Andy on ETH | Pepe's closest friend & why 5 billion market cap can happen soon
Summary
TLDRIn this video, Max, CEO of 'Because Bitcoin' and an avid Andy coin enthusiast, discusses the current state of the cryptocurrency market, focusing on Bitcoin and Ethereum's potential. He emphasizes the importance of market education for the Andy community, highlighting historical trends that suggest a bullish outlook on crypto. Max provides a detailed analysis of Bitcoin's halving events, global M2 money supply, and the correlation between Ethereum's performance and Andy coin's market movements, suggesting that Andy coin acts as a high-risk, high-reward leveraged play on Ethereum's value.
Takeaways
- π Max, the CEO of Because Bitcoin, is an Andy enthusiast and holder, aiming to educate the Andy community on market insights.
- π Max emphasizes the importance of the Andy Army staying committed and educated during a critical market inflection point.
- π Max has been busy with life and work, leading to fewer spaces for the community, but he intends to increase engagement moving forward.
- π The speaker discusses the market conditions necessary for Andy to thrive, highlighting the need for Bitcoin's performance as a precursor.
- π Global M2 money supply is rising, which historically precedes Bitcoin's price discovery, signaling a potential bullish trend for crypto.
- π Max uses various charts to illustrate the relationship between Bitcoin's halving, US presidential elections, and market performance.
- π The cyclical nature of Bitcoin's performance is underscored, with historical data suggesting accumulation periods followed by significant rallies.
- π‘ The presenter shares a free BB Academy course for improving chart aesthetics and understanding market trends.
- π A strong correlation is shown between Ethereum's performance and Andy's market movement, with Andy acting as a leveraged play on Ethereum.
- π Despite market volatility and recent downturns, Max argues that the current situation mirrors historical patterns that led to substantial gains in the past.
- π¬ The speaker addresses concerns about market support levels and the potential for further declines, while maintaining a bullish outlook based on historical trends.
Q & A
Who is Max and what is his role in the Bitcoin community?
-Max is the CEO of Because Bitcoin and an Andy enthusiast and holder. He uses his platform and media company to curate spaces for the Andy community to discuss market trends and share insights.
What is the significance of the 'Andy Army' mentioned in the script?
-The 'Andy Army' refers to the community of Andy enthusiasts and holders. Max emphasizes the importance of this community staying tight-knit and committed, especially during critical market inflection points.
Why is Max focusing on educating the Andy community?
-Max believes that an educated community is a wealthy one. By providing education on market movements and investment strategies, he aims to equip the Andy community with skills that will help them make informed decisions and not just follow meme trends.
What is the 'Boy's Club' narrative mentioned by Max and why is it significant?
-The 'Boy's Club' narrative refers to a group of meme coins, including Andy, which Max believes will be a hot investment narrative in the current cycle. This narrative is significant as it suggests a collective interest in these meme coins that could drive their value.
How does Max view the current state of the cryptocurrency market in relation to historical patterns?
-Max views the current state of the market as an accumulation phase, comparing it to historical patterns where there is a period of reaccumulation before significant price discovery. He suggests that the market is following a cyclical trend that has been observed in previous cycles.
What is the importance of Global M2 in the context of the cryptocurrency market?
-Global M2 is an indicator of the total money supply, including cash and short-term savings. Max points out that an increase in Global M2 has historically preceded or coincided with price discovery in Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency market, suggesting that rising liquidity can be bullish for crypto.
Why is the performance of Ethereum (ETH) important for Andy?
-The performance of Ethereum is important for Andy because Andy is considered an 'ETH beta', meaning it tends to follow or magnify the movements of Ethereum. If Ethereum performs well, it is likely that Andy will perform well too, but with greater volatility.
What does Max mean when he refers to 'price discovery' in the context of Bitcoin?
-Price discovery refers to a phase in the market where the price of an asset experiences significant upward movement, often characterized by a parabolic rise. Max is suggesting that Bitcoin has not yet entered this phase but is in a period of reaccumulation, waiting for the right conditions to trigger price discovery.
How does Max analyze the correlation between Ethereum and Andy?
-Max uses historical data to show that Andy's price movements have a high correlation with Ethereum's. When Ethereum experiences a significant price increase, Andy tends to increase even more dramatically, and vice versa for price decreases.
What is the potential outlook for Andy based on the current market conditions and its correlation with Ethereum?
-Based on the current market conditions and its high correlation with Ethereum, Max suggests that if Ethereum goes into price discovery, Andy could potentially experience a significant increase in value, following the pattern of past market cycles.
Outlines
π’ Introduction to the Bitcoin and Andy Enthusiast Community
Max, the CEO of Because Bitcoin, addresses the audience as an Andy enthusiast and holder. He discusses his role in curating a space for the Andy community to engage through his media platform, sharing market insights and inviting community members to interact. Despite being busy with life and work, Max commits to increasing his presence in the community, especially as the market reaches an important juncture. He emphasizes the importance of education within the community, aiming to make the Andy holders some of the most educated in the meme coin space, as an educated community is more likely to make informed investment decisions.
π The Boy's Club Narrative and Market Analysis
The speaker delves into the 'Boy's Club' narrative, highlighting four meme coins including Pepe, Brett, Andy, and Land Wolf. He discusses the potential for these coins to dominate the market cycle, supported by evidence and data. Max also talks about the underdog status of Andy, which has grown from community support and fundraising, achieving a market cap of 70-80 million during market corrections. He encourages viewers to share content to support the Andy Army and emphasizes the need for Bitcoin's performance to influence the success of altcoins like Andy.
π Global M2 and Bitcoin Correlation Analysis
Max presents a chart analysis correlating Global M2 money supply with Bitcoin's price movements. He explains that historically, Bitcoin has topped before Global M2, with M2 entering price discovery before Bitcoin. He suggests that the current rise in Global M2 is a bullish signal for crypto, as it has preceded price discovery in the past two cycles. Max emphasizes the importance of global liquidity conditions for a global asset like Bitcoin and crypto.
π‘ Small Cap Stocks and Crypto Market Comparison
The speaker compares the performance of small cap stocks, represented by the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM), with Bitcoin's price movements. He notes that small cap stocks have historically outperformed and entered price discovery before Bitcoin, indicating a pattern that could suggest an upcoming bull market for small caps and crypto if the cycle is comparable to previous ones.
π Bitcoin's Historical Performance Post Halving and Elections
Max discusses Bitcoin's historical performance following its halving events and in relation to US presidential elections. He presents data showing that Bitcoin has typically seen a bull market for over a year following these events. The speaker uses this historical trend to argue for a bullish outlook on crypto, emphasizing the cyclical nature of Bitcoin's performance.
π Market Volatility and the Impact of Global Events
The speaker addresses the market's reaction to global events, such as the COVID-19 pandemic and economic crises, and how these events have historically led to significant market drops. He notes that despite the fear, uncertainty, and doubt caused by these events, the market has consistently recovered and provided opportunities for investors who were able to look past the immediate turmoil.
π Understanding Ethereum's Seasonal Performance
Max explores Ethereum's historical performance, particularly its seasonal outperformance against Bitcoin. He uses the ETH/BTC chart to illustrate when Ethereum has traditionally performed well, suggesting that the market is ready to go 'risk-on' when Ethereum starts to outperform Bitcoin. The speaker also discusses the importance of understanding higher timeframe cycles before diving into specific altcoin analysis.
π Technical Analysis of Ethereum and Andy
The speaker provides a technical analysis of Ethereum and Andy, highlighting their correlation and market behavior. He uses volume profiles and Fibonacci extensions to predict potential price movements and entry points for Andy. Max emphasizes the importance of understanding the relationship between Ethereum and Andy for potential investment opportunities.
π The Correlation Between Ethereum and Andy
Max discusses the direct correlation between Ethereum's price movements and Andy's performance. He demonstrates through measured moves that Andy's price fluctuations are significantly influenced by Ethereum's performance. The speaker positions Andy as a leveraged play on Ethereum, providing high potential returns alongside increased risk.
π‘ The Market Mindset and Trading Psychology
The speaker addresses the psychological aspects of trading, particularly the tendency for investors to doubt bullish scenarios even when presented with historical data and positive indicators. Max encourages viewers to consider the market's potential for growth despite current fears and uncertainties, highlighting the importance of perspective and mindset in trading.
π Wrapping Up the Crypto Market Discussion
In the final paragraph, Max wraps up the discussion by summarizing the key points made throughout the video. He reiterates the bullish case for Bitcoin and Ethereum, the importance of understanding market cycles, and the potential for altcoins like Andy to provide significant returns. Max thanks the audience for their engagement and participation in the community space.
Mindmap
Keywords
π‘Bitcoin
π‘Meme Coins
π‘Market Inflection Point
π‘Education
π‘Global M2
π‘Beta
π‘Ethereum
π‘Volume Profile
π‘Fibonacci Extension
π‘Call Option
Highlights
Max, CEO of Because Bitcoin, emphasizes the importance of education within the Andy community, aiming to make it one of the most educated communities on the planet.
The Andy community is described as being committed and tight-knit, with Max expressing his dedication to supporting and engaging with them.
Max discusses the shift from hosting midweek spaces to focusing on more educational content, especially at a critical market inflection point.
The speaker highlights the difference between Andy and other meme coins, pointing out Andy's community ownership and lack of reserved wallets for marketing.
Max presents a detailed analysis of Bitcoin's historical performance in relation to global M2 money supply, suggesting a pattern that could be bullish for crypto.
A comparison is made between small cap stocks (Russell 2000 ETF) and Bitcoin's historical performance, indicating a potential upcoming bull market for small caps and crypto.
The concept of 'Beta' in relation to meme coins is introduced, with Dogecoin historically being the top performer during market mania.
Max explains the correlation between Ethereum's performance and Andy's price movements, illustrating Andy as a leveraged play on Ethereum.
A discussion on the market's reaction to the Bitcoin halving event and its historical impact on Bitcoin's price, suggesting a potential accumulation window.
Max addresses the current market conditions, comparing the recent volatility to historical events and suggesting a potential buying opportunity.
The presenter uses the VIX spike as a reference point for market fear, discussing the potential for a market rebound following a significant drop.
An in-depth analysis of Ethereum's (ETH) price action and its role as a precursor to broader market movements, including meme coins like Andy.
Max talks about the 'Boys Club' meme coins, including Andy, and their potential to capture market interest and investment in the coming cycles.
A strategic approach to trading meme coins is presented, framing them as high-risk, high-reward plays leveraged to the performance of Ethereum.
The speaker shares his bullish outlook on the crypto market, providing a comprehensive analysis of various indicators and patterns.
Max concludes by reiterating the importance of community and education, inviting viewers to join the BB Discord for further discussions and insights.
Transcripts
hey what's going on everybody thank you
so much for being here my name is Max I
am the CEO of because Bitcoin and I'm
also an Andy Enthusiast and an Andy
holder um we're going to talk about a
lot of stuff today
normally well let me put it this way in
the past we have run spaces sort of
midweek either like a Wednesday or a
Thursday um where
basically I use my platform and my media
company to help basically curate a space
for all of the Andy Community to come
and hang out I give some of my thoughts
on the market what I'm seeing out there
what I'm not seeing out there um we
invite a lot of community members up at
the end to come and speak and hang out
um it's usually a really great time I've
been so damn busy lately with life and
work we got a whole bunch of stuff going
on uh with BB and I've been slacking
I've been slacking on the spaces and the
truth is that will be no more we're
going to be doing a lot more of this um
especially as I believe the market is at
a very important inflection point and
fork in the road it is extremely
important now more than ever for the
Andy Army to remain a tight group and a
committed group um and I want to be
there every step of the way for you guys
and use my reach to kind of be hug
everybody uh and bring everybody in it's
nice and cozy on the inside so um
anyways we're doing things a little bit
differently today all right let me just
make sure the stream looks good real
quick um we're doing things just a
little bit differently today all right
normally like I said we are on X and
today we are actually on YouTube and I I
guess technically I have this on X as
well so maybe some of you are watching
it there um but basically we are on X
right or we are on X and YouTube right
now and I think one area that that I've
struggled with a little bit is my main
objective with what I'm trying to
provide for the Andy Army as a community
member is I want the Andy Community to
be one of the most educated communities
on the planet right A lot of people that
are involved in meme coins you know they
pop up these Twitter spaces and the
whole thing is rah rah rah look how
funny our meme is we're so based and
cool like that's great and all but no
one's learning anything and it's very
subjective what I want to provide for
the Andy community given my skill set
and my platform is I want the Andy
holders to be some of the most educated
holders um of any meme coin out there
because an educated Community is a
wealthy one um and if you understand
what to look for and you understand why
the market is moving the way that it is
you will not feel the pressure when the
market pulls back and you won't feel the
Euphoria when the market is
outperforming right so I want to be a
resource and at a minimum Beyond making
some money this cycle with Andy My Hope
Is that you will reflect back on this
stream uh some of the other spaces we've
done any of the content that we've done
and you'll say not only did I make money
and I meet some cool people at the same
time uh but I have some skills that I
believe will translate over and last me
um through my investing Journey as long
as that may be so we're going to go over
a lot of different things today because
this isn't just about Andy anymore right
I'm going to give a little bit of
background right but you know this is
this is not a little tiny it can do
whatever it wants kind of meme coin
anymore you know some of these meme
coins that pop up that are brand new
they catch that early hype and then they
die off and they never come back or they
don't pump twice or even three times
whatever um you know and it it's sort of
the attention economy right it's a hot
ball of money and and where there's
attention where something is new and
shiny and sparkly um it will attract
liquidity but the question is will that
liquidity remain and stay and does the
market actually have a a longer
understanding interest or motivation to
invest and hold money in a product or a
vehicle um you know like a lot of these
meme coins we're seeing right now and
the answer to most of them is no Andy
has answered that question as yes there
is going to be and there is already
provable uh long-standing speculative
interest and fervor into something like
Andy Andy started out you know it it's
one of the four boys club members right
you got Pepe who's the king Pepe
certainly poised to be sort of the king
large cap Mega cap meme of this cycle
you can see the writing on the wall
right now exchanges are listing it but
then you also have something like Brett
right based Brett which is now a billion
doll meme it's dominating Bas um
basically acting as like base tokens so
you kind of have these like these two
Mega cap like they're going to be multi-
Deca billion doll memes you know Pepe
and Brett which both originate from Matt
fur's boy club and then you have two
smaller members of the boys club right
now and we'll talk about potentially
closing that Gap later in the Stream but
then you also have Andy and you have
land wolf right so you've got these four
boy club members and I have no doubt
that the boy club narrative is going to
be the hottest Narrative of this meme
cycle without question I can see the
correlations in front of me I'm going to
present you with all the evidence and
all the data um but there is some
serious interest in this narrative and I
believe you're going to eventually in
the not too distant future see a sort of
refocusing and reconcentration of right
now scarce but soon to be not so scarce
liquidity into legitimate projects that
have legitimate narratives and they're
always going to have that General market
speculation right and that's something
that the beauty of the boys club is hey
Pepe goes up what about the other boys
club members right so because of the way
that this cycle has shaped up and we've
seen an early rise from you know a
couple memes Pepe and now Brett on base
you know you're seeing that translate
over into you know a really legitimate
narrative um that I believe is going to
shock a lot of people some of you
listening probably not you've probably
been in this stuff for a little bit um
and you're like let's go preach that
Max let's role um but I think it's
I think it's going to be looked back on
as um as one of the hottest and I
believe this will extend into multiple
Cycles I do I don't I don't think this
is going to go anywhere um but anyways
enough enough of that let me check some
comments let's um let's do some talking
let's talk about um let's talk about
some charts let me pull up a chart we're
going to talk about Andy too but I want
to because like I said said right like
Andy was Andy was and still is you know
it's the underdog right it's it's it's
an underdog It's A Cinderella Story
right Community owned Community funded
the community raised like over half a
million dollars already for exchange
listings no wallets set aside for
marketing or listings or anything like
that everything that Andy has
accomplished has come through like the
Blood Sweat and Tears um of the
community you know um and we're going to
talk about all that right but
Andy yet I mean it's still an underdog
in one regard but it's not like it's
some 5 million market cap like trying to
get it off the floor kind of kind of
ticker like Andy with the broader Market
has corrected recently and it's chilling
at like 70 to 80 million market cap
during like the belly of this local
correction which is an outrageous one
right which we're going to talk about so
it's it's kind of graduated right it's
kind of graduated into a different class
we're talk about all that but let me
just let me just check some comments
here real quick all right make sure
we're looking
good all right welcome guys what's up
how we doing
um yeah guys little little reminder like
let's smash that like button all right
do me a favor like if you want to do
your part um in helping get this content
out all you got to do is hit that Thumbs
Up Button like hit that Thumbs Up Button
if you're on Twitter hit the heart
button and then hit the retweet buttton
that's literally all you have to do I'll
do all the the yapping I'll show all the
charts but like you want to do your part
um for the boys club you want to do your
part for the Andy Army share it that's
all you got to do really really easy all
right yeah welcome guys we're looking
good I see a lot of regulars in here
fantastic guys beautiful
beautiful all right so we're going to do
like a really General like kind of
market update I want to share a couple
things with you like this chart that I
have in front of you and then we're
going to we're going to kind of work our
way backwards okay
because you have to understand that like
Andy like I've mentioned so many times
is it has
graduated and you can't just post a
chart about Andy at 1 million and then
like everyone will find out about it and
it's going to get like you know a lot of
attention it's now synced up with Majors
right so in order for Andy to do well we
need Bitcoin to do well the reason we
need Bitcoin to do well is because Andy
won't perform well eth doesn't perform
well because Andy is eth beta so we're
going to talk about the potential
conditions in front of us which is why
we're interested in Andy so this is an
interesting chart I tweeted this out the
other day so some of you have probably
seen this but Bitcoin is doing like more
or less what it has always done all
right so what we're looking at right now
let me just hide this real
quick
okay what we're looking at right now
is we have Global M2 which is in the
green down below and we have Bitcoin
above right so why should we be bullish
crypto that's the first question that
you have to ask is why should I be
bullish crypto okay so what is M2 I'm
going to read you the definition okay M2
is the US federal reserves estimate of
the total money supply including all the
cash people have on hand plus all the
money deposited in checking accounts
saving accounts and other short-term
saving vehicles such as CDs okay now
this is
not this is not just us M2 this is
global M2 so I don't know exactly what's
in this equation but probably the
largest you know the largest central
banks in the world the collective m2s of
the large like it's probably excluding
some of the smaller companies or not
companies countries but this is not just
the US this is global and this is
important to look at and recognize hey I
shouldn't just be looking at us
liquidity conditions I should be looking
at global liquidity conditions and
Global monetary policy because Bitcoin
and crypto is a global asset you guys
are watching from all over the world
right now you guys are you guys are
watching not just from the us some of
you are all over the place it's probably
four in the morning somewhere for you
guys watching this right now okay so
what are we seeing right now kind of
similar to previous Cycles right you'll
see a you know Bitcoin tops a little bit
before Global M2 there's a bit of a lag
to it but then M2 will actually go into
price to Discovery before Bitcoin gets
back up into price Discovery so look
right here November 2019 Global M2 in
price Discovery happened before Bitcoin
went into price Discovery right now
global M2 in price Discovery basically
all of this year so far Bitcoin has kind
of gone into price Discovery I would say
that it really hasn't yet okay I would
say that we kind of swept the previous
all-time high but this is not price
Discovery price Discovery is when
Bitcoin does a parabola like this is
nothing this is reaccumulation we have
to patiently wait but right now the
important thing to note is that Global
M2 is ramping up this is starting and
it's starting right as it has in the
previous two cycles um which is very
encouraging right so why should we be
bullish crypto um well there you have it
right Global M2 is on the rise I think
it makes a really compelling and
interesting
case handful of other reasons but we do
need to like keep it moving right
because if I just talk about why Bitcoin
is bullish and I give you every reason
um we'll be here for a long time we'll
be here for five hours so we need to
work our way down the chain because
ultimately we're here to talk about Andy
right so we need to get to Andy why am I
bullish Bitcoin that's the first
question why am I bullish cryptos
because I'm bullish Bitcoin Global
liquidity is on the rise okay now
additionally I'm GNA add a couple other
like little charts onto here okay so
we're going to put iwm up here as well
this is one one of my favorite
comparisons so iwm is the Russell 2000
ETF and for those that don't know what
this is the Russell
2000 the Russell 2000 is small caps in
the US it's all your codes it's
like you know the it's the altcoin index
of the stock market okay so I'll label
this for you guys real quick
okay now one thing you'll not
here and I'm going to just mark this out
real quick is when small caps begin to
outperform right and when small caps go
into price Discovery what happens all
right I'll just do something like
this all right and I'm going to Mark out
the previous all-time highs for Bitcoin
as well so we can Mark out when Bitcoin
has actually gone into price
Discovery all right here we go
beautiful so you can see I've got the
the previous all-time highs marked out
here for Bitcoin and then also small cap
stocks in the US I also have Global M2
down below what do you notice about the
timing of this okay now I'm going to
take these so we'll leave these blue
lines I'm going to add some more we're
going to Mark out when the Russell the
Russell 2000
iwm has gone into price Discovery and
we're going to Market with a we'll just
do like a red line all right see that
red line right there that's when iwm has
gone into price Discovery and then when
Bitcoin has gone into price Discovery
we'll mark it with orange hopefully you
guys can see that here I'll make it
thicker um here we go all right perfect
so Russell goes into price Discovery in
red Bitcoin goes in price Discovery in
and orange okay now we're going to Mark
out the last cycle as well Russell goes
into price Discovery right here and then
here's
Bitcoin right now neither one has
happened yet right but we're beginning
to see the conditions that are
appropriate for a major small cap and
crypto bull market if this cycle is at
all comparable to previous Cycles right
and and what we'll notice here is yeah
there was like a little you know kind of
like bleep little deviation or whatever
um recently for iwm but bitcoin's
hanging out under the previous cycle
all-time high you know like it was a
little bit more so in like 2016 2017
with global M2 leading both small cap
stocks and crypto once again as it's
done in the previous two cycles so
something I'd be looking for here pretty
soon is for you know again like we'll
want to see we'll want to see these
index indes and we'll want to see
Bitcoin continue to work its way up into
price Discovery and then Trail you know
Global liquidity just like it has
because look I've got this the blue line
is when uh when Global M2 has gone into
price Discovery so Global M2 price
Discovery then you have iwm then you
have Bitcoin Global M2 price Discovery
then you have iwm then you have Bitcoin
it's never going to be perfect but the
point of me showing you this is like
there are some very specific and
recognizable signals that we've seen in
previous Cycles it's always possible
that this time is somehow different but
I believe given especially where Bitcoin
is hanging out which is just like wedged
between 55 and 70k we'll say for five
months now while Global M2 is is slowly
but surely climbing into price Discovery
we've seen these conditions before we've
seen these conditions before so I'm
going to remove this we're going to pull
up another Bitcoin chart here okay
because I I need to I need to thoroughly
and sufficiently answer the
question why are we bullish crypto here
right like why are we bullish crypto
here and you can only be bullish crypto
if you're bullish Bitcoin your altcoin
Andy included will not move it will not
go crazy unless Bitcoin goes crazy that
I promise you eth won't go crazy Soul
won't go crazy Andy won't go crazy
nothing will go crazy unless Bitcoin
gives it that trigger which is Bitcoin
and price Discovery so we need to talk
about Bitcoin first and then we're going
to work our way down the chain okay
because Bitcoin still is the king um all
right I'm I saved some of these drawings
in advance so in a very very very simple
way very simple way we're going to put
up the Bitcoin Habs okay here are the
Bitcoin
havingsex having third having most
recent having you can typically see here
that like there's a little bit of a low
I'm actually going to zoom in and we're
going to look at it um going back to the
first Bitcoin having and these dates
they move a little bit but they should
be within like a day here's the first
having okay Bitcoin was literally 15
bucks here was the amount of time that
it took for Bitcoin after the having to
really kind of ramp up and go into price
Discovery now I don't even like using
this first having it as as an example
because Bitcoin was literally
$15 but it took you know it took a
couple months two to three months okay
we're going to keep going we'll go to
the next cycle
for Bitcoin to go into price
Discovery I would say Bitcoin didn't
really go into price Discovery after the
second having which was like that the
beautiful 2016 and 2017 Parabola it was
like right here I know we kind of like
got above that previous all-time high um
this is the previous alltime high and
then here's the
having this time it took 290 days I
would say this was like the real start
you know this was still like junky price
action right here I would say the real
start was was right in here
okay so 290 days from the having until
when Bitcoin really decided to like
let's go let's blow the top off this
thing let's keep moving how about last
cycle let's mark out the previous
all-time high when does Bitcoin go into
price Discovery Well here's the having
you can see very clearly there's the
previous cycle all-time high let's take
a measured
move 29 days all right so so far and I
don't even like the first cycle because
it was so tiny Actually I don't even
have that marked out correctly what am I
doing sorry I don't even have that
marked out right let me go back I don't
know what I was doing there it's a
little bit longer still don't love it
right it's like Bitcoin was literally 30
bucks but we use it so so far we have
after the Bitcoin having it took 113
days in the first cycle for Bitcoin to
really decide it was going to
move uh two cycles ago 2016 2017 it took
290 days roughly last cycle
29 where are we at right
now where are we at let's mark out the
previous all-time
high this is I'm not counting this as
price Discovery by the way this is not
price Discovery this is garbage this is
chop so let's see where we're at right
now all right let's take a measured move
from the
having so far it's been 114
days are you feeling discouraged
yet are you feeling discouraged the
previous two cycles it took 291 days and
219 days
are you feeling
discouraged maybe we're doing this right
we could this has definitely been a
cycle of first right one thing that I
notice about this cycle compared to
previous Cycles is that for one we made
an all-time high before the Bitcoin
having like look
we we made an all-time high before a
Bitcoin here's the Bitcoin having we
made an all-time high technically
speaking before Bitcoin
having here was here was last cycle
nowhere
near two cycles
ago nowhere near right nowhere near not
even
close first
cycle nowhere near right so there are
little distinct differences that would
potentially suggest like you know
what it you know we we could be ahead of
schedule right and we we might not have
to wait another 100 days or something
like that I mean you could very easily
do this right and be like yeah like from
that high you know we front ran the
having this was an ETF pump like we're
already 150 days into it you know we
should start climbing that's possible
too right like I won't I won't tell you
that it's impossible I'm just presenting
you with with the data right and the
data right now is telling you to sit on
your hands right like this is telling
you to sit on your hands because if we
don't go on to like really go and do a
aggressive price Discovery for let's
just say another few months or something
which would be in my opinion grueling
right because it's already been five
months of sitting here so I I kind of
don't think it'll be that long I think
it might be sooner than than people
think but you know if you had gotten
shaking out you know right in here
because you're like oh we're not moving
you know or right in here 2013 oh we're
not moving or how about oh the the third
Bitcoin having was a failure look at the
drop we just had this is terrible price
action I mean look at like this data
shouldn't discourage you it should
encourage you to basically like if this
pattern is going to continue and if we
are going to go up which I think we
should right based on historical Trends
and historical patterns this is the
accumulation
window like right here for like the next
60 days potentially if you're that lucky
this is the accumulation
window that's it this is the
accumulation window is right after the
Bitcoin having you typically get a
ShakeOut you look to deploy right it's
that
simple um all right let me remove these
drawings we're going to add on another
little thing here um we are going to add
on the US elections all right this is
one of my charts I just made a video on
this but I want to show you guys again
again we are answer we are starting this
stream by answering the question why are
we bullish
crypto right why are we bullish
crypto all
right what do we notice here let's go
down a little bit we're going to go to
the first
cycle for one the first Bitcoin having
in the US presidential election happened
almost on the same
day what do you notice about
this Bitcoin has a bare Market I mean
again I don't like the first cycle
because it's like Bitcoin was so cheap
but Bitcoin has a cycle drops down puts
in a low chop chop chop kind of like
slowly grinds its way
up it's moving up right it's in red but
it's moving up US presidential election
and then Bitcoin basically goes on to
have price Discovery in a bull market
for 386 days so just over a year get the
having you get the
election how about two cycles ago
Bitcoin
having us presidential
election 406 days of a bull market after
the US presidential election grinding up
into
it 406 days so first cycle was 386 406
so again just over a year how about last
cycle Bitcoin having in Black us
presidential election in blue grinding
up this is grinding up I know you had
like you know a lot of chop and stuff
but like we we were moving up with
without a question we were moving up and
then 366 days until the Bitcoin Global
top so almost a year exactly so in in
the three previous
Cycles if you were buying basically
between the Bitcoin having in the US
presidential election and you just held
for one year you would have outperformed
like
99.99% of
Traders here's the
data so like why are we bullish
crypto well there is a cyclical Trend
that has very clearly presented itself
in front of us right and here it
is the timing of it will never be
perfect right like every cycle has
little granularities and intricacies
that are different but here's your
pattern right like grind up into the
election and buy sometime between the
Bitcoin having and the US presidential
election that's the data that's the
trend regard like ignoring everything
else right like ignoring all the macro
like
everything like what what do we see
every
time these lines need to go hang on
here oh it's it was syncing up the
charts
all right well what do we see here here
let me remove this oh my
goodness oh my
goodness yeah all right let me just do
this then
um I'll just remake this real quick on
the bottom it's
fun so what do we like
that looks pretty
brutal all right you get the point
that's
fine what do we get every single
time every single time there's a Bitcoin
having and a presidential election you
get Global
M2 oops
that is that is not what we want this is
what we
want all right hang
on you get Global M2 On The Rise
trending up in price Discovery heading
into the Bitcoin having and presidential
election the time to buy historically if
this trend is going to continue to buy
crypto to get exposure to crypto this is
it
here's your evidence like i' I've
presented it to you as clearly as I
possibly
can it's all happening exactly the same
and then there's all this um and then
there's all this like you know this
noise around it right there's always
like and here's the thing that I think a
lot of
people maybe forget is that there is
always there's always way more reasons
to be bearish than bullish like there's
always some like crap going on in the
world there's always you know there's
always tension between two countries or
there's always some like job scare or
there's always I don't know some
politician causing drama like there's
always if you were to and I see this
with a lot of people like if you were to
to not focus on some of the more
important cyclical Trends and just
hyperfocus on like a couple data points
right and the scary data points and I'm
with you scary dat points right they
shouldn't be
ignored um you would basically be a deer
in the headlights and you would never
bid and deploy and hold through
volatility because you'd see these guys
on Twitter Doom posting being like it's
all over this was the everything bubble
like everything is going to zero and you
would literally never invest even though
you have Global M2 On The Rise and you
know that typically you know the year
following a US presidential election
regardless of who takes office
regardless whether it's a democrat or a
republican whether it's a a new new
incumbent running or or the existing
incumbent stays in office it doesn't
matter it's just that the office turns
over or even stays the
same and also Bitcoin having and and the
Mechanics for Bitcoin
day to the
next has their minor you know minor
block rewards cut in half then there's a
pretty large and measurable uh sell
pressure potentially removed from the
ask side of the books now granted a lot
of the sell-offs right around the
Bitcoin having are from Bitcoin miners
prepping for the Bitcoin having but
eventually things kind of work
themselves out and Bitcoin appreciates
and Bitcoin mining becomes profitable
again so you know I'm I'm trying my best
to like drown out a lot of the
like a lot of the data points that I
think are
just they're important but I think that
they're overblown and given too much
weight because like the cyclical trend
is is up from
here here's the data you know like why
are we bullish
crypto well here you go here's part of
the reason
right here's part of the
reason we're going to start working our
way down the chain a little bit here
guys let me just check in on some
comments real
quick um see how we're
doing make sure we're still live and I'm
not talking into the
abyss all right yeah it looks like we're
doing well here
guys all right nice turnout today guys
thanks for showing up do me a solid if
you can like I said if you want to help
um just hit that thumbs up button for me
guys hit that Thumbs Up Button if you're
watching on X hit the heart button hit
the retweet button all right it's really
easy it costs $ Z and it just takes a
second
um I'm here doing all the yapping all
you got to do is just hit that heart
button hit that retweet button so I
believe is you know I believe that we
have so far we have answered the
question like why are we bullish right
why would we be bullish crypto all right
and I think this does a pretty good job
of keeping it keeping it a little simple
right like we covered a lot of things
got a lot of colors to look at but in a
very general High time frame look I'm
not talking about is Bitcoin going to be
higher or lower than this next week I'm
talking about you know 400 days from now
what does the trend tell
us and here it is right I'm not talking
about one week I'm talking about
positioning from now through the next
year if there's going to be a decade
worth of a trend that continues this
time and this time is not
different why are we bullish crypto all
right now
we're going to work our way down a
little bit here guys thanks for uh
thanks for the likes looks like we just
cracked 200 on YouTube we got 330
watching how are we doing on Twitter I
haven't even checked Twitter let's
see oh beautiful man 91 likes on Twitter
that's great 30 retweets guys are
animals you guys are absolute
animals thanks for the support guys the
Andy Army appreciates you
um all
right all right let's keep moving let's
keep moving down the train here so let's
uh oh
man all right what do I even want to do
with this chart quick
uh here's what I'm going to do with this
chart I'm gonna close this chart I don't
want to look at it anymore that's too
much that's too much we're going to open
up a new one here open up
a all right and now we're going to move
over to ethereum okay now this is where
things get really important okay this is
where things get really really important
we're going to talk about why that
is going
remove the alert line we don't need that
all right so when does ethereum
typically perform well guys when does
ethereum typically perform well well
actually what I'm going to do is I'm
going to show you this first um we're
going to put up
BLX I want to show
you when eth typically performs well now
the reason I'm going to show you why eth
typically performs well is because in
order for Andy to do well you need eth
to do well in order for eth to do well
you need Bitcoin to do well we just
talked about why we think bitcoin's
going to do well okay now we're going to
work our way down the chain here so here
here's Bitcoin up top and what we're
going to do is we're going to put ethusd
down below
okay here we go we'll make the chart
look nice and pretty hopefully you guys
um I published a free BB Academy course
too a lot of you guys will ask me from
time to time like Hey how do you get
your charts to look the way that they do
like I love how your charts look um and
I published a free trading view course
um on how to do that so you guys should
check check that out as well I think
it's probably there's probably a link to
BB Academy down in the description so
when we're done here um if you guys want
to learn how I do all my charting and
make them look the way that they do um
again it's it's totally free I we hit
20,000 um on YouTube and I wanted to
just do a little thank you so um put
that together for you guys it's like
maybe like an hour a little bit longer
than an hour course so um yeah it's
pretty great like I I went into like a
lot of detail on how to how to make your
charts look sexy so let's uh let's keep
moving here so we're going to talk about
actually I'm going to move that back
down real quick we're going to talk
about when eth is going to start
performing well okay which again is of
course contingent upon Bitcoin so let's
mark out the previous all-time highs
here for Bitcoin all
right previous cycle all-time
highs for
Bitcoin and then we are going to move
eth
up and I'll just do it this way this is
fine so now we have Bitcoin up top and
we have eth just below it all right now
I want to Mark
out when eth has really started to
perform
well okay and pretty clearly it's like
right here
right we'll say like this is when eth
just went crazy like the time to hold
eth eth right here went from like and
I'm I'm you could pick any spot you can
go here you can go here it doesn't
really matter right but you want this
move the reason to hold eth is you want
to outperform bitcoin like if you're not
going to outperform bitcoin with
anything just hold Bitcoin it's really
simple Bitcoin is the safest most time
tested most decentralized most
infrastructure built around it just hold
Bitcoin right but if you're a Trader and
you're looking to outperform make sure
that you're outperforming Bitcoin and
then the real question is like what
What's the
timing where do the probabilities align
and Stack Up so that we have the
greatest potential chance to outperform
bitcoin right and that's what we're
talking about and it starts with Bitcoin
going into price Discovery and then it
starts with eth following and then it
works further down the chain and we're
going to get to Andy but in order to
understand Andy you need to understand
the higher time frame cycles first
okay so here's eth down below I'll just
uh I I changed the colors so you guys
should be able to easily recognize it
but I will label it as well
there's
Bitcoin all right so Bitcoin up top eth
down below and these horizontal lines
are when Bitcoin uh basically it's bit
Bitcoin cycle tops okay and then this we
actually just make this blue for eth
this blue line is when you've wanted to
hold eth against Bitcoin right because
right here eth went from 10 bucks to
1,200 that's pretty good let's keep it
moving how about last
cycle Bitcoin goes into price Discovery
eth went from
uh looks like 500 bucks all the way up
to almost 5,000 right just just a little
under 4,800 all right and Bitcoin at
that time went from you know 20,000 uh
just under 70,000 right
so what are we potentially looking at
right
here maybe the same thing right maybe
the same thing and just another way to
look at this is actually just putting up
the eth BTC chart this is actually
ethereum divided by Bitcoin for those
that don't know this is one of my
favorite charts it's been bleeding a lot
recently but from a higher time frame
cycle perspective like when does eth BTC
which is eth denominated in Bitcoin if
this chart is moving up like this that
means eth's outperforming Bitcoin if
it's moving down it's the opposite
bitcoin's outperforming eth eth is
outperforming Bitcoin here and for the
past two years plus it's been more than
two years Bitcoin coin has been a better
hold than ethereum right I'm not talking
about eth beta I'm talking about both
l1s right Bitcoin versus literal Bitcoin
versus literal eth I'm not talking about
any like beta plays or anything like
that
okay so here's eth BTC down below I mean
you can see from this pair that
typically when Bitcoin goes into price
discovery which is right around here
right around here you can see that the
eth BTC pair begins to you know really
ramp up and then once you know Bitcoin
right around here right like right
around here this is when you know this
is when things get wild like this is
when you want to be in ethereum versus
Bitcoin is right as Bitcoin is tucked
underneath that previous cycle all-time
high and reaccumulated and um here I'm
just going to put on a um Bitcoin have
there must be a having indicator I've
used one
before um
here um okay kind of an ugly yellow but
I just wanted to throw the Bitcoin
are the Bitcoin
super clean here's
having why did that go to the downside
here just do
this all right there you go so here's
your
uh the previous election let's get the
date right was November 4th
2016 wait that's the one that I just did
hang on
November November 6
2016 here we
go right here so that was the election
there and then in 2020 the date of the
election would say November 8th
2020 right around here so actually if
history tells us anything and this
hasn't happened yet so I'll just Mark
the election out here's November of this
year if history tells us anything it's
that buying ethereum actually rather
than Bitcoin even though I have this
chart for you buying ethereum sometime
between the Bitcoin having which is in
Orange and the election which is in red
actually has yielded some pretty
tremendous
outperformance against Bitcoin the
king in the previous Cycles right um
here's the evidence right so that would
mean eth will begin to
outperform I mean relatively soon right
like maybe it's earlier maybe it's later
but like this is your WI
window right here I'm going to mark this
out in green like this is your eth
accumulation
window right here your eth accumulation
window is now until the election right
and then you basically just hold it for
like you know N9 months
that's the
cycle there's a million ways to over
complicate it but that's the higher time
frame Trend
right that's the high time frame
Trend let me just check in on the stream
real
quick
okay all right now what we're going to
do is we've already established why
we're bullish Bitcoin right we've got
havingsex we've got Global liquidity On
The Rise right now we've established why
we should actually be more bullish
ethereum right now basically now through
the end of the end of the next basically
now through the next year roughly okay
give or
take now we've established why we're
bullish Bitcoin and we've established
additionally why historically speaking
we should be more bullish seasonally on
ethereum than Bitcoin okay
now now now now we need to talk about
beta all right we need to talk about
beta so what we're going to
do we're going to clear all the drawings
okay we're going to clear all the
drawings we're going to reset our
chart we're actually going to put eth
BTC back up right so we just talked
about we just talked about why we're
bullish Bitcoin
therefore we should be bullish ethereum
seasonally now let's go back through
some some previous Cycles to see when
like Mania has really commenced right
and up until this cycle there's really
only been like one king meme coin which
was Doge all right so what we're going
to do is we're going to put Doge down
below
doge is the Bitcoin of meme coins
I hope you understand what I mean when I
say that and Doge literally is kind of a
fork of of Bitcoin as well like it's a
fork of Litecoin which is a fork of
Bitcoin kind of strange but I think you
get the
point it's decentralized it's proof of
work it's been around longer than
ethereum right which is
crazy but there's been a few
instances in time when Doge
has basically just gone
nuts and what's been the trigger for
that what is the trigger for Doge going
nuts which up until this cycle has been
like when you want to go
crazy you buy Doge right like when you
think the market is reaching like Peak
froth Peak
Mania you've bought Doge historically
this cycle I think it's actually a
little B bit different it's a little bit
diluted I actually think there's other
things you can buy which is partially
why we're here
um would you look at
this we're going to Mark out when eth
BTC starts going
crazy there's your bottom
beautiful all right so let's look at the
previous two
cycles cycle one
here's Doge down below here's eth BTC up
top we just went over what that is this
is when when this is moving up this top
chart I'll actually do this ethereum
blue and Bitcoin
orange you guys like that when it's
going up they're nice eth Blue candles
when they're going down uh Bitcoin
candles right cuz that means bitcoin's
outperforming so when this chart is
going up eth is outperforming Bitcoin
look at what happens to risk to
Beta to meme coins when eth BTC goes
crazy eth BTC is not just it's not just
evaluating how is ethereum doing against
Bitcoin what eth BTC is doing is telling
you the Market's ready to go risk on
it's an oscillator at this
point and some people will argue oh
that's Salon of this cycle you could be
right but I think it's too early to say
I think salana is going to do really
well also but um I do believe that this
will this will prevail once again in
that when we see eth BTC begin to Rally
you will start to see the whole Market
go risk on all right so first cycle Doge
BAS basically went from
.21 up to
0.004 I need to move this down and take
a measured move that it's going to be
crazy hang
on
okay so when eth BTC in the first cycle
went
crazy Doge immediately
followed when a 2,000% in 3 months and
to the actual Global top it went up
almost 10,000% okay 10,000% in that year
following right we've talked about that
year before right here's your
year you buy in the red specifically
your last window of time to accumulate
is between the having and the election
then you get a year historically
speaking okay here's your
year eth BTC goes crazy Doge which is
again eth BTC is your risk on gauge doge
is an individual ticker that is like the
king beta at least historically that's
what it's been this cycle it might be
different how about last
cycle how about last
cycle Doge when eth BTC put in a high
time frame pivot and actually went up
and E BTC tripled in like no
time yeah eth BTC tripled in like for
five four to five months
okay look at when eth BTC puts in a high
time frame pivot and begins to
outperform look what happened to
Doge 18,000
per in four
months off of the back of eth BTC being
the
trigger pretty
crazy all right so what could we
potentially expect this cycle right all
right well there's a lot more meme coins
this cycle but eth BTC hasn't started to
like really aggressively outperform yet
so here's our eth BTC outperformance
line right I think that that pivot is
coming very soon if we haven't already
just had it
right you're going to continue to see
the same pattern play over and over and
over again in my
opinion big Bitcoin will lead bitcoin's
a better hold except for like 6 months
every four years then you want to hold
beta then you want to go risk
on right what's going on here let me see
some comments what is going on here
who's
rugan what is going on hang
on unreal thank you Connor
um okay hang on what is this guy saying
retail but retail is not here won't be
here through next year you're looking
too much at the technicals and not at
the
fundamentals he doesn't deserve any
likes if he's going to string you all
along like this seriously it's hard to
watch and don't watch man if you don't
like it you don't you don't have to
watch it
yeah man rugan you're just you're just
salty
bro you're just salty man we've been
crushing
it yeah all right we're going to get rid
of him I don't think he's here for the
right reasons I don't think he's
actually like constructive I think he's
just kind of
trolling goodbye rugan it's been a
pleasure all right no worries guys it's
it's just I'm just a guy sharing his
opinions um I understand local
volatility can be stressful um you know
and every cycle could be different right
but I'm here providing analysis and my
opinions um you don't have to like it if
you disagree that's totally cool like I
actually would love for somebody like if
you have differing opinions go to
Twitter I'll look at the Stream because
it's streaming on X as well post your
charts post your analysis other than
just being like it's never coming it's
over you're not looking at the
fundamentals no I promise you I've
looked at all the fundamentals as
well and I I promise you I've looked at
at all of the at all of it you know we
don't have time to cover every single
like macro indicator you
know anyways all right let's let's keep
it rolling
let me get a little bit of water
here all right so we've
established why we are bullish Bitcoin
or why this historically speaking has
been a good time to be bullish
Bitcoin and then we've also established
that basically buying ethereum instead
of Bitcoin between the Bitcoin having in
the US election historically has aged
very well now we've just given a premier
example
as to what eth BTC actually represents
and what eth BTC actually
represents is not just eth kicking
Bitcoins but performance-wise for a
small window of time what it represents
is this Market is ready to bid and it's
ready to bid everything under the sun
that's what that
means all
right
now let's talk about our favorite
beta let's talk about it
all we'll leave this for
now what we need to do is we need to
talk
about we need to talk about
eth I'm going to explain to you
something about
eth and
Andy we've already
established we've set the stage for why
we are bullish the things that we are
bullish but now I'm going to show
you precisely why Andy moves the way
that Andy moves
now up top is eth we're going to make it
blue for
ethereum down below we'll uh actually
we'll just keep Andy we'll keep Andy
green and red for now that's
fine and then we'll uh we'll move it up
okay now what you'll know notice about
Andy right is it's sitting at like
between 70 and 80 million right
and actually what I want to do is let me
just so I'm just going to show an Andy
chart real quick on like what I'm seeing
locally and then we're going to get back
into that example as to why it moves the
way that it
does oh it's saving my my chart colors
that's
interesting let's put that back to green
and red
red all
right so
Andy just like most altcoins right now
are pulling back because Bitcoin pulled
back and then eth pulled back and then
you know stocks pulled back and you know
that's altcoins right that's beta and
I'm going to show you why they're moving
the way that they are but you know right
below us we have something that I would
consider to be Mega demand and here I'll
actually I'll redraw this all together
um but basically what we're going to do
is we're going to draw a volume profile
which gives you X-ray vision into the
market um and it shows you where the
area of most transacting has occurred
right so right now the area on the chart
in which most of the transacting has
occurred has been this red line it's
called the point of control all right
and of course it's basically like all of
this right here accumulation
you
know this was all buying that ultimately
led to to this right Andy pumped from 40
million up to 300 million was the the
all-time high so far okay so in a very
short period of time Andy was scooped up
in this accumulation and then rocketed
up to 300 million right so what we have
right here is we have a high time frame
Demand with a high time frame point of
control sitting right below the current
level this is a really nice level you
know whether we just go up from here and
we do something like this you know like
could see that as well or you know
whether we come back retest the point of
control again this is going to be a hard
level to chew through unless eth
literally goes on to make a new low or
something like that which by the way I
am not
expecting um so anyways quick look at
Andy um additionally I mean you could
you could draw something kind of like
this right like you have like a little
compression Happening Here similar to
what happened like over here just doing
this really really quickly but I just
want to show you think of it as like a
bouncy ball that's running out of steam
right it's like you drop a ball on
asphalt and it's like boom boom boom and
then it runs out of momentum and it has
nowhere to go except you have to pick
the ball back up so you can bounce it
again right so that's what happened over
here bouncy ball bouncy ball bouncy ball
nowhere to go pick it up we drop it
again bouncy ball bouncy ball bouncy
ball pick it up nowhere to go again
right it's called in a technical term it
could be called seller exhaustion right
um but I just want to I wanted to share
that a little bit I think it's kind of
like an interesting and I would say
unique way to look at it but in my
opinion this is what I'm seeing with
Andy right here like this is your
accumulation region okay now let's go
back to eth I want to talk to you guys
about why Andy moved moves the way that
it does right and then we're going to
we're going to we're going to string it
all back in together like why are we
bullish Bitcoin why are we bullish eth
why would we bullish eth over Bitcoin
why would we hold Andy over eth you know
we're going to get into all that okay so
let's take a look at the last Andy pump
this one that we were just talking about
okay so this here's Andy and you'll
notice you know right here we started
pumping right basically Andy and I'll
mark this out here um from this
low to we'll just call this the high I
don't really think this was an I think
this was like an me bot or something
like that so we're just going to call
this the high but you get the
point um all right so there was our
there was our
rally and Andy went up
725
per um and that was over
two weeks just over two weeks okay so
plus seven we'll just do 700% it was a
little bit more in two weeks okay and we
will put
that we'll put that on the top that's
fine all right now what do we notice
about eth right
here oh that was right when eth pumped
pumped
interesting okay how about we do this
let's move Andy up
now we'll get this
organized all right here's eth up top
here's Andy down
below eth fires first ever so SL
slightly me go down to the even lower
time frames eth fires
first and
then right there once eth kind of chills
out and it has acceptance significantly
higher than it is or it was because it
was at like you know 3,000 and it marked
up to
3,800 Andy went up Plus 700% in two
weeks right that was your trigger now
let's keep moving right here
and I don't even need this anymore we'll
just mark it out okay we'll just Mark
we'll just Mark out all the
levels here we go
Andy right over here in
July
eth popped up a little bit right and
actually let me just change this color
this is bugging
me Andy rallied from 80 million to 200
million and look what happened eth just
jumped a little
bit right are you seeing the pattern
right in front of you are you beginning
to see the
pattern so what do you think is going to
happen next right let's let's let's mark
this out just a little bit okay
eth goes on to break structure to the
upside and he
fires eth goes on to break structure to
the upside Andy
fires the next quote unquote eth
breaking structure to the
upside is going to be this
level right
here if eth breaks above
2800 and he's goingon to
fire really really
simple really
simple so it's like why would you hold
you know Andy over eth well let's
actually do this let's move Andy back
down and I'll show you the beta
correlation and I know some of you have
seen this already but I think it serves
an important reminder especially when
the market is boring and chopping and
ranging and you're just like do
something
right let's take measured moves
here so eth from its
low eth from its
low rallied about 40% give or take I'm
kind of rounding because we're doing it
quickly but eth went up
40% and from its low I'll just measure
it to here Andy went up we already know
plus
700% then how about right over here from
this low to its
high eth rallied
26% and then Andy from its
low went up
175% okay so what you're really betting
on here is okay am I bullish ethereum
because I recognize what happens to Andy
when eth performs
well it is literally that
simple like it it is literally that
simple but of course the consequen the
consequences are greater to the downside
beta goes both ways let's take another
measured move just to to be fair
here here's eth one it just pulled back
recently thank you ethereum for that
minus
42%
G minus
42% and let us see what Andy
did minus
75% how about this one
eth went down minus 29%
roughly and Andy went down minus
77% so I love memes memes are funny
right but what are you really trading
here
do you recognize what you're really
trading here
now what you're trading is leveraged
ethereum I mean that's it what you're
trading is leveraged
ethereum oh is eth going to go
up okay well then why don't I bet on
Andy look how tight the correlation
is I mean look at that like you you just
you just gen like you literally just
can't make make it up even like this
little move right here
right I mean it just it's it's just like
perfect you know so you know the big
question is like okay
one why are we bullish crypto here all
right we covered
that then next actually I removed the
chart right why are we bullish crypto
here we talked about Bitcoin Bitcoin
needs to do well and then once Bitcoin
starts doing well you accumulate it some
time between the Bitcoin having and the
US presidential election historically
it's actually been more prosperous to
buy ethereum rather than Bitcoin here's
the ebtc chart right we talked about all
that you buy it somewhere in here you
buy it somewhere in here you buy it
somewhere in here and you hold it for 9
to 12
months right so we've established why
bullish Bitcoin why we're bullish crypto
in general we've also established why we
should be cyclically speaking more
bullish ethereum than Bitcoin okay at
least over the next year and we've just
established the relationship as to why
Andy moves the way that it does and what
you're actually betting on so what do
you think is going to
happen what do you think is going to
happen to
Andy when eth does this
oops Yeah I don't need that
what do you think is going to
happen to Andy when eth goes into price
Discovery eventually right so let's mark
this out again right here just go from
right here
okay so eth goes
up and he goes
up and I'll just I'll label these just
so you guys don't forget here's
eth here's
Andy let's make it
gold what do you think is going to
happen if eth does this hypothetically
of course
right what if eth does this what do you
think Andy's going to do
Mark out this
one that's the real
question
right that's the real
question if eth goes up do you think
Andy's gonna go
down I've shown you the
correlations I'll make it colorful for
you now
we'll draw it up
again the timing is the
same you just need to have more of a
stomach for volatility and what you're
really buying with something like Andy
which is a now Premier confirmed
correlated ethereum beta
play what you're buying is a long-dated
far outof the- money call option on a
eum like that is what you're
buying I'm GNA explain what that means
in a second let me just finish doing
this like oh why is Andy down why is
Andy down I don't understand Max why is
Andy down here's
why you're trading leveraged ethereum so
the question is like okay if you're
bullish eth
like you think eth is going to do
this right like hasn't even gone into
price Discovery yet like what if it does
this I know it seems like a lot right
now but we already talked about why we
should be bullish crypto and then why we
should be bullish eth BTC cyclically
speaking like what do you think's gonna
you think that Andy won't go on to do
this then if eth
does I just showed you why why it's most
likely going
to I just showed
you look at
this come on what are we talking about
here
crazy what are we even talking about
here oh Remy thank you for the Super
Chat super kind of
you super super kind of you thank you so
much uh
Remy what concerns me is the daily
weekly of Bitcoin eth going into late Q3
macro events Etc Andy has no real
support below 32 million see yeah I
mean if there's some like macro blowout
or something you know and eth goes to
900 bucks then it's going to be a
problem right but um additionally one
thing that and then we'll do some Ta on
um on Andy here actually let's just do
this
quick so Remy this is
um we just had kind of a historic drop
and I know might not seem like it but it
actually was a very very historic
drop there's been very few
times in the history of the
market in the past three
decades when we've basically had a
volatility blowout like the one that we
just had the drop that we just had was
on par with um basically like the dot
crash
um 20072 2008 great financial crisis
some pullbacks that happened during that
recovery you know the turbulence in 2015
for stocks 2018 then covid and now right
I'm going to Mark these out really
quickly um just to show you what I'm
talking about and if you had bought all
of these like historically when the Vic
spikes above
45 what you would have been
buying I'll mark these out first
so I know it might seem like oh like
what if something happens something did
just happen it just happened kind of
quickly and yeah things things could get
worse for sure um but I just want to
show like if you had bought stocks and
risk when you had seen a historic Vick
Spike which is indicative of tremendous
turmoil in in trafi or Legacy markets
this is what your purchases would have
looked like and by the way I have this
in log mode this is what the chart
really looks
like so I'm just saying the drop that we
just had is on par with all of these
horrible horrible
drops right the Vic spiked to 65 the
only two in the past three decades that
have been bigger than that was covid and
the great financial crisis we're number
three the one that we just had so you
know what if something really bad happen
something really bad just did
happen you know
I guess it's not equivalent to like
unemployment spiking above like you know
10% or something but
um
anyways just showing like from a
technical side of things like if you had
bought every major scare in the market
to this
degree over the past three decades like
this is what your chart would look
like so you know when I when I'm bullish
from from a technical perspective right
there's always a million macro reasons
to be bearish like always that that was
something I was saying in the beginning
of the stream is like the amount of
stuff that there is to focus on right
now it could give the most sophisticated
of Traders and you know uh money
managers absolute
paralysis analysis paralysis deer and
headlight syndrome where they just you
know oh what if this happens and that
looks bad there's there's always
something going wrong in the world you
know and yeah I'm you know I'm fully
aware of you know typically what happens
when the FED decides to cut interest
rates I know I've done the overlays I'm
watching it very very closely but I also
think it's possible that the market has
become more reflexive and more
forward-looking than it ever has been
before um we might be trading three
years in front of our skis right
now we literally might be like the
market may already be pricing
in you know 5%
unemployment and forward-looking enough
with rates to know that a year and a
half from now we'll you know effective
federal funds rate will be at 3% and you
know it it might be forward enough
looking because like one more thing to
note about that too it's a really good
question is
like I mean look at how long some of
these drops took right like look at look
at the dotc crash
took 900 days and we had a Vic Spike
above 45 volatility blowout
right great financial crisis 500 Days
major Vic Spike right and then you fast
forward to like recent years right when
things have hit the
fan how about all this turbulence and
chop 300 days if you want to you know
measure them individually right you can
cut that in half depending on how you
want to measure it but how about Co
Co drop took less than two months we'll
just say two months you know these these
drops we just don't have bare markets
that last three to four to five years
anymore you know like not that we won't
ever have them again but the dips get
eaten up
quicker and I believe the market is
becoming increasingly more manipulated
from the powers that be uh they simply
can't let the Ponzi stop they keep
printing money and injecting sort of
hidden liquidity into the market in
order to keep it propped up um there's
no such thing as a natural correction
anymore eventually there will be right
but if you've been betting on a natural
a natural correction meaning a
multi-year bare market like we saw in
2000 and 2008 which actually although
they were painful for those that were
holding were actually very healthy
longer term term if you've been betting
on a natural correction and a much
needed one over the past two decades
almost decade and a
half I mean talk about a Golden Bull
Run QE has ramped up interest rates have
dropped to historically low levels not
right now right but that have caused
this chart to look the way that it
has and you now have more foreign
investment in our domestic Market here
in the US like it's not just mostly
highly concentrated High net worth
individuals in the US buying our stocks
like you have to look at it on a global
picture right and you know one thing to
note about this chart is like this is
global M2 right here um let's look at um
m2l let's see what the US one looks
like so here's the here's the US M2
chart uh
um
so us M2 hasn't gone on into price
Discovery yet this is us M2 and this is
global M2 right
here
oops I think I just
pulled that chart off here we
go so you can see here that Global M2 is
actually in price Discovery and US
domestic M2 is not so I think you need
to look at like the whole picture now
more than than ever um just a just a
different kind of
Market just a different kind of Market
but it's it's a really good question
right it's just like when you get a Vic
Spike to when you get a Vick Spike to 65
and you get you know and you get eth
pulling back to you know like what
did like let's go back to eth
now I
mean it's kind of hard to look at this
right but it's like if you had bought
the
last if you had bought the last Spike
the last you know a scare this big for
the vix it's like that's kind of what we
just got like if you're bullish eth if
you're bullish anything right like if
you're bullish risk in
general and you see a a volatility blow
like the one that we just had you take
that you know you take it I wasn't
expecting it this soon but you take it
you know you get an asset like eth down
50% from it's yearly
High you take that I'm taking
it but to each their own right it's
risky like I get it there's a lot to
look at um and it's not all so beautiful
and uh and
chipper but from a technical side of
things let's look at Andy and and talk
about like where I think it could
go my absolute favorite tool in the
world is the FIB
extension look at where we topped on
this first
rally me move these to the center here
look at that that's nice 2.61 eight
range high range low 2.68 you've also
got it nicely in log where you topped in
log at the
1.618
right so how about where we're at right
now you could maybe draw something like
this I kind of like this with this being
a
deviation I don't know to each their own
right we'll have to take a look at it
you could maybe do this oh that's
interesting that's a little too
interesting if you ask
me all right let's mark this out here's
Andy range
high range low here was your
mid-range topped out at the
1.618 range
high range low I mean very very clear
mid-range right here
right like pretty
clear notice how your 1.618 right
now is exactly at your first range
2618 you see that they're
touching Range High to range Low Range
High to range low your first range
2.68 is this current range is
1.618 that's pretty interesting
that's pretty interesting
guys
hypothetically from right
here that would be,
1700% so that take us to about 1.3
billion in market
cap um but you know like if you went up
to the 2.68 or this first you know range
is
3618 um you know this is going to be
your next big level in my opinion like
the Confluence here is crazy like when
eth finally goes
into when eth finally goes into price
discovery
so for example like
if eth can break out of here and maybe
we see like if let's just assume this is
our you know our eth range something
like
this and you see eth up here right and
you could probably make the case it
should be right here that's fine too but
like if this is our eth range for right
now and we're going to break out and
eventually you know we got a lot of work
to do right but when that happens eth
goes to 5,000 or you know
7500 I mean I think we've already talked
enough about the the correlations right
like when the rallies really go
crazy I mean look
at look at right
here you know it's like what are you
really trading here what you're trading
is I mean what you're trading is 10
times lever at ethereum you know so if
eth goes from here to I mean let's just
say the
2.68 that's
200% if Andy goes from right here to
this Confluence of the 2.68 and the
1.618 that's
1700% you know your Bas it's 10x
right and we we've already shown the
correlation when eth pumps and then eth
thumps what happens to Andy
right so yeah I mean that's that's what
you're trading
right it's like all you're all you're
debating here really is is like okay if
I think that eth is in like a deviation
zone
right like if I think that eth is in a
deviation Zone because you know we
already talked about um you know we
already talked about there was a Vic
Spike and then we were talking about you
know buying Bitcoin between the having
and the election how historically that
has been been solid if it comes coupled
with global M2 On The Rise and we talked
about you know eth BTC outperformance
um if you're bullish eth and you want to
buy you know a drop like this right a
Cascade a 40 you know 50% drop on eth
and you're bullish on
eth I just showed you why you're
actually very bullish Andy potentially
without even knowing
it and you could even argue that yes
percentage wise you know Andy down more
than eth right but what are we talking
about here like look at these highs and
these
lows like what are you talking about
here look at this
chart look at the dates they're lined up
like what what do you want to make of
this right oh I'm too scared to hold a
meme coin oh I don't understand
it I'm helping you understand it look at
what you're really trading here yes
percentage wise it can be scary right
we've already went over when when eth
drops Andy's going to drop harder when
eth pumps Andy's goingon to pump way
harder but given what just happened with
ethereum
it's pretty unbelievable how Andy's
holding up I mean it's got a real
community of people that are educated
and understand the product in which they
are actually
trading what you're doing is you are
buying a and I said this earlier you're
buying a long dated you know far
outdated far out of the money call
option on ethereum with no expiration
date and no Theta
Decay now I know a lot of you probably
don't know what that means because a lot
of you probably don't trade options
but basically the idea is with
options the the biggest villain with
buying an option is that you basically
have to pay to keep it
open and the the closer you get to the
expiration date of that option to
purchase or to sell um the more
expensive it gets to keep it open
and the higher the price of the asset uh
needs to be in order to support your
position all right and basically what
you're doing by buying something like
Andy here is just it's just you're
making a bet that eth is going to go up
to five six 7,000 and you just
wait that's literally all you're
doing all that's all you're doing by
holding Andy is just being like yep I'm
just going to buy this and hold it until
eth goes to six or
7,000 and then I'm going to sell
it and then when eth drops to 5,000 and
I get bullish eth again then I'll buy
Andy instead because I'm buying a 10
times levered ethereum without any
contango any Decay you know same with an
option no Theta Decay no expiration date
to worry
about you're just buying levered
ethereum that's it
here's my favorite
example here
is my favorite
example here let me actually add on one
more
I mean look at what happens when eth
pumps to our beta train right I have a
tweet about this if you want to find it
later
up top Pepe middle Andy bottom L wolf Bo
Club study eth
pumps eth pumps Pepe goes up Andy goes
up wolf goes
up then what happens eth goes
down what happens to all of them
they all go down thank you
ethereum
right so it's like all right are you
bullish or bearish E here you know what
happens
next you know what happens if eth goes
up or down so are you bullish or you
bearish ethereum
here I mean I presented you with some
evidence you know I presented you with
what I think is going to
happen it's a tough Market though it's a
tough tough market like it
is it is volatile there's a lot of macro
going on right
now a lot of things to look at why would
the market go
up why did the market go up when we had
covid and they shut down the global
economy you imagine the people buying
the co drop
in March 2020 Bitcoin hit 4K under
4K and one year later it was just under
70k do you think when Bitcoin was
sitting under 5K in March of
2020 anybody out there would have said
with conviction Bitcoin is going to be
at 69k within a
year I mean come on now that's crazy
talk isn't
it that's crazy
what if I told you Bitcoin would be over
20 200k in a year would you call me
crazy what
if h
I'm being scolded for being
bullish huh funny time we're in
huh yeah No One Believes
it everybody's right about being bearish
I guess
huh
H funny time we live
in where have my Bulls
gone little crypto shake out and
everyone thinks it's thinks it's the end
of the world you
know let me help you guys with something
real
quick sometimes the mind has a way of
Playing Tricks on us you know it's a
shame but it
does sometimes it can really help to
uh to look at things a little
differently for
I mean I see
it I definitely see
it who's going to buy ethereum oh my
goodness who's going to buy eth down
here people can't afford grocer
people can't afford to pay their rent
who's going to buy ethereum down
here oh eth is at 130 bucks look at the
vix just blew out to 80 who is going to
buy ethereum down
here people can't afford to pay for
their cars and their rent who's going to
buy ethereum down here we're going to go
to 50 I'll buy it at
$50 I'll buy it when it goes down to $50
oh we're going to go so much
lower oh my goodness oh they shut down
the
economy oh my gosh inflation this blah
blah blah blah blah where's all the
liquidity going to come from who's going
to buy
this who's going to buy
it
everybody everybody's going to buy it
who's going to buy all of our ethereum
nobody wants it yeah we'll
see we'll
see I want to do this with you guys
too I know our minds have a way of
playing
tricks but like seriously does this look
bullish to
you like if you were looking at this
chart would you be like oh yeah like I'm
gonna I'm GNA buy this right here like
like this is you know like oh yeah this
is like the trade of the decade is like
this right here you know like is that
what you really think like looking at
this chart this is a bullish setup to
you right here because when I look at
this chart
when I look at this chart I see
this uh
oh when I look at this chart I see
uhoh like this looks
cooked is that
bullish I mean I
don't I mean if you did this like if you
did like something like this you
know I guess
but right
here
o like sometimes you have to flip the
chart and play tricks on your
mind who's going to buy it who's going
to buy it nobody wants to buy it from
you
like like eth dropped 50% in a few
months and we had a vix blow blowout to
65 all of your beta plays are down 75 to
85% and holding the floor and eth looks
like this this is inverted to just get
your brain out of the same little like
uh you know complacency Funk that it's
in
and the chart looks like this and
everybody still wants lower you know
what I say to the to the ethereum Bears
right
now I say you're
greedy not even just eth like Bitcoin
too like I I I prepared for that drop by
the way like those of you that are in
the the BB Discord like you you knew
about that I didn't touch any of my boy
club but like I prepared I put on some
Hedges I sold some majors and things
like that that you know just doesn't
matter if I sell I can buy back whenever
I
want like the BB Discord like you guys
you guys got that heads up for me
like this is inverted right but like I
was drisking like right in here I saw
what was coming I I felt as though it
was more probable that we were going to
take a plunge than not and I prepared
for
it and a lot of our community did as
well but my hedges are
removed I have since
redeployed at the
lows like you're going to catch a minus
50% move on eth in a few months and be
like I need
lower what are you talk like what are we
talking about
here that's like the most
famous that's like the most famous thing
in the world is like you get the drop
you were looking for and then you want
more it's like you get the pump you were
looking for and then you want more greed
works both
ways like I buy
blood we just had blood we had Carnage
billions in open interest wiped across
the board additionally funding has been
negative recently on bitcoin like today
it was negative this
morning you're bullish this chart this
looks bullish to you
all
right maybe you're right I guess we'll
see all right guys I think I'm going to
call it here got our Discord call right
now thanks so much for being here sorry
I didn't get to uh to all the comments
but hopefully you guys had a good time
hanging out here I'll see you back here
again next week guys um this was an Andy
community
space I don't know I just kind of did
like a YouTube show today I just wanted
to talk about the charts and and stuff
like that but yeah hopefully uh
hopefully you guys either learn
something or uh just had a good time
hanging out even if you didn't learn
something but thanks so much for for
hanging out with me guys for those of
you that are in the BB Discord I will
see you guys in just a minute I'm GNA
pop over there right now um but yeah
fingers crossed guys I think things
should be looking up pretty soon but
anyways thanks for being here check out
the links in the the description below
if you want to learn more about how to
uh to trade or connect with me a few
options down below for you guys but if
not I will see you guys next week
everybody take care
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