Complete Change In Tactics & SECRET Behind MORE Successful Strikes - Ukraine War Map Analysis News

Summary

Dieses Video behandelt komplexe Themen wie die militärische Unterstützung für die Ukraine durch Schweden, die Auswirkungen des 'Ausländergesetzes' in Georgien und neue Waffensysteme. Es geht um taktische Analysen, Geolocation-Daten und Verluste, die aus verschiedenen Quellen stammen, einschließlich russischer und ukrainischer Berichte. Der Sprecher diskutiert auch die Verbesserung des russischen Ketten der Zerstörung und spekuliert über mögliche Modifikationen an Waffensystemen für Laserführung. Des Weiteren werden AI-gezielte Angriffe, taktische Aspekte und die politische Situation in Georgien diskutiert, einschließlich der kontroversen 'Ausländergesetzes' und den Protesten, die es hervorgerufen hat.

Takeaways

• 🇸🇪 Schweden hat eine umfangreiche militärische Unterstützung für die Ukraine zugesagt, die in den kommenden Jahren stattfinden wird.
• 🇬🇪 In Georgien gibt es Proteste aufgrund des umstrittenen Gesetzes über 'Ausländer-Agenten', das von der Regierung verabschiedet wurde.
• 🔍 Es wird diskutiert, ob russische Waffensysteme wie Iskander und Tornado möglicherweise auf Laserführung umgerüstet wurden, um die Effizienz zu steigern.
• 💡 Die Verwendung von Laserführung ermöglicht eine präzisere und schnellere Treffererreichung, da sie weniger anfällig für Störungen ist als GPS-Navigation.
• 🛰️ Die Verbesserung des 'Kill-Chain'-Prozesses der russischen Streitkräfte, von der Beobachtung bis zur Treffererreichung, wurde von ukrainischen und russischen Quellen bestätigt.
• 🤖 Diskussionen über die Rolle von künstlicher Intelligenz (KI) bei der Zielerfassung und die Herausforderungen, die KI bei der Erkennung von Täuschungsmanövern hat.
• 🚀 Berichte über mutmaßliche neue Waffensysteme und ihre Wirksamkeit auf dem Schlachtfeld, einschließlich der Behauptung, dass ein ukrainisches MiG-29-Flugzeug abgeschossen wurde.
• 🛶 Es wird über die Verwendung von Drohnenbooten und ihre mögliche Modifikation diskutiert, um unguided Raketen zu tragen und zu feuern.
• 🗺️ Analyse der aktuellen militärischen Lage in der Ukraine anhand verschiedener Karten und Berichte, einschließlich der Bewegungen und der Kontrolle verschiedener Regionen.
• 📉 Die Auswirkungen der geplanten militärischen Unterstützung durch Schweden auf die Dauer und den Verlauf des Krieges in der Ukraine werden diskutiert.

Q & A

Was ist das Hauptthema des gegebenen Drehbuchs?

Das Hauptthema des Drehbuchs ist die Diskussion aktueller militärischer Entwicklungen und politischer Ereignisse, insbesondere in Bezug auf die Ukraine, Schweden, Georgien und die Verwendung neuer Waffensysteme.

Was hat Schweden in Bezug auf die Ukraine beschlossen?

Schweden hat beschlossen, eine militärische Hilfe in Höhe von 7 Milliarden US-Dollar für die Ukraine über die kommenden Jahre zu gewähren.

Was ist mit der 'ausländischen Agentengesetz' in Georgien passiert?

In Georgien haben Proteste wegen des umstrittenen 'ausländischen Agentengesetzes' ausgebrochen, das Organisationen und Medien, die mehr als 20% ihrer Finanzierung aus dem Ausland erhalten, als 'ausländische Interessen' kennzeichnen soll.

Welche neuen Waffensysteme werden im Drehbuch erwähnt?

Im Drehbuch werden neue Waffensysteme wie möglicherweise lasergelenkte Münitionen für die Iskander- und Tornado-Systeme sowie neue taktische Veränderungen und AI-gezielte Systeme diskutiert.

Was bedeuten die Jumper-Kabel in der Schaltung des Tornado-Munitionsvideos?

Jumper-Kabel in der Schaltung deuten möglicherweise auf eine Letzte-Minute-Modifikation hin, die von russischen Ingenieuren vorgenommen wurde, um die Rakete lasergelenkt zu machen.

Was ist mit der Verwendung von Drohnen in der Kriegsführung passiert?

Drohnen werden zur Überwachung und zur gezielten Angriffsführung eingesetzt, wobei sie möglicherweise auch für Propagandazwecke und die Überwachung der Schlachtfelder eingesetzt werden.

Wie wird künstliche Intelligenz (KI) in der Kriegsführung eingesetzt?

Künstliche Intelligenz wird für gezielte Angriffe eingesetzt, kann jedoch durch Tricks wie das Hinzufügen von Rauschen in Bildern oder das Verändern von Mustern gestört werden.

Was bedeuten die Änderungen in der Taktik der Ukraine?

Die Ukraine sollte laut dem Drehbuch rückwärts gehen und dabei Verluste bei den Angreifern verursachen, anstatt ständig neue Gebiete zu verteidigen, da sie weder die Mannpower noch die Ressourcen für eine offensive Verteidigung hat.

Was hat die Auswirkung der neuen Waffensysteme auf die Schlachtfelder?

Die neuen Waffensysteme haben zu einer schnelleren Reaktionszeiten und einer effizienteren Zielerreichung geführt, was die Taktik und die Ergebnisse der Kämpfe verändert hat.

Was ist der aktuelle Stand der Kämpfe in der Region Sumy?

Der Stand der Kämpfe in der Region Sumy ist unklar, da es Schwierigkeiten gibt, verlässliche Informationen zu erhalten, aber es wird vermutet, dass russische Truppen in Richtung Südosten, nahe der Grenze zu Suj, unterwegs sind.

Outlines

00:00

🔍 Analyse neuer Waffensysteme und taktischer Entwicklungen

Der erste Absatz behandelt die Verbesserung des russischen Kill-Chain-Prozesses, der die Zeit vom Beobachten eines Ziels bis zum Treffer verkürzt. Es wird spekuliert, dass neue Systeme, möglicherweise mit Laserführung, eingesetzt werden, was eine präzisere und schnellere Zielerfassung ermöglicht. Ein elektronischer Ingenieur mit PHD und Verteidigungsunternehmen in Verbindung bringt eine spekulative Theorie, dass russische Ingenieure die Schießwaffen zu Laser-geführten Waffen umgestaltet haben könnten, was die Effizienz auf dem Schlachtfeld erhöht.

05:00

📹 Beobachtungen von Drohnen und Kampfflugzeugen

Dieser Absatz konzentriert sich auf die Rolle von Drohnen bei militärischen Operationen, insbesondere bei der Beobachtung und möglichen Laser-Ausrichtung für Kampfflugzeuge. Es wird über die Behauptung der Ukraine gesprochen, dass ein russisches SU-22-Flugzeug abgeschossen wurde, und es wird diskutiert, wie Drohnen auch für Propaganda genutzt werden könnten. Zudem werden neue Waffensysteme und AI-gezielte Angriffe thematisiert, einschließlich der Abwehr von Angriffen auf ein ukrainisches MiG-29-Flugzeug.

10:03

🤖 Diskussion um künstliche Intelligenz und taktische Anpassungen

Der dritte Absatz behandelt die Herausforderungen der künstlichen Intelligenz (KI) in der militärischen Anwendung, insbesondere in Bezug auf Zielerkennung und -führung. Es wird erklärt, dass KI Schwierigkeiten hat, abstrakte Konzepte zu verstehen und dass sie durch zusätzliche Trainingsdaten erneut eingestellt werden muss, um neue Täuschungsmaßnahmen zu überwinden. Es wird auch über taktische Anpassungen diskutiert, einschließlich der Verwendung von Schatten und Sonnenstand zur Identifizierung von Zielen.

15:04

🗺️ Taktische Überlegungen und Asymmetrische Kriegsführung

In diesem Absatz werden taktische Überlegungen und die Asymmetriebegriffen diskutiert, die die Ukraine in ihrem Kampf gegen Russland anwenden könnte. Es wird argumentiert, dass die Ukraine ihre Positionen aufgeben sollte, um Zeit zu gewinnen und Verluste für Russland zu verursachen. Es wird auch ein Beispiel aus der australischen Militärstrategie genannt, um die Prinzipien der Asymmetrischen Kriegsführung zu veranschaulichen.

20:06

🚂 Beobachtungen von russischen Logistik- und Brückenbau-Einheiten

Der fünfte Absatz konzentriert sich auf die Beobachtung von russischen Logistik- und Brückenbau-Einheiten, die möglicherweise für zukünftige Offensiven in der nördlichen und nordöstlichen Ukraine eingesetzt werden. Es wird auch über Korruptionsvorwürfe und die unzureichende Verteidigungsinfrastruktur in Charkiw gesprochen, sowie über die Auswirkungen auf die ukrainischen Truppenbewegungen.

25:07

💥 Aktuelle Ereignisse und geopolitische Entwicklungen

In diesem Absatz werden verschiedene aktuelle Ereignisse diskutiert, darunter die Forderung von Präsident Zalinsky an die NATO, russische Raketen abzufangen, die Ankündigung von Schweden, Milliarden für ukrainische Militärhilfe bereitzustellen, und die kontroverse 'Ausländer-Agentengesetz' in Georgien. Es wird auch über die Reaktion der EU-Länder auf das georgische Gesetz und die möglichen Sanktionen gesprochen.

Keywords

💡Nuance

Nuance bezieht sich auf die Feinheiten und Abstufungen einer Sache, die oft über die Oberfläche hinausgehen. Im Video wird betont, dass viele Themen komplexer sind, als sie auf den ersten Blick erscheinen, und es ist wichtig, diese Nuancen zu verstehen, um das vollständige Bild zu erhalten. Ein Beispiel ist die Diskussion über die Verbesserung des russischen 'Kill-Chain', welche die Feinheiten der Waffensysteme und Taktiken betrifft.

💡Laser Guidance

Laser Guidance ist eine Art der Zielführung, bei der ein Ziel mit einem Laserstrahl markiert wird und eine Munition darauf trifft. Im Video wird spekuliert, dass russische Waffen wie die Iskander- und Tornado-Systeme möglicherweise mit Laser-Guidance-Systemen umgerüstet wurden, um die Effizienz und Genauigkeit der Angriffe zu erhöhen.

💡Kill Chain

Der Begriff 'Kill Chain' beschreibt den Prozess von der Beobachtung eines Ziels bis hin zum Treffer einer Waffe. Im Video wird angemerkt, dass die 'Kill Chain' der russischen Streitkräfte im Laufe des Jahres verbessert wurde, was die Taktik und die Technologie hinter den Angriffen betrifft.

💡Geolocation

Geolocation ist die Bestimmung der geografischen Position eines Objektes. Im Video wird auf Geolocation hingewiesen, um die genauen Orte von Ereignissen im Zusammenhang mit der militärischen Situation hervorzuheben, was für die Analyse und das Verständnis von Geschehnissen auf der Grundlage von Beweisen wichtig ist.

💡AI Targeting

AI Targeting bezieht sich auf die Verwendung von künstlicher Intelligenz, um Ziele in einem Kampf zu identifizieren und zu priorisieren. Im Video wird diskutiert, wie AI in der Kriegsführung eingesetzt wird und wie sie durch Tricks wie das Hinzufügen von Rauschen zu Bildern oder das Ändern der Form von Flugzeugflügeln gestört werden kann.

💡Foreign Agent Law

Das 'Foreign Agent Law' ist ein Gesetz, das Organisationen oder Einzelpersonen betrifft, die mehr als 20% ihrer Finanzierung aus dem Ausland erhalten. Im Video wird über die kontroversen Aspekte dieses Gesetzes in Georgien gesprochen, das zu Protesten geführt hat und Bedenken hinsichtlich der Meinungsfreiheit und der Transparenz von Finanzierungsquellen aufwirft.

💡Militärische Hilfe

Militärische Hilfe umfasst die Unterstützung, die Staaten oder Organisationen im Kriegsfall oder in Konfliktsituationen leisten. Im Video wird die Entscheidung Schwedens, die Ukraine mit einer militärischen Hilfe von 7 Milliarden US-Dollar über die nächsten Jahre zu unterstützen, diskutiert.

💡Drone

Ein Drohne ist ein unbemanntes Fluggerät, das für verschiedene Zwecke eingesetzt werden kann, einschließlich der Überwachung, der Aufklärung und des Angriffs. Im Video wird die Verwendung von Drohnen sowohl für die Aufnahme von Propaganda-Filmen als auch für die Unterstützung von Angriffen mit Laser-Guidance diskutiert.

💡Taktiken

Taktiken sind die Methoden und Ansätze, die in einer militärischen Operation oder einem Konflikt eingesetzt werden. Im Video werden verschiedene Taktiken wie das Zurückziehen der Kräfte, um Verluste zuzufügen, oder das Nutzen von asymmetrischen Kriegsführungsmethoden diskutiert.

💡Optiken

Optiken bezieht sich auf die Wahrnehmung oder das Bild, das von einer Situation oder Handlung abgegeben wird. Im Video wird kritisiert, dass die Ukraine möglicherweise ihre militärischen Entscheidungen aufgrund der Optik oder des Narratives beeinflusst, was zu einer suboptimalen Taktik führen kann.

Highlights

Sweden has committed to a massive military grant for Ukrainian military aid over the next few years.

Discussion on Georgia's foreign agent law and the ongoing protests.

Analysis of new weapons and the potential use of laser guidance in Russian military systems.

Speculation about modifications to the Iskander and Tornado systems for faster kill chains.

An electronics engineer's perspective on the possible last-minute modifications to Tornado's ammunition circuitry.

The use of drones for laser designation in combat and potential propaganda purposes.

Claims of another Su-2 aircraft downed by Ukraine with no evidence yet provided.

Footage of a strike on a Ukrainian MiG-29 aircraft and the implications of drones overflying Odessa.

Introduction of a drone boat with unguided rocket tubes and questions about its accuracy and effectiveness.

Discussion on AI targeting, its limitations, and the potential for disruption through machine learning.

Tactics of fighting withdrawal and inflicting casualties on the enemy, with a focus on logistics.

Analysis of the potential for a new front line opening in the north of Ukraine and its strategic implications.

Updates on the situation in Kherson and the withdrawal of Ukrainian forces.

Zalinsky's call for NATO to intercept Russian missiles over Ukraine and the potential tit-for-tat scenarios.

Sweden's announcement of a $7 billion military aid package for Ukraine and the timeline for its effect.

Protests in Georgia over the foreign agent law and the potential suppression of media and government opponents.

Western countries pushing for sanctions against Georgia in response to the foreign agents law.

Transcripts

G Legends I hope that you're having a

fantastic day and so far a fantastic

week now again today we have a lot to go

over like every day but we need to go

over it in full we need to talk about

Nuance we need to look at perspectives

and we need to give all the ins and outs

as things are far more complex than it

may seem on the surface So today we're

going to talk about Sweden and a massive

military Grant going in towards

Ukrainian military aid over the next few

years we'll talk about Georgia what has

been happening there with the foreign

agent law we need to talk about new

weapons we'll have a look at the maps

we'll talk about tactics we'll look at

some geolocations we'll look at some

losses we'll look at some footage a bit

of everything of what that is all

telling us but where I want to start is

on new weapons now if you've been

watching me for a couple of months web

spoken in length that it does seem this

year in particular that Russia's kill

chain so the time of observation of a

Target to then time of something hitting

that Target and what prec it has to run

through between that which was shocking

in the beginning has improved

drastically and this has been noted from

both Ukrainian and Russian sources and

about 8 weeks ago I want to say we did

talk about potentially the use of a new

system because of the difference we've

been seeing particularly in the iander

and tornado systems and how the drones

overhead are providing all of that

footage in so what we did speculate

about is there something using laser

guidance so look there's multiple ways

things are targeted but when we'll talk

about say GPS glonass or laser guidance

when you fire something GPS you put in

the GPS coordinates of what you want to

hit set and forget and it's on its way

but that system is easier to jam than

laser guidance but in some ways can be

more accurate laser guidance is you have

a drone in the air or something if

surveillance could be an aircraft or a

guy on the ground with a physical uh

laser um then painting something so

you're painting something with a laser

and then munition comes in and hits that

what that gives you is a much shorter

spectrum of what is talking to one

another so you're talking from the

system to system rather than satellite

back down and also can give Corrections

if something then starts moving now the

OS scander and tornado according to what

we know as publicly ailable information

are not laser guided weapons and we did

talk 8 10 weeks ago that potentially was

there an upgrade done to something like

this as we've seen these used much

faster kill chain but also hitting

things like helicopters which we know

can move and of course won't be on the

ground in areas for then a long time of

course these strikes have been on

choppers on the ground but won't be

there for long so I want to speak about

that that in length now A friend of mine

sent over than this and this may not be

easy easy to see because I probably

should have cropped it better but

regardless I'm an electronics engineer

with the PHD undertook some work aligned

with the defense company but I do not

work for one directly a few weeks ago I

stumbled upon the tornado s ammunition

circuitry video I noticed that this

circuit had too many jumper wires jumper

wires are something that I frowned upon

in circuit design they are sometimes

needed if your circuit has only two

layers but if your circuit is

multi-layered you shouldn't need any of

these jumper wies the circuit is

definitely multi-layered the nuton bolt

on the left of the video at 701 I'll put

that up here um holds the layers

together and connects the uh connects

the grounds or vdds of all layers so

there is no reason for the jumper wires

now I'm going to put this up here

because I don't know what a lot of this

is but I'm sure you guys can put it

together this makes me think that a

modification of the circuitry is made at

the last minute it is impossible to say

the modification but it is aible that

Russian Engineers mged an extra Center

to make the missile laser guided such

modifications are Child's Play if you're

dealing with fpga but for the 10an S

circuit the processor is at mpga which

is not programable still the mpga might

be designed with the possibility of

future modification in mind or some

other guidance system might be

overridden in favor of the laser

Guidance the hardest part of the

modification would be bureaucracy these

systems should be tested properly before

handing them over to the Troops but in

Wartime Russians might have streamlined

or pipelined their testing grounds in

combat fields of course I'm conjectured

a lot here but any decent non nafo

Affiliated engineer can back me up on

the fact that there is a possibility

that Russian Engineers FastTrack mod

modified their weapon so that is just

very interesting something on want to

speak about and something we haven't

spoken about for a while in that

modification but again we are seeing

those weapons being uh more success on

the battlefield and and something else

that tells us a bit is at each one of

these strikes be an i scander in nepr

tornado in areas we have a drone in the

air filming it now of course one that is

considering that a drone is overhead

there deep in over buildup areas but uh

secondly maybe that is being used for

propaganda information victories of

course very important but secondly could

that then be laser designated something

as we know say the all land drone can do

and some other types as well same with

like the kaple shells so I just wanted

to put that out there something I did

find very interesting now let's talk

about a couple of strikes some AI

targeting and some new weapon systems so

Ukraine is claiming that another sue2

has been down no evidence yet has been

given I haven't seen any footage come

out or any Russian sources now confirm

this but just to let you guys know

that's what we're seeing from Ukraine

and we have seen many of claims of these

recently but nothing coming up same as

the two warships that were either both

destroyed or one attacked one destroyed

not yet we haven't seen any footage of

that but I'll continue waiting it's now

probably around 100 hours from that

first one but on the line of uh planes

going down but also laser guidance um

different Munitions whatever we then see

a strike today in Neo against a

Ukrainian mig29 aircraft here now these

apparently are just

laying waste but this is the mig29 then

spoken about now the footage is a bit

all bloody over the place but you can

see zooming in and out here mate and

then where a strike has been conducted

down here I believe so let's go through

the footage so here's the strike and

something burning up here but again the

footage is really really not clear but

as well what we're going to say is over

an Airfield in Neo there are drones F

that even regardless what was hit that

is concerning and I think even more

concerning is so we're talking up here

is the drones that seemingly are flying

very very easily over Odessa bringing in

those ice scander strikes as well is

there laser GS is there not well we

don't know about this then Fire Bomb

said actually proof that today's attack

of the MiG 29 at this Airfield not the

most beautiful video don't say but as I

say they are rich so again we will see

now we looked at footage yesterday of

one of these drones in the black see

firing off those multiple launch uh

rockets and then we actually get a

couple of photographs here today so cab

drone here we can see then the starlink

systems on top of these uh so there's

actually two systems being used but

regardless both like satellite

Communications and then these tubes

bolted on here which I would say most

likely are unguided rocket tubes I do

question how accurate these would be

they may be accurate to a beating zone

so a beating zone is a zone of which uh

weapons put fire it's hard to explain

I'll put a graphic up here but a machine

gun has like buil-in inaccuracy for

suppressive fire so it creates this zone

of fire to suppress an enemy so does

grad uh so do many other system now this

on ground bolted down like this probably

creates a fairly uh reasonable beating

Zone but at the end of the day these are

going to have a lot of Firepower like a

lot of oom

forward these drone boat is going to be

no more than say 500 kg to a ton maximum

so it's going to be in the water and the

water of course is very unstable so what

success will this have unguided I don't

know that's up to an engineer to answer

but I would say there's a fair bit of

this going on but instead you're still

putting out things maybe for like some

reconnaissance by fire see what the

reaction is but could this be also as

I've seen people say a modification due

to now these getting intercepted more we

have seen Russia be more successful

intercepting these from their own

footage from Choppers and from no

footage of these then hitting ships for

a while too but we know they're being

used could this be a modification in um

in response to then that I don't know

but worth talking about now we talk

about AI targeting a lot we see

everything from actual decoys to

painting then to tires on aircraft wings

and AI is thrown around a lot but this

guy reached out to a friend of his who's

an expert I'd like to thank him for

doing this because we spoke about the

learning of AI and that grain can still

disrupt it so we will see say a

photograph of a deer but if that deer

has some grain put in the image AI may

not then see the deer although we would

see it clearly it works in a different

way but it can be trained in machine

learning but this will go with that the

underlying problem with artificial

intelligence is not really intelligence

in the classic case it doesn't

understand things of higher abstraction

but rather similarities in data in this

case that would be learned shapes of

planes but it's not meaning underlying

physics purpose for example the Drone AI

would not identify a plane with circular

Wings if that's not included in the

training data set human intelligence

could still identified as a plane due to

the high capability of abstract thinking

that said you can retrain the artificial

intelligence to include this but would

need to do so with each significant

change of countermeasures for example

using something very different than

tires on wings so it would continue the

usual game of measure verse counter

measure so you could train it to look

for tires on wings but then if you put

squares on wings it's going to then

change it you're going to have to

retrain it every time the machine

learning of this Juda abstract thinking

and it's going to be measure like he

says measure the countermeasure

regarding the decoys pain on the TAC a

possible solution could be the

identification of a three dial structure

this could be done by identifying the

shadow of the Target crosschecked by a

datetime angle of the sun which would

obviously be limited by the weather

conditions the applicability of this

option would also depend on the flight

path and picture quality of the Drone

which has no knowledge which he has no

knowledge about he emphasized that there

are approaches as well uh but that would

require a deeper look at the problem but

there would also be countermeasures for

this the inability of AI to abstract is

a real world problem persists despite

all buzzword and seemingly huge advances

in artificial intelligence it's not

actually intelligence saying the way

that we are it knows what you know the

say of that deer it knows what a deer

looks like in the spectrum of this but

then if you say maybe cut the legs off

it we would still say oh that's a deer

where it may not because of what it is

looking for then to line up together I

thought that was very very interesting

now I want to speak about some tactics

again this one may not the easiest to

see but what this guy say to me is

Ukraine should be falling back and

inflicting what casualties they can on

the way there is no easy strategic prize

at the end of the this line of advances

for Russia so make it so hard for them

as they fall back but they're moving

forward I think the problem for Ukraine

is they put so much stock in Optics they

are so narrative driven that has

obviously skewed their military

decisions towards absurdity because of

this box they've created for themselves

they feel like they have to block all

progressors all the time but they have

neither the Manpower or for such tactics

they should be trading territory for

time especially territory like this

Burning men and machines uh you are

burning Mena machines you have less time

and this goes into the idea not only of

conventional Warfare but asymmetrical

Warfare 2 that falling back inflicting

large casualties but knowing you will

fall back fall back and see the strikes

there now I know a little bit on this

because the Australian military that I

was in is a very very small country

Australia by population but an

incredibly large land mass so our

military does do a lot of asymmetrical

Warfare this is why the Australians were

so successful in areas like say Vietnam

so look this isn't my house down here

it's actually just where I used to work

but it doesn't matter um but what we

have always talked about is a Chinese

Invasion into Australia what would

actually happen here just and this is

just an example of what he is saying so

if there is a landing in the North here

somewhere the majority of Australia's

population sits in Melbourne and Sydney

and well no one cares about ad I'd

probably let it go regardless but the

idea would be delaying Force but a

fighting withdrawal from these areas

back all the way down because anyone who

knows Australia the majority of this is

uninhabitable Desert and that would test

their logistical supplies so much as

they fell back that by the time they got

anywhere that in important you're

covering almost 3,000 km of sheer desert

and that's running just as a straight

line regardless of what else is in here

the bloody crocodiles will get you but

the logistical demand will be so hard

that even if rag tag asymmetrical teams

can then just hit logistic fuel trucks

or water trucks that tanks and these

equipment is just not going to be able

to move same as down in Melbourne same

as adalade and the same happens if a

landing then on the west coast too so I

know that this is apples and oranges but

that is a legitimate tactic that has

been spoken about this is open source

it's nothing bloody in stone it's very

obvious to see but of if a larger P was

head-to-head with someone like China we

would get smashed but this fighting

withdrawal hit the logistics and once

things were worn out well you're just

picking off bits and pieces and then a

flow back through so I just thought that

was really interesting perspective to

look at and see what you guys think of

that now while we're looking at a map

let's talk about some bloody map Maps

now it is a Thursday so deep state does

not update today everyone in the war

takes a break but let's have a little

bit of a look at what is happening here

so let's start in the north and we'll

work actually let's start further than

this and work our way down so oos

Defender put up a video that I oh yeah

this video here and as you'll see this

is a train moving through here but you

can see on all the sides of these

vehicles this grouping symbol that is

said to be for the north group of

Russian forces and you can see that a

lot of this equipment to my eye because

military equipment turns to [ __ ] very

quickly these look like brand new

vehicles at least to my sidewalls of

tires whatever so those flung through

there what he says here it's beginning

to look like January and fed 22 all over

again with Russian military train

recently spotted near the city of this

in the Tula region heading Southeast

towards the border with sui so of course

sui right here coming from here so very

interesting to then uh speak about um

the military equipment seen on the uh

train includes bridging equipment as

well as transport and Logistics

equipment all have new Tactical markings

seen recently by the Russian offensive

operations in har indicating this

operation alongside upcoming offensive

insumi region are likely larger scale

planned by Russia for further operations

in the north and Northeast of Ukraine so

it'll be very interesting to see what

effect this actually has here if they to

open up a front line here what we don't

know is huge problems with corruption

and reporting of the uh the defensive

lines in har people are saying there

somewhere between 9.5 million to $111

million given into these regions for

defensive works and we know regardless

of what officials are saying from

soldiers on the ground are saying that

it just was not ready we don't know what

sui looks like from the beginning of

this operation to if this starts soon

isn't long enough to you know it is long

you know you can dig ho but it's not

going to be long enough to build a

massive defensive line so it'll be

interesting to see what happens here and

what effect that has on then Ukrainian

troops moving around for reinforcements

in this direction now let's have a look

here of course no change on this map but

we do then have this from Noel reports

here show he's showing in the center of

V chunk then an increase in control so

we see where this turns out so down this

road here Ukrainian sources is saying

that that is closed up we know there's a

lot of fighting going on here there's

videos and stuff in here that said you

never know when the videos have come out

for the geolocation as well so look as

always we take everything with a bit of

a grain handful of salt regardless of

who's saying it and I say to you as uh

someone like listening to the war you

know listening to me talk take

everything then with the grand assault I

actually think this map may have updated

we'll have a look as we go down anyway

let's have a talk here it says updated

here but it says 23 here will go as we

go boys so let's move our way down we're

seeing no changes on this okay this has

up no this hasn't updated I don't

believe so then we see then chiv y here

this is the update that we then saw

yesterday but we have a little bit of

footage to look at in here too so I

can't show this footage although it will

be on the telegram in full if you'd like

to watch it now these are legion

soldiers so Foreign Legion soldiers here

in a fight with Russian forces here now

people are saying that they are actually

speaking Spanish in the video now that

doesn't mean maybe all of them but it

that is something interesting to note

too and then this is J located to here

now there's actually two G locations

throughout the video but basically on

this track or Road here and this one

about right about here there's two next

to each other as the video goes so one

is not shown in gry zone definitely

should be at least Gray Zone and maybe

the Red Zone moving up what we do know

in some areas some areas occupied during

the day or occupied during the night and

not in the vice versa so that's

interesting to speak about as well then

we come South I believe just in kishka

we have a Surak Map update right here so

this dot is then klish kka so after the

capture of consolidation of the Western

Heights of the locality klish kka was

completely retaken by Russian army

Ukrainian Army is currently withdrawing

their forces South and westwards so

showing dramatically different in here

so you can see where this tree lines

this is this and this tree line saying

that it's all completely under control

in here so he is showing more

so like something like that in here so

it's actually a pretty good bloody

drawing regardless showing very

different maybe this map will update

maybe it will not maybe Surak is

incorrect again pinch of salt with

absolutely everything we then talk about

so let's come down a little bit further

we have then this OT here we have a

update from Noel reports here now what

we do know is down this Creek line

Reservoir line here regardless the UK

regardless if this is shown as gra or

not from my looking at the ground and

lay of the land here having a waterline

between the force and yourself you would

want to be on the other side here so

this is probably by default then readin

here I would say and this is then what

Noel reports is showing here to he

showing basically that this is then

closing up in this direction and then

these paddocks it's hard to line up his

map compared to others but regardless is

showing a lot more control between then

this oery front I know 's down here and

across to then here as well so we are

seeing some very different changes on

that now we'll come down just a little

bit further we saw this yesterday and

then this has been confirmed then by

Surak showing this push out to the south

of then uh neovo vodana heading towards

nelski we have heard about the pressure

that it puts on these areas even Kiva as

well down in here so that is then what

we are seeing today now yesterday we

spoke that zalinsky was asking why NATO

won't intercept Russian missiles over

Ukraine he said quote what's the problem

why can't we shoot them down is it

defense yes is it attack on Russia no

are you shooting down Russian planes and

killing Russian Pilots no so what's the

issue with involving NATO countries in

the war there is no such issue and we

spoke about this but the issue that one

of my friends brought up with me is by

this logic then could Russia start

intercepting drones that are providing

surveillance reconnaissance and

intelligence then over the Black Sea is

it defense I guess is it killing NATO

Pilots no so that that is the a tit

fortat that would be argued there as

well and I would say the intelligence

survance given out here is absolutely

critical for what Ukraine is doing now

the how much is being sent or whatever

will be all classified top secret

straight off the bat be interesting to

know how to what extent that is

happening um for targeting for guidance

for everything including drone boats

whatever that would be very very

interesting to know but some things in

life we will just never know now Sweden

swed has announced uh $7

billion so this is the president right

here my name is on and I'm the prime Min

Sweden today I would like to address you

directly also for ours your security and

our this is what we hear about more and

more from NATO the West is that

Ukraine's fight here is then their fight

that if East was to collapse here

therefore Russia would be walking

through areas of uh NATO of Europe now

as I've said many many times this

doesn't actually live up to any critical

thinking regardless if you are on the

most Pro Ukraine side or the most

pro-russian side either if you're the

most Pro Russian side you'd say Russia

shown no indication that that's what

they want to do and Putin has said that

he doesn't want to do that if you're on

the most Pro Ukrainian side that is

saying look with some weapons and

whatever we can push back the Russians

we can clear all this blah blah blah the

critical thinking aspect comes in says

well if a few billion dollars is going

to push this back then they then the

Russians going to have absolutely no

chance at all in threatening any of

these NATO Article 5 countries it just

doesn't I'm sorry it just in my eye

regardless of how you what colored

glasses you put on it doesn't stand up

to that but again let's since Russia

launched it's a maybe we have provided

Ukraine 15 military equipment

15 support PES packages taking another

step inating framework framework of 6.5

billion 75 billion in Swedish dollars in

here he says 24 from 2024 to 2026 for

long funding of the war and for

Ukraine's ult uh ultimate victory at the

end of this as he says now um sw's

defense minister yesterday actually had

this to say before I then saw that video

I don't know which one came out but

defense minister said it would take as

long as 2 years to reach desired

capacity to furnish Ukraine with more

ammunition uh talking of Sweden here

nation that have been at peace for 200

years and drastically cut back military

spending off the end of the Cold War so

now that has upended their neutrality as

well as they have to rebuild that

capacity of building equipment saying

Russia has gotten back on its feet

faster than the Euro Atlantic Community

I expect we will catch up but I think it

will take a year or two before we see

the full effect however I expect the

effect scaling up to come more in 25 and

2026 so a year and a half a year to two

years away before we actually see

potentially the effect of that coming

through and this draws in uh doubts

people are having about the length of

the war what can happen in that two

years not only militarily but

strategically as well and in

administrations around the world now you

will know that in Georgia there's been

protests erupting for weeks over the

very controversial foreign agent law and

we'll talk about what that is and what

has been happening but I always support

peaceful protest and de Democratic due

process and uh let's have a look at what

the bill is and then I'll continue on

what I was going to say under the bill

which has passed its third and final

reading for 84 votes to 30 on Tuesday

Nos and Independent Media that Reed more

than 20% of their funding from foreign

donors would have to register as

organizations bearing the interest of a

foreign Pate power if not they'll be

fined about $9,000 to

$7,000 protesters are concerned that

legislation would be used by the

government to suppress its opponents so

if you're getting funding from outside

from media whatever that that has to be

log said and people can see it that then

it could suppress uh media in the

country as well as then um opponents to

the government and I can see how this

bill could be used maliciously but I can

also see why governments want to keep

tabs on who is then funding what and I'd

like to know for some YouTubers as well

if there's any funding going on behind

that but of course we can see how this

could be used maliciously now uh retired

Colonel Robert E Hamilton who's a PhD in

the head of research at foreign policy

research institutes Eurasia program

argues this none of these claims is true

the Jordan government already has full

visibility of NGO and media Outlet

funding and all Agreements are uploaded

onto a government website and Ministry

of finan has access to their financial

records for ordered purposes now this

20% would be everything not just media

not just NGO far from supporting the law

68% of the Georgian public calls it

unnecessary 73 believe the law will hurt

Georgia's chances of joining the EU and

90% of the population aspires to then

joining the EU so of course the a lot of

people don't want this to go through a

lot of concern but what I want to talk

about whether you think this is good or

bad regardless is we have seen some

pushing on this from the West which I

think is interesting to talk about so we

have seen then this is I believe the

Lithuanian foreign minister here but

foreign minister of Estonia Lithuania

Latvia and Iceland March along in

support then of the protesters anyway

then we see this and I think this is

more telling to the point trying to make

Estonia Netherlands Czech Republic

Sweden and several EU countries are

pushing for sanctions against Georgia in

response to the government's passing of

the controversial foreign agents law

and one of the points in this was visas

that people would have to get a Visa

then to travel out now in my opinion

these Visa threats are there to reignite

people against and push then the protest

forward and how people see about this

because officials will be traveling on

either diplomatic or official passports

either whatever color your official

passport is or a black diplomatic

passport and this won't change anything

for them but this will then affect the

regular Georgian and I believe this is

having an influence and maybe provoking

then the protests further and how they

feel about that so that's something I

just wanted to put out there I'm not

saying regards to the law I yeah but I

can see of course the argument against

having this as well as uh you know for

free media whatever but I can see why

people want more saying hey who's

funding what is then being said as well

as I think there is some fuel being

thrown on the fire Legends have a

fantastic day uh I got to go see the

surgeon about this elbow keep having

problems with it keeps locking on me

have a good day I'll speak to you soon

thank you bye-bye