改了統計方式後中國青年失業率再次大漲，這屆年輕人太難了！就業率正式進入官員考核KPI。｜小翠時政財經 [20240926#597]

Summary

This video discusses China's youth unemployment issue, highlighting a peak of 21.3% in June last year followed by a data suspension. The new statistics, starting from December, showed a reduced rate of 14.9%. As of August this year, the rate rose to 18.8%. The video explores the service industry's dominance in youth employment and compares China's situation with global rates, including the US. It also addresses the challenges faced by graduates, the shrinking job market, and the potential societal implications if improvements aren't made.

Takeaways

• 📈 In June of the previous year, China's youth unemployment rate for ages 16-24 reached a historical high of 21.3%, leading to a temporary suspension of the data's publication.
• 🔄 In December of the same year, the National Bureau of Statistics resumed publishing the youth unemployment rate, reporting a revised figure of 14.9% after updating their statistical methods.
• 📉 By August of this year, the youth unemployment rate had risen to 18.8%, marking the highest level since the new statistical method was implemented.
• 🌍 Compared to global levels, China's youth unemployment rate is notably higher, with the U.S. youth unemployment rate at 9.7%, which is considered a normal level around twice the adult unemployment rate.
• 💼 The service industry is a significant employer of China's youth, with 61% of employed young people working in this sector, which is also where the PMI employment index aligns closely with the youth unemployment rate.
• 📉 The service industry employment index showed a low point in August, coinciding with the peak in youth unemployment rates, indicating a downturn in the sector.
• 🏢 Major industries that traditionally absorb a large number of university graduates, such as real estate, finance, education, and IT, have been reducing their workforce in recent years.
• 📉 In the banking sector, 22 out of 31 listed banks in China have reduced their staff, with the largest reduction seen in the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, laying off over 10,000 employees in half a year.
• 🧑‍💼 Young employees are overrepresented in layoffs, reflecting the challenges faced by the younger workforce in a tough economic climate.
• 🎓 The number of university graduates has reached a record high, exacerbating the competition for limited job opportunities and increasing the intensity of examinations for public sector positions.
• ⚠️ The script suggests that if the economic environment does not improve, China may face social issues similar to those in South Korea, such as low birth rates and high suicide rates, if action is not taken to create more jobs and improve conditions for the youth.

Q & A

中国的青年失业率在2023年6月达到了多少？

2023年6月份，16-24岁的中国青年失业率达到了21.3%的历史最高值。[^1^]

为什么中国在2023年7月停止公布青年失业率数据？

中国在2023年7月停止公布青年失业率数据是为了完善统计方法，国家统计局对分年龄组失业率统计进行了调整，以更精准地反映进入社会的青年的就业失业情况。[^1^]

中国青年失业率的统计方法在2023年12月有哪些调整？

2023年12月，中国青年失业率的统计方法调整包括：1) 发布不包括在校学生的16—24岁劳动力失业率；2) 增加发布不包括在校学生的25—29岁劳动力失业率。[^1^]

中国青年就业主要集中在哪些行业？

中国青年就业主要集中在服务业，据人口普查数据，服务业就业人口近3.6亿，占总就业人口的48%，而青年就业人员从事服务业的比例最高，达到61%。[^3^]

全球青年失业率的情况如何？

全球青年失业率在2023年有所改善，但仍然有6500万年轻人失业，青年失业率目前仍高达13%。[^3^]

中国的青年失业率在全球主要国家中处于什么水平？

中国的青年失业率相对较高，2024年8月的数据为18.8%，远超美国同期的9.7%，也高于欧元区的14.2%。[^5^]

中国青年失业率在2024年8月相比之前有何变化？

2024年8月中国的青年失业率为18.8%，相比2023年12月的14.9%有所上升。[^5^]

中国青年失业率的统计是否符合国际标准？

中国的青年失业率统计方法科学规范，符合国际惯例，数据具有国际可比性。[^12^]

中国青年失业率的统计是如何进行的？

中国青年失业率的统计是通过劳动力调查获得的，采用派调查员入户访问的方式，使用手持电子终端（PDA）现场采集数据。[^12^]

中国青年失业率的统计数据是否包括在校学生？

不包括。从2023年12月起，中国国家统计局发布的青年失业率不包括在校学生。[^1^]