OTOMOBİL ALACAKLAR KESİNLİKLE İZLESİN | FİYATLAR NE OLACAK ?

Hacı Ömer Kılınç

11 Aug 202410:38

Summary

TLDRIn this video, the host discusses the sluggish automobile market in August, focusing on why new cars aren't selling and the impact on the second-hand market. Topics include predictions for car sales, the effect of tax regulations, and the potential for price drops in both new and used vehicles. The host also addresses rumors about tax-free cars for retirees, urging viewers to be cautious of misleading information. Viewers are encouraged to subscribe for more insights and updates on the evolving automotive market.

Takeaways

🛑 The market for new cars is stagnant, with almost no sales happening in August.
📉 August is expected to be the worst month for car sales, with predictions of a significant drop in sales numbers.
🚗 The used car market is affected by the lack of new car sales, and prices are fluctuating.
📊 There is a possibility of a tax base adjustment (matrah düzenlemesi), which could impact car prices if it doesn't happen.
🔍 Rumors about tax-free cars for retirees are circulating, but these claims are not supported by official statements.
💼 Car dealerships are under pressure due to large inventories and may struggle to sell their stock.
🛠 The automotive market could shrink significantly if the tax base is not adjusted.
📉 Interest rates remain high, making car loans less attractive, which further impacts car sales.
💬 There are speculations about upcoming changes affecting car dealers, which might be discussed in future videos.
❗ The presenter advises against believing in sensational headlines about tax-free cars for retirees, as they are likely clickbait.

Q & A

Why are new cars not being sold in August?
-New cars are not being sold in August due to high stock levels, the impact of recent regulatory changes, and a preference for selling them as second-hand vehicles with registered plates.
What are the expected car sales figures for August?
-The car market expects a challenging August with lower sales figures due to high stocks and the lack of demand for new cars.
How is the second-hand car market affected by the new car sales situation?
-The second-hand car market is experiencing stable or slightly decreasing prices as new cars are being sold as second-hand to clear stock.
What is the significance of the GSR 2 compliance for car sales?
-GSR 2 compliance is significant because cars without it faced sales restrictions, leading dealers to register them and sell them as second-hand.
What is the role of the 'matrah' regulation in the car market?
-The 'matrah' regulation is crucial because it determines tax rates. Without adjustments, high taxes continue to hinder new car sales, potentially causing market contraction.
Why is there a discussion about VAT-free cars for retirees?
-The discussion about VAT-free cars for retirees is based on speculative news, aiming to attract readers. However, it is not seen as practical by the government.
What is the impact of high interest rates on car sales?
-High interest rates discourage car purchases as they increase the cost of financing, making cars less attractive as investment vehicles.
Are the reports of VAT-free cars for retirees reliable?
-No, reports of VAT-free cars for retirees are not reliable. They are often used as clickbait by news sites, with no official confirmation from the government.
How are dealers responding to the current market conditions?
-Dealers are trying to clear their high stock levels by selling new cars as second-hand with registered plates to circumvent recent sales restrictions.
What predictions are made for the car market in the coming months?
-The speaker predicts a 110% contraction in the new car market by September and suggests that without 'matrah' regulation changes, the market will continue to struggle.

Outlines

00:00

📉 August Car Market Woes and Sales Predictions

In this video, the presenter welcomes the audience and discusses several pressing topics in the automotive industry, focusing on the difficulties facing the car market in August. The primary topics include the stagnant sales of new cars, predictions of a tough August for sales, the effects of these trends on the second-hand market, and the potential for tax regulation changes. The video also explores the impact of government policies on dealerships and the broader market, emphasizing the current challenges and the likelihood of continued market struggles if no tax adjustments are made.

05:00

📊 Impact of Potential Tax Regulation Changes on Car Prices

The second paragraph delves into the impact of potential tax regulation changes (specifically ÖTV) on car prices, particularly in the second-hand market. The presenter explains that if these tax changes are implemented, prices are likely to drop significantly. However, if the regulations are not altered, the high prices will persist, leading to market stagnation. The discussion includes a reference to a Turkish proverb to illustrate the inevitability of price drops if the tax changes occur, and the presenter stresses the importance of understanding these dynamics for those considering buying or selling cars.

10:01

🔍 Investigating Market Trends and Upcoming Videos

In the final paragraph, the presenter hints at upcoming content, including a potential investigation into the impact of regulations on car dealerships, following a trend observed with social media influencers. The presenter encourages viewers to stay tuned for future videos that will cover this investigation in detail. Additionally, the importance of viewer feedback is highlighted, as the presenter uses comments to guide research and content creation. The video concludes with a reminder for viewers to subscribe to the channel and a farewell message.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Zero Car Sales

The term 'Zero Car Sales' refers to the selling of brand-new cars that haven't been used or registered before. In the video, the speaker discusses the dramatic drop in the sales of zero cars in August, explaining that this decline is linked to factors such as the new GSR 2 regulations and the abundance of unsold stock in dealerships. This situation directly impacts both the new and used car markets, creating a ripple effect throughout the automotive industry.

💡GSR 2 Compliance

GSR 2 Compliance refers to the regulations set for vehicles to meet certain environmental and safety standards. In the video, the speaker mentions that cars not compliant with GSR 2 standards are becoming harder to sell, which has led to a build-up of stock in dealerships. This regulation is a key factor contributing to the sluggish movement in the zero car market, as it restricts the sale of non-compliant vehicles.

💡Matrah Regulation

Matrah Regulation refers to the base value used to calculate taxes on vehicles, particularly the Special Consumption Tax (ÖTV) in Turkey. The video discusses the potential impact of a matrah regulation on the car market, suggesting that without an update to this regulation, zero car sales will remain low, and the market will continue to shrink. The speaker emphasizes that this regulation is crucial for adjusting car prices and making them more accessible to buyers.

💡Second-Hand Car Market

The Second-Hand Car Market pertains to the buying and selling of pre-owned vehicles. The video highlights that the challenges in the zero car market, such as unsold stock and high prices, are causing a spillover effect into the second-hand market. Dealers are now selling what are technically zero cars as second-hand due to previous registrations, which is affecting pricing and sales dynamics within this segment.

💡Stockpiling in Dealerships

Stockpiling in Dealerships refers to the accumulation of unsold cars in auto dealerships. This issue is central to the video's discussion, where the speaker notes that dealerships are struggling to move their inventory, especially with the ongoing regulatory changes. This stockpiling is one reason for the predicted poor performance in car sales during August, as dealers are unable to clear their old stock before receiving new models.

💡Special Consumption Tax (ÖTV)

Special Consumption Tax (ÖTV) is a significant tax applied to certain goods in Turkey, including automobiles. The video touches on the impact of ÖTV on car prices, especially in light of potential changes in matrah regulations. The speaker argues that high ÖTV rates are contributing to the difficulties in selling zero cars, as they drive up prices, making cars less affordable for consumers.

💡Economic Contraction in the Car Market

Economic Contraction in the Car Market describes the expected shrinkage of the automotive sector due to reduced sales and market activity. In the video, the speaker predicts a significant contraction, potentially up to 110%, due to the combination of high taxes, unsold stock, and the lack of matrah regulation. This term is crucial for understanding the broader economic impact discussed in the video.

💡Price Stabilization

Price Stabilization refers to the phenomenon where prices in the second-hand car market are not increasing, despite changes in supply and demand dynamics. The video explains that due to the influx of zero cars being sold as second-hand, prices in this market segment have remained stable or even decreased, contrary to what might be expected in a tight market. This stabilization is seen as a sign of a struggling market.

💡Emekli ÖTV Exemption

Emekli ÖTV Exemption refers to the rumored exemption from the Special Consumption Tax (ÖTV) for retirees in Turkey. The video addresses this topic by debunking the rumor, suggesting that such an exemption is unlikely given the current economic conditions and government's fiscal policies. The speaker views these rumors as misleading and advises viewers not to rely on them for financial decisions.

💡Inflation and Auto Market

Inflation and Auto Market pertains to the relationship between rising prices and the automotive industry. The video discusses how high inflation is exacerbating the difficulties in both the zero and second-hand car markets. The speaker argues that as inflation continues, it affects purchasing power, leading to reduced demand for cars, which in turn impacts sales and market activity.

Highlights

Discussion on why zero cars are not being sold in August despite market expectations.

Analysis of the worst August sales predictions for zero cars with a focus on estimated sales figures.

Exploration of the second-hand market and whether vehicle prices are decreasing.

Investigation into the potential for a tax regulation adjustment and its impact on the market.

Rumors and speculation about the possibility of tax-free cars for retirees.

Explanation of new regulations regarding the sale of Euro 2 non-compliant cars after July 7.

Overview of the impact of these regulations on second-hand markets.

Dealers are now selling zero-kilometer cars as second-hand to clear stock.

The effect of high-interest rates on the sales and stock challenges faced by dealers.

Possible solutions to market stagnation, including potential tax regulation changes.

Discussion on market contraction predictions in the absence of regulatory adjustments.

Debunking rumors of tax-free vehicles for retirees as unrealistic under current economic conditions.

Expectation that the automobile market may face a 110% contraction by September.

Analysis of price stability and predictions for cars aged 0-3, and 10-20 years old.

Dismissal of sensationalized news about tax-free vehicles aimed at misleading readers for clicks.