ЦБ подписал приговор экономике РФ | Инфляция губит производство | В 2025 году будет новый кризис

Summary

The radio program discusses the dire state of Russia's economy, with the Central Bank raising the key interest rate to 19% in response to soaring inflation. The host compares high inflation to a fatal disease for the economy, explaining how it erodes the value of production and investment. The economic crisis is exacerbated by falling global oil prices and secondary U.S. sanctions targeting countries trading with Russia, potentially leading to a complete halt of imports from China. The speaker predicts that without ending the war, Russia's economy will continue to deteriorate, facing a grim future.

Takeaways

• 📉 The Russian economy is in crisis, with the Central Bank of Russia raising the key interest rate from 18% to 19% to combat spiraling inflation.
• 🏦 The high inflation rate is likened to a fatal economic condition, where producing goods becomes unprofitable and investments fail to yield returns.
• 💸 The Central Bank's decision to raise interest rates is a desperate attempt to control inflation, akin to applying tourniquets to stop economic 'bleeding'.
• 🛑 The economic measures taken are inadvertently harming the civilian economy, while the military-industrial complex continues to receive funding, exacerbating the situation.
• 📉 The Russian economy is expected to face a sharp decline in industrial production, investment, and income, referred to as 'КФЦ' or overcooling.
• 📉 The drop in global oil prices, especially affecting the Urals oil price, is causing a significant loss in revenue for Russia's budget.
• 🌐 The decrease in demand for oil, particularly from China and India, along with the US shale oil production, is contributing to lower oil prices.
• 🚫 The secondary sanctions imposed by the US are effectively blocking Russia's attempts to bypass sanctions and maintain economic ties with the rest of the world.
• 💔 The Russian economy is predicted to face a severe downturn in 2025, with the country's reserves depleting and no viable solutions in sight other than ending the war.
• 🏦 The National Wealth Fund of Russia, which was accumulated over many years, is rapidly depleting and may be insufficient to support the economy in the long term.