【爆赞,必看】】11376%的收益率斩获交易冠军,从一万到一百万美元,世界最佳交易员Larry的波动突破策略,他真有应对市场的标准答案 #唐奇安通道 #交易策略回测 #交易冠军

投机实验室
9 Sept 202305:05

Summary

TLDR本视频介绍了交易大师拉里·威廉姆斯的交易策略,该策略曾助其女儿赢得世界交易锦标赛。视频中,作者将在加密货币市场对这一策略进行回测,验证其在7月的表现。策略涉及三个Tradingview指标:唐奇安通道、拉里·威廉姆斯大交易指数和交易量指标。作者将展示如何使用这些指标进行交易,并分享了优化策略的三个方法。回测结果显示,在100笔连续交易中,策略获得了168.79%的总回报率。

Takeaways

  • 📈 拉里·威廉姆斯以其卓越的交易策略闻名,曾将1万美元翻至110万美元,回报率高达11376%。
  • 🏆 他的女儿使用他的方法赢得了世界交易锦标赛,学生们也在多个交易比赛中获得金银牌。
  • 🔍 视频中将对拉里·威廉姆斯的交易策略进行回测,测试其在加密货币市场的表现。
  • 📊 策略涉及三个Tradingview指标:唐奇安通道(Donchian Channel)、拉里·威廉姆斯大交易指数(LWTI)和交易量指标(Volume)。
  • 🛠️ 唐奇安通道的参数设置为周期96,LWTI指标的周期设置为25,平滑周期为20,交易量指标的MA周期设置为30。
  • 📋 5分钟图策略仅适用于比特币兑美元,且必须使用5分钟图表。
  • 📈 做多入场规则是K线必须首先触及唐奇安通道的上轨,LWTI和交易量指标显示绿色,且交易量柱高于白色移动平均线。
  • 📉 做空入场规则与做多类似,但K线必须触及下轨,LWTI和交易量指标显示红色,且交易量柱高于白色移动平均线。
  • 💹 回测结果显示,在100次连续交易中,风险回报比为1:1时胜率为67%,总回报率为168.79%。
  • 🔧 优化策略的建议包括结合大周期的供需区域、支撑和阻力水平、结构区域等,以及仅在价格从下轨到上轨后的前两次突破交易机会中操作。

Q & A

  • 拉里·威廉姆斯在交易历史上实现了怎样的业绩?

    -拉里·威廉姆斯在交易历史上将10,000美元变成了1,100,000美元,实现了11,376%的回报率。

  • 拉里·威廉姆斯的女儿在交易比赛中取得了什么成绩?

    -拉里·威廉姆斯的女儿使用他的方法在世界交易锦标赛中获得了超过10倍的利润。

  • 拉里·威廉姆斯的交易策略是否被他的学生在其他交易比赛中使用?

    -是的,他的学生在不同的交易比赛中赢得了金牌和银牌。

  • 视频中提到的三个免费Tradingview指标是什么?

    -视频中提到的三个免费Tradingview指标是Donchian Channel(唐奇安通道)、Larry Williams Large Trade Index(拉里·威廉姆斯大交易指数)和Volume(交易量)。

  • Donchian Channel的参数设置应该是怎样的?

    -Donchian Channel的参数设置应该将长度设置为96,并且颜色可以根据视频中的设置进行参考。

  • Larry Williams Large Trade Index指标的最佳周期和平滑周期是多少?

    -Larry Williams Large Trade Index指标的最佳周期是25,平滑周期设置为20。

  • 交易量指标在交易策略中扮演什么角色?

    -交易量指标帮助避免虚假信号,并与LWTI指标一起发挥双重确认作用,以确认交易信号。

  • 根据视频中的策略,5分钟图表策略只适用于哪种货币对?

    -根据视频中的策略,5分钟图表策略只适用于比特币兑美元(Bitcoin USD)。

  • 视频中提到的交易策略的测试结果显示了什么?

    -测试结果显示,在100次连续交易中,风险回报比为1:1的胜率为67%,1:2的胜率为33%,1:3的胜率为21%,1:5或以上的胜率为13%,总回报率为168.79%。

  • 视频中提到的三种优化策略是什么?

    -视频中提到的三种优化策略包括结合大周期的供需区域、支撑和阻力水平、结构区域等,以及在价格从下轨到上轨后只做前两次突破交易机会。

  • 视频中提到的策略评分是多少?

    -视频中对策略的评分是7分。

Outlines

00:00

📈 拉里·威廉姆斯交易策略介绍与回测

本段介绍了拉里·威廉姆斯的交易策略,他是一位著名的交易员,曾经将10,000美元翻至1,100,000美元,回报率高达11,376%。他的女儿也使用他的方法赢得了世界交易锦标赛,学生们也在多个交易比赛中获得金银奖。视频中将对这一策略进行回测,以验证其在加密货币市场中的表现。策略涉及三个Tradingview指标:唐奇安通道(Donchian Channel)、拉里·威廉姆斯大交易指数(LWTI)和交易量指标Volume。策略仅适用于5分钟图表,入场规则包括K线触及唐奇安通道上下轨、LWTI和交易量指标显示绿色或红色,以及交易量柱位于移动平均线之上。回测结果显示,在100次连续交易中,风险回报比为1:1时胜率为67%,1:2时为33%,1:3时为21%,1:5及以上时为13%,总回报率为168.79%。作者给出了7分的评价,并建议进一步优化策略,比如结合大周期的供需区域、支撑和阻力水平等。

05:00

👋 简短问候

第二段是一段简短的问候语,包含了早安、下午好、晚安和再见。

Mindmap

Keywords

💡拉里·威廉姆斯

拉里·威廉姆斯是视频中提到的世界著名交易员,以其卓越的交易策略而闻名。在视频中,他通过自己的交易策略将1万美元变成了110万美元,回报率高达11,376%,这一成就在交易历史上非常罕见。他的女儿和学生也使用他的方法在不同的交易竞赛中取得了优异的成绩,这表明他的交易策略具有很高的实用价值和教育意义。

💡交易策略

交易策略是指在金融市场中进行买卖决策的一套规则或方法。在视频中,交易策略特指拉里·威廉姆斯所使用的方法,它包括使用特定的技术指标和交易规则来确定买卖时机。视频的核心内容之一就是介绍和测试这一交易策略在加密货币市场中的应用效果。

💡Donchian Channel

Donchian Channel(唐奇安通道)是一种技术分析工具,由交易大师Donchian创建。它由三条线组成:上轨、中轨和下轨,类似于布林线,用于识别价格趋势和波动范围。在视频中,Donchian Channel是交易策略中使用的第一个指标,参数长度设置为96,用于帮助识别交易信号。

💡LWTI指标

LWTI指标,即Larry Williams Large Trade Index指标,是视频中提到的第二个关键指标。它由拉里·威廉姆斯开发,用于衡量市场的大额交易活动。在视频中,LWTI指标的周期设置为25,平滑期设置为20,与其他指标结合使用,以增强交易信号的准确性。

💡交易量指标

交易量指标是用来衡量市场中买卖订单的数量,它可以帮助交易者更好地避免虚假信号。在视频中,交易量指标与LWTI指标结合使用,起到双重确认交易信号的作用。视频中提到,将移动平均线的长度设置为30,并开启白色交易量MA功能。

💡风险回报比

风险回报比是交易中一个重要的概念,它指的是潜在亏损与潜在盈利的比例。在视频中,提到了不同的风险回报比,如1:1、1:2、1:3等,这些比例用于评估交易的潜在价值,并决定何时进入和退出交易。视频中的测试结果显示,不同的风险回报比对交易的胜率有不同的影响。

💡关键K线

关键K线是指在交易图表中具有决定性意义的K线,它通常标志着市场趋势的转变或交易信号的出现。在视频中,当K线触及Donchian Channel的上下轨,并且LWTI指标和交易量指标显示相应的颜色状态时,这样的K线被认为是关键K线,是交易策略中的重要参考点。

💡止损

止损是交易中用来限制潜在亏损的一种策略。在视频中,提到了在关键K线的收盘价设置止损点,以及在市场继续上涨时,如果止损范围过大,可以将止损设置在近期摆动低点附近。这是一种风险管理手段,用于保护交易者的资本。

💡分批止盈

分批止盈是一种交易策略,指的是在达到一定的盈利目标后,逐步平仓以锁定利润。在视频中,提到了在达到1:1风险回报比时选择分批止盈,这样可以在保证一定利润的同时,还有机会获得更高的回报。这是一种平衡风险和回报的策略。

💡回测

回测是指使用历史数据来测试交易策略的有效性。在视频中,作者对拉里·威廉姆斯的交易策略进行了100笔连续交易的回测,测试范围覆盖了54个交易日。回测结果显示,使用该策略可以获得168.79%的总回报,这证明了策略在历史数据上的有效性。

💡优化方法

优化方法是指对交易策略进行调整和改进,以提高其性能。在视频中,作者提出了几种优化策略的方法,比如结合大周期的供需区域、支撑和阻力水平、结构区域等。这些方法可以帮助交易者在实际应用中提高策略的胜率和回报率。

Highlights

拉里·威廉姆斯的交易策略被认为可能是应对市场的“标准答案”。

拉里·威廉姆斯的女儿使用他的方法赢得了世界交易锦标赛。

拉里·威廉姆斯的学生在多个交易竞赛中获得金银奖。

将对拉里·威廉姆斯的交易策略进行100笔连续交易的回测。

交易策略涉及三个免费的Tradingview指标。

第一个指标是唐奇安通道(Donchian Channel),由日内交易大师唐奇安创建。

唐奇安通道有三个轨道线:上轨、中轨和下轨,帮助识别价格趋势和波动范围。

第二个指标是拉里·威廉姆斯大型交易指数指标(LWTI)。

LWTI指标在5分钟图表上表现最佳,周期设置为25,平滑期设置为20。

第三个指标是交易量指标Volume,帮助避免虚假信号。

交易规则包括仅在5分钟图表上使用,其他时间段无效。

做多的入场规则包括K线必须首先触及唐奇安通道的上轨。

做多时,LWTI指标和交易量指标必须处于绿色状态,交易量柱必须高于白色移动平均线。

做空的入场规则与做多类似,但K线必须触及唐奇安通道的下轨。

做空时,LWTI指标和交易量指标都显示红色,交易量柱必须高于白色移动平均线。

100笔连续交易的测试结果显示,风险回报比1:1的胜率为67%。

如果仅基于风险回报比1:2进行操作,回报率为52.72%。

提出了三种在回测过程中发现的优化方法,包括结合大时间周期的供需区域、支撑和阻力水平、结构区域等。

唐奇安通道指标的属性是交易信号出现频率较高,建议只做价格从下轨到上轨后的前两次突破交易机会。

Transcripts

play00:00

Yo, here I come,

play00:01

welcome to the Speculation Lab.

play00:03

Based on reliable informant information,

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I found

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the trading strategy of Larry Williams,

play00:08

who is known as the world's best trader.

play00:10

That year, Larry turned $10,000 into $1,100,000

play00:14

with a return rate of 11,376%. In the history of trading

play00:18

, his daughter used his method

play00:20

to win the World Cup Trading Championship

play00:22

with more than 10 times the profit,

play00:24

and his students

play00:25

also won gold and silver in various trading competitions.

play00:28

Maybe he really has a standard answer to deal with the market.

play00:31

Next I will backtest it for 100 consecutive transactions

play00:33

in the cryptocurrency market to see

play00:36

how it performs if you

play00:37

use this trading strategy

play00:39

in July.

play00:41

Check if you click the subscribe button

play00:43

and start Fighting ✈️This

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trading strategy involves Links to three free Tradingview

play00:48

indicators will be

play00:49

listed in the description column and top comment

play00:52

below.

play00:54

The first indicator used

play00:55

is the Donchian Channel created by

play00:57

the day trading master Donchian.

play00:59

We enter Donchian Channels in the indicator search bar,

play01:02

click Favorite and Add Go to the chart.

play01:04

The Donchian channel is abbreviated as DC.

play01:06

In the form, DC is similar to Bollinger Bands.

play01:09

There are three track lines, the upper track, the middle track and the lower track,

play01:11

which can help us

play01:12

identify the price trend and the range of fluctuations.

play01:15

Change the parameter length to 96

play01:17

and color. You can refer to my settings for

play01:19

the second one. It is

play01:20

the Larry Williams Large Trade Index indicator,

play01:23

abbreviated as LWTI,

play01:25

which translates

play01:26

to the Larry Williams Large Trade Index.

play01:29

We set the period to 25

play01:31

, which performs best on the 5-minute chart.

play01:33

The smoothing period is set to 20.

play01:35

Other functions remain unchanged.

play01:37

The third one is used. It is the trading volume indicator Volume.

play01:40

It can help us better avoid false signals.

play01:42

Together with the LWTI indicator, it plays

play01:45

a double confirmation role

play01:47

in trading signals . The length of the MA is changed to 30.

play01:49

The Volume MA function in the style bar is turned on and

play01:51

the color is set to white.

play01:53

This is what we are going to use. Next,

play01:56

I

play01:57

will explain the trading rules with examples.

play02:00

This is the 5-minute chart strategy for Bitcoin and US dollars.

play02:02

Only 5-minute charts can be used.

play02:05

Other time periods are not effective.

play02:07

The rule for entering the long position is that

play02:10

the K line

play02:10

must be touched first. When encountering the upper track of the Tang Qian Channel,

play02:13

the corresponding

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LWTI indicator and trading volume indicator

play02:16

must be in a green state

play02:18

, and the trading volume cylinder must be above the white moving average.

play02:22

All three conditions are met.

play02:24

This K-line is the key K-line we are looking for.

play02:26

We are here The entry stop loss at the closing price of the key K-line

play02:29

can be set at the center track of the channel.

play02:32

If the market continues to rise and the stop loss range is too large,

play02:35

the stop loss can also

play02:36

be set near the recent swing low. You can

play02:39

also choose to take profit in batches.

play02:41

That is to say,

play02:44

the rules for entering the short position are similar to the risk-reward ratio of 1:1

play02:47

, and the remaining part is held to gain higher profits.

play02:49

First, the K line

play02:51

must touch the lower rail of the Tang Qian Channel.

play02:53

Secondly, the corresponding

play02:55

LWTI indicator and trading volume indicator both show red.

play02:58

And the trading volume column must be above the white moving average.

play03:02

All three conditions are met.

play03:04

This K line is the key K line we are looking for.

play03:07

The closing price of the key K line

play03:09

is our entry position.

play03:10

The stop loss can be set at the middle track of the channel. If

play03:13

the stop loss is too large

play03:15

, you can also set the take profit near the recent swing high. You can

play03:18

also choose the stop profit method

play03:21

in batches. Next, it’s time to show the results of my test.

play03:24

This is what I

play03:26

did

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on the 5-minute chart of Bitcoin USD.

play03:29

Test results of 100 consecutive transactions. The test range is 54 consecutive trading days

play03:34

from July 8, 2023 to August 31, 2023. The

play03:36

winning rate of a risk-reward ratio of 1:1 is 67%. The winning

play03:40

rate of operating with a risk-return ratio of 1:2 It is 33%.

play03:44

The winning rate of operating according to 1:3 is 21%.

play03:48

The winning rate of operating at 1:5 or above is 13%.

play03:50

In 100 consecutive transactions, a

play03:52

total return of 168.79% is obtained.

play03:56

If the operating rate is only based on the risk-reward ratio of 1:2,

play03:59

the return rate is 52.72. %

play04:01

I give this strategy a score of 7.

play04:03

If you have considered using this strategy,

play04:06

it is definitely worth your time to optimize.

play04:08

Finally, I will add three

play04:10

good optimization methods that I found

play04:11

during the backtesting process.

play04:14

, it can be combined with the supply and demand areas of large time periods,

play04:16

support and resistance levels, structural areas, etc. These areas can be used.

play04:20

For example, when a multi-order signal appears,

play04:22

we find that

play04:23

the price has just The advantage is that if it is near a one-hour supply zone,

play04:25

try not to participate in this trading opportunity

play04:28

because the buying force at the 5-minute level is very small.

play04:30

It is difficult to break through

play04:32

the large-level resistance zone of one hour and four hours

play04:34

in one go. For example, when a short order signal appears When

play04:37

we find that

play04:38

the price has just fallen below the one-hour demand zone

play04:40

, the winning rate of this short order will be relatively high

play04:43

, because even the inertia

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of the one-hour level drop

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is enough for the short order to take profit at 1:1 on the 5-minute chart

play04:49

. 3.

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Due to the properties of the Tang Qian channel indicator,

play04:52

trading signals appear more frequently.

play04:55

Try to only do the

play04:57

first two breakthrough trading opportunities after

play05:00

the price goes from the lower track to the upper track . Entertainment program does not have any investment suggestions.

play05:02

Good morning, good afternoon, good night, bye.

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Related Tags
交易策略拉里·威廉姆斯加密货币高收益技术分析交易竞赛风险回报市场分析交易指标策略优化
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