NATO Will Never Be the Same
Summary
TLDRIn this episode of America Uncovered, Chris Chappell discusses NATO's recent decisions, particularly regarding Ukraine, highlighting the Washington Summit Declaration, which includes military aid, training, and a pledge of long-term security assistance. Despite the support, Ukraine's challenges with F-16 pilot training and Russia's superior air force are noted, emphasizing NATO's cautious approach to prevent escalation.
Takeaways
- š NATO celebrated its 75th anniversary in Washington, D.C.
- š¤¦āāļø The summit was overshadowed by various distractions, including calls within the Democratic Party to replace President Biden.
- š”ļø NATO committed to long-term security assistance for Ukraine, including $43 billion in funding and the provision of military equipment and training.
- āļø The first F-16 jet fighters will be operational in Ukraine by the end of this summer, with Ukraine expected to have 60 to 80 jets by the end of the year.
- šŗš¦ Despite the aid, Ukraine is frustrated with the slow pace of F-16 pilot training programs.
- š NATO's incremental support approach is meant to avoid escalation with Russia but is seen as insufficient for Ukraine to win the conflict.
- š The 2008 Bucharest Summit declaration stated that Georgia and Ukraine would eventually join NATO, though no timeline was provided.
- š The 2014 annexation of Crimea by Russia shifted Ukraine's orientation towards NATO, with increased support for joining the alliance.
- š” NATO has recognized the need to ramp up defense spending and production, addressing modern warfare requirements and reducing dependency on Russian energy.
- š ļø NATO criticized Iran, North Korea, and China for their roles in supporting Russia's war efforts and highlighted the threat these countries pose to Western security.
Q & A
What is the significance of the NATO summit mentioned in the script?
-The NATO summit mentioned in the script is significant because it marked NATO's 75th anniversary and led to important decisions regarding military support for Ukraine, which is not a NATO member.
What does the Washington Summit Declaration include regarding Ukraine?
-The Washington Summit Declaration includes the decision to coordinate the provision of military equipment and training for Ukraine, a Pledge of Long-Term Security Assistance, a commitment to fund Ukraine at a minimum of $43 billion within the next year, and the appointment of a NATO Senior Representative in Ukraine.
How many F-16 jet fighters is Ukraine expected to receive by the end of the year according to the script?
-Ukraine is expected to receive somewhere between 60 to 80 F-16 jet fighters by the end of the year.
What additional air defense systems are mentioned in the script to be provided to Ukraine?
-The script mentions that Ukraine will receive 5 additional air defense systems, including Patriot batteries.
What is the issue with the F-16 pilot training programs according to Politico?
-The issue with the F-16 pilot training programs, as reported by Politico, is that they do not have enough capacity, with only 20 Ukrainian F-16 pilots expected to graduate by the end of the year, which is half of the number needed to operate a full squadron of 20 jets.
How does the script describe NATO's approach to supporting Ukraine in the conflict with Russia?
-The script describes NATO's approach as slow and incremental, aimed at helping Ukraine fight but not necessarily win, in order to prevent escalation with Russia.
What historical event in 2008 is mentioned in the script that is related to NATO and Ukraine?
-The script mentions the 2008 NATO summit in Bucharest, where it was declared that Georgia and Ukraine would eventually join NATO, although no timeline or plan was given.
What major change in NATO's perception occurred after the annexation of Crimea by Russia in 2014?
-After Russia's annexation of Crimea in 2014, support for Ukraine joining NATO increased significantly, and NATO reaffirmed its commitment to Ukraine.
How did the Trump Administration view NATO's defense spending prior to the Ukraine conflict?
-The Trump Administration viewed NATO's defense spending as insufficient, with the US covering a majority of the budget, and suggested that other NATO countries should boost their defense spending.
What are some of the major changes NATO has recognized and implemented due to the Ukraine conflict?
-Major changes recognized and implemented by NATO due to the Ukraine conflict include ramping up ammunition production, addressing the risk of mineral shortages, adapting a military posture for modern warfare, and increasing defense spending.
How does the script suggest that the situation with authoritarian countries has changed NATO's stance?
-The script suggests that NATO now recognizes authoritarian countries as a unified axis attempting to undermine the West, leading to criticism of Iran, North Korea, and China for their support of Russia in the conflict with Ukraine.
Outlines
š NATO's Critical Decisions and Ukraine's Role
NATO has faced criticism for its decisions, especially regarding Ukraine. Recently, NATO leaders met in Washington, D.C., celebrating NATO's 75th anniversary. The summit resulted in significant outcomes, including the Washington Summit Declaration, which focuses on providing military equipment and training to Ukraine, a pledge of long-term security assistance, and the appointment of a NATO Senior Representative in Ukraine. NATO announced the delivery of F-16 jet fighters and additional air defense systems to Ukraine. However, issues such as insufficient F-16 pilot training capacity remain. Despite generous support, NATO's incremental approach appears to be helping Ukraine fight but not win, highlighting the need to understand the historical context of NATO's relationship with Ukraine.
š„ The Evolution of NATO and Its Challenges
NATO's stance has evolved significantly due to the Ukraine conflict. The 2008 Bucharest summit indicated that Georgia and Ukraine would eventually join NATO, but it lacked a concrete timeline. Ukraine's orientation towards NATO strengthened post-Euromaidan and the 2014 Crimea annexation by Russia. The Madrid Summit in 2022 reaffirmed NATO's commitment to Ukraine. NATO, once considered obsolete post-Cold War, faced challenges with defense spending, particularly during the Trump Administration. Trump's warnings about energy dependence on Russia and defense budget contributions were initially dismissed but later acknowledged as crucial. The ongoing war has forced NATO to reassess its military posture and production capacities, leading to increased defense spending and recognition of threats from authoritarian countries like Russia, Iran, North Korea, and China.
Mindmap
Keywords
š”NATO
š”Ukraine
š”Washington Summit Declaration
š”F-16 jet fighters
š”Euromaidan
š”Nord Stream 2 pipeline
š”Defense spending
š”Russia
š”Jens Stoltenberg
š”China
Highlights
NATO leaders met in Washington, D.C. and celebrated NATOās 75th anniversary.
NATO announced the decision to coordinate the provision of military equipment and training for Ukraine.
NATO pledged long-term security assistance for Ukraine, committing a minimum of $43 billion within the next year.
The first F-16 jet fighters will be operational in Ukraine by the end of the summer, with Ukraine expected to have 60 to 80 jets by the end of the year.
Ukraine will receive 5 additional air defense systems, including Patriot batteries.
The US announced a new $2.3 billion military aid package for Ukraine.
The F-16 pilot training programs are not meeting capacity needs, with only 20 Ukrainian pilots expected to graduate by the end of the year.
NATOās incremental support for Ukraine aims to prevent escalation with Russia, but it may not be enough for Ukraine to win.
In 2008, NATO declared that Georgia and Ukraine would eventually join NATO, but provided no timeline.
Ukraine reoriented towards NATO after the 2014 Euromaidan and the annexation of Crimea by Russia.
NATO reaffirmed its commitment to Ukraine during the Madrid Summit in 2022, shortly after Russia's invasion.
There was a belief that NATO was obsolete post-Cold War, as there seemed no threat of a war with Russia.
Trump urged NATO countries to boost their defense spending and warned against energy dependence on Russia.
NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg admitted Europe's mistake of becoming dependent on Russian oil and gas.
NATO now criticizes Iran, North Korea, and China for providing support to Russia in various forms.
Transcripts
NATO has made some pretty bad decisions.Ā Decisions that led to this . But now,Ā Ā
Ukraine is forcing NATO to rethink everything.
Welcome to America Uncovered. Iām Chris Chappell.
Last week, NATO leaders met in Washington,Ā D.C. and celebrated NATOās 75th anniversary.
But thereās a good chance you mightĀ not have picked up on it. We were allĀ Ā
a bit distracted at the time. Not by the failedĀ Trump assassinationāthat hadnāt happened yet.Ā
Iām talking about Democratic Party leaders wantingĀ Ā
to replace Biden for making repeatedĀ and embarrassing gaffes, like this:
āAnd now I want to hand it over toĀ the president of Ukraine who has asĀ Ā
much courage as he has determination.Ā Ladies and gentlemen, President Putin.ā
But there were some important thingsĀ that came out of the NATO summit,
Especially when it came to Ukraine, which,Ā as a reminder, is *not* a member of NATO.
Among them is the Washington Summit Declaration.
In the declaration is the decision toĀ coordinate the provision of militaryĀ Ā
equipment and training for Ukraine, makeĀ a Pledge of Long-Term Security AssistanceĀ Ā
for Ukraine to continue funding Ukraine at aĀ minimum of $43 billion within the next year,Ā Ā
and appoint a NATO SeniorĀ Representative in Ukraine.
NATO members also announced thatĀ the first F-16 jet fighters areĀ Ā
on their way and will be operationalĀ in Ukraine by the end of this summer.Ā
Which is insanely generous for aĀ country that isnāt even a member.Ā
Ukraine will reportedly haveĀ somewhere between 60 to 80Ā Ā
of these jet fighters by the end of the year.
This is in addition to 5 additional airĀ defense systems, including Patriot batteries,Ā Ā
that Biden announced earlier at the Summitā¦
and the US announcement of a new $2.3Ā billion military aid package a week earlier.
While Ukraine most certainly welcomes this news,Ā Ā
these alone likely wonāt tip theĀ scales in the Ukraine conflict.
As a matter of fact,Ā Ā
Ukraine has long been frustrated withĀ the US over its F-16 pilot training.
According to Politico, the F-16 pilot trainingĀ programs just donāt have enough capacity.Ā
āA total of 20 Ukrainian F-16 pilotsĀ are expected to graduate by the endĀ Ā
of this yearāhalf of the 40 needed toĀ operate a full squadron of 20 jets.ā
So why is NATO giving Ukraine 60 to 80 jets?!
But even if Ukraine had trainedĀ pilots for all the F-16s delivered,Ā Ā
theyād still be outnumbered by RussiaāsĀ numerically superior air force.
This is to say that the US andĀ Europe have been taking a slow,Ā Ā
incremental approach in supportingĀ Ukraine to prevent escalation with Russia.
But in doing so, it seems like NATO isĀ only helping Ukraine fight but not win.
So a little history is in order to reallyĀ understand how Ukraine has changed NATOĀ Ā
and how the situation got to where it isĀ now. Because ā as it turns out ā you canātĀ Ā
summarize decades of geopolitics in a meme. IĀ know, I tried. Surprised this didnāt go viral.
Back in 2008, NATO held a summit in BucharestĀ where it declared Georgia and Ukraine wouldĀ Ā
eventually join NATO, though it gave no timelineĀ or plan to execute this momentous decision.
Ukraineās dedication to NATO membership declinedĀ significantly beginning in 2010 until theĀ Ā
Euromaidan in 2014, when the president of UkraineĀ was ousted. Ukraine then reoriented to NATO.Ā
And when Russia annexed Crimea in 2014,Ā support for joining NATO increated a lot.
NATO reaffirmed its commitment toĀ Ukraine during the Madrid SummitĀ Ā
in 2022 a few months after Russia invaded,Ā and NATO hasnāt quite been the same since.
You see, for a long time there was anĀ idea that NATO was kind of obsolete.
The Cold War was over.Ā
We could all do business now!Ā
Even if it was with dictators.Ā
People called it the end of history. The liberal,Ā Ā
democratic world order won. So why shouldĀ NATO countries spend a bunch of money onĀ Ā
defense? Thereās no way a war withĀ Russia was going to happen, right? Right?
This was actually a major issue during the TrumpĀ Ā
Administration. The US was covering aĀ majority of the NATO defense budget.Ā
So in 2018, Trump suggested the other NATOĀ countries should boost their defense spending.
He also warned against energyĀ dependence on Russia and singledĀ Ā
out the Nord Stream 2 pipeline, which wouldĀ make countries like Germany Russiaās captive.
Germans laughed at Trump for warningĀ against relying on Russian oil.Ā
Germans assumed they could go on livingĀ as though theyāre at the end of history,Ā Ā
and they could totally work with peopleĀ like Russian leader Vladmir Putin .
After all, why couldnātĀ they just be good neighbors?
But surprise, surprise, people likeĀ Putin want more than just trade.
NATO Secretary-General JensĀ Stoltenberg admitted earlierĀ Ā
this year that Europe made a mistake ofĀ becoming dependent on Russian oil and gas.
But the Ukraine war forced NATO countries
to call for ramping up ammunition production...
Address the risk of mineral shortages...
and to adapt a military postureĀ that can tackle modern warfare.
And yes
NATO even raised its defense spending.
These are things that wereĀ unthinkable ten years ago.
As for believing we can all just getĀ along with authoritarian countries,Ā Ā
NATO now recognizes that they are becoming aĀ unified axis attempting to undermine the West.
Thatās why NATO is now criticizing IranĀ for providing UAVs to Russiaās warā¦
and criticizing North Korea for providingĀ artillery shells and ballistic missilesā¦
NATO also called out China .
āChina provides dual use equipment,Ā microelectronics, a lot of other tools,Ā Ā
which are enabling Russia to buildĀ the missiles, to build the bombs,Ā Ā
to build the aircraft, to build theĀ weapons they are using to attack Ukraine.ā
āSo this means that China isĀ a threat to our security.ā
Thatās what China Uncensoredās Chris ChappellĀ has been saying for years! I guess better lateĀ Ā
than never. People should really listen toĀ that guy. He makes a lot of good points.
These are all major changes that never would haveĀ happened to NATO had it not been for Ukraine. AndĀ Ā
itās a good thing theyāre wising up. Otherwise,Ā this really might have been the end of history.Ā
And not in a good way.
If you like America UncoveredāsĀ non-partisan take on news and politics,Ā Ā
be sure to subscribe, smash thatĀ like button, and support the showĀ Ā
on Patreon. All it takes is a dollar anĀ episode. Just click that orange button.
Iām also trying to get around YouTube censorshipĀ by hiding controversial topics in gaming content.Ā Ā
Check out the latest episode of my new show DeepĀ Thoughts While Gaming. Itās about Detroit BecomeĀ Ā
Human and itās called āIf A Robot IdentifiesĀ As a Womanā¦ā.Ā Itās fun. Give it a click.
Once again, Iām Chris Chappell.Ā Thanks for watching America Uncovered.
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