韜略天下第三集:注意!頻繁軍演..習近平現正為戰爭做準備..究竟想幹啥?消失又神隱..莫非背後還有大戰略….@democratictaiwanchannel
Summary
TLDR在本期节目中,明教授深入探讨了中美冷战的背景,分析了共产主义意识形态如何通过教育影响中共党员,并指出近年来中国与多个国家的冲突。教授强调了中国在外交上采取的“战狼外交”以及国内对民营企业的打压,特别是对香港和COVID-19疫情的处理。他还指出,中国正为战争做准备,认为国际形势和美国的内部问题为其提供了机会窗口。明教授强调了中国共产党的意识形态及其对全球无产阶级革命的信仰。
Takeaways
- 🌍 美国与中国正在陷入一场新的冷战,主要因为共产主义意识形态的传播。
- ⚔️ 中国与多个国家发生摩擦和冲突,最近几年与英国、意大利、澳大利亚、韩国、印度、加拿大等国关系紧张,尤其是与菲律宾和台湾的对抗加剧。
- 🚢 中菲冲突中,中国海警船撞击菲律宾船只,导致人员受伤,双方正在进行谈判。
- 💥 台湾问题上,中国频繁派遣战机、军舰进入台湾领空和水域,并扣押台湾渔船。
- 🐺 中国的“战狼外交”策略强调强硬和侵略性,旨在挑战普世价值观,如民主、自由和人权。
- 💼 国内,中国对私营企业进行了严厉打压,与2018年习近平曾赞扬私营企业的贡献形成对比。
- 🇭🇰 2019年开始,中国取消了香港的一国两制,镇压要求更多自由的香港公民,导致资金和人才大量外流。
- 😷 新冠疫情期间,中国实施了严苛的防疫措施,导致小型企业倒闭,经济萎缩,外汇储备减少。
- 🔫 中国的双重战争准备既包括防御,也包括进攻,他们担心国际上的孤立,同时在为可能的战争做准备。
- 📉 中国共产党认为美国的国际影响力在下降,并视2024年美国总统选举为他们的战略机遇。
Q & A
中国与哪些国家在最近几年中发生了摩擦和冲突?
-中国在过去几年里与多个国家发生了摩擦或冲突,包括英国、意大利、澳大利亚、捷克共和国、立陶宛、日本、韩国、瑞典、印度、加拿大以及最近的菲律宾。
什么是中国的“战狼外交”?
-“战狼外交”是中国近年来采取的一种强硬外交策略,意图在国际事务中采取更为激进和自信的立场,公开挑战西方的普世价值观,如民主、自由、人权和法治。
习近平对中国外交官的指示是什么?
-习近平曾指示中国外交官要敢于“亮剑”,这意味着在国际事务中采取更加强硬的态度,敢于应对和挑战其他国家。
习近平对中国的私营企业态度如何?
-尽管习近平在2018年承认私营企业对中国经济的贡献,但实际政策却是打压私营企业,更多支持国有企业。这与他最初的言论形成了对比。
中国如何处理香港的政治局势?
-中国在2019年开始否认香港的一国两制,强行镇压了香港市民的自由和政治权利运动,导致大量人才、资金和企业外流,香港不再是曾经的国际金融中心。
中国的国内经济状况如何受到疫情的影响?
-疫情期间,中国实施了严格的封锁和隔离政策,对私营企业造成了极大的打击。结果,中国的生产、外贸和外汇储备都急剧下降,经济出现衰退。
中国准备战争的两个方面是什么?
-中国在准备战争方面有两个层面:防御层面和进攻层面。防御方面,中国认为自己在国际上被孤立,面临来自多个国家的包围;进攻方面,尽管中国面临内部不稳定和外部孤立,但仍在积极备战,准备应对潜在的国际冲突。
中国认为美国正在衰落的证据是什么?
-中国认为美国衰落的证据包括2019年和2020年新冠疫情期间的应对不力、2020年美国总统大选带来的社会动荡、以及2020年美国从阿富汗的撤军。这些事件在中国共产党眼中表明了美国的衰落。
中国认为2024年美国大选是怎样的机会?
-中国共产党认为2024年的美国大选将带来美国内部的混乱和分裂,甚至可能出现内战。它们认为这是一个攻占台湾或战胜美国的战略机遇。
中国对未来战争的理念是什么?
-中国领导人习近平基于共产主义意识形态,信奉世界无产阶级革命。他们认为未来的战争可能是无界战争,即没有边界和限制的战争,可能涉及军事、经济、科技等多个领域的全面冲突。
Outlines
🌍 中美新冷战的开始
本段介绍了中美之间因共产主义意识形态引发的新冷战。通过讨论中国近年来与多个国家的摩擦与冲突,包括菲律宾、台湾和美国,展示了中国的“战狼外交”如何在全球范围内展开。中国通过外交手段和军事扩张,表现出强硬的姿态,挑战普世价值如民主、自由和人权。
📉 中国国内的经济与政治压制
本段讨论了中国国内在经济和政治上的举措,特别是对私营企业的打击和对香港民主运动的压制。习近平一方面曾表扬私营企业对中国经济的贡献,但实际上加强了对国企的扶持,压缩私营经济。其次,香港自2019年起失去了“一国两制”的自治权,导致了人才和资本的外流,打击了其国际金融中心地位。此外,新冠疫情期间,中国的严厉防控措施进一步削弱了经济。
⚔️ 中国的战争准备与国际野心
本段深入探讨了中国在面对国际孤立时的战争准备,包括防御性与进攻性两方面。尽管中国面临国内不稳定和国际孤立,但它仍在为未来可能的战争做准备,尤其是对台湾和美国。中国的领导层受到意识形态的驱动,坚信东升西降的趋势,并认为美国的社会混乱、选举问题和阿富汗撤军是其衰落的标志。中国视即将到来的美国大选为其扩展国际影响力的机会。
Mindmap
Keywords
💡冷战
💡共产主义意识形态
💡战狼外交
💡国际孤立
💡国内镇压
💡经济下滑
💡国际秩序
💡东升西降
💡一带一路
💡防御性战争
Highlights
美国与中国处于新冷战的局势,源于共产主义意识形态的对立。
中国近年来与多个国家发生摩擦和冲突,包括英国、意大利、澳大利亚、日本、韩国、印度、加拿大和菲律宾等。
中国的“战狼外交”体现出强硬和进攻性的态度,甚至与西方普世价值观如民主、自由、人权和法治相对立。
中国与美国在贸易、外交、技术和金融等领域展开激烈的“针锋相对”的竞争。
习近平强调中国外交官要“敢于亮剑”,体现了中国更具攻击性的外交策略。
2019年香港一国两制的终结导致大量人才、资金和企业的外流,令香港从金融中心变成“死城”。
COVID-19 疫情期间,中国的严苛隔离措施严重影响了私营企业,导致生产、外贸和经济下滑。
中国正在为战争做准备,包括防御性和进攻性两方面的准备,尽管它在国际上处于孤立状态。
中国面对美国、日本、韩国、菲律宾、澳大利亚等国的包围圈,试图通过外交和军事力量来突破这种困境。
中国的领导层认为“东方在崛起,西方在衰落”,这一信念激励了他们的战略规划。
中国认为美国在COVID-19的应对不力、2020年大选引发的社会动荡,以及阿富汗撤军的混乱是美国衰落的迹象。
中国正在等待美国在2024年总统大选中的混乱,以此作为夺取台湾或挑战美国的机会窗口。
中国的共产主义意识形态鼓励他们追求全球无产阶级革命,认为战争可以通过各种形式展开。
中国的“无界限战争”概念强调战争不局限于传统的武装冲突,还包括其他手段,如经济、外交和信息战。
习近平及其领导的中国认为有机会通过利用全球的混乱局势推进他们的战略目标,特别是在台湾问题上。
Transcripts
[Music]
[Applause]
good morning ladies and gentlemen
welcome to Professor Ming's strategic
insights in our previous programs we
share with you our views of how the
United States and communist China are
caught in a new Cold War and we analyze
how the Cold War Began because of the
Communist ideology and how this
communist ideology is transferred to
each and every Communist Party member
through their indoctrination process and
all these sound very theoretical and
even abstract I know that so today I'm
going to talk about something more
concrete or even more downto Earth
things again you don't have to be an
expert just by glancing through the
headlines of the news about China in
recent Years you'll notice one thing
China has frequently caught in frictions
or skirmishes or even conflict within
many countries in the world just for the
past 3 4 years they've been having
trouble with the United
Kingdoms Italy Australia the Czech
Republic
Lithuania Japan South Korea
Sweden India and Canada very recently or
as of now this moment right this moment
they're having trouble with the
Philippines one of the Chinese Coast
Guard ships collided into Philippine
ships they are having a dispute over the
so-called second Thomas SCH and the
Collis was so bad that some Filipinos
were injured and the incident just got
into negotiation between two sides and
we don't know the outcome yet and as for
Taiwan
they uh send jet fighters bombers and
drones into our our airospace they send
warships all kinds of Warships into our
Waters not to mention that just seize
one of our ships our fishing ships
together with the fishermen and there's
no sign of release yet and of course
let's not forget about the United States
the main target of their so-called wolf
Warrior diplomacy the Chinese companies
accuse or attack United States almost
daily and they're engaging in a Ted
forat Warfare in fields like trade
diplomacy technology and finance and the
Chinese Communists are building up their
army their Navy their Air Force and
their rocket force or so-called missile
missile forces with the United States as
its opposing Force so this is what they
called The wol Warrior diplomacy and it
is reported about 10 years ago shinin
once instructed his diplomats and
telling them you must dare to pull out
your swords that's a common Chinese
expression meaning you have to be very
tough so as we can see now many Chinese
diplomats they act assertively and even
aggressively they challenge or they
oppose the universal values such as
democracy
Freedom human rights and rule of law I
guess one Vivid example will be last
year March
2023 when shijin ping visited Moscow
after they finished the visit Putin
walked shiin ping out of the building
the minute when they stepped out of the
building shimi stopped and turned around
and talked to Putin he told Putin we are
facing an a change of international
order or the international politics for
100 years let's work together for it or
let's promote it and puin said I agree
so that's one telling example of how
they treat or how they conduct the
so-called wolf Warrior diplomacy and
that's the external part
domestically if you pay a little
attention to the Chinese news you'll
notice one thing they've been cracking
down harshly on privately owned
businesses short as po
in contrast to state-owned Enterprises
so soe I remember very clearly back in
the year 2018 shiin ping was attending a
meeting with the PS he said it very
clearly for the past uh 30 40 years the
PO in China has made major contributions
to China's economy for instance the PO
has created more than 50% of the tax
collected
60% of China's GDP 70% of the
technological innovation 80% of the
township employment and 90% of the
number of the Enterprises or
businesses so if you want to improve
China's economy the right thing or the
only right thing to do is to pave way
for the PS to LIF all the bands and
barriers on their Road and try to shrink
the state-owned Enterprises so that you
can have a better
economy but he did the the quite the
opposite and second case is Hong Kong
Hong Kong has been a um Financial Center
not only for China but also for Asia or
even for the world but beginning in the
middle of 2019 if you still remember it
they abruptly denied the one country two
systems in Hong Kong they crack down
harshly on the H Hong Kong citizens who
who beg for more Liberty and more
freedom in the realm of politics they
were
oppressed
arrested sentenced to jail or even
killed so what comes after that is a
huge outload of talents money and
businesses from Hong Kong Hong Kong this
previous International Financial Center
has become a death City in southern
China and the third example is of course
the covid-19 case in addition to the
seemingly endless testing they
implemented very harsh quarantine to the
point of suffocating the B PS or the
small businesses so since then Chinese
production foreign trade foreign
exchange reserves have shrank
sharply and their economy is going down
the
drain so upon hearing all these you May
wonder do they really have a master plan
or do they have a grand
Strate or do they have a grand strategy
behind all these let me tell you the
answer is yes they are preparing for war
but talking about this war it has two
aspects a defensive aspect and an
offensive aspect on the defensive side
the communist China is alarmed to find
out that it has been isolated
internationally it's been caught in a
circle of
containment with Japan South Korea the
Philippines
Australia and sometimes India as part of
the the effort and of course L by the
United
States in addition quart five ice G7 EU
NATO and Taiwan may be part of the whole
program so if you realize that you
caught in such a dilemma the first
reaction that's of is of course fear
you're afraid that people might strike
you first after all there are so many
people against you in the world so in
response shiin ping told his diplomats
to talk tough and to act tough and dare
to pull out your swords that's a
defensive gesture the other side of coin
is of course the offensive
side you may wonder how could that be
possible given China is caught in
international isolation as you just
depicted and is also experiencing
internal instability it is facing
economic trouble social Challenge and
political challenge how could he still
be thinking about offensive or war
against other
countries let's not not underestimate
them they do have their
ambition I'm not saying they're
preparing for a war tomorrow what I'm
saying is shiin Ping is instructing his
generals to make best
preparations just in case we may have to
launch a war in the near future we may
think they're crazy but they don't think
so let me go back to this
diagram remember this
one remember this so-called World Pro
itarian Revolution how this concept
evolved through
times for Marx it was a class struggle
for lenon It's A War for Stalin it's a
world war between two camps for
madon it's a world war between two camps
with atomic
weapons and now it's sh shining's
turn so that's the ideological origin of
their belief
and secondly they per they're perhaps
deceived by their own slogan by their
propaganda
slogan they've been saying that the East
is rising and the West is
declining in other words they're saying
China or communist China is rising and
the United States is
declining you think it's just sheer
slogan or misperception not really
they think they have concrete evidence
or concrete proof for
that back in 2019 and 2020 as covid-19
hits the world United States
experiencing heavy
casualties and in the eyes of the
Chinese
Communist United States is either
mismanaging the
co or United States is simply
incompetent
anyway that's the first sign of the
united states decline the second sign in
their eyes is the presidential election
back in 2020 and the ensuing social
disruption the
chaos and the deepening social cleavages
ever since and the third sign is United
States withdrawal from Afghanistan in
the year 2020 to be exact August 2020
in the
withdrawal United States left behind a
huge amount of weapons ammunitions and
gears and all kind of things and in the
eyes of the Chinese Communist it's not
only embarrassing it's a short sign of
united states decline of course there
are many other issues we can raise but
in the eyes of the Chinese Communists
these three are the unmistakable signs
of the decline of the United States and
as they see it the window of opportunity
is approaching
again yes your guess is Right United
States is having another presidential
election in this coming November and
this is the window of opportunity
they've been waiting for they think
United States will be caught in chaos
disruption or even a social deep deep
cleavage or even a civil war perhaps and
that's a good opportunity for them to
take over Taiwan or even defeat the
United States to become the only hment
in the
world so that's what they've been doing
domestically and externally in
preparation for war either on the
defensive side or on the offensive
side and our eyes they may be crazy but
let me remind you their ideal logs
they've been indoctrinated by their own
communist
ideology they believe in the so-call
world proletarian
Revolution be that made through the form
of a class struggle a world
war or a war with unrestricted bounds
what they called unrestricted Warfare or
Warfare without
bounds that's something we're going to
talk about in later program
programs so this is one what I want to
tell you today they're preparing for war
that's why they behave so strangely
either domestically or
externally I hope you like today's
program and I'll see you next time
[Music]
[Applause]
[Music]
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