【日本株爆益戦略④】超勝率が上がる大暴落回避パターン！！これを知れば損失回避＆利益に繋がるぞ！！これで皆損失を回避してるで。米国株、FX、仮想通貨何でも使える‼️

Sho's投資情報局

18 Mar 202318:22

Summary

TLDRIn this video, the speaker, a seasoned securities firm employee since 2013, delves into crucial stock trading strategies, particularly focusing on a high-expectation market crash pattern that has historically allowed traders to avoid significant downturns and capitalize on subsequent gains. The explanation covers technical analysis tools like Elliott Waves, Fibonacci levels, Bollinger Bands, and RSI indicators, highlighting how these can predict and navigate market movements effectively. The speaker encourages viewers to leverage this pattern to avoid pitfalls like buying at peak prices and emphasizes the importance of understanding these dynamics for better trading outcomes.

Takeaways

📈 The speaker emphasizes the importance of recognizing a specific stock trading pattern that can help avoid significant market drops and potentially lead to profits.
⏰ The pattern discussed is particularly relevant and should be known before making stock trades, suggesting it has time-sensitive implications.
💡 The speaker has practical experience in the securities industry, having worked there for seven years and reaching the head office, which adds credibility to the advice given.
📊 The high island house chart is highlighted as an example, showing a consistent upward trend from March 2022, followed by a sharp drop, which is a key pattern to recognize.
📉 Technical analysis is crucial, with the speaker discussing the use of Bollinger Bands, moving averages, and Fibonacci lines to identify the pattern and potential market behavior.
🔴 The concept of a 'red zone' is introduced, which is a high probability area for profit-taking selling based on the Fibonacci retracement levels.
📌 RSI (Relative Strength Index) and MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicators are mentioned as important tools for assessing market trends and potential resistance levels.
🚫 A divergence effect is noted, where RSI and MACD indicators may show different trends, signaling a weakening of the market trend.
⛔ The formation of a 'dead cross' between the 5-day and 25-day moving averages is a significant bearish signal, indicating a potential trend reversal.
💥 The speaker suggests that knowing this pattern can help traders avoid catching a stock at its peak (high-value grab) and thus prevent losses.
🌟 The pattern is not unique to one stock but is mentioned to be prevalent across various charts, making it a must-learn for anyone trading stocks.

Q & A

What is the significance of the pattern discussed in the video?
-The pattern discussed in the video is significant because it is associated with a high expectation for a sharp decline in stock prices. Recognizing this pattern can help investors avoid significant losses and potentially capitalize on subsequent gains.
What is the speaker's background in the securities industry?
-The speaker has worked in the securities industry for seven years, starting in 2013, and has even worked at the head office level. They have also won the president's award each year, indicating a strong practical experience in the field.
What is the first step in analyzing the pattern?
-The first step is to look at the upward trend pattern that has been forming since April 2022, which is characterized by a regular upward wave movement within the range of the Bollinger Bands and the 25-day moving average line.
What is the role of Fibonacci lines in this pattern?
-Fibonacci lines are crucial in this pattern as they help identify potential resistance levels where profit-taking selling might occur. They are drawn from the high to the low price points to determine the 'red zone' where selling pressure could increase.
What does the speaker mean by 'red zone'?
-The 'red zone' refers to the area on the chart where there is a high probability of profit-taking selling due to the convergence of the Fibonacci lines and the resistance level identified by the Bollinger Bands and moving averages.
How do the Bollinger Bands and moving averages contribute to the pattern?
-The Bollinger Bands and moving averages contribute by providing a framework for the upward trend. The central line of the Bollinger Bands and the 25-day moving average line serve as the bottom line for the upward pattern, indicating a regular and sustained movement within this range.
What is the importance of the divergence effect mentioned?
-The divergence effect is significant as it suggests a weakening of the trend. For instance, if the RSI (Relative Strength Index) is showing a downward trend while the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) is indicating an upward trend, it could signal that the upward momentum is weakening.
What does the speaker suggest regarding the position of the daily chart?
-The speaker suggests that the position of the daily chart is crucial. If the daily chart falls below the central line and the 25-day line of the Bollinger Bands, and a 'death cross' (when the 5-day moving average falls below the 25-day moving average) is formed, it could indicate the end of the trend and an increased likelihood of a price drop.
What is the implication of the 'dead cross' formation?
-The 'dead cross' formation implies a bearish signal, suggesting that the upward trend might be ending. It is a point where the 5-day moving average crosses below the 25-day moving average, which could indicate a shift from a bullish to a bearish market sentiment.
What is the significance of the 'wall' or 'one eye' level mentioned?
-The 'wall' or 'one eye' level is a metaphor for a significant resistance level that the stock price must overcome to continue its upward movement. If the price fails to break through this level, it could lead to a sharp downward movement, similar to falling off a cliff.
What does the speaker suggest for investors who are aware of this pattern?
-The speaker suggests that investors who are aware of this pattern can use it as a tool to avoid buying at high prices and to protect their profits. They can anticipate potential drops and make informed decisions to avoid significant losses.
How does the speaker use the example of Takashimaya and Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group?
-The speaker uses the examples of Takashimaya and Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group to illustrate how the discussed pattern has manifested in real market conditions. They highlight how recognizing this pattern can help investors anticipate and prepare for potential market movements.

Outlines

00:00

📈 Stock Trading Patterns and Technical Analysis

The speaker introduces a highly anticipated stock trading pattern that can help avoid significant market drops and capitalize on potential profits. They discuss their experience working in a securities firm for seven years and suggest that viewers, who are already familiar with the pattern, have a high success rate in trading. The focus is on a specific chart pattern that starts with a regular upward trend, followed by a sharp decline, which can be technically proven and is common across various stocks. The importance of understanding Bollinger Bands, moving averages, and Fibonacci lines is emphasized to identify high-value resistance points and potential selling opportunities.

05:03

📉 Divergence Effects and Market Trend Changes

The paragraph delves into divergence effects, which can signal an impending change in market trends. It discusses how breaking through certain resistance lines, as indicated by Bollinger Bands and moving averages, can lead to a significant drop in stock prices. The speaker highlights the significance of the death cross formation between the 5-day and 25-day moving averages and how it can indicate the end of a trend. They also mention the role of the one-eye equilibrium chart in identifying potential market pressure points, likening it to climbing a cliff that requires considerable energy and can lead to a significant fall if not maintained.

10:03

🚨 Identifying High-Risk Patterns to Avoid Losses

The speaker provides an in-depth analysis of a specific stock pattern that has emerged over six months, involving Bollinger Bands and Fibonacci retracements. They discuss the importance of recognizing divergence effects and how they can signal a potential drop in stock prices. The paragraph also covers how the formation of a dead cross, combined with the existence of a resistance line, can lead to a strong downward trend. The speaker advises viewers to be aware of these patterns to avoid losses and to use them as a tool for safeguarding profits.

15:03

💡 Technical Patterns as a Protective Tool for Investors

The speaker concludes by emphasizing the importance of recognizing and understanding technical patterns to protect investments and avoid buying at high prices. They mention that these patterns are not unique to certain stocks but are prevalent across various charts, making them a must-learn for traders. The speaker also promotes their channel for more insights and offers a discount for their membership, hinting at more in-depth discussions within that community. They thank viewers for watching and encourage them to subscribe and rate the content if they found it useful.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Stock Trading

Stock trading refers to the buying and selling of shares in the stock market. In the video, the speaker discusses the importance of understanding certain patterns in stock trading to anticipate market movements and make informed decisions. It is central to the video's theme of financial strategy and investment.

💡Technical Analysis

Technical analysis is a method used in finance to predict the direction of prices through the study of historical price patterns. The video heavily relies on technical analysis, particularly the use of Bollinger Bands, Fibonacci lines, and RSI to identify trading opportunities and risks.

💡Bollinger Bands

Bollinger Bands are a technical analysis tool that plots two standard deviation price bands above and below a moving average. In the video, the speaker uses Bollinger Bands to identify the regular upward pattern of a stock and to predict potential changes in trend.

💡Fibonacci Retracement

Fibonacci retracement is a method used to identify potential support and resistance levels by applying the key Fibonacci ratios to an asset's price movement. The speaker mentions using Fibonacci retracement to predict the 'red zone' where selling might occur.

💡RSI (Relative Strength Index)

RSI is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. It is used in the video to identify overbought or oversold conditions of a stock. The speaker discusses RSI's divergence effects and how it can signal a weakening trend.

💡MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)

MACD is a trend-following momentum indicator that shows the relationship between two moving averages of a security's price. The video uses MACD to analyze the upward resistance line and to detect divergence, which can indicate potential changes in the trend.

💡Dead Cross

A dead cross occurs when a short-term moving average crosses below a long-term moving average, signaling a potential bearish trend. In the script, the speaker refers to the formation of a dead cross between the 5-day and 25-day moving averages as a significant bearish signal.

💡Divergence

Divergence in trading occurs when the price of a security is moving in the opposite direction of an indicator, such as the RSI or MACD. The speaker discusses divergence as a sign that the current trend might be losing momentum and a reversal may be imminent.

💡Support and Resistance Levels

Support and resistance levels are price points that tend to mark the lower and upper bounds of an asset's price range, respectively. The video script mentions these levels in the context of identifying potential entry and exit points for trades.

💡Volatility Pattern

Volatility patterns refer to the predictable movements of a stock's price due to market fluctuations. The speaker discusses a specific volatility pattern that can lead to significant price drops, which is a key focus of the video's strategy.

💡Risk Management

Risk management in finance involves the identification, assessment, and prioritization of potential risks to minimize or avoid negative impacts. The video emphasizes the importance of understanding certain trading patterns as a form of risk management to avoid significant losses.

Highlights

Introduction of the critical stock trading strategy called 'Bombing Strategy 4'.

Discussion of the presenter's professional background in securities for seven years and his success at receiving the President's Award annually.

Mention of a high-performing technical pattern that can significantly avoid stock market crashes.

Explanation of a crash pattern in Takashimaya's stock chart, noting a sharp decline from 1940 to 1607 yen.

Introduction to using technical indicators like Bollinger Bands and moving averages to predict market movements.

Detailed analysis of the rising pattern from March 2022, involving a technical confirmation by CM proving.

Importance of using Fibonacci lines to determine potential selling points during peak valuations.

Discussion on MACD and RSI divergence, emphasizing their predictive value for trend reversals.

Case study on using Bollinger Bands to identify trend stability and potential shifts in market dynamics.

Highlighting the importance of the Dead Cross in moving averages as an indicator of trend termination.

The role of Ichimoku Cloud (referred to as 'one glance') as a significant resistance zone that can affect stock price movements.

Comparison of patterns in the S&P 500 to demonstrate broader applicability of discussed strategies.

Real-time demonstration of pattern recognition, using Takashimaya as a reference, to illustrate potential market corrections.

Introduction to a 5-wave count technique for predicting potential market movements after pattern recognition.

Encouragement to subscribe and engage with the channel to learn more about avoiding high-price traps in stock investments.