Principles For Success by Ray Dalio (In 30 Minutes)

Principles by Ray Dalio
21 May 201828:46

Summary

TLDRThe narrator of 'Principles For Success' shares his journey of self-discovery and the development of life principles that led to his success. He emphasizes the importance of independent thinking, embracing reality, and learning from mistakes. The script outlines a five-step process for personal evolution and highlights the value of surrounding oneself with diverse perspectives to overcome the ego and blind spot barriers. It concludes with the idea that success is about the journey of evolution and the struggle towards shared goals, rather than the attainment of individual objectives.

Takeaways

  • 🤔 Embrace the reality of not knowing: Success often comes from knowing how to deal with the unknown rather than knowing everything.
  • 🛠️ Principles are essential tools: They are smart ways to handle recurring situations in life, acquired through experiences and mistakes.
  • 💡 Think independently: Develop your own principles based on your values and be an independent thinker to achieve personal success.
  • 🚀 The call to adventure: Early in life, it's crucial to break free from societal conventions and think for oneself to avoid a life directed by others.
  • ⏳ Time as a river: Life is a continuous journey with inevitable encounters that require decision-making; we cannot stop the flow of time.
  • 🎯 Quality of decisions equates to quality of life: The outcomes of life are determined by the choices we make, emphasizing the importance of decision-making.
  • 🔍 Reflect on mistakes to form principles: Learning from errors and turning them into guiding principles is a key to personal growth and avoiding repetition of mistakes.
  • 🌱 Hyper-realism: Understanding and accepting reality as it is, rather than as we wish it to be, is fundamental to achieving goals and dreams.
  • 🛤️ Personal evolution through a five-step process: Success involves a continuous cycle of setting goals, encountering problems, diagnosing root causes, designing solutions, and executing plans.
  • 🌟 Adapt or die: Evolution is a universal law that applies to everything, including personal growth, which involves adapting to challenges or facing decline.
  • 💡 Overcoming barriers: To succeed, one must confront and overcome the ego and blind spot barriers that prevent objective self-assessment and complete understanding of reality.
  • 🤝 The power of collaboration: Surrounding oneself with diverse thinkers who provide different perspectives is crucial for making better decisions and achieving greater success.
  • 🔄 The cycle of struggle and evolution: Success is not just about reaching goals but the continuous process of striving, learning, and evolving with others.
  • 🌱 Leaving a legacy: The true measure of success is the positive impact and the legacy of growth and well-being left for others to continue even after we are gone.

Q & A

  • What is the main theme of the 'Principles For Success' mini-series?

    -The main theme of the mini-series is the exploration of life principles that can help individuals achieve success, based on the narrator's personal experiences and reflections.

  • Why does the narrator feel it's important to share his principles for success?

    -The narrator believes that the principles contributing to his success could potentially help others achieve their own goals, and he values passing along what he has learned more than seeking more success for himself.

  • What does the narrator consider as the first and most fundamental principle for success?

    -The first and most fundamental principle, according to the narrator, is the need to think for oneself about what is true.

  • How does the narrator define 'principles' in the context of the series?

    -In the context of the series, 'principles' are defined as smart ways for handling things that happen repeatedly in similar situations.

  • What role do mistakes play in the formation of the narrator's life principles?

    -Mistakes play a significant role as they are the primary source from which the narrator has acquired his life principles, through making mistakes and reflecting on them.

  • What does the narrator suggest is the key to embracing reality and achieving success?

    -The narrator suggests that the key to embracing reality and achieving success is to be a hyper-realist, understanding and accepting the world as it is, and using the laws of reality to foster personal evolution and achieve goals.

  • What is the narrator's perspective on the relationship between pain and progress?

    -The narrator views pain as a cue for a great learning opportunity, believing that pain plus reflection equals progress.

  • Can you outline the five-step process the narrator describes for personal evolution?

    -The five-step process includes: 1) knowing your goals and pursuing them, 2) encountering problems that hinder these goals, 3) diagnosing these problems to understand their root causes, 4) designing a plan to eliminate the problems, and 5) executing the plan to progress toward the goal.

  • What significant event in 1982 had a profound impact on the narrator's life and philosophy?

    -In 1982, the narrator made a wrong public bet on an economic depression that never came, leading to significant financial and personal setbacks, which profoundly influenced his approach to risk and decision-making.

  • How does the narrator describe the concept of an 'idea meritocracy'?

    -An 'idea meritocracy' is a concept where everyone thinks independently, and then disagreements are worked through to determine the best course of action, with an emphasis on believability-weighting people's thinking.

  • What does the narrator believe is the ultimate reward of striving for success?

    -The narrator believes that the ultimate reward is not the attainment of goals, but the struggle itself, which forces personal evolution and growth, especially when shared with others on a common journey.

  • What advice does the narrator give regarding the use of the principles he shares?

    -The narrator advises that the principles should be assessed for their usefulness and adapted to suit individual needs, emphasizing that the decision to apply them is ultimately up to each person.

Outlines

00:00

🤔 Embracing the Journey of Self-Discovery and Success

The narrator introduces the concept of 'Principles For Success' as a mini-series and shares a personal admission of not knowing everything despite his success. He emphasizes the importance of independent thinking and learning from one's own experiences. The narrator outlines the idea that principles are guidelines for recurring situations and shares his life principles, which he acquired through a lifetime of trial and error. He discusses the necessity of escaping societal norms, the inevitability of making decisions, and the transformative power of learning from mistakes. The paragraph concludes with the narrator's belief in the universal applicability of his approach to life, which is rooted in reality and personal evolution.

05:00

🌱 The Hyper-Realist's Approach to Life and Success

The narrator delves into the concept of hyper-realism, which is a deep understanding and acceptance of reality as it is, rather than as one wishes it to be. He clarifies that hyper-realism is not about dismissing dreams but about pursuing them with a clear-eyed view of reality. The paragraph explores the idea that success is a personal definition and that everyone must decide on their goals and the path to achieve them. The narrator introduces a five-step process for personal evolution, which includes setting goals, confronting problems, diagnosing root causes, designing solutions, and executing those plans. He stresses that this process is universal and natural, akin to the evolution of any product, organization, or individual.

10:01

💡 Learning from Failure: A Catalyst for Growth

The narrator recounts a significant setback in 1982 when he made a wrong prediction about the economy, leading to severe personal and professional consequences. He describes the painful experience of having to let go of his staff and the challenge of facing his own mistakes. The paragraph discusses the importance of humility and the value of learning from failure. The narrator reflects on the nature of risk and reward, and the necessity of finding a balance between the two. He concludes by encouraging the audience to always look for the best path forward, even in the face of adversity.

15:02

🔍 The Machine of Life: Understanding the Patterns of Reality

The narrator provides a philosophical perspective on life, viewing everything as a machine governed by the laws and forces of the universe. He discusses the cyclical nature of events and how recognizing these patterns can lead to better decision-making. The paragraph emphasizes the importance of seeing events not as unique occurrences but as part of recurring patterns, which can be understood and managed with the right principles. The narrator also reflects on the importance of balancing risk and reward, and the necessity of overcoming personal barriers such as ego and blind spots to achieve a fulfilling life.

20:02

👥 Overcoming Personal Barriers with Collective Insight

The narrator identifies the ego and blind spot barriers as significant obstacles to effective decision-making. He explains how the ego can prevent individuals from acknowledging their weaknesses, while blind spots represent the limitations of one's perspective. The paragraph discusses the importance of seeking out diverse viewpoints to gain a more comprehensive understanding of reality. The narrator shares his approach to overcoming these barriers by valuing thoughtful disagreement and creating an 'idea meritocracy,' where the best ideas rise to the top based on their merit rather than the status of the person proposing them.

25:04

🌟 Success Beyond Goals: The Evolution of Personal and Collective Growth

The narrator reflects on the true meaning of success, suggesting that it is not merely the attainment of goals but the process of personal evolution and growth. He shares insights from observing other successful individuals and notes the commonalities in their journeys, including struggles and the leveraging of collective strengths. The paragraph highlights the interconnectedness of strengths and weaknesses and the inevitability of setbacks on the path to greatness. The narrator concludes by emphasizing the importance of striving for continuous evolution, both individually and with others, and the desire to enable others' success as a measure of one's own.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Success

Success in the video is portrayed as a journey of personal growth and the achievement of one's goals. It is not merely the end result but the process of overcoming challenges and learning from mistakes. The narrator emphasizes that success is subjective and varies based on individual values and aspirations, as mentioned when he states, 'We all need approaches, to making decisions that work well, especially when facing problems, mistakes, and weaknesses, that stand in our way.'

💡Principles

The concept of 'Principles' is central to the video, representing fundamental truths or beliefs that guide behavior and decision-making. The narrator shares that principles are 'smart ways for handling things, that happen over and over again in similar situations.' They are learned from experiences and are essential for navigating life's recurring challenges, as illustrated by the statement, 'My life principles are simple, but they're not complete.'

💡Reality

Reality, in the context of the video, refers to the objective state of the world as it is, independent of one's desires or beliefs. The narrator advocates for a 'hyper-realist' approach, which involves deeply understanding and accepting the world's laws and working with them to achieve goals. This is exemplified by the line, 'I believe that we were given the laws of reality by nature.'

💡Decisions

Decisions are highlighted as pivotal moments in one's life that determine the quality of life. The narrator suggests that facing millions of decisions is an inevitable part of life, and the quality of these decisions is crucial. This is evident when the narrator says, 'In your lifetime, you will face millions of decisions. The quality of your decisions will determine the quality of your life.'

💡Mistakes

Mistakes are presented as valuable learning opportunities rather than simply negative events. The narrator reflects on his own mistakes as catalysts for forming principles and improving decision-making, as he shares, 'Over the course of my lifetime, the most valuable things I've learned, were the results of mistakes I reflected on, to help form principles.'

💡Evolution

Evolution in the video is used to describe the process of growth and development, both at an individual and universal level. It is depicted as a natural law that involves adapting or facing extinction. The narrator relates this concept to personal growth, stating, 'Evolution is simply a process of either adapting, or dying.'

💡Risk

Risk is discussed in terms of the potential for loss or injury, but also as a necessary component for achieving significant rewards. The narrator's own experience with risk is shared, where he states, 'I thought very hard about the relationship, between risk and reward, and how to manage them.'

💡Humility

Humility is portrayed as a virtue born from acknowledging one's mistakes and limitations. It is a quality that the narrator believes is essential for personal growth and effective decision-making. This is reflected in the line, 'My big mistake in betting on a depression, gave me a healthy fear of being wrong. In other words, it gave me deep humility.'

💡Ego Barrier

The 'Ego Barrier' is a concept that refers to the psychological obstacle that prevents individuals from objectively recognizing and addressing their weaknesses. The narrator describes it as a part of the brain that hinders self-improvement by prioritizing being right over finding the truth, as he mentions, 'When I refer to your ego barrier, I'm talking about the parts of your brain that prevent you from acknowledging your weaknesses objectively.'

💡Blind Spot Barrier

The 'Blind Spot Barrier' refers to the limitations in one's perspective that prevent them from seeing the complete picture. The narrator explains that everyone has blind spots and that no one can see everything on their own, as he says, 'The blind spot barrier is when a person believes he or she can see everything. But it's a simple fact that no one alone, can see a complete picture of reality.'

💡Radical Open-Mindedness

Radical Open-Mindedness is the willingness to consider and embrace different perspectives, especially those that challenge one's own beliefs. The narrator advocates for this approach as a means to gain a more comprehensive understanding of reality and make better decisions, as he states, 'I needed an approach that would give me, the exceptional upside without also giving me, the exceptional downside.'

Highlights

Emphasizing the importance of dealing with 'not knowing' and the value of principles in navigating life.

The narrator's belief in sharing life principles to help others achieve their goals, despite feeling presumptuous.

The concept of principles as smart ways to handle recurring situations in life.

The admission of the narrator's life principles being simple yet incomplete, and the continuous learning process.

The necessity to think independently and escape societal conventions.

The metaphor of time as a river, carrying us into encounters with reality that require decision-making.

The assertion that the quality of decisions determines the quality of life.

Learning from mistakes and forming principles to avoid repeating them.

The journey from an ordinary life to success through unique life approaches and embracing reality.

The fundamental principle that truth is the essential foundation for good outcomes.

The concept of hyper-realism and its role in choosing and achieving dreams.

Defining success as a personal decision based on individual values and goals.

The psychological pain of facing harsh realities and the shift in perspective towards problem-solving.

The five-step process for personal evolution and success, including setting goals, encountering problems, diagnosing, planning, and executing.

The acknowledgment of the difficulty in performing all five steps well and the need for collaboration.

The narrator's personal setback in 1982 and the lessons learned from a significant failure.

The philosophical reflection on the nature of reality as a machine and the role of individual decisions within it.

The realization of the importance of seeing through different perspectives to avoid ego and blind spot barriers.

The idea of a 'radically open-minded approach' to decision-making by seeking out and valuing disagreement.

The creation of a company based on the idea meritocracy and the process of believability-weighting in decision-making.

The evolution of success from personal achievement to collective mission success and the well-being of others.

The final message encouraging individuals to assess the principles for themselves and to have the courage to evolve.

Transcripts

play00:00

- [Narrator] Principles For Success.

play00:02

An ultra mini-series adventure

play00:04

in 30 minutes, and in eight episodes.

play00:07

Episode one, The Call to Adventure.

play00:12

Before we begin, let me just establish the fact

play00:15

that I don't know much relative to what I need to know.

play00:19

Whatever success I've had in life

play00:20

has had more to do with my knowing

play00:22

how to deal with my not knowing than anything I know.

play00:27

That I should be telling other people what to do

play00:29

sounds kind of presumptuous to me,

play00:32

but I'm going to do it,

play00:33

because I believe that the principles

play00:35

that have made me successful

play00:37

could help others achieve their own goals.

play00:40

I'm now at a stage in my own life

play00:42

in which it is much more important to me

play00:44

to pass along what I've learned about how to be successful

play00:48

than to seek more success for myself.

play00:51

What you choose to do with these principles is up to you.

play00:55

You have to be an independent thinker,

play00:57

because only you can develop your own principles

play01:00

based on your own values.

play01:03

This brings me to my first and most fundamental principle,

play01:06

which is that you need to think for yourself

play01:09

about what is true.

play01:11

So let's get started.

play01:13

Early on, I discovered I needed principles.

play01:16

Principles are smart ways for handling things

play01:18

that happen over and over again in similar situations.

play01:21

There are principles for everything,

play01:23

from skiing to parenting to cooking, and so on.

play01:28

I'm going to share some of my most important,

play01:31

overarching, life principles that influence

play01:34

how we approach everything that we do.

play01:37

I didn't start out with principles.

play01:40

I acquired them over a lifetime of experiences.

play01:44

Mostly, from making mistakes and reflecting on them.

play01:48

My life principles are simple, but they're not complete.

play01:52

I still struggle to make the best decisions,

play01:55

and I still make mistakes

play01:56

and learn new principles all the time.

play01:59

This is the reality.

play02:02

At the beginning, I needed to escape

play02:04

the conventions that surrounded me,

play02:07

which meant that I needed to think for myself.

play02:09

Unless you want to have a life that is directed by others,

play02:13

you need to decide for yourself what to do,

play02:17

and you need to have the courage to do it.

play02:21

But I didn't know that at first.

play02:23

I only learned that from going on my adventure.

play02:26

Looking back on my own journey,

play02:28

I now see that time is like a river

play02:31

that carries us forward into encounters with reality

play02:34

that require us to make decisions.

play02:37

We can't stop our movement down this river,

play02:40

and we can't avoid the encounters.

play02:42

We can only approach them in the best possible way.

play02:46

In your lifetime, you will face millions of decisions.

play02:50

The quality of your decisions will determine

play02:53

the quality of your life.

play02:54

Over the course of my lifetime,

play02:56

the most valuable things I've learned

play02:58

were the results of mistakes I reflected on

play03:01

to help form principles

play03:03

so I wouldn't make the same mistakes again.

play03:06

These principles took me from being a very ordinary

play03:09

middle class kid from Long Island

play03:11

to becoming very successful

play03:12

as judged by conventional measures.

play03:15

They also gave me the meaningful work

play03:17

and meaningful relationships that I value

play03:20

even more than these conventional successes.

play03:23

People often ask me how I did it.

play03:25

I can assure you it wasn't because

play03:27

of my uniqueness as a person.

play03:29

It was the result of a unique approach to life

play03:32

I believe almost anybody can adopt.

play03:35

It starts with embracing reality and dealing with it.

play03:40

The path you take in life is your most important decision.

play03:44

In my case, I wanted my life to be great,

play03:47

and I feared boredom and mediocrity

play03:49

more than I feared failure.

play03:52

Since I didn't start out with money,

play03:54

and I didn't need much more than a bed to sleep in

play03:56

and food to eat,

play03:57

I could skew my decisions to pursue my adventures.

play04:01

So ever since I was a kid,

play04:03

I ran after the things I wanted, crashed,

play04:06

got up and ran again, and crashed again,

play04:10

and each time I crashed, I learned something,

play04:13

got better, and crashed less.

play04:16

By doing that over and over again,

play04:18

I learned to love this process,

play04:21

even the crashing part of it.

play04:23

Through it, I encountered reality,

play04:26

and I learned how to deal with it,

play04:28

which inspired another one of my most fundamental principles

play04:32

which is that truth is the essential foundation

play04:36

for producing good outcomes.

play04:39

By truth, I don't mean anything more

play04:41

than the way the world works.

play04:43

I believe that we were given the laws of reality by nature.

play04:47

Humans didn't create them, but we can use them

play04:50

to foster our own evolution and achieve our goals.

play04:54

Realizing that made me a hyper-realist,

play04:57

by which I mean I became someone

play05:00

who has discovered the great rewards

play05:02

of deeply understanding, accepting,

play05:05

and working with reality as it is,

play05:08

and not as I wish it would be.

play05:11

When I say I'm a hyper-realist,

play05:14

people sometimes think I'm saying

play05:16

that dreams can't come true.

play05:18

That's absolutely not true.

play05:20

Without pursuing dreams, life is mundane.

play05:24

What I mean is that, to me,

play05:26

hyper-realism is the best way to choose one's dreams

play05:29

and then achieve them.

play05:31

Having big dreams, plus embracing reality,

play05:35

plus having lots of determination

play05:38

will bring you a successful life.

play05:40

I believe this formula is true for everyone.

play05:44

But what does a successful life look like?

play05:46

We each have to decide for ourselves what success is.

play05:50

I don't care whether you want to be a master of the universe

play05:53

or to live under a palm tree, or anything else.

play05:56

I really don't.

play05:59

Each of us chooses goals based on our values

play06:02

and decides on the best path to achieve them.

play06:05

But we all need approaches

play06:07

to making decisions that work well,

play06:10

especially when facing problems, mistakes, and weaknesses

play06:13

that stand in our way.

play06:15

To succeed, we must embrace all our realities,

play06:18

especially the harsh realities that we wish weren't true.

play06:22

At first, looking at these harsh realities

play06:25

caused me a lot of pain.

play06:26

But I learned that this pain was just psychological,

play06:30

and that my seeing things differently

play06:32

made all the difference.

play06:34

I came to view problems like puzzles

play06:36

that would reward me if I could solve them.

play06:39

They would help me deal with the problem at hand,

play06:41

and they would give me principles

play06:43

for dealing with similar problems in the future.

play06:47

I learned to treat pain as a cue

play06:50

that a great learning opportunity is at hand,

play06:53

which led me to realize that pain

play06:56

plus reflection equals progress.

play07:00

Meditation has been invaluable

play07:02

in helping me see things that way.

play07:05

I found that when I calmed myself down

play07:07

and embraced my realities, and dealt with them,

play07:11

the rewards brought me pleasure, and the pain faded.

play07:15

Each of us has the unique capability to think logically,

play07:19

to reflect on ourselves, and our circumstances,

play07:22

and to direct our own personal evolution.

play07:25

Doing this well is just a matter of following

play07:28

a simple five-step process. (warm music)

play07:34

We've discussed how important it is

play07:35

to reflect carefully after experiencing pain.

play07:39

When I did this, I was usually able to discover principles

play07:43

that would prevent me from repeating

play07:44

the same mistakes in the future.

play07:46

And I could see that being successful

play07:49

simply consisted of five steps.

play07:51

Step one is to know your goals and run after them.

play07:55

What is best for you depends on your nature,

play07:58

so you need to really understand yourself

play08:00

and know what you want to achieve in life.

play08:03

Step two is to encounter the problems that stand in the way

play08:06

of getting to your goals.

play08:08

These problems are typically painful.

play08:10

If handled badly, some of them can lead to your ruin.

play08:14

But to evolve, you need to identify those problems

play08:17

and not tolerate them.

play08:19

Step three is to diagnose these problems

play08:22

to get at their root causes.

play08:24

Don't jump too quickly to solutions.

play08:27

Take a step back and reflect in order to really distinguish

play08:31

the symptoms from the disease.

play08:33

Step four is to design a plan to eliminate the problems.

play08:38

This is where you will determine

play08:39

what you need to do to get around them.

play08:42

And step five is to execute those designs,

play08:45

pushing yourself to do what's needed

play08:47

to progress toward your goal.

play08:49

A successful life essentially consists

play08:52

of doing these five steps over and over again.

play08:54

This is your personal evolution,

play08:56

and you see this process everywhere.

play08:59

It's just a law of nature.

play09:01

Think of any product, any organization,

play09:04

or any person you know,

play09:05

and you will see that this is true for them.

play09:08

Evolution is simply a process of either adapting, or dying.

play09:14

Conceptually, it looks just like

play09:16

the five-step process I've described.

play09:19

As you push through this often painful process,

play09:22

you'll naturally ascend

play09:23

to higher and higher levels of success.

play09:26

I found that when I did it better,

play09:28

my struggling never became easier,

play09:31

because the more capable I became,

play09:33

the greater the challenges I would take on.

play09:37

Because different people are strong and weak

play09:39

at different things,

play09:40

most people can't do all five steps well.

play09:43

Not facing this reality

play09:45

means you could stretch further than you should.

play09:48

And as the heights get greater,

play09:50

your falls could also be greater.

play09:52

(wind howling)

play09:53

Sometimes terrible things happen to all of us in life.

play09:57

They can ruin us, or they can profoundly improve us

play10:00

depending on how we handle them.

play10:03

Something like this happened to me in 1982.

play10:08

We progress forward until we encounter setbacks.

play10:12

Whether or not we get out of them and continue forward

play10:15

or spiral downward depends on whether or not

play10:18

we're willing to face the failure objectively,

play10:21

and make the right decisions to turn the loop upward again.

play10:25

Something terrible happened to me in 1982,

play10:29

when I bet everything on a depression that never came.

play10:34

(crashing) (birds chirping)

play10:36

The period between 1979 and 1982

play10:39

was one of extreme turbulence,

play10:41

for the global economy, the markets, and for me.

play10:46

And I believed that the US economy,

play10:48

with the world economy tied to it,

play10:50

was headed toward a catastrophe.

play10:53

This view was extremely controversial.

play10:56

I wanted the great upside,

play10:58

and very publicly took a big risk

play11:00

and was wrong, dead wrong.

play11:03

After a delay, the stock market began a big bull market

play11:07

that lasted 18 years,

play11:09

and the US economy enjoyed the greatest growth period

play11:12

in its history.

play11:13

This experience was like a blow to my head

play11:15

with a baseball bat.

play11:17

I had to cut my losses so that my company, Bridgewater,

play11:20

was left with one employee, me.

play11:24

(door slams) (paper shuffles)

play11:25

I was so broke, I had to borrow $4,000 from my dad

play11:28

to pay my bills.

play11:30

But even worse was having to let go the people

play11:33

I cared so much about.

play11:36

I wondered whether I should give up my dream

play11:38

of working for myself and play it safe

play11:41

by working for someone else in a job

play11:43

that would require me to put on a tie and commute everyday.

play11:46

Though I knew that for me, taking less risk

play11:49

would mean having a less great life.

play11:52

Being so wrong, and especially being so publicly wrong,

play11:56

was painfully humbling.

play11:58

I am still shocked and embarrassed by how arrogant I was

play12:02

in being totally confident in a totally incorrect view.

play12:08

Though I had been right much more than I had been wrong,

play12:11

I let one bad bet erase all my good ones.

play12:14

(dramatic orchestral music)

play12:16

I thought very hard about the relationship

play12:18

between risk and reward, and how to manage them.

play12:22

But I couldn't see a path forward

play12:24

that would give me the rewards I wanted

play12:27

without unacceptable risk.

play12:29

This kind of experience happens to everyone.

play12:33

It will happen to you.

play12:35

You will lose something, or someone

play12:38

you think you can't live without.

play12:40

Or you will suffer a terrible illness or injury,

play12:44

or your career will fall apart before your eyes.

play12:48

You might think that your life is ruined,

play12:50

and there's no way to go forward.

play12:53

But it will pass.

play12:55

I assure you that there is always a best path forward,

play13:00

and you probably just don't see it yet.

play13:03

You just have to reflect well to find it.

play13:06

You have to embrace your reality.

play13:12

Sometimes things happen that are hard to understand.

play13:15

Life often feels so difficult and complicated,

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it's too much to take in all at once.

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My deep pain led me to reflect deeply on my circumstances.

play13:25

It also led me to reflect on nature,

play13:27

because it provides a guide for what's true.

play13:30

So I thought a lot about how things work,

play13:33

which helped to put me, and my own circumstances,

play13:37

in perspective.

play13:39

I saw that at the big bang,

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all the laws and forces of the universe

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were created and propelled forward,

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interacting with each other as a perpetual motion machine,

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in which all the bits and pieces coalesce into machines

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that work for a while, fall apart,

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and then coalesce into new machines.

play13:58

This goes on into eternity.

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I saw that everything is a machine.

play14:03

The structure and evolution of galaxies,

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the formation of our own solar system,

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the make-up of earth's geography and ecosystems,

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our economies and markets, and each of us.

play14:16

We individually are machines, made up of different machines.

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Our circulatory system, our nervous system,

play14:23

that produce our thoughts, our dreams, our emotions,

play14:27

and all the other aspects of our distinct characters.

play14:30

All of these different machines evolve together through time

play14:34

to produce the realities we encounter every day.

play14:37

And I realized that I was just one tiny bit

play14:40

in one nanosecond, deciding what I should do.

play14:44

While that perspective might sound very philosophical,

play14:47

I found that it was very practical,

play14:50

because it showed me how I could deal with my own realities

play14:53

in a better way.

play14:54

For example, I observed that most everything

play14:57

happens over and over again in slightly different ways.

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Some in obvious short-term cycles

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that are easy to recognize,

play15:05

so we know how to deal with them, like the 24-hour day.

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Some so infrequently that they haven't occurred

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in our lifetimes, and we're shocked when they do,

play15:15

like the once in a 100 year storm.

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And some we know exist,

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but are encountering for the first time,

play15:22

like the birth of our first child.

play15:25

Most people mistakenly treat these situations

play15:28

as being unique, and deal with them

play15:30

without having proper perspective or principles

play15:33

to help them get through them.

play15:35

I found that if instead of dealing with these events

play15:38

as one-offs, I could see each as just another one of those,

play15:43

and approach them in the same way

play15:45

a biologist might approach an animal.

play15:47

First, identifying its species, then drawing on principles

play15:51

for dealing with it appropriately.

play15:53

Because I could see these events transpire

play15:55

in pretty much the same ways over and over,

play15:58

I could more clearly see the cause-effect relationships

play16:01

that govern their behaviors,

play16:03

which allowed me to develop better principles

play16:05

that I could express in both words and algorithms.

play16:09

I learned that while most everyone expects the future

play16:12

to be a slightly modified version of the present,

play16:15

it is typically very different.

play16:17

That's because people are biased by recent history,

play16:20

and overlook events that haven't happened in a long time,

play16:23

perhaps not even in their lifetime.

play16:25

But they will happen again.

play16:28

With that perspective, I realized that what I missed

play16:31

when I mistakenly called for a great depression

play16:34

was hidden in the patterns of history,

play16:36

and I could use my newfound knowledge of these patterns

play16:39

to make better decisions in the future.

play16:41

And when I thought about my challenge,

play16:44

balancing risk and reward,

play16:46

I realized that risk and reward naturally go together.

play16:50

I could see that to get the most out of life,

play16:52

one has to take more risk,

play16:54

and that knowing how to appropriately balance

play16:57

risk and reward is essential

play17:00

to having the best life possible.

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Imagine you were faced with the choice

play17:04

of having a safe, boring life if you stay where you are,

play17:08

or having a fabulous one if you take the risk

play17:11

of successfully crossing a dangerous jungle.

play17:15

That is essentially the choice we all face.

play17:18

For me, the choice was clear,

play17:20

but that doesn't mean the path forward

play17:22

was without challenges.

play17:24

I still needed to face two big barriers

play17:26

that we all must face.

play17:28

(peaceful music)

play17:30

I can't tell you which path in life is best for you,

play17:34

because I don't know how important it is

play17:36

for you to achieve big goals

play17:38

relative to how important it is for you

play17:40

to avoid the pains required to get them.

play17:43

This is the courage I spoke of earlier,

play17:46

and we each have to feel these things out for ourselves.

play17:49

After my big mistake in calling for a depression,

play17:52

I had come to one of life's forks in the road, as we all do.

play17:56

If I made the choice to take a normal job and play it safe,

play18:00

I would have ended up with a very different life

play18:02

than the one I had.

play18:04

(door slams) (paper shuffles)

play18:05

But as long as I could pay the rent,

play18:07

put food on the table, and educate my kids,

play18:10

the only choice for me was to risk crossing the jungle

play18:13

in pursuit of the best life possible.

play18:16

My big mistake in betting on a depression

play18:19

gave me a healthy fear of being wrong.

play18:22

In other words, it gave me deep humility,

play18:26

which was exactly what I needed.

play18:28

At the same time, it didn't stop me

play18:30

from aggressively going after the things I wanted.

play18:33

To succeed, I needed to see more than I alone could see.

play18:37

(strikes match) (flame hisses)

play18:38

But standing in my way of doing that

play18:40

were the two biggest barriers everyone faces.

play18:44

Our ego and blind spot barriers.

play18:48

These barriers exist because of how our brains work.

play18:51

First, let's explore the ego barrier.

play18:54

When I refer to your ego barrier,

play18:56

I'm talking about the parts of your brain that prevent you

play18:59

from acknowledging your weaknesses objectively,

play19:02

so that you can figure out how to deal with them.

play19:05

Your deepest seated needs and fears

play19:07

reside in areas of your brain that control your emotions

play19:11

and are not accessible

play19:12

to your higher-level conscious awareness.

play19:16

And because our need to be right can be more important

play19:19

than our need to find out what's true,

play19:21

we like to believe our own opinions

play19:24

without properly stress-testing them.

play19:26

We especially don't like to look

play19:28

at our mistakes and weaknesses.

play19:30

We are instinctively prone to react to explorations of them

play19:35

as though they're attacks.

play19:36

We get angry, even though it would be more logical

play19:40

for us to be open to feedback from others.

play19:42

This leads to our making inferior decisions, learning less,

play19:46

and falling short of our potentials.

play19:49

The second is the blind spot barrier.

play19:52

Everyone has blind spots.

play19:54

The blind spot barrier is when a person believes

play19:56

he or she can see everything.

play19:58

But it's a simple fact that no one alone

play20:01

can see a complete picture of reality.

play20:04

Naturally, people can't appreciate what they can't see,

play20:08

just as we all have different ranges

play20:10

for singing, hearing pitch, and seeing colors,

play20:13

we have different ranges

play20:14

for seeing and understanding things.

play20:17

For example, while some people are better

play20:20

at seeing the big picture, others excel at seeing details.

play20:26

Some are linear thinkers, and others are more lateral.

play20:29

While some are creative but not reliable,

play20:33

others are reliable but not creative, and so on.

play20:37

Because of how are brains are wired differently,

play20:39

everyone perceives the world around them differently.

play20:43

By doing what comes naturally to us,

play20:46

we fail to account for our weaknesses and we crash.

play20:50

Either we keep doing that, or we change.

play20:53

Aristotle defined tragedy as a terrible outcome

play20:57

arising from a person's fatal flaw.

play20:59

A flaw, that had it been fixed,

play21:02

would have instead led to a wonderful outcome.

play21:06

In my opinion, these two barriers are the main impediments

play21:09

that get in the way of good decision-making.

play21:13

(noble orchestral music)

play21:16

Taking risks and occasionally being ruined wasn't acceptable

play21:21

and neither was not taking risks

play21:23

and not having exceptional results.

play21:26

I needed an approach that would give me

play21:27

the exceptional upside without also giving me

play21:30

the exceptional downside.

play21:33

When I discovered it, it turned out to be my holy grail.

play21:37

To get it, I needed to replace the joy of being proven right

play21:41

with the joy of learning what's true.

play21:46

This need prompted me to seek out

play21:48

the most thoughtful people I could find

play21:50

who disagreed with me.

play21:52

I didn't care about their conclusions,

play21:54

I just wanted to see things through their eyes,

play21:57

and to have them see things through my eyes,

play22:00

so that together we could hash things out

play22:02

to discover what's true.

play22:05

In other words, what I wanted most from them

play22:08

was thoughtful disagreement.

play22:11

Going from seeing things through just my eyes,

play22:14

to seeing things through the eyes of these thoughtful people

play22:18

was like going from seeing things in black and white

play22:20

to seeing them in color.

play22:22

(birds chirping)

play22:24

The world lit up.

play22:26

(growling)

play22:28

(wings flapping)

play22:29

That's when I realized that the best way

play22:31

to go through the jungle of life is with insightful people

play22:35

who see things differently from me.

play22:38

Think about the five-step process I described earlier.

play22:41

As I said, because we are wired so differently,

play22:44

not everyone can do all the five steps well.

play22:47

But you don't have to do them all alone.

play22:50

You can get help from others

play22:52

who are good at what you're not,

play22:54

who are wired to perceive things you can't.

play22:58

All you need to do is let go of your attachment

play23:00

to having the right answers yourself,

play23:03

and use your fear of being wrong

play23:04

to become open-minded to these other views.

play23:10

In this way, you could point out the risks and opportunities

play23:13

that you would individually miss.

play23:16

I found that taking this radically open-minded approach

play23:19

and believability-weighting people's thinking

play23:22

significantly increased my probabilities

play23:25

of making the best decisions possible.

play23:27

This enabled me to ascend

play23:29

to greater heights and greater challenges.

play23:32

In the past, I would have always wanted

play23:34

to do what I, myself, thought was best.

play23:37

But now I sought out

play23:39

the strongest independent thinkers I could find.

play23:41

I still do.

play23:43

There is nothing better to be on a shared mission

play23:46

with extraordinary people who can be radically truthful

play23:50

and radically transparent with each other.

play23:53

This approach led me to create a company

play23:55

with the unique idea meritocracy,

play23:57

operating in a unique way, that produced unique successes.

play24:02

In an idea meritocracy, you get the best of everybody.

play24:06

Everyone thinks independently,

play24:09

then we work through our disagreements

play24:11

to get at what's best.

play24:13

However, not every opinion is equally valuable.

play24:16

And we had to learn to distinguish

play24:18

between good ideas and bad ones to get the best decisions.

play24:22

In other words, we needed to believability-weight

play24:25

people's thinking.

play24:27

But that's another story I will explain

play24:29

in my work principles.

play24:31

Right now, there are many wonderful opportunities

play24:34

and dangerous risks surrounding you that you don't see.

play24:39

If you saw them free of the distortions

play24:42

produced by your ego or your blind spots,

play24:45

you would be able to deal with them more effectively.

play24:48

If you could acquire this ability,

play24:50

and with practice you can,

play24:52

you will radically improve your life.

play24:57

So far I described

play24:58

how I learned to confront my own realities,

play25:01

my problems, my mistakes, and weaknesses.

play25:04

And how I surrounded myself with others

play25:07

who could do things better than I could.

play25:09

This was the most effective way I discovered

play25:12

for making great decisions.

play25:15

This is not the normal way of being,

play25:17

but through this approach, I became very successful.

play25:20

And being successful enabled me to meet

play25:23

extraordinarily successful people and see how they think.

play25:28

I've discovered that their journeys were similar to mine.

play25:31

You might not know it, but they all struggled,

play25:35

and they all have weaknesses

play25:37

that they all get around by working with people

play25:40

who see risks and opportunities that they would miss.

play25:43

Over time, I leaned that by nature,

play25:45

most people's greatest strengths

play25:47

are also connected to their most significant weaknesses.

play25:51

And striving hard for big things

play25:53

is bound to lead you to painful falls.

play25:56

It's just part of the process.

play25:59

Such setbacks will test you.

play26:01

They sort people.

play26:03

Some think hard about what caused their setbacks,

play26:07

learn lessons, and continue progressing toward their goals,

play26:11

while others decide that this game is not for them,

play26:14

and get off the field.

play26:16

I've come to realize that success

play26:18

is not a matter of attaining one's goals.

play26:22

I've found that when I reached

play26:23

each new higher level of success,

play26:26

I rarely remained satisfied.

play26:28

The things we are striving for are just the bait.

play26:32

Struggling to get them forces us to evolve,

play26:35

and it is this struggle

play26:37

toward personal evolution with others that is the reward.

play26:41

I no longer wanted to get across the jungle,

play26:44

but instead wanted to find greater and greater challenges

play26:47

to go after, surrounded by great people working together

play26:52

on a shared journey.

play26:54

Eventually the success of the mission

play26:56

and the well-being of the people alongside me

play26:59

became more important than my own success.

play27:03

I also started to see beyond myself,

play27:05

and wanted others to be successful when I'm no longer here.

play27:10

I realized that if I fail to do that, I will be a failure.

play27:15

I struggle with this now.

play27:18

We all struggle with different things at different times,

play27:21

until we either choose to give up, or until we die

play27:24

and become part of the larger evolutionary story.

play27:28

This is how all machines work,

play27:30

and are recycled through time.

play27:32

When a machine breaks down,

play27:34

its parts go back into the system

play27:36

to become parts of new machines

play27:38

that also evolve through time.

play27:41

Sometimes this makes us sad,

play27:43

because we become very attached to our machines.

play27:46

But if you look at it from the higher level,

play27:48

it's really beautiful to observe

play27:50

how the machine of evolution works.

play27:53

Now you must decide for yourself how you will evolve.

play27:58

Forget about where these principles came from.

play28:01

Just assess whether or not they are useful to you,

play28:04

and evolve them to suit your own needs.

play28:07

As with all of life's decisions,

play28:09

what you do with them is ultimately up to you.

play28:13

My only hope for you is that you have the courage

play28:16

to struggle and evolve well

play28:18

to make your life as great as it can be.

play28:22

Thank you, and goodbye.

play28:24

(warm orchestral music)

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Related Tags
Success PrinciplesLife LessonsDecision MakingPersonal GrowthReality CheckEvolution of IdeasRisk ManagementSelf ReflectionLeadership InsightsGoal Achievement