COMO FUNCIONAM AS ELEIÇÕES NOS EUA

SmallAdvantages
4 Jul 202414:16

Summary

TLDRThe script offers an insightful explanation of the U.S. Electoral College system, using marshmallows to symbolize votes and states. It clarifies why winning the popular vote doesn't always secure a presidential win, highlighting the 'winner takes all' principle at the state level. The video also contrasts the U.S. system with Brazil's, noting differences in voting methods, compulsory voting, and the prevalence of two major parties in the U.S. The script concludes by emphasizing the importance of understanding the electoral process beyond the noise of politics.

Takeaways

  • 🗳️ In the United States, the popular vote does not always determine the election winner due to the Electoral College system.
  • 🍬 The script uses marshmallows to illustrate the concept of state representation and the 'winner takes all' principle in each state's electoral vote.
  • 🏛️ The Electoral College assigns a specific number of delegates to each state based on population, with the most populous states having more delegates.
  • 🏆 The goal in the presidential election is to reach 270 electoral votes out of a total of 538 to win the presidency.
  • 🔴 The script highlights the importance of swing states, which can vote for different parties in different elections and can significantly influence the outcome.
  • 🇺🇸 The two-party system in the U.S., dominated by Democrats and Republicans, makes it difficult for third-party or independent candidates to gain relevance.
  • 🏢 The Electoral College was designed to balance power between states and the federal government, ensuring even smaller states have a voice.
  • 📊 The script mentions a 2020 Pure research Center poll indicating that 58% of adults prefer the president to be elected by popular vote.
  • 🗳️ In Brazil, unlike the U.S., if no candidate gets over 50% of the votes in the first round, a second round is held to ensure majority support.
  • 📝 Voting in the U.S. is typically done by paper ballots or mail-in ballots, not electronic voting, which has its own set of advantages and challenges.
  • 🎉 The script concludes with a reminder to enjoy life beyond the stresses of politics and to find joy in simple pleasures like marshmallows.

Q & A

  • Why did Donald Trump win the 2016 U.S. Presidential Election despite losing the popular vote to Hillary Clinton?

    -Donald Trump won the 2016 election because he secured more electoral votes. In the U.S., the Electoral College system means that the candidate who wins the majority of votes in a state gets all of that state's electoral votes, regardless of the margin of victory. This system can result in a candidate winning the presidency without winning the national popular vote.

  • What is the 'Winner Takes All' principle in the context of U.S. elections?

    -The 'Winner Takes All' principle refers to the method by which the candidate who wins the most votes in a state receives all of that state's electoral votes, not just a proportion based on the vote count. This can lead to a candidate winning the presidency even if they did not receive the most individual votes nationwide.

  • How does the number of electoral votes per state relate to the state's population?

    -The number of electoral votes a state has is based on its population. More populous states, like California, have more electoral votes, while less populous states have fewer. This allocation aims to balance the influence of both large and small states in the election of the U.S. President.

  • What is the minimum number of electoral votes a state can have, and why?

    -The minimum number of electoral votes a state can have is three. This is because each state is guaranteed at least three votes in the Electoral College, regardless of its population, to ensure that smaller states also have a voice in the election process.

  • What is the total number of electoral votes needed to win the U.S. Presidential Election, and why is this number significant?

    -The total number of electoral votes needed to win the U.S. Presidential Election is 270. This is significant because it represents the majority of the 538 electoral votes, and securing a majority is required to win the presidency.

  • Why do political parties focus on 'swing states' during U.S. elections?

    -Political parties focus on 'swing states' because these are states that do not consistently vote for one party and can change their allegiance between elections. Since these states can swing the balance of electoral votes, winning them can be crucial to securing a majority in the Electoral College.

  • What is the historical purpose of the Electoral College in the United States?

    -The Electoral College was designed to balance the power between the states and the federal government. It ensured that even smaller states had a voice in the election of the President, and it provided a practical way to organize and unify the diverse states into a single national decision.

  • Why is changing the Electoral College system in the United States considered difficult?

    -Changing the Electoral College system is difficult because it requires a supermajority in Congress and the approval of three-fourths of the states. Given the current political divide, achieving such consensus is nearly impossible.

  • How does the U.S. voting system compare to the Brazilian system in terms of voter participation and compulsory voting?

    -In the U.S., voting is not compulsory, which means there is a lower voter turnout compared to Brazil, where voting is mandatory. The Brazilian system tends to have a higher participation rate and is considered to provide a more accurate representation of the people's will.

  • What are the differences between the U.S. and Brazilian election processes in terms of the number of rounds and the timing of elections?

    -In the U.S., presidential elections occur every four years, always on the first Tuesday in November. If no candidate receives a majority of votes, there is no second round; the winner is determined by the Electoral College. In Brazil, elections also occur every four years, but they are held on the first Sunday in October, with a possible second round on the last Sunday of October if no candidate gets over 50% of the votes.

  • How does the method of voting in the U.S. differ from that in Brazil, and what are the implications of these differences?

    -In the U.S., voting is done by paper ballots or mail-in ballots, depending on the state. This can be less modern compared to electronic voting systems but avoids some of the issues associated with technology. In contrast, Brazil uses electronic voting, which is more modern but also comes with its own set of challenges.

Outlines

00:00

🗳️ Understanding the U.S. Electoral College System

This paragraph explains the U.S. Electoral College system, highlighting how winning the popular vote does not guarantee election victory. It uses the analogy of marshmallows representing states and their populations to demonstrate the 'winner takes all' principle, where the candidate with the most votes in a state wins all of its electoral votes. The paragraph also introduces the concept of swing states and emphasizes the importance of winning states regardless of the margin of victory, as exemplified by the 2016 election results between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump.

05:00

🏛️ The Significance of Swing States in U.S. Elections

The second paragraph delves into the importance of swing states in U.S. presidential elections. It contrasts the outcomes of the 2016 and 2020 elections, where despite winning the popular vote, the Democratic candidate lost the electoral vote. The paragraph discusses the distribution of electoral votes among states and the impact of winning key states, even with smaller margins, on the overall election outcome. It also touches on the historical rationale behind the Electoral College and the challenges of changing this system due to the need for a supermajority in Congress and state approvals.

10:01

🌐 Comparing U.S. and Brazilian Election Systems

The final paragraph compares the U.S. Electoral College system with the Brazilian election process, noting the differences in voting mechanisms, the role of political parties, and the impact of compulsory voting in Brazil. It also mentions the challenges of third-party candidates in the U.S. and the higher voter turnout in Brazil due to compulsory voting. The paragraph concludes with a reflection on the upcoming U.S. presidential election in 2024 and a reminder to enjoy life beyond the political sphere, symbolized by the marshmallow analogy and the suggestion to smile and breathe amidst the election fervor.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Electoral College

The Electoral College is a system used in the United States for electing the President and Vice President. It consists of electors who are chosen by each state and the District of Columbia, and the number of electors is based on the state's population. In the video, the Electoral College is explained using marshmallows to represent the electors, emphasizing that the candidate who wins the popular vote in a state does not necessarily win the presidency, as the winner of each state takes all the electoral votes, a concept known as 'winner-takes-all'.

💡Popular Vote

The popular vote refers to the total number of votes cast by individuals for a particular candidate in an election. The script mentions that in 2016, Hillary Clinton won the popular vote by nearly 3 million votes but lost the election to Donald Trump, highlighting the difference between winning the popular vote and winning the Electoral College, which ultimately determines the election outcome.

💡Swing States

Swing states, also known as 'battleground states' or 'purple states,' are those that do not consistently vote for one political party and can swing either way during an election. The video script uses the example of Ohio and Wisconsin to illustrate the importance of swing states in presidential elections, as winning these states can be crucial to reaching the 270 electoral votes needed to win the presidency.

💡Winner-Takes-All

The 'winner-takes-all' system is a voting system in which the candidate who wins the most votes in a jurisdiction takes all of the electoral votes from that jurisdiction. The script explains this concept using the marshmallow analogy, where the color representing the winning candidate takes all the marshmallows, or electoral votes, from a state.

💡Delegados (Electors)

In the context of the U.S. Electoral College, 'electors' are individuals who cast electoral votes following the popular vote of their state. The script uses the word 'Delegados' to refer to these electors, emphasizing that each state has a specific number of electors based on its population and that these electors represent the voters in the election of the President.

💡Political Parties

The script discusses the dominance of the Democratic and Republican parties in the U.S. political system, noting that while other parties exist and independent candidates are allowed, it is nearly impossible for non-major party candidates to gain relevance. This is related to the theme of the video as it explains the two-party system's impact on the election process and the challenges faced by third-party candidates.

💡Voter Turnout

Voter turnout refers to the percentage of eligible voters who cast a vote in an election. The video mentions that voter turnout in the U.S. is not as high as it could be, with only about 65-70% of people voting, and this is contrasted with the mandatory voting in Brazil, which leads to higher participation and more representative outcomes.

💡Mandatory Voting

Mandatory voting is a system in which citizens are required to vote in elections, as is the case in Brazil. The script contrasts this with the U.S., where voting is not mandatory, and political parties must work harder to encourage voter participation. This concept is used to illustrate the differences in voter engagement and election dynamics between the two countries.

💡Voting Methods

The script touches on the different methods of voting in the U.S., such as paper ballots or mail-in voting, depending on the state. It contrasts this with the more modern electronic voting systems used in Brazil, suggesting that while the U.S. system may be more traditional, it also has its own set of challenges and benefits.

💡Two-Round System

The two-round system, or run-off voting, is a voting method where if no candidate receives more than 50% of the votes in the first round, the top two candidates go to a second round. The script mentions that this system is used in Brazil to ensure that the winner has the support of the majority, which is a key aspect of ensuring democratic representation.

💡Representation

Representation in the context of the video refers to the extent to which the elected officials reflect the will of the people. The script discusses how mandatory voting in Brazil leads to higher participation and more representative outcomes, while in the U.S., the Electoral College system can sometimes result in a president who did not win the popular vote, raising questions about representation.

Highlights

In the 2016 U.S. election, Hillary Clinton won the popular vote by nearly 3 million votes but lost the election to Donald Trump, illustrating the difference between winning the popular vote and the Electoral College.

U.S. elections are not decided by a simple vote count, but through an Electoral College system that assigns electoral votes to states based on population.

The 'Winner Takes All' principle applies in each state, meaning the candidate with the most votes wins all of the state's electoral votes, even if by a small margin.

The Electoral College consists of 538 electoral votes, with the goal for a candidate to win a majority, which is 270 votes.

The two-party system in the U.S. dominates the political landscape, making it difficult for third-party or independent candidates to gain relevance.

The Electoral College can result in a candidate winning the presidency without the majority of the popular vote, as happened five times in U.S. history, including in 2016.

The concept of 'swing states' is introduced, referring to states that can vote for different parties in different elections, making them crucial in close races.

Swing states like Ohio, Florida, and Pennsylvania can significantly influence the election outcome due to their medium size and electoral votes.

The Electoral College was designed to balance power between states and the federal government, ensuring smaller states have a voice in national elections.

The Electoral College system is not perfect and has been criticized, with a 2020 Pure research Center poll showing 58% of adults prefer a popular vote system.

Changing the Electoral College system to a popular vote system would require a supermajority in Congress and approval from 3/4 of the states, making it highly unlikely.

Brazilian elections often have multiple competitive candidates and are held in two rounds if no candidate gets over 50% of the vote in the first round.

Voting in Brazil is mandatory, leading to higher voter turnout and more representative democracy compared to the U.S. where voting is voluntary.

In the U.S., voting is done by paper ballots or mail-in ballots, depending on the state, contrasting with the more modern electronic voting systems used in Brazil.

The U.S. presidential elections occur every four years, on the first Tuesday of November, with the next election scheduled for November 5, 2024.

The presenter uses a creative 'Marshmallows' analogy to explain the Electoral College, aiming to simplify and clarify the complex system for the audience.

The video concludes with a reminder to enjoy life beyond the chaos of politics and to find joy in simple pleasures like Marshmallows.

Transcripts

play00:00

nos Estados Unidos em 2016 a Democrata

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Hillary Clinton teve quase 3 milhões de

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votos diretos a mais do que o

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Republicano Donald trump mas o trump

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ganhou a eleição Então por que que

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ganhar a maioria dos votos não significa

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necessariamente vencer as eleições nos

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Estados Unidos olha nos Estados Unidos

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as eleições não se resumem a uma simples

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contagem de votos assim meio que

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estranhei um pouco como americano quando

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descobri que é a assim aqui no Brasil

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para meu que demonstrar eu

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trouxe Marshmallows americanos Imagine

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que cada saco de Marshmallows representa

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um estado e cada estado tem um número

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diferente de marshmallow de acordo com

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sua população votos Diferentes né vamos

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contar os votos desse

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estado as boas pessoas pessoas incríveis

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da Califórnia votaram vamos contar os

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votos abrir a urna e digamos que

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marshmallow branco é para biden

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marshmallow cor de rosa é para trump

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vamos lá

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F 21 já parece que branco vai

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ganhar

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2 então Branco biden ganha o estado de

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califrnia

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tem mais uma aqui então o que acontece

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eu vou colocar todos os vtos aqui BR e

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Cor de Rosa fechar as urnas no estado

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todo e todos os delegados desse estado

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vão volar para biden É isso mesmo o

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ganhador o biden leva tudo desse estado

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até as pessoas que não votaram para o ba

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no estado da Califórnia esse Cor de Rosa

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aqui Winner Takes off e assim em cada

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estado independentemente da margem da

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Vitória O Vencedor leva tudo ao que a

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gente chama em inglês de The Winner

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Takes Ó mas não todos os vtos todos os

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delegados isso é muito importante todos

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o quê delegado aqui vou colocar o mapa

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do electoral College o colégio eleitoral

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dos Estados Unidos cada estado tem um

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número específico de Delegados de acordo

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com sua população esses Delegados

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representam os eleitores por exemplo a

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Califórnia o estado mais populoso possui

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54 delegados Texas 40 Florida 30 Nova

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York 28 e assim por diante até os

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estados menos populosos que tem o mínimo

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três né wyoming verm então o vencedor do

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voto popular dentro do estado na nação

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não no país não dentro do Estado O

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Vencedor leva todos os delegados daquele

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estado não os votos delegado vamos supor

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que esse é de Ohio meu estado materno

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Vamos fazer outra Contagem o Ohio é um

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estado um pouco menor da Califórnia só

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tem 17 Delegados em vez de

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54 vou tirar uns marshmallo aí vamos

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começar a contar os votos al so we have

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2 f si 8 10 12 14 15 e aí para Cor de

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Rosa 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 19 dessa vez

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Cor de Rosa ganha 19 Ah que que eu falei

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15 Então você sabe o que acontece né

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Vamos imaginar a grande fechando e todos

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esses votos vão ser representados pelos

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17 Delegados do Ohio e já podemos

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atualizar o mapa então Cor de Rosa

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ganhou no meu estado Vamos colocar em

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Red vermelho você sempre pode lembrar

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Red right direto republican Republicano

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né Red right republican cada estado

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adiciona seus pontos seus Delegados a

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contagem Nacional estados grandes como

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Califórnia e Texas tem mais Delegados

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então vem cular é importante mas não

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fundamental Como já vamos ver no total

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são

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538 Delegados em jogo o objetivo é

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alcançar a maioria ou seja o número

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mágico é

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270 Delegados para ganhar a presidência

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a propósito nos Estados Unidos também os

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partidos democrat e republican nossa

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esquerda direita dominam o sistema

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político embora o país possua outros

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partidos e permita candidaturas

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Independentes é difícil quase impossível

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que candidatos que não sejam

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republicanos ou Democratas ganham

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relevância aparecem nas cédulas de

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votação um pouco mais sobre isso já já

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mas agora vamos analisar melhor as

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consequências desse sistema do electoral

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College primeiro faz com que nem sempre

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ganha a eleição quem tem o maior número

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de votos isso aconteceu cinco vezes na

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história eleitoral americana sendo a

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última em 2020 2016 desculpa Como já

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mencionei naquele ano a Democrata

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Hillary Clinton teve quase 3 milhões de

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votos diretos a mais do que o

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Republicano Donald trump no entanto ela

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conquistou somente

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232 Delegados contra

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306 do trump isso aconteceu porque na

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Califórnia por exemplo Hillary Clinton

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ganhou por Muito muitos mais votos do

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que o Donald trump enquanto esses outros

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estados que o trump ganhou esses estados

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vermelhos Nebraska Ohio wisconsin a

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margem da Vitória foi bem menos assim

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ele ganhou mas com menos porcentagem do

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voto assim essa diferença entre o voto

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popular né Hillary trump ganhou por

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muito e nas grandes cidades também que

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sempre são Democratas do que o trump

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repúblicanos geralmente ganha áreas mais

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rurais assim fora das grandes cidades

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ess É com certeza diferença grande entre

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os Estados Unidos e o Brasil então por

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um lado um candidato pode ganhar sem ter

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a maioria dos votos Mas por outro lado a

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conquista de certos estados mesmo os

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pequenos tamanho médio pode ser a chave

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para vencer a corrida presidencial igual

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no Ohio wisconsin Como já mencionei

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agora é por isso que os partidos ficam

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de olho nesse chamados swing States

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swing States são estados que mudam de

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lado nas eleições de vez en quando e s

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uma tradução seria meio que estado

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oscilante ou estado pêndulo né esses

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termos referem-se a estados que não tem

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uma lealdade partidária Clara e podem

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votar em diferentes partidos em

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diferentes eleições na Califórnia que

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não é um swing state por exemplo é quase

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sempre Democrata o Texas também é

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praticamente garantido pros republicanos

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mas em Estados como Ohio H Florida

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pennsylvania Michigan Arizona North

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Carolina normalmente a disputa por votos

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é como vocês dizem a unha tooth and nail

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como dizemos em inglês justamente pelo

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potencial de virada ano por ano desses

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estados com bastante Delegados ainda né

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tamanho médio podem influenciar bastante

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a eleição ainda os candidatos sempre

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visitam focam nesses estados nesses

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swing States antes das eleições então

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Resumindo mesmo que os votos da

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Califórnia e do Texas sejam importantes

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o sistema ainda dá mais peso pros

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Estados de tamanho médio sem um lealdade

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partidária Clara Nessa altura do

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campeonato você pode estar se

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perguntando Mas por que existe o tal

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electoral College Esse colégio eleitoral

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nos Estados Unidos né qual é a

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finalidade dessa coisa toda dessa

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loucura toda é porque desde o início os

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fundadores dos Estados Unidos conceberam

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um sistema onde os estados tem tem tanto

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poder quanto o país inteiro o que é bem

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diferente daqui do Brasil por exemplo

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temos leis que variam estado por estado

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limite de velocidade nas rodovias Onde

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se vende álcool tipo no meu estado no

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Colorado Não dá para vender álcool no

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supermercado são em lojas separadas mas

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isso varia estado por estado Imposto de

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Renda estado por estado é muito

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diferente tem estados que cobram pelo

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que você ganha tem estados que cobram

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pela propriedade pela pelo terreno que

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você possui os estados que não mas essa

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igualdade de poder dentre os estados com

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a nação toda significava que até os

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estados pequenos só afastados tipo

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naquela época Kentucky os estados

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pequenos delaware o estado mais pequeno

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menor estado Rode Island fez com que

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tinham voz e volta igual no nível

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Nacional também mesmo de longe ou com

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pouca gente lembrem que no século XVI

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quando o meu país nasceu assim e quando

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conceberam o electoral College eles não

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tinham toda essa tecnologia que temos

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hoje então precisavam de uma forma

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prática de organização e assim surgiram

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os delegados que garantiam que cada

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estado fosse Unificado ouvido

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compreendido no nível Nacional até mesmo

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quando tinham que viajar de cavalo para

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a capital para entregar os votos eu

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especialmente quero enfatizar também que

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não é um sistema perfeito é longe de

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perfeito e nunca foi perfeito na verdade

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tipo até mesmo naquela época

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considerava-se um compromisso entre

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outros sistemas que talvez teriam

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funcionado melhor e até hoje muita gente

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odeia real existe uma pesquisa de 2020

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do Pure research Center que mostra que

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58% dos adultos preferem que o

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presidente seja eleito pelo voto popular

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como aqui no Brasil ou seja quem tiver

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mais votos no país todo ganha mas o

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electoral College beneficia o partido no

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poder então é difícil de mudar para

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mudar esse sistema do colégio eleitoral

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para ser mais como o Brasil um voto

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popular né Precisa de uma super maioria

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no Congresso aprovação de 3 qu4 dos

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Estados então é uma missão quase

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impossível especialmente hoje com a

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brecha cada vez maior entre os os

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partidos políticos Mas além do sistema

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Eleitoral do Brasil ser mais simples

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estranhei que as eleições normalmente

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ocorrem em dois turnos Se necessário né

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se nenhum candidato conseguir mais de

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50% dos votos no primeiro turno os dois

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mais votados vão para o segundo turno

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faz sentido né isso garante que o

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vencedor tem o apoio da da maioria assim

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E além disso pelo que eu vi no Brasil

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aqui existe uma maior variedade

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de candidatos com chances reais embora

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os principais partidos dominem é comum

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ver mais de dois candidatos competitivos

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Eu me lembro bem da candidatura da

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campanha da Marina Silva em 2014 que me

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fascinou naquela época justamente porque

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nós americanos quase nunca temos ninguém

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de fora os dois grandes partidos se

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candidatando com tanta força com tanto

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sucesso e outra coisa legal como o VTO

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Aqui no Brasil é obrigatório e isso

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significa uma participação mais alta e

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uma

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representatividade mais fiel da vontade

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do Povo Inteiro né o voto não é

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obrigatório nos Estados Unidos o que

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demanda assim bem mais esforço Por parte

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dos partidos políticos para conseguirem

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fazer com que o eleitor saia de casa

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tenha vontade de votar Eu tenho esse

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gráfico aqui e dá para ver que só tipo

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65 chegando 70% das pessoas voltam nas

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eleições tá sendo um pouco melhor agora

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tipo 2020 foi mas eu acho que em 2024

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agora vai ter menos gente votando mesmo

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por menos interesse em biden e trump de

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novo como se os brasileiros dizem Pois é

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outra coisa é que o voto nos Estados

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Unidos é feito por meio de cédulas de

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papel ou por correio dependendo do

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estado mais uma vez no meu estado no

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Colorado eu recebo o meu ballet no

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correio para preencher com caneta os

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eleitores marcam suas escolhas com

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caneta lápis nunca viu um computador nem

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num centro de votação isso é muito

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moderno algo que a gente pode aprender

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com o Brasil mas que tem os seus

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próprios problemas também vamos ter

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eleição nesse ano agora em 2024 nos

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Estados Unidos onde as eleições

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presidenciais ocorrem a cada 4 anos

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eleições presidenciais no Brasil também

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acontecem a cada 4 anos né mas em anos

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diferentes dos Estados Unidos a próxima

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eleição presidencial aqui no Brasil está

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marcada para outubro de 2026 e no Brasil

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as eleições ocorrem sempre no primeiro

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domingo de outubro e se necessário o

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segundo turno acontece no último domingo

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de outubro é o que eu aprendi nos

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Estados Unidos as eleições ocorrem

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sempre na primeira terça-feira de

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Novembro então será em 5 de novembro de

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2024 este ano o aniversário da minha

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sogra então no dia 6 de novembro dia

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depois quando você ouvir falar sobre

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eleição nos Estados Unidos nesse ano tas

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notícias insanas lembre-se

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desse jogo dos Marshmallows que o

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electoral College espero ter te ajudado

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a entender melhor como funcionam as

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coisas por aí E não se esqueça também

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que a vida é boa existe um mundo fora do

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celular da loucura que está acontecendo

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sempre lá longe na

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capital aqui respire sorria com os

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Marshmallows

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good

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Связанные теги
Electoral CollegeU.S. ElectionsPolitical SystemVoting ProcessHillary ClintonDonald TrumpSwing StatesVoter ParticipationDemocracyEducational ContentMarshmallow Analogy
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