BITCOIN: Kommt JETZT der große Knall? [WARUM SIEHT DAS KEINER...]

Summary

In this video, Natalie discusses the potential impact of Trump’s upcoming ‘Liberation Day’ and the tariffs set to be enforced on Mexico and Canada. She analyzes how these events might affect the crypto and traditional markets, particularly Bitcoin, which has been highly correlated with macroeconomic trends. The video delves into the possible market reactions, from a potential relief rally to a more significant market crash. Natalie also touches on Bitcoin trading strategies, including her use of bots to navigate market volatility, and emphasizes the need for caution amid ongoing uncertainties.

Takeaways

• 😀 Bitcoin and the entire market are experiencing a relief rally, but there are concerns about a potential crash tomorrow due to Trump's tariff day.
• 😀 Tomorrow marks the 'Liberation Day' when Trump's tariffs on Mexico and Canada are expected to come into effect, causing market uncertainty.
• 😀 Despite the relief rally, the market is still dealing with uncertainty due to conflicting announcements regarding tariffs over the past few months.
• 😀 The market doesn't like uncertainty, and the impact of Trump's tariff announcements has led to a significant market decline.
• 😀 The situation may mirror 2018 when Trump introduced tariffs, leading to a brief market downturn, but then a recovery started in April 2018.
• 😀 If history repeats, we could see a market bottom tomorrow, but it's unlikely to lead to an immediate new all-time high.
• 😀 There are notable similarities between the events of 2018 and today, including the timeframe and percentage declines in the S&P 500.
• 😀 The market is facing extreme volatility, especially with the announcement of tariffs, which may lead to short-term crashes or unexpected rallies.
• 😀 The author is cautiously positioning themselves in Bitcoin trading, introducing two new trading bots to benefit from possible market consolidation in the coming months.
• 😀 The market may experience a range-bound period until the third quarter of 2025, with the author recommending patience and cautious investment strategies like dollar-cost averaging.

Q & A

What is the significance of Trump's so-called 'Liberation Day'?

Trump's 'Liberation Day' refers to the day when tariffs, which he had announced two months earlier, are set to come into effect. This date is highly anticipated by the market as it brings clarity about the trade situation and could significantly impact market movements.

How did the market react to the announcement of tariffs by Trump in the past?

In the past, when Trump announced tariffs, the market entered a strong downtrend, marked by uncertainty. This led to volatility, and markets struggled to price in these changes due to the frequent adjustments and reversals of tariff decisions.

Why is the 2nd of April historically important for the market?

The 2nd of April is historically important because in 2018, it marked the day when the market found its bottom after a significant drop. This coincided with the tariffs Trump announced, making it a key date for understanding potential future market behavior.

What did the S&P 500 chart reveal about the market's behavior after Trump's tariff announcement in 2018?

The S&P 500 chart from 2018 shows a significant drop in the market after Trump's tariff announcement, but also a recovery starting on the 2nd of April 2018, which is seen as a potential indicator for market recovery after similar events.

How long did it take for the market to reach a new all-time high after the 2018 tariffs?

After the 2018 tariffs, it took about 210 days for the market to reach a new all-time high, which occurred in September 2018. This timeline is used as a potential reference for predicting the market's recovery after the current tariff announcement.

What is the significance of the 'Death Cross' for Bitcoin?

The 'Death Cross' refers to a technical chart pattern where the short-term moving average crosses below the long-term moving average, often signaling a bearish market. The presenter mentions that Bitcoin may experience a 'Death Cross' in the coming weeks, which could lead to further price drops.

What is the presenter’s expectation for Bitcoin in the coming months?

The presenter expects Bitcoin to remain in a consolidation phase for the next few months, possibly until the third quarter of the year. The market is expected to be influenced by broader macroeconomic factors, including Trump's tariff decisions and the Federal Reserve's actions.

What trading strategies does the presenter mention for Bitcoin?

The presenter mentions using Bitcoin bots for trading, including a long bot and a neutral bot. The long bot benefits from price increases, while the neutral bot performs well during sideways market movements, providing an opportunity for stable returns in uncertain conditions.

What role does volatility play in the presenter’s Bitcoin trading approach?

Volatility is seen as an opportunity in the presenter's trading strategy. They expect increased volatility, especially after important announcements like Trump's tariff implementation, and aim to profit from these fluctuations through automated trading bots.

Why does the presenter believe Bitcoin’s price might drop to $72,000?

The presenter suggests that Bitcoin might drop to $72,000, referencing the potential for a 'Death Cross' and the ongoing macroeconomic pressures, including Trump's tariff policies and Federal Reserve actions. They predict that the market may see a dip before potentially rebounding later in the year.