The China Threat: Silicon Valley and the Great Uncoupling

a16z
4 Mar 202426:30

Summary

TLDRIn this thought-provoking discussion, Congressmen Mike Gallagher and Jake Auchincloss delve into the multifaceted China threat, encompassing technological competition, economic decoupling, military deterrence, and ideological warfare. They highlight the urgency of strengthening American competitiveness through strategic investments, immigration reform, and deepening ties with allies. The conversation underscores the necessity of a robust approach to counter China's authoritarian influence while upholding democratic values and fostering American dynamism.

Takeaways

  • ⚠️ The primary risk from China is the potential for war, including an attempt to take Taiwan by force, which could have catastrophic economic and geopolitical consequences.
  • πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ There is bipartisan agreement on the nature of the threat from China, but disagreements on issues like the prioritization of climate change and the prospect of high-level engagement with the CCP.
  • πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ TikTok is seen as a major threat, as it allows the Chinese government to influence and indoctrinate the next generation of Americans with an adversarial worldview.
  • πŸ’» The US needs to attract high-skilled immigration and invest in STEM education to remain competitive with China in technology and innovation.
  • πŸ”’ There is a need for tighter restrictions on the flow of US capital and technology to Chinese companies involved in military applications or human rights abuses.
  • 🀝 Deepening economic and technological partnerships with allies like the UK and Australia through agreements like AUKUS is crucial to countering China's influence.
  • πŸ“‘ Cyber threats from China, particularly against critical infrastructure, are a legitimate concern that requires hardening of targets and bolstering cybersecurity.
  • πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Despite challenges, there is optimism about America's ability to out-compete China by leveraging its core values of individual liberty and free enterprise.
  • 🌱 There is a need to inspire and empower the next generation of Americans to serve their country and uphold its ideals in the face of the China challenge.
  • 🌍 Overall, a multifaceted approach is needed, combining military deterrence, economic decoupling, ideological resistance, and bolstering of domestic strengths to prevail in the long-term competition with China.

Q & A

  • What are the main threats and concerns regarding China discussed in the script?

    -The main threats and concerns discussed include the risk of war, specifically China's potential attempt to take Taiwan by force, the erosion of the conventional military balance in the Indo-Pacific region, China's ideological warfare and influence through platforms like TikTok, and the broader economic and technological competition between the U.S. and China.

  • What is the significance of Taiwan in the context of the China threat?

    -Taiwan is crucial for several reasons: its semiconductor production is vital to the global economy, its fall

Outlines

00:00

🌐 The China Threat: Scope and Concerns

Congressman Gallagher discusses the broad scope of the China threat, encompassing issues from apps like TikTok to Taiwan. He emphasizes that the primary risk from China is war, as autocratic systems like China's may engage in actions that seem irrational from a Western perspective but make sense to them for preserving the regime. Despite warnings, Gallagher argues that the U.S. has not fielded an adequate deterrence posture, risking being drawn into war on unfavorable terms that could be catastrophic.

05:02

πŸ’₯ Economic and Ideological Competition with China

Congressman Khanna expresses confidence that America can outcompete China if it wants to, as the competition is one of conflicting worldviews – individual liberty versus state control. He cautions against nationalism on the right and rejection of Western values on the left, arguing that America should fight for its ideals of individual freedom and pursuit of aspirations. While there is bipartisan agreement on the China threat, there are disagreements within parties on prioritizing ideological warfare and trade policies.

10:03

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ American Companies' Engagement with China

The discussion shifts to how American companies should engage with China. Gallagher urges companies to recognize the Chinese Communist Party's dismal record on environmental, social, and governance issues and act as American companies. Khanna argues for limiting U.S. capital flows to Chinese technology and military companies, tightening export controls, and deepening engagement with allies through free trade agreements and technology cooperation. Both emphasize the need for a more restrictive bilateral relationship with China while expanding partnerships with other countries.

15:06

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Immigration and Domestic Priorities

The conversation touches on immigration, with Khanna advocating for legal immigration reforms to meet economic needs and actively recruit high-skilled immigrants worldwide. Gallagher expresses frustration with the Republican party's lack of action on immigration reform despite rhetoric. They also discuss the need for the U.S. government to be a better customer for entrepreneurs and companies, investing in areas like housing, military, utilities, and energy to maintain American dynamism and technological leadership.

20:07

🀝 Hypothetical Presidential Approaches to China

When asked about their hypothetical presidential approaches to the China-U.S. technology relationship, Khanna proposes a more restrictive framework with China while deepening engagement with allies through free trade agreements and technology cooperation. Gallagher suggests being tougher on restricting U.S. capital flows to Chinese companies and closing regulatory loopholes, while maintaining a global commercial presence for U.S. companies in high-tech industries.

25:08

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Inspiring Optimism in the Face of Challenges

In response to a question about assuaging fears among Americans regarding the China threat, the Congressmen share heartwarming stories of young Americans' patriotism and commitment to service. Gallagher recounts a story of a young woman's appointment to the U.S. Naval Academy, while Khanna speaks of the inspiring conversations he has with service academy appointees. They express optimism in America's resilience and the decency of its people, urging their audience not to bet against the country's possibilities.

Mindmap

Keywords

πŸ’‘China threat

The central theme and concern discussed throughout the video is the potential security, economic, and ideological threat posed by China's growing influence and power. This refers to China's military buildup, especially in relation to Taiwan, as well as its technological advancements, economic policies, and the spread of its authoritarian ideology through platforms like TikTok. The congressmen warn that China's actions could lead to conflicts or undermine American values and global leadership.

πŸ’‘Deterrence

Deterrence refers to the military and strategic posture adopted by the United States and its allies to discourage or prevent aggressive actions from adversaries like China. The congressmen express concerns that the current deterrence measures, particularly in the Indo-Pacific region, may not be sufficient to deter China from attempting to take Taiwan by force or engaging in other provocative actions. Strengthening deterrence through military investments and strategic positioning is seen as crucial.

πŸ’‘Ideological warfare

Ideological warfare refers to the battle of ideas and values between the democratic, free-market ideology championed by the United States and the authoritarian, state-controlled ideology of China's Communist Party. The congressmen highlight the spread of Chinese propaganda and influence through platforms like TikTok as a form of ideological warfare, aiming to shape the worldview of younger generations in a way that runs counter to American values. Countering this ideological threat is seen as a priority.

πŸ’‘Economic competition

The video discusses the economic rivalry and competition between the United States and China, particularly in areas like technology, manufacturing, and trade policies. The congressmen advocate for a more competitive stance towards China, including measures to restrict the flow of American capital and technology to Chinese companies, while also deepening economic partnerships with allies. Striking the right balance between competition and cooperation in the economic sphere is seen as crucial.

πŸ’‘Semiconductors

Semiconductors, and the production of advanced chips, are highlighted as a critical area of strategic importance in the technological competition with China. The congressmen discuss the importance of onshoring semiconductor production, as well as the potential risks and consequences of Taiwan's role in the global semiconductor supply chain being disrupted by Chinese aggression. Securing semiconductor supply chains and maintaining a technological edge is seen as a national security priority.

πŸ’‘Taiwan

Taiwan is a central focus in the discussion of the China threat, as the congressmen express grave concerns about the possibility of China attempting to take the island by force, either through an outright invasion or a blockade. Taiwan's status as a vibrant democracy and its strategic importance in the semiconductor industry make it a critical flashpoint in the broader U.S.-China rivalry. Defending Taiwan's sovereignty and preventing Chinese aggression towards the island is seen as a crucial test of American resolve and credibility.

πŸ’‘Cybersecurity

Cybersecurity threats, particularly those emanating from state actors like China, are discussed as a major concern for critical infrastructure and national security. The congressmen highlight the need to harden targets like electoral systems, utilities, and public services against cyber attacks and data breaches. However, they express greater concern over the ideological influence of platforms like TikTok, which they view as a tool for China to shape the worldview of younger generations of Americans.

πŸ’‘Immigration

While not the central focus, the congressmen touch upon the issue of immigration and its relationship to America's competitiveness and technological edge. They express support for streamlining legal immigration, particularly for high-skilled workers, as a means of attracting global talent and boosting America's innovative capabilities. However, they also acknowledge the politically divisive nature of immigration debates within the Republican Party, which has hindered policy reforms.

πŸ’‘Bipartisanship

Despite their political differences, the congressmen acknowledge a broad bipartisan consensus on recognizing the threat posed by China and the need for a robust American response. However, they also highlight areas of disagreement, such as the prioritization of climate change issues, the prospect of high-level engagement with the Chinese Communist Party, and the specific tactics and policies to be adopted in the economic and technological spheres. Navigating these differences is seen as a challenge for effective policymaking.

πŸ’‘Optimism

Amidst the grave concerns expressed about the China threat, the congressmen also inject notes of optimism and faith in America's ability to prevail in this great power competition. They point to the enduring strength of American values, the innovative spirit of the nation's youth, and the resilience of the American people as reasons for confidence. This optimism serves as a counterbalance to the dire warnings, reflecting a belief that the United States can overcome the challenges posed by China if it remains committed to its principles and takes decisive action.

Highlights

I think to take your second question first, the risk in simplest terms from China is, is war right and we tend to Discount the, possibility that xiin ping could do, something as stupid as try to take, Taiwan by force because it does look, irrational from a West perspective but, if the collapse of deterrence in Ukraine, has taught us anything it's that, particularly when you're dealing with, autocratic systems who just don't have, robust feedback loops they could do, something that looks irrational from our, perspective that we think is deterred or, deter and yet from their perspective of, preserving the regime makes sense

Beyond all the talk about, decoupling and ideological Warfare and, Tik Tock if we don't get the hard power, side of the equation right we may, stumble into war on someone else's terms, and it's going to be horrific it will, look the current it will make the, current crises in the Middle East and, Ukraine look like child's playing, comparison other than that I'm an, optimist

China views, individuals as ponds of the state the, United States was founded upon the, Timeless ideal that individuals have, inherent worth and value, and those are mutually inconsistent ways, of approaching governance of approaching, economics of approaching diplomacy and, and uh great power competition and we, must win and we can if we want to

We're seeing on the on the, right this blood and soil nationalism, obviously articulated by Donald Trump, that is fundamentally about closing, America off and we see on the hard, left a rejection of Western society and, what it represents from the, enlightenment onwards and both of those, are wrong there is much for us to be, proud of in uh what western Society has, produced and much of it has been, crystallized in the US form of, government and we should fight for it

To allow a company uh, that is owned by bite dance which is, beholden to the Chinese Communist party, to be the dominant new platform for the, next generation of Americans I think I, think borders on on National Suicide

If Taiwan Falls it will make, our ability to fulfill our treaty, commitments with Japan and the, Philippines Impossible Las Vegas rules, do not apply what happens there will not, stay there and though we've had a brutal, and this is the third reason debate, about the nature and role of democracy, promotion in American foreign policy, there's something different in my mind, about fending an existing vibrant, democracy from an authoritarian threat, that if America doesn't stand for that, I'm just not sure what we stand for

I would I'm I'm persuaded that, cuttingedge semiconductors belong in, that Garden I have not been persuaded of, basically anything else I believe in in, markets that have Global access, particularly for high R&D High fixed, cost industries that are so important, for our future utilities biotech uh, semiconductors Etc and so um I really, I want to see the maintenance and, expansion of the US operating system as, a global commercial entity

I would cut off the flow of us Capital, both passive and active public and, private to a greater number of sectors I, think a sector specific set of guard, rails is actually much easier to, implement than the multi-list, whack-a-mole we currently play right now, which is a total shambles

I've, long argued for it we need a a gold, standard free trade agreement with the, UK post brexit that could have a docking, provision that other countries could, join when it comes to Aus I give the, Biden Administration a ton of credit for, Aus but in some ways the most important, part of aus is not the pillar one, nuclear sub thing which we could screw, that up we should not screw that up, that's a big deal we need to build more, subs 2.5 Virginia a year let's do that

I would adopt a more restrictive framework with, respect to China and our bilateral, relationship but in return and, simultaneously I would deepen our, engagement with other countries and, assume some intelligent risk in the rest, of the world

Don't be sending, Grandma Palmer I really shouldn't have I, regret it I sure 88y old an yeah I, shouldn't have done it I should have, done it Palmer since his, grandma

I we had a we had an event in my, district like six years ago I was a new, member of Congress we dedicated this, Fitness trail that a an army General who, passed away unexpectedly his widow, raised the money it's beautiful thing, this girl came up to me she was in, eighth grade at the time raised by her, grandparents Shauna Wisconsin rural area, and she's like you know what this event, has so inspired me and general con's, example inspired me like I want to go to, a service academy one day well on, Wednesday this week I'm going to get a, little choked up uh I'm not uh uh I got, to tell this young lady that she got an, appointment to the United States Naval, Academy just like incredible Young, American like man it's awesome

There's still humans like that in, America Patriots

You find talking, to the average American there's a deep, reservoir of Common Sense and decency, that in aggregate gives me great hope, that uh America is a land of, possibilities and don't bet against us

I think it all just comes down to human, beings right our biggest threats are, human threats a contractor doing, something they shouldn't do and our, successes will be a function of our, ability to get the best and the, brightest in cyber to work with DOD and, the federal government

Transcripts

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the China threat um and this is an

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audience that would know it well is a

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very broad topic uh spanning from an app

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that might be on some people's phones in

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the room called Tik Tok to Taiwan um

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what is the scope of the issue as you

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see it and what should we be most

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concerned about big question we'll start

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with you Congressman Gallagher uh well

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first of all thank you for having me

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thanks uh uh to all of uh you for being

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part of this I see a lot of friendly fa

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I can't really see but I think I see

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some friendly faces in the audence lot

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friendly faces and some enemies too I

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see a lot of enemies which is good it

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means I'm doing something right um I

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think to take your second question first

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the risk in simplest terms from China is

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is war right and we tend to Discount the

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possibility that xiin ping could do

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something as stupid as try to take

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Taiwan by force because it does look

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irrational from a West perspective but

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if the collapse of deterrence in Ukraine

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has taught us anything it's that

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particularly when you're dealing with

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autocratic systems who just don't have

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robust feedback loops they could do

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something that looks irrational from our

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perspective that we think is deterred or

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deter and yet from their perspective of

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preserving the regime makes sense and so

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my concern is that despite what's

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happening in Ukraine despite the fact

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that the system is blinking red across

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the world despite the erosion of the

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conventional balance of power

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particularly the indopacific we are

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still we still have not fielded a

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deterrence by denile posture that makes

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absolutely no sense and if you look at

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what just happened in Jordan right this

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is something that should have been

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obvious to anybody that watched the

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Iranian attack on the Saudi oil facility

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a few years ago thecake oil facility the

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Army can't do its one Jrock its one

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joint function which is defense for our

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expeditionary bases against missiles and

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drones like this we're on the wrong side

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of the cost curve look at all the SM

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sixs we've expended in the Red Sea right

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now we haven't moved to maximum

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production rates of long range Precision

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fire so beyond all the talk about

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decoupling and ideological Warfare and

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Tik Tock if we don't get the hard power

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side of the equation right we may

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stumble into war on someone else's terms

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and it's going to be horrific it will

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look the current it will make the

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current crises in the Middle East and

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Ukraine look like child's playing

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comparison other than that I'm an

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optimist Congressman aen class I'd love

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to hear your take on it yeah I

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appreciate the chance to be here and

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it's good to be here with the chairman

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of of the China select committee uh I

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think America is going to out compete

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China I think we're going to win this

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contest if we want to and those are the

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four words that I spend a lot of time

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thinking about if we want to because the

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competition between America and China is

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a competition of worldviews China views

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individuals as ponds of the state the

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United States was founded upon the

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Timeless ideal that individuals have

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inherent worth and value

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and those are mutually inconsistent ways

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of approaching governance of approaching

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economics of approaching diplomacy and

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and uh great power competition and we

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must win and we can if we want to and

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the reason I am concerned about if we

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want to is that we are seeing increasing

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uh antibodies against the free and open

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Society upon which the United States is

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premised we're seeing on the on the

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right this blood and soil nationalism

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obviously articulated by Donald Trump

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that is fundamentally about closing

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America off and we see on the hard

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left a rejection of Western society and

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what it represents from the

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enlightenment onwards and both of those

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are wrong there is much for us to be

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proud of in uh what western Society has

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produced and much of it has been

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crystallized in the US form of

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government and we should fight for it uh

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but we should also fight for it not as a

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blood and soil idea but as the American

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creed that

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uh every

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individual regardless of the

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circumstances of their birth should be

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free to pursue their aspirations in life

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yeah so one thing from the outside

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looking in it seems like there is

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bipartisan support uh agreement around

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how important this issue is I'm sure

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there's some sparring internally it

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would be great to understand where you

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two are in alignment where where there's

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consensus on the committee and then what

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are the the major points of disagreement

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yeah we're laughing because this morning

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uh there's a little bit of fist to cuffs

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on the committee I heard uh I'll let the

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chairman start though it's all good uh

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well I do think it gets to like maybe

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something like we are trying to do our

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committee's work amidst what is a very

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fractious uh political environment right

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and I I'm I have yet to meet sort of

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like the person who's enthusiastic about

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this Trump V Biden rematch and so there

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is like a a big black hole that is the

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2024 election sucking everything into to

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its wake and that is a challenge it's a

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challenge to get anything done in

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Congress uh on a good day I do think in

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the last year of our committee's work uh

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proves this that there is Broad

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agreement that on the nature of the

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threat uh that we must do something

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about it that we're not attacking it

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with a sense of urgency when it comes to

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um I think the sort of military aspect

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of the competition I actually think

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there's more agreement than disagreement

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um on the

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ideological uh aspect of the competition

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there's disagreement within the

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Republican party on to what what

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priority do you give ideological Warfare

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I give it a high priority largely

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because xiin ping uh seems to think it's

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important having studied the collapse of

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the Soviet Union he concluded that the

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main problem was insufficient commitment

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to to ideology and part of the reason we

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won the old cold Wars because Reagan was

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quite good at ideological Warfare but on

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the economic side I actually don't think

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it's like it's a clear Republicans have

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an approach Democrats have an approach

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there's weird Bedell

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uh and I think Jake and I would agree on

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the fact and he's actually one of the

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the loudest voices in his party for a

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pro correct wrong a prot trade agenda

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and though we had somewhat of a

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disagreement about whether to revoke

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permanent normal trade relations with

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China I think yes Jake thinks no I think

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we agree on the idea that as we adopt a

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more competitive economic relationship

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with China economically um we need to be

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enhancing intensifying our economic and

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Technologic Partnerships with the rest

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of the world and assume some intelligent

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risks and I do think the absence of a

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trade agenda uh is a huge Grand

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strategic gap for both parties right now

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if that makes sense just one I think the

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primary point of disagreement sometimes

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is on the relative prioritization of

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climate change in the relationship with

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China uh as well as the prospect uh of

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Engagement with the CCP at the highest

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levels what that might yield I'm more

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skeptical of that than some of my my my

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Democratic uh friends I agree that it's

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not always Democrat versus Republican

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where there's disagreements and I think

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the the sort of uh productive desent

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that I try to add into the committee uh

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is we spend a lot of time focusing

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on uh competition with China that can be

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Zero Sum it's about export controls it

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is about restrictions on licensing it is

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about tariffs obviously it is about uh

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uh playing keep away with intellectual

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property

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and there is a place for that and it's

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important but ultimately I think in the

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Sino American competition 90% of the

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questions that matter are about America

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not about China China's got 1.4 billion

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people they are a highly motivated

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well-educated Workforce they're going to

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create a bunch of impressive stuff and

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the questions that I find most impactful

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for our future are about are we

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investing in basic research and

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development are we in are we trying to

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attract uh High skilled and frankly low

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skilled immigration to the US economy

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which keep Keeps Us Dynamic do we have

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rule of law and contract enforcement are

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we investing in quality infrastructure

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like the boring stuff that we should be

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focused on before Washington gets

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distracted by like Quantum strategy and

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my contention is we here in Washington

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we're not doing a good enough job in the

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boring stuff we should take care of that

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we should be asking ourselves hey in the

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latest pie of tests program for

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international student assessment

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American 15-year-olds went backwards on

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math scores that is what should be

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animating us cuz if American

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15-year-olds can't do math we're not out

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of competing anybody I don't care what

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our what our semiconductor strategy is

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yeah yeah yeah well speaking of

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semiconductor strategy I mean that is

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one thing that is top of mind for this

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audience for our Founders chip

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production you know it it is it is

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something that if it is catastrophically

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disrupted um I would love to hear how

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you're thinking about worst case

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scenario you know how how you even think

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about how to respond if something like

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that were to come to pass specifically

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with Taiwan well I guess one of the

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reasons though it's not the only reason

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uh that Taiwan is important because if

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there was even a blockade scenario that

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played out it would be profoundly

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disruptive to the global economy and

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you're talking trillions of dollars lost

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in even the low-end modeling for

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something like this and then if they

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were somehow able to take Taiwan which

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admittedly is a very hard problem just

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from a a pure like invading an island

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and doing an amphibious assault is a

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hard problem Jake's a marine I'm a

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marine this is something that we are uh

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we are we are raised to to understand

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Zack Shore is a marine I think although

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he was mostly drinking the entire time

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with me we were roommates in Carl's Bad

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luckily Facebook had just started so

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none of it's online so just sneaked

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under the radar

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yeah good BL it's it's mutually assured

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destruction bro so you launch your

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missiles I'm launching mine um uh so uh

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and I also think maybe the conceptual

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mistake we made with the chips act uh

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and I know there's disagreement about

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the chips Act is that um we need by

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onshoring onshoring production of

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semiconductors to America would somehow

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enhance deterrence but I wonder if the

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opposite could be true right the more we

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onshore the less relevant Taiwan is and

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therefore the more attractive of a

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Target is or just as a question of

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investment would it have been better to

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fund a ships act in order to make an

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invasion uh impossible if not highly

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unlikely because even if they don't

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establish a logement in Invasion it's

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going to massively muck up the entire

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global economy but the economic reason

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is not the only reason Taiwan is

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important if Taiwan Falls it will make

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our ability to fulfill our treaty

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commitments with Japan and the

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Philippines Impossible Las Vegas rules

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do not apply what happens there will not

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stay there and though we've had a brutal

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and this is the third reason debate

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about the nature and role of democracy

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promotion in American foreign policy

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there's something different in my mind

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about fending an existing vibrant

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democracy from an authoritarian threat

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that if America doesn't stand for that

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I'm just not sure what we stand for so

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we should also stand for Ukraine agree

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yeah yeah let's do

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it tell your speaker I will stand right

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now for you so one thing that's that's

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also on the agenda for this week and I

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know we're jumping around a lot but you

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all cover such breth on the committee um

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is you're holding the CCC cyber threat

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um to the Homeland and National Security

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um uh hearing tomorrow most citizens

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when they think about cyber threats

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until recently they didn't think about

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attacks on critical infrastructure

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things that could take out the power

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grid by nation states what what you've

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learned about these threats what how do

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you assure the American people that

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things are going to be all right or or

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is it actually a a bad scenario that we

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should be very concerned about as

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Citizens uh it's a it's a legitimate

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threat and we need to harden our targets

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electoral systems public water supplies

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um utilities they've made big strides in

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the last five years and it's been a

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bipartisan issue under under uh

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cisa and Homeland Security to make

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themselves harder targets a source of

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good jobs for young people as well

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Massachusetts has created a lot of good

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cyber security certificates around this

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area but actually the the sort of

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digital threat I'm by far the most

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concerned about is is Tik Tok we are

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seeding the ideological ground to our

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adversary to inculcate the next

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generation of Americans into a worldview

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that uh is really I think antithetical

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to a lot of what we stand for and the

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chairman has been articulate about this

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and in the Free Press which I read your

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essay on that oh wow thank you uh we

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have I think I read all your stuff too I

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think we've got to force a sail I just

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don't think we would never have allowed

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CBS ABC NBC to be owned by the Soviet

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Union in the 1960s and that is I think

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if anything understating the degree of

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influence that we are seing right now

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and that's not a speech issue you can

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post whatever you want it's a question

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of reach just because we honor and

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respect the First Amendment does not

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mean that we have to allow our biggest

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adversary to control on a black Black

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Box an algorithm that influences

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hundreds of millions of people that is

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not free speech that is the control over

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reach yeah and go ahead I just want to

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foot stomp that and say yes there's a

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concern with Tik Tok that it can track

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your location and uh your your browser

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history that's a huge problem for Zach

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in particular uh uh but that's not the

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primary threat and Jake I think said it

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well I mean to to allow a company uh

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that is owned by bite dance which is

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beholden to the Chinese Communist party

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to be the dominant new platform for the

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next generation of Americans I think I

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think borders on on National Suicide and

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by the way if you are invested in bite

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dance I would assume you want Tik Tok to

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go public in America uh that's not going

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to happen under the current ownership

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structure so it is in your interest for

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there to be a complete separation where

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none of the plumbing is connected and an

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American company controls uh Tik Tock us

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and Doan does Doan things and there's

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control of the algorithm so and just one

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final note on Cyber I do think having

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cheered the cyber space salarium

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commission beyond all the fancy things

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we can do like giving siza the ability

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to do threat hunting on dog networks I

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think it all just comes down to human

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beings right our biggest threats are

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human threats a contractor doing

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something they shouldn't do and our

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successes will be a function of our

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ability to get the best and the

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brightest in cyber to work with DOD and

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the federal government yeah now speaking

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of Tik Tok I mean many are concerned

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about the way that the Tech Community

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engaged with China in previous decades

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how it engages now what are your

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thoughts about the right way that

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technologists that company should be

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engaging with China on on a host of

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issues listen I I don't think anyone

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expects you know andreon or some tech

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company to be the state department but I

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mean if if social justice or ESG is a

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big deal for you and your employees I

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just would ask you to recognize that

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there's no worse ESG actor and no

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greater offender of social justice

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issues than the Chinese Communist party

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they suck on the E the S and they really

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suck on the G

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uh the the G stands for anything it to

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stand for genocide so speak up uh we're

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asking American companies to act like

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American

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companies I mean listen Jake Jake

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mentioned an issue that I I think you

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think there's no agreement on

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immigration and listen immigration

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politics speaking of things that suck

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they really suck uh but I wonder if our

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framework is actually the same right

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like make it difficult if not impossible

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for people to come here illegally but

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when it comes to Legal immigration

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modernize the system where it could

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scale up or down depending on the needs

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of our economy and then when it comes to

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high high skilled immigration and you

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want all these smart people like we

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should actively be on a recruiting

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Mission around the world to scoop up the

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best and the bright I'm going

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to guys don't don't applaud that from

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him because I'm going to throw a red

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flag on that play because we do have a

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republican talking about immigration

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reform when so you get speaker Johnson I

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mean well get speaker Johnson and MIT

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conell saying the quiet pout are loud

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here which is that they'd rather

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campaign on on immigration than govern

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on it and you know that's not you Mike

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saying that but at a certain point the

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Republican party is going to own the

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fact that for 20 years they've been

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telling the American people that

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immigration is broken we have in good

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faith a bill to start fixing it and the

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speaker has said it's that on

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arrival do we have the bill I'm actually

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not this isn't like a rebuttal I don't I

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and people keep asking me about the the

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deal I just don't know what the deal is

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I haven't seen I was on Fox news on

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Saturday and as far as Fox News is

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concerned it is anathema yeah and it's

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because they CH says we can't vote on it

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you got Senator McConnell killing it

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you've got speaker Johnson killing it

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damn you llin Murdoch we we we have we

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have overlap on the policy but on the

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politics I I just I do feel like one

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side is serious about the other side has

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not been as serious about it yeah well

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moving to a more hopeful note um you

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know 10 years ago 10 years ago um you

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know when I first moved to Silicon

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Valley no one was talking about China I

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would actually say even 5 years ago no

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one was talking about China I would love

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to hear from your perspective you know

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we we have a number of great Founders

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where that is the focal point of their

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business now it is top of mind for

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engineers and for Founders in Silicon

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Valley how have you experienced that

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shift with Silicon Valley and do you

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think it's making real progress in in

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the eyes of what you're what you're

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building towards as

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well I'm might actually put that

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question back on you I mean you're the

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one running the American dynamism

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portfolio and and I I would imagine that

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the Spectre of China has galvanized some

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of the entrepreneurs that you work with

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to want to work with the United States

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government which is not a particularly

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fun customer to have to deal with but

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they've said if we're serious about

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being in the 21st century what we became

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in the 20th 20th century the the the

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guarantor of the Pax Americana and The

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Shining Light uh we have to do housing

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we have to do military we we got to do

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utilities we got to do energy all the

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stuff that I think in the

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first uh boom out of Silicon Valley was

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really overlooked uh so I think that's

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inspiring and I would just encourage

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everyone here to uh to keep pushing the

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US government to be a better customer

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and I say this all the time to the

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Department of Defense we do not need the

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Department of Defense to be a venture

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capitalist we don't need it to be an

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equities investor we need the Department

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of Defense to be a good reliable

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expeditious customer and until they get

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that right I don't think we're going to

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fully realize the the the possibilities

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of your

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portfolio yeah I'll just I'll just

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quickly here I'm actually cautiously

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optimistic here and it's not just cuz we

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now have I've always wanted to do like a

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time-lapse photo of the like the banner

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of sponsors at the Reagan National

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Defense Forum and I actually think it

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tells like a good story about new and

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interesting companies um who want to

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work with DOD definely or at least want

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to hang out with me for two days uh at

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Reagan um uh we've had outspoken voices

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obviously who I think are great like Dr

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carpet palen here like Palmer lucky uh

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who's bu he here is he wearing shoes uh

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not this year it was here last year

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Andre um but I think there's more people

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that want to get in that game and want

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to try and break down the barriers to

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working with DOD and it is ultimately

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however to Jake's Point going to take

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Dodd actually making big bets on a few

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companies that are non primes because we

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just keep admiring the Valley of Death

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problem and that that's the sort of the

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less hopeful side of the equation if you

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go to Reagan almost every year the

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secretary comes it doesn't matter if it

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was madis or now Austin it kind of gives

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the same speech about we're GNA cross

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the valley of death and this and that

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and that's where we just need to

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appropriate money to DOD right we're

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talking about a supplemental right now

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what are we supplementing we haven't

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actually passed a DOD appropriation and

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then we have to force DOD to make big

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bets on things and then we in Congress

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have to make sure that if some of those

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bets don't work out which they all won't

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that we won't just rake them over the

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coals we need to celebrate original

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mistakes while vilifying and demonizing

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making the same mistakes over and over

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again so this is a question

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this is a question that's going to allow

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our our audience to dream but if there

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were a president aen classus or

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president Gallagher how would that

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Administration address the relationship

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with China and Technology differently

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would it be different what would you T

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do tactically well Jake and I are here

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today to

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[Laughter]

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announce I would love to be president of

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an obscure liberal arts university

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actually the politics of that would be

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to be brutal no you would

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yeah will you want to tackle that first

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yeah uh if I if I were president how

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would I tackle the US China

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technological relation is there

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something tactical you would do on day

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one so and this is I think a a a point

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of I think uh a genuine maybe

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intellectual disagreement here Jake

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Sullivan has talked about a a a small

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garden with a high fence and this idea

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that there are some things that we're

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going to protect with all measures

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available um I would be I would be a

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little bit tougher on how he described

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that Garden than I think uh the current

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approach is because I worry that it

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becomes really an excuse for uh for

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lobbying frankly where every industry

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comes and tells us how strategic they

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are and ultimately it actually makes our

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economy more sclerotic and less Dynamic

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I would I'm I'm persuaded that

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cuttingedge semiconductors belong in

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that Garden I have not been persuaded of

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basically anything else I believe in in

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markets that have Global access

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particularly for high R&D High fixed

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cost industries that are so important

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for our future utilities biotech uh

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semiconductors Etc and so um I I really

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I want to see the maintenance and

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expansion of the US operating system as

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a global commercial entity so I would

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and I actually do think this is and I

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Jake's uh descent on some of our our uh

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econ recommendations was was productive

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I I think it made the final product

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better and I respect his position I

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would cut off the flow of us Capital

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both passive and active public and

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private to a greater number of sectors I

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think a sector specific set of guard

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rails is actually much easier to

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implement than the multi-list

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whack-a-mole we currently play right now

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which is a total shambles and so we have

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Trill billions probably hundreds of

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billions of dollars American dollars

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that are flowing into Chinese technology

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and Military companies that are building

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things like aircraft carriers artillery

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shells fighter jets things that are

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designed to kill Americans in future

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conflict and I think that's perverse I

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think we should close the loopholes for

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licensing exemptions like right now uh

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Huawei is off the mat it's coming back

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with smick semiconductors in part

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because they still have access to us

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technology right we're funding our own

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destruction to me uh it's crazy I would

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tighten up our cfus loopholes that

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people can't buy land for example near

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military bases or critical

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infrastructure but and maybe this is

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where we agree on the positive side I've

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long argued for it we need a a gold

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standard free trade agreement with the

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UK post brexit that could have a docking

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provision that other countries could

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join when it comes to Aus I give the

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Biden Administration a ton of credit for

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Aus but in some ways the most important

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part of aus is not the pillar one

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nuclear sub thing which we could screw

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that up we should not screw that up

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that's a big deal we need to build more

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subs 2.5 Virginia a year let's do that

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uh pillar two on the technology side we

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still have all these outdated barriers

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to cooperation with the Aussies and the

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Brits our closest allies who doesn't

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love the Aussies and the Brits because

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of itar regulation we can't share our

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best technology and people that's a huge

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own goal I would be for a digital Trade

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Agreement like we have ipf which is our

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only trade thing in indcom is not a real

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thing and it's less of a real thing now

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that they've neutered ipf and it was

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neutered to start with so I think again

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to get to the basic balance I would

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adopt a more restrictive framework with

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respect to China and our bilateral

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relationship but in return and

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simultaneously I would deepen our

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engagement with other countries and

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assume some intelligent risk in the rest

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of the world yeah so I want to end with

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a personal question from my 88-year-old

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aunt in Chicago uh I sent her a couple

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months ago I sent her a video of Palmer

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lucky and she called me very upset said

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Katie I didn't know that I needed to be

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worried about China too and I think

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that's something that a lot of Americans

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feel the world feels like it's on fire

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it feels like another thing that they

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have to worry about the work you're

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doing what can you tell my 88-year-old

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aunt and other Americans that would

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assuage their fears and make them feel

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like we're on the right course on the

play24:26

China threat well don't be sending

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Grandma Palmer I really shouldn't have I

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regret it I sure 88y old an yeah I

play24:32

shouldn't have done it I should have

play24:33

done it Palmer since his

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grandma uh I'll give you a hopeful uh

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story um that happened this week uh in

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my district and I think it gets to sort

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of the generational she's part of the

play24:44

greatest Generation the Boomers screwed

play24:46

it up they continue to screw it up there

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should be no Boomers allowed to run for

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president ever uh although Biden's not a

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boomer he's so old he's not a boomer

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silent he's a member of the greatest

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Generation or the silent gener

play24:57

generation yeah he's older than the

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People's Republic of China if you can

play25:00

believe it

play25:01

uh uh true fact check me fact check uh

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okay so I we had a we had an event in my

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district like six years ago I was a new

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member of Congress we dedicated this

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Fitness trail that a an army General who

play25:15

passed away unexpectedly his widow

play25:16

raised the money it's beautiful thing

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this girl came up to me she was in

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eighth grade at the time raised by her

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grandparents Shauna Wisconsin rural area

play25:23

and she's like you know what this event

play25:25

has so inspired me and general con's

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example inspired me like I want to go to

play25:28

a service academy one day well on

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Wednesday this week I'm going to get a

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little choked up uh I'm not uh uh I got

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to tell this young lady that she got an

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appointment to the United States Naval

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Academy just like incredible Young

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American like man it's awesome so

play25:44

there's still humans like that in

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America Patriots Yeah he stole my answer

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I would tell her to join me on my phone

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calls telling young people they got

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appointed to the service you read those

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resumΓ©s you look at their achievements

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and then you talk to them about why they

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want to why they want to serve and it is

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restorative for your sense of optimism

play26:02

um and to tell to come knock doors with

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me in my district and you find talking

play26:06

to the average American there's a deep

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reservoir of Common Sense and decency

play26:11

that in aggregate gives me great hope

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that uh America is a land of

play26:15

possibilities and don't bet against us

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yeah Congressman aen classus Gallagher

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this was a lot of fun

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[Applause]

play26:26

said

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