RICO LEWIS 🙌 | EARLY TEAM THOUGHTS | GAMEWEEK 4 | Fantasy Premier League Tips 2024/25

Let's Talk FPL
3 Sept 202429:27

Summary

TLDRIn this FPL video, Andy discusses his early thoughts on team strategy during the international break, focusing on player choices and transfers. He reviews his current team, including the decision to keep Bruno Fernandes despite a slow start. Andy also considers the potential of players like Rico Lewis and OE Watkins, evaluates fixture runs, and contemplates the timing of a Wild Card. He provides insights on managing team rank fluctuations and making the most of upcoming gameweeks, offering a detailed analysis to help viewers enhance their FPL strategies.

Takeaways

  • 😀 The speaker, Andy, is discussing his early thoughts for Fantasy Premier League (FPL) gameweek four during the international break.
  • ⚽ Andy's current FPL rank is 2.1 million, which he considers an improvement from 4.4 million after gameweek one.
  • 🏟️ He advises not to panic about early season ranks and emphasizes that the situation can change quickly in FPL.
  • 🤔 Andy reflects on his team's performance, mentioning that while he made some mistakes, like having both Quanza and Barco, other choices like Bruno Fernandez were not terrible picks despite not yielding points.
  • 📈 He discusses the potential of using a wildcard around gameweek six and the strategy of when to bring in high-profile players like Salah and Haaland.
  • 🔄 Andy is considering transfers for his team, weighing the options of keeping or selling players like Fernandez, Rogers, and Smith Rowe based on upcoming fixtures and their form.
  • 🏆 He highlights the importance of the supporting cast around star players and how it can impact the overall FPL performance.
  • 📊 Andy provides insights on specific players like Rico Lewis, Ollie Watkins, and Ivan Toney, discussing their current form, fixtures, and potential for FPL points.
  • 📈 He mentions the potential of certain players like Lewis Dunk and Carney Chukwuemeka based on their recent performances and fixture runs.
  • 🏠 Andy suggests that home fixtures for certain players might be good opportunities for FPL points, citing examples like Everton at home for Calvert-Lewin.

Q & A

  • What is the main focus of Andy's discussion in this FPL video?

    -The main focus of Andy's discussion is his early thoughts and strategies ahead of gameweek four, including his current team status, key player analysis, and plans for the upcoming gameweeks.

  • What is the current rank of Andy's FPL team?

    -Andy's FPL team is currently ranked at 2.1 million, which he considers not ideal but an improvement from 4.4 million after game week 1.

  • What mistake does Andy acknowledge making in his team selection?

    -Andy acknowledges that a mistake in his team selection was having both Quanza and Barco, which forced him into a transfer due to their long-term minutes risks.

  • Which player did Andy bring in to replace Kungu and how did it work out?

    -Andy replaced Kungu with Robinson, which worked out well as Robinson scored 7 points in gameweek two and 4 points in gameweek three.

  • What is Andy's strategy regarding his Liverpool attack for gameweek four?

    -Andy is considering going without any Liverpool attack for gameweek four, as he doesn't have any Liverpool attackers with favorable fixtures.

  • What is the current price of Bruno Fernandes in Andy's FPL team?

    -Bruno Fernandes is currently priced at 8.4 million in Andy's FPL team.

  • What is the special offer mentioned by Andy for the Fantasy Football Hub during the international break?

    -During the international break, the Fantasy Football Hub is offering a 50% discount, and if you sign up and don't win your mini-league, you get your money back, subject to terms and conditions.

  • What is Andy's view on Rico Lewis's FPL prospects after the international break?

    -Andy believes that Rico Lewis's FPL prospects depend on whether he remains in the starting 11, especially for the Arsenal game, as Pep Guardiola could change the lineup.

  • What is the current price of João Pedro in FPL and what does Andy think about his value?

    -João Pedro is currently priced at 5.7 million in FPL. Andy considers him to be excellent value, especially if he continues to play 90 minutes or close to it and remains on penalties.

  • What is Andy's plan for the wildcard in his FPL team?

    -Andy is planning to wildcard in gameweek six, considering the fixture swings and the need for a reset in his team.

  • What advice does Andy give regarding the Everton team's FPL assets after their poor start?

    -Andy advises not to write off Everton's FPL assets despite their poor start, suggesting that their fixtures look good after the Villa away game and that players like Calvert-Lewin could still provide returns.

Outlines

00:00

😀 Early FPL Thoughts and Strategy

Andy discusses his early thoughts on Fantasy Premier League (FPL) ahead of gameweek four during an international break. He reviews his current team's performance, including mistakes and progress, and reassures viewers that early season rankings are not a cause for panic. He highlights his transfer strategy, focusing on bringing in players like Robinson and considering the use of a wild card. Andy also discusses the importance of not dwelling on past decisions and planning ahead, including the potential inclusion of Salah in his team.

05:00

🔍 In-Depth Player Analysis and Fixtures

In this segment, Andy provides an in-depth analysis of key players and their upcoming fixtures. He evaluates the performance of players like Bruno Fernandes and the potential of new signings. Andy discusses the strategy around players with difficult fixtures and the possibility of using free transfers to optimize team selection. He also considers the impact of injuries and the importance of monitoring player form and minutes played.

10:02

📈 Player Performance Review and Predictions

Andy reviews the performance of various players from game week three, focusing on their expected goals, assists, and overall contributions to FPL teams. He discusses the potential of players like Rico Lewis from Manchester City, considering his current form and fixtures. Andy also addresses the concerns around Owen Watkins' playing time and the opportunities for points from Everton's Calvert-Lewin, despite the team's poor start to the season.

15:04

🤔 FPL Strategy and Player Selection Considerations

Andy talks about FPL strategies, particularly focusing on player selection and the importance of supporting cast around key players like Haaland and Salah. He emphasizes that having a well-rounded team is crucial for success in FPL. Andy also discusses the potential of different player combinations and the impact of fixtures on decision-making, suggesting that patience and strategic planning are key to navigating the FPL season.

20:05

🏟️ Fixture-Wise Player Prospects and Team Selection

Andy delves into the prospects of various players based on their upcoming fixtures, discussing the potential for points and the strategic considerations for FPL managers. He covers players from different teams, evaluating their form, fixture difficulty, and the likelihood of them delivering returns for FPL teams. Andy also provides advice on when to bring in or drop players based on their fixture schedules and the overall team dynamics.

25:06

📊 Final Thoughts on Gameweek Four and Beyond

In the final part of the script, Andy wraps up his thoughts on gameweek four and beyond. He summarizes his strategy, including potential transfers and the use of a wild card. Andy also shares his views on the upcoming fixtures and the importance of staying flexible and adaptable in FPL. He encourages viewers to keep an eye on player form and to make informed decisions based on the latest team news and performance data.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡FPL

FPL stands for Fantasy Premier League, which is a fantasy football game where participants create their own virtual teams, selecting real-life players who score points based on their performance in actual Premier League matches. In the video, the speaker discusses strategies and player selections for the FPL, indicating its centrality to the video's theme.

💡International Break

An international break refers to a pause in the domestic football schedule to allow national teams to play matches. The speaker mentions this as a reason for discussing FPL strategies early, highlighting the break's impact on the timing of FPL gameweeks and decision-making.

💡Wildcard

In the context of FPL, a Wildcard is a chip that allows a manager to make unlimited transfers for one gameweek without any transfer points being deducted. The speaker contemplates using a Wildcard, illustrating its importance as a strategic element in FPL management.

💡Fixtures

Fixtures are the scheduled matches in a football league. The video discusses upcoming fixtures for various teams, emphasizing their significance in FPL strategy as they influence player selection and transfer decisions based on expected performance.

💡Clean Sheets

A clean sheet in football is when a team does not concede any goals in a match. The term is used in the video when discussing goalkeeper and defender performances, which are crucial for FPL points as they can earn bonus points for keeping opponents from scoring.

💡Captain

Choosing the captain in FPL doubles the points scored by the selected player for that gameweek. The speaker mentions selecting a captain, indicating the strategic importance of this decision, as it can significantly impact the overall FPL score.

💡Transfers

Transfers in FPL refer to the process of changing players in a team's lineup. The video discusses various transfer scenarios and decisions, demonstrating how they are a fundamental part of FPL gameplay and strategy.

💡Supporting Cast

The supporting cast refers to the other players in a team that complement the star players. The speaker uses this term to discuss the importance of having a well-rounded team in FPL, not just relying on top-tier players but also considering those who contribute valuable points.

💡Price Rises

In FPL, a player's value can increase based on their performance, leading to price rises. The video mentions capitalizing on early price rises, showing the strategy of buying undervalued players to benefit from their increased value as the season progresses.

💡Expected Goals (xG)

Expected goals (xG) is a statistic that estimates the likelihood of a shot becoming a goal. The speaker references xG to evaluate a player's potential for scoring, indicating its use in FPL to assess a player's future performance and value.

💡Ownership Percentage

Ownership percentage in FPL refers to the proportion of managers who have a particular player in their team. The video discusses the strategic implications of having differential picks with lower ownership, which can be beneficial if those players perform well.

Highlights

Introduction to FPL video discussing early thoughts for gameweek four.

Mention of the international break and its impact on team selections.

Discussion on the importance of not panicking about early season rankings.

Analysis of the speaker's own FPL team performance and strategy.

Reflection on the decision to include Bruno Fernandes in the team.

Explanation of the mistake made with the selection of Quanza and Barco.

Positive outcome of bringing in Robinson and Kungu despite initial doubts.

Emphasis on the potential for significant rank improvement over the next few weeks.

Consideration of the wildcard strategy and its timing in relation to gameweeks.

Deliberation over whether to include Salah in the team and the associated transfer strategy.

Discussion on the performance and potential of key players like Rico Lewis and OE Watkins.

Insight into the fixture runs and their influence on player selection for FPL.

Strategic planning for gameweek four and beyond without a wildcard.

Analysis of the potential of players like Calvert-Lewin and their role in the team.

Final thoughts on the team setup and plans for the upcoming gameweeks.

Transcripts

play00:03

what is going on everyone my name is

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Andy welcome back to another FPL video

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in this one it's some of my early

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thoughts ahead of the gameweek four

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deadline in this case very early

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thoughts because we're in an

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international break so I'm going to go

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through my current thinking with my own

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team then look at some key players and

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then go through some notes from the

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weekend as well so if you enjoyed the

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video make sure to give it a like and

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hit that subscribe button and don't

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forget to check out fantasy football Hub

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over the international break they've

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still got 50% off at the moment loads of

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tools over there to help you do better

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at FPL and if you do sign up and don't

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win your Min League you will get your

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money back terms and conditions do apply

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for that all the links you need are in

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the description below otherwise let's

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get into the video so I thought I'd

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start by talking about my own team which

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I don't usually do in this particular

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video but given that we're in an

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international break in the team

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selections not until next week I thought

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I'd run through my current thoughts on

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how things have gone so far and what

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things look like moving forward

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including thoughts around wild card and

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stuff like that for my particular team

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so I'm currently s 2.1 million which is

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not ideal but it is up from 4.4 million

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after game week 1 so there is some

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progress there and this early on in the

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season I really wouldn't get too down

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about where your overall rank is

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obviously if you're in like the top 100K

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already top 50k top 10K Happy Days right

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you should absolutely celebrate that but

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anyone that's much lower it's really not

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a panic things can change pretty quickly

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so I think I'm doing okay if I look back

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at my team from game week one I don't

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think I made a huge amount of mistakes

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like people might say you shouldn't have

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had Bruno Fernandez fair enough

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obviously I wish I'd gone elsewhere but

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I don't think he was a terrible pick I

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think the big mistake which I spoke

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about before was having both Quanza and

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Barco and going for two long-term

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minutes risks I should have just had one

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and that obviously forced me into a

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transfer but bringing Robinson in has

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worked really well seven points in

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gameweek two and then four points in

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game week three and obviously then I

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realized in kungu was a mistake as well

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he wasn't starting so he went for Smith

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row which hasn't gone great but I got 81

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points in in gameweek 3 and and that's

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okay especially considering I didn't

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have any Liverpool attack so no Diaz No

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J obviously he blanked I I get that but

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he did it all right in the first two

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weeks and no Salah either so maybe this

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is pure copium right as the kids say but

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I actually think things aren't as bad as

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they maybe look and that overall rank

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will hopefully improve significantly

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over the next kind of five to 10 weeks

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and looking at my gameweek four Squad

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I'm in a pretty good position apart from

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the fact once again I don't have any

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Liverpool attack for Forest at home or

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Bournemouth at home in gameweek five but

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I've got Henderson in goal Leicester at

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home no clean sheets yet for Crystal

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Palace but he got a four-pointer against

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Chelsea and Lester at home is a really

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good fixture so I'm not really in a

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panic about moving him on just yet and

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also I think it's Man United at home in

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game week five so back to back home

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games ahead of uh gameweek six then

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conza Everton at home Robinson West Ham

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at home and Trent against Forest at home

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that looks okay I don't have an Arsenal

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Defender but I'm not particularly

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worried about that now because they got

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Spurs away man city away it would be

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nice to have a second Liverpool defender

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or maybe like aario or Rico Lewis but in

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terms of the fixtures my Defenders have

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got this week I think they look all

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right then Midfield obviously E's got

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his goal so people will be a bit calmer

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about him now I was never going to sell

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him before Leicester at home anyway even

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if he blanked against Chelsea I would

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have had him for gameweek four looks

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like a really nice fixture Bruno fern

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has obviously been frustrating and more

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so not that he's blanked three times but

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that he started at 8.5 million and he's

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obviously dropped to 8.4 so not only is

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he not getting me points but he's also

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taking up quite a bit of my budget like

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apart from harand and sacka and ISAC he

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he's the most expensive player in my

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team like the fourth most expensive and

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not got any returns but it's Southampton

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away and I think one thing that I will

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do with my team and my my choices is try

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although I do find it difficult at times

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try not to focus on what's gone so we

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can all look back and say you shouldn't

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have gone for Fernandez in game week one

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absolutely fair but no one's got a time

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machine that I can go back and change

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that all that matters now is going

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forward do I want him on a wild card no

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but am I in a position where I've got to

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get rid of him before Southampton away

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not really even Bruno Fernandez can

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return in a fixture like that and I

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think the thing that's playing on my

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mind is I've only got one transfer so

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I've really got to make a key decision

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about whether or not to get Salah now

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I'm not going to take a hit to bring him

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in this week because I don't want to

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sell Harlem before brenford at home

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sacka against Spurs away is fine but in

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gameweek five I could use two free

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transfers to get him in and so that

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means going without any other Liverpool

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attack this week and holding because

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I've only got one free transfer and then

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rolling that to two next week so the

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reality is unless I end up wild carding

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and I'm going to show you the team in a

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second for that Fernandez has to stay

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sacka is in like I said then my only

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other decision really is Rogers versus

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Smith row Rogers got Everton at home

play05:00

which definitely looks like a better

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fixture right now than West Ham at home

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for Smith row and Rogers keeps playing

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90 minutes whereas Smith row doesn't but

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I'm not I think Rogers around Champions

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League might have his minutes reduced

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Duran's playing well could Watkins and

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Duran play at the same time would Rogers

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then come out of the team there's a few

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question marks there I think with the

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injury to Bailey Rogers minutes are

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probably going to be okay uh but Smith

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Road just feels to me like the one

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that's going to get more returns this

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season so that's a decision to be made

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closer to the deadline right now I'm

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playing Rogers I might switch that Xiao

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Pedro great keeps playing 90 minutes

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he's on penalties great fix rips which

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are home harand Easy Choice to be my

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captain this week and then I've still

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got isak against wolves away I was not

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impressed for Newcastle against Spurs

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but he got his go wolves away is a good

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fixture so I look at that team and look

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would I be happy with that from gameweek

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six onwards no I'd probably want fleen

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I'd want in I would want to get more

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Arsenal players in I've only got sack

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I'd want probably a double up or a

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triple up from gameweek six but right

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now they're all things that can wait

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because Arsenal have got City sorry

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Spurs away then City away and Burma's

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got the opposite Man City away then

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Spurs away there's no rush to get these

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players in and if I compare this to the

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the Wild Card draft that I came up with

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yesterday with Haren and Salah the the

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main changes to the team so I've still

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got Conor and Robinson so that hasn't

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changed I've got Robertson instead of

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Trent and I think Robertson's really

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good value at 6 million compared to

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Trent but there's no need to Wild Card

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just to get rid of Trent right and have

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a different Liverpool Defender dunk is

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in so it's a back four and then I've got

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Mina in Midfield and I've still got e

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and sackers so essentially if I can just

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quickly work this out instead of Rogers

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and

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Fernandez and isak so yeah Rogers

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Fernandez and isak I've got Salah Mina

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and Lewis dunk now the fact that salah's

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in might be reason enough to Wild car

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but for me it's just not enough and like

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it's great that I've got in Burma and

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fleen ready for game we six but I don't

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need them till game week six so I can I

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don't think it's right for me to Wild

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Card I think I've just got to see it out

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with this team and hope that Liverpool

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attack doesn't punish me too much this

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week which it absolutely could but I

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feel okay about the way things are set

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up like I just having isak instead of

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Lewis dunk feels right I think Lewis

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dunk is great for the next two because

play07:20

of the fixtures Brighton have got but

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that is not a reason a wild card and

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also I've said this before I think from

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game week six when Arsenal do have um

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Leicester at home and Southampton at

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home back to back and then bourma for

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waven a good fixture like that's a bit

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of an

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awkward time without a wild card

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especially for my team if I use

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transfers to get Liverpool players in

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now i' then got to use more transfers

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from gameweek six to get Arsenal players

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in and I think I just need a reset with

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the wild card and I think for my team it

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just makes more sense to go in gameweek

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six so my current plan would be to go

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without Liverpool attack this week and

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then in game week five I've got two

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options I could do Harland out before he

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plays Arsenal at home which given how

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he's currently playing I'm not sure I

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will do that but I could do it for

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something like Watkins or salanki and

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then I'd have 7.2 million to

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spend on a replacement in Midfield for

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Salah so it could even be like Smith row

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I think I can afford yeah Smith row up

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to Salah it would probably actually be

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for saaka because he's playing Man City

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away in gameweek five but basically I

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can get salarin in two moves

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the other option would be to do Bruno

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Fernandez out in gameweek five for

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someone like

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Mina who's got uh Forest at home so put

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him in and then sell sacka and I'd have

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13.9 million in the bank so I got more

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than enough money to do this and then

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get salar in that way and then just keep

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Harland so if I don't make a move this

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week I can get salar in in game week

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five and then he would be my captain

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because I think in gameweek five I don't

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really want to Captain harand like it's

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not that he's terrible against Arsenal

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but Arsenal defense is great whereas

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Liverpool got Bournemouth at home so

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that's probably going to be my current

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plan to roll the transfer this week to

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give me the option to bring in Salah in

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two moves and then Captain him and then

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in game week six I'm going to Wild Card

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this is the current plan anyway and then

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decide what to do about Salah and right

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now I think I'm going to go without him

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and just go for three Arsenal harand and

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just spread the money around a little

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bit I may well change my mind but I

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think that is the current plan the other

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option would be to forget about Salah

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and just use a transfer this week and

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next week so I could bring in like I've

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got a million in the bank so I could do

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like Pedro parro to Robertson and double

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up on the Liverpool defense and then in

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gameweek five take out one of my

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midfielders maybe sacka before he plays

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Man City away and then bring in like a

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jotter or someone or LS Diaz so I could

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do that and triple up on Liverpool with

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two fre transfers but I feel like in

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game week five I want to nail the

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captain SE and that's just an easy Salah

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move so

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things haven't gone great so far 2.1

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million rank but I'm I'm confident

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enough in the plan as long as I don't

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get massively punished by salad this

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week but I think it's worth noting as

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well what I'm on a little bit of a

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ramble about

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teams there's people out there that you

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know there's there's loads of different

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combinations right some people have got

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both harand and Salah they've had that

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since the start some have only got Salah

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some have only got Harland and plenty of

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those people are just doing well no

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matter which combination they've got so

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I know right now everyone is looking at

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you have to have Harden and Salah

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there'd be plenty of people out there

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doing much better than me that have only

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got one and that that one might not be

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Harden there's people with saleron since

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game week one that are ahead of me

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because The Supporting Cast I saw

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someone say that the other day I can't

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remember who it was The Supporting Cast

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to players around them really matters

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and if you nail it it doesn't matter if

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you've both if you've got both Harden

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and Salah if you can have Harden and

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Salah and nail everyone else as well

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then okay even better but you've got

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less money to do that so I think if I

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was wild card in four like I said

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yesterday I would probably have both

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because it feels crazy to go without

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Harland and the fixures right in front

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of Liverpool are really good but long

play11:08

term I'm still not convinced that that

play11:10

will be the way to go and I guess I'll

play11:12

have to make that decision in uh sorry

play11:14

on Wild Card 6 I just look at my team I

play11:16

don't think I can get through the next

play11:18

few weeks without wild card and I've

play11:20

just got to have a reset at some point

play11:22

and I think Wild Card six is probably

play11:23

the way to go but I've rambled enough on

play11:24

my team let's get on to some key players

play11:26

from game week three all right let's

play11:28

talk about Rico Lewis who's gone from

play11:29

4.5 to 4.6 million after playing 90

play11:32

minutes in every single man city game so

play11:34

far and his expected gos per 90 is 0.25

play11:38

which is really good for a Defender the

play11:39

positions he's picking up means there is

play11:41

some goal threat there and he's the kind

play11:43

of Defender that if you're watching a

play11:45

game and thinking about FPL you know if

play11:47

he remains in the 11 a big score is

play11:49

coming there's going to be a match where

play11:50

he gets the clean sheet and then a goal

play11:52

Andor an assist plus the bonus two and

play11:55

then his price just absolutely

play11:57

skyrockets now

play11:59

personally as someone who's thinking

play12:01

about wild carding in game week six I

play12:03

feel like this decision can wait a

play12:04

little bit longer if you're not doing

play12:07

that you're wild carding this week then

play12:08

it might just be worth going for him for

play12:10

a punt but I think and maybe this is

play12:13

oversimplifying it a little bit the

play12:14

Arsenal game for me is key does he

play12:17

remain in the 11 or does Pep Guardiola

play12:18

go back to KL Walker and if that happens

play12:22

then I'm a little bit more worried about

play12:23

Rico Lewis's minutes going forward it

play12:26

might be that kalker just comes in for

play12:28

the more difficult game and Rico Lewis

play12:30

plays the easier ones but it doesn't

play12:31

tend to work like that under Pep

play12:33

Guardiola like it doesn't always work

play12:35

like that anyway it might be that K

play12:37

Walker comes in because Arsenal was seen

play12:38

as a tougher game then he stays in for

play12:40

Newcastle way and then because he's

play12:42

playing well he's just in the team for

play12:43

Fulham at home now I do think based on

play12:45

what we've seen so far we should expect

play12:47

Rico Lewis to play way more minutes this

play12:49

season than he has in previous ones and

play12:51

maybe this is the breakout season for

play12:53

him but I still don't know if I would

play12:55

guarantee that and I kind of see it as

play12:58

worst caseen Ario he absolutely meah

play13:01

Halls against brenford at home I'm not

play13:03

particularly worried about bringing him

play13:04

in for the Arsenal game and his price

play13:06

goes from 4.6 to what maybe like 5

play13:09

million over two game weeks but even

play13:11

that is unlikely I would say and I if I

play13:13

have to pick up a man city Defender

play13:15

who's is attacking his ears for 5

play13:17

million that is still a great price to

play13:19

pay obviously you want to get on players

play13:21

early and ride those price Rises but you

play13:23

can't do that for every player so for me

play13:26

I'm still happy to wait and see what

play13:28

happens in the Arsenal game in

play13:30

particular but I think because of his

play13:33

price and it being so low I would not

play13:35

argue against anyone that wants to put

play13:37

him in the team if you're going to ask

play13:39

me is he now absolutely safe which many

play13:41

people have done over the last couple of

play13:42

games I cannot guarantee that right man

play13:45

city just have so many options and Pep

play13:46

Guardiola could change it at any point

play13:48

and I still think as bad as Kyle Walker

play13:52

might have been at times over the last

play13:53

kind of season I do think like he's not

play13:55

quite the player he was he's still going

play13:58

to be super useful to pep and pep will

play13:59

want to use him for a variety of reasons

play14:01

one being his recovery Pace right and he

play14:04

has been great for Man City over the

play14:05

years so I just don't think I can say

play14:07

that it's safe but there is signs and

play14:10

the amount that Rico Lewis is being

play14:11

taught up that he is going to get way

play14:13

more minutes this year and it might even

play14:15

be a case of you take the old

play14:16

substitution it's a 4.6 Million Man City

play14:19

Defender I really don't hate it as an

play14:20

option especially if he's your fifth

play14:22

Defender so looking good played 90

play14:25

minutes in every game so far really good

play14:26

chance he starts again against brenford

play14:28

I would say after that we'll have to

play14:30

wait and see but for the money I get why

play14:33

people want to punt it and I would not

play14:34

argue against it so I feel like we got

play14:36

to talk about OE Watkins every week at

play14:38

the moment another game for him at the

play14:39

weekend another early substitution this

play14:41

time we only got 60 Minutes against

play14:43

Leicester which is extremely frustrating

play14:44

if you bought him in or you've had him

play14:46

since game week one the good news is

play14:49

that the expectation should probably be

play14:51

that his minutes will go up after the

play14:52

international break they're definitely

play14:54

not going to get any worse I guess they

play14:55

could stay the same but I would expect

play14:57

them to increase as he starts building

play14:59

up his Fitness and also his numbers so

play15:01

far I know he's only got one assist but

play15:04

0.75 expected guards per 90 is decent

play15:06

now it's not going to stay at that

play15:08

number but it shows that he's getting

play15:10

the chances in the limited amount of

play15:12

time that he's getting and also the

play15:14

fixture run ahead of him is great

play15:16

Everton at home Wolves at home IP switch

play15:18

away and man united at home so three

play15:20

home games next four the away games

play15:22

against a newly promoted side and even

play15:23

after that follow him away and B for

play15:25

home so if he can find some form and

play15:27

start playing more minutes

play15:29

he's a great long-term hold and if you

play15:31

haven't already bought him he's only 8.9

play15:33

million if you've already got him in

play15:35

your team I think you've got to keep but

play15:38

I just wouldn't downgrade him to like an

play15:40

eak or havit or anyone like that not

play15:42

with the fixures they've got ahead of

play15:43

them you could go down a lot more like

play15:46

to aiao Pedro and use that money

play15:47

elsewhere that might not be a bad move

play15:49

but it just doesn't feel right if you're

play15:51

already an owner of Watkins to sell him

play15:53

before Everton at home who have conceded

play15:55

load so far then Wolves at home and nip

play15:58

switch away they just feels crazy to me

play16:00

and I'm not saying that if I was wild

play16:02

carding this we this week I would

play16:04

guaranteed to have him in my sight cuz I

play16:05

probably wouldn't to be honest with you

play16:07

so there is some doubts there in my mind

play16:10

but I think if you've got him it's a

play16:11

different conversation and you've

play16:12

probably got to keep should you transfer

play16:14

him in this week I still don't think

play16:17

it's necessarily a bad move but I'd

play16:20

really want to hear more from unai Emory

play16:22

to find out what's going to go on with

play16:23

the minutes does he expect them to go up

play16:25

like Duran keeps coming off the bench

play16:27

and playing well I've seen a couple of

play16:28

people touting that they reckon that

play16:30

Watkins and Duran at some point might

play16:32

play together and obviously that would

play16:34

be a good thing for Watkins overall

play16:36

because then there's one less player to

play16:37

sub on for

play16:38

him but I'm not sure if that's going to

play16:40

happen the one thing I will say is I've

play16:42

got no doubts about Watkins continuing

play16:44

to start like he is their main man up

play16:46

front I don't think that's going to

play16:47

change I think Uno emry will want to

play16:49

play him into that form and play him so

play16:51

he can start playing more minutes every

play16:54

single game I think there is a slight

play16:55

worry that his minutes come down a

play16:58

little bit compared to last year because

play16:59

of Champions League and stuff like that

play17:00

cuz he'll be wanted in those games for

play17:02

sure but he's still someone that's going

play17:04

to play like every game in the league I

play17:06

just don't see that changing so if

play17:08

you've got him I think he's a pretty

play17:10

easy hold if you're on wild card it

play17:12

really depends on whether you want both

play17:13

Harden and Salah if you don't then you

play17:15

can probably fit Watkins in if you do

play17:17

you probably can and to buy him I don't

play17:20

hate it but I think similar to what I

play17:21

said in gameweek three I'm not sure i'

play17:24

would be rushing out and doing it I said

play17:25

in game week three if I had isach for

play17:27

example I wouldn't sell to Watkins I

play17:29

would wait until after the international

play17:30

break because of the earlier

play17:32

subs and I think Everton at home is

play17:34

definitely better than wolves away which

play17:35

is what isach has got in game week four

play17:38

but I still don't know if there's a rush

play17:39

to do it again isak's guaranteed to be

play17:41

on penalties his minutes are much better

play17:44

I'd almost want to wait and see the

play17:46

Watkins it's not even about him scoring

play17:47

it's about him just playing more I want

play17:49

him to start playing 80 minutes plus

play17:50

before I'd rush to get him so I don't

play17:52

mind buying him this week the fixure run

play17:54

is

play17:55

incredible but most people probably got

play17:57

forward they don't need to prioritize

play17:59

selling I would say so as I think most

play18:01

of us expected ahead of Southampton at

play18:02

home in gameweek three Brian in Burma is

play18:05

a really good FPL pick and from game

play18:07

week six onwards when the fixture swing

play18:09

for brenford everybody is going to want

play18:10

to buy him 7.1 million is such a good

play18:13

price for a player that always plays the

play18:15

minutes are fantastic the stats are good

play18:17

as well so far this season 0.3 non Peno

play18:20

expected goals per 90 .26 expected

play18:23

assist and without Ivan Tony he's on

play18:25

penalties and I don't think that

play18:27

brenford losing Tony will have that much

play18:29

of an impact when he was out last year

play18:31

they did pretty well for quite a lot of

play18:33

the games and obviously long term they

play18:35

got Thiago to come in as well so from

play18:37

gameweek six when you got West Ham at

play18:39

home Wolves at home man united away ips

play18:41

switch at home that is probably the time

play18:43

to look at someone like in Burma even

play18:45

after that I just bring out the fixures

play18:47

here spoke about this on the Wild Card

play18:49

video yesterday Fulham away Bournemouth

play18:51

for home Everton away Leicester at home

play18:53

Villa away Newcastle at home even

play18:55

Chelsea away is a bit difficult in

play18:57

December now I'm looking at then you got

play18:59

Forest at home like I think he's so good

play19:01

that if I put him in in game week six

play19:04

and he's fit and available I'm probably

play19:05

not thinking about taking him out until

play19:07

after gameweek 17 like he's just I like

play19:10

he would just be that consistent um of

play19:12

an option and even if he starts blanking

play19:15

you know he's got the fixtures to at

play19:16

some point turn that around the only

play19:18

debate really is when do you bring him

play19:20

in um I think for most people if we're

play19:22

forgetting wild cards for a second you

play19:24

could make a case to bring him in in

play19:25

gameweek five if you need to make a

play19:27

Midfield transfer Spurs away is not that

play19:29

bad but ultimately most people now you

play19:31

should just wait until game week six

play19:32

like could he score against Man City

play19:34

away of course it's a tough game there's

play19:36

no need to go out of your way to bring

play19:37

him in six onwards is when you really

play19:39

need him if I was wild card in this week

play19:41

I would definitely include him I would

play19:43

over include him straight away and you

play19:46

could even play him this week if you

play19:47

needed to or I would have a plan to

play19:49

bring him in in game week six so perhaps

play19:50

for some of you with more money or you

play19:52

want to restructure your squad you could

play19:54

put a Liverpool midfielder in like J or

play19:56

Diaz and then move to urmo lat on but

play19:59

either way he he's just got to come in

play20:00

soon as long as he stays fit and

play20:02

available all right let's talk about

play20:03

Dominic cber Le next a goal and assist

play20:05

at the weekend against Bournemouth and

play20:07

his price has actually already dropped

play20:08

this season so he's now 5.9 million down

play20:11

from 6 million and he's a massive

play20:13

differential at 1.7% ownership now I

play20:16

talked about him briefly in one of the

play20:18

Wild Card drafts that I put up yesterday

play20:21

and as expected the comments around him

play20:22

were not that flattering as an FPL pick

play20:24

but I think he is a little bit

play20:26

underrated if you think that he's going

play20:27

to continue to start and if he can stay

play20:30

fit and that is the key thing for him

play20:31

because he has had some issues over the

play20:33

last few seasons like last year he

play20:35

started 26 times and played over 2,000

play20:38

minutes but that's the first time he's

play20:39

played over 2,000 minutes since the 2020

play20:42

21 season there's maybe a bit of a

play20:44

concern there but last year definitely

play20:47

looks a little bit more encouraging it

play20:49

was seven goals from

play20:51

12.86 expected goals and only two goals

play20:54

from 5.9 XG the season before that so

play20:56

his finishing is maybe not quite up to

play20:58

where where it should be but I also

play21:00

think he can do better than that and if

play21:02

he keeps playing he will get chances now

play21:04

so far this season his numbers are not

play21:06

great not .14 expected goals per 90 .16

play21:10

expected assists there's Defenders with

play21:12

probably better numbers than that but I

play21:14

think we should also remember that

play21:15

Everton played Brighton at home in the

play21:17

first game which is not going to be easy

play21:19

although it is a home game they probably

play21:20

should have done better than 3-0 but

play21:21

eventually they were down to 10 men Etc

play21:24

and then Spurs away wasn't going to be

play21:25

easy either and then you play bourma for

play21:27

home a bit better and that's where he's

play21:29

got his attack and returns from and his

play21:31

underly numbers were a little bit better

play21:33

in that game as well so I think we

play21:34

should see some improvement and the

play21:36

fixtures are good for Everton I know

play21:38

they've started the season really badly

play21:40

and giving up a two-goal lead against

play21:42

Bournemouth is not going to be a morale

play21:43

booster right it's going to be the

play21:45

complete opposite but after Villa away

play21:48

it's then Leicester away in five Palace

play21:49

at home in six Newcastle at home in

play21:52

seven IP switch away in eight will m

play21:54

home in nine Southampton away in 10 it

play21:56

looks pretty good I'm not saying you

play21:57

rush out and go and get him in for Villa

play21:59

away that's not going to be easy but

play22:01

after that there's some winnable games

play22:02

in there for Everton and again like FPL

play22:05

points and overall rank things can

play22:06

change quickly in the Premier League

play22:08

like people writing Everton off as

play22:10

relegation candidates I'm sure they'll

play22:12

be down there fighting I'm not saying

play22:13

they're going to be top half or anything

play22:14

like that but I think they're better

play22:16

than what they've shown so far and if

play22:18

carot Leen keeps being in that 11 and

play22:21

can stay fit he will get chances in

play22:23

these games and presumably he's still on

play22:24

penalties as well so I was asked about

play22:27

him in preseason I think it was him Min

play22:29

and Chris Wood how would I rank them and

play22:31

I said I quite like C Leen but he would

play22:33

be the third choice out of them well

play22:35

he's already outscoring Min and going

play22:37

forward he's probably got better fixures

play22:38

overall over the next kind of eight to

play22:40

10 game weeks and at that price I don't

play22:42

mind him again not a player to rush out

play22:44

and buy but if you're on wild card and

play22:47

you want to set up with a twoo cheap

play22:49

forward

play22:50

strategy look don't get me wrong Chris

play22:52

Wood keeps scoring Jia Pedro looks great

play22:55

there's other options but I wouldn't

play22:57

completely write Cal luin off as as one

play23:00

of those but personally I'd probably

play23:02

rather wait and see what happens over

play23:03

the next game week or two especially

play23:05

with those away games make sure that

play23:07

he's still getting good minutes and see

play23:09

how Everton kind of turn it around also

play23:11

by the way just really quickly on the

play23:12

relegation thing doesn't necessarily

play23:14

matter right obviously Everton fans is

play23:17

huge for them but from an FPL point of

play23:18

view you only care about the points

play23:20

scored like look Everton lost 3-2 to

play23:22

Bournemouth the calv lein owners care he

play23:25

got gold and assist right so he's still

play23:26

going to get returns even if they are

play23:29

down there fighting especially with the

play23:30

fixtures they've got coming up so I

play23:32

quite like him I'm not putting him in my

play23:33

team anytime soon or anything like that

play23:35

but you never know eventually gameweek

play23:37

six Wild Card back toback home games

play23:39

then it which away full them at home

play23:40

I'll consider it and then I've just got

play23:42

some notes from the weekend so for

play23:43

Newcastle both Barnes and Gordon started

play23:45

the game it was Jacob Murphy that came

play23:47

out of the 11 and I think that was

play23:48

always quite likely to happen at some

play23:50

stage and the interesting thing is and

play23:53

he got the goal at the weekend as well

play23:54

against Spurs Harvey Barnes is only 6.4

play23:57

million and when they both play together

play23:59

him and Gordon Barnes is always on the

play24:01

left pretty much anyway and that's his

play24:03

favorite position so 64 6.4 million is

play24:06

not a bad price the only thing to say is

play24:09

it probably not the greatest time to buy

play24:11

Newcastle players like Wolves Away and

play24:13

ful away is okay but they're both away

play24:15

games and then you got Man City at home

play24:17

in six you know even looking a bit

play24:19

longer term Chelsea away in nine Arsenal

play24:21

at home even game week Seven's another

play24:24

away game against Everton so I think

play24:26

Barnes is one to keep an eye on at that

play24:28

price but I probably wouldn't go out and

play24:29

buy him right now unless you're

play24:31

desperate for a new midfielder it's not

play24:34

necessarily great for Gordon when Barnes

play24:36

comes in because he gets moved over to

play24:37

the right and like Barnes his best

play24:39

position is on the left but I just think

play24:42

I would see it as a positive that Gordon

play24:44

is just that nailed on that even when

play24:46

someone comes in in his position he

play24:47

still plays so if I had Gordon I would

play24:49

probably still be looking to hold on to

play24:51

him even though he's dropped in price to

play24:53

7.4 I think Gordon's one of those

play24:55

players that it's fine to sell if you

play24:56

want to but really and I know I say this

play24:59

about a lot of players not really a rush

play25:00

to do it I still think Gordon's pretty

play25:02

pretty great Xiao Pedro I already

play25:04

mentioned played 90 minutes again he's

play25:06

looking like incredible value and after

play25:09

the next two game weeks the fixtures for

play25:11

Brighton are not fantastic like from

play25:13

game week six onwards it's Chelsea away

play25:15

Spurs at home Newcastle away but

play25:17

honestly if I've got well I got him for

play25:19

5.5 he's now 5.7 if he keeps playing 90

play25:22

minutes or close to every game and he's

play25:24

on penalties I'm just keeping him

play25:26

through those bad fixtures and he's the

play25:28

the kind of player you can just hold on

play25:29

to for a long time like he's just

play25:31

excellent value and probably looking

play25:32

like The Pick of the cheap forwards at

play25:34

the moment Lewis Hall benched again look

play25:38

if he's like your fourth or fifth

play25:39

Defender you don't need to rely on him

play25:41

fair enough you could just keep hold of

play25:42

him but long term he's not an option

play25:43

newcast got too many options that can

play25:45

play left back even if trippier comes in

play25:47

at some point livero can also play there

play25:49

as well seeno three returns in three

play25:52

looks like a pretty good option around

play25:53

the 5.5 million price I think he's gone

play25:56

up to 5.6 now um if I just bring him up

play25:59

here oh sorry not not Forest he's a

play26:01

Bournemouth player let me get the right

play26:03

team they've got Chelsea at home

play26:05

Liverpool away next to the problem with

play26:07

Bournemouth is the fixures just aren't

play26:09

good like a long stretch of games for a

play26:12

while you know like I just spoke about

play26:13

calv Le and Everton theyve got a really

play26:15

good stretch of games whereas for

play26:17

Bournemouth it's Chelsea at home

play26:18

Liverpool way which is it's not even

play26:21

fine it's just about okayish because

play26:24

seenu is only 5.6 but it ain't great

play26:27

then it's have at home in leester away

play26:29

which is really nice but then it's

play26:31

Arsenal at home Villa City at home which

play26:33

is not great again now I think

play26:36

for when people Wild Card you've

play26:39

probably got to start making some longer

play26:41

term picks like 5.5 5.6 million is not a

play26:44

price bracket you want to continually

play26:45

swap players so as a long-term pick C

play26:48

menu is probably really good but again I

play26:51

look at the next two and I just think

play26:52

maybe he's won for gameweek six Wild

play26:55

Card possibly you put him on gameweek

play26:56

four wild card and bench him for one one

play26:58

or two of the next two games then have

play27:00

him longer term but basically long and

play27:02

the short is I actually think he's a

play27:04

solid long-term pick I just don't think

play27:06

you necessarily need to bring him in

play27:08

right now I think he absolutely could do

play27:11

better than someone like Smith row

play27:13

especially if he keeps getting more

play27:14

minutes like seeno is a 90-minute man so

play27:16

far Smith row just isn't so I like Smith

play27:19

Row in the short term longer term seeno

play27:21

might be better although if I was buying

play27:23

one this week I'd probably just go for

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mina from Brighton gatu finally started

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I think he'll now just be in theam

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I think amedo played really well when he

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came on at least compared to most of the

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man united players and the bar was quite

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low so some point we might see Amad and

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garnacha and rashford to come out but I

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just think ten har will keep plugging

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away with rashford for a little while

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but garnacha I think is now quite a nice

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pick going forward especially with

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Southampton this I just think he'll stay

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in the side no forward signings for

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Forest so Chris Wood still looks like a

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really good option he's scored two in

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the first three I will go to the right

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team this time and he's played 7174 and

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90

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minutes and because the only other

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option really is AE and look I think if

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you ask Forest fans they probably would

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say that aan is the better forward but

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honestly Chris Wood's been scoring for

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forest for a long time now under Nuno

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like enough games where it means

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something and I just think it will

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continue again it's Liverpool away and

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Brighton away you're probably not buying

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him right now but from game week six

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Fulham at home Chelsea away Palace at

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home Leicester away it's a pretty good

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run for Forest if he's still starting

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over the next two I think people might

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come back to him so we've we've still

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got a whole host of cheap forward

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options to be looking at and if I had

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Chris Wood I don't think I'd necessarily

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sell him before Liverpool away and

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Brighton away it's not that he's better

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than I mean actually scratch that if I'm

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wild carding in gameweek six I probably

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would sell to Xiao Pedro because of the

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fixture swing but if you've already made

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money on him and you want him long term

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there's no harming in keeping hold of

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him and then for Chelsea just quickly I

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think after fmer the next most nailed

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attacker is Jackson and if you want a

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Defender I'd probably go for cwell it

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looks like fan Fano is going to be the

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center back partnership with cwell but I

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just don't trust his injury record so I

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think cwell is the one that's my

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thoughts some players my team and all

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that good stuff ahead of game week four

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which is obviously next week we're in

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the international break if you enjoyed

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it make sure to give it a like and hit

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that subscribe button and rate Five

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Stars if you're listening on podcast and

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I'll be back tomorrow with another video

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so I'll catch you then

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