a candidate in the discussed election. Baris analyzes her campaign strategies, public speaking skills, and the potential impact of her performance on the election's outcome.

Highlights

Host Rich Baris discusses the potential impact of server attacks on polling data.

Rich Baris shares his sleepless nights during the election season and teases upcoming content.

The show plays a clip about the tight election polls and the potential that the election may not be as close as they suggest.

Baris criticizes the Emerson College poll for its improbability, citing demographic discrepancies.

Discussion on how a single issue could be causing polling inaccuracies that end up benefiting Trump at the ballot box.

Baris expresses difficulty in reaching certain senior voters and how this might affect polling outcomes.

Kamala Harris's request for another debate and her interview with Stephanie Ruhle are mentioned as campaign strategies.

Baris talks about efforts to get out the vote from traditionally untapped voter demographics.

A clip is played where Baris discusses the importance of voting in Michigan and not deserving bad leadership.

The concept of '10x votes' is introduced as a strategy to identify and contact potential voters.

Baris explains the differences in political engagement between liberals and conservatives.

Analysis of how pollsters might miss certain voter groups that typically don't vote.

Discussion on how the movement of voters from the Rust Belt to the Sun Belt affects polling.

Baris expresses concern over the potential of the Trump campaign's voter engagement efforts.

The show discusses polling errors in the Rust Belt and Sun Belt and why they matter.

Kamala Harris's interview performance and public speaking skills are criticized.

Baris shares his thoughts on the importance of the economy in the election and how it's being handled in the campaigns.

A closing remark from Baris about the show's content and upcoming plans for polling.

Transcripts

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all right folks welcome to inside the

numbers with the people's pundit I am

your host Rich Baris the people's pundit

all right if you like the videos don't

forget to like them and share them far

and wide and the public polling project

as well but of course you cannot do that

right now because if you have might have

noticed and it looks like we will have

things sorted out very soon it appears

to be and not just that everything on uh

our company servers appear to be down

and it looks very suspiciously like a

Brute Force attack but we don't know

that 100% yet I will keep you posted

they're going to have it done and reset

and up in a minute you

know there's an intolerance in this

country folks a growing intolerance that

is very very very dangerous lot of

sleepless nights over here during

election season lot of sleepless nights

uh there are some pretty cool stuff

going on I didn't get a chance

to play this on either Monday or

Wednesday and I want to play it now um

some of you may have seen me share it

online but uh maybe not all right on

locals you certainly have I want to play

this though

because with the whole idea of like how

close is this election we have look the

polls just don't make sense right and

when they don't make sense most people

want to say well that's just how close

it is right what if this election isn't

that close either way either way of

course I would argue and I don't know

anyone who would seriously argue the the

opposite that there's there's really

only

one potential outcome if if the race is

not close uh as polls suggest both in

the Electoral College and in the popular

vote again not not the polls that are in

the crazy category all right the the

category showing unrealistic margins

that are just never going to

happen um the polls that are in what is

I don't know that you can call it a

consensus because there's still so many

um that are in the crazy category but it

is shrinking uh but nevertheless even

when one poll looks like they're not

totally crazy and they come out with

conflicting results between different

states and it just doesn't make any

sense you know the uh confusing Emerson

College poll that came out this week

across the Battleground States I mean

basically it's tied everywhere except

for Trump leading in Georgia I mean guys

that smells very much like a copout to

me all right

um the likelihood of that happening

considering the different demographics

not only among these states but between

these states and regions it just makes

it extremely unlikely for that to be the

case but in any event um when we're

talking about this like you know this

Con you know concept there really is

only one potential way that this race

ends up not being that close because

there only

one issue that we can pinpoint with

polls that would cause us to have a Miss

like such as this and that really would

be only one that in the end hurts Trump

in the polls and benefits him at The

Ballot Box we shall see nothing is 100%

certain and pass is not always prologue

but we're not having a difficult time

reaching educated white voters we're not

having a difficult time reaching uh

typical liberal non-whites like that

it's just not the core group that we're

having trouble with we're not having

trouble reaching seniors we're having

trouble reaching certain kinds of

seniors right and none of this would

seem to benefit Kamala Harris All right

look Kamala Harris wants another debate

Camala Harris did another interview at

Stephanie Ru clearly the goal here is to

try to run out the

clock that's the goal all right try to

run out the clock and try

to squeak by here with platitudes word

salads and a general hatred for Donald

Trump will that be enough like it was in

2020 and when I say it was enough it was

barely enough

barely all right and then we'll talk

also this episode about what our plans

are uh for the polling in the future

because I'm been up all night taking

care of all this stuff and it's been

kind of crazy all right uh first and

foremost we have to go over over what we

missed all right and before we do that

I'm going to play the clip I was just

referring to there also is something

else that could potentially cause a

pulling Miss and that is efforts on the

Republican side for the first time ever

to legitimately get out voters that

typically they wouldn't even try to get

out because they're not for they

wouldn't be for them but for the first

time in my lifetime in your lifetime

they

are and those efforts are getting bigger

more robust and getting attention from

the people that you would expect and

needed to so let me roll this you may

have seen me on a couple of shows

discussing this but there's actually

news on it so let me roll this first and

then we'll talk about it and then we'll

get into Harris's stuff before we

discuss the polls and the backdrop of

all this new suff polls out today

there's a bunch of stuff out morning

consult this clown show I've refused to

even lend them credibility uh we can

talk about them but if you are seriously

from if you're on the left and you think

that that's like good for you and you

want to use that for copium I'm not

going to entertain that [ __ ] if you're

on the right and you're like dooming

it's not my job to patch you on the top

of the head and tell you it's going to

be okay all right it's my job to tell

you which one you know what you should

how you should navigate this sea of

misinformation all right so but the

people of this country are loving good

people who are being led by the worst

people who've ever led a country and

that is just true I think that's true I

mean it my loathing my my love of

Americans and my loathing of their

leaders deepens every day that we're on

the road it really really does because

the disconnect so what can you do about

it well you can vote I don't think I've

ever encouraged anyone to vote ever but

I feel like in this state it's

particularly important I'm not a

political person I'm not here on beh a

candidate probably guess who I'm voting

for I actually am voting this year um I

am I

am but I do think people should vote in

the state of Michigan because there's

absolutely no reason you should be led

by people who do not share the most

basic values of the people of Michigan

and I mean from I always beat up on the

east coast of

Michigan my wife is actually from the

Detroit area I know boo oh I agree I

know I

know I know and whenever I talk about

Michigan I'm like there actually two

sides to it and the west coast is way

nicer um but the truth is there are

super nice people over there too

Northern Michigan is just like a Wonder

it's

incredible and none of you deserve none

of you deserve your leaders none of you

I don't care it's true even the people

who vote for them don't deserve them if

I can just say you often hear we get the

leaders we deserve that's a total lie no

you don't no you don't and you see that

around the world I been in plenty of

countries with horrible leaders those

people don't deserve them nobody

deserves leaders like that and so I did

hear of something really cool today I've

never done anything like this but I'm

going to do it now there's actually a

website in the state of Michigan where

you can find people who probably would

vote for the candidate you're voting for

but don't vote and you can look them up

the voter rules are right there it's

called 10x votes and you can go on there

and just contact people you know and be

like hey by the way you don't we don't

deserve this these people are horrible

and we're not horrible we're

great and if you're frustrated with

these people even if you don't think the

system works you think it's all fake you

think they're going to steal it in the

end that's not exactly true you can

overwhelm their their Mal inent by your

voting and at the very least you can you

can give them the largest middle finger

ever wagged in the face of

anybody by voting against them I do

think it's important yeah that finger

the one you just waved that's

right all right so so much uh said there

but basically if you're on locals you

know what 10x votes is um the difference

between this and some of these other

efforts is that it really is an entire

methodology of how you get uh these

voters to vote and how you uh approach

them talk to them right how how uh they

are brought into the system is based on

research about the different

behaviors of liberals versus

conservatives Republicans versus

Democrats right let's be a little bit

honest for a second here and at the risk

of insulting some people people

Democrats are

Fanatics they're Fanatics they're

ideologically more fanatical than

conservatives are who generally just

want to go about their lives and go

about their their their day and they

don't really want to be bothered and

they kind of do you know and this is to

their detriment hope that everything's

just going to kind of be okay they

believe more so in God a higher power

and they F these things they feel their

like whatever you want to call it you

know these holes in their soul

with these things with these belief

systems and they're deeply deeply

distrustful of people they don't know a

skeptical of people they don't know

they're skeptical of power Etc um and

they are certainly skeptical that the

system is fair and that the system can

be um impacted for a positive change all

right that is not the case with liberals

they generally don't believe anything

higher or greater than themselves so

they search for meaning

when you cold knock for instance a

liberal's house you are unless you're a

republican you're much more likely to be

able to engage with that voter and they

are much more likely to open up their

feelings to you and their thoughts and

personal beliefs again such as how they

intend to vote whether they intend to

vote at all

so I guess Tucker some uh you know

somehow through the people that are uh

doing this got wind of it and since he

made this Buzz uh you know he was

talking about how important Michigan is

and of course it is if Donald Trump wins

Michigan it's over the election is over

but you probably would know that already

because he would have already won or on

his way to win Pennsylvania okay so that

being said they're both very very very

important States and the attention that

this got now has given them an ability

to move this it appears into

Pennsylvania okay why does any of this

matter these

people that are targeted in this dat or

identified in this database to be

targeted to get out the

vote polsters will screen them

out they have little to no vote history

when the New York Times calls them and

asks them are they definitely the you

know almost certain to vote Etc right

even if they say they are self-reported

certainty to vote or likelihood to vote

is very unreliable and most pollsters

will either outright remove them from

the sample or they will look for vote

history to

corroborate uh that certainty and if

they do not have it generally speaking

they will remove them you can see the

first time voter shrinks considerably in

for instance the New York Times poll

considerably from the registered voter

to the likely voter that is what is

going on there the likely voter model is

a it could be different things for

different pollsters but it's a series

ultimately of assumptions that the

pollster is making about who is

believable and who will actually

vote this happened in 2016 and there was

a slew of people that did not vote in

2020 uh Trump was crushing Hillary

Clinton with this group they weren't all

new you know young voters who were new

to the system not at all all right and I

know about this group because I

identified them

I did okay so I know that population if

they are to be believed they are an

immensely immensely T how could I put

this it's a group that's an immen

immensely positive group for Donald

Trump specifically less so Republicans

but certainly Republicans more so than

Democrats this is a very trumpy group of

people and if the polls miss these

people it's a wrap

R I know the stats so far as to the

engagement on the site and what um how

could I put

this what kind of numbers we can

realistically

expect will be brought into the

electorate because of this effort none

of this speaks to the efforts you see

that are very much firsttime efforts by

organizations like Turning Point USA

right who then partnered with Scott

Pressler who then uh has had more

coordination with the RNC than they've

ever had before both groups by the way

right you have somebody like Michael

wattley whose

job as the co- whatever you want to call

it the co-chair of the Republican

National Committee this is something he

did and focused on quite a bit in North

Carolina and he did it to a pretty he

had pretty a lot of good success with it

all right

and putting it all together it's very

easy to look at the margins Joe Biden

had in 2020 or even the margins that

Donald Trump had in 2016 for that matter

and you could clearly see how

the interest in this thing and the

effectiveness of this thing

could be the difference in a close if it

was a close election of course there's

another potential scenario which is that

that all happens but it's not really as

close as people think it is anyway and

then it just turns out not to be close

at

all and then there's of course the other

scenario to to be fair here the other

scenario is these people don't put their

they don't return their absentee ballot

it ends up being much more difficult

than everyone thought and um because

Democrats are having a problem too and

it's a high turnout Prime uh High

turnout electorate more akin to a

midterm and that is bad had for

republicans in recent years sure could

happen Could Happen has it happened in

the era of Donald Trump absolutely not

in both cases Trump drove turnout higher

and by the way more than anticipated by

most all right so I wanted to bring that

up because we need that all as a

backdrop we need it all and of course

you could go and check out 10x votes all

right but um

all this being said the Harris campaign

isn't stupid they know

this Democrats are keenly aware like

James carille had a meltdown because

some of Harris's staffers or I would say

people who work for work for the

campaign

are

unjustifiably confident or maybe it's

even more accurate to say dismissive of

certain concerns that people like James

Carville think are valid concerns people

by the way like Ruby tashera who who

have the same view uh and have been uh

talking about it we have talked about it

on the show which is

this Cala Harris is not going to do as

good as Joe Biden she will not perform

as well as Joe Biden in key areas of the

Rust Belt specifically and in this look

the state of the race is such only a few

shitty polls of Cala Harris ahead in the

sun Bel in any of the sun Bel States

what are you going to do point me to a

morning console poll give me a

break Arizona's out today USA Today

which was favorable to Harrison

Pennsylvania Trump plus six why does all

this

matter because there are two areas of

the country where polar and misses have

been quite prevalent and there are

reasons for it the demographics that we

talk about day in and day out one is the

Rust Belt and one is certain States

certain

states in the

sunbell

certain Florida was one that everyone

was always so concerned about so when

they missed in Florida we took notice

people took notice but it's not just

Florida anymore is it North Carolina has

not been pulled correctly in over 10

years yes some people did a very good

job with the Ted Bud race in 2022 and

yes private data showed that Republican

would sweep both of those state supreme

court seats public data really did not

it looked much closer then it ended up

being hell there's a poll out today in

Minnesota that pollster had Sher Beasley

winning North Carolina for the US Senate

by two

points so again I mean we've been

through this so many times in recent

years I'm like always so surprised when

people are taking polls as gospel at

face value because you really can't I

wish I could say something different

it's my industry but you

can't and with knowing all of this her

and her private data certainly looking

more like Trump's data all right it

does and then certain group of holsters

who have done a better job in recent

years that are releasing public

information that data that Universe of

data generally

mirrors each other all right they look

very similar which is to say that Kamal

Harris is a major problem in the state

of Pennsylvania Camala Harris is down in

if not all all but Nevada in the Sun

Belt to varying degrees all right so the

big polling erors have gone Rust Belt to

Sun Belt meaning the polling erors have

been worse and more pronounced in the

Rust Belt than they have been in the Sun

Belt even though both regions of the

country have had problems and it really

probably shouldn't surprise you because

of the people who are leaving the

industrial Midwest the Great Lake States

right the Rust Belt in general they're

leaving these areas for warmer and

greener pastures in the Sun

Belt so if they were difficult to reach

when they were in Michigan Pennsylvania

Ohio Iowa right if they in Minnesota if

they were difficult to reach there why

would you think there would be any

more any less difficult to reach when

they move to Phoenix Arizona or when

they move to uh Savannah Georgia or when

they move to anywhere in Florida you get

my drift or by the way eastern North

Carolina which was grossly

underrepresented by the census so by the

way North Carolina pollsters anyone who

starts with the census weight is going

to blow the election period

going to happen there are more people in

that part of the state than the census

counted for so if you're using

that you know decade survey you're

you're screwed you're screwed all right

let's uh with all this like I said

Harris wouldn't be out there taking his

risks it wouldn't be out there calling

for a debate I'm going to play a couple

of clips and then we're going to read

because we're going to talk about the

states that I do think are are are

really really important and then

obviously we'll discuss the plans for

the public polling project because they

are based on those beliefs and I don't

even think they're beliefs honestly

folks I think that most people generally

would agree with me on where this race

will be decided and by whom okay all

right so listen oh my

God with all of the media garbage within

the last two months propping

artificially prop Pro

Cala Harris up and booing her favorable

favorable image because of a media

fiction we tend to forget that Kamala

Harris was deeply deeply disliked and

viewed as a total

clown she was more disliked than dick

chany she was more disliked uh than Dan

Quail these were people that were either

mocked you know incessantly because they

were stupid or uh straight up called a

war criminal who should be tried and

hanged by the hag right now she's happy

to have dick jany's endorsement as she

told us during the debate but that's

funny because our party wanted to

execute Dick Cheney just a few years ago

over the illegal war in a rock that he

played a part in getting everybody in in

the fake yellow cake that never

happened all right so she's out there

and taking risk

because if we rewind the clock just a

little bit and remember everything I

just said then it's not difficult to

understand why she keeps doing what

she's doing which is failing miserably

at public

appearances maybe I should just play the

clips first and then we'll discuss it

but here before she sat down with

Stephanie rule Camala Harris gave what

was supposed to be this economic speech

that was going to answer all of the

concerns that we all heard from focus

groups and from surveys uh specifically

with in UN in uh undecided voters after

the debate she was going to fix it all

by doing this speech blowing people away

and then doing her interview with

Stephanie rule it didn't work

out because Camala Harris is an awful

interview she conducts an awful

interview Camala Harris is not really a

great public speaker she can read what's

in front of her and put on a performance

but she stretches to find words when she

goes off right script and she strains to

find words when uh she has asked

questions she really doesn't know

exactly how to answer

because she is not Hillary Clinton she's

certainly not Barack Obama these were

competent smart people whether you like

them or not you cannot take that away

from them they

were now Obama was lazy he was a lazy

son of a [ __ ] he did not like doing the

role of

President you know Clinton was lazy

because he got up late but he still did

the damn job you know he spoke to the

Congress all the

time Barack Obama did not he sent Joe

Biden to

Congress he hated dealing with

them but he still wasn't

stupid listen folks Cala Harris is a

fraking [ __ ] I'm

sorry this isn't punditry or you know

opinion analysis she's not a smart

person it's in fact one of the most

dangerous things to have somebody like

this I'm sorry the administrative State

loves it because you know they got the

scile old guy for four years that the

country was lied to about being scile

they got him to sign every executive

order they wanted him to sign they got

him to do every you know make every move

within the executive branch that they

can make to Ben he could make to have

benefited them and and she's going to be

just a more self-aware version of that

because she really doesn't understand

what the hell she's talking about all

right and when she falls off script and

gets nervous she doesn't have it you

know what it is she doesn't have it so

she doesn't know what to do and she just

sounds like a fraking [ __ ] here's clip

one to guard that Spirit we have to

guard that

spirit let it always Inspire us let it

always be the source of our optimism

which is that spirit that is so uniquely

American and let that then Inspire

Us by helping us to be inspired to solve

the problems that so many face including

our small small business owners so let's

solve the Let's Be Inspired to solve the

problems that Inspire us and Inspire us

more to inspire us to inspire us and

Inspire us what the hell did she say she

is a master at saying absolutely nothing

she if she loses and I I mean I think if

this keeps up she will if she loses she

will go down as the loser candidate who

perfected the word salad that means

absolutely nothing she says a whole lot

of stuff that have no meaning and just

doesn't make any

sense and then

afterwards the you know the media tries

to do their spin you got David axero out

there saying what a wonderful speech oh

my God they're not stupid she's a [ __ ]

and gave a fool speech made a fool of

herself because she cannot do this stuff

she

folks did we forget she ran for

president

before the only question is whether or

not the media can create this fiction

around Kamala Harris dupe enough people

to believe it and then hold them off

from understanding it's all [ __ ] for

long enough until the ballots are handed

in that's the game that's the play

here can and it can

work but it doesn't mean she's

smart doesn't mean she's competent

doesn't mean she's an effective leader

or an effective manager because of

course she's been none of

that after what now almost two weeks of

polling data and focus group data

telling us all the same thing that she

is not being specific enough into to

park the platitudes you know clean up

the word salad man take it off the

table and just tell us why you're going

to be better than Joe Biden tell us

exact ly what you intend to do and again

many of these people are people who

don't like Donald Trump they want her to

do that yet she is clearly

incapable she sits down with a super

friendly face Stephanie rule these are

like

besties and she tosses her every

softball imaginable and she blows one

answer after the other when she gets in

trouble she default pivots to ow and

Donald Trump but Donald

Trump it's exactly what these voters

don't want to hear I'm telling you it's

exactly what her campaign is telling her

not you do but she can't help

it she cannot help

it that's one Theory the other theory is

the other theory is they've given up on

the middle altogether and they don't

give a [ __ ] about those people are still

undecided they want them to stay home

they are dogging Trump enough that they

are trying to make those people that

they cannot earn their vote they're

trying to make those people say you know

what I'm just going to sit this one out

I cannot bring myself to vote for either

one of these

candidates and then Jin up turnout like

Barack Obama did in 2012 against Mitt

Romney who failed to get out more than

three million workingclass whites in the

rust Bel in the northern

Midwest all right let's take

a yeah before we give the reaction to

the interview which is just worse than

the interview here's a piece of the

interview if you thought she said

Inspire an unusual and uncomfortable

amount of times within a certain time

frame wait until you see this instance

to State and local governments around

Transit

dollars and looking holistically at the

connection between that and housing and

looking holistically at the incentives

we in the federal government can create

for local state governments to actually

engage in planning in a holistic manner

that includes prioritizing affordable

housing

wow wow of course she said absolutely

nothing

there she used the word

holistic because she has

real problems laying out these specifics

that are being demanded to her and in

truth most voters that you know they're

not like waiting for those specifics and

saying aha now that specifically I

like they just want to know that you

legit actually have a

plan a copy and paste job from the Biden

website which literally in still

includes the tags for Biden

CSS stylesheet rules right what the

website looks like IDs and classes still

from the Biden website that's not a

policy all right that is not a

policy and again I'm not saying you got

to like put out these academic policy

papers what I am saying however is that

people want to know you at least have

one and that you know how to implement

it hold on

oh thank God for Su

stain I always had dry eyes but ever

since my surgery it's been real dry and

on a day like this when I haven't slept

that much my God they do but in any

event they're not looking for you know

the Brookings Institute version of uh

what do you do with tariffs her tariff

answer was

awful she was asked a layup question

question by rule about tariffs the use

of tariffs and she went on and on in

this weird weird you know um you know

Trump isn't uh looking at this

sophistically you know yeah you know

sophistically enough and I would take a

much more sophisticated approach and you

know because it's a complicated economy

and I would take a more complicated

approach it's again word salad that just

means absolutely nothing

but it was a layup and she's

incapable of

Simply answering the

question she's she can't do

it without pivoting and oh but what

about

Trump at least Hillary Clinton could sit

down give an intelligent competent

response to an employ uh a jour a

journalist employee I was going to call

them what's the difference

right at least you could sit down with

them and give them a straight competent

answer if Cala Harris was to

win she would have to you would think

surround herself with people who are

more capable of doing this than

her she's awful in interviews fol

folks she can't even put on the disguise

the media myth

disguise she can't even do it for 25

minutes that interview was

25 minutes

yet here's the so-called

journalist going on Morning Joe to talk

about the interview which she there's

weird moments during it when she's you

know your opponent's talking about

whether you worked at McDonald's or not

I mean

folks she didn't work at McDonald's

let's cut the

[ __ ] your opponent's talking about this

let let let's fact check did you or did

you not work for McDonald's that's not a

fact

check that's asking the candidate to

repeat the prior claim without providing

any evidence that the claim is in in

fact

true a fact

check would be if you could find a

single person who remembers working at

McDonald's with Cala Harris you won't

find them because they don't exist but a

fact check would be like I spoke to Tony

Smith and Tony Smith remembers that in

1976 Camala Harris flip burgers are

dunked fries to me at

McDonald's are you telling me

as somebody who has taken every job he

possibly could

get working class Roots over

here may be a little bit bougie now but

class never leaves you or at least it

shouldn't and I wholly believe

that why as somebody who has taken every

job I find it very difficult to believe

and I can't believe that there are not

more people saying this I find it very

difficult to believe that they cannot

find anybody who remembers there's

nobody out there who remembers a strange

name like Camala

Harris she's obviously still going to

look like she looked only she's older

now but a pretty woman you don't re guys

you don't remember the cute girl who got

a job with you when you were like 16 or

17 or 18

whatever you you don't remember that if

they ran for president 10 years later 15

20 30 40 whatever if they ran for

president all these years later you

would not say hey I know that

person of course you

would of course you

would you remember the prostitute the

high-end prostitute that took out the uh

would be governor of New York uh he

wanted to be president

I knew

her I knew her from New

Jersey she was friends with my friend's

girlfriend and they lived in Wall

Township soon as I saw her on the screen

I immediately was like oh my God it's

ass oh my

God yet there's

nobody

nobody who can present proof or

testimony that they worked with Kamala

Harris at

McDonald's and she says like we got to

fact check it that's not a fact check

but that was what the interview was all

back the whole time and then she goes on

the rounds CNN Morning Joe etc etc

although the CNN interview did not go

that well and she just carries more

water for Kam yeah it was great because

I was watching Fox News and I'm now

excited about Milan's Memoir I'm going

to have to pick that up this weekend and

I can get a silver uh a silver coin that

Donald Trump launched on obviously one

of the 100 Grand watches

and such an objective person isn't

she what an objective

journalist

right I haven't gotten my sneakers yet

but I'm sure they can tell me where to

get them no that's nonsense um obviously

for anybody who watched the interview uh

I did with vice president Harris we sat

down for 25 minutes and we talked about

one single topic the economy 20 25

minutes oh my

God the

horror you expected her to work that

long how dare

you maybe just

maybe maybe it's like CBS interview or

the CNN

interview perhaps right with Dana or

Donna what the hell

ever

meaning it's a lot more than 25

minutes that's all we got to see about

it of

it and then we start to hear about

it

she well wait I'll get back wait just

wait it is the number one issue for

voters if Donald Trump would like to sit

down and have that same conversation I'm

ready for you why on Earth would he do

that I'm ready for

you contrasted to oh I was delighted to

have this conversation with Cala Harris

Trump I'm ready for

you why the hell would he entertain this

why but again 25 minutes CNN said you

can see X number of

minutes where's the rest of the role my

point is if those were the good

takes the ones the media wanted people

to see how bad was Harris in the rest of

the

interview we could immediately

immediately see the faces

again in this interview especially in

the beginning of the interview or what

we're led to believe is the beginning of

the

interview all right but I digress let's

wrap this up um and I think it's hugely

important and it's a vulnerability for

both candidates but it's really tricky

Joe because you know you obviously want

to cover all of these topics but to just

do it with one candidate um it's hard

because many people feel like she's

speaking in platitude she's speaking

about an economic Vision no not her

whoops not her not Cala in details she's

got an 80 page detailed policy proposal

and do I think that um she answers every

single question and gives people exactly

what they want she doesn't do you know

why because she's a politician and none

of them do they all speak in platitudes

but Donald Trump has given absolutely

nothing except Mass deportations which

would be a huge issue for for our right

right economy and he just says you know

I delivered you the best economy ever

and I'm going to put across you know

blanket tarff but the thing that I think

she needs to answer for more is despite

all of the economic wins over the last

four years despite the fact that Donald

Trump emotionally connected with that

blue collar worker but he didn't deliver

for that blue collar worker she needs to

solve for why he still pulls better on

economic issues uh with voters because

that to me is mind-boggling you know

when you're that to me is

mindboggling okay perhaps because out

side of your insulated World which is

damn near Recession

Proof the rest of

America doesn't have the luxury to live

in a fantasy land like

you and in their world wages went a lot

further than they do now at the grocery

store in their

world they could feel the impact of the

number of manufacturing jobs being the

highest since the boom of the 90s in the

Clinton

era they knew why indexes like the

National Association of homebuilders

would come back at you know just

skyrocketing record you know Builder

sentiment like you know the

manufacturing indexes by the way same

deal they knew it they understood it so

they they view Trump to be a good

Steward of the economy that end of

course that he is a businessman he

understands business and many of people

in this country believe that the country

should be run more like a business or at

least the way business finds leaders

more competent people because tuer is

right we really are ruled and governed

by the dumbest people that that the

ruling class has to you know has to

offer

us these

aren't super smart

people I wish I could say otherwise but

I can't these are not super smart people

by the way it does appear like uh I

don't have time to go through and see uh

what his conclusion was but very

clearly um very clearly they fixed it

looks like everything's back up the

archives for people's SP in Daily which

is just people's SP of daily of course

and you can go and check out all of the

historical data that we have but uh that

is also working as well as uh Big Data

poll itself which which is where you

know the public polling project is is

funded and shared all right it's all up

I will check out his kind of analysis of

what the hell happened later when we get

off the show um all right I'm G oh and

by the way when we get off the show I'm

going to do like a speed run through of

um some of the questions that we have

today all right all with good reason

folks all with good reason all right

let's wrap up Stephanie rules asinine

comments and then there's something I

want to read talk to voters across the

board they often say I don't know what

any politicians do for me but I did get

my taxes lowered and she made it clear

when the individual tax cuts expire next

year the one group of people who will

get their taxes raised are people who

make over $400,000 a year now a lot of

people in blue city

lies

lies by the way you want to tighten up

uh New York and New Jersey it's probably

a good way to do

it

when these tax cuts

Sunset and if you still for instance

aren't granted the salt

deduction I mean you're going to be

murdered regardless by the tax increase

no matter where you are in all

likelihood at least most people who are

watching this

show but these you know so-called Rich

couples and family households that are

going to have to pay for this are in

fact not that rich okay it just sounds

like a lot of money but it's not when

you come in into the conclusion gez how

much is a grocery store these how much

do a grocery store Bild these days just

one not the monthly shopping Nobody Does

that anymore not in this economy how

much is the every three to five day

weekly you know stop at the grocery

store costing

you right

all right let me wrap this up when we

got because can't believe how fast time

goes in blue states are wondering what

happens to that state and local tax

reduction Donald Trump has now said

we're going to lift that cap he's the

one who put it on we don't yet know what

she's going to

do obviously the cap was put on for a

reason it had to offset other stuff I'm

not going to get into it all if you

really want to learn about the tax Scots

and jobs act you can go to peoples

daily.com type in

tcj he all right yeah yeah yeah yeah uh

tax cut and job boy I'll be honest with

you guys I'm I'm rather terrified at um

the prospect of those Provisions sun

setting I was never able to hire someone

um that was like a fav kind of like a

favor you know uh get him some

experience beef up his resume a little

bit uh never would have been able to add

him to the roles in addition to everyone

and everything else we have going on

over here uh if the tax cuts and jobs

Act was not passed despite what you're

going to hear the same nonsense from The

New York Times they'll probably create

another fictional couple that will uh

somehow be positively impacted by her

plan right there is no couple there is

no

plan this will hurt a lot of people and

just to give you one stat because it is

important because you hear oh he gave a

tax cut to his billionaire friends um

Wall Street overwhelmingly supported Joe

Biden and Hillary Clinton not Donald

Trump Wall Street betrays Donald Trump

views Donald Trump as a class betrayer

and the arguments uh you know I've heard

you know about this being a tax cuts for

rich is like you know their textbook

Playbook but it is just so demonstrably

false it's incredible we continue to

hear this but we do out of Democrats not

just her out of Democrats period in

general we're not going to blow up the

debt and deficit over you know uh tax

cuts for your wealthy

friends all of his wealthy friends that

were once his friends anyway or are

supporting Kamala Harris I don't what

the hell they're talking

about all right I'm tell yeah I'm not

man I am not looking forward to if and

when those things Sunset I'm just

not kid all have to be booted

permanently yeah it was great because I

was watching Fox News and I'm now

excited about Milan's Memoir I'm GNA

have to all well whatever you know it

resets so we'll just go ahead and leave

it there because there's something I

want to read you anyway and I think it's

uh we're running out of time here all

right she made a complete fool of

herself if you thought Dana was was bad

this really took the chair this really

like you know took took the cake folks

all right whatever the damage

expressionist and yeah whatever you can

call it a right leaning sight a

rightwing sight you know anything that

didn't wholly subscribe to the Russia

collusion hoax which was in fact a hoax

in a completely madeup fabricated you

know situation um because of

that right

um well yeah I guess you know hold hold

on hold on I'm going to give too much

away let me just let me just read it

otherwise I'm going to wind up being

redundant msnbc's Stephanie rule is the

perfect picture of a corporate media

propagandist is by Jordan Boyd but

anyway it's the same thing like uh how

could I put it it's the same thing with

Paul's all of these the these things you

hear the language you hear I mean it's

really just censorship disguised is like

trying to give people or tell people

what is and what is not credible s you

know what is a credible source of

information oh the Federalist oh that's

a just a right-wing paper okay well all

the so-called mainstream media Outlets

all pushed a fake Co hoax that was

really worse it's worse than that it

wasn't just a

hoax it was a major part of what was a

seditious plot to undermine the duly

elected president of the United States

and remove him from

Office yeah I

mean anyway

um all right so here's a picture let me

read

it rule disgraced herself when she

failed to press Harris on key issues and

later defended her non-answers

do they have the they don't okay that

was worth looking Jordan Boyd writes

quite a bit for the Federalist I mean

does it really matter not to like beat a

dead horse here does it really matter

whether or not you think someone's

coming at news or anything from a right

or leftwing perspective all that should

matter is whether or not the information

they're giving you is

accurate or am I you know missing

something

here all right vice president Kamala

Harris wasn't the only one who

embarrassed herself on live television

Wednesday night during her first one

onone network interview since joining

the 2024 race for the White House that's

true um of course she dragged along Tim

her campaign running me with her right

the interviewer MSNBC Stephanie rule

also blowned herself when she not only

failed to press Harris on key issues but

also waved off the Democratic

presidential Nomine refusal to give a

clear and direct answer as normal and

acceptable the bar for rule to do her

job was already low in addition to

working for one of the most well-known

Democrat propaganda Outlet incorporate

media complex rule as publicly and

unapologetically offered Harris a

Cascade of compliments and excuses while

simultaneously calling her political

Challenger former president Donald Trump

a threat to democracy in fact it was

only after she gave a glowing

endorsement of Harris's hide in the

basement strategy on Bill Mars's show

over the weekend that MSNBC announced

the r would host the VP softball Q&A

appearance so what the hell do you think

happened there

during the sitdown which should have

never been awarded to rule thanks to her

propensity for Harris propaganda the

pair laughed their way through Harris's

lies quote you have laid out a policy in

great detail unquote rule Fawn during

the nearly 25-minute

conversation rule took Harris's talking

points like when she accused Trump of

being quote not very serious about how

he thinks about some of these issues

unquote as gospel proudly regurg them as

uh as the Seeker between as she segue

between

questions his plan is not serious when

you lay it out like that rule

agreed

wow that's the role of an

interviewer like or one that is

pretending to be a journalist it'd be

different if I interviewed Kamala Harris

or I interviewed Donald

Trump I'm not pretending to be a

journalist I'm

not it's funny

because

know all these people ever seem to want

was credibility now they don't seem to

really care at all about it or at least

not with

everybody or not even how people

perceive them but what is

true are you a credible journalist

all right right so basically she goes

into the McDonald's thing which we

talked about um again that's not a fact

check if Camala Harris claims to work to

have worked for McDonald's the opponent

says I call

[ __ ] her simply repeating the claim

is not a fact

check never see I don't know why I let

it amazed me after all these

years anyway she goes through

that rule likely thought that asking

Harris one semide decent question about

the Border Invasion a topic that ranks a

uh ranks among majority of us voters top

concerns heading into the election would

give her credibility instead instead it

only showed viewers how many times R

squandered her opportunity to ask Harris

about hard hitting

questions and nothing Burger is like we

can we trust you I

mean wow and I actually have that clip I

mean it's right here though if I wanted

to I could play it on the website it's

right there um the face can we trust you

and the face

afterwards so we here

matter of fact let's just let's watch it

can we trust you

yes yes I am not

perfect but I will tell you I'm always

going to put the needs of the people

first Madame vice president thank you

for your time today thank you weird

faces again these

faces and that squeak in the beginning

can we trust

you of course weird

so

odd um there's no doubt that rules

treatment of Harris before and during

their discussion paved the way for MSNBC

to praise Harris for her quote working

class Street Credit oh my God holy moly

her ability to quote needle Trump subtly

unquote her attempt to blame Trump for

the dire economic conditions created by

the Biden Administration and Democrats

and her pension for feeding feeding

paranoia that quote women have reason to

fear a trump presidency a second Trump

presidency I had a clip on this that I

wanted to show after this um after

reading that line but ultimately I

didn't but what she

basically elaborates on is much what you

heard about like you know really pretty

much what you heard in that last clip

which is that you know they don't they

shouldn't be concerned about these

issues they shouldn't be or at least

they should not not that they shouldn't

be concerned about her giving these

detailed issues you I mean these

detailed responses is actually the way

what I'm trying to say all right um and

she goes on and on and just turns it on

Trump every time and that's just not

good enough I mean it's amazing because

I know their campaign is getting got the

same or drew the same conclusion after

the debate that we did they don't want

to hear that they do in fact want to

hear more I'm not trying to sit up here

and give her free advice but what she

did during this interview ex is

exactly exactly what an adviser would

tell her not to do it after you know

having time to go

through the Fallout the data that came

in the wake of the Fallout of the

debate she just needs to meet the

presidential bar or needed to meet the

presidential bar I'm not sure you get a

second chance for First

Impressions but even if you did she

better hope nobody wants this interview

because it was just more of the same oh

can you trust me you should really be

asking yourselves can you trust Donald

Trump that's not the

question all right

um here's what's a little trick tricky

she doesn't oh I have that right we

played that clip when she said she

doesn't have uh the question around if

the GOP is controlling the Senate and

she can't raise corporate taxes where is

she going to get the money from to

expand the child tax credit and do all

the things she wants to do rule said

also noted that Harris says quote we

just have to do it unquote without

offering a tangable plan on Section but

couched her criticism by calling the

Harris campaign promise great it's a

little weird of a written sentence but

you get it

um this is what happened when she went

on um what's her name geez somebody give

me her

name and she brings this

up and the mood changes instantly on the

show what just watch talk about that

answer I do but here's what's a little

tricky she doesn't answer the question

around if the GOP is controlling the

Senate if she can't raise corporate

taxes where is she going to get the

money from is you know to expand the

child's tax credit and do all the things

she wants to do and she says we just

have to do it and that's great and

that's a campaign promise but but but

the issue is if it means we're just

going to borrow again then what we're

doing is we're just never addressing the

deficit and back in the days when you

were a proud Republican debts and

deficits

mattered all right they and they still

should matter I mean I think very

clearly they still should matter um but

I do understand the the the kind of the

point on that there are people who don't

really UPS sets too much over that

anymore small group means the world to

them because they don't really view it

as just like a fiscal government you

know are they being fiscally responsible

with my money or whatever no they view

it as like what is probably going to

lead to the worst economic Calamity in

our in our nation's history a Deb bomb

bigger than anyone ever

ever

imagine the time it would take to

correct

that all right um I'm not sure it can be

well not it can be it's called from

scratch starting from

scratch all right uh damn man it's 102

already look let me just do this real

quick so we can get back to it um

speaking of which debt bombs um it's our

friends at Freedom gold of course look

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decision all right uh shorten story here

we had them on earlier this week it was

amazing to see another two people win

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3592 all right um back to this you

know what else is there to say in all

honesty what else is there to say guys

is there really I mean right we all know

the interview we saw what

happened I guess the only real question

is whether or not this running up the

Str running up the clock strategy will

work as it

you know whatever you want to say in

2020 clearly

did all right I want to just kind of mix

this because I know that

um we do have to start K kicking this

stuff around I got to tell you what the

plan is what we're going to do if all

goes well we could start Pennsylvania as

early as this weekend we will just have

to see how it goes all right

um hopefully it does um New National

polling as well and then there may be

something that's separate from the PO

polling project but I don't want to

bring that up now I don't know if that's

a done deal or not um but that would

have an impact on what we do do in the

final stretch because like there's no

good reason to be redundant there's no

good reason to waste the crowdfunding

resources which is certainly not

infinite uh the crowdfunding resources

on a project that's not going to offer

as much value as one that maybe

um isn't being

pulled fairly competently whatever you

may think but let me just kind of mix

this up and Dong is a

great a great Point here and he says

could we meaning the Republican Party

refocus The Narrative of illegal

immigration as class

Warfare a lot of leading art Liberals

are misled to believe they are doing

good by supporting illegal immigration

but the reality is they're useful idiots

for the wealthy Elite donor class who

own industries that can pay for illegals

for close to nothing at the detriment of

the working class and many of them are

black and brown who black and brown

Americans who live in big

cities I think you got to admit that was

like the part of his magic in 19

I mean in uh

2016 wasn't

it like the hell with this map I don't

like this map I'm going to change

it right what could have

happened if some of and it does look

like he's making like oh I think it's

fair to label them positive changes

but you know I don't want to be a Doomer

here I don't want to be a Doomer so I'll

I'll keep that to myself but I think you

guys know what I'm going to say

the class Warfare thing is huge it is

but understand it does come with greater

heed because then you're like inflaming

their class betrayal

feathers or their class betrayer

feathers right but it should

be I'm not

sure yeah I mean that's it it should be

absolutely and I'm not saying that they

don't do it now that they don't really

classify it as a class issue now or

speak of it in terms of class Warfare um

it's just not on the level it was in 16

I really don't believe it I really don't

believe it and it was almost

non-existent in 20 right

the unbelievable amount of bad advice

that man

got um you want to change I have

probably five videos of

of

minorities discussing why they're

supporting Trump

um Laura and I were talking and we were

saying you know regardless of whether or

not we think this poll's overstating

this or understating that I think we can

all be relatively certain that we don't

we we're remembering correctly okay

we're in so we don't we're not able to

remember here right um

once upon a time it was like that and

these young especially with the younger

people in urban areas that would most

certainly be the roote let me just put

it that way let me just put it that way

um what about the Greta stuff what what

is it what are you guys doing the gret

oh my God what is that that the climate

activist nutcase is that what you guys

are doing Ming in the in the chat is

that what you're doing chat in the chat

meing about Greta Thorn B or whatever it

is I don't even know her name fly or at

least how to say it

um am miss all the narrative shift is it

fair to say that this election is

entirely about whether the working class

comes out or not if they come out Trump

wins if they stay home he goes to jail

it is overly simplistic to reduce

anything to this everything to this

I simple is usually better when you're

telling a story correct isn't it right

and I don't think that's

incorrect I don't know how because it's

more than just you know the working

class we normally see in the electorate

he has the potential to bring out a lot

more than that and then if he does yeah

it's curtains

curtains especially even if she was to

somehow pull off a miracle and uh beat

the polls in California and beat the

polls in New York and beat the polls in

the in the Battleground States right and

of course I New York would be a heavy

lift I mean getting closer to what

people are used to

um yeah I I I do think simple is better

but they don't view it I guess you could

leave the rest up to their imagination

you keep it simple I'm trying to shorten

my answer because I know we got a bunch

of super chats too but I think the bet

the more you can leave up to the their

you know imagination the better but

I don't know I don't know it's a it's a

good question it is a good I think

you're right and I would agree with you

on look if this group doesn't come out

Trump loses he goes to jail I just don't

think ends there I guess that's what I'm

struggling with Dan I don't think it

ends there Dan I think that I mean he

loses his supporters are going to jail

like they're it's going to be bad you

have to understand too this is a woman

who threw David deidan in jail for

simply using his you know

what no different right than they claim

in the media him using his right as a

journalist in a journalist capacity to

get very very unflattering things on

camera from Planned Parenthood leaders

and employees talking about the sales of

baby body parts instead of being

outraged against this illegal

monstrosity uh she went after

him so

I think it's just a little simple to say

hey couldn't we just do you know

uh it should it should be more you know

what I mean Dan people should think more

about the consequences of

it yeah it's not working I don't know

why but it's not

working usually it does my voice is

going already it's

unbelievable I'm just trying to make it

a a good hour and a half before this

happened to me again I'm having this

issue um usually that te Works um a

specific kind of te it's not

working uh yeah it is I do find it to be

rather sad that was a good question Dan

you know I just feel

like we you know I'm one who always says

that people are busy doesn't mean

they're stupid

I feel

like I feel like they can they can

handle all of that I guess is what I'm

trying to say and more instead of the

simplified dumb dumb down version of

it I guess I'm not talking about some

detailed conversation in an ad on TV you

know what I mean man himself could do it

better than the ad

can if they ever see it of course right

question for the Q&A Amit The Narrative

shifts is fair oh no that's right I

already did that okay can you share your

thoughts on the North Carolina Statewide

races and your predictions I how

weatherman is uh going to run away with

it Asal Dan Bishop Farley is good dude

he'll ride the coils there um Robinson

however there is no such thing as

reverse

coiles okay how badly Mark Robinson may

run in North Carolina against the

Democrat is not going to impact the

presidential race here I'm it's

not it's funny because up until this new

one in the modern era nobody would have

entertained

that

nobody all right I'm all right uh if

barnes's prediction of a trump plus 7

win in North Carolina's accurate I'd

expect a clean sweet thanks I got to

tell you I

think yeah it's

tough I don't know if I'd say

that I

mean yeah I don't know that I would

totally agree with that I think that

Mark Robinson has some real problems

here and I'm not saying it's fair that's

life you you

know

but yeah I just maybe it would have to

be more then again Cunningham right

Cooper even when he was running against

Forest right they he had some enormous

leads in the Maris pole and ended up

being about a four-point

race about six points off from Trump so

I guess the

tically but this is a scandal like he

didn't have any scandals

so you might expect Trump to have to run

a little bit stronger to bring him over

the Finish

Line if it's that bad for him I have a

lot of people basically telling me that

it's a nothing Burger to them and they

don't care and I'm tempted to believe

that because I do know the polling was

already bad for Robinson so I don't know

if that may you know certain things made

it

worse but yeah again I would point out

man look at what this says about

them they believe they were winning

already they decided to basically

politically murk a

guy definitely the state party State

Republican party I'm

saying oh I don't want to accuse anybody

of anything but all right uh again I I

would expect Trump probably needing a

bigger margin than in a typical cycle

typical year to pull the governor across

the finish line or the lieutenant

governor I'm sorry across the Finish

Line I really

do let time almost one day I'm gonna get

my stick my foot in my mouth let me tell

you con more and more finding myself

having to pull back something I want to

say and I know you guys are all good

with it but you know what you know how

this goes

right um

I'm trying to understand the question

here I think I know what you mean is it

possible movement toward Trump in some

left leaning poles and not others is due

in part to some of them reading the

early vote tea

leaves um

hm that's a good

question that's a good

question but if I understand you

correctly right because you're saying

they would basically be changing some of

something in the methodology based on

their Assumption of what the early vote

says right yeah I imagine

that uh okay

that's it's stuff I don't know I don't

know what to make of him Emerald um I've

been on her show several times you guys

know that I'm very friendly with her but

then again how well do you ever know

someone I don't know uh Curious to get

your Take On Em Robinson's assertions

that Scott Pressler and the GOP uh early

vote efforts are a scop to distract from

voter

fraud I it's total opposite

frankly right

you ever think

that uh this is just money you don't

have a

question come

on oh that's cool on point and by the

way I know I need to get back it's

obviously been very very crazy but i' i'

got to check out the Carter family

reaction to you I love watching Carter

family I remember um Laura and I found

the Carter family before like they

really had any of these subscribers on

social media I it was pretty fairly new

it was

cool yeah I mean that's a here we go

zidon

saram hey Rich I wanted to ask why are

Dems investing heavily in the

Pennsylvania Senate race if polls show

it's a blowout also why are they

spending in Florida and

Texas look it could be that they just

want to make Republicans expend money

defending some of these seats but in

truth Republicans are still kind of

being reactionary here with stuff like

this

um you know

um you don't spend the money I mean I

guess you

could no you don't spend the money on

Races that you're

so far ahead of right you don't come

Sweeping in with outside group money and

inside group money right you don't come

rushing in with that to save Bob Casey

because Bob Casey's name is still so

much of a political legend that he's

crushing Dave

McCormack just don't buy

it so we'll find out but we won't buy it

um always you know as I do I would just

say this always pay attention to what

they do not what they say what they do

all

right how excited should we and by that

I mean I think you mean you know Trump

voters early voters be about the

Virginia early vote data uh cautiously

optimistic it is still Virginia

nonetheless but it does show a little

you know basically what we have

suspected which is that

um certain things about new voters all

right and

also the I mean the advantage is

narrowed considerably right um okay

sorry I

I cautiously optimistic that's the short

answer Samuel are we seeing an uptick

and deregistration in traditionally red

counties and swing States uh like Clark

oh make sure that that is spelled when

you copy and paste that right okay um as

we are we seeing an uptick and D

registration in traditionally red

counties and swing States I.E Clark

County Ohio where Springfield where

these 10 to 20 million non-registered

citizenry are blue States taking most of

them the noncitizen issue was grossly

overblown grossly grossly overblown

which is why I kind of find it funny of

what you're telling me about Emerald

Robinson's recent reporting is true

which it does sound like it is from

David by the way

um because I think actually she's

reporting on a lot of stuff that is just

completely not helpful right now no

one's going to do anything about it so I

mean why would you spend your time it's

this tiny little Mindy part of the

population uh when you have so many

other voter targets that are you I don't

want to say legit all people are legit

but legal how about that legal another L

word all right um are blue States taking

most of them uh no you're I mean no I

don't I I don't think maybe I don't know

the total answer to that but I could

look it up but I'm going to go ahead and

say no they're they're not because I

know extreme

extremely right-wing areas or now

they're trumpling in areas where it does

look like they lost their damn mind a

little bit you know like

uh I mean 10 to 20 where are these

numbers coming from where are these 10

to 20 million non I

mean the media's been using I don't mean

to harp on this but just bear with me

for a second the media's been using this

10 to 13 Million number for illegals for

years we all know it's probably Clos to

like 30 honestly but I'm wondering where

this stuff is coming from from Emerald

that there's that that many uh being

registered to vote because it's not

there that's not supported at all I mean

every both sides have the data and both

sides would see this if that was the

case it's just not there so I and I do

look religiously at that stuff you

should spend and focus your attention

time and energy more if you're on the

right at getting out these people that

and I opened up the show with this

talking about 10x votes um because that

is how you win elections not you know

griping about a handful of legals who

may be on the voter roles or may you

know it's just not a huge huge [ __ ] deal

like it's the numbers aren't that big

so but it's a good question about where

they're

going I'm not sure there's an answer I'm

not sure Congress has that answer

despite trying to get it I'm not sure

they do right

all right I think that's just a man oh

no here we go we're seeing the New York

Times and Emerson poll more in line with

you and rasmon have they fixed their

methodology or are they still under

counting white workingclass voters we

shall

see we shall say that's a good question

I can't wait to get some new numbers

ourself and see where we're coming out

with um I think the New York Times too

was trying to get some people who uh

were underrepresented under founded in

2020 again especially with Trump on the

ballot um and that's why they take

interviews now with people who did not

complete the entire interview all right

because they drop at higher rates much

higher rates trumpers they drop at much

higher rates even if you don't know

their trumpers yet because they dropped

before you even got to that question

they demographically look like

them all right

so it's a good question and I guess

ultimately we shall find out in November

whether or not that that uh is the case

it's a good

question why do uh you tell someone

dooming that the Dems will register

infinite votes in the swing States what

do you tell someone dooming that the

Dems will register infinite votes in the

swing States okay that's a great

question that they don't have a correct

understanding of how elections work in

this country and in particular States

I'm sorry they just

don't they cannot register an infinite

amount we know roughly roughly um who is

and who is not how

well I'm not putting this exactly how I

want

to it is not an infinite pool it's not

it's a finite pool does it change year

to year of course cycle to cycle of

course and that's kind of like the role

of the pollster to figure that out uh

but this is a misconception that they

can just you know infinitely or or stuff

the box with you know an infinite number

wow there it is wow this is going to be

a bad one with an infinite number of

votes and that is just not the case uh

by the way I meant to say this anyone in

the path of the storm be careful we're

about to get it again um yeah you know

be careful all right that's all really

really good questions it is 127 already

wow that's stin

I guess I'm not going to get to that um

okay is what it is make sure I didn't

miss anybody ah Peppers where did Atlas

Intel come from been watching polls for

20 years never heard of it until last

month now they're everywhere and the

most accurate scoop plays um Atlas has

been around for uh several Cycles now

they're not super super old in US

markets uh but they have done a

phenomenal job and in truth

pains me to say it they were two t0 of a

percentage Point more accurate than big

data poll in

20120 as far as the national popular

vote I don't know that much about their

state polls so I know that they had been

or were going to maybe they did already

and it was Private you know done for a

private client but that they were going

to do some Battleground States here uh

they had Trump up and uh they had him up

out let's let's do the right thing which

they never do they had him up just

outside of the sampling era but Atlas

has done a very good job uh they do

International stuff as well not just

us-based all right that's a good

question though yeah they're totally

totally legit there's no doubt about it

welcome to new member Mark all

right

uh oh my goodness no I did not you got

to be kidding

me all right I'll come back to that one

okay hey Rich on a scale from one to

blatantly obvious how much do you think

the reason the feds are going after Eric

Adams has to do with them raising the

issue with the Border uh I'm sure we all

know the answer I'm sure we all do CW

you know I'm G to go with blatantly

obvious uh Laura and I were just talking

about this um

yeah we're just really talking about

this uh what yesterday during the day

was where lunch whatever it was maybe it

wasn't maybe it was two days no it was

it was yesterday

um anyone who jumps out of line

especially on that issue breaks with

them on that issue it's gonna have a

problem look at what's his name from

Texas's uh fifth congressional

district barely barely barely hold

on barely what do you think it's going

to do yeah so I mean right it's good all

right um just can't do it anymore just

killing

me all right locals uh stay

tuned I'll drop the questionnaire in the

chat State polls are not going to get

any questions that are related to

National events by the way just to let

you know so for inance

uh How likely do you think it is that

some agency in the US government uh

played a role in the attempt and

assassination of Donald Trump um how

much a great deal if they say of course

uh and then that's it done dunsky I

think that stap poll should be clean and

they shouldn't be injected with anything

else all right uh especially in this

environment

does John Deon have any chance against

Elizabeth

Warren he's no

Brown he's no

Brown no I really don't

no and I also don't think that Larry

Hogan is going to trounce his Democratic

opponent by 16 points I think that's

utterly insane I'm not even you I don't

even think he'll he'll carry it at all

I'm sorry I just don't too many votes in

Baltimore all right with that in mind I

really do have to go and shut up for a

little bit before I completely lose this

um but like I said keep an eye on locals

for the um questionnaire which we'll go

over uh we'll lean everything of course

we can uh in the National poll at least

can do like a kind of generic Senate

poll too a generic Senate ballot I guess

you could say um see if they're R

running nationally equally as far behind

I've seen other polls that suggests they

are but I would like to do it myself you

know how it is all right um yeah but

other than that I'm GNA rest my throat

and take it easy book club uh until we

get another book there is no book club

all right um so we have to figure out

what we're going to do here because I

don't like sitting idle by and missing

out on the Sundays I did get couple of

not uh two messages about their ability

to continue to meet on Sundays or at

least some Sundays many of them like

including some that are coming up um

we'll see I mean we'll see especially

during the election may be very

difficult to move this to a a week night

would be great would be great

um but so far minus those two I still

think that Sunday is everyone else's

best bet but we need something to read

period period and I'm working on all

right all right with that in mind I'm

going to leave you all and bid you all a

farewell ad do AO a day day right don't

forget if you like the videos to like

them share them far and wide uh the link

is in the description for the public

polling project also share it far and

wide contribute what you can right if

you're on Rumble it' be great if you

would just head on over to locals And

subscribe over there Peoples pant.

locals.com Peoples punding locals.com

you can even use the promo code that's

in YouTube Community if you're coming

from YouTube to get back the month that

you had initially spent uh on PayPal I

mean PayPal on uh YouTube if you want to

move over to locals all right all right

um that's about it I think that's just

about all and I will'll see you guys in

a little bit all right all the best have

a safe holiday I'm going to try to do

some myself maybe even get some rest

after I get done cutting another list

and I will uh it's almost we're almost

there it will happen before you know

it'll be here before you know it it's

already September 27th it's almost over

this thing's almost done and it will be

very interesting to see how fast Trump

closes that suff poll in Arizona is not

at all good news for her we can go back

and we can look and see what Arizona was

in 2020 oh my God bad news all right

guys I will see see you later thanks for

watching inside the numbers I will tell

Lori all say what's up and um be good

and remember

Deuces Deuces Deuces Deuces

[Music]

Deuces

uhoh looks like I read the

explanation what happened to the

site it's a good way to do it if you

don't want anyone to know how you did

it right right all right nothing but

love for you folks

[Music]

[Music]

on