【日本株爆益戦略④】超勝率が上がる大暴落回避パターン！！これを知れば損失回避＆利益に繋がるぞ！！これで皆損失を回避してるで。米国株、FX、仮想通貨何でも使える‼️

Summary

In this video, the speaker, a seasoned securities firm employee since 2013, delves into crucial stock trading strategies, particularly focusing on a high-expectation market crash pattern that has historically allowed traders to avoid significant downturns and capitalize on subsequent gains. The explanation covers technical analysis tools like Elliott Waves, Fibonacci levels, Bollinger Bands, and RSI indicators, highlighting how these can predict and navigate market movements effectively. The speaker encourages viewers to leverage this pattern to avoid pitfalls like buying at peak prices and emphasizes the importance of understanding these dynamics for better trading outcomes.

Takeaways

• 📈 The speaker emphasizes the importance of recognizing a specific stock trading pattern that can help avoid significant market drops and potentially lead to profits.
• ⏰ The pattern discussed is particularly relevant and should be known before making stock trades, suggesting it has time-sensitive implications.
• 💡 The speaker has practical experience in the securities industry, having worked there for seven years and reaching the head office, which adds credibility to the advice given.
• 📊 The high island house chart is highlighted as an example, showing a consistent upward trend from March 2022, followed by a sharp drop, which is a key pattern to recognize.
• 📉 Technical analysis is crucial, with the speaker discussing the use of Bollinger Bands, moving averages, and Fibonacci lines to identify the pattern and potential market behavior.
• 🔴 The concept of a 'red zone' is introduced, which is a high probability area for profit-taking selling based on the Fibonacci retracement levels.
• 📌 RSI (Relative Strength Index) and MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicators are mentioned as important tools for assessing market trends and potential resistance levels.
• 🚫 A divergence effect is noted, where RSI and MACD indicators may show different trends, signaling a weakening of the market trend.
• ⛔ The formation of a 'dead cross' between the 5-day and 25-day moving averages is a significant bearish signal, indicating a potential trend reversal.
• 💥 The speaker suggests that knowing this pattern can help traders avoid catching a stock at its peak (high-value grab) and thus prevent losses.
• 🌟 The pattern is not unique to one stock but is mentioned to be prevalent across various charts, making it a must-learn for anyone trading stocks.

Q & A

What is the significance of the pattern discussed in the video?

The pattern discussed in the video is significant because it is associated with a high expectation for a sharp decline in stock prices. Recognizing this pattern can help investors avoid significant losses and potentially capitalize on subsequent gains.

What is the speaker's background in the securities industry?

The speaker has worked in the securities industry for seven years, starting in 2013, and has even worked at the head office level. They have also won the president's award each year, indicating a strong practical experience in the field.

What is the first step in analyzing the pattern?

The first step is to look at the upward trend pattern that has been forming since April 2022, which is characterized by a regular upward wave movement within the range of the Bollinger Bands and the 25-day moving average line.

What is the role of Fibonacci lines in this pattern?

Fibonacci lines are crucial in this pattern as they help identify potential resistance levels where profit-taking selling might occur. They are drawn from the high to the low price points to determine the 'red zone' where selling pressure could increase.

What does the speaker mean by 'red zone'?

The 'red zone' refers to the area on the chart where there is a high probability of profit-taking selling due to the convergence of the Fibonacci lines and the resistance level identified by the Bollinger Bands and moving averages.

How do the Bollinger Bands and moving averages contribute to the pattern?

The Bollinger Bands and moving averages contribute by providing a framework for the upward trend. The central line of the Bollinger Bands and the 25-day moving average line serve as the bottom line for the upward pattern, indicating a regular and sustained movement within this range.

What is the importance of the divergence effect mentioned?

The divergence effect is significant as it suggests a weakening of the trend. For instance, if the RSI (Relative Strength Index) is showing a downward trend while the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) is indicating an upward trend, it could signal that the upward momentum is weakening.

What does the speaker suggest regarding the position of the daily chart?

The speaker suggests that the position of the daily chart is crucial. If the daily chart falls below the central line and the 25-day line of the Bollinger Bands, and a 'death cross' (when the 5-day moving average falls below the 25-day moving average) is formed, it could indicate the end of the trend and an increased likelihood of a price drop.

What is the implication of the 'dead cross' formation?

The 'dead cross' formation implies a bearish signal, suggesting that the upward trend might be ending. It is a point where the 5-day moving average crosses below the 25-day moving average, which could indicate a shift from a bullish to a bearish market sentiment.

What is the significance of the 'wall' or 'one eye' level mentioned?

The 'wall' or 'one eye' level is a metaphor for a significant resistance level that the stock price must overcome to continue its upward movement. If the price fails to break through this level, it could lead to a sharp downward movement, similar to falling off a cliff.

What does the speaker suggest for investors who are aware of this pattern?

The speaker suggests that investors who are aware of this pattern can use it as a tool to avoid buying at high prices and to protect their profits. They can anticipate potential drops and make informed decisions to avoid significant losses.

How does the speaker use the example of Takashimaya and Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group?

The speaker uses the examples of Takashimaya and Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group to illustrate how the discussed pattern has manifested in real market conditions. They highlight how recognizing this pattern can help investors anticipate and prepare for potential market movements.