Every SMALL Bitcoin Investor MUST Pay Attention to THIS! Cathie Wood

Crypto Architects
19 May 202408:45

Summary

TLDRThe transcript discusses the recent success of Bitcoin's ETF, highlighting its rise to become the third most significant asset class. It emphasizes the potential for institutional investment once major wirehouses like Morgan Stanley and UBS approve Bitcoin on their platforms. The speaker also touches on the global monetary system implications of Bitcoin, describing it as a decentralized, rules-based system without government oversight. Furthermore, the conversation explores the convergence of Bitcoin and AI, particularly in Africa, and the impact on the economy. The speaker predicts a continued rise in Bitcoin's value due to its scarcity and institutional interest, comparing the current situation to an 'electricity bubble' rather than a bubble destined to burst.

Takeaways

  • 🎉 Bitcoin has achieved a significant milestone with its ETF, making it the third most popular cryptocurrency.
  • 🚀 The speaker believes that Bitcoin's success is akin to David defeating Goliath, indicating a significant underdog victory.
  • 🏦 Major financial institutions like Morgan Stanley, UBS, and Wells Fargo have not yet approved Bitcoin on their platforms, suggesting a potential explosion of institutional investment when they do.
  • 🌐 Bitcoin is described as a new asset class and a global monetary system without government oversight, emphasizing its decentralized and rules-based nature.
  • 🤖 A monthly Bitcoin brainstorm session highlighted the convergence of Bitcoin and AI, particularly in Africa, where it's redefining the division of labor and the gig economy.
  • 📈 The speaker forecasts a bullish case for Bitcoin, predicting it could reach $1.5 million in 5 years, based on institutional investment and Bitcoin's scarcity.
  • 💰 Institutional investors are increasingly considering Bitcoin due to its low correlation with other assets, providing diversification benefits.
  • 📊 The scarcity of Bitcoin, with a maximum of 21 million coins, is driving its value higher as institutional dollars push into the market.
  • 📈 Despite a recent price increase, long-term Bitcoin holders are holding onto their assets, anticipating further institutional investment.
  • 🔄 The speaker expresses excitement about the Ethereum network, Solana, and other blockchain technologies, noting the healthy competition among them.
  • 💡 The importance of domain expertise, AI capabilities, and proprietary data is highlighted as key factors in determining the success of companies in the AI space.

Q & A

  • What significant achievement is being discussed in the context of Bitcoin?

    -The significant achievement being discussed is the approval of a Bitcoin ETF, which has led to Bitcoin becoming the third-largest asset in its category.

  • Why is the approval of Bitcoin on platforms like Morgan Stanley, UBS, and Wells Fargo considered important?

    -The approval of Bitcoin on these platforms is crucial because these wirehouses dominate the speaker's customer base, and their approval could lead to a significant increase in institutional investment in Bitcoin.

  • What does the speaker imply about the future of Bitcoin in terms of institutional adoption?

    -The speaker implies that once major financial institutions approve Bitcoin on their platforms, there will be a substantial increase in institutional investment, potentially leading to an 'explosion' in Bitcoin's value.

  • How does the speaker describe Bitcoin in terms of its role in the financial ecosystem?

    -The speaker describes Bitcoin as a new asset class and the first global, private, digital, decentralized, and rules-based monetary system in history.

  • What is the 'Bitcoin brainstorm' event mentioned in the script, and what was one of its key discussions?

    -The 'Bitcoin brainstorm' is a monthly event where discussions around Bitcoin take place. One of its key discussions was the convergence between Bitcoin and AI and how it is already redefining the division of labor in Africa.

  • What is the current forecast for Bitcoin's value in the next five years according to the speaker?

    -The current forecast is that Bitcoin's value could reach $1.5 million within the next five years, which would have been by 2027.

  • How does the scarcity of Bitcoin contribute to its value?

    -The scarcity of Bitcoin, with a maximum of 21 million coins that will ever exist, contributes to its value by making it a rare and limited asset.

  • What unusual behavior of long-term Bitcoin holders is mentioned in the script?

    -The unusual behavior mentioned is that long-term holders, typically a metric monitored through on-chain analytics, are not selling their Bitcoin even as the price increases, possibly due to anticipation of further institutional investment.

  • What role does competition among different blockchain networks play according to the speaker?

    -Competition among different blockchain networks like Ethereum and Solana is seen as beneficial as it keeps the networks honest and drives innovation.

  • How does the speaker view the current state of Bitcoin in terms of being a bubble?

    -The speaker does not believe that Bitcoin is in a bubble. Instead, they compare it to the invention of electricity, suggesting it is a transformative technology rather than a temporary trend.

  • What factors does the speaker identify as key to determining winners and losers in the AI and blockchain space?

    -The speaker identifies deep domain expertise, AI expertise, good distribution strategies, and harnessing proprietary data as key factors in determining success in the AI and blockchain space.

Outlines

00:00

🚀 Bitcoin ETF Success and Institutional Adoption

The speaker celebrates Bitcoin's ETF launch, positioning it as a significant win akin to David versus Goliath. They highlight that despite the ETF success, major financial institutions like Morgan Stanley, UBS, and Wells Fargo have yet to approve Bitcoin on their platforms. The anticipation is that once these institutions begin to adopt Bitcoin, there will be a significant surge in institutional and governmental interest. The speaker emphasizes that Bitcoin is not just a technology but represents a new asset class and a global monetary system without government oversight. They mention a monthly 'Bitcoin brainstorm' event that explored Bitcoin's convergence with AI, particularly in Africa, where it's redefining the division of labor and the gig economy. The scarcity of Bitcoin, with a maximum of 21 million coins, is underscored as a value driver. The speaker also discusses the unusual behavior of long-term Bitcoin holders not selling despite recent price increases, suggesting confidence in Bitcoin's future value. Metrics and predictions about Bitcoin's potential value are also touched upon, with a previous forecast of $1.5 million per Bitcoin by 2027 still considered plausible.

05:02

🔗 The Impact of Cryptocurrency and AI on Economy and Investment

The second paragraph delves into the excitement surrounding the Ethereum network, Solana, and the roles they play in the cryptocurrency space. The speaker appreciates the competition among these networks as it keeps them honest. They discuss the inefficiencies in current payment systems, highlighting that using intermediaries like credit cards can impose a 2-4% tax on every purchase. The potential for cryptocurrencies to reduce this 'tax' and increase access to purchasing power globally is emphasized. The speaker refutes the notion that the current interest in cryptocurrencies represents a bubble, instead characterizing it as a response to 'electricity'. They also mention a shift in investment focus away from well-understood stories like Nvidia towards companies in their portfolio that are undervalued and poised to benefit significantly from AI advancements, particularly those with deep domain expertise in areas like multiomics. The importance of proprietary data in determining the success of these companies is stressed. The paragraph concludes with an invitation to join a growing community for timely crypto analyses and strategies, encouraging viewers to subscribe for updates.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡ETF

ETF stands for Exchange Traded Fund, which is a type of investment fund and exchange-traded product, traded on stock exchanges much like individual stocks. In the context of the video, Bitcoin's ETF is mentioned as a significant milestone, indicating that Bitcoin is becoming more mainstream and accessible to investors, as it allows them to invest in Bitcoin without having to buy and store the cryptocurrency directly.

💡Wirehouses

Wirehouses refer to large brokerage firms that offer a wide range of financial services, including investment banking, asset management, and brokerage services. In the script, it is mentioned that wirehouses like Morgan Stanley and UBS have not yet approved Bitcoin on their platforms, which suggests that there is a significant untapped potential for Bitcoin's adoption by institutional investors once these firms start offering Bitcoin-related products.

💡Asset Class

An asset class is a group of similar assets that are believed to behave in a similar way under various market conditions. In the video, Bitcoin is referred to as a new asset class, emphasizing its unique characteristics and potential as an investment separate from traditional assets like stocks and bonds. The speaker suggests that Bitcoin's low correlation with other assets makes it an attractive option for diversification.

💡Global Monetary System

A global monetary system refers to the framework that governs the exchange of currencies and the functioning of the global economy. The script discusses Bitcoin as a part of a new, global, private, digital, and decentralized monetary system without government oversight. This highlights the revolutionary potential of Bitcoin to redefine how money is created, stored, and transferred across borders.

💡Decentralized

Decentralized refers to the distribution of functions and powers away from a central authority. In the context of the video, Bitcoin's decentralized nature is emphasized as a key feature, meaning that no single entity controls it, which is a contrast to traditional financial systems that are centralized and regulated by governments and banks.

💡Lightning Network

The Lightning Network is a second-layer payment protocol that operates on top of a blockchain network, in this case, Bitcoin's. It enables fast and low-cost transactions, which is crucial for scaling the network to handle a higher volume of transactions. The script mentions a developer named 'Rose' from the Lightning Network, indicating the importance of such technologies in the evolution of Bitcoin and its use cases.

💡Gig Economy

The gig economy refers to a labor market characterized by the prevalence of short-term contracts or freelance work as opposed to permanent jobs. The video script discusses how the convergence of Bitcoin and AI is redefining the division of labor, particularly in emerging markets, by enabling a micro-gig economy, which could potentially revolutionize the way work is done and paid for on a global scale.

💡Institution Push

Institution push refers to the trend where institutional investors, such as banks, insurance companies, and pension funds, are increasingly investing in a particular asset or market. The script talks about the growing interest of institutions in Bitcoin, which is expected to drive up its value due to the scarcity of Bitcoin and the increasing demand from these large investors.

💡Scarcity Value

Scarcity value is the concept that an item's value increases as its availability decreases. In the video, it is mentioned that there will only ever be 21 million Bitcoins, creating a real scarcity value. This limited supply is a key factor in Bitcoin's potential for price appreciation, especially as more institutional investors seek to own it.

💡On-chain Analytics

On-chain analytics refers to the analysis of data that is recorded on a blockchain, which can provide insights into the behavior of users and the state of the network. The script mentions a metric called 'long-term holders,' which is an on-chain analytics metric that tracks wallets that have not moved their Bitcoin in over 55 days. This metric is used to gauge market sentiment and the potential for price movements.

💡Multiomic Space

The term 'multiomic space' likely refers to an area of research and application that involves the integration and analysis of multiple types of biological data (omics data), such as genomics, proteomics, and metabolomics. In the video, it is suggested that companies with deep domain expertise in AI and the multiomic space are particularly well-positioned to benefit from the advancements in AI technology, indicating the potential for significant innovation and growth in this area.

Highlights

Bitcoin ETF success, ranking as the third largest ETF, and its impact on the industry.

Wirehouses like Morgan Stanley and UBS have not yet approved Bitcoin on their platforms, indicating potential for future institutional growth.

Bitcoin is described as a new asset class and a global monetary system without government oversight.

The importance of Bitcoin's decentralized and rules-based nature in the context of monetary systems.

Discussion of the convergence between Bitcoin and AI, particularly in Africa, and its impact on the division of labor and gig economy.

The potential for Bitcoin to redefine economic structures in emerging markets.

A bullish forecast for Bitcoin, predicting a value of $1.5 million in 5 years (by 2027).

The low correlation of Bitcoin returns with other assets, making it an attractive option for diversification.

The scarcity of Bitcoin, with a maximum of 21 million coins, and its potential impact on price.

Observations on institutional investment in Bitcoin and its effect on price dynamics.

Analysis of on-chain analytics, particularly the behavior of long-term Bitcoin holders.

The unusual stability of long-term holder wallets despite recent price increases.

The role of different blockchain networks like Ethereum and Solana in the crypto ecosystem.

The importance of competition among blockchain networks for maintaining integrity and innovation.

Discussion on reducing transaction costs and the impact on global purchasing power.

Addressing the question of whether the current crypto market is a bubble and the argument against it.

The potential overvaluation in the market due to an excess of capital chasing the same assets.

A shift in focus from Nvidia to undervalued companies with potential in AI and domain expertise.

The significance of proprietary data in determining the success of companies in the AI space.

Invitation to subscribe for updates on crypto news and market insights.

Transcripts

play00:00

Bitcoin congrats on your ETF it's done

play00:02

very well you're number three now number

play00:05

three you know this was David against

play00:07

Goliath and you know uh so this is a a a

play00:12

a very nice win for us now we're not

play00:15

finished and in fact in our business

play00:17

what's interesting is the wirehouses

play00:21

which dominate our customers so Morgan

play00:24

Stanley all the advisers at these

play00:26

warehouses Morgan Stanley UBS maryn at

play00:30

BFA Wells Fargo not one of them has

play00:34

approved Bitcoin on its platform that

play00:37

hasn't even happened yet and those are

play00:39

our primary clients when that happens

play00:43

wait until you see explosion in the

play00:45

institutions coming on um and then

play00:48

governments following um I mean the the

play00:52

the ship is sailed yes it has and this

play00:55

there there this is not just a

play00:58

technology

play01:00

um it's a new asset class right and

play01:05

beyond that it's a global monetary

play01:11

system you know it is the first

play01:14

Global uh private meaning no government

play01:17

oversight digital and

play01:21

decentralized rules-based that's the

play01:23

most important word here rules-based

play01:25

monetary system in history it's a big

play01:28

idea we we did um something called

play01:31

Bitcoin brainstorm we do a Bitcoin uh uh

play01:34

brainstorm monthly and one of them was

play01:37

the converence between uh Bitcoin and Ai

play01:41

and we had uh you'll probably know of

play01:45

his his developer name Rose be uh from

play01:49

the lightning from the lightning Network

play01:52

on and he was talking about how in

play01:56

Africa already this convergence

play02:00

is redefining division of labor uh I

play02:04

mean the gig economy we understand here

play02:06

in the United States put that on

play02:09

steroids in terms of micro micro gig

play02:13

economy in the emerging markets and you

play02:16

have a a a whole whole new kind of

play02:19

economy so yes very exciting well uh we

play02:23

have all kinds of uh metrics but when I

play02:27

was uh at uh abundance

play02:30

uh the uh the forecast was our bull case

play02:34

was $1.5 million in 5 years so that

play02:37

would have been 2027 we still have time

play02:40

and uh and we still think that's going

play02:42

to be right um if you just look at the

play02:45

institutional push into Bitcoin this new

play02:49

asset class they have to consider it as

play02:53

fiduciaries when you use that Co those

play02:56

code words new asset class what it means

play02:59

the the correlation of these returns are

play03:03

very low compared to those of other

play03:06

assets especially as bonds and stocks

play03:08

are becoming more correlated you need

play03:09

something uncorrelated yes absolutely

play03:12

absolutely and so they have to consider

play03:15

it now what are we saying there are 19.6

play03:19

million Bitcoin out there right now and

play03:21

the highest it will ever go is 21

play03:24

million uh well okay there's real

play03:27

scarcity value and what what is going to

play03:30

happen the price increase for every

play03:34

institutional dollar pushing in now is

play03:37

going to be much higher than it

play03:40

was last year two years ago it's you

play03:44

know we're going to get uh into if these

play03:48

institutions really want to own it what

play03:50

I found fascinating recently just

play03:52

learned it this morning is uh typically

play03:55

when you go through a a price move a

play03:57

bitcoin price move to the upside you

play04:00

usually see long-term holders which is a

play04:03

metric we monitor it's an onchain analy

play04:06

analytics metric um and it means people

play04:10

who have not moved or wallets that have

play04:12

not moved their Bitcoin in 55 days or

play04:17

more yes well normally when you go

play04:20

through a price move to the upside a

play04:22

very nice one like we've seen in the

play04:24

last year that tends to start moving

play04:27

down and it did that true to form but it

play04:31

has reversed in recent days because what

play04:35

we learned is uh

play04:38

gbtc sold some of its Bitcoin so that

play04:42

was those wallets hadn't been changed in

play04:45

a long time right now that is done at

play04:48

least for the time being now that is

play04:51

done and um it's going back up again as

play04:55

the price goes up that's highly unusual

play04:58

and I think it is because um the

play05:01

long-term holder saying why would I sell

play05:04

now when I know all these

play05:07

institutions which own nothing own

play05:10

nothing in this realm in this new asset

play05:12

class they have to consider it because

play05:15

it is a new asset class and so so uh yes

play05:20

we're um very excited about the ethereum

play05:23

network and salana and so they all play

play05:27

different roles and what I love is

play05:29

there's kind of a little competition I

play05:31

think competition is always good uh to

play05:34

keep the other networks honest yeah when

play05:37

we did our digital Wallet work um you

play05:40

know we we're saying okay let's try and

play05:42

figure out how much it how many steps it

play05:45

takes for a merchant or for a consumer

play05:48

to pay a merchant and that was nine

play05:51

steps including the two of them uh and

play05:55

that's and and you know there are many

play05:57

other middlemen but these were the most

play05:59

direct steps and that is a one well a 2

play06:05

to 4% tax on every purchase in the world

play06:09

if you're using uh intermediaries credit

play06:12

cards and so forth so uh just think

play06:14

about that cutting you know that tax

play06:17

rate dramatically is is going to

play06:20

increase access dramatically yes and so

play06:23

here is the question there that we're

play06:25

getting all the time is this is this a

play06:29

bubble

play06:30

and the way we are answering it is no

play06:35

this is not a bubble this is there's

play06:38

something Elric electricity a bubble

play06:42

exactly exactly now is there too much

play06:45

Capital chasing you know chasing the

play06:48

same thing um that could be I can tell

play06:52

you you know we've had in in uh and you

play06:56

know the headlines I'm I'm not saying

play06:58

anything that that you don't know but uh

play07:01

we have been pulling away from Nvidia

play07:04

mostly because we see how well

play07:07

understood that story is and it is um

play07:12

and and all praise to Jensen Wong and

play07:16

his incredible team uh you know they

play07:20

have done so much of the heavy lifting

play07:24

uh uh up you know as we've evolved to

play07:27

this uh level now however

play07:30

it is we're the companies in our

play07:32

portfolio that are hugely undervalued

play07:35

and not recognized for uh what AI is

play07:39

going to enable are those with deep

play07:43

domain expertise and especially in one

play07:45

of your favorite areas Peter um the

play07:49

multiomic space so deep domain

play07:52

expertise AI expertise take this

play07:55

seriously this is going to determine

play07:58

winners and losers good distribution

play08:01

whether alone or with partners and then

play08:04

finally most important harnessing that

play08:06

proprietary data data that a company has

play08:10

that nobody else has thank you for

play08:12

joining us today on this insightful

play08:14

journey into the world of crypto and

play08:16

investing if you found value in today's

play08:19

discussion and want to stay updated on

play08:21

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play08:23

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play08:25

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play08:27

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play08:28

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play08:30

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play08:32

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play08:34

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Related Tags
Bitcoin ETFCryptocurrencyGlobal MonetaryDigital AssetDecentralized SystemInstitutional PushScarcity ValueBlockchain TechAI ConvergenceInvestment Insights