๐จ BITCOIN: DANGER !!!!!!!
Summary
TLDRThe video discusses Bitcoin's recent price drop and its impact on altcoins, emphasizing the importance of Bitcoin's support level at $65,100. It explores potential bearish trends, historical market patterns, and the significance of moving averages. The speaker also touches on macroeconomic factors, the SEC's decision on Ethereum, and political developments affecting crypto, suggesting that despite short-term volatility, the long-term outlook for Bitcoin and altcoins remains bullish.
Takeaways
- ๐ Bitcoin and altcoins are experiencing a significant drop in price, causing concern among investors.
- ๐ซ The speaker warns that if Bitcoin falls below $65,100, there is little support until it reaches $60,700.
- ๐ A bearish crossover between the 31 and 30 SMA on the daily time frame could confirm a further drop in Bitcoin's price.
- ๐ Historically, a moving average crossover has marked the top of a bull market, suggesting a similar pattern may be forming.
- ๐ The speaker is waiting for a 4-day candle close to decide on exiting some Bitcoin long positions, anticipating a potential drop to $60,000-$61,000.
- ๐ If Bitcoin loses the lower Bollinger Band, it could drop to $50,000, but the speaker does not believe this would end the bull market.
- ๐ค The speaker is considering the possibility of a double top pattern and a bounce from the current support levels.
- ๐ก The macro chart suggests that Bitcoin could still rise substantially above its previous all-time high if it can achieve a strong weekly candle close.
- ๐ฆ The SEC's suspension of the investigation into Ethereum as a security is viewed as bullish for altcoins.
- ๐ The Biden Administration's attendance at a Bitcoin Round Table indicates a shift in attitude towards cryptocurrencies, which is seen as positive for the industry.
- ๐ The speaker emphasizes the importance of educating oneself about Bitcoin, especially during periods of market consolidation.
Q & A
Why are Bitcoin and altcoin holders likely to be scared according to the script?
-Bitcoin has experienced a price drop recently, and altcoins have been suffering even more, causing concern among holders.
What is the critical support level for Bitcoin mentioned in the script?
-The critical support level for Bitcoin is $65.1k. If it falls below this level, it could drop to around $60.7k or even lower.
What potential bearish signal is discussed in relation to Bitcoin's moving averages?
-A bearish crossover between the 3-day and 10-day SMAs is discussed as a potential bearish signal for Bitcoin.
What past trend related to moving averages is mentioned in the script?
-The script mentions that in previous bull markets, a crossover of the 3-day and 10-day moving averages marked the top of the market.
What price action is expected if Bitcoin drops below its current support levels?
-If Bitcoin drops below its current support levels, it is expected to drop to around $60-61k and potentially to $50k if further support is lost.
What historical pattern does the script mention Bitcoin might follow?
-The script mentions that Bitcoin might bounce from the $64-65k range and form a double top pattern similar to previous years.
What is the significance of the prior all-time high for Bitcoin in terms of future price action?
-Breaking substantially above the prior all-time high of $69k with a strong weekly candle close is considered necessary for Bitcoin to reach higher targets of $85-95k.
What is the current market trend for the S&P 500 according to the script?
-The S&P 500 is making all-time highs, and it is expected to continue rallying, especially going into the elections.
What impact might the upcoming Ethereum ETFs have on the market?
-The approval of Ethereum spot ETFs could lead to a rally in Ethereum's price, but significant selling pressure from Grayscale might follow, affecting the market.
What recent development involving the SEC and Ethereum is considered positive for altcoins?
-The SEC has permanently suspended the investigation into Ethereum, classifying it as a commodity rather than a tradable security, which is positive news for altcoins.
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