These 7 Things Could Start a World War 3

The Infographics Show
24 Jan 202111:19

Summary

TLDRThe video explores potential flashpoints for World War III, highlighting tensions in various global hotspots. These include the strained relationship between Turkey and Greece within NATO, Iran's hostility towards Israel, the volatile situation in Kashmir involving India, Pakistan, and China, the ongoing threat of conflict on the Korean Peninsula, and the rising tensions between China and Taiwan. The video suggests that these regions could spark a global conflict, drawing in major powers like the US, Russia, and China, with devastating consequences.

Takeaways

  • 🌍 The world has enjoyed relative peace since World War II, but the likelihood of another world war is increasing.
  • 🇹🇷 Tensions between NATO allies Turkey and Greece, particularly over Mediterranean islands, could escalate into conflict.
  • 🇺🇸 Turkey's strained relationship with the US, especially after conflicts over US-backed Kurds, could lead to a major confrontation.
  • 🇮🇱 Iran's resistance to recent Arab-Israeli normalization efforts and its support for anti-Israel militias could spark a broader Middle Eastern conflict.
  • 🇮🇳 The long-standing conflict over Kashmir between India and Pakistan, with China's involvement, remains a significant flashpoint for a potential global conflict.
  • 🇰🇵 Despite historic talks, North Korea's nuclear ambitions and its dependence on nuclear weapons for regime survival pose a constant threat of conflict, possibly involving China and the US.
  • 🇹🇼 Taiwan's situation, especially with growing US support, is seen as the most likely trigger for World War III due to China's view of Taiwan's independence as a threat to its global standing.
  • 🚢 US actions, such as arms sales to Taiwan and blocking China's access to key technologies, are seen as provocations that could lead to conflict with China.
  • 💥 Any major conflict involving Taiwan would likely drag the US and its allies into a war with China.
  • 🕊️ The world faces several potential flashpoints, each with the potential to escalate into a global conflict involving nuclear powers.

Q & A

  • What is the main argument of the transcript regarding global conflicts after World War II?

    -The transcript argues that despite numerous conflicts such as the Vietnam War, Iran-Iraq war, and the second US invasion of Iraq, the world has experienced relative peace without major wars between large powers since the end of World War II. However, the likelihood of another world war is growing as tensions rise globally.

  • What are the major flashpoints for a potential World War III mentioned in the transcript?

    -The major flashpoints for a potential World War III mentioned in the transcript include Turkey, Iran-Israel, Kashmir, the Korean Peninsula, and Taiwan.

  • Why has the relationship between Turkey and NATO become strained?

    -The relationship between Turkey and NATO has become strained due to ongoing tensions with Greece, both NATO members, particularly over territorial disputes in the Mediterranean. Additionally, Turkey's closer ties with Russia and actions in Syria have further complicated its relationship with NATO.

  • What could potentially lead to a conflict between Turkey and the United States?

    -A potential conflict between Turkey and the United States could arise if Turkey were to seize American nuclear weapons stored at Incirlik Air Force Base, an action that would likely provoke a full military response from the US.

  • How might the Iran-Israel conflict escalate into a larger war?

    -The Iran-Israel conflict could escalate into a larger war if Iran, feeling encircled by pro-Israel states, decides to strike preemptively, or if Israel believes Iran is nearing the development of nuclear weapons and launches a preemptive strike. This conflict could draw in major powers like the US and Russia, especially due to the threat it poses to global oil supplies.

  • Why is the Kashmir region considered a potential flashpoint for a global conflict?

    -Kashmir is considered a potential flashpoint because of the long-standing conflict between India and Pakistan, both nuclear-armed nations. The involvement of China, which has territorial disputes in the region and close ties with Pakistan, could further escalate the situation, potentially drawing in the US and leading to a larger global conflict.

  • What makes the Korean Peninsula a potential trigger for World War III?

    -The Korean Peninsula is a potential trigger for World War III due to North Korea's nuclear weapons program and its importance for the regime's survival. If tensions escalate, a conflict between the US and North Korea could draw in China, North Korea's ally, leading to a broader war.

  • Why is Taiwan seen as the most likely flashpoint for World War III?

    -Taiwan is seen as the most likely flashpoint for World War III because of China's long-standing claim over the island and the increasing tensions between China and the US. The US's support for Taiwan, including arms sales and military cooperation, could provoke China into taking military action, leading to a direct confrontation between the US and China.

  • What role does the United States play in the potential global conflicts discussed in the transcript?

    -The United States plays a central role in all the potential global conflicts discussed, either as a direct participant or as an ally to other nations. The US's relationships with Turkey, Israel, Taiwan, South Korea, and India position it at the heart of these conflicts, and its actions or responses could be crucial in either preventing or escalating these situations.

  • How has President Trump's foreign policy decisions influenced the likelihood of these potential conflicts?

    -President Trump's foreign policy decisions, such as the withdrawal from the Iran nuclear deal, the green light to Turkey to attack US-backed Kurds, and the engagement with North Korea, have contributed to increasing tensions in these regions. These actions have strained alliances and emboldened adversaries, thereby increasing the likelihood of these potential conflicts escalating.

Outlines

00:00

🌍 Global Peace and Emerging Threats

The world has experienced relative peace since World War II, despite conflicts like the Vietnam War and the Iran-Iraq War. However, as we enter the new year, the threat of a new world war is rising. This section outlines the potential hotspots where World War III could erupt, starting with tensions between NATO allies Turkey and Greece, and how these conflicts could escalate.

05:03

🇹🇷 Turkey’s Strained Alliances

Turkey's long-standing alliance with NATO is under severe strain due to tensions with Greece over territorial claims in the Mediterranean. A recent near-conflict involving warships highlights the growing risk of violence. The strained relationship between Turkey and the US, exacerbated by the situation with the Kurds and the potential for Turkey to seize American nuclear weapons, could lead to a serious confrontation that might fracture NATO and draw in Russia.

10:05

🇮🇷 Iran and Israel’s Tense Relations

While some Arab nations have moved closer to Israel, Iran remains a significant threat, financing and leading anti-Israel militias. As Israel builds alliances, Iran could respond with unconventional attacks, potentially triggering a larger conflict. The cancellation of the Iran nuclear deal by President Trump has increased the risk of Iran pursuing nuclear weapons, which could force Israel into a preemptive strike, drawing in major powers like the US and Russia.

🏔️ Kashmir’s Volatile Situation

The long-standing conflict over Kashmir between India and Pakistan has been further complicated by China's involvement. The region is a potential flashpoint for war, especially given China's recent aggressive moves and the resulting clashes with Indian forces. A conflict here could draw in the US and China, escalating into a major war between nuclear powers.

🇰🇵 North Korea’s Nuclear Dilemma

North Korea's nuclear ambitions remain a critical issue, with the regime viewing its weapons as essential for survival. Despite attempts at diplomacy, the likelihood of conflict with the US has grown, particularly as North Korea's actions threaten regional stability. A war on the Korean Peninsula would likely involve China, as it seeks to prevent a US-aligned unified Korea, leading to a broader conflict.

🇹🇼 Taiwan: The Most Likely Flashpoint

The issue of Taiwan is the most probable trigger for World War III, with tensions between the US and China escalating over the island's status. Recent actions by the US, including arms sales to Taiwan and support for its independence, have provoked China, which sees reunification as vital for its global power status. The situation is increasingly volatile, with China potentially resorting to military action, which would inevitably involve the US and its allies in a major conflict.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡NATO

NATO (North Atlantic Treaty Organization) is a military alliance of European and North American countries established in 1949. The video discusses the strained relations within NATO, particularly between Turkey and Greece, and how these tensions could potentially lead to a conflict that might spark World War III.

💡Iran-Israel Conflict

The Iran-Israel conflict refers to the long-standing tension between Iran and Israel, with Iran supporting anti-Israel militias and Israel conducting military strikes against Iranian targets. The video suggests that escalating tensions between these two countries could lead to a broader conflict, drawing in global powers like the US and Russia.

💡Kashmir Conflict

The Kashmir conflict is a territorial dispute between India and Pakistan, both of which claim the region. The video highlights this conflict as a potential flashpoint for World War III, particularly because of the involvement of nuclear-armed countries like India, Pakistan, and China.

💡North Korea

North Korea is a key player in the video, particularly concerning its nuclear weapons program. The video discusses the potential for conflict on the Korean Peninsula, especially if North Korea's nuclear ambitions lead to a confrontation with the United States, which could draw in China and other global powers.

💡Taiwan Strait

The Taiwan Strait is the body of water separating Taiwan from mainland China. The video points to the issue of Taiwan's status as a significant potential trigger for World War III, with rising tensions between China and the United States over Taiwan's independence and China's territorial claims.

💡US-China Relations

US-China relations are a central theme in the video, particularly regarding tensions over Taiwan and trade issues. The video suggests that deteriorating relations between these two global superpowers could lead to a military conflict, especially if China attempts to forcibly reunify Taiwan with the mainland.

💡Nuclear Weapons

Nuclear weapons are a recurring theme in the video, with multiple potential conflicts involving nuclear-armed states like North Korea, Pakistan, and India. The video underscores the catastrophic consequences that could arise if any of these conflicts were to escalate into a nuclear war.

💡Middle East Peace

Middle East peace is discussed in the context of recent diplomatic developments between Israel and several Arab nations. However, the video highlights how Iran's opposition to these developments could destabilize the region and potentially lead to a wider conflict.

💡Turkey-Greece Relations

Turkey-Greece relations are a focal point in the video, with the ongoing territorial disputes in the Mediterranean mentioned as a potential trigger for conflict within NATO. The video suggests that these tensions could weaken the NATO alliance and contribute to the outbreak of a larger war.

💡US Foreign Policy

US foreign policy is analyzed throughout the video, particularly in relation to how American actions (or inactions) could influence global stability. The video critiques decisions made by the US, such as withdrawing from the Iran nuclear deal or responding to Turkey's actions, as factors that could increase the likelihood of World War III.

Highlights

Despite several major conflicts such as the Vietnam War and the Iran-Iraq war, the world has experienced relative peace among large powers since the end of World War II.

Tensions between Greece and Turkey, both NATO members, have strained the alliance, particularly over territorial disputes in the Mediterranean.

Turkey's relationship with NATO and the US has weakened, with potential conflicts over American nuclear weapons stored at Incirlik Air Force Base in Turkey.

Iran's growing isolation and its support for anti-Israel groups could lead to a significant conflict in the Middle East, especially if Iran feels encircled by pro-Israel states.

The cancellation of the Iran nuclear deal by President Trump may lead Iran to pursue nuclear weapons, increasing the likelihood of a conflict with Israel.

The long-standing conflict over Kashmir between India and Pakistan, with China's involvement, remains a significant flashpoint that could escalate into a larger war.

Recent skirmishes between Indian and Chinese troops in the region of Kashmir have heightened tensions, with both sides preparing for possible further conflicts.

A potential war between India and Pakistan, both nuclear-armed, could drag in the US and China, leading to a major global conflict.

The situation on the Korean Peninsula remains tense, with North Korea's refusal to dismantle its nuclear program and the possibility of a US-North Korea conflict.

Kim Jong Un's regime relies on nuclear weapons for its survival, and any conflict with the US could involve China, further escalating tensions.

Taiwan is considered the most likely flashpoint for World War III, with increasing tensions between China and the US over Taiwan's status.

China views Taiwan's independence as a threat to the legitimacy of the Chinese Communist Party, potentially leading to military action to reunify the island.

The US's support for Taiwan, including arms sales and potential military presence, has significantly escalated tensions with China.

A conflict over Taiwan would likely draw in the US and its allies, leading to a large-scale war with China.

The video discusses several potential global conflict zones, emphasizing the increasing likelihood of a major war in the near future.

Transcripts

play00:00

Despite conflicts such as the Vietnam War, the  Iran-Iraq war, and the second US invasion of Iraq,  

play00:05

the world has enjoyed relative peace and quiet  for almost eighty years. While these and other  

play00:10

conflicts may seem like anything but peaceful,  the truth is that the long and almost unbroken  

play00:15

chain of major wars between large powers was  at last broken by the end of World War II.  

play00:20

Yet as we swing into the new year, the likelihood  of another world war only grows by the day.  

play00:25

Here are the places that World War III  could actually break out in the new year.

play00:29

Turkey

play00:30

Turkey has been a steadfast  ally of NATO for decades,  

play00:33

and yet in recent years that commitment  to the alliance has wavered significantly.  

play00:37

Ongoing tensions between Greece and Turkey,  both NATO members, have put severe strain  

play00:42

on the alliance, with Turkey claiming islands  in the Mediterranean which belong to Greece.  

play00:46

While violence has so far been avoided, numerous  airborne interceptions of Turkish fighters by the  

play00:51

Greek air force have taken place, and just this  last summer the situation reached a boiling point.

play00:57

In defiance of Greek maritime claims,  Turkey dispatched a small force of warships  

play01:01

along with a survey vessel exploring for  oil and gas reserves. As the survey ship  

play01:06

was followed by both Greek and Turkish vessels,  a collision between a Greek and Turkish ship  

play01:11

nearly led to shots being fired. As the two  nations continue to clash politically over  

play01:15

massive oil and gas reserves of the island of  Cyprus, a confrontation only grows more likely.  

play01:20

For its part, the US, long the bulwark  of the NATO alliance, has decided to  

play01:24

remain silent on the issue as President Trump  decided the issue was best handled by the EU.

play01:30

So what could happen in the  future to spark a world war?

play01:32

Turkey and the US's own relationship is already  severely strained after Trump gave Turkey's  

play01:37

Erdogan the green light to attack US-backed Kurds  in one of the greatest betrayals in history.  

play01:42

After massive backlash from the American public  and the US senate, Trump pulled an about face  

play01:47

and threaten to level massive sanctions  against Turkey. This in turn drew threats  

play01:52

from President Erdogan who has publicly stated  ambitions to possibly seize large stockpiles  

play01:56

of American nuclear weapons currently stored  at Incirlik Air Force Base inside of Turkey.

play02:01

Should Turkey make a move on the American  weapons stored at Incirlik Air Force Base,  

play02:05

it would completely overwhelm local American  forces and get its hands on a sizable nuclear  

play02:10

stockpile. The US would have no option  but to respond with full military force.  

play02:14

This could potentially lead to a splintering of  NATO, and possibly the end of the alliance itself.  

play02:19

With President Trump giving a cold shoulder  to Turkey, the nation has drawn much closer  

play02:23

to Russia, and if Putin believes that the US may  not have the backing of other European powers,  

play02:28

could potentially join the conflict  and kick the US out of Europe for good.

play02:31

Iran-Israel

play02:33

Over the last several months several Arab nations  have formally announced diplomatic ties with  

play02:37

Israel, a massive step forward for middle east  peace. Perhaps the most significant step forward  

play02:42

however may have been the United Arab Emirate's  normalization of ties with Israel. However, not  

play02:47

every neighbor is growing chummy with Israel, and  Iran has pushed back hard on recent developments.

play02:52

Currently, Iran continues to finance, train,  and sometimes even directly lead anti-Israel  

play02:57

militias and terrorist groups across the region,  while Israel has been openly striking at Iranian  

play03:02

military targets outside of Iran itself. While  Israel slowly builds an anti-Iran coalition  

play03:07

across the Middle East, Iran has responded  by engaging with various terror groups and  

play03:11

militias. Iran's increasing isolation  only makes the country more dangerous.

play03:15

Should Iran decide it is in danger of  being encircled by pro-Israel states,  

play03:20

it may decide to strike preemptively either  directly at Israel or at a neighbor such  

play03:24

as Saudi Arabia. This would likely come as an  unconventional attack using terrorist forces,  

play03:28

and serve as a warning that nations  should continue to distance themselves  

play03:32

from Israel or else. Israel may  feel it has no choice but to respond  

play03:36

or see its diplomatic efforts evaporate,  leading to strikes inside Iran itself.

play03:40

With President Trump's ill-advised  cancellation of the Iran nuclear deal,  

play03:44

the nation may once more pursue nuclear  weapons. While the Iran nuclear deal made it  

play03:49

nearly impossible for Iran to build nuclear  weapons covertly, now the nation has much  

play03:53

more breathing room to do so, and should  Israel feel that Iran is nearing the bomb,  

play03:58

it may be forced to attack first. This would  doubtlessly lead to a catastrophic war which would  

play04:03

threaten major parts of the world's oil supply,  inevitably drawing in both the US and Russia.

play04:08

Kashmir

play04:09

Ever since the creation of the  Indian and Pakistani states,  

play04:12

the two have butted heads over the region  known as Kashmir. Things only took a turn for  

play04:16

the worse when China seized part of Kashmir  during the Indo-Chinese border war of 1962.

play04:20

To date, India and Pakistan have waged three wars  over Kashmir- along with a variety of other issues  

play04:26

that still sees the two countries holding on  to very long-running grudges. In recent years,  

play04:31

China has grown much closer to Pakistan, much to  the chagrin of India who for its part, has chosen  

play04:36

to develop closer ties to the United States. The  situation has become a tinderbox that's ready to  

play04:41

go up at any moment, and with both India and  Pakistan having ties to the two most powerful  

play04:46

nations in the world, a war between the two  would indubitably pull in both China and the US.

play04:52

In 2020 it seemed war between China and India was  all but inevitable. Starting in early summer 2020,  

play04:58

China began a series of incremental 'crawls',  pushing troops forward slowly to inevitably seize  

play05:03

control of large swathes of territory. This led  to fist fights between Indian and Chinese troops,  

play05:08

with one at Pangong Tso causing 72  injuries on the Indian side and an  

play05:13

unknown amount of the Chinese side.  China then began to build helipads,  

play05:17

pillboxes, and fortified bunkers while  reinforcing their troops already present.

play05:21

In a bid to prevent an all-out escalation  to war, both sides have agreed to only use  

play05:25

firearms if fired on first. However, this  has led to a bizarre throwback to medieval  

play05:29

times as both sides now carry all manner  of improvised weapons such as clubs, rods,  

play05:34

batons, and other melee weapons. On June 15th, a  massive 600 man skirmish between both sides led  

play05:40

to the deaths of 20 Indian soldiers and an unknown  number of Chinese soldiers, though US intelligence  

play05:45

states that 35 Chinese soldiers were killed or  seriously injured. The incident directly led to  

play05:50

the removal of restrictions on the Indian side on  the usage of firearms, and another such skirmish  

play05:55

may now be met with lethal force, hopelessly  escalating the fighting into all out war.

play06:00

If India were to find itself in a fight  with China, Pakistan would almost certainly  

play06:04

see this as an opportunity to attack an India  forced to fight a two-front war. Even without  

play06:08

the intervention of the United States, which  would surely back India, this would already be  

play06:13

a conflict between three nuclear powers, with  the outcome not looking good for the world.

play06:18

Korean Peninsula

play06:19

Despite an optimistic two meetings between  President Trump and Kim Jong Un, the historic  

play06:23

talks between the two countries inevitably broke  down over the issue of nuclear disarmament. For  

play06:29

North Korea, disarmament is a non-starter, as  the Kim regime believes nuclear weapons is the  

play06:33

only way to guarantee the United States does not  oust it from power as it's done in other nations  

play06:38

such as Iraq, Afghanistan, and Libya. North Korea  sees nuclear weapons as the only guarantor of its  

play06:43

continued independence against the United States  and an international coalition of its allies.

play06:48

On a personal level, Kim Jong Un is  himself dependent on nuclear weapons  

play06:52

for his own political survival. After failing to  deliver for years on a working nuclear weapon,  

play06:57

the Kim family hold on power was seriously  threatened during the transition from Kim  

play07:02

Jong Il to Kim Jong Un. What might have  been a moment of temporary weakness  

play07:06

however was turned to strength as Kim Jong Un  immediately initiated a ruthless purging of  

play07:11

senior military and political leadership  that he saw as a threat to his power.

play07:15

Yet despite his success in developing nuclear  weapons, Kim Jong Un still faces a dicey political  

play07:20

environment. As North Korea slowly grows and  expands, many of the North Korean elite grow tired  

play07:25

of the extreme financial burden international  sanctions have placed on them. Incredibly,  

play07:30

President Trump may have himself inadvertantly  helped Kim Jong Un remain in power though. Despite  

play07:35

the objection of every single adviser, the entire  Department of Defense, and most senior Democratic  

play07:40

and Republican leadership, President Trump agreed  to meet face-to-face with Kim Jong Un. What he  

play07:45

may have seen as a potential diplomatic victory  however only helped to cement Kim Jong Un's hold  

play07:50

on power, as his ministers spun the event into  state propaganda showing that at long last, Kim  

play07:56

Jong Un had forced the world's only superpower to  bend the knee and meet to discuss terms of peace.

play08:01

Now that the Kim family is sure to remain in  power, and yet refuses to dismantle its nuclear  

play08:06

program, a confrontation between the US and  North Korea grows ever more likely. Japan, who  

play08:11

has for a long time been forced to suffer North  Korean missile tests flying directly overhead,  

play08:16

may force the US's hand if it decides  North Korea presents an imminent threat  

play08:19

and launches preemptive strikes against  nuclear facilities and missile silos.

play08:23

A conflict between the US and North Korea would  inevitably see China dragged into the mix to  

play08:28

defend its longtime ally, as the one thing that  China fears most is a unified Korean peninsula  

play08:34

that is led by South Korea and very pro-US.  This would be a strategic disaster for China,  

play08:40

and one that it cannot abide, leaving it  no choice but to join a war against the US.

play08:45

Taiwan

play08:46

Finally we reach the most likely flash point  for World War III. The issue of Taiwan has  

play08:51

plagued Chinese-American relations for decades,  but in recent years has escalated to a level  

play08:56

reminiscent of the 1999 Taiwan Strait crisis. Shortly before taking office, President Trump  

play09:01

received a call from Taiwan's President, Tsai  Ing-wen, congratulating him on his election.  

play09:06

This greatly angered China, which has threatened  war should any nation formally recognize Taiwan  

play09:12

as independent, and was seen as a major snub  to the Chinese Communist Party. Historically,  

play09:16

American Presidents have not taken  such congratulatory calls in order  

play09:20

to not anger Beijing and potentially destabilize  cross-Strait relations between China and Taiwan.

play09:25

Things quickly escalated as Taiwan and the US  negotiated a multi-billion dollar arms sales deal  

play09:32

that would see the Taiwanese military receive  weapon systems and upgrades that would pose a  

play09:36

significant threat to a Chinese invasion of the  island. Tensions were heightened when despite  

play09:41

massive Chinese interference in its elections,  Taiwan re-elected President Tsai Ing-Wen who  

play09:46

holds a staunch anti-reunification agenda.  Taiwan's support for pro-democracy protesters  

play09:51

in Hong Kong during the months-long riots  only further embarrassed the Chinese mainland  

play09:56

as President Xi Jinping remained unable  to enforce control over the region.

play10:00

Today, the US is contemplating stationing  American Marines in Taiwan on a rotational basis,  

play10:05

along with port visits by the US Navy. The US has  also ok'ed the construction of a massive computer  

play10:10

chip manufacturing plant in Arizona owned and  operated by a Taiwanese firm, while simultaneously  

play10:15

blocking Chinese company Huawei global access  to critical chip-manufacturing equipment. These  

play10:20

actions have been seen as incredibly provocative  by China, who even now is rushing to bolster its  

play10:26

long-range attack capabilities with the goal of  throwing the US Navy out of the South Pacific.

play10:30

For President Xi Jinping, the Taiwan issue  is one of personal and party survival.  

play10:35

The Chinese Communist Party has for decades  promised to reunify the breakaway island nation,  

play10:40

and yet it has still failed to do so. This signals  to the world an inherent weakness in the Chinese  

play10:45

nation, and China does not believe it can be taken  seriously as a global power if it can't even bring  

play10:50

a next-door neighbor into the fold again. For  growing voices of dissent within Chinese politics,  

play10:55

Taiwan's continued independence is a  sign of the weakness within the CCP,  

play10:59

and with his future hold  on the nation on the line,  

play11:02

President Xi Jinping may be forced to at last  turn to the military option to reunify Taiwan.

play11:07

Inevitably this would drag the US and its  allies into all-out conflict with China.

play11:12

Now check out Why You Wouldn't Survive World War  

play11:15

III, or click this other video  instead- while you still can!

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