Midyear Tech Outlook: Where Industry Activity is Heating Up

CB Insights
13 Jun 202429:52

Summary

TLDRThe midyear Tech Outlook webinar by CB Insights covered emerging tech trends, including generative AI's security risks, climate-focused insurtech, and AI-powered humanoids. Key points highlighted the spike in cybersecurity discussions around generative AI, the role of insurtech in extreme weather events, and the transformative impact of generative AI on humanoid robots. The webinar also discussed investment trends, buyer insights, and the potential for rapid adoption of AI technologies across various industries.

Takeaways

  • πŸ“Š CB Insights is a platform that provides comprehensive data, expert insights, and work management tools to help companies make informed technology decisions.
  • πŸ”— They offer a free trial for their platform, allowing users to access their services for seven days to gain more insights.
  • 🌟 Kenya Watson, an analyst at CB Insights, discussed the emerging security risks created by generative AI, highlighting the spike in cybersecurity discussions related to AI in recent years.
  • πŸ“ˆ Generative AI's rapid development has outpaced security discussions, leading to a growing market for AI-focused cybersecurity startups.
  • πŸ’‘ The presentation mentioned threats such as data poisoning, model attacks, and deepfakes, emphasizing the challenges of securing large language models (LLMs).
  • πŸš€ There is significant corporate venture capital involvement in the machine learning security market, indicating the strategic importance of this technology for both tech and defense industries.
  • πŸ’‘ Buyers in the cybersecurity market prioritize solutions that can protect AI models without needing access to the underlying data or model itself.
  • 🌑️ Chris, another analyst at CB Insights, discussed how extreme weather presents opportunities for insurtech companies, with a record number of billion-dollar weather disasters in the US in 2023.
  • 🌱 Climate and weather-focused insurtech startups are raising significant funding, indicating a growing market and the importance of unique data in risk management.
  • πŸ€– Benjamin, an industrial analyst, highlighted the rise of AI-powered humanoids designed for work, with record funding levels and big tech companies setting the stage for their development.
  • πŸš— Tesla's vision for the future includes a strong focus on AI and robotics, with Elon Musk expecting billions of humanoid robots in the market, potentially transforming various industries.

Q & A

  • What is the main focus of CB Insights' midyear Tech Outlook webinar?

    -The main focus of the webinar is to discuss various technology trends, including the security risks created by generative AI, the impact of extreme weather on insurtech, and the advancements in AI-powered humanoids.

  • How does CB Insights define its role in assisting companies with technology decisions?

    -CB Insights helps companies make smart technology decisions by providing comprehensive data, expert insights, and work management tools that enable them to discover, understand, and make informed technology decisions.

  • What was the significance of OpenAI's release of the GPT-3 model in July 2020?

    -The release of the GPT-3 model by OpenAI in July 2020 was significant as it accelerated interest in large language models and marked a turning point in the development of generative AI.

  • What types of threats have emerged from generative AI according to the webinar?

    -The webinar mentions threats such as data poisoning, attacks against the model itself, and security concerns arising from the outputs of the model, including deep fakes used for disinformation or identity fraud.

  • Why is the security discussion around generative AI lagging behind its development?

    -The security discussion is lagging because generative AI has been developing rapidly, and the understanding of potential threats and mitigation strategies has not kept pace with the technological advancements.

  • What does the earnings transcript mention graph indicate about the relationship between cybersecurity and generative AI discussions?

    -The earnings transcript mention graph indicates that discussions around cybersecurity and generative AI spiked in the last four quarters, showing a growing awareness and concern about the security implications of generative AI.

  • How does CB Insights categorize the investors in the machine learning security market?

    -CB Insights categorizes the investors in the machine learning security market into two buckets: big tech companies and defense investors, both of which show heavy corporate venture capital involvement.

  • What are the key capabilities that buyers in the AI generative security market are looking for in a vendor?

    -Buyers in the AI generative security market are looking for vendors that can protect AI models without needing to access the data or the model itself and those that can rapidly adapt to new and emerging threats.

  • What is the role of satellite and geospatial data in climate and weather risk insurtech?

    -Satellite and geospatial data play a key role in climate and weather risk insurtech by providing high-resolution aerial images and data that help insurance companies better understand and manage risks related to extreme weather events.

  • How does the webinar presenter, Chris, describe the future of insurance technology in relation to climate and weather risk?

    -Chris describes the future of insurance technology as one where climate and weather-focused insurtechs will continue to emerge, insurers will increasingly seek opportunities to acquire unique data, and insurtechs focused on differentiated business opportunities will continue to raise funding.

  • What are some of the industries that AI-powered humanoids are expected to impact in the near future?

    -AI-powered humanoids are expected to impact industries such as manufacturing, logistics, retail, and healthcare, particularly in structured environments like factories, warehouses, and elderly care facilities.

  • What is the current price point for humanoid robots and what is the expected future target price?

    -The current price point for humanoid robots is around $100,000, with companies targeting a future price point of around $20,000 to $50,000 to make them more accessible for wider adoption.

  • How does generative AI contribute to the advancement of humanoid robots?

    -Generative AI contributes to the advancement of humanoid robots by helping them learn and interact more intelligently with their environment through improved training processes, better inference capabilities, and enhanced natural language processing.

  • What is the role of big tech companies in the development and adoption of humanoid robots?

    -Big tech companies are laying the groundwork for humanoid robots by developing robotic platforms, investing heavily in the space, and creating software models and infrastructure that support the adoption and functionality of humanoid robots.

  • What are some of the key takeaways from the webinar regarding the market for AI-powered humanoids?

    -The key takeaways include the enabling role of generative AI in learning and interaction, the aggressive involvement of big tech companies in setting the foundation for humanoid robots, and the potential for rapid adoption across various industries, possibly even entering homes in the future.

Outlines

00:00

🌟 Tech Outlook Webinar Introduction

Ashley, the marketing manager at CB Insights, opens the midyear Tech Outlook webinar, providing an overview of the company's mission to aid businesses in making informed technology decisions with data-driven insights. She introduces a free trial offer for the CB Insights platform, encourages client engagement with the customer success team, and sets the stage for the panelists to discuss emerging tech trends.

05:00

πŸ”’ The Rise of Cybersecurity Threats from Generative AI

Kenya Watson, a lead analyst at CB Insights, delves into the burgeoning security risks associated with generative AI. She presents data illustrating a surge in cybersecurity discussions alongside the rapid development of generative AI, highlighting threats such as data poisoning, model attacks, and deepfakes. Kenya underscores the challenges of ensuring the security of large language models, noting that new threats will continue to emerge, necessitating adaptive security solutions from vendors in the space.

10:02

πŸ’‘ Venture Capital Interest in AI-Focused Cybersecurity Startups

The segment explores the significant corporate venture capital involvement in AI-focused cybersecurity startups, indicating a strategic interest in the technology's development and its relevance to national security. Kenya discusses the importance of startups in the machine learning security market, their partnerships with tech giants, and the criteria buyers consider when selecting solutions, such as the ability to protect AI models without accessing sensitive data.

15:02

πŸŒͺ️ Extreme Weather Events and the Growth of InsureTech

Chris, a senior analyst at CB Insights, examines the correlation between extreme weather events and the rise of InsureTech, focusing on how these events have led to costly insurance claims. He highlights the funding successes of climate and weather-focused startups, suggesting that the insurance industry is actively seeking innovative solutions to manage climate risks. Chris also discusses the potential for insurers to acquire unique data to better understand and mitigate these risks.

20:04

πŸ€– Advancements in AI-Powered Humanoid Robots

Benjamin, an industrial analyst, discusses the momentum in the humanoid robot market, noting record funding levels and the influence of generative AI in enhancing the robots' intelligence and capabilities. He outlines the roles of big tech companies in supporting the development of these robots and the potential industries that humanoid robots could revolutionize, emphasizing the significance of generative AI in training and inference to improve the robots' interaction with their environment.

25:04

πŸš€ Future Prospects of Humanoid Robots and Generative AI

The final paragraph synthesizes the transformative impact of generative AI on humanoid robots, the aggressive involvement of big tech companies in setting industry foundations, and the anticipated widespread adoption of humanoids across various industries. Benjamin predicts a rapid integration of humanoid robots in the coming decade, drawing parallels with the post-World War I automobile boom, and concludes the webinar with a Q&A session that touches on cybersecurity trends and the role of technology in addressing climate change.

Mindmap

Keywords

πŸ’‘Tech Outlook

Tech Outlook refers to a forward-looking analysis or perspective on the technology sector, often including predictions and trends. In the video, the Tech Outlook is the central theme of the webinar, with discussions on future technology trends and their implications for various industries.

πŸ’‘CB Insights

CB Insights is a company that provides data-driven insights into various industries, including technology. In the script, CB Insights is the host of the webinar, and their platform is highlighted as a source of comprehensive data and expert insights for making technology decisions.

πŸ’‘Generative AI

Generative AI, or generative adversarial networks (GANs), are a class of AI algorithms used in unsupervised learning, where they generate new data samples. The video discusses the security risks created by generative AI, such as data poisoning and deep fakes, and how these threats are emerging due to the rapid development of the technology.

πŸ’‘Cybersecurity

Cybersecurity involves the protection of internet-connected systems, including hardware, software, and data, from attack, damage, or unauthorized access. The video script mentions the spike in cybersecurity discussions in relation to generative AI, indicating a growing concern over the security implications of AI advancements.

πŸ’‘Data Poisoning

Data poisoning is a type of cyber attack where an adversary intentionally introduces incorrect data into a machine learning model's training process to affect its performance. In the script, it is cited as one of the threats that have emerged from generative AI, emphasizing the need for robust security measures.

πŸ’‘Deep Fakes

Deep fakes are AI-generated media, such as videos, voice recordings, and images, that are fabricated to appear real. The script discusses deep fakes as a security concern because they can be used for disinformation or identity fraud, highlighting the ethical and safety challenges posed by generative AI.

πŸ’‘InsurTech

InsurTech refers to technology that aims to improve the efficiency of insurance companies by automating processes and providing data-driven insights. The video script discusses InsurTech in the context of extreme weather events and how these technologies are responding to the increasing costs associated with such events.

πŸ’‘Climate and Weather Risk

Climate and weather risk pertains to the potential financial and operational impacts of climate change and weather events on businesses and societies. The script highlights how InsurTech companies are focusing on these risks, developing products that help manage and mitigate the effects of extreme weather and climate change.

πŸ’‘AI-Powered Humanoids

AI-Powered Humanoids are robots designed to perform tasks that typically require human-like intelligence and physical capabilities. The video discusses the advancements in humanoid robots powered by generative AI, which are enabling them to learn and interact more effectively with their environment.

πŸ’‘Generative AI Security Market

The Generative AI Security Market refers to the segment of the cybersecurity industry focused on protecting AI models and algorithms from adversarial attacks. The script mentions the rise of startups in this market, indicating a growing industry response to the security challenges posed by generative AI.

πŸ’‘National Security

National Security involves the protection of a nation against non-military and military threats, including those that could compromise the nation's safety and economic stability. The script connects national security to the investments made by defense corporations in generative AI security, suggesting that the technology's security implications are being viewed with high importance at a national level.

πŸ’‘Big Tech

Big Tech refers to the largest technology companies that have extensive influence over the market and society. The script discusses Big Tech's involvement in the development of AI and InsurTech, indicating their significant role in shaping the future of technology and its applications.

πŸ’‘Parametric Insurance

Parametric Insurance is a type of insurance where the payout is triggered by the occurrence of a specific event or parameter, without the need for claims assessment. The video script mentions parametric insurance products offered by InsurTech companies, particularly in response to climate and weather risks.

πŸ’‘Corporate Venture Capital (CVC)

Corporate Venture Capital refers to the venture capital investment arm of corporations, which invests in startups to foster innovation and strategic growth. The script notes heavy CVC involvement in the InsurTech and AI security markets, indicating the strategic interest of corporations in these emerging technologies.

πŸ’‘AI Model Protection

AI Model Protection involves safeguarding AI models from various security threats without needing to access the underlying data or model itself. The script highlights this capability as a key requirement for vendors in the AI security market, as demonstrated by buyer interviews and their criteria for choosing solutions.

Highlights

CB Insights' midyear Tech Outlook webinar discussed emerging tech trends with a focus on AI and cybersecurity.

CB Insights provides data-driven insights to help companies make informed tech decisions.

A free trial link for CB Insights' platform was provided for participants to gain deeper insights.

Generative AI has created new security risks, with discussions on cybersecurity peaking in the last four quarters.

The development of generative AI accelerated with the release of OpenAI's GPT-3 model in July 2020.

Threats from generative AI include data poisoning, model attacks, and deepfakes used for disinformation or identity fraud.

LLMs may never be fully secure, as demonstrated by researchers tricking models to generate harmful instructions.

The machine learning security market is growing, with startups focusing on cybersecurity solutions for AI models.

Investment in AI cybersecurity is heavily influenced by corporate venture capital, indicating strategic interest.

Buyers of AI security solutions prioritize the ability to protect AI models without accessing the data or model itself.

Spending on AI security solutions is expected to grow with the adoption of generative AI models in enterprises.

Extreme weather events present opportunities for insurtech, with a record number of billion-dollar disasters in the US in 2023.

Climate and weather-focused insurtech startups raised significant funding, indicating a growing market.

Insurtech companies are leveraging satellite and geospatial data to better understand and manage climate risks.

AI-powered humanoid robots are gaining momentum, with record funding levels and advancements in capabilities.

Generative AI is a key enabler for humanoid robots, improving their learning and interaction with the environment.

Big tech companies are investing in and developing platforms to support humanoid robot technology.

Boston Dynamics remains a leader in humanoid robotics, with new advancements in mobility and AI.

The price point for humanoid robots is becoming more accessible, with targets between $20,000 to $50,000 in the future.

Manufacturing and logistics are the primary industries expected to adopt humanoid robots in the near future.

Tesla views humanoid robots as key to its future, with ambitious plans for mass production and deployment.

Transcripts

play00:00

hi everyone and thank you for joining us

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today for our midyear Tech Outlook

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webinar my name is Ashley and I'm a

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marketing manager at CB insights I'll be

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kicking everything off before handing it

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over to our panelists for the

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presentation next slide and a little bit

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about CB insights CB insights helps the

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world's leading companies make smart

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technology decisions with data not

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opinion our technology insights platform

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provides companies with Comprehensive

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data expert insights and Work Management

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tools that enable them to discover

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understand and make technology decisions

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next

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slide and if you're interested in doing

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a free trial to get even more insights

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I've added a link to the chat that you

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can follow with the trial you'll receive

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free access for seven days to our

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platform and if you're a client and you

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have specific questions about what you

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see today feel free to reach out to your

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dedicated customer success team member

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next

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slide and now it's time for me to

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introduce our speakers Kenya is a lead

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analyst covering emerging Tech trends at

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CB insights Chris is a senior Analyst at

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CB insites and researches the global

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insured Tech landscape and Benjamin is a

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senior lead Analyst at CB insights with

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a focus on Advanced manufacturing

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semiconductors Aerospace and defense and

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I'll hand it over to them to get started

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thanks Ashley hi everyone my name is

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Kenya Watson I'm an analyst here at CBN

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sites on our emerging Tech Team and

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today we're going to be be talking about

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the new security risk created by

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generative AI um so this is a trend that

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we've highlighted in a few reports we've

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done this year so today we're just going

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to take a look at some data points we

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have surrounding this trend and kind of

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where the market is at

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today so the first data point I want to

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bring to your attention is this earnings

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transcript mentions graph um which shows

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that cyber security and generative AI

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discussions spiked in the last four

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quarters so this is significant because

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when you look at the timeline of how

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generative AI has developed back in July

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2020 that was when open AI released

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their gpt3 model which accelerated

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interest in large language

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models January 2022 was when chat gbt

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hit 100 million monthly active users and

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so after that that's when the

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development of the technology really

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took off and because it's been

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developing so rapidly kind of the

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security discussion has lagged you as

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you can see here there's about a year

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and now it's starting to catch up so

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this has been a trend that we're

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tracking and so just here are some

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examples of some threats that we've seen

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emerge from Juna of AI um we're not

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going to go through all of these just in

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the interest of time but um just a few

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examples here um you can have threats

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against the data for instance data

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poisoning That's if a bad actor were to

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insert erroneous data into the training

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data for the large language model that

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would affect the performance of the

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model you can have attacks against the

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model itself so when example example

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would be um hacking into the development

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environment and changing the model

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weights that also would affect the

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model's

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performance and then you can have

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security concerns that come out of

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outputs of the model itself um so one

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here that most people are familiar with

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is deep fakes so that's AI generated U

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media like audio video

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images those in and of themselves aren't

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necessarily um security threats but it's

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how they're used for instance if they're

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used for disinformation or for identity

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fraud things like

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that so these are just some examples of

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some threats that we've seen already but

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the problem is the top L limbs may never

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be fully secure so a group of

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researchers they did this study they

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created an algorithm and it was able to

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trick multiple llms to generate a

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step-by-step plan to destroy Humanity

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despite that being against the models in

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built safety

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protocols and so we have here on the

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right a quot from the researchers and

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they it's unclear whether such Behavior

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can ever be fully patched by llm

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providers so what does this mean for the

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space um one it means that list of

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threats I showed you on the previous

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slide is not exhaustive we're going to

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continue to see new threats emerge and

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secondly it means vendors in the space

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coming up with Security Solutions will

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need to be able to rapidly adapt to new

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and emerging threats in order to stay

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relevant but just to talk about what

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startups are actually doing in the space

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so um we we've seen a rise of gen

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focused cyber security startups emerging

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they fit into a market we have at CBN

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sites called The Machine learning

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security Market um so that's any company

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that is making a solution um that is

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protecting against adversarial attacks

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against machine learning models and

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algorithms including the LMS that

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generative AI applications are built on

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top

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of and so you can see here on the right

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we have this graphic um this is a

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screenshot of a product we on our

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platform called an execution strength

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positioning Matrix and so we use data

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points from these companies to rank them

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against each other so just to give an

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example um for instance deep keep keep

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this startup here if you want to find

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out more about what sets apart one

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company from another if you look at

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their profiles um we have the ability to

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generate insights on these companies so

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from Deep keeps profile we learn that

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it's Partnerships set it apart from

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other vendors in the space so you can

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see here there working with major Tech

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players like Nvidia IBM research adbs um

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and that's one data point that goes into

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their ranking for putting them in the

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leader

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quadrant so just to zoom back out and

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looking at the space as a whole again

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let's take a look at who's investing in

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these

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startups and so when we analyze the

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investors of the machine learning

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security Market what we found was that

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there was Heavy corporate Venture

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Capital involvement um so typically CBC

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involvement points to a couple of things

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one of them being um those corporations

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want to track or help develop that

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technology because it has relevance to

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their own plans and so when we look at

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the cbcs that are getting involved in

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the space they tend to fall into two

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buckets um one is the big Tech bucket so

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if you see here all the way on the right

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in the select CBC investors column you

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see IBM M12 that's Microsoft's Venture

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arm Samsung are investors in companies

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in this market and this makes sense um

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because big Tech they're kind of the

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leaders in developing a lot of the

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generative AI infrastructure and models

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and so of course security has relevance

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to their plans and so then the other

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bucket of CBC investors and this is the

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one I find really interesting is we see

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these defense investors getting involved

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in this market so as you can see in that

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same column Lockheed Martin Ventures boo

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Allen Ventures investing in companies

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here and so we learned just from seeing

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these Investments and reading the press

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releases um generative AI security is

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actually seen as a matter of National

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Security and so um we think these

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factors and these interests from these

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players signals um future growth for

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these companies and this Market as a

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whole and just very quickly flipping to

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the other side so we looked at kind of

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the investors now look let's look at

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who's buying these Solutions um so we

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have buyer interviews on our platform

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where we interview people who are buying

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these um Solutions and ask them about

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their evaluation CR criteria um what

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made them choose one vendor over another

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and these interviews revealed some key

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capabilities that vendors need to

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succeed in this market the first is the

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ability to protect an AI model without

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actually needing to access the data or

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the model itself so we see here on the

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left this quote from an aerospace and

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defense Corporation um that ended up

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purchasing hidden layer they chose that

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vendor specifically because they needed

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a solution that allowed the the ability

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to use AI that didn't tap into certain

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key security data that they

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have then here on the right we have a

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separate buyer so this came from a

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Fortune 500 company that ended up

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purchasing Lira um and the reason they

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picked that vendor was that Lara has a

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good system for responding to newly

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discovered vulnerabilities so thinking

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back to what I said earlier with the

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llms not being fully secure this ability

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to adapt to new threats that emerge will

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be um will grow in importance in this

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space and so our prediction just as more

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Enterprises adopt um AI generative AI

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models and solutions we think that we

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will see spend on Security Solutions

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grow with Rising adoption um so here we

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aggregated the buyer interviews and the

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contract amounts that these buyers are

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paying for these various Solutions and

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you can see here that companies are

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paying anywhere from 10,000 to 800,000

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so close to a million to protect their

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AI models on the discrepancy in this

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market because it's so nent there's a

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lot of early stage companies the

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solutions very widely so that's why we

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see a lot of discrepancy in

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pricing so just to sum it all up three

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key takeaways I want to leave you with

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the first um key growth drivers for this

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Market will be one Enterprise adoption

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of AI models two big Tech Ambitions and

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three National Security

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concerns the second protecting

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intellectual property is a key

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requirement for buyers so again just

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like we saw in those interviews these

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customers want solutions that can

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protect their models without needing to

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access the data or the model

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itself and then finally proactively

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identifying new threats will become

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increasingly important especially as we

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find that llms may not be fully

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secure so with that I'll pass it over to

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my colleague Ben uh I'm sorry I'll pass

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it over to Chris to talk about extreme

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weather and Tech great thank you Kenya

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my name is Chris and as Ashley mentioned

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I research in sh Tech here at CB

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insights really excited to talk through

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one of the trends we detailed on our

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report extreme weather is an opportunity

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for insure Tech so on the next slide we

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see that the US saw a record number of

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billion dooll weather disasters in

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2023 and you know this follows a broader

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trend of increasingly costly weather

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disasters over the past 10 10 20 years

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or so particularly for severe storms and

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many of the costs for these disasters

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are paid by insurance companies in the

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form of claims so insure techs have

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taken note of this trend and many of

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them have centered their businesses on

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climate and weather risk and when we

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look at the funding picture on the next

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slide we can see that climate and

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weather focused startups raised two of

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the top insurtech deals in Q2 so far and

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keep in mind we still have about two

play11:04

weeks left in the quarter but two of the

play11:06

top deals here isai and arble were

play11:09

raised for climate and weather risk and

play11:12

this is significant since these deals

play11:14

occurred as we see here on the next

play11:17

slide following the lowest quarter for

play11:20

insure Tech funding in years now look

play11:24

insure Tech fundings found a new normal

play11:26

and Deals particularly the big ones are

play11:29

hard to get median deal size is about

play11:31

the same we should take note of the

play11:34

insur Tex to do raise a lot of money so

play11:36

if that context let's zoom in a little

play11:38

bit more closely at our two INF Focus

play11:41

climate and weather ins shx on the next

play11:43

slide we can see that isai is focused on

play11:47

scaling satellite powered data products

play11:50

so isi which again just raised 93

play11:53

million build satellite systems that

play11:55

collect High powerered aerial images

play11:58

from across the world day or night

play12:01

Beyond IAI beyond that I should say IAI

play12:04

previously received investment from

play12:07

Tokyo marine and they participated in

play12:09

accelerators at Lloyds and

play12:12

Nvidia insurance companies use IIs

play12:15

product for flood and Wildfire risk as

play12:17

an example they partnered with Swiss re

play12:19

and Guy Carpenter last year to introduce

play12:22

a parametric flood insurance product in

play12:25

New York City and if you're unfamiliar

play12:27

with parametric insurance it's coverage

play12:29

based on if then logic that

play12:31

automatically issues a payment

play12:33

determined by data driven parameters so

play12:36

pretty unique both for the business

play12:38

model and the data and pretty strong

play12:40

engagement from leading insurance

play12:43

companies then looking at the next slide

play12:45

here we can see that Aral is focused on

play12:48

scaling PNC products so Aral which again

play12:52

just raised $60 million offers

play12:54

parametric Insurance products

play12:56

particularly focused on agriculture and

play12:59

energy which is a bit more Niche now

play13:01

with this funding they're looking to

play13:03

scale and expand their offerings across

play13:05

PNC particularly for home insurance

play13:09

which is broader they're also looking

play13:10

more globally as well and Beyond just

play13:13

these two companies which raised a whole

play13:15

lot of money we can see here on the next

play13:17

slide that multiple early stage insure

play13:20

techs focused on climate and weather

play13:22

risk have also raised funding in Q2 so

play13:25

far so very new companies relatively

play13:29

and these companies have fairly diverse

play13:32

business models and focus areas so on

play13:35

the left here you'll see matiga they

play13:37

offer business they offer models to

play13:39

understand climate risk related exposure

play13:42

like flooding and wind risk Clover there

play13:44

are brokerage and they sell parametric

play13:47

products they were also part of y

play13:49

combinators winter 2022 batch seven

play13:52

analytics they offer risk products

play13:54

particularly focused on flood risk

play13:56

including a pricing application and

play13:59

pricing for insurance and fora they're

play14:02

focused on loss control specifically

play14:04

Home Inspections that provide insurance

play14:06

companies with data again data is the

play14:08

key Point here and there is a lot of

play14:11

opportunity here and when we zoom out

play14:13

and think about the total Universe of

play14:15

potential companies here on the next

play14:17

slide we can see that satellite and

play14:19

geospatial data is a key Focus for

play14:22

climate and weather risk now not all the

play14:24

companies I mentioned today apply to the

play14:27

space but climate and weather insurance

play14:29

is a space undoubtedly being transformed

play14:31

by Tech developments here markets like

play14:34

wildfire and flood intelligence they

play14:37

have direct connection to an insurance

play14:39

company's bottom line so whether it's an

play14:41

established company like isai or whether

play14:43

it's a seed stage card up startup like

play14:46

seven analytics the underlying Tech

play14:48

developments make it possible to

play14:50

underwrite and manage the underlying

play14:52

risks more effectively so let's take a

play14:55

moment and pause where are we going why

play14:58

does all this matter

play14:59

and on the next slide here you can see

play15:02

our signals for the future of insurance

play15:05

the first of which is that climate and

play15:07

weather focused insure teex will

play15:08

continue to emerge now listen when we

play15:11

think about this space specifically

play15:13

we've seen an increase in the cost of

play15:15

these events there's a lot of

play15:17

opportunity for Innovation which will be

play15:19

driven largely by insurance and the

play15:22

insurance industry I should say in

play15:24

search of new business and opportunities

play15:26

to improve their financials then when we

play15:29

think about the technology impact that

play15:31

leads to our second signal and this is

play15:33

that insurers will increasingly look for

play15:35

opportunities to acquire unique data

play15:39

think about the companies I mentioned

play15:40

IAI focused on data collection from

play15:43

satellites arble focused on data from

play15:45

parametric products this data is what

play15:48

enables the insurance company to better

play15:50

understand the underlying risk and

play15:52

there's a lot of opportunity here for

play15:54

something as impactful and something

play15:56

with so many possibilities like flood

play15:59

wildfires and other natat events and

play16:02

when we zoom out even further at the

play16:04

broader andure Tech picture we see our

play16:06

third signal insure Tech's focused on

play16:09

differentiated business opportunities

play16:11

will continue to raise funding this is

play16:14

broadly across insure Tech but climate

play16:16

and weather risk well it's a great space

play16:19

to watch in particular given the company

play16:22

diversity and the potential impact they

play16:24

can have both for the industry and more

play16:25

importantly for the policy holders they

play16:27

cover so if that got I'm going to pass

play16:29

it off to Ben and he's going to discuss

play16:32

AI powered

play16:34

humanoids so hello everybody my name is

play16:36

Benjamin and I'm the Industrials analyst

play16:39

here at CB insights so AI powered

play16:42

humanoids uh very interesting these are

play16:44

ones that we're good talking about that

play16:45

are designed to do work so on the next

play16:48

slide we'll see that earlier this year

play16:51

we actually looked at the

play16:53

emerging Advanced manufacturing markets

play16:55

gaining the most momentum early stage

play16:57

markets so think angel seed series a

play16:59

rounds and interestingly enough humanoid

play17:02

robots were the lead here they had the

play17:05

most funding by far when we step out a

play17:08

slide or step out a level look at the

play17:10

next slide we'll see that when it comes

play17:12

to overall funding they are approaching

play17:14

$800 million so far this is record

play17:18

funding levels for humanoid robots we're

play17:21

also on Pace to surpass the deals last

play17:23

year so this is really starting to ramp

play17:26

up and there's a few reasons why but

play17:28

first the at a couple of the companies

play17:29

that are doing this the best on the next

play17:32

slide we'll see that multiple companies

play17:34

have raised over $100 million there's a

play17:38

big lead with figure that has 854

play17:41

million out of $2.7 billion valuation it

play17:44

was the highest value unicorn in q1 of

play17:47

this year but also multiple other

play17:49

players over the $100 million Mark but

play17:51

just take note some companies here like

play17:53

Sanctuary Ai and abtronic even though

play17:56

they have not raised as much money

play17:58

they're still making really major and

play18:00

significant developments in this space

play18:03

so on the next slide we're going to just

play18:04

take take a step back and look at

play18:06

humanoid robots uh overall so it first

play18:10

started in the 1960s and they were kind

play18:12

of

play18:13

unsophisticated and the early 2000s with

play18:15

Asimo by Honda we started seeing what

play18:19

the physical capabilities of these

play18:21

things could do and that really

play18:23

propelled further with Atlas by do

play18:25

bosson Dynamics in the 2010s you

play18:28

probably all seen the dancing robot

play18:29

videos if you haven't definitely take a

play18:31

couple minutes check it out it's very

play18:32

entertaining but it was extremely

play18:35

impressive with its capabilities but

play18:38

throughout that entire time the brain

play18:40

the humanoid brain could not match the

play18:41

humanoid body and that is starting to

play18:44

change today for one reason and one

play18:45

reason alone on the next slide we'll see

play18:48

that it's really generative AI that is

play18:50

helping humanoids take off so

play18:53

interestingly this is from our one of

play18:55

our new product releases called a

play18:57

personal briefing that

play18:59

it releases every few days you get an

play19:01

updated briefing that's tailored to what

play19:02

you're looking for and I just

play19:05

conveniently had one while we preparing

play19:07

for this webinar on Nvidia about their

play19:11

robot Revolution and how they're gaining

play19:13

significant traction within this

play19:16

industry and generative AI is really

play19:18

helping in a couple regards so you have

play19:21

for one the training it's helping make

play19:23

the robots more intelligent when it

play19:26

comes to a training process they can

play19:28

watch

play19:29

and learn you can also have people that

play19:31

will control it like remotely and then

play19:33

the robots can learn that way versus

play19:35

having the hard code everything which is

play19:37

pretty much impossible to account for

play19:38

all scenarios there is also inference

play19:41

the robot being able to understand its

play19:43

surroundings better it's much much

play19:45

better because of generative AI

play19:47

capabilities and also we have natural

play19:50

language processing there are

play19:52

demonstrations are not sophisticated

play19:53

demonstrations but there are

play19:55

demonstrations right now of companies

play19:57

where you ask a ro to hey move these

play19:59

boxes over here or to like unload this

play20:03

and it can do it again it's slow it's a

play20:06

work in progress but it's still

play20:07

extremely

play20:08

impressive and it's not just in video

play20:11

that's involved so on the next slide

play20:12

we'll see that really all of big Tech is

play20:16

laying the groundwork for humanoid

play20:18

robots so you have companies like Amazon

play20:20

for example that has a partnership with

play20:22

agility Robotics and they're piloting

play20:25

their digit robot in one of their

play20:27

automated Test Facilities you also have

play20:31

companies like Google meta Microsoft

play20:34

Nvidia open AI that are developing

play20:37

robotic platforms to help the humanoid

play20:41

companies further adopt the software

play20:43

architecture and infrastructure so you

play20:46

like Nvidia for example recently relased

play20:47

their project rout which is a generative

play20:49

AI Foundation model specifically for

play20:52

humanoids other companies are investing

play20:54

a lot in this space think Intel Samsung

play20:58

and then we have Tesla which is unique

play20:59

that it's developing its own humanoid

play21:01

robot and we'll discuss them a little

play21:02

bit more later on the next slide we'll

play21:05

see that the traditional leader in this

play21:07

space is Boston Dynamics but a lot of

play21:10

other companies are graining ground

play21:12

because of the new generi capabilities

play21:14

helped with big Tech a lot of funding in

play21:17

this area but bosson Dynamics is still

play21:20

one of the main leaders and they

play21:22

actually recently L their new Atlas

play21:25

robot if you haven't seen the video it's

play21:27

a 30 second video check it out it's by

play21:30

far the most impressive thing that we've

play21:31

seen from a Mobility perspective with

play21:33

the humanoid it also uses AI we don't

play21:36

really know the details of that yet

play21:38

there's not too much released but it's

play21:40

definitely a big step up from their

play21:42

previous version in the 2010s and it

play21:43

looks like this new one is designed to

play21:45

do

play21:46

work we'll also see on the next slide

play21:48

that like the price point for these is

play21:50

actually kind of reasonable so right now

play21:52

we're seeing around $100,000 on the ones

play21:54

that are out out there and that's from

play21:57

like optronic agility figure and so on

play22:00

but companies are targeting in the

play22:02

future around 20 to

play22:05

$50,000 as a price point so Elon Musk

play22:09

said with the Optimus humanoid from

play22:10

Tesla they're looking at 20K put on the

play22:14

Elon must safety Factor so multiply that

play22:16

by 1.5 to two that gets you around 30 to

play22:19

$40,000 seems perfectly reasonable like

play22:21

I don't see a reason why a humanoid

play22:23

should cost more than a small car

play22:25

especially because it's likely we're

play22:26

going to have not just millions or tens

play22:28

of millions but maybe hundreds of

play22:29

millions of these in the marketplace

play22:31

across manufacturing sites warehouses

play22:35

Healthcare and so many more and like on

play22:38

the next slide we'll see actually some

play22:39

of these

play22:41

opportunities companies are by far

play22:43

targeting manufacturing the most and

play22:46

actually it's specifically in logistics

play22:49

and Manufacturing that is most popular

play22:51

so moving boxes within a factory from

play22:53

one place to another for example

play22:56

Logistics itself think warehouses is

play22:58

also o increasingly important retail

play23:00

like more so St uh stocking shelves or

play23:03

back of the store uh Logistics

play23:05

operations another big one Healthcare

play23:07

think Elderly Care those are the four

play23:10

main ones we see right now they're all

play23:12

sort of structured environments they're

play23:13

somewhat control your unstructured

play23:15

environments like construction defense

play23:17

Disaster

play23:19

Response they're all going to be coming

play23:21

later the reality is that there it's

play23:24

very complicated every job site is

play23:26

different every construction site's

play23:27

different and war is obviously

play23:29

especially complex so don't expect

play23:30

humanoids there for many many decades in

play23:33

terms of a timeline real quick too we're

play23:35

looking at probably would say companies

play23:37

are staying roughly three to five years

play23:39

to start seeing useful cases within

play23:42

industry and 10 years before really

play23:44

starts taking

play23:45

off on the next slide we'll see that

play23:48

Automotive manufacturing is really one

play23:50

of the Prime opportunities this is from

play23:52

a recent value chain report and

play23:54

Industrial humanoid robots were one of

play23:57

the key areas in this space on the next

play24:00

slide we'll also see that a lot of the

play24:03

automakers and Automotive suppliers are

play24:05

increasingly aggressive BMW has a pilot

play24:07

with figure Mercedes with aonic Hyundai

play24:10

they own Boston Dynamics and then Magna

play24:12

International which is a automotive

play24:14

supplier as a pilot with Sanctuary Ai

play24:18

and then we'll sort of finish here with

play24:20

Tesla Tesla is very unique they are

play24:22

automaker but they're more so like a

play24:24

tech company at least that's how they're

play24:25

really trying to transition themselves

play24:27

on their this is from earnings insights

play24:29

would summarizes earnings call on the

play24:31

platform and on their Q4 earnings call

play24:33

last year they said that they want to

play24:35

position themselves at Ai and Robotics

play24:37

company and that they view humanoid

play24:39

robots as key to the company's future

play24:42

they are going all in on this and Elon

play24:45

Musk has been quoted as saying that he

play24:46

expects billions of these to be in the

play24:48

market I really don't see that as

play24:50

unreasonable when you think of the

play24:52

quantity of job opportunities but if

play24:54

it's not that it's definitely potential

play24:56

for tens and hundreds of millions in

play24:58

decades to come so to finalize here s

play25:02

for our signals for Point number one

play25:04

generative AI is the enabling technology

play25:07

helping humanoids learn and interact

play25:08

with their environment number two big

play25:11

Tech wants in on humanoid robots and

play25:13

they are aggressively setting the

play25:14

foundation they're investing heavily

play25:16

here and they're also doing a lot in

play25:17

terms of software models and number

play25:20

three humanoids will take over many

play25:22

Industries and who knows maybe even one

play25:24

day they'll enter the home we expect

play25:26

sort of Rapid adoption like think of the

play25:29

automobile after World War I the car no

play25:32

one really had it in 1918 but then 10

play25:34

years later almost everyone had a car

play25:37

it's potential it's it's possible that

play25:39

humanoids will have that same type of

play25:41

curve there's going to be a bit more

play25:43

that has to come out but do expect that

play25:45

really the end of the decade we're going

play25:47

to start seeing a lot of movement here

play25:49

so with that said just want to give a

play25:52

quick highlight this is our personal

play25:53

briefing we highlighted it here

play25:55

definitely check it out it's tailor just

play25:56

to you and most importantly of all it's

play26:00

not just that Anan loves you but we all

play26:02

love you everyone here at CB insights

play26:05

and thank you so much for taking the

play26:06

time to listen

play26:07

today um we have a couple minutes left

play26:10

here so for to Q&A we had a pres

play26:12

submitted question um on the cyber

play26:15

security latest trends and Kenya you can

play26:18

take that yeah so generative AI security

play26:22

that's one of the top trends when we

play26:23

analyzed the early stage activity that

play26:25

took place in 2023 um that was the top

play26:28

market with the most early stage

play26:29

activity um I would say anything related

play26:32

to Identity so that also ties into

play26:34

generative AI um just as you have more

play26:36

deep fakes and things like that um

play26:38

identity fraud and then any industry

play26:41

that relies kind of on biometric

play26:42

identity so thinking Financial Services

play26:45

a lot call centers will need solutions

play26:47

to detect deep fakes um and then finally

play26:50

data security so that was another early

play26:52

stage Market that saw a lot of activity

play26:55

um again that's tied to generative AI um

play26:57

the value of your data has gone up now

play26:59

that you know it's used to build these

play27:01

valuable models but also there's just a

play27:03

ton of high-profile data breaches so um

play27:06

that continues to be

play27:08

relevant and we also have another pres

play27:10

submitted one we'll get to then we'll

play27:11

start answering some in the Q&A so this

play27:13

one for Chris how will technology dress

play27:15

which impact climate

play27:19

change yeah so I'll answer this in the

play27:21

context of uh definitely what I

play27:24

presented but because it's a pretty big

play27:26

universe you can include everything from

play27:28

carbon capture technology to renewable

play27:30

energy to Green buildings and so on so

play27:33

really three points here for climate and

play27:36

weather insure Tech the first one's a

play27:38

data layer as I mentioned the data used

play27:40

by these companies power Financial

play27:42

products like insurance but they also

play27:44

provide data to broader environments for

play27:47

weather and climate change so we think

play27:50

about how that data can be analyzed with

play27:52

Advanced analytics and data science well

play27:54

if a model indicates a region is going

play27:56

to be increasingly more susceptible to

play27:58

wildfires or floods then there's going

play28:01

that's really going to catch everyone's

play28:02

attention and it's not just going to be

play28:04

an insurance application it's going to

play28:06

be building government so on and so

play28:09

forth every sector of the region that's

play28:11

impacted and then the third is with the

play28:13

loss control and the risk engineering

play28:15

element I mentioned so an insurance

play28:17

company May encourage their policy

play28:19

holders to take preventative measures to

play28:22

you know manage the climate risks but

play28:24

those preventative measures are also a

play28:26

broader of broader benefit to the policy

play28:29

holders overall and to other

play28:31

stakeholders involved so those are

play28:33

really the three ways that I think about

play28:35

it and when you think about the impact

play28:38

of this technology on climate change

play28:40

it's really at most or it's really more

play28:42

so about being able to make better

play28:44

decisions related to the risks posed by

play28:48

weather extreme weather and climate

play28:49

change which insurance companies do

play28:51

exceptionally well but that's really

play28:53

invol entails everyone involved so uh

play28:56

we're right at time here but have couple

play28:58

questions that came in so just try to

play28:59

answer them real quickly um one is like

play29:02

what industries would attract humanoids

play29:04

most in fiveyear time frame uh look like

play29:06

manufacturing inter Logistics within a

play29:09

warehouse itself they're going to be the

play29:11

two main ones that's where we're seeing

play29:12

the most testing going on we actually

play29:13

have a report on that on the platform so

play29:15

definitely check it out um and there's

play29:17

another question here how do you

play29:18

position boss Dynamics which Industries

play29:20

are the most

play29:21

successful um right now their really

play29:24

first Pilots are going to be with

play29:25

Hyundai in the automotive factories so

play29:27

that's where we're looking to see at

play29:29

first they're trying to figure out use

play29:30

cases but it's it's hard to say but

play29:33

right now from Mobility they look like

play29:34

by far the best when it comes to AI

play29:38

capabilities which it's still uncertain

play29:40

but they do look like they're definitely

play29:42

uh at least one of the Front Runners as

play29:44

well um with that said we're we're at

play29:47

time and thank you all for listening we

play29:49

hope you have a fantastic rest of the

play29:51

day

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