Série inplayguru avançado, aproveite 100% da ferramenta (Cupom de desconto no grupo BDB Telegram)

Summary

In this advanced tutorial, the speaker explores Play Guru's features, focusing on various betting metrics and strategies using operators. The video covers calculating fair odds, efficiency indices (based on team statistics like shots and attacks), and the correlation between team behavior and offered odds, particularly in live betting. With detailed examples, the speaker demonstrates how to apply these strategies both before and during matches. Aimed at users familiar with betting or statistics, this content provides powerful tools for informed decision-making, encouraging viewers to join a community for further learning and insights.

Takeaways

• 😀 The speaker recommends the Play Guru platform after thorough testing and usage, emphasizing its value in advanced betting strategies.
• 😀 A dedicated Telegram group is available for users to access advanced content and updates related to Play Guru.
• 😀 Statistical operators are a powerful tool to evaluate team performance, such as comparing a team’s win percentage in recent games with the odds offered by bookmakers.
• 😀 The concept of 'adjusted odds' is introduced, allowing users to assess the fairness of odds in relation to a team’s historical performance.
• 😀 The video demonstrates how to use mathematical operators to identify value in betting opportunities by calculating whether offered odds exceed a team's expected performance.
• 😀 Efficiency indices are explained as metrics to evaluate team performance, including factors like shots on goal, dangerous attacks, and possession.
• 😀 Users can apply efficiency indices to make informed betting decisions in both live and pre-match scenarios, adjusting based on real-time data.
• 😀 The importance of using various metrics (like shots on goal) to measure a team’s offensive efficiency is demonstrated with examples.
• 😀 The video explores the concept of **correlation of odds**, comparing team performance with the bookmaker's pricing to find valuable betting opportunities, especially with underdogs performing better than expected.
• 😀 In live betting, the speaker emphasizes looking for discrepancies between market expectations and actual team performance to capitalize on potential value.
• 😀 The tutorial suggests using customized strategies, with specific criteria such as minimum shot efficiency, to filter out unprofitable betting opportunities.

Q & A

What is the main platform discussed in the video for advanced betting strategies?

The main platform discussed is Play Guru, which the speaker recommends for its effectiveness in analyzing betting strategies using Big Data.

What are 'operators' and how are they used in the betting strategy?

Operators are mathematical functions that help in comparing odds and calculating fair betting values. They are used to assess whether the odds offered by bookmakers reflect the actual probability of a team’s success, based on historical performance.

What is the concept of 'just statistical odds' introduced in the video?

'Just statistical odds' refer to comparing the odds offered by the bookmaker with a team’s historical performance to determine if the offered odds are fair. For example, if a team has won 50% of their last 10 home games, the fair odds would be 2.0.

How does the speaker explain calculating fair odds based on team performance?

The speaker provides an example where a bookmaker offers odds of 2.2. If a team has won 50% of their last 10 games, the speaker calculates the fair odds by dividing 1 by 0.5 (50%), which equals 2.0, making the offered odds of 2.2 a fair bet.

What is the purpose of efficiency indices in the betting strategies discussed?

Efficiency indices are used to analyze how effectively a team performs in areas such as shots on goal, dangerous attacks, and possession. This helps assess a team's overall performance and make more informed betting decisions.

How does the speaker suggest using efficiency indices in live betting?

In live betting, the speaker suggests using efficiency indices, like the number of shots on goal versus shots off target, to assess a team's performance at a specific moment in the game, such as the 60th minute, and then place bets based on these insights.

What metric does the speaker use to evaluate a team's shooting efficiency?

The speaker calculates shooting efficiency by comparing the number of shots on target to the total shots, using the formula: average shots on target divided by average shots off target. This metric helps evaluate a team's efficiency in converting shots to goals.

What is the significance of comparing a team's behavior with the odds offered by bookmakers?

The significance lies in identifying asymmetries in the game where a bookmaker's odds may not reflect a team’s actual performance. For example, if a team (the 'underdog') is outperforming expectations, but the odds are still low, this can present a valuable betting opportunity.

What example does the speaker provide to demonstrate the importance of identifying value in betting odds?

The speaker provides an example where a 'zebra' (underdog) is performing better than expected, and the odds offered are high (e.g., 4.0). This creates an opportunity to bet on the underdog because the odds are mispriced compared to the team's actual performance.

How does the speaker advise dealing with situations where the odds offered by bookmakers are too low for a favorite team?

The speaker advises that if the odds for a favorite team are low, there may be little value in betting, as the bookmaker has already priced the team’s expected performance. The key is to find situations where the odds reflect an undervaluation of a team's actual strength.