Andy on ETH | Pepe's closest friend & why 5 billion market cap can happen soon

Because Bitcoin
14 Aug 2024106:52

Summary

TLDRIn this video, Max, CEO of 'Because Bitcoin' and an avid Andy coin enthusiast, discusses the current state of the cryptocurrency market, focusing on Bitcoin and Ethereum's potential. He emphasizes the importance of market education for the Andy community, highlighting historical trends that suggest a bullish outlook on crypto. Max provides a detailed analysis of Bitcoin's halving events, global M2 money supply, and the correlation between Ethereum's performance and Andy coin's market movements, suggesting that Andy coin acts as a high-risk, high-reward leveraged play on Ethereum's value.

Takeaways

  • πŸ˜€ Max, the CEO of Because Bitcoin, is an Andy enthusiast and holder, aiming to educate the Andy community on market insights.
  • πŸš€ Max emphasizes the importance of the Andy Army staying committed and educated during a critical market inflection point.
  • πŸ”’ Max has been busy with life and work, leading to fewer spaces for the community, but he intends to increase engagement moving forward.
  • πŸ“ˆ The speaker discusses the market conditions necessary for Andy to thrive, highlighting the need for Bitcoin's performance as a precursor.
  • 🌐 Global M2 money supply is rising, which historically precedes Bitcoin's price discovery, signaling a potential bullish trend for crypto.
  • πŸ“Š Max uses various charts to illustrate the relationship between Bitcoin's halving, US presidential elections, and market performance.
  • πŸ”„ The cyclical nature of Bitcoin's performance is underscored, with historical data suggesting accumulation periods followed by significant rallies.
  • πŸ’‘ The presenter shares a free BB Academy course for improving chart aesthetics and understanding market trends.
  • πŸ”— A strong correlation is shown between Ethereum's performance and Andy's market movement, with Andy acting as a leveraged play on Ethereum.
  • πŸ“‰ Despite market volatility and recent downturns, Max argues that the current situation mirrors historical patterns that led to substantial gains in the past.
  • πŸ’¬ The speaker addresses concerns about market support levels and the potential for further declines, while maintaining a bullish outlook based on historical trends.

Q & A

  • Who is Max and what is his role in the Bitcoin community?

    -Max is the CEO of Because Bitcoin and an Andy enthusiast and holder. He uses his platform and media company to curate spaces for the Andy community to discuss market trends and share insights.

  • What is the significance of the 'Andy Army' mentioned in the script?

    -The 'Andy Army' refers to the community of Andy enthusiasts and holders. Max emphasizes the importance of this community staying tight-knit and committed, especially during critical market inflection points.

  • Why is Max focusing on educating the Andy community?

    -Max believes that an educated community is a wealthy one. By providing education on market movements and investment strategies, he aims to equip the Andy community with skills that will help them make informed decisions and not just follow meme trends.

  • What is the 'Boy's Club' narrative mentioned by Max and why is it significant?

    -The 'Boy's Club' narrative refers to a group of meme coins, including Andy, which Max believes will be a hot investment narrative in the current cycle. This narrative is significant as it suggests a collective interest in these meme coins that could drive their value.

  • How does Max view the current state of the cryptocurrency market in relation to historical patterns?

    -Max views the current state of the market as an accumulation phase, comparing it to historical patterns where there is a period of reaccumulation before significant price discovery. He suggests that the market is following a cyclical trend that has been observed in previous cycles.

  • What is the importance of Global M2 in the context of the cryptocurrency market?

    -Global M2 is an indicator of the total money supply, including cash and short-term savings. Max points out that an increase in Global M2 has historically preceded or coincided with price discovery in Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency market, suggesting that rising liquidity can be bullish for crypto.

  • Why is the performance of Ethereum (ETH) important for Andy?

    -The performance of Ethereum is important for Andy because Andy is considered an 'ETH beta', meaning it tends to follow or magnify the movements of Ethereum. If Ethereum performs well, it is likely that Andy will perform well too, but with greater volatility.

  • What does Max mean when he refers to 'price discovery' in the context of Bitcoin?

    -Price discovery refers to a phase in the market where the price of an asset experiences significant upward movement, often characterized by a parabolic rise. Max is suggesting that Bitcoin has not yet entered this phase but is in a period of reaccumulation, waiting for the right conditions to trigger price discovery.

  • How does Max analyze the correlation between Ethereum and Andy?

    -Max uses historical data to show that Andy's price movements have a high correlation with Ethereum's. When Ethereum experiences a significant price increase, Andy tends to increase even more dramatically, and vice versa for price decreases.

  • What is the potential outlook for Andy based on the current market conditions and its correlation with Ethereum?

    -Based on the current market conditions and its high correlation with Ethereum, Max suggests that if Ethereum goes into price discovery, Andy could potentially experience a significant increase in value, following the pattern of past market cycles.

Outlines

00:00

πŸ“’ Introduction to the Bitcoin and Andy Enthusiast Community

Max, the CEO of Because Bitcoin, addresses the audience as an Andy enthusiast and holder. He discusses his role in curating a space for the Andy community to engage through his media platform, sharing market insights and inviting community members to interact. Despite being busy with life and work, Max commits to increasing his presence in the community, especially as the market reaches an important juncture. He emphasizes the importance of education within the community, aiming to make the Andy holders some of the most educated in the meme coin space, as an educated community is more likely to make informed investment decisions.

05:00

πŸš€ The Boy's Club Narrative and Market Analysis

The speaker delves into the 'Boy's Club' narrative, highlighting four meme coins including Pepe, Brett, Andy, and Land Wolf. He discusses the potential for these coins to dominate the market cycle, supported by evidence and data. Max also talks about the underdog status of Andy, which has grown from community support and fundraising, achieving a market cap of 70-80 million during market corrections. He encourages viewers to share content to support the Andy Army and emphasizes the need for Bitcoin's performance to influence the success of altcoins like Andy.

10:00

πŸ“Š Global M2 and Bitcoin Correlation Analysis

Max presents a chart analysis correlating Global M2 money supply with Bitcoin's price movements. He explains that historically, Bitcoin has topped before Global M2, with M2 entering price discovery before Bitcoin. He suggests that the current rise in Global M2 is a bullish signal for crypto, as it has preceded price discovery in the past two cycles. Max emphasizes the importance of global liquidity conditions for a global asset like Bitcoin and crypto.

15:03

πŸ’‘ Small Cap Stocks and Crypto Market Comparison

The speaker compares the performance of small cap stocks, represented by the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM), with Bitcoin's price movements. He notes that small cap stocks have historically outperformed and entered price discovery before Bitcoin, indicating a pattern that could suggest an upcoming bull market for small caps and crypto if the cycle is comparable to previous ones.

20:05

🌐 Bitcoin's Historical Performance Post Halving and Elections

Max discusses Bitcoin's historical performance following its halving events and in relation to US presidential elections. He presents data showing that Bitcoin has typically seen a bull market for over a year following these events. The speaker uses this historical trend to argue for a bullish outlook on crypto, emphasizing the cyclical nature of Bitcoin's performance.

25:06

πŸ“‰ Market Volatility and the Impact of Global Events

The speaker addresses the market's reaction to global events, such as the COVID-19 pandemic and economic crises, and how these events have historically led to significant market drops. He notes that despite the fear, uncertainty, and doubt caused by these events, the market has consistently recovered and provided opportunities for investors who were able to look past the immediate turmoil.

30:07

πŸ”‘ Understanding Ethereum's Seasonal Performance

Max explores Ethereum's historical performance, particularly its seasonal outperformance against Bitcoin. He uses the ETH/BTC chart to illustrate when Ethereum has traditionally performed well, suggesting that the market is ready to go 'risk-on' when Ethereum starts to outperform Bitcoin. The speaker also discusses the importance of understanding higher timeframe cycles before diving into specific altcoin analysis.

35:10

πŸ›  Technical Analysis of Ethereum and Andy

The speaker provides a technical analysis of Ethereum and Andy, highlighting their correlation and market behavior. He uses volume profiles and Fibonacci extensions to predict potential price movements and entry points for Andy. Max emphasizes the importance of understanding the relationship between Ethereum and Andy for potential investment opportunities.

40:11

πŸ”„ The Correlation Between Ethereum and Andy

Max discusses the direct correlation between Ethereum's price movements and Andy's performance. He demonstrates through measured moves that Andy's price fluctuations are significantly influenced by Ethereum's performance. The speaker positions Andy as a leveraged play on Ethereum, providing high potential returns alongside increased risk.

45:12

πŸ’‘ The Market Mindset and Trading Psychology

The speaker addresses the psychological aspects of trading, particularly the tendency for investors to doubt bullish scenarios even when presented with historical data and positive indicators. Max encourages viewers to consider the market's potential for growth despite current fears and uncertainties, highlighting the importance of perspective and mindset in trading.

50:17

πŸ† Wrapping Up the Crypto Market Discussion

In the final paragraph, Max wraps up the discussion by summarizing the key points made throughout the video. He reiterates the bullish case for Bitcoin and Ethereum, the importance of understanding market cycles, and the potential for altcoins like Andy to provide significant returns. Max thanks the audience for their engagement and participation in the community space.

Mindmap

Keywords

πŸ’‘Bitcoin

Bitcoin is a decentralized digital currency that operates without a central bank or single administrator. It is the largest of all cryptocurrencies by market capitalization and serves as the main theme of the video. The speaker discusses Bitcoin's historical performance, its correlation with global M2 money supply, and its role as a precursor to altcoin movements, indicating a bullish stance on Bitcoin.

πŸ’‘Meme Coins

Meme Coins refer to cryptocurrencies that are created as a joke or for fun, often based on internet memes, but have gained significant investor interest. In the script, the speaker differentiates between meme coins and more established cryptocurrencies, emphasizing the need for an educated community to discern investment opportunities, particularly mentioning 'Andy' as a meme coin of interest.

πŸ’‘Market Inflection Point

An inflection point in the market refers to a time when the direction of the market trend is expected to change. The speaker believes that the cryptocurrency market is at a critical inflection point, which is why it's important for the community to stay informed and committed.

πŸ’‘Education

The speaker emphasizes the importance of education within the cryptocurrency community, stating that an educated community is a wealthy one. Education is presented as a means to understand market movements and to make informed investment decisions, which is crucial for the 'Andy' community.

πŸ’‘Global M2

Global M2 refers to the broadest measure of the money supply, including all the cash, checking deposits, and easily-convertible near money balances held by individuals. The speaker uses Global M2 as an indicator of liquidity conditions that could influence the performance of Bitcoin and, by extension, other cryptocurrencies.

πŸ’‘Beta

In finance, beta refers to a measure of the volatility, or systematic risk, of a security or a portfolio in comparison to the market as a whole. The speaker discusses 'beta' in the context of cryptocurrency, indicating that certain coins, like 'Andy', act as beta plays on Ethereum, magnifying its movements.

πŸ’‘Ethereum

Ethereum is an open-source blockchain platform that enables the creation of smart contracts and decentralized applications. The speaker discusses Ethereum's (ETH) performance in relation to Bitcoin and its role as a second-tier cryptocurrency that often follows Bitcoin's market movements, but with greater volatility.

πŸ’‘Volume Profile

A volume profile is a graphical representation of trading volume over a specified time period at specified price levels. The speaker uses the concept of a volume profile to illustrate the point of control in the market, which is a price level where the most transactions have occurred, providing insight into potential support and resistance levels for 'Andy'.

πŸ’‘Fibonacci Extension

Fibonacci extension levels are a series of horizontal lines that indicate where a price may reverse or consolidate. They are derived from the Fibonacci sequence and are used by traders to predict potential support and resistance levels. The speaker uses Fibonacci extension to analyze potential future price movements for 'Andy'.

πŸ’‘Call Option

A call option is a financial contract that gives the option buyer the right, but not the obligation, to buy a stock, bond, commodity, or other asset at a specified price within a specific time period. The speaker metaphorically compares holding 'Andy' to holding a long-dated call option on Ethereum, suggesting a high potential return if Ethereum's price increases.

Highlights

Max, CEO of Because Bitcoin, emphasizes the importance of education within the Andy community, aiming to make it one of the most educated communities on the planet.

The Andy community is described as being committed and tight-knit, with Max expressing his dedication to supporting and engaging with them.

Max discusses the shift from hosting midweek spaces to focusing on more educational content, especially at a critical market inflection point.

The speaker highlights the difference between Andy and other meme coins, pointing out Andy's community ownership and lack of reserved wallets for marketing.

Max presents a detailed analysis of Bitcoin's historical performance in relation to global M2 money supply, suggesting a pattern that could be bullish for crypto.

A comparison is made between small cap stocks (Russell 2000 ETF) and Bitcoin's historical performance, indicating a potential upcoming bull market for small caps and crypto.

The concept of 'Beta' in relation to meme coins is introduced, with Dogecoin historically being the top performer during market mania.

Max explains the correlation between Ethereum's performance and Andy's price movements, illustrating Andy as a leveraged play on Ethereum.

A discussion on the market's reaction to the Bitcoin halving event and its historical impact on Bitcoin's price, suggesting a potential accumulation window.

Max addresses the current market conditions, comparing the recent volatility to historical events and suggesting a potential buying opportunity.

The presenter uses the VIX spike as a reference point for market fear, discussing the potential for a market rebound following a significant drop.

An in-depth analysis of Ethereum's (ETH) price action and its role as a precursor to broader market movements, including meme coins like Andy.

Max talks about the 'Boys Club' meme coins, including Andy, and their potential to capture market interest and investment in the coming cycles.

A strategic approach to trading meme coins is presented, framing them as high-risk, high-reward plays leveraged to the performance of Ethereum.

The speaker shares his bullish outlook on the crypto market, providing a comprehensive analysis of various indicators and patterns.

Max concludes by reiterating the importance of community and education, inviting viewers to join the BB Discord for further discussions and insights.

Transcripts

play00:22

hey what's going on everybody thank you

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so much for being here my name is Max I

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am the CEO of because Bitcoin and I'm

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also an Andy Enthusiast and an Andy

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holder um we're going to talk about a

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lot of stuff today

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normally well let me put it this way in

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the past we have run spaces sort of

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midweek either like a Wednesday or a

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Thursday um where

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basically I use my platform and my media

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company to help basically curate a space

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for all of the Andy Community to come

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and hang out I give some of my thoughts

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on the market what I'm seeing out there

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what I'm not seeing out there um we

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invite a lot of community members up at

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the end to come and speak and hang out

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um it's usually a really great time I've

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been so damn busy lately with life and

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work we got a whole bunch of stuff going

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on uh with BB and I've been slacking

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I've been slacking on the spaces and the

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truth is that will be no more we're

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going to be doing a lot more of this um

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especially as I believe the market is at

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a very important inflection point and

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fork in the road it is extremely

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important now more than ever for the

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Andy Army to remain a tight group and a

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committed group um and I want to be

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there every step of the way for you guys

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and use my reach to kind of be hug

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everybody uh and bring everybody in it's

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nice and cozy on the inside so um

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anyways we're doing things a little bit

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differently today all right let me just

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make sure the stream looks good real

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quick um we're doing things just a

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little bit differently today all right

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normally like I said we are on X and

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today we are actually on YouTube and I I

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guess technically I have this on X as

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well so maybe some of you are watching

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it there um but basically we are on X

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right or we are on X and YouTube right

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now and I think one area that that I've

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struggled with a little bit is my main

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objective with what I'm trying to

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provide for the Andy Army as a community

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member is I want the Andy Community to

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be one of the most educated communities

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on the planet right A lot of people that

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are involved in meme coins you know they

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pop up these Twitter spaces and the

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whole thing is rah rah rah look how

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funny our meme is we're so based and

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cool like that's great and all but no

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one's learning anything and it's very

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subjective what I want to provide for

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the Andy community given my skill set

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and my platform is I want the Andy

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holders to be some of the most educated

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holders um of any meme coin out there

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because an educated Community is a

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wealthy one um and if you understand

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what to look for and you understand why

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the market is moving the way that it is

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you will not feel the pressure when the

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market pulls back and you won't feel the

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Euphoria when the market is

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outperforming right so I want to be a

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resource and at a minimum Beyond making

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some money this cycle with Andy My Hope

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Is that you will reflect back on this

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stream uh some of the other spaces we've

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done any of the content that we've done

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and you'll say not only did I make money

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and I meet some cool people at the same

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time uh but I have some skills that I

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believe will translate over and last me

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um through my investing Journey as long

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as that may be so we're going to go over

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a lot of different things today because

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this isn't just about Andy anymore right

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I'm going to give a little bit of

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background right but you know this is

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this is not a little tiny it can do

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whatever it wants kind of meme coin

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anymore you know some of these meme

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coins that pop up that are brand new

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they catch that early hype and then they

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die off and they never come back or they

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don't pump twice or even three times

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whatever um you know and it it's sort of

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the attention economy right it's a hot

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ball of money and and where there's

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attention where something is new and

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shiny and sparkly um it will attract

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liquidity but the question is will that

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liquidity remain and stay and does the

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market actually have a a longer

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understanding interest or motivation to

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invest and hold money in a product or a

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vehicle um you know like a lot of these

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meme coins we're seeing right now and

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the answer to most of them is no Andy

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has answered that question as yes there

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is going to be and there is already

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provable uh long-standing speculative

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interest and fervor into something like

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Andy Andy started out you know it it's

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one of the four boys club members right

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you got Pepe who's the king Pepe

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certainly poised to be sort of the king

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large cap Mega cap meme of this cycle

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you can see the writing on the wall

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right now exchanges are listing it but

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then you also have something like Brett

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right based Brett which is now a billion

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doll meme it's dominating Bas um

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basically acting as like base tokens so

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you kind of have these like these two

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Mega cap like they're going to be multi-

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Deca billion doll memes you know Pepe

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and Brett which both originate from Matt

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fur's boy club and then you have two

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smaller members of the boys club right

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now and we'll talk about potentially

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closing that Gap later in the Stream but

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then you also have Andy and you have

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land wolf right so you've got these four

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boy club members and I have no doubt

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that the boy club narrative is going to

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be the hottest Narrative of this meme

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cycle without question I can see the

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correlations in front of me I'm going to

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present you with all the evidence and

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all the data um but there is some

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serious interest in this narrative and I

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believe you're going to eventually in

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the not too distant future see a sort of

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refocusing and reconcentration of right

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now scarce but soon to be not so scarce

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liquidity into legitimate projects that

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have legitimate narratives and they're

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always going to have that General market

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speculation right and that's something

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that the beauty of the boys club is hey

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Pepe goes up what about the other boys

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club members right so because of the way

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that this cycle has shaped up and we've

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seen an early rise from you know a

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couple memes Pepe and now Brett on base

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you know you're seeing that translate

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over into you know a really legitimate

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narrative um that I believe is going to

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shock a lot of people some of you

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listening probably not you've probably

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been in this stuff for a little bit um

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and you're like let's go preach that

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Max let's role um but I think it's

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I think it's going to be looked back on

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as um as one of the hottest and I

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believe this will extend into multiple

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Cycles I do I don't I don't think this

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is going to go anywhere um but anyways

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enough enough of that let me check some

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comments let's um let's do some talking

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let's talk about um let's talk about

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some charts let me pull up a chart we're

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going to talk about Andy too but I want

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to because like I said said right like

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Andy was Andy was and still is you know

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it's the underdog right it's it's it's

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an underdog It's A Cinderella Story

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right Community owned Community funded

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the community raised like over half a

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million dollars already for exchange

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listings no wallets set aside for

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marketing or listings or anything like

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that everything that Andy has

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accomplished has come through like the

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Blood Sweat and Tears um of the

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community you know um and we're going to

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talk about all that right but

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Andy yet I mean it's still an underdog

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in one regard but it's not like it's

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some 5 million market cap like trying to

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get it off the floor kind of kind of

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ticker like Andy with the broader Market

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has corrected recently and it's chilling

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at like 70 to 80 million market cap

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during like the belly of this local

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correction which is an outrageous one

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right which we're going to talk about so

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it's it's kind of graduated right it's

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kind of graduated into a different class

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we're talk about all that but let me

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just let me just check some comments

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here real quick all right make sure

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we're looking

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good all right welcome guys what's up

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how we doing

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um yeah guys little little reminder like

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let's smash that like button all right

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do me a favor like if you want to do

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your part um in helping get this content

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out all you got to do is hit that Thumbs

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Up Button like hit that Thumbs Up Button

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if you're on Twitter hit the heart

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button and then hit the retweet buttton

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that's literally all you have to do I'll

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do all the the yapping I'll show all the

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charts but like you want to do your part

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um for the boys club you want to do your

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part for the Andy Army share it that's

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all you got to do really really easy all

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right yeah welcome guys we're looking

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good I see a lot of regulars in here

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fantastic guys beautiful

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beautiful all right so we're going to do

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like a really General like kind of

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market update I want to share a couple

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things with you like this chart that I

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have in front of you and then we're

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going to we're going to kind of work our

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way backwards okay

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because you have to understand that like

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Andy like I've mentioned so many times

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is it has

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graduated and you can't just post a

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chart about Andy at 1 million and then

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like everyone will find out about it and

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it's going to get like you know a lot of

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attention it's now synced up with Majors

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right so in order for Andy to do well we

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need Bitcoin to do well the reason we

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need Bitcoin to do well is because Andy

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won't perform well eth doesn't perform

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well because Andy is eth beta so we're

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going to talk about the potential

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conditions in front of us which is why

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we're interested in Andy so this is an

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interesting chart I tweeted this out the

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other day so some of you have probably

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seen this but Bitcoin is doing like more

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or less what it has always done all

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right so what we're looking at right now

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let me just hide this real

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quick

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okay what we're looking at right now

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is we have Global M2 which is in the

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green down below and we have Bitcoin

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above right so why should we be bullish

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crypto that's the first question that

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you have to ask is why should I be

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bullish crypto okay so what is M2 I'm

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going to read you the definition okay M2

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is the US federal reserves estimate of

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the total money supply including all the

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cash people have on hand plus all the

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money deposited in checking accounts

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saving accounts and other short-term

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saving vehicles such as CDs okay now

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this is

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not this is not just us M2 this is

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global M2 so I don't know exactly what's

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in this equation but probably the

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largest you know the largest central

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banks in the world the collective m2s of

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the large like it's probably excluding

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some of the smaller companies or not

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companies countries but this is not just

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the US this is global and this is

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important to look at and recognize hey I

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shouldn't just be looking at us

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liquidity conditions I should be looking

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at global liquidity conditions and

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Global monetary policy because Bitcoin

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and crypto is a global asset you guys

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are watching from all over the world

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right now you guys are you guys are

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watching not just from the us some of

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you are all over the place it's probably

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four in the morning somewhere for you

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guys watching this right now okay so

play11:47

what are we seeing right now kind of

play11:48

similar to previous Cycles right you'll

play11:50

see a you know Bitcoin tops a little bit

play11:54

before Global M2 there's a bit of a lag

play11:56

to it but then M2 will actually go into

play11:58

price to Discovery before Bitcoin gets

play12:01

back up into price Discovery so look

play12:04

right here November 2019 Global M2 in

play12:07

price Discovery happened before Bitcoin

play12:10

went into price Discovery right now

play12:12

global M2 in price Discovery basically

play12:14

all of this year so far Bitcoin has kind

play12:17

of gone into price Discovery I would say

play12:19

that it really hasn't yet okay I would

play12:21

say that we kind of swept the previous

play12:23

all-time high but this is not price

play12:25

Discovery price Discovery is when

play12:27

Bitcoin does a parabola like this is

play12:29

nothing this is reaccumulation we have

play12:31

to patiently wait but right now the

play12:33

important thing to note is that Global

play12:35

M2 is ramping up this is starting and

play12:38

it's starting right as it has in the

play12:40

previous two cycles um which is very

play12:43

encouraging right so why should we be

play12:45

bullish crypto um well there you have it

play12:48

right Global M2 is on the rise I think

play12:51

it makes a really compelling and

play12:52

interesting

play12:56

case handful of other reasons but we do

play12:58

need to like keep it moving right

play13:00

because if I just talk about why Bitcoin

play13:01

is bullish and I give you every reason

play13:04

um we'll be here for a long time we'll

play13:06

be here for five hours so we need to

play13:07

work our way down the chain because

play13:09

ultimately we're here to talk about Andy

play13:12

right so we need to get to Andy why am I

play13:14

bullish Bitcoin that's the first

play13:15

question why am I bullish cryptos

play13:17

because I'm bullish Bitcoin Global

play13:19

liquidity is on the rise okay now

play13:22

additionally I'm GNA add a couple other

play13:24

like little charts onto here okay so

play13:26

we're going to put iwm up here as well

play13:28

this is one one of my favorite

play13:30

comparisons so iwm is the Russell 2000

play13:34

ETF and for those that don't know what

play13:36

this is the Russell

play13:40

2000 the Russell 2000 is small caps in

play13:45

the US it's all your codes it's

play13:47

like you know the it's the altcoin index

play13:49

of the stock market okay so I'll label

play13:52

this for you guys real quick

play13:56

okay now one thing you'll not

play13:59

here and I'm going to just mark this out

play14:01

real quick is when small caps begin to

play14:06

outperform right and when small caps go

play14:08

into price Discovery what happens all

play14:11

right I'll just do something like

play14:14

this all right and I'm going to Mark out

play14:17

the previous all-time highs for Bitcoin

play14:20

as well so we can Mark out when Bitcoin

play14:22

has actually gone into price

play14:27

Discovery all right here we go

play14:32

beautiful so you can see I've got the

play14:34

the previous all-time highs marked out

play14:36

here for Bitcoin and then also small cap

play14:38

stocks in the US I also have Global M2

play14:41

down below what do you notice about the

play14:44

timing of this okay now I'm going to

play14:47

take these so we'll leave these blue

play14:49

lines I'm going to add some more we're

play14:51

going to Mark out when the Russell the

play14:53

Russell 2000

play14:55

iwm has gone into price Discovery and

play14:58

we're going to Market with a we'll just

play15:00

do like a red line all right see that

play15:03

red line right there that's when iwm has

play15:05

gone into price Discovery and then when

play15:08

Bitcoin has gone into price Discovery

play15:11

we'll mark it with orange hopefully you

play15:14

guys can see that here I'll make it

play15:18

thicker um here we go all right perfect

play15:23

so Russell goes into price Discovery in

play15:26

red Bitcoin goes in price Discovery in

play15:29

and orange okay now we're going to Mark

play15:30

out the last cycle as well Russell goes

play15:33

into price Discovery right here and then

play15:37

here's

play15:39

Bitcoin right now neither one has

play15:43

happened yet right but we're beginning

play15:45

to see the conditions that are

play15:48

appropriate for a major small cap and

play15:52

crypto bull market if this cycle is at

play15:55

all comparable to previous Cycles right

play15:58

and and what we'll notice here is yeah

play16:00

there was like a little you know kind of

play16:02

like bleep little deviation or whatever

play16:05

um recently for iwm but bitcoin's

play16:07

hanging out under the previous cycle

play16:09

all-time high you know like it was a

play16:11

little bit more so in like 2016 2017

play16:14

with global M2 leading both small cap

play16:17

stocks and crypto once again as it's

play16:20

done in the previous two cycles so

play16:21

something I'd be looking for here pretty

play16:23

soon is for you know again like we'll

play16:26

want to see we'll want to see these

play16:28

index indes and we'll want to see

play16:30

Bitcoin continue to work its way up into

play16:33

price Discovery and then Trail you know

play16:36

Global liquidity just like it has

play16:38

because look I've got this the blue line

play16:41

is when uh when Global M2 has gone into

play16:44

price Discovery so Global M2 price

play16:48

Discovery then you have iwm then you

play16:51

have Bitcoin Global M2 price Discovery

play16:56

then you have iwm then you have Bitcoin

play16:58

it's never going to be perfect but the

play17:00

point of me showing you this is like

play17:03

there are some very specific and

play17:05

recognizable signals that we've seen in

play17:07

previous Cycles it's always possible

play17:09

that this time is somehow different but

play17:12

I believe given especially where Bitcoin

play17:14

is hanging out which is just like wedged

play17:16

between 55 and 70k we'll say for five

play17:21

months now while Global M2 is is slowly

play17:25

but surely climbing into price Discovery

play17:27

we've seen these conditions before we've

play17:30

seen these conditions before so I'm

play17:32

going to remove this we're going to pull

play17:33

up another Bitcoin chart here okay

play17:36

because I I need to I need to thoroughly

play17:38

and sufficiently answer the

play17:40

question why are we bullish crypto here

play17:44

right like why are we bullish crypto

play17:45

here and you can only be bullish crypto

play17:48

if you're bullish Bitcoin your altcoin

play17:50

Andy included will not move it will not

play17:54

go crazy unless Bitcoin goes crazy that

play17:58

I promise you eth won't go crazy Soul

play18:01

won't go crazy Andy won't go crazy

play18:04

nothing will go crazy unless Bitcoin

play18:06

gives it that trigger which is Bitcoin

play18:08

and price Discovery so we need to talk

play18:10

about Bitcoin first and then we're going

play18:11

to work our way down the chain okay

play18:13

because Bitcoin still is the king um all

play18:17

right I'm I saved some of these drawings

play18:18

in advance so in a very very very simple

play18:23

way very simple way we're going to put

play18:26

up the Bitcoin Habs okay here are the

play18:29

Bitcoin

play18:47

havingsex having third having most

play18:50

recent having you can typically see here

play18:52

that like there's a little bit of a low

play18:54

I'm actually going to zoom in and we're

play18:56

going to look at it um going back to the

play19:00

first Bitcoin having and these dates

play19:02

they move a little bit but they should

play19:03

be within like a day here's the first

play19:06

having okay Bitcoin was literally 15

play19:08

bucks here was the amount of time that

play19:10

it took for Bitcoin after the having to

play19:14

really kind of ramp up and go into price

play19:16

Discovery now I don't even like using

play19:18

this first having it as as an example

play19:20

because Bitcoin was literally

play19:21

$15 but it took you know it took a

play19:24

couple months two to three months okay

play19:26

we're going to keep going we'll go to

play19:27

the next cycle

play19:31

for Bitcoin to go into price

play19:38

Discovery I would say Bitcoin didn't

play19:41

really go into price Discovery after the

play19:43

second having which was like that the

play19:44

beautiful 2016 and 2017 Parabola it was

play19:47

like right here I know we kind of like

play19:49

got above that previous all-time high um

play19:52

this is the previous alltime high and

play19:53

then here's the

play19:55

having this time it took 290 days I

play19:59

would say this was like the real start

play20:01

you know this was still like junky price

play20:03

action right here I would say the real

play20:05

start was was right in here

play20:09

okay so 290 days from the having until

play20:13

when Bitcoin really decided to like

play20:16

let's go let's blow the top off this

play20:18

thing let's keep moving how about last

play20:21

cycle let's mark out the previous

play20:23

all-time high when does Bitcoin go into

play20:25

price Discovery Well here's the having

play20:29

you can see very clearly there's the

play20:31

previous cycle all-time high let's take

play20:33

a measured

play20:35

move 29 days all right so so far and I

play20:39

don't even like the first cycle because

play20:41

it was so tiny Actually I don't even

play20:43

have that marked out correctly what am I

play20:44

doing sorry I don't even have that

play20:47

marked out right let me go back I don't

play20:51

know what I was doing there it's a

play20:53

little bit longer still don't love it

play20:55

right it's like Bitcoin was literally 30

play20:57

bucks but we use it so so far we have

play21:00

after the Bitcoin having it took 113

play21:03

days in the first cycle for Bitcoin to

play21:05

really decide it was going to

play21:07

move uh two cycles ago 2016 2017 it took

play21:11

290 days roughly last cycle

play21:14

29 where are we at right

play21:19

now where are we at let's mark out the

play21:22

previous all-time

play21:25

high this is I'm not counting this as

play21:28

price Discovery by the way this is not

play21:30

price Discovery this is garbage this is

play21:32

chop so let's see where we're at right

play21:35

now all right let's take a measured move

play21:38

from the

play21:41

having so far it's been 114

play21:45

days are you feeling discouraged

play21:50

yet are you feeling discouraged the

play21:53

previous two cycles it took 291 days and

play21:57

219 days

play21:59

are you feeling

play22:01

discouraged maybe we're doing this right

play22:04

we could this has definitely been a

play22:05

cycle of first right one thing that I

play22:07

notice about this cycle compared to

play22:09

previous Cycles is that for one we made

play22:13

an all-time high before the Bitcoin

play22:15

having like look

play22:18

we we made an all-time high before a

play22:20

Bitcoin here's the Bitcoin having we

play22:23

made an all-time high technically

play22:24

speaking before Bitcoin

play22:27

having here was here was last cycle

play22:30

nowhere

play22:32

near two cycles

play22:36

ago nowhere near right nowhere near not

play22:40

even

play22:41

close first

play22:43

cycle nowhere near right so there are

play22:46

little distinct differences that would

play22:48

potentially suggest like you know

play22:51

what it you know we we could be ahead of

play22:54

schedule right and we we might not have

play22:56

to wait another 100 days or something

play22:59

like that I mean you could very easily

play23:01

do this right and be like yeah like from

play23:03

that high you know we front ran the

play23:05

having this was an ETF pump like we're

play23:07

already 150 days into it you know we

play23:09

should start climbing that's possible

play23:11

too right like I won't I won't tell you

play23:13

that it's impossible I'm just presenting

play23:15

you with with the data right and the

play23:18

data right now is telling you to sit on

play23:20

your hands right like this is telling

play23:23

you to sit on your hands because if we

play23:25

don't go on to like really go and do a

play23:28

aggressive price Discovery for let's

play23:30

just say another few months or something

play23:32

which would be in my opinion grueling

play23:34

right because it's already been five

play23:36

months of sitting here so I I kind of

play23:38

don't think it'll be that long I think

play23:39

it might be sooner than than people

play23:41

think but you know if you had gotten

play23:44

shaking out you know right in here

play23:46

because you're like oh we're not moving

play23:49

you know or right in here 2013 oh we're

play23:52

not moving or how about oh the the third

play23:54

Bitcoin having was a failure look at the

play23:56

drop we just had this is terrible price

play23:59

action I mean look at like this data

play24:03

shouldn't discourage you it should

play24:05

encourage you to basically like if this

play24:08

pattern is going to continue and if we

play24:11

are going to go up which I think we

play24:15

should right based on historical Trends

play24:18

and historical patterns this is the

play24:20

accumulation

play24:21

window like right here for like the next

play24:25

60 days potentially if you're that lucky

play24:29

this is the accumulation

play24:31

window that's it this is the

play24:34

accumulation window is right after the

play24:36

Bitcoin having you typically get a

play24:38

ShakeOut you look to deploy right it's

play24:42

that

play24:43

simple um all right let me remove these

play24:48

drawings we're going to add on another

play24:50

little thing here um we are going to add

play24:53

on the US elections all right this is

play24:57

one of my charts I just made a video on

play25:00

this but I want to show you guys again

play25:01

again we are answer we are starting this

play25:03

stream by answering the question why are

play25:06

we bullish

play25:07

crypto right why are we bullish

play25:11

crypto all

play25:14

right what do we notice here let's go

play25:17

down a little bit we're going to go to

play25:18

the first

play25:20

cycle for one the first Bitcoin having

play25:23

in the US presidential election happened

play25:24

almost on the same

play25:26

day what do you notice about

play25:29

this Bitcoin has a bare Market I mean

play25:32

again I don't like the first cycle

play25:33

because it's like Bitcoin was so cheap

play25:35

but Bitcoin has a cycle drops down puts

play25:38

in a low chop chop chop kind of like

play25:41

slowly grinds its way

play25:43

up it's moving up right it's in red but

play25:46

it's moving up US presidential election

play25:50

and then Bitcoin basically goes on to

play25:52

have price Discovery in a bull market

play25:53

for 386 days so just over a year get the

play25:57

having you get the

play26:00

election how about two cycles ago

play26:02

Bitcoin

play26:04

having us presidential

play26:06

election 406 days of a bull market after

play26:11

the US presidential election grinding up

play26:13

into

play26:14

it 406 days so first cycle was 386 406

play26:20

so again just over a year how about last

play26:25

cycle Bitcoin having in Black us

play26:28

presidential election in blue grinding

play26:30

up this is grinding up I know you had

play26:33

like you know a lot of chop and stuff

play26:35

but like we we were moving up with

play26:37

without a question we were moving up and

play26:40

then 366 days until the Bitcoin Global

play26:43

top so almost a year exactly so in in

play26:47

the three previous

play26:49

Cycles if you were buying basically

play26:51

between the Bitcoin having in the US

play26:53

presidential election and you just held

play26:55

for one year you would have outperformed

play26:58

like

play26:59

99.99% of

play27:02

Traders here's the

play27:05

data so like why are we bullish

play27:09

crypto well there is a cyclical Trend

play27:12

that has very clearly presented itself

play27:14

in front of us right and here it

play27:18

is the timing of it will never be

play27:20

perfect right like every cycle has

play27:22

little granularities and intricacies

play27:25

that are different but here's your

play27:28

pattern right like grind up into the

play27:30

election and buy sometime between the

play27:32

Bitcoin having and the US presidential

play27:36

election that's the data that's the

play27:39

trend regard like ignoring everything

play27:42

else right like ignoring all the macro

play27:44

like

play27:46

everything like what what do we see

play27:49

every

play27:50

time these lines need to go hang on

play27:55

here oh it's it was syncing up the

play27:57

charts

play27:59

all right well what do we see here here

play28:01

let me remove this oh my

play28:04

goodness oh my

play28:10

goodness yeah all right let me just do

play28:12

this then

play28:15

um I'll just remake this real quick on

play28:17

the bottom it's

play28:23

fun so what do we like

play28:28

that looks pretty

play28:33

brutal all right you get the point

play28:35

that's

play28:38

fine what do we get every single

play28:47

time every single time there's a Bitcoin

play28:50

having and a presidential election you

play28:53

get Global

play28:56

M2 oops

play29:00

that is that is not what we want this is

play29:02

what we

play29:03

want all right hang

play29:07

on you get Global M2 On The Rise

play29:10

trending up in price Discovery heading

play29:13

into the Bitcoin having and presidential

play29:18

election the time to buy historically if

play29:21

this trend is going to continue to buy

play29:23

crypto to get exposure to crypto this is

play29:26

it

play29:29

here's your evidence like i' I've

play29:31

presented it to you as clearly as I

play29:33

possibly

play29:34

can it's all happening exactly the same

play29:37

and then there's all this um and then

play29:40

there's all this like you know this

play29:42

noise around it right there's always

play29:44

like and here's the thing that I think a

play29:46

lot of

play29:47

people maybe forget is that there is

play29:51

always there's always way more reasons

play29:55

to be bearish than bullish like there's

play29:57

always some like crap going on in the

play29:59

world there's always you know there's

play30:01

always tension between two countries or

play30:04

there's always some like job scare or

play30:07

there's always I don't know some

play30:09

politician causing drama like there's

play30:11

always if you were to and I see this

play30:14

with a lot of people like if you were to

play30:15

to not focus on some of the more

play30:17

important cyclical Trends and just

play30:20

hyperfocus on like a couple data points

play30:25

right and the scary data points and I'm

play30:27

with you scary dat points right they

play30:29

shouldn't be

play30:30

ignored um you would basically be a deer

play30:33

in the headlights and you would never

play30:34

bid and deploy and hold through

play30:36

volatility because you'd see these guys

play30:38

on Twitter Doom posting being like it's

play30:40

all over this was the everything bubble

play30:43

like everything is going to zero and you

play30:46

would literally never invest even though

play30:48

you have Global M2 On The Rise and you

play30:50

know that typically you know the year

play30:52

following a US presidential election

play30:55

regardless of who takes office

play30:58

regardless whether it's a democrat or a

play31:00

republican whether it's a a new new

play31:03

incumbent running or or the existing

play31:05

incumbent stays in office it doesn't

play31:07

matter it's just that the office turns

play31:09

over or even stays the

play31:12

same and also Bitcoin having and and the

play31:15

Mechanics for Bitcoin

play31:28

day to the

play31:29

next has their minor you know minor

play31:31

block rewards cut in half then there's a

play31:34

pretty large and measurable uh sell

play31:37

pressure potentially removed from the

play31:39

ask side of the books now granted a lot

play31:40

of the sell-offs right around the

play31:42

Bitcoin having are from Bitcoin miners

play31:44

prepping for the Bitcoin having but

play31:46

eventually things kind of work

play31:48

themselves out and Bitcoin appreciates

play31:49

and Bitcoin mining becomes profitable

play31:51

again so you know I'm I'm trying my best

play31:55

to like drown out a lot of the

play31:58

like a lot of the data points that I

play31:59

think are

play32:01

just they're important but I think that

play32:03

they're overblown and given too much

play32:05

weight because like the cyclical trend

play32:07

is is up from

play32:09

here here's the data you know like why

play32:11

are we bullish

play32:13

crypto well here you go here's part of

play32:17

the reason

play32:19

right here's part of the

play32:23

reason we're going to start working our

play32:25

way down the chain a little bit here

play32:26

guys let me just check in on some

play32:27

comments real

play32:29

quick um see how we're

play32:32

doing make sure we're still live and I'm

play32:34

not talking into the

play32:36

abyss all right yeah it looks like we're

play32:38

doing well here

play32:40

guys all right nice turnout today guys

play32:43

thanks for showing up do me a solid if

play32:45

you can like I said if you want to help

play32:47

um just hit that thumbs up button for me

play32:49

guys hit that Thumbs Up Button if you're

play32:51

watching on X hit the heart button hit

play32:53

the retweet button all right it's really

play32:55

easy it costs $ Z and it just takes a

play32:57

second

play32:58

um I'm here doing all the yapping all

play33:00

you got to do is just hit that heart

play33:01

button hit that retweet button so I

play33:04

believe is you know I believe that we

play33:07

have so far we have answered the

play33:10

question like why are we bullish right

play33:13

why would we be bullish crypto all right

play33:16

and I think this does a pretty good job

play33:18

of keeping it keeping it a little simple

play33:21

right like we covered a lot of things

play33:23

got a lot of colors to look at but in a

play33:26

very general High time frame look I'm

play33:28

not talking about is Bitcoin going to be

play33:30

higher or lower than this next week I'm

play33:31

talking about you know 400 days from now

play33:36

what does the trend tell

play33:38

us and here it is right I'm not talking

play33:42

about one week I'm talking about

play33:43

positioning from now through the next

play33:45

year if there's going to be a decade

play33:48

worth of a trend that continues this

play33:50

time and this time is not

play33:53

different why are we bullish crypto all

play33:56

right now

play33:58

we're going to work our way down a

play33:59

little bit here guys thanks for uh

play34:01

thanks for the likes looks like we just

play34:03

cracked 200 on YouTube we got 330

play34:06

watching how are we doing on Twitter I

play34:07

haven't even checked Twitter let's

play34:10

see oh beautiful man 91 likes on Twitter

play34:13

that's great 30 retweets guys are

play34:17

animals you guys are absolute

play34:20

animals thanks for the support guys the

play34:23

Andy Army appreciates you

play34:28

um all

play34:30

right all right let's keep moving let's

play34:32

keep moving down the train here so let's

play34:36

uh oh

play34:40

man all right what do I even want to do

play34:42

with this chart quick

play34:44

uh here's what I'm going to do with this

play34:46

chart I'm gonna close this chart I don't

play34:48

want to look at it anymore that's too

play34:49

much that's too much we're going to open

play34:51

up a new one here open up

play34:56

a all right and now we're going to move

play34:59

over to ethereum okay now this is where

play35:03

things get really important okay this is

play35:06

where things get really really important

play35:10

we're going to talk about why that

play35:13

is going

play35:16

remove the alert line we don't need that

play35:20

all right so when does ethereum

play35:23

typically perform well guys when does

play35:26

ethereum typically perform well well

play35:28

actually what I'm going to do is I'm

play35:29

going to show you this first um we're

play35:32

going to put up

play35:35

BLX I want to show

play35:38

you when eth typically performs well now

play35:41

the reason I'm going to show you why eth

play35:42

typically performs well is because in

play35:46

order for Andy to do well you need eth

play35:48

to do well in order for eth to do well

play35:50

you need Bitcoin to do well we just

play35:52

talked about why we think bitcoin's

play35:53

going to do well okay now we're going to

play35:56

work our way down the chain here so here

play35:57

here's Bitcoin up top and what we're

play35:59

going to do is we're going to put ethusd

play36:02

down below

play36:05

okay here we go we'll make the chart

play36:08

look nice and pretty hopefully you guys

play36:11

um I published a free BB Academy course

play36:14

too a lot of you guys will ask me from

play36:16

time to time like Hey how do you get

play36:17

your charts to look the way that they do

play36:19

like I love how your charts look um and

play36:22

I published a free trading view course

play36:24

um on how to do that so you guys should

play36:27

check check that out as well I think

play36:28

it's probably there's probably a link to

play36:31

BB Academy down in the description so

play36:33

when we're done here um if you guys want

play36:35

to learn how I do all my charting and

play36:37

make them look the way that they do um

play36:39

again it's it's totally free I we hit

play36:41

20,000 um on YouTube and I wanted to

play36:44

just do a little thank you so um put

play36:47

that together for you guys it's like

play36:48

maybe like an hour a little bit longer

play36:50

than an hour course so um yeah it's

play36:53

pretty great like I I went into like a

play36:55

lot of detail on how to how to make your

play36:57

charts look sexy so let's uh let's keep

play37:00

moving here so we're going to talk about

play37:03

actually I'm going to move that back

play37:04

down real quick we're going to talk

play37:05

about when eth is going to start

play37:08

performing well okay which again is of

play37:11

course contingent upon Bitcoin so let's

play37:13

mark out the previous all-time highs

play37:15

here for Bitcoin all

play37:18

right previous cycle all-time

play37:21

highs for

play37:25

Bitcoin and then we are going to move

play37:27

eth

play37:29

up and I'll just do it this way this is

play37:32

fine so now we have Bitcoin up top and

play37:35

we have eth just below it all right now

play37:38

I want to Mark

play37:40

out when eth has really started to

play37:43

perform

play37:44

well okay and pretty clearly it's like

play37:47

right here

play37:49

right we'll say like this is when eth

play37:52

just went crazy like the time to hold

play37:54

eth eth right here went from like and

play37:56

I'm I'm you could pick any spot you can

play37:58

go here you can go here it doesn't

play38:00

really matter right but you want this

play38:02

move the reason to hold eth is you want

play38:03

to outperform bitcoin like if you're not

play38:05

going to outperform bitcoin with

play38:06

anything just hold Bitcoin it's really

play38:08

simple Bitcoin is the safest most time

play38:10

tested most decentralized most

play38:13

infrastructure built around it just hold

play38:15

Bitcoin right but if you're a Trader and

play38:17

you're looking to outperform make sure

play38:19

that you're outperforming Bitcoin and

play38:20

then the real question is like what

play38:22

What's the

play38:24

timing where do the probabilities align

play38:26

and Stack Up so that we have the

play38:28

greatest potential chance to outperform

play38:30

bitcoin right and that's what we're

play38:32

talking about and it starts with Bitcoin

play38:34

going into price Discovery and then it

play38:35

starts with eth following and then it

play38:37

works further down the chain and we're

play38:38

going to get to Andy but in order to

play38:41

understand Andy you need to understand

play38:42

the higher time frame cycles first

play38:45

okay so here's eth down below I'll just

play38:49

uh I I changed the colors so you guys

play38:51

should be able to easily recognize it

play38:53

but I will label it as well

play38:58

there's

play38:59

Bitcoin all right so Bitcoin up top eth

play39:02

down below and these horizontal lines

play39:04

are when Bitcoin uh basically it's bit

play39:07

Bitcoin cycle tops okay and then this we

play39:11

actually just make this blue for eth

play39:13

this blue line is when you've wanted to

play39:15

hold eth against Bitcoin right because

play39:17

right here eth went from 10 bucks to

play39:20

1,200 that's pretty good let's keep it

play39:23

moving how about last

play39:25

cycle Bitcoin goes into price Discovery

play39:28

eth went from

play39:30

uh looks like 500 bucks all the way up

play39:35

to almost 5,000 right just just a little

play39:37

under 4,800 all right and Bitcoin at

play39:40

that time went from you know 20,000 uh

play39:44

just under 70,000 right

play39:48

so what are we potentially looking at

play39:50

right

play39:51

here maybe the same thing right maybe

play39:54

the same thing and just another way to

play39:55

look at this is actually just putting up

play39:57

the eth BTC chart this is actually

play40:00

ethereum divided by Bitcoin for those

play40:01

that don't know this is one of my

play40:03

favorite charts it's been bleeding a lot

play40:05

recently but from a higher time frame

play40:07

cycle perspective like when does eth BTC

play40:11

which is eth denominated in Bitcoin if

play40:13

this chart is moving up like this that

play40:16

means eth's outperforming Bitcoin if

play40:18

it's moving down it's the opposite

play40:19

bitcoin's outperforming eth eth is

play40:22

outperforming Bitcoin here and for the

play40:24

past two years plus it's been more than

play40:26

two years Bitcoin coin has been a better

play40:27

hold than ethereum right I'm not talking

play40:30

about eth beta I'm talking about both

play40:31

l1s right Bitcoin versus literal Bitcoin

play40:35

versus literal eth I'm not talking about

play40:36

any like beta plays or anything like

play40:39

that

play40:41

okay so here's eth BTC down below I mean

play40:43

you can see from this pair that

play40:45

typically when Bitcoin goes into price

play40:48

discovery which is right around here

play40:52

right around here you can see that the

play40:54

eth BTC pair begins to you know really

play40:58

ramp up and then once you know Bitcoin

play41:01

right around here right like right

play41:02

around here this is when you know this

play41:05

is when things get wild like this is

play41:07

when you want to be in ethereum versus

play41:09

Bitcoin is right as Bitcoin is tucked

play41:11

underneath that previous cycle all-time

play41:14

high and reaccumulated and um here I'm

play41:16

just going to put on a um Bitcoin have

play41:20

there must be a having indicator I've

play41:22

used one

play41:24

before um

play41:30

here um okay kind of an ugly yellow but

play41:32

I just wanted to throw the Bitcoin

play41:57

are the Bitcoin

play42:27

super clean here's

play42:32

having why did that go to the downside

play42:36

here just do

play42:41

this all right there you go so here's

play42:45

your

play42:57

uh the previous election let's get the

play43:00

date right was November 4th

play43:05

2016 wait that's the one that I just did

play43:08

hang on

play43:11

November November 6

play43:15

2016 here we

play43:19

go right here so that was the election

play43:22

there and then in 2020 the date of the

play43:25

election would say November 8th

play43:33

2020 right around here so actually if

play43:37

history tells us anything and this

play43:39

hasn't happened yet so I'll just Mark

play43:41

the election out here's November of this

play43:44

year if history tells us anything it's

play43:47

that buying ethereum actually rather

play43:50

than Bitcoin even though I have this

play43:52

chart for you buying ethereum sometime

play43:56

between the Bitcoin having which is in

play43:58

Orange and the election which is in red

play44:01

actually has yielded some pretty

play44:03

tremendous

play44:05

outperformance against Bitcoin the

play44:07

king in the previous Cycles right um

play44:13

here's the evidence right so that would

play44:17

mean eth will begin to

play44:20

outperform I mean relatively soon right

play44:23

like maybe it's earlier maybe it's later

play44:25

but like this is your WI

play44:28

window right here I'm going to mark this

play44:30

out in green like this is your eth

play44:33

accumulation

play44:44

window right here your eth accumulation

play44:48

window is now until the election right

play44:53

and then you basically just hold it for

play44:55

like you know N9 months

play44:58

that's the

play44:59

cycle there's a million ways to over

play45:01

complicate it but that's the higher time

play45:04

frame Trend

play45:06

right that's the high time frame

play45:09

Trend let me just check in on the stream

play45:12

real

play45:17

quick

play45:20

okay all right now what we're going to

play45:23

do is we've already established why

play45:26

we're bullish Bitcoin right we've got

play45:29

havingsex we've got Global liquidity On

play45:31

The Rise right now we've established why

play45:34

we should actually be more bullish

play45:37

ethereum right now basically now through

play45:40

the end of the end of the next basically

play45:42

now through the next year roughly okay

play45:45

give or

play45:46

take now we've established why we're

play45:48

bullish Bitcoin and we've established

play45:50

additionally why historically speaking

play45:52

we should be more bullish seasonally on

play45:54

ethereum than Bitcoin okay

play45:58

now now now now we need to talk about

play46:02

beta all right we need to talk about

play46:05

beta so what we're going to

play46:07

do we're going to clear all the drawings

play46:11

okay we're going to clear all the

play46:12

drawings we're going to reset our

play46:17

chart we're actually going to put eth

play46:19

BTC back up right so we just talked

play46:23

about we just talked about why we're

play46:26

bullish Bitcoin

play46:27

therefore we should be bullish ethereum

play46:31

seasonally now let's go back through

play46:33

some some previous Cycles to see when

play46:36

like Mania has really commenced right

play46:39

and up until this cycle there's really

play46:41

only been like one king meme coin which

play46:43

was Doge all right so what we're going

play46:45

to do is we're going to put Doge down

play46:51

below

play46:54

doge is the Bitcoin of meme coins

play46:57

I hope you understand what I mean when I

play46:59

say that and Doge literally is kind of a

play47:02

fork of of Bitcoin as well like it's a

play47:04

fork of Litecoin which is a fork of

play47:08

Bitcoin kind of strange but I think you

play47:12

get the

play47:13

point it's decentralized it's proof of

play47:15

work it's been around longer than

play47:17

ethereum right which is

play47:20

crazy but there's been a few

play47:23

instances in time when Doge

play47:28

has basically just gone

play47:35

nuts and what's been the trigger for

play47:38

that what is the trigger for Doge going

play47:41

nuts which up until this cycle has been

play47:44

like when you want to go

play47:46

crazy you buy Doge right like when you

play47:49

think the market is reaching like Peak

play47:51

froth Peak

play47:52

Mania you've bought Doge historically

play47:55

this cycle I think it's actually a

play47:56

little B bit different it's a little bit

play47:57

diluted I actually think there's other

play47:59

things you can buy which is partially

play48:01

why we're here

play48:03

um would you look at

play48:06

this we're going to Mark out when eth

play48:08

BTC starts going

play48:11

crazy there's your bottom

play48:18

beautiful all right so let's look at the

play48:21

previous two

play48:24

cycles cycle one

play48:31

here's Doge down below here's eth BTC up

play48:34

top we just went over what that is this

play48:37

is when when this is moving up this top

play48:40

chart I'll actually do this ethereum

play48:44

blue and Bitcoin

play48:47

orange you guys like that when it's

play48:49

going up they're nice eth Blue candles

play48:53

when they're going down uh Bitcoin

play48:55

candles right cuz that means bitcoin's

play48:57

outperforming so when this chart is

play49:00

going up eth is outperforming Bitcoin

play49:02

look at what happens to risk to

play49:05

Beta to meme coins when eth BTC goes

play49:09

crazy eth BTC is not just it's not just

play49:15

evaluating how is ethereum doing against

play49:18

Bitcoin what eth BTC is doing is telling

play49:22

you the Market's ready to go risk on

play49:25

it's an oscillator at this

play49:28

point and some people will argue oh

play49:30

that's Salon of this cycle you could be

play49:33

right but I think it's too early to say

play49:36

I think salana is going to do really

play49:37

well also but um I do believe that this

play49:42

will this will prevail once again in

play49:45

that when we see eth BTC begin to Rally

play49:49

you will start to see the whole Market

play49:52

go risk on all right so first cycle Doge

play49:56

BAS basically went from

play50:01

.21 up to

play50:05

0.004 I need to move this down and take

play50:08

a measured move that it's going to be

play50:09

crazy hang

play50:12

on

play50:17

okay so when eth BTC in the first cycle

play50:20

went

play50:21

crazy Doge immediately

play50:25

followed when a 2,000% in 3 months and

play50:30

to the actual Global top it went up

play50:32

almost 10,000% okay 10,000% in that year

play50:36

following right we've talked about that

play50:38

year before right here's your

play50:42

year you buy in the red specifically

play50:45

your last window of time to accumulate

play50:47

is between the having and the election

play50:49

then you get a year historically

play50:50

speaking okay here's your

play50:53

year eth BTC goes crazy Doge which is

play50:57

again eth BTC is your risk on gauge doge

play51:00

is an individual ticker that is like the

play51:02

king beta at least historically that's

play51:04

what it's been this cycle it might be

play51:06

different how about last

play51:10

cycle how about last

play51:13

cycle Doge when eth BTC put in a high

play51:16

time frame pivot and actually went up

play51:20

and E BTC tripled in like no

play51:23

time yeah eth BTC tripled in like for

play51:27

five four to five months

play51:29

okay look at when eth BTC puts in a high

play51:32

time frame pivot and begins to

play51:33

outperform look what happened to

play51:37

Doge 18,000

play51:40

per in four

play51:42

months off of the back of eth BTC being

play51:45

the

play51:50

trigger pretty

play51:52

crazy all right so what could we

play51:54

potentially expect this cycle right all

play51:56

right well there's a lot more meme coins

play51:58

this cycle but eth BTC hasn't started to

play52:02

like really aggressively outperform yet

play52:05

so here's our eth BTC outperformance

play52:08

line right I think that that pivot is

play52:11

coming very soon if we haven't already

play52:12

just had it

play52:18

right you're going to continue to see

play52:20

the same pattern play over and over and

play52:23

over again in my

play52:25

opinion big Bitcoin will lead bitcoin's

play52:28

a better hold except for like 6 months

play52:31

every four years then you want to hold

play52:34

beta then you want to go risk

play52:48

on right what's going on here let me see

play52:51

some comments what is going on here

play53:00

who's

play53:06

rugan what is going on hang

play53:22

on unreal thank you Connor

play53:28

um okay hang on what is this guy saying

play53:32

retail but retail is not here won't be

play53:34

here through next year you're looking

play53:36

too much at the technicals and not at

play53:39

the

play53:40

fundamentals he doesn't deserve any

play53:42

likes if he's going to string you all

play53:43

along like this seriously it's hard to

play53:46

watch and don't watch man if you don't

play53:48

like it you don't you don't have to

play53:49

watch it

play54:03

yeah man rugan you're just you're just

play54:05

salty

play54:06

bro you're just salty man we've been

play54:08

crushing

play54:11

it yeah all right we're going to get rid

play54:13

of him I don't think he's here for the

play54:15

right reasons I don't think he's

play54:16

actually like constructive I think he's

play54:18

just kind of

play54:22

trolling goodbye rugan it's been a

play54:25

pleasure all right no worries guys it's

play54:29

it's just I'm just a guy sharing his

play54:31

opinions um I understand local

play54:34

volatility can be stressful um you know

play54:38

and every cycle could be different right

play54:40

but I'm here providing analysis and my

play54:44

opinions um you don't have to like it if

play54:47

you disagree that's totally cool like I

play54:50

actually would love for somebody like if

play54:52

you have differing opinions go to

play54:54

Twitter I'll look at the Stream because

play54:56

it's streaming on X as well post your

play54:58

charts post your analysis other than

play55:01

just being like it's never coming it's

play55:03

over you're not looking at the

play55:05

fundamentals no I promise you I've

play55:07

looked at all the fundamentals as

play55:09

well and I I promise you I've looked at

play55:13

at all of the at all of it you know we

play55:16

don't have time to cover every single

play55:18

like macro indicator you

play55:21

know anyways all right let's let's keep

play55:24

it rolling

play55:26

let me get a little bit of water

play55:31

here all right so we've

play55:34

established why we are bullish Bitcoin

play55:37

or why this historically speaking has

play55:39

been a good time to be bullish

play55:42

Bitcoin and then we've also established

play55:45

that basically buying ethereum instead

play55:47

of Bitcoin between the Bitcoin having in

play55:49

the US election historically has aged

play55:52

very well now we've just given a premier

play55:55

example

play55:56

as to what eth BTC actually represents

play56:01

and what eth BTC actually

play56:03

represents is not just eth kicking

play56:06

Bitcoins but performance-wise for a

play56:09

small window of time what it represents

play56:12

is this Market is ready to bid and it's

play56:13

ready to bid everything under the sun

play56:16

that's what that

play56:18

means all

play56:22

right

play56:24

now let's talk about our favorite

play56:29

beta let's talk about it

play56:35

all we'll leave this for

play56:40

now what we need to do is we need to

play56:43

talk

play56:49

about we need to talk about

play56:54

eth I'm going to explain to you

play56:57

something about

play56:59

eth and

play57:08

Andy we've already

play57:10

established we've set the stage for why

play57:13

we are bullish the things that we are

play57:18

bullish but now I'm going to show

play57:20

you precisely why Andy moves the way

play57:24

that Andy moves

play57:34

now up top is eth we're going to make it

play57:38

blue for

play57:42

ethereum down below we'll uh actually

play57:45

we'll just keep Andy we'll keep Andy

play57:47

green and red for now that's

play57:49

fine and then we'll uh we'll move it up

play57:53

okay now what you'll know notice about

play57:56

Andy right is it's sitting at like

play57:59

between 70 and 80 million right

play58:03

and actually what I want to do is let me

play58:09

just so I'm just going to show an Andy

play58:11

chart real quick on like what I'm seeing

play58:12

locally and then we're going to get back

play58:14

into that example as to why it moves the

play58:16

way that it

play58:19

does oh it's saving my my chart colors

play58:22

that's

play58:23

interesting let's put that back to green

play58:25

and red

play58:27

red all

play58:30

right so

play58:33

Andy just like most altcoins right now

play58:36

are pulling back because Bitcoin pulled

play58:38

back and then eth pulled back and then

play58:40

you know stocks pulled back and you know

play58:42

that's altcoins right that's beta and

play58:43

I'm going to show you why they're moving

play58:46

the way that they are but you know right

play58:48

below us we have something that I would

play58:49

consider to be Mega demand and here I'll

play58:52

actually I'll redraw this all together

play58:55

um but basically what we're going to do

play58:57

is we're going to draw a volume profile

play58:59

which gives you X-ray vision into the

play59:01

market um and it shows you where the

play59:05

area of most transacting has occurred

play59:09

right so right now the area on the chart

play59:12

in which most of the transacting has

play59:14

occurred has been this red line it's

play59:17

called the point of control all right

play59:19

and of course it's basically like all of

play59:23

this right here accumulation

play59:26

you

play59:27

know this was all buying that ultimately

play59:30

led to to this right Andy pumped from 40

play59:35

million up to 300 million was the the

play59:38

all-time high so far okay so in a very

play59:41

short period of time Andy was scooped up

play59:44

in this accumulation and then rocketed

play59:46

up to 300 million right so what we have

play59:49

right here is we have a high time frame

play59:51

Demand with a high time frame point of

play59:53

control sitting right below the current

play59:56

level this is a really nice level you

play59:58

know whether we just go up from here and

play60:01

we do something like this you know like

play60:04

could see that as well or you know

play60:06

whether we come back retest the point of

play60:07

control again this is going to be a hard

play60:09

level to chew through unless eth

play60:12

literally goes on to make a new low or

play60:13

something like that which by the way I

play60:15

am not

play60:16

expecting um so anyways quick look at

play60:18

Andy um additionally I mean you could

play60:21

you could draw something kind of like

play60:23

this right like you have like a little

play60:24

compression Happening Here similar to

play60:26

what happened like over here just doing

play60:28

this really really quickly but I just

play60:30

want to show you think of it as like a

play60:32

bouncy ball that's running out of steam

play60:34

right it's like you drop a ball on

play60:36

asphalt and it's like boom boom boom and

play60:39

then it runs out of momentum and it has

play60:41

nowhere to go except you have to pick

play60:43

the ball back up so you can bounce it

play60:44

again right so that's what happened over

play60:46

here bouncy ball bouncy ball bouncy ball

play60:50

nowhere to go pick it up we drop it

play60:52

again bouncy ball bouncy ball bouncy

play60:56

ball pick it up nowhere to go again

play60:59

right it's called in a technical term it

play61:02

could be called seller exhaustion right

play61:05

um but I just want to I wanted to share

play61:08

that a little bit I think it's kind of

play61:09

like an interesting and I would say

play61:11

unique way to look at it but in my

play61:13

opinion this is what I'm seeing with

play61:14

Andy right here like this is your

play61:16

accumulation region okay now let's go

play61:20

back to eth I want to talk to you guys

play61:23

about why Andy moved moves the way that

play61:26

it does right and then we're going to

play61:29

we're going to we're going to string it

play61:30

all back in together like why are we

play61:32

bullish Bitcoin why are we bullish eth

play61:35

why would we bullish eth over Bitcoin

play61:37

why would we hold Andy over eth you know

play61:40

we're going to get into all that okay so

play61:43

let's take a look at the last Andy pump

play61:45

this one that we were just talking about

play61:47

okay so this here's Andy and you'll

play61:50

notice you know right here we started

play61:53

pumping right basically Andy and I'll

play61:56

mark this out here um from this

play62:00

low to we'll just call this the high I

play62:02

don't really think this was an I think

play62:04

this was like an me bot or something

play62:06

like that so we're just going to call

play62:08

this the high but you get the

play62:09

point um all right so there was our

play62:13

there was our

play62:15

rally and Andy went up

play62:18

725

play62:19

per um and that was over

play62:26

two weeks just over two weeks okay so

play62:29

plus seven we'll just do 700% it was a

play62:32

little bit more in two weeks okay and we

play62:39

will put

play62:42

that we'll put that on the top that's

play62:46

fine all right now what do we notice

play62:48

about eth right

play62:52

here oh that was right when eth pumped

play62:57

pumped

play62:59

interesting okay how about we do this

play63:02

let's move Andy up

play63:07

now we'll get this

play63:16

organized all right here's eth up top

play63:19

here's Andy down

play63:22

below eth fires first ever so SL

play63:25

slightly me go down to the even lower

play63:27

time frames eth fires

play63:30

first and

play63:35

then right there once eth kind of chills

play63:38

out and it has acceptance significantly

play63:40

higher than it is or it was because it

play63:43

was at like you know 3,000 and it marked

play63:45

up to

play63:46

3,800 Andy went up Plus 700% in two

play63:50

weeks right that was your trigger now

play63:52

let's keep moving right here

play63:56

and I don't even need this anymore we'll

play63:58

just mark it out okay we'll just Mark

play64:00

we'll just Mark out all the

play64:06

levels here we go

play64:15

Andy right over here in

play64:18

July

play64:20

eth popped up a little bit right and

play64:24

actually let me just change this color

play64:26

this is bugging

play64:30

me Andy rallied from 80 million to 200

play64:35

million and look what happened eth just

play64:38

jumped a little

play64:41

bit right are you seeing the pattern

play64:43

right in front of you are you beginning

play64:45

to see the

play64:49

pattern so what do you think is going to

play64:51

happen next right let's let's let's mark

play64:53

this out just a little bit okay

play64:59

eth goes on to break structure to the

play65:01

upside and he

play65:05

fires eth goes on to break structure to

play65:08

the upside Andy

play65:11

fires the next quote unquote eth

play65:14

breaking structure to the

play65:17

upside is going to be this

play65:20

level right

play65:23

here if eth breaks above

play65:27

2800 and he's goingon to

play65:30

fire really really

play65:33

simple really

play65:37

simple so it's like why would you hold

play65:40

you know Andy over eth well let's

play65:42

actually do this let's move Andy back

play65:44

down and I'll show you the beta

play65:46

correlation and I know some of you have

play65:48

seen this already but I think it serves

play65:50

an important reminder especially when

play65:51

the market is boring and chopping and

play65:53

ranging and you're just like do

play65:54

something

play65:57

right let's take measured moves

play66:02

here so eth from its

play66:09

low eth from its

play66:13

low rallied about 40% give or take I'm

play66:16

kind of rounding because we're doing it

play66:18

quickly but eth went up

play66:21

40% and from its low I'll just measure

play66:25

it to here Andy went up we already know

play66:27

plus

play66:32

700% then how about right over here from

play66:35

this low to its

play66:40

high eth rallied

play66:47

26% and then Andy from its

play66:54

low went up

play66:59

175% okay so what you're really betting

play67:03

on here is okay am I bullish ethereum

play67:06

because I recognize what happens to Andy

play67:08

when eth performs

play67:11

well it is literally that

play67:14

simple like it it is literally that

play67:17

simple but of course the consequen the

play67:20

consequences are greater to the downside

play67:22

beta goes both ways let's take another

play67:24

measured move just to to be fair

play67:30

here here's eth one it just pulled back

play67:33

recently thank you ethereum for that

play67:36

minus

play67:37

42%

play67:39

G minus

play67:42

42% and let us see what Andy

play67:47

did minus

play67:52

75% how about this one

play67:59

eth went down minus 29%

play68:07

roughly and Andy went down minus

play68:18

77% so I love memes memes are funny

play68:22

right but what are you really trading

play68:24

here

play68:26

do you recognize what you're really

play68:27

trading here

play68:29

now what you're trading is leveraged

play68:35

ethereum I mean that's it what you're

play68:38

trading is leveraged

play68:40

ethereum oh is eth going to go

play68:43

up okay well then why don't I bet on

play68:46

Andy look how tight the correlation

play68:51

is I mean look at that like you you just

play68:53

you just gen like you literally just

play68:55

can't make make it up even like this

play68:56

little move right here

play69:02

right I mean it just it's it's just like

play69:04

perfect you know so you know the big

play69:08

question is like okay

play69:10

one why are we bullish crypto here all

play69:13

right we covered

play69:15

that then next actually I removed the

play69:18

chart right why are we bullish crypto

play69:22

here we talked about Bitcoin Bitcoin

play69:24

needs to do well and then once Bitcoin

play69:27

starts doing well you accumulate it some

play69:29

time between the Bitcoin having and the

play69:30

US presidential election historically

play69:33

it's actually been more prosperous to

play69:36

buy ethereum rather than Bitcoin here's

play69:38

the ebtc chart right we talked about all

play69:43

that you buy it somewhere in here you

play69:47

buy it somewhere in here you buy it

play69:49

somewhere in here and you hold it for 9

play69:51

to 12

play69:53

months right so we've established why

play69:55

bullish Bitcoin why we're bullish crypto

play69:57

in general we've also established why we

play69:59

should be cyclically speaking more

play70:01

bullish ethereum than Bitcoin okay at

play70:04

least over the next year and we've just

play70:07

established the relationship as to why

play70:09

Andy moves the way that it does and what

play70:11

you're actually betting on so what do

play70:14

you think is going to

play70:16

happen what do you think is going to

play70:18

happen to

play70:23

Andy when eth does this

play70:38

oops Yeah I don't need that

play70:56

what do you think is going to

play71:02

happen to Andy when eth goes into price

play71:06

Discovery eventually right so let's mark

play71:10

this out again right here just go from

play71:13

right here

play71:15

okay so eth goes

play71:20

up and he goes

play71:23

up and I'll just I'll label these just

play71:25

so you guys don't forget here's

play71:32

eth here's

play71:34

Andy let's make it

play71:40

gold what do you think is going to

play71:41

happen if eth does this hypothetically

play71:45

of course

play71:47

right what if eth does this what do you

play71:50

think Andy's going to do

play71:56

Mark out this

play72:02

one that's the real

play72:04

question

play72:07

right that's the real

play72:12

question if eth goes up do you think

play72:15

Andy's gonna go

play72:17

down I've shown you the

play72:21

correlations I'll make it colorful for

play72:23

you now

play72:25

we'll draw it up

play72:32

again the timing is the

play72:36

same you just need to have more of a

play72:38

stomach for volatility and what you're

play72:40

really buying with something like Andy

play72:43

which is a now Premier confirmed

play72:46

correlated ethereum beta

play72:49

play what you're buying is a long-dated

play72:53

far outof the- money call option on a

play72:56

eum like that is what you're

play73:02

buying I'm GNA explain what that means

play73:05

in a second let me just finish doing

play73:15

this like oh why is Andy down why is

play73:18

Andy down I don't understand Max why is

play73:21

Andy down here's

play73:24

why you're trading leveraged ethereum so

play73:27

the question is like okay if you're

play73:28

bullish eth

play73:30

like you think eth is going to do

play73:33

this right like hasn't even gone into

play73:36

price Discovery yet like what if it does

play73:38

this I know it seems like a lot right

play73:40

now but we already talked about why we

play73:41

should be bullish crypto and then why we

play73:43

should be bullish eth BTC cyclically

play73:50

speaking like what do you think's gonna

play73:52

you think that Andy won't go on to do

play73:54

this then if eth

play73:58

does I just showed you why why it's most

play74:01

likely going

play74:05

to I just showed

play74:08

you look at

play74:19

this come on what are we talking about

play74:21

here

play74:26

crazy what are we even talking about

play74:32

here oh Remy thank you for the Super

play74:34

Chat super kind of

play74:38

you super super kind of you thank you so

play74:40

much uh

play74:42

Remy what concerns me is the daily

play74:44

weekly of Bitcoin eth going into late Q3

play74:46

macro events Etc Andy has no real

play74:48

support below 32 million see yeah I

play74:51

mean if there's some like macro blowout

play74:56

or something you know and eth goes to

play74:58

900 bucks then it's going to be a

play75:00

problem right but um additionally one

play75:03

thing that and then we'll do some Ta on

play75:06

um on Andy here actually let's just do

play75:09

this

play75:12

quick so Remy this is

play75:20

um we just had kind of a historic drop

play75:24

and I know might not seem like it but it

play75:26

actually was a very very historic

play75:30

drop there's been very few

play75:33

times in the history of the

play75:37

market in the past three

play75:40

decades when we've basically had a

play75:44

volatility blowout like the one that we

play75:46

just had the drop that we just had was

play75:48

on par with um basically like the dot

play75:53

crash

play75:55

um 20072 2008 great financial crisis

play75:58

some pullbacks that happened during that

play76:00

recovery you know the turbulence in 2015

play76:03

for stocks 2018 then covid and now right

play76:07

I'm going to Mark these out really

play76:09

quickly um just to show you what I'm

play76:11

talking about and if you had bought all

play76:13

of these like historically when the Vic

play76:15

spikes above

play76:16

45 what you would have been

play76:21

buying I'll mark these out first

play76:27

so I know it might seem like oh like

play76:29

what if something happens something did

play76:30

just happen it just happened kind of

play76:32

quickly and yeah things things could get

play76:35

worse for sure um but I just want to

play76:38

show like if you had bought stocks and

play76:41

risk when you had seen a historic Vick

play76:44

Spike which is indicative of tremendous

play76:47

turmoil in in trafi or Legacy markets

play76:51

this is what your purchases would have

play76:52

looked like and by the way I have this

play76:54

in log mode this is what the chart

play76:56

really looks

play76:58

like so I'm just saying the drop that we

play77:00

just had is on par with all of these

play77:03

horrible horrible

play77:04

drops right the Vic spiked to 65 the

play77:08

only two in the past three decades that

play77:10

have been bigger than that was covid and

play77:13

the great financial crisis we're number

play77:15

three the one that we just had so you

play77:19

know what if something really bad happen

play77:21

something really bad just did

play77:23

happen you know

play77:25

I guess it's not equivalent to like

play77:27

unemployment spiking above like you know

play77:30

10% or something but

play77:33

um

play77:35

anyways just showing like from a

play77:37

technical side of things like if you had

play77:39

bought every major scare in the market

play77:42

to this

play77:44

degree over the past three decades like

play77:47

this is what your chart would look

play77:50

like so you know when I when I'm bullish

play77:54

from from a technical perspective right

play77:56

there's always a million macro reasons

play77:58

to be bearish like always that that was

play78:00

something I was saying in the beginning

play78:01

of the stream is like the amount of

play78:04

stuff that there is to focus on right

play78:06

now it could give the most sophisticated

play78:09

of Traders and you know uh money

play78:13

managers absolute

play78:15

paralysis analysis paralysis deer and

play78:18

headlight syndrome where they just you

play78:21

know oh what if this happens and that

play78:22

looks bad there's there's always

play78:25

something going wrong in the world you

play78:27

know and yeah I'm you know I'm fully

play78:30

aware of you know typically what happens

play78:32

when the FED decides to cut interest

play78:34

rates I know I've done the overlays I'm

play78:37

watching it very very closely but I also

play78:39

think it's possible that the market has

play78:41

become more reflexive and more

play78:44

forward-looking than it ever has been

play78:47

before um we might be trading three

play78:50

years in front of our skis right

play78:52

now we literally might be like the

play78:55

market may already be pricing

play78:57

in you know 5%

play79:00

unemployment and forward-looking enough

play79:03

with rates to know that a year and a

play79:06

half from now we'll you know effective

play79:08

federal funds rate will be at 3% and you

play79:12

know it it might be forward enough

play79:13

looking because like one more thing to

play79:15

note about that too it's a really good

play79:16

question is

play79:18

like I mean look at how long some of

play79:20

these drops took right like look at look

play79:23

at the dotc crash

play79:25

took 900 days and we had a Vic Spike

play79:28

above 45 volatility blowout

play79:31

right great financial crisis 500 Days

play79:35

major Vic Spike right and then you fast

play79:38

forward to like recent years right when

play79:40

things have hit the

play79:43

fan how about all this turbulence and

play79:46

chop 300 days if you want to you know

play79:49

measure them individually right you can

play79:50

cut that in half depending on how you

play79:52

want to measure it but how about Co

play79:57

Co drop took less than two months we'll

play79:59

just say two months you know these these

play80:04

drops we just don't have bare markets

play80:06

that last three to four to five years

play80:09

anymore you know like not that we won't

play80:12

ever have them again but the dips get

play80:15

eaten up

play80:16

quicker and I believe the market is

play80:19

becoming increasingly more manipulated

play80:21

from the powers that be uh they simply

play80:25

can't let the Ponzi stop they keep

play80:27

printing money and injecting sort of

play80:29

hidden liquidity into the market in

play80:31

order to keep it propped up um there's

play80:34

no such thing as a natural correction

play80:36

anymore eventually there will be right

play80:40

but if you've been betting on a natural

play80:42

a natural correction meaning a

play80:44

multi-year bare market like we saw in

play80:47

2000 and 2008 which actually although

play80:50

they were painful for those that were

play80:51

holding were actually very healthy

play80:54

longer term term if you've been betting

play80:56

on a natural correction and a much

play80:58

needed one over the past two decades

play81:02

almost decade and a

play81:04

half I mean talk about a Golden Bull

play81:07

Run QE has ramped up interest rates have

play81:11

dropped to historically low levels not

play81:13

right now right but that have caused

play81:15

this chart to look the way that it

play81:19

has and you now have more foreign

play81:22

investment in our domestic Market here

play81:24

in the US like it's not just mostly

play81:27

highly concentrated High net worth

play81:29

individuals in the US buying our stocks

play81:31

like you have to look at it on a global

play81:33

picture right and you know one thing to

play81:35

note about this chart is like this is

play81:37

global M2 right here um let's look at um

play81:44

m2l let's see what the US one looks

play81:47

like so here's the here's the US M2

play81:53

chart uh

play82:01

um

play82:07

so us M2 hasn't gone on into price

play82:11

Discovery yet this is us M2 and this is

play82:15

global M2 right

play82:17

here

play82:22

oops I think I just

play82:25

pulled that chart off here we

play82:31

go so you can see here that Global M2 is

play82:34

actually in price Discovery and US

play82:36

domestic M2 is not so I think you need

play82:40

to look at like the whole picture now

play82:41

more than than ever um just a just a

play82:45

different kind of

play82:46

Market just a different kind of Market

play82:49

but it's it's a really good question

play82:51

right it's just like when you get a Vic

play82:52

Spike to when you get a Vick Spike to 65

play82:56

and you get you know and you get eth

play82:58

pulling back to you know like what

play83:02

did like let's go back to eth

play83:14

now I

play83:16

mean it's kind of hard to look at this

play83:19

right but it's like if you had bought

play83:20

the

play83:21

last if you had bought the last Spike

play83:25

the last you know a scare this big for

play83:29

the vix it's like that's kind of what we

play83:31

just got like if you're bullish eth if

play83:33

you're bullish anything right like if

play83:35

you're bullish risk in

play83:37

general and you see a a volatility blow

play83:40

like the one that we just had you take

play83:42

that you know you take it I wasn't

play83:45

expecting it this soon but you take it

play83:49

you know you get an asset like eth down

play83:53

50% from it's yearly

play83:56

High you take that I'm taking

play83:59

it but to each their own right it's

play84:01

risky like I get it there's a lot to

play84:03

look at um and it's not all so beautiful

play84:07

and uh and

play84:09

chipper but from a technical side of

play84:14

things let's look at Andy and and talk

play84:17

about like where I think it could

play84:21

go my absolute favorite tool in the

play84:28

world is the FIB

play84:37

extension look at where we topped on

play84:40

this first

play84:49

rally me move these to the center here

play84:59

look at that that's nice 2.61 eight

play85:03

range high range low 2.68 you've also

play85:05

got it nicely in log where you topped in

play85:07

log at the

play85:10

1.618

play85:12

right so how about where we're at right

play85:18

now you could maybe draw something like

play85:21

this I kind of like this with this being

play85:24

a

play85:24

deviation I don't know to each their own

play85:27

right we'll have to take a look at it

play85:28

you could maybe do this oh that's

play85:32

interesting that's a little too

play85:34

interesting if you ask

play85:37

me all right let's mark this out here's

play85:40

Andy range

play85:42

high range low here was your

play85:45

mid-range topped out at the

play85:48

1.618 range

play85:50

high range low I mean very very clear

play85:54

mid-range right here

play85:56

right like pretty

play85:59

clear notice how your 1.618 right

play86:03

now is exactly at your first range

play86:07

2618 you see that they're

play86:10

touching Range High to range Low Range

play86:13

High to range low your first range

play86:16

2.68 is this current range is

play86:22

1.618 that's pretty interesting

play86:26

that's pretty interesting

play86:31

guys

play86:32

hypothetically from right

play86:35

here that would be,

play86:37

1700% so that take us to about 1.3

play86:40

billion in market

play86:42

cap um but you know like if you went up

play86:46

to the 2.68 or this first you know range

play86:48

is

play86:50

3618 um you know this is going to be

play86:53

your next big level in my opinion like

play86:55

the Confluence here is crazy like when

play86:58

eth finally goes

play87:02

into when eth finally goes into price

play87:06

discovery

play87:29

so for example like

play87:34

if eth can break out of here and maybe

play87:38

we see like if let's just assume this is

play87:40

our you know our eth range something

play87:44

like

play87:45

this and you see eth up here right and

play87:49

you could probably make the case it

play87:50

should be right here that's fine too but

play87:53

like if this is our eth range for right

play87:55

now and we're going to break out and

play87:57

eventually you know we got a lot of work

play87:58

to do right but when that happens eth

play88:01

goes to 5,000 or you know

play88:05

7500 I mean I think we've already talked

play88:07

enough about the the correlations right

play88:10

like when the rallies really go

play88:12

crazy I mean look

play88:15

at look at right

play88:22

here you know it's like what are you

play88:24

really trading here what you're trading

play88:26

is I mean what you're trading is 10

play88:28

times lever at ethereum you know so if

play88:32

eth goes from here to I mean let's just

play88:35

say the

play88:36

2.68 that's

play88:38

200% if Andy goes from right here to

play88:42

this Confluence of the 2.68 and the

play88:46

1.618 that's

play88:49

1700% you know your Bas it's 10x

play88:52

right and we we've already shown the

play88:55

correlation when eth pumps and then eth

play88:57

thumps what happens to Andy

play89:15

right so yeah I mean that's that's what

play89:17

you're trading

play89:19

right it's like all you're all you're

play89:22

debating here really is is like okay if

play89:26

I think that eth is in like a deviation

play89:28

zone

play89:30

right like if I think that eth is in a

play89:33

deviation Zone because you know we

play89:36

already talked about um you know we

play89:39

already talked about there was a Vic

play89:41

Spike and then we were talking about you

play89:43

know buying Bitcoin between the having

play89:45

and the election how historically that

play89:47

has been been solid if it comes coupled

play89:49

with global M2 On The Rise and we talked

play89:51

about you know eth BTC outperformance

play89:55

um if you're bullish eth and you want to

play89:59

buy you know a drop like this right a

play90:03

Cascade a 40 you know 50% drop on eth

play90:07

and you're bullish on

play90:09

eth I just showed you why you're

play90:12

actually very bullish Andy potentially

play90:14

without even knowing

play90:20

it and you could even argue that yes

play90:22

percentage wise you know Andy down more

play90:25

than eth right but what are we talking

play90:27

about here like look at these highs and

play90:30

these

play90:38

lows like what are you talking about

play90:40

here look at this

play90:46

chart look at the dates they're lined up

play90:55

like what what do you want to make of

play90:57

this right oh I'm too scared to hold a

play90:59

meme coin oh I don't understand

play91:02

it I'm helping you understand it look at

play91:05

what you're really trading here yes

play91:08

percentage wise it can be scary right

play91:10

we've already went over when when eth

play91:12

drops Andy's going to drop harder when

play91:15

eth pumps Andy's goingon to pump way

play91:19

harder but given what just happened with

play91:22

ethereum

play91:25

it's pretty unbelievable how Andy's

play91:27

holding up I mean it's got a real

play91:31

community of people that are educated

play91:33

and understand the product in which they

play91:35

are actually

play91:37

trading what you're doing is you are

play91:40

buying a and I said this earlier you're

play91:42

buying a long dated you know far

play91:45

outdated far out of the money call

play91:49

option on ethereum with no expiration

play91:53

date and no Theta

play91:57

Decay now I know a lot of you probably

play91:59

don't know what that means because a lot

play92:00

of you probably don't trade options

play92:03

but basically the idea is with

play92:07

options the the biggest villain with

play92:10

buying an option is that you basically

play92:13

have to pay to keep it

play92:14

open and the the closer you get to the

play92:17

expiration date of that option to

play92:19

purchase or to sell um the more

play92:22

expensive it gets to keep it open

play92:24

and the higher the price of the asset uh

play92:27

needs to be in order to support your

play92:29

position all right and basically what

play92:33

you're doing by buying something like

play92:34

Andy here is just it's just you're

play92:37

making a bet that eth is going to go up

play92:39

to five six 7,000 and you just

play92:43

wait that's literally all you're

play92:46

doing all that's all you're doing by

play92:48

holding Andy is just being like yep I'm

play92:51

just going to buy this and hold it until

play92:53

eth goes to six or

play92:55

7,000 and then I'm going to sell

play92:57

it and then when eth drops to 5,000 and

play93:00

I get bullish eth again then I'll buy

play93:03

Andy instead because I'm buying a 10

play93:05

times levered ethereum without any

play93:07

contango any Decay you know same with an

play93:10

option no Theta Decay no expiration date

play93:13

to worry

play93:16

about you're just buying levered

play93:18

ethereum that's it

play93:24

here's my favorite

play93:49

example here

play93:52

is my favorite

play94:05

example here let me actually add on one

play94:07

more

play94:47

I mean look at what happens when eth

play94:48

pumps to our beta train right I have a

play94:52

tweet about this if you want to find it

play94:53

later

play94:55

up top Pepe middle Andy bottom L wolf Bo

play94:59

Club study eth

play95:07

pumps eth pumps Pepe goes up Andy goes

play95:12

up wolf goes

play95:15

up then what happens eth goes

play95:19

down what happens to all of them

play95:23

they all go down thank you

play95:26

ethereum

play95:32

right so it's like all right are you

play95:34

bullish or bearish E here you know what

play95:36

happens

play95:40

next you know what happens if eth goes

play95:43

up or down so are you bullish or you

play95:45

bearish ethereum

play95:48

here I mean I presented you with some

play95:51

evidence you know I presented you with

play95:54

what I think is going to

play95:56

happen it's a tough Market though it's a

play96:00

tough tough market like it

play96:03

is it is volatile there's a lot of macro

play96:07

going on right

play96:09

now a lot of things to look at why would

play96:12

the market go

play96:13

up why did the market go up when we had

play96:16

covid and they shut down the global

play96:20

economy you imagine the people buying

play96:22

the co drop

play96:24

in March 2020 Bitcoin hit 4K under

play96:28

4K and one year later it was just under

play96:32

70k do you think when Bitcoin was

play96:34

sitting under 5K in March of

play96:38

2020 anybody out there would have said

play96:40

with conviction Bitcoin is going to be

play96:42

at 69k within a

play96:46

year I mean come on now that's crazy

play96:50

talk isn't

play96:51

it that's crazy

play96:57

what if I told you Bitcoin would be over

play96:58

20 200k in a year would you call me

play97:05

crazy what

play97:09

if h

play97:32

I'm being scolded for being

play97:38

bullish huh funny time we're in

play97:44

huh yeah No One Believes

play97:48

it everybody's right about being bearish

play97:51

I guess

play98:09

huh

play98:12

H funny time we live

play98:15

in where have my Bulls

play98:19

gone little crypto shake out and

play98:21

everyone thinks it's thinks it's the end

play98:23

of the world you

play98:25

know let me help you guys with something

play98:27

real

play98:28

quick sometimes the mind has a way of

play98:31

Playing Tricks on us you know it's a

play98:34

shame but it

play98:38

does sometimes it can really help to

play98:44

uh to look at things a little

play98:52

differently for

play99:40

I mean I see

play99:42

it I definitely see

play99:46

it who's going to buy ethereum oh my

play99:50

goodness who's going to buy eth down

play99:51

here people can't afford grocer

play99:55

people can't afford to pay their rent

play99:56

who's going to buy ethereum down

play99:59

here oh eth is at 130 bucks look at the

play100:03

vix just blew out to 80 who is going to

play100:05

buy ethereum down

play100:08

here people can't afford to pay for

play100:11

their cars and their rent who's going to

play100:13

buy ethereum down here we're going to go

play100:15

to 50 I'll buy it at

play100:17

$50 I'll buy it when it goes down to $50

play100:20

oh we're going to go so much

play100:22

lower oh my goodness oh they shut down

play100:25

the

play100:27

economy oh my gosh inflation this blah

play100:30

blah blah blah blah where's all the

play100:32

liquidity going to come from who's going

play100:34

to buy

play100:39

this who's going to buy

play100:43

it

play100:45

everybody everybody's going to buy it

play100:55

who's going to buy all of our ethereum

play100:58

nobody wants it yeah we'll

play101:02

see we'll

play101:05

see I want to do this with you guys

play101:21

too I know our minds have a way of

play101:23

playing

play101:28

tricks but like seriously does this look

play101:30

bullish to

play101:33

you like if you were looking at this

play101:35

chart would you be like oh yeah like I'm

play101:37

gonna I'm GNA buy this right here like

play101:39

like this is you know like oh yeah this

play101:42

is like the trade of the decade is like

play101:43

this right here you know like is that

play101:46

what you really think like looking at

play101:47

this chart this is a bullish setup to

play101:49

you right here because when I look at

play101:51

this chart

play101:54

when I look at this chart I see

play101:56

this uh

play101:59

oh when I look at this chart I see

play102:04

uhoh like this looks

play102:07

cooked is that

play102:13

bullish I mean I

play102:15

don't I mean if you did this like if you

play102:18

did like something like this you

play102:21

know I guess

play102:25

but right

play102:28

here

play102:37

o like sometimes you have to flip the

play102:39

chart and play tricks on your

play102:45

mind who's going to buy it who's going

play102:48

to buy it nobody wants to buy it from

play102:51

you

play102:58

like like eth dropped 50% in a few

play103:01

months and we had a vix blow blowout to

play103:05

65 all of your beta plays are down 75 to

play103:10

85% and holding the floor and eth looks

play103:14

like this this is inverted to just get

play103:17

your brain out of the same little like

play103:19

uh you know complacency Funk that it's

play103:21

in

play103:23

and the chart looks like this and

play103:25

everybody still wants lower you know

play103:26

what I say to the to the ethereum Bears

play103:29

right

play103:29

now I say you're

play103:33

greedy not even just eth like Bitcoin

play103:36

too like I I I prepared for that drop by

play103:39

the way like those of you that are in

play103:40

the the BB Discord like you you knew

play103:42

about that I didn't touch any of my boy

play103:45

club but like I prepared I put on some

play103:47

Hedges I sold some majors and things

play103:50

like that that you know just doesn't

play103:51

matter if I sell I can buy back whenever

play103:53

I

play103:55

want like the BB Discord like you guys

play103:59

you guys got that heads up for me

play104:03

like this is inverted right but like I

play104:06

was drisking like right in here I saw

play104:10

what was coming I I felt as though it

play104:12

was more probable that we were going to

play104:13

take a plunge than not and I prepared

play104:15

for

play104:15

it and a lot of our community did as

play104:21

well but my hedges are

play104:26

removed I have since

play104:28

redeployed at the

play104:32

lows like you're going to catch a minus

play104:34

50% move on eth in a few months and be

play104:37

like I need

play104:39

lower what are you talk like what are we

play104:42

talking about

play104:43

here that's like the most

play104:45

famous that's like the most famous thing

play104:47

in the world is like you get the drop

play104:50

you were looking for and then you want

play104:52

more it's like you get the pump you were

play104:54

looking for and then you want more greed

play104:55

works both

play105:00

ways like I buy

play105:03

blood we just had blood we had Carnage

play105:07

billions in open interest wiped across

play105:09

the board additionally funding has been

play105:12

negative recently on bitcoin like today

play105:14

it was negative this

play105:18

morning you're bullish this chart this

play105:22

looks bullish to you

play105:26

all

play105:27

right maybe you're right I guess we'll

play105:33

see all right guys I think I'm going to

play105:35

call it here got our Discord call right

play105:38

now thanks so much for being here sorry

play105:40

I didn't get to uh to all the comments

play105:42

but hopefully you guys had a good time

play105:44

hanging out here I'll see you back here

play105:46

again next week guys um this was an Andy

play105:50

community

play105:51

space I don't know I just kind of did

play105:53

like a YouTube show today I just wanted

play105:54

to talk about the charts and and stuff

play105:56

like that but yeah hopefully uh

play105:59

hopefully you guys either learn

play106:00

something or uh just had a good time

play106:03

hanging out even if you didn't learn

play106:04

something but thanks so much for for

play106:06

hanging out with me guys for those of

play106:08

you that are in the BB Discord I will

play106:10

see you guys in just a minute I'm GNA

play106:12

pop over there right now um but yeah

play106:16

fingers crossed guys I think things

play106:18

should be looking up pretty soon but

play106:20

anyways thanks for being here check out

play106:22

the links in the the description below

play106:24

if you want to learn more about how to

play106:26

uh to trade or connect with me a few

play106:28

options down below for you guys but if

play106:30

not I will see you guys next week

play106:32

everybody take care

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