【根岸S 予想】外せない実力馬から狙い目の穴馬まで"高期待値馬"を公開します

ネクロのガチで競馬を語らせて【ニートボクロチキン】

26 Jan 202410:32

Summary

TLDRThis is a placeholder summary since the original video transcript was not provided to summarize.

Takeaways

😀 The video is about ranking horses and predicting outcomes for an upcoming "Negishi Stakes" horse race.
🐎 The speaker is presenting their personal rankings of popular horses and dark horse candidates.
💰 The top 3 popular horses ranked are: 3rd - Emperor, 2nd - Arms Rain, 1st - Tanobi Beauty.
🏇 The top 3 dark horse candidates ranked are: 3rd - Sword Progress, 2nd - Ar Light, 1st - Paraiba Tourmaline.
📈 Ability, race pace, sand-kick vulnerability, draw luck, and hype are key factors considered in the rankings.
🏆 Past performances in relevant races like Mugai Stakes, Withers Stakes etc. are analyzed for each horse.
📅 The speaker will also release Silk Road horse rankings the next day.
🤔 There is uncertainty expressed about predicting this race perfectly.
💬 The speaker's rankings are explained in detail, horse by horse.
🔮 The overall tone is an analytical preview of the Negishi Stakes, shared from the speaker's perspective.

Q & A

Who does the speaker predict will rank 3rd in popularity for the Negishi Stakes race?
-The speaker predicts Emperor will rank 3rd in popularity for the Negishi Stakes race.
What are the speaker's concerns about Emperor's chances in the Negishi Stakes?
-The speaker is concerned that Emperor has only done frontrunning style races before and may struggle with the likely high pace and bias for closers in the Negishi Stakes. The speaker is also concerned about Emperor drawing an inside post and getting sand in his face.
Who does the speaker predict will rank 2nd in popularity and why?
-The speaker predicts Arms Length will rank 2nd in popularity because he showed his talent in speed figures and race times in recent races, and has the ability if he gets a clean trip.
What were the key races that gave the speaker confidence in Tanobu Beauty's ability?
-The speaker gained confidence in Tanobu Beauty from a close 4th in last year's Negishi Stakes against high level competition, and wins in the Musashi Stakes and Link Stakes where he showed versatility.
Who does the speaker predict will win the race and why?
-The speaker predicts Tanobu Beauty will win because of the fast pace and bias for closers that suits him, and drawing a great outside post.
Why does the speaker rank Sword Proceed 3rd in his longshot picks?
-The speaker thinks Sword Proceed has graded stakes ability if he gets a clean trip avoiding kickback. He draws a good outside post and showed competiveness at this level when 4th in the Radio Nippon Sho last year.
What gives the speaker confidence in Alights abilities for this race?
-The speaker thinks Alight has the ability if he gets his preferred closing running style. He has excelled at 1400m before and showed competitiveness in defeats when the pace didn't suit.
Why does the speaker rank Parabattle Marine his top longshot pick?
-The speaker thinks Parabattle Marine has proven graded stakes ability at 1400-1600m. He draws a good outside post to avoid kickback that he dislikes. He is lightly raced for a 5YO mare so could still improve.
What running style does the speaker say suits Parabattle Marine best?
-The speaker says frontrunning or pressing the pace suits Parabattle Marine best at 1400-1600m based on past performances.
When does the speaker plan to release his rankings for the Silk Road Stakes horses?
-The speaker plans to release his rankings for the Silk Road Stakes horses tomorrow.