Dampak Jika Kotak Kosong Menang

Summary

The script discusses the phenomenon of uncontested elections in Indonesia, with several regions, including Surabaya and Pasuruan, facing single-candidate races in the 2024 local elections. If the 'empty box' option wins, a re-election will be held in 2025. Experts believe that political coalitions dominate to protect party interests, especially due to legal issues involving party leaders. The potential shift in leadership under Prabowo Subianto could bring changes, with hopes for fewer uncontested elections and a healthier democracy in Indonesia, untainted by legal manipulation.

Takeaways

• 📊 There are 41 regions in Indonesia with only one candidate in the 2024 local elections.
• 🗳️ If 'empty box' wins against the sole candidate, a re-election will be held in 2025 according to the regulations.
• 📍 Regions in East Java like Surabaya, Pasuruan, Gresik, Ngawi, and Trenggalek are among those with only one candidate.
• ⚖️ The KPU (General Election Commission) is working on implementing the regulations from Law No. 10 of 2016 regarding re-elections if an 'empty box' wins.
• 📅 The Constitutional Court's ruling No. 60 allows political parties to nominate candidates with a minimum number of votes, but this has little impact in the 2024 elections.
• 🤝 Political party coalitions remain a dominant strategy to secure votes, even when running against an 'empty box'.
• 🔄 Political science expert Abdul Aziz believes there will be fewer 'empty box' victories in the future due to upcoming leadership changes.
• 👥 Many political parties form large coalitions to avoid opposition and secure funding sources from businesses and government.
• 🔒 Some party leaders are entangled in legal cases, limiting their ability to maneuver politically, thus seeking safety in large coalitions.
• 🔄 Aziz hopes that under new leadership, political parties will have more freedom in nominating candidates without being constrained by legal threats, fostering healthier democracy.

Q & A

What does 'kota kosong' mean in the context of the script?

'Kota kosong' refers to an election situation where there is only one candidate running, and the option to vote for 'no candidate' or an empty box is available.

How many regions in Indonesia are facing elections with only one candidate?

According to the data from the KPU RI, as of September 4, 2024, there are 41 regions across Indonesia where only one candidate is running.

Which areas in East Java will have elections with only one candidate?

In East Java, the regions facing elections with only one candidate include Surabaya, Pasuruan, Gresik, Ngawi, and Trenggalek.

What will happen if the 'kota kosong' option wins the election?

If the 'kota kosong' option wins, the KPU will organize a repeat local election (Pilkada) in the following year, 2025.

What is the role of MK Regulation No. 60 in this context?

MK Regulation No. 60 allows political parties to nominate candidates independently with a minimum vote threshold, potentially changing the dynamic of political support.

Why do political parties form large coalitions ('koalisi obesitas') according to Abdul Aziz?

According to Abdul Aziz, political parties form large coalitions to secure themselves because they do not want to be in opposition, which leaves them far from funding sources controlled by businessmen and government figures. Additionally, some party leaders are entangled in legal cases, limiting their ability to maneuver politically.

What might happen in 2025 if 'kota kosong' wins the elections in 2024?

Abdul Aziz predicts that there will be fewer regions with 'kota kosong' after the repeat elections in 2025, as political dynamics might change and coalitions will adjust.

What impact does Abdul Aziz believe President Joko Widodo has had on legal cases involving political figures?

Abdul Aziz believes that President Joko Widodo has used legal cases as a means of controlling political opponents, suggesting that many political figures are 'held hostage' by these cases.

How does Abdul Aziz expect the political landscape to change with Prabowo as president?

Abdul Aziz is optimistic that if Prabowo becomes president, he will not use legal cases to control his opponents, unlike President Joko Widodo, which may lead to a more open and fair political environment.

What does Abdul Aziz hope will improve in Indonesian democracy?

Abdul Aziz hopes that with fewer political figures being 'held hostage' by legal cases, political parties will have more freedom to choose and nominate regional leaders according to their internal rules, leading to healthier democracy.