Gross Domestic Product – Economic Lowdown

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
7 Oct 201407:52

Summary

TLDRThis script delves into the concept of Gross Domestic Product (GDP), a pivotal economic metric that measures the total market value of all final goods and services within an economy in a given year. It explains the significance of GDP in gauging economic growth and standard of living, distinguishing between Nominal and Real GDP, and highlighting its utility in assessing the economy's health and people's well-being.

Takeaways

  • 😀 GDP stands for Gross Domestic Product and is an important economic indicator.
  • 📈 GDP measures the total market value of all final goods and services produced within a country in a given year.
  • 🛠 Goods are tangible items like appliances and cars, while services are intangible actions like haircuts and repairs.
  • 🏷 The term 'final goods and services' refers to those sold to the end user, not intermediate goods used in production.
  • 🌍 Only goods and services produced within a country's borders are included in its GDP, regardless of the producer's nationality.
  • 📊 Nominal GDP is the unadjusted form, reflecting current market prices, while Real GDP adjusts for inflation to reflect actual production changes.
  • 📈 Economic growth is measured by comparing Real GDP over time, usually presented as a percentage increase or decrease.
  • 🔍 A general rule for identifying a recession is two consecutive quarters of declining Real GDP.
  • 💡 GDP per capita, calculated by dividing GDP by population, indicates the average standard of living in a country.
  • 📊 An increase in Real GDP per capita over time is seen as an improvement in the standard of living.
  • 🌐 GDP data is crucial for understanding economic health, measuring production levels, and evaluating economic growth.

Q & A

  • What does the acronym GDP stand for?

    -GDP stands for Gross Domestic Product, which is a measure of the total market value of all final goods and services produced in an economy within a given year.

  • Why is GDP important in understanding the economy?

    -GDP is important because it conveys an important message on the economy, helping economists to determine the size of the economy at a point in time and its growth over time.

  • What are the two types of items included in GDP: goods and services?

    -Goods are tangible items like appliances, cars, and clothing. Services are intangible actions performed for consumers, such as haircuts, car repairs, and customer service.

  • What does the term 'Total market value' mean in the context of GDP?

    -'Total market value' refers to the combined prices of all goods and services included in GDP, as determined by the price paid for those items in the marketplace.

  • What is the significance of the term 'Final goods and services' in defining GDP?

    -The term 'Final goods and services' signifies that only goods and services sold to an end user are counted in GDP, excluding intermediate goods used in the production of final goods and services.

  • Can intermediate goods contribute to GDP?

    -No, intermediate goods do not directly contribute to GDP. Their value is reflected in the final product when it is sold to the end user.

  • What does the phrase 'Produced within an economy' imply for GDP calculations?

    -The phrase 'Produced within an economy' means that only goods and services produced within a country's borders are counted towards that nation's GDP, regardless of the nationality of the producing company.

  • What is the difference between Nominal GDP and Real GDP?

    -Nominal GDP is the unadjusted GDP value, while Real GDP is adjusted for inflation, providing a more accurate reflection of the actual increase or decrease in the production of goods and services.

  • How is economic growth measured using GDP?

    -Economic growth is measured by comparing Real GDP over time, usually presented as a percentage increase or decrease from an earlier period.

  • What is GDP per capita and why is it significant?

    -GDP per capita is the GDP of a country divided by its population, indicating the average income per person. It helps to estimate the standard of living and economic well-being of individuals within a country.

  • How can changes in real GDP per capita indicate changes in the standard of living over time?

    -An increase in real GDP per capita over time is interpreted as an improvement in the standard of living, as it suggests that individuals are producing and consuming more goods and services on average.

Outlines

00:00

📈 Understanding Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

This paragraph delves into the concept of Gross Domestic Product (GDP), a critical economic indicator that measures the total market value of all final goods and services produced within a country in a given year. It clarifies that GDP includes both tangible goods like cars and intangible services such as repairs. The script explains the importance of distinguishing between final and intermediate goods, using the example of tires in automobile production. It also emphasizes that only domestically produced goods and services are included in a nation's GDP, regardless of the producer's nationality. The paragraph further explores the difference between Nominal GDP, which reflects current market prices, and Real GDP, which is adjusted for inflation to provide a true measure of economic growth. The summary concludes with the significance of GDP in economic decision-making and its role in measuring economic health over time.

05:03

🌐 GDP and Its Implications for Living Standards and Economic Growth

The second paragraph examines the broader implications of GDP beyond just economic measurement. It introduces GDP per capita, which is GDP divided by a country's population, as a way to gauge the average standard of living. The paragraph illustrates the concept with a hypothetical comparison between two countries with the same GDP but vastly different population sizes, highlighting how GDP per capita can reveal disparities in living standards. It also touches on the average nature of GDP per capita and the variability of individual incomes. The script concludes by reiterating the importance of GDP in identifying economic growth and the production of goods and services, suggesting that a growing economy typically indicates a higher standard of living. Additionally, it mentions the rule of thumb that two consecutive quarters of declining real GDP may signal a recession, underscoring the sensitivity of GDP as an economic indicator.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡GDP

GDP, or Gross Domestic Product, is a measure of the total market value of all final goods and services produced within a country's borders in a given year. It is a key indicator of economic health and size, and it is central to understanding the video's theme of economic analysis. In the script, GDP is used to convey the story of an economy's performance, including its growth over time and the total value of goods and services produced.

💡Economists

Economists are professionals who study the production, distribution, and consumption of goods and services. In the context of the video, economists use GDP as a tool to analyze and interpret economic conditions, making decisions and predictions based on this data. Their role is crucial in understanding how GDP figures impact economic policy and business strategies.

💡Total market value

The term 'total market value' refers to the sum of the prices paid for all goods and services in an economy. It is a fundamental component of calculating GDP, as it represents the overall value of economic output. The script illustrates this by explaining that adding the prices of individual goods and services gives us the total value of GDP.

💡Final goods and services

Final goods and services are those that are sold to the end consumer and not used in the production of other goods. The script uses the example of tires to clarify this concept, explaining that tires installed on a new car are not counted in GDP until they are sold as replacement parts to the end user, at which point they are considered final goods.

💡Nominal GDP

Nominal GDP is the unadjusted measure of economic output, calculated without accounting for changes in the price level. The script mentions nominal GDP to contrast it with real GDP, emphasizing the importance of adjusting for inflation to accurately measure economic growth.

💡Real GDP

Real GDP is an inflation-adjusted measure of economic output, which provides a more accurate reflection of the actual increase or decrease in production. The script explains that by removing the effects of price changes, real GDP allows economists to measure economic growth more effectively, as seen in the example of the 4.1 percent growth rate in the third quarter of 2013.

💡Economic growth

Economic growth refers to an increase in the production of goods and services over time. The script discusses how economic growth is measured by comparing real GDP figures from different periods, with a focus on the percentage increase in real GDP rather than the total value.

💡Recession

A recession is a period of negative economic growth, typically defined as two consecutive quarters of declining real GDP. The script uses this term to illustrate one of the ways economists determine the phases of the business cycle, highlighting its significance in economic analysis.

💡GDP per capita

GDP per capita is the measure of a country's GDP divided by its population, providing an average figure of economic output per person. The script uses this term to demonstrate the difference in living standards between countries, even when their total GDPs are similar, by comparing the hypothetical countries of Alpha and Omega.

💡Standard of living

The standard of living refers to the level of wealth, comfort, and material well-being of people in a given country, often measured by GDP per capita. The script explains how changes in real GDP per capita can indicate changes in the standard of living over time, suggesting that an increase in this measure is generally seen as positive for society.

💡Inflation

Inflation is the rate at which the general level of prices for goods and services is rising, and subsequently, purchasing power is falling. The script emphasizes the importance of adjusting GDP for inflation to obtain real GDP, which more accurately reflects the increase in production without the distorting effects of price changes.

Highlights

GDP stands for Gross Domestic Product and is a key economic indicator.

Economists use GDP to measure the size and growth of an economy.

GDP measures the total market value of all final goods and services produced within a country.

Goods are tangible items, while services are intangible actions.

The term 'final goods and services' refers to those sold to the end user.

Intermediate goods, like tires for a car, are not counted in GDP until sold to the end user.

GDP includes only goods and services produced within a country's borders, regardless of ownership.

GDP is calculated using actual market prices, which can fluctuate.

An increase in GDP could be due to more production or higher prices.

Nominal GDP is the unadjusted form, while Real GDP accounts for inflation.

Real GDP provides a more accurate reflection of production changes over time.

Economic growth is measured by comparing Real GDP over different periods.

A sustained decline in Real GDP can indicate a recession.

GDP per capita is calculated by dividing GDP by the population to estimate living standards.

GDP per capita can show differences in living standards between countries with similar GDPs.

An increase in real GDP per capita over time suggests an improvement in the standard of living.

GDP data is crucial for understanding economic health and informing policy decisions.

GDP measures the output of an economy, which is complex due to its dynamic nature.

Transcripts

play00:10

LOL, IDK, XOXO, BFF, TTYL, GDP.

play00:21

Were you stumped by the last acronym?

play00:26

GDP stands for Gross Domestic Product.

play00:30

You probably don't see many references to it on social media, but GDP conveys an important

play00:34

message on the economy.

play00:36

Economists use this measurement to tell the story of the economy.

play00:39

They use this measurement to determine the size of the economy at a point in time and

play00:43

growth of the economy over time.

play00:45

GDP measures the total market value of all final goods and services produced in an economy

play00:51

in a given year.

play00:52

Goods are items that are touchable such as appliances, cars, and clothing.

play00:57

Services are actions—things people do for us such as haircuts, car repairs and customer

play01:03

service.

play01:04

Let's take a look at three phrases used to define GDP.

play01:08

The first phrase is "Total market value."

play01:10

The value of a good or service is determined by the price paid for that item in the marketplace.

play01:15

When you add those prices together you have the total value of GDP.

play01:20

The second phrase is "Final goods and services."

play01:23

The use of "Final" in this phrase refers to goods and services sold to an end user.

play01:29

Let's look at it this way.

play01:31

Tires are sold to a company that produces automobiles.

play01:34

Those tires installed on a new car are not counted in GDP.

play01:38

Why?

play01:40

Because the tires are not a final good.

play01:42

The tires are an intermediate good—a good used in the production of final goods and

play01:47

services.

play01:48

The value of the tires will be reflected in the total price of the car when it's sold

play01:52

to the end user.

play01:53

However, when new tires are purchased by the end user to replace the worn out tires on

play01:58

the car, this value is counted in GDP.

play02:02

Those tires are a final good because they were sold to the end user.

play02:07

The third and final phrase is, "Produced within an economy."

play02:10

Only goods and services produced within a country's borders count in that nation's GDP.

play02:15

So, to be counted in U.S. GDP something must be produced within the borders of the United

play02:20

States.

play02:21

GDP does not take the national ownership of the business that produces the good or service

play02:26

into consideration.

play02:27

So, a car produced in Kentucky counts as U.S. GDP even if it's produced by a foreign company;

play02:34

but a car produced in Mexico does not count as U.S. GDP even if it's produced by a U.S.

play02:40

company.

play02:41

So, GDP measures the size of the economy—the total market value of all final goods and

play02:46

services produced within an economy in a given year.

play02:49

GDP is among the most important and widely reported pieces of economic data.

play02:53

A wide variety of people, from business owners to policymakers, use GDP in decision making.

play03:00

Economists use actual market prices to calculate the value of GDP.

play03:04

And as you know prices are constantly changing and those changing prices can make it difficult

play03:09

to understand a change in GDP.

play03:10

For example, an increase in GDP could mean any of the following:

play03:15

(A) The country has produced more goods and services.

play03:18

(B) The country has produced the same amount of goods and services, but the prices of those

play03:22

goods and services have increased.

play03:25

Or ... (C), the country has some combination of more

play03:28

goods and services produced and higher prices.

play03:30

GDP can be looked at two different ways.

play03:33

When GDP is presented in its unadjusted form, it's called Nominal GDP.

play03:37

To calculate the real increase or decrease over time in the level of final goods and

play03:43

services produced, price changes are removed from GDP data.

play03:46

This revised measurement is called Real GDP.

play03:50

So real GDP is GDP adjusted for inflation and more accurately reflects the actual increase

play03:56

or decrease in output—that is, production of goods and services.

play04:01

Economists measure economic growth by comparing real GDP over time.

play04:05

Economic growth is usually presented as a percentage increase or decrease from an earlier

play04:09

period.

play04:10

And, as we've already learned, it's important to adjust GDP for inflation.

play04:15

For example, it might be useful to know that nominal GDP in the third quarter of 2013 was

play04:21

$16.9 trillion, but it's probably more meaningful to know that real GDP increased by, or the

play04:28

economy grew by, an annual rate of 4.1 percent in the third quarter of 2013.

play04:35

Real GDP removes the effects of price changes, but to discuss growth, we focus on the percent

play04:41

increase in real GDP instead of the total value—or level—of GDP.

play04:47

To put that 4.1 percent in context, consider that real GDP has grown at an average annual

play04:52

rate of 3.3 percent since 1950.

play04:55

Remember, however, that 3.3 percent is an average taken over a long time period—GDP

play05:02

has a tendency to bounce around a bit from quarter to quarter.

play05:06

A general rule of thumb is that two consecutive quarters of declining real GDP constitute

play05:11

a recession.

play05:12

Although economists have more comprehensive ways to determine the phases of the business

play05:16

cycle, this rule of thumb is widely used.

play05:19

In short, GDP is central to our understanding of the state of the economy.

play05:24

In addition to measuring the economy, GDP can also be used to indicate, on average,

play05:28

the standard of living for people in different countries.

play05:31

Because goods and services are sold for money, and money earned in producing goods and services

play05:36

is income, GDP is a measure of national income.

play05:41

To determine the impact of national income on individual people, GDP is divided by the

play05:46

country's population.

play05:48

The resulting measurement is GDP per person and is most commonly called GDP per capita.

play05:53

For example, think of two countries—Alpha and Omega—with comparable GDP, say $200

play06:01

billion each.

play06:03

One might assume that the citizens of Alpha and Omega have a similar standard of living

play06:07

because their countries have comparable GDPs.

play06:09

But, what if Alpha has a population of 200 million people and Omega has a population

play06:15

of 5 million people?

play06:18

Because Alpha's GDP is divided among a much larger population, each person's share is

play06:22

much smaller.

play06:24

In this case, Alpha's GDP per capita is $1,000, while Omega's is $40,000.

play06:30

So, while their GDPs are the same, once they're divided by the population it's easier to see

play06:36

a dramatic difference in the standard of living in these two nations.

play06:39

Notice, though, that GDP per capita is an average.

play06:43

The actual earnings of individual people will likely vary greatly depending on the distribution

play06:48

of income.

play06:50

Changes in real GDP per capita within the same country can be used to estimate changes

play06:55

in its standard of living over time.

play06:57

An increase in real GDP per capita over time is interpreted as an increase in the standard

play07:02

of living—a worthy goal for any society.

play07:05

GDP helps us identify growth in an economy.

play07:09

And a growing economy is an economy that produces more and more goods and services for its population.

play07:14

And, generally speaking, more is better.

play07:17

GDP data are among the most important economic data available, but measuring the output of

play07:23

a large, dynamic economy is a complex task.

play07:26

GDP measures production levels during a period of time and can be adjusted for inflation—a

play07:32

measure called real GDP—and compared with earlier periods to evaluate economic growth.

play07:38

All things being equal, growth is good, and GDP measures growth.

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Related Tags
Economic IndicatorGDP BasicsMarket ValueFinal GoodsServices ImpactEconomic GrowthInflation AdjustmentReal GDPNominal GDPStandard of LivingNational Income