Why NotCoin is up 🤩 Not Crypto Token Analysis
Summary
TLDR视频中探讨了Not Coin(一种Ton网络上的meme币)价格迅速上涨的现象,并质疑其背后的原因。目前价格为1.2美元,单日涨幅达26%,本周内价格翻倍。视频分析了Ton网络的总锁定价值、活跃地址数和Stak Ton数据,发现这些指标并没有显著增长,暗示价格上涨可能并非完全由有机增长驱动。交易量主要集中在币安等中心化交易所,而Ton区块链上几乎没有交易量,表明价格波动可能涉及市场操纵。视频建议,鉴于潜在的操纵行为,Not Coin不适合长期持有,而应作为活跃交易的对象,并建议使用移动止损策略来应对可能的价格下跌。
Takeaways
- 📈 视频讨论了Not Coin价格快速上涨的现象,并质疑其背后的原因。
- 🌐 Not Coin是TON网络上最大的迷因币,当前价格为1.2美元,当日上涨26%,本周内价格翻倍。
- 🎨 视频提到Not Coin的网站和白皮书都颇具创意,但内容空洞,暗示其为一个被精心部署的迷因币。
- 📊 视频展示了TON区块链上的总锁定价值(TVL)自今年2月以来急剧上升,超过3亿美元。
- 🤔 视频质疑这种增长是否完全是有机的,即自然增长,还是有人为操纵。
- 📈 TON币本身在过去一年内上涨超过3.5倍,当前价格为650美元。
- 🔍 视频分析了TON链上的一些数据,如地址数量和Stak TON,但发现这些指标并没有显著增长。
- 📊 视频指出,TON链上的许多应用并没有导致价格的显著上涨,而是TON币本身的价格上涨带动了其他资产。
- 💡 视频通过TON Stakers和defi Lama的数据发现,Not Coin的价格上涨主要是由于TON币的上涨。
- 📉 视频指出Not Coin在链上的交易活动很少,而大部分交易量发生在中心化交易所,特别是永续期货市场。
- 🚨 视频警告存在操纵的可能性,建议投资者使用追踪止损策略,以防价格突然下跌。
Q & A
为什么Not Coin的价格在快速上涨?
-Not Coin的价格快速上涨,但原因可能并非表面上看起来的那样。虽然许多人认为是因为TON网络的广泛采用,但深入数据后发现情况可能并非完全有机。
Not Coin目前的价格是多少?
-根据脚本中的信息,Not Coin目前的价格是1.2美元,当天上涨了26%。
Not Coin在一周内的涨幅是多少?
-Not Coin在一周内的价格翻了一倍多。
Not Coin的官网有什么特点?
-Not Coin的官网设计得相当有趣,包含一些不错的动画效果,用户可以通过点击来模拟挖掘Not Coin。
Not Coin的白皮书有什么特别之处?
-Not Coin的白皮书被描述为相当有创意,但实际上里面并没有实质性内容。
TON区块链上的总价值锁定(TVL)情况如何?
-TON区块链上的总价值锁定(TVL)目前超过3亿美元,并且自今年2月以来增长非常迅速。
TON网络的采用情况如何?
-TON网络的采用情况看起来相当健康,这通常表现为比特币、以太坊以及竞争区块链和这些区块链上的资产相继上涨。
TON币在过去一年中的表现如何?
-TON币在过去一年中上涨了超过3.5倍,目前价格为650美元。
TON区块链的活跃地址数量有何变化?
-TON区块链的累积地址数量在增加,但这并不代表活跃地址数量,因为任何图表都会随时间上升。
TON区块链上的StakTON情况如何?
-StakTON的数据显示,尽管TON币被质押的数量并没有显著增加,但TON区块链上确实有不少应用。
Not Coin的交易量主要集中在哪里?
-Not Coin的大部分交易量发生在币安(Binance)、Bybit和OKX等中心化交易所,而不是直接在TON区块链上。
Not Coin的交易频率如何?
-Not Coin的交易频率并不高,可能每隔几小时才有一笔转账,但价格却非常活跃。
Not Coin的价格上涨是否可能涉及操纵?
-根据脚本中的分析,Not Coin的价格上涨可能涉及操纵,尤其是在中心化交易所的杠杆永续期货市场上。
对于Not Coin这类资产,作者建议的交易策略是什么?
-作者建议对于Not Coin这类资产,应该采取积极的交易策略,而不是长期持有。建议使用移动止损来保护利润,并在价格下跌时迅速退出。
脚本中提到了哪些与Not Coin情况相似的案例?
-脚本中提到了Yearn Finance、YGG和YDG等案例,它们都经历了类似的价格操纵和随后的大幅下跌。
Outlines
🚀 探索Not Coin价格飙升背后的原因
本段视频脚本探讨了Not Coin(一种在Ton网络上的大型迷因币)价格迅速上涨的现象,并质疑其背后的原因。视频指出,尽管许多人认为Not Coin的上涨是因为Ton网络的广泛采用,但深入数据后发现情况可能并非如此。目前Not Coin的价格为1.2美元,当天上涨了26%,并且在一周内价格翻了一倍多。视频提到了一个有趣的网站和创造性的白皮书,但内容空洞。重点在于Ton区块链上的总锁定价值(TVL)自今年2月以来急剧上升,目前已超过3亿美元。视频还提到了Ton币本身的大幅上涨,以及其对其他区块链和资产的影响。然而,视频对Not Coin的链上活动和交易频率表示怀疑,因为尽管价格活跃,但链上交易量却很少。最终,视频暗示了可能的市场操纵,因为大部分交易量发生在中心化交易所的永续期货市场上,而不是在Ton区块链上。
📉 Not Coin价格操纵与未来走势预测
第二段视频脚本继续探讨Not Coin的价格动态,特别是其可能的市场操纵行为。视频提到了中心化交易所在Not Coin价格波动中的作用,尤其是Binance上的交易量,以及永续期货市场对价格的影响。视频通过对比历史案例,如YFI和YGG的价格波动,来说明Not Coin可能面临的价格崩溃风险。作者建议观众对潜在的价格下跌做好准备,并提出了使用跟踪止损的交易策略,以在价格下跌时迅速退出市场。视频最后提醒观众,Not Coin不适合长期持有,而应该作为活跃交易的资产来对待,并鼓励观众订阅频道以获取更多早期信息。
Mindmap
Keywords
💡Not Coin
💡TON Network
💡Meme Coin
💡Total Value Locked (TVL)
💡Staking
💡DeFi
💡Trading Volume
💡Perpetual Futures
💡Short Squeeze
💡Trailing Stop Loss
💡Manipulation
Highlights
Not Coin价格迅速上涨,但原因可能并非表面上的那样。
Not Coin是Ton网络上最大的迷因币,但上涨可能并非完全由有机增长驱动。
Not Coin本周价格翻倍,目前价格为1.2美元,当日上涨26%。
Not Coin的网站设计有趣,包含精美的动画,显示了其部署时的努力。
Not Coin的白皮书创意十足,但内容空洞。
Ton区块链上的总锁定价值超过3亿美元,自今年2月以来急剧上升。
Ton币本身在过去一年上涨超过3.5倍,目前价格为650美元。
Ton链上的地址数量在增加,但Stak Ton的增长并不明显。
许多Ton链上的价格上涨仅仅是因为Ton币本身的上涨。
Not Coin的交易量主要集中在Binance、Bybit和OKX,而非Ton区块链本身。
Not Coin的永续期货市场交易量巨大,几乎达到市值的200%。
Not Coin的价格上涨可能是一种操纵行为,吸引了大量关注。
当足够多的散户投资者买入后,Not Coin的价格可能会崩溃。
Not Coin不适合长期持有,而应该作为活跃交易的资产。
建议使用移动止损策略来应对可能的价格下跌。
操纵行为不会永远持续,价格最终会下跌。
建议订阅频道,获取更多早期投资信息。
Transcripts
sometimes things are not what they seem
and with not coin that's exactly the
case the price is going up fairly
quickly the question is why is that the
case let's have a look at some data most
people are not considering because
here's the official version most people
think that not coin the largest meme
coin on the ton network is going up
because ton sees a lot of adoption but
when we actually dive deep into the data
I'm not sure if this is all organic So
currently we are at 1.2 C we are up 26%
today but here's the impressive part not
coin more than doubled in this week
alone here's the website which is
actually quite entertaining probably
nothing but once you interact with this
there's actually quite some nice
animations so you're clicking your way
around mining not coin and so this is
definitely a meme coin that got deployed
with quite a bit of effort here's the
white paper also pretty creative as in
there's nothing in here but let's get a
bit more serious this here is the reason
why people believe meme coins on the ton
Network should be accelerating what
we've got over here is the total value
locked measured in US Dollars on the ton
blockchain we are currently at above 300
million this is going up quite steeply
since February of this year and this
increase is not just because ton itself
the ton coin itself went up because
while this is the total value locked
measured in US Dollars this is is the
same chart measured in ton coin also
quite a bit of adoption looks pretty
healthy and so this is usually how this
goes first Bitcoin goes up then ethereum
goes up then all the layer twos go up so
all of the competing blockchains and
then the assets on those blockchains go
up and so ton coin itself went up by
more than 3.5x in the last year it's
currently at $650 and we talked about
ton coin on this channel when it was
still at $5 so just 2 months ago so if
you want to be early next time maybe
consider following channels like this I
try to be early I try to publish videos
regularly as well now here's the data on
ton chain. org so this is the block
Explorer of the ton blockchain and at
first glance this looks promising the
number of addresses tends to be
increasing but this by the way it's not
active addresses simply just
accumulative addresses so any chart will
go up what we've got over here is the
Stak ton unfortunately this is not going
up if there were more and more ton coins
that are being staked then this would
depress the circulating Supply the
actively trade Supply potentially
pushing up the price but unfortunately
we don't see that this graph is pretty
much stable and so yes there are quite a
few applications on the blockchain but
when we look at the details on defi Lama
we can see that a lot of the price
appreciation is simply just because of
ton coin going up so let's have a look
at ton stakers the largest of the
protocols this is the total value locked
change measured in ton in the last two
months there is a bit of an increase but
it's not massive and so here here in the
background this page is the one with the
data that opened my eyes around not coin
so the meme coin on the ton blockchain
the coin that more than doubled in the
last week what about on this page is so
interesting just have a look at the
transactions here have a look at the
frequency of transactions there isn't
much happening actually maybe a transfer
every few hours that's about it there
isn't much directly on chain with not
coin very few transactions back and
forth but the price itself is moving
very actively all the time how is that
possible I believe the answer is over
here this is the trading volume of NCoin
most trading volume happens on binance
there's also some trading volume on
bybit and on okx there isn't any trading
volume directly on the ton blockchain so
that's a spot market and here we've got
the Perpetual Futures Market almost 200%
of the market cap got traded on the
lever Perpetual Futures derivatives
Market on binance 2. $2 billion in the
last 24 hours and just add up all of
those different perps this is all just a
game across the centralized exchanges
while nothing is happening on chain I
believe this is manipulation by the big
guys when the price is going up this
creates attention and when there's
enough attention when enough retail
people bought into the token then the
token can crash down again when on top
of that we also see a lot of trading in
the Perpetual Futures and maybe a lot of
retain investors bet on falling prices
because they don't believe in the rally
then a short squeeze can happen right
then more of the token can get bought up
and the force liquidations generate more
fees for the centralized exchanges have
a look at year Finance we had seen the
exact same thing in year Finance feel
free to check out the video of un
Finance on this channel I made a video
just at the tippy top of this squeeze
and what happened subsequently a massive
dump from 14k all the way to 7K in just
a matter of a few weeks have a look at
ygg the exact same thing binance holds a
lot and also engages In Perpetual
Futures the price tripled to then come
down again that happened in August of
last year check out the ydg video
recently we' have seen something very
similar again from $1.7 all the way down
to $0.7 and so the big question is how
far are we with that manipulation do we
see another squeeze or will we simply
just trickle down again I believe the
best here is to be very well prepared
for a potential dump at some point not
coin is not an asset that you want to
buy and hold over the next year it's an
asset to be actively traded and you do
have the centralized exchanges against
you so if you're betting on this I
personally don't but if you're betting
on this I think the best approach is to
use trailing stop losses as in when the
price still rises you want to adjust
your stop loss and then in case the
dumpage happens you want to exit very
very quickly because at some point I do
believe the price will come down again
will it come down today will it come
down tomorrow I don't know I only see
that there is currently manipulation and
manipulation will not last forever if
it's your first time here feel free to
subscribe I pr you regly a like would be
very much appreciate as well it helps
the channel grow there's also a free
telegram the link is down below
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