Lay Over 3.5 Goals Strategy @Kick-Off | Full Tutorial Using Sports-IQ Filters

Summary

In this video, 'Trading the Market' revisits the popular 'Lay Over 3.5 Goals' strategy with a new twist, showcasing how to use Sports IQ's filtering system to identify optimal matches for this strategy. The strategy involves laying over 3.5 goals before kickoff at odds between 3.0 to 4.0 and trading out after 10 minutes if no goals are scored. The presenter discusses the transparency of their involvement with Sports IQ and emphasizes the continued availability of free resources. The video also highlights the effectiveness of the strategy with data from expert traders, demonstrating a strike rate of 80.47% and a failure rate of 19.53% over 5,770 matches.

Takeaways

• 📈 The video revisits a popular trading strategy with an added twist: the 'lay over 3.5 goal' strategy.
• 🔍 The strategy involves using a powerful filtering system on Sports IQ to find the best matches for trading.
• 💡 The 'lay over 3.5 goal' strategy is simple: lay over 3.5 goals before kickoff at odds between 3.0 and 4.0, and trade out after 10 minutes if no goals are scored.
• ⚽ The strategy focuses on football matches where both the home and away teams have a low likelihood of scoring in the first 10 minutes.
• 📊 The video demonstrates how to set up filters on Sports IQ to identify matches that fit the strategy's criteria.
• 💼 The video addresses the relationship between Trading the Market and Sports IQ, clarifying that while some team members have invested, the two entities remain separate.
• 💰 The strategy has been successfully executed by two individuals, Johnb UK and MK Cooper, who have shared their profit and loss details over four years.
• 📉 The backtesting tool on Sports IQ is used to analyze the strategy's effectiveness, showing a strike rate of 80.47% and a failure rate of 19.53%.
• 📋 The video provides a step-by-step guide on how to set up and use the filters on Sports IQ for the 'lay over 3.5 goal' strategy.
• 🌐 The strategy is applicable across various leagues and can be adjusted to fit different trading styles and preferences.

Q & A

What is the main strategy discussed in the video?

The main strategy discussed in the video is the 'lay over 3.5 goal' strategy, which involves laying over 3.5 goals before a football match starts, trading out after 10 minutes if no goals are scored, aiming for a profit as the odds drift.

What is the role of Sports IQ in this strategy?

Sports IQ is used as a platform to find the best matches to apply the 'lay over 3.5 goal' strategy. It provides a powerful filtering system to identify suitable matches based on specific criteria.

Why did members of the Trading the Market team invest in Sports IQ?

Members of the Trading the Market team invested in Sports IQ because they saw the opportunity to be part of a platform they use and believe provides unparalleled value for money.

How does the presenter address concerns about the relationship between Trading the Market and Sports IQ?

The presenter clarifies that despite some team members owning shares in Sports IQ, Trading the Market remains a separate entity, and the free resources available on their website will continue to be offered at no cost.

What are the specific criteria for selecting matches in the 'lay over 3.5 goal' strategy?

The criteria include selecting matches where both the home and away teams have scored or conceded less than 10% of their goals in the first 10 minutes of matches, and the odds for over 3.5 goals at kickoff are between 3.0 and 4.0.

How do you trade out according to the strategy?

You trade out after 10 minutes of the match if no goals are scored, aiming for a profit as the odds have drifted. Some traders may choose to leg out of their position incrementally as odds drift or trade out after a specific tick movement in odds.

What is the importance of the 'timings 10 minutes' filter in the strategy?

The 'timings 10 minutes' filter is crucial as it focuses on the away team's performance from minute 1 to 10, and the same for the home team, to identify matches where early goals are less likely.

What is the significance of the odds range of 3.0 to 4.0 in the strategy?

The odds range of 3.0 to 4.0 is considered the 'sweet spot' where the market and traders are uncertain about the number of goals, allowing for potential value and profit.

What does the backtesting tool in Sports IQ reveal about the strategy's effectiveness?

The backtesting tool shows that out of 5,770 matches analyzed, 4,643 matches were successful with no goals in the first 10 minutes, resulting in a strike rate of 80.47% and a failure rate of 19.53%.

How does the presenter suggest traders approach live trading of the strategy?

The presenter suggests traders only trade matches they can watch live and to be patient, waiting for sufficient data from European leagues before applying the strategy.