AI News : Gpt4o - Mini CRUSHES Claude, Sam Altman's Aggressive New plans , 3 Years Left Until AGI

TheAIGRID
19 Jul 202415:28

Summary

TLDRThe transcript discusses the release of GPT 40 mini by Open AI, a cost-effective AI model that promises to democratize AI applications by being more affordable than its predecessors. It outperforms GPT 4 in chat preferences and supports text and vision, with plans for future image, video, and audio capabilities. The script also touches on the rapid advancement of AI, with industry insiders predicting a 'universal agent' by 2027, and the potential for AI to revolutionize various sectors, including entertainment, as showcased by an AI-generated TV show clip.

Takeaways

  • 🚀 Open AI has released GPT 40 mini, a cost-efficient model that could significantly expand AI applications by making AI intelligence more affordable.
  • 💬 GPT 40 mini scores 82% on the MMLU and outperforms GPT 4 in chat preferences, making it a strong contender in the chatbot arena.
  • 💰 The pricing for GPT 40 mini is 15 cents per input token and 60 cents per million output tokens, which is significantly cheaper than previous models.
  • 📈 The release of cost-efficient AI models like GPT 40 mini could enable more widespread deployment of AI products, overcoming the barrier of high costs.
  • 🔍 GPT 40 mini supports text and vision in the API, with plans to include image, video, and audio inputs and outputs in the future.
  • 📊 In model evaluation scores, GPT 40 mini surpasses other smaller models like Gemini Flash and Claude Haiku in various benchmarks, indicating its superior cost-effectiveness.
  • 🌐 The potential for AI to evolve rapidly is highlighted by industry insiders, with some predicting that we could be as little as three years away from a universal AI agent.
  • 🏛️ Trump's allies are reportedly drafting an AI executive order to advance US interests in AI technology, potentially leading to a Manhattan Project for AI military tech.
  • 💡 Open AI is exploring the development of a new AI chip, which could provide leverage in future negotiations with chip suppliers like Nvidia.
  • 🎥 AI-generated content is demonstrating its potential in entertainment, with examples like an AI-generated TV show showcasing the future possibilities for solo creators.

Q & A

  • What is the significance of the release of GPT 40 mini by Open AI?

    -GPT 40 mini is a cost-efficient AI model that replaces GPT 3.5. Its release is significant because it makes AI intelligence more affordable, expanding the range of applications that can be developed without the high costs previously associated with AI models.

  • How does GPT 40 mini compare to GPT 3.5 in terms of cost and efficiency?

    -GPT 40 mini is priced at 15 cents per input token and 60 cents per million output tokens, making it 60% cheaper than GPT 3.5 turbo. This cost reduction, combined with its increased reliability and intelligence, makes it a more attractive option for deploying AI applications.

  • What is the MML U score of GPT 40 mini, and what does it indicate?

    -GPT 40 mini scores 82% on the MML U, which is a measure of AI performance. This score indicates that GPT 40 mini outperforms GPT 4 in chat preferences and chatbot arenas, demonstrating its effectiveness in conversational AI.

  • What are the potential applications of GPT 40 mini in terms of tasks and latency?

    -GPT 40 mini enables a broad range of tasks with low-cost latency, making it suitable for applications that require multiple model calls, such as calling multiple APIs, processing large volumes of text, or interacting with customers through fast real-time responses like customer chatbots.

  • What additional capabilities does GPT 40 mini support beyond text?

    -While GPT 40 mini currently supports text and vision in the API, it is expected to support image, video, and audio inputs and outputs in the future, further expanding its utility in various applications.

  • How does GPT 40 mini compare to other models like Gemini Flash and Claude Haiku in terms of cost-effectiveness and size?

    -GPT 40 mini surpasses Gemini Flash and Claude Haiku in terms of cost-effectiveness and size on the MML U, indicating that it offers more intelligence for a lower cost and in a smaller model size.

  • What is the potential impact of GPT 40 mini on the AI ecosystem?

    -The release of GPT 40 mini could lead to a proliferation of AI applications as its affordability allows more developers and businesses to deploy AI solutions without the financial barriers associated with previous models.

  • What are the implications of the AI timeline discussed by industry insiders like Misha Lasin?

    -Misha Lasin, a former Google DeepMind employee, suggests that we are three years away from a digital AI that resembles a universal agent. This timeline indicates a rapid acceleration in AI development, potentially leading to breakthroughs and more capable systems in the near future.

  • What is the potential impact of Trump's allies drafting an AI executive order?

    -The draft executive order could lead to the creation of industry-led agencies to study and protect AI models from foreign powers, strengthen American leadership in AI, and potentially limit the government's use of AI in high-risk situations. This could significantly influence the direction and pace of AI development in the United States.

  • What is Open AI's strategy in developing a new AI chip, and why is it significant?

    -Open AI is reportedly developing a new AI server chip, potentially rivaling those made by Nvidia. This move could provide Open AI with leverage in future pricing negotiations and reduce dependence on external chip suppliers, though it is a long-term and challenging endeavor.

  • How does the AI-generated TV show 'Unanswered Oddities' demonstrate the potential of AI in entertainment?

    -The AI-generated TV show 'Unanswered Oddities' showcases how AI can be used to produce creative content, potentially enabling solo creators to produce full-fledged TV shows that would otherwise be inaccessible. This indicates a future where AI plays a significant role in the entertainment industry.

Outlines

00:00

🤖 GPT 40 Mini: Affordable AI Intelligence Breakthrough

The script discusses the release of GPT 40 Mini by Open AI, a cost-efficient model designed to replace GPT 3.5. This new model is expected to expand AI applications by making AI more affordable. GPT 40 Mini scores 82% on the MMLU, outperforming GPT 4 in chat preferences and chatbot leaderboards. Priced at 15 cents per input token and 60 cents per million output tokens, it is significantly cheaper than previous models. The script highlights the potential for deploying more AI products cost-effectively and the implications for software development and AI applications. GPT 40 Mini also supports text and vision in the API, with future plans to include image, video, and audio inputs and outputs. The model's evaluation scores show a stark improvement over previous models in terms of cost-effectiveness and capabilities.

05:00

🚀 Accelerating AI Timelines and Potential Military AI Initiatives

This paragraph explores the AI timeline, with insights from industry insiders suggesting that we are three years away from a digital AI, or a universal agent with broad and deep knowledge. The rapid advancement in AI, as seen with AlphaGo, is compared to the potential acceleration towards human-level AI. The script also mentions plans by Trump's allies for an AI executive order, which would include the creation of industry-led agencies to study AI models and protect them from foreign powers. This initiative aims to strengthen American leadership in AI and includes programs to study harmful AI in healthcare practices. The discussion underscores the urgency and potential impact of AI advancements on various sectors.

10:01

💼 Open AI's Chip Development and AI's Future Economic Impact

The script discusses Open AI's co-founder Sam Alman's venture into developing a new AI chip, potentially rivaling Nvidia's market dominance. Alman has been hiring former Google unit members who produced Google's AI chip, the Tensor Processing Unit, and is reportedly developing an AI server chip. This move could provide Open AI with leverage in future pricing negotiations with chip suppliers. The potential for AI to reshape the chip market and the economic implications of AI advancements are highlighted, with a focus on the long-term vision of AI development and its impact on industries like entertainment and healthcare.

15:02

🎬 AI-Generated Entertainment: The Future of TV Shows

The final paragraph showcases an AI-generated TV show, demonstrating the potential of AI in the entertainment industry. The script describes an episode of 'Unanswered Oddities,' which explores the mystery of humans, suggesting that AI can enable solo creators to produce full-fledged TV shows. The script emphasizes the creative possibilities opened up by AI, transforming the way content is produced and consumed. While the script clarifies that the content was written by a human with AI production, it invites viewers to explore the original creation, highlighting the potential for AI to revolutionize entertainment.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡AI Releases

AI Releases refer to the introduction of new artificial intelligence models or technologies by various companies. In the video, Open AI's release of GPT 40 mini is highlighted as a significant event in the AI industry, showing the ongoing advancements and the potential for more cost-effective and intelligent AI applications.

💡GPT 40 Mini

GPT 40 Mini is a new AI model developed by Open AI, which is positioned as a cost-efficient replacement for GPT 3.5. The model is designed to make AI intelligence more affordable and accessible, allowing for a broader range of applications. It is mentioned in the script as scoring 82% on the MMLU and outperforming GPT 4 in chat preferences, indicating its effectiveness in conversational AI.

💡Cost Efficiency

Cost Efficiency in the context of AI refers to the balance between the performance of an AI model and its cost of operation. The script discusses how GPT 40 Mini is a game-changer due to its cost efficiency, being significantly cheaper than previous models while maintaining high performance, which can lead to wider adoption of AI in various industries.

💡MMLU

MMLU stands for the Multi-Modal Learning Understanding benchmark, which is a test used to evaluate the performance of AI models in understanding and processing information. In the script, GPT 40 Mini's score of 82% on the MMLU is used to demonstrate its capabilities compared to other models.

💡Chatbots

Chatbots are AI-powered conversational agents that interact with users through text or voice. The script mentions chatbots as one of the applications that can benefit from the release of GPT 40 Mini, due to its improved performance and cost efficiency, which could make chatbots more viable for businesses.

💡API

API stands for Application Programming Interface, which is a set of rules and protocols that allows different software applications to communicate with each other. The script mentions that GPT 40 Mini supports text and vision in the API, with plans to include image, video, and audio inputs and outputs in the future, expanding the capabilities of AI applications.

💡Benchmarks

Benchmarks are standardized tests used to evaluate the performance of systems, in this case, AI models. The script discusses how GPT 40 Mini surpasses other models in various benchmarks like DROP, GQA, MGSM, and math, indicating its superior cost-effectiveness and intelligence.

💡Universal Agent

A Universal Agent, as mentioned in the script, refers to an AI system that possesses a broad and deep knowledge base, capable of performing a wide range of tasks. The concept is related to the future of AI development, where systems are expected to become more capable and autonomous.

💡AI Timeline

The AI Timeline refers to predictions and expectations about the future development and milestones of AI technology. The script cites industry insiders' views on the timeline, suggesting that we might be only a few years away from achieving significant breakthroughs in AI, such as the creation of a universal agent.

💡Manhattan Project for AI

The term 'Manhattan Project for AI' is used in the script to describe a large-scale, coordinated effort to advance AI technology, similar to the Manhattan Project that developed the atomic bomb during World War II. It suggests that there is a push for significant investment and focus on AI development, potentially leading to rapid advancements.

💡AI Chip

An AI Chip is a specialized hardware designed to accelerate the processing of AI algorithms and models. The script discusses how Open AI is considering developing its own AI chip, which could provide them with leverage in negotiations with suppliers and potentially revolutionize AI hardware in the future.

Highlights

Open AI released GPT 40 mini, a cost-efficient replacement for GPT 3.5.

GPT 40 mini is expected to make AI intelligence more affordable and expand the range of applications.

GPT 40 mini scores 82% on the MML U and outperforms GPT 4 in chat preferences.

The new model is priced at 15 cents per input tokens and 60 cents per million output tokens, making it significantly cheaper than previous models.

GPT 40 mini enables a broad range of tasks with low-cost latency and supports text and vision in the API, with plans for image, video, and audio inputs/outputs in the future.

GPT 40 mini is compared to smaller models from other AI companies, showing a stark jump in capabilities.

GPT 40 mini surpasses previous state-of-the-art models in cost-effectiveness and size on various benchmarks.

Industry insiders predict that we are three years away from a digital AI with universal capabilities.

Trump's allies are reportedly drafting plans for an AI executive order to advance US interests in AI technology.

The proposed AI executive order includes the creation of industry-led agencies to study and protect AI models from foreign powers.

Open AI is in talks with Broadcom about developing a new AI server chip, potentially rivaling Nvidia's market position.

Open AI's co-founder discusses the future of evolving AI and the implications of multiple AIs competing for resources.

AI-generated software is enabling solo creators to produce full-fledged TV shows that would otherwise be inaccessible.

An example of AI-generated entertainment is a TV show called 'Unanswered Oddities', showcasing the potential of AI in content creation.

The TV show 'Unanswered Oddities' was written by a human but produced with AI, indicating a future of streamlined content creation.

The potential for AI to automate TV show production could change the entertainment industry, enabling more creators to produce high-quality content.

Transcripts

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so there were actually a few big AI

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releases including one from open AI so

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let's get into some of the news that you

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might have missed one of the first

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stories that I was actually quite

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surprised by was GPT 40 mini advancing

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the cost effective intelligence for AI

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open AI actually released GPT 40 mini

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which is basically a replacement for GPT

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3.5 so you can see that yesterday they

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essentially announced GPT 40 mini which

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is their most cost efficient small model

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they actually expect the GPT 40 mini

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will significantly expand the range of

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applications by making AI intelligence

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much more affordable one of the most

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surprising things about GPT 40 mini was

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that it scores 82% on the MML U and

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currently outperforms GPT 4 on chat

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preferences in the chatbot Arena or the

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LMS leaderboard the price of this system

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is actually relatively cheap considering

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the fact that the cost of intelligence

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has been decreasing rapidly it's priced

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at 15 cents per input tokens and 60

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cents per million output tokens and an

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order of magnitude more affordable than

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previous Frontier models and 60% cheaper

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than GPT 3.5 turbo now the reason I

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think this is such a game-changing

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statement and most people won't realize

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the significance of such a release is

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the fact that when small cost efficient

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models are released very cheaply this

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allows the AI ecosystem to deploy more

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products cost effectively one of the

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biggest problems preventing many people

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from deploying GPT applications and from

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many people actually using chat GPT or

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other AI systems is the fact that is

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just too expensive if you've ever tried

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to build something with AI the problem

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is is that the cost per output just

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racks up an insane bill that you really

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can't afford to justify having your

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software or whatever AI system it is but

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with GPT 40 mini you're actually not

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compromising on the intelligence of your

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model or the cost of your model so

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you're getting a reduction in price and

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an increase in the reliability and of

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course the intelligence of the model

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which means that now if there's some

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kind of software development or some

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kind of application that you previously

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couldn't find a reason to justify

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spending that amount of money or you

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actually losing money this might not be

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the case and I think this shows us an

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indication of the further Trend in the

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industry of what's to come now what they

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also talk about is how GPT 40 mini

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enables a broad range of tasks with

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lowcost latency and applications that

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chain or paralyze multiple model calls

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for example calling multiple apis is

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passing a large volume of text for

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example a full codebase or conversation

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history or to interact with customers

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through fast real-time responses for

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example customer chatbots now what's

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really cool about this is that it

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currently supports text and vision in

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the API and it does say that image video

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and audio inputs and outputs are going

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to be coming in the future that I think

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is going to be the real game changer for

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this model now something that was

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actually really interesting was if we

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take a look at the model evaluation

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scores now what they've done is they

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haven't actually compared this to other

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Frontier models they've actually

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compared this to other models that are

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actually smaller in size basically

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comparing them to the respective similar

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models from the other AI companies so

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what we can see here GPT 40 mini is

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compared to Gemini flash Claude Haiku

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and of course the predecessor GPT 3.5

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turbo we can see that it is a stark jump

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in terms of all of the capabilities

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because GPT 3.5 just simply didn't

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compare to Gemini Flash and Claude Haiku

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but overall what we can see here in a

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rather surprising term of events is that

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GPT 40 mini clearly surpasses the

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previous state-ofthe-art models in terms

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of their cost Effectiveness and their

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size on the MML U it surpasses Gemini

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Flash and clae haiku on the drop

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benchmarks on the gqa on the mgsm on the

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math benchmark surprisingly we can see

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that there is a huge Improvement in

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terms of what you get for cost

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Effectiveness compared to these other

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models in the human Eva that's also the

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case and in the mmu and in the math

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Vista we can see that once again there

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were also surprising benchmarks and

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Gemini flash does actually manage to

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beat GPT 40 mini there the point being

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that it's clear that opening ey probably

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did use a different method to train this

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model because the effectiveness for the

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size of the model although they didn't

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actually state it shows us that we're

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going to be getting a lot more

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intelligence out of a lot faster systems

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in the future and I do wonder how this

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is going to look in the next 2 years

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with respect to what intelligence level

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we can get per cost per input now if you

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do want to you can actually use GPT 4

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mini today but for example just to show

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you the relative speed of this I said

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can you list me 20 food items that was

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insanely quick and I'm going to do a

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video later on the actual applications

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of this because I think most people Miss

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what you can actually do with such a

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model but this is going to be something

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that I'll be diving into later because

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it is really effective with what you can

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do when a model can respond that quickly

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with a level of intelligence that's

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rather effective we're all very hungry

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maybe that's uh how I put it you know we

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could have yest and I could have and

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tried um pushing agents um you know at

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Deep Mind and as I said I think you know

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the reason we decided to do it in our

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own way is because we we think we can

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move quickly much faster against this

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goal some of this urgencies is driven by

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a a real belief that we are we are three

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or so years away from something

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that resembles a a digital AI um and by

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that that's um that's what I've been

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referring to as universal agent Su has

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both this kind of bread and depth of

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knowledge

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and that means we're actually on a very

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accelerated timeline um yeah you're you

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know few months in you're kind of 5%

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away from uh from hitting that timeline

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and maybe some of this is also driven by

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how quickly alphago went um

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from experts in the field doubting this

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is possible yeah it's kind of decades

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human level or like expert human level

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goplay was decades away and how

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effectively they were able to solve that

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problem within months I think we're

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seeing a similar kind of acceleration

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happen so that was Misha lasin someone

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who is previously working at Google

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deepmind they went off to start their

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own company and you can see that he's

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speaking about the AI timeline and I

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think it's always refreshing to kind of

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hear what some of the industry insiders

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actually think about the timelines

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rather than you know a few Skeptics on

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podcast that are just talking about AI

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very briefly and when I say that I'm

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talking about you know news anchors and

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other things and of course I do think

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that they are important for the

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discussion getting it out into the wider

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Community but what I don't think people

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understand is that if the timelines are

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as you know what we're looking at here

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which is you know 3 years currently it's

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2024 this would be 2027 this would Mark

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I think around now the sixth or seventh

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person that hails 20 27 to 2028 as the

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time when we're going to be getting a

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truly capable system that can actually

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act and do things within the environment

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now I think that that is a startling

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Revelation because it shows us at the

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rate at which AI is expected to increase

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and the funny thing is that in the past

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people have actually been wrong at how

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quick these kind of systems have

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advanced so we could even argue that

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perhaps even these indications are

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somewhat conservative now what that

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means is that within the next five years

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I do think that there is going to be so

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many different breakthroughs on so many

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different levels and we are going to be

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getting more and more capable systems

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out there but I do wonder if people are

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ever truly going to realize what is

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coming because the capabilities of these

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systems are going to have some really

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profound implications Beyond just fancy

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chatbots and whilst those chatbots are

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being developed and whilst obviously

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other generally intelligent systems

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being developed we're also going to see

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a lot more money flowing into AI around

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the space as well now as for those of

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you who don't think that maybe AI is

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going to be advancing as quickly as

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former googlers think we can see here

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that this is going to put even further

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pressure on AI development as Trump's

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allies are working on a plan to create

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Manhattan projects for AI military Tech

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so essentially Trump's allies are

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reportedly drafting plans for an

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executive order on AI basically if you

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don't know Donald Trump is running to

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become president again and it is very

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likely that he will win this election

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and right now all eyes are on his plans

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for the largest developments with

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artificial intelligence because of

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course he has some unique ideas on where

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things are going to go according to the

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Washington Post several people close to

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this former president are writing up an

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AI executive order to advance us

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interest in the technology it will

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include the creation of industry-led

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agencies that will study AI models and

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protect them from foreign powers the

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report said the framework also contains

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a make America First in AI which aligns

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L with the 2016 Trump Administration

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comments to strengthening American

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leadership in the field this order

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demands that major tech companies

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communicate the risks of the AI models

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with the federal government and it also

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limits the government's use of AI

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systems in high-risk situations and

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includes programs to potentially study

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harmful AI in healthcare practices now I

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do think this is going to happen anyways

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as I've said before when these elected

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leaders start to truly understand the

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magnitude of what the potential of AI is

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I don't think there's going to be any

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question whether or not they are going

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to be Manhattan projects popping up in

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various parts of the world not just

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America and I think that the research

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landscape for AI could most definitely

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change as we get to more and more

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powerful system as in by 2030 Maybe by

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2035 the level of research that we

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seeing published in certain areas might

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actually grind to a ho this doesn't mean

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the level of innovation it just means

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what we're publicly seeing and hearing

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from some of the frontier Labs what's

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also interesting is that it seems that

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opening eye is continuing to talk to

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broadc about developing a new AI chip

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one of the major winners of the AI boom

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was Nvidia they've gained a trillion

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dollars in market cap and profited

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heavily from the rise of artificial

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intelligence considering the fact that

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many people need these graphics cards to

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train their models now we do know that

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Sam Alman was doing this last year last

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year he decided to start a new company

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that could develop and produce a new AI

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chip and help set up chip factories and

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make them and data centers to house them

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but now his plans have slightly changed

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what he's been doing he's actually been

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hiring former members of a Google unit

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that actually produces Google's AI chip

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the tensor processing unit and has

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actually sought to develop an AI server

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chip according to three people who have

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been involved in the conversation and

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he's also been talking to chip designers

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including broadcom about working on the

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chip according to certain people now

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what's crazy about this is that it does

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say here that a new server chip that

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would rival the kind made by Nvidia is a

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long shot that would take years to come

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to fruition and in trying to develop a

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chip opening eye risks upsetting and

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open ai's most important chip supplier

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but it could provide open AI with

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potential leverage in future pricing

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negotiations with the company now me

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personally I'm not sure why open AI is

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trying to do this maybe they're just

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trying to do this because they realize

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that one day they'll have super

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intelligent Ai and then super

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intelligent AI could inhouse push that

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chip fabrication company forward and

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they could have the best chips on the

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planet I think that might be the play

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here although it does sound a little bit

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crazy and although it does seem like

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that would be a very long-term plan I'm

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pretty sure Sam Alman is a very

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long-term thinker and the reason that I

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do state that is because these AI chips

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are actually really hard to design

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there's a reason Nvidia is the market

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leader it's because they're the very

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best and have the entire infrastructure

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the Integrations the Partnerships the

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trade routes simply everything is in

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their favor to be benefiting from the AI

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boom you can see here that some people

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don't even believe this he says but

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alman's Factory expansions ambition

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struck numerous Executives as improbable

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because it would require a lot of

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capital and specialized labor Alman was

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too aggressive for me to believe tsmc's

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CEO wey said in a news conference last

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month when asked about the prospect of

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new factories like I said before this is

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no walk in the park even for the very

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experienced entrepreneurs now open ai's

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co-founder actually had an interesting

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statement on the future of evolving AI

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in case of sales it's possible to get a

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Cancer and cancer is a prevalent

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phenomenon in the nature once then is a

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increased number of AIS and some sense

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you know there is a process of mutation

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which is AIS are modifying its own code

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humans are modifying their own code

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there is a process of natural selection

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and you can say that the AI that

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literally wants to maximally spread will

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be will be the one that will exist the

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things in the universe that want to

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replicate are the things that exist here

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the main difference is that AI will have

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just a huge power you can imagine a a

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equilibrium right where where things

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aren't allowed to consume all the

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resources for example right or is there

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am I missing something it might be the

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case that other AIS are kind of

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Defending uh the system or maybe they

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are never they were never trained for

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defending uh and it's very hard to

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predict the Dynamics in multi-agent

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setup with one AI you can maybe predict

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what what are the possibilities it would

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be still let's say extremely hard but

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once you have many of them competing in

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some sense for resources very hard to

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say actually what might be the consequen

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now I know this might not count as AI

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news but genuinely this is something

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that I believe most people should take a

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look at because it shows what you can do

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when you actually use AI generated

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software to produce something

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interesting I've looked at tons of

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different AI videos and this is by far

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one of the best series I've ever seen

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I'm not going to play to you guys the

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entire clip because I want you to

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actually check out the original creation

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but I will show you guys first 30

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seconds from an AI generated TV show

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which might show you guys how the future

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of entertainment is going to change with

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regards to enabling solo creators to

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produce full-fledged TV shows that they

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otherwise wouldn't be able to access on

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tonight's episode of unanswered Oddities

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humans are they real or just a

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younglings fairy tale humans have been a

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great mystery of our time these

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creatures of lore supposedly ate

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potatoes and enjoyed sleep they're

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thought to be long extinct if they ever

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exist did at all but recent sightings

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all across the world have drummed up the

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debate once again rural morgog 2 hours

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outside of deedle a hiker claims to have

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seen a human so yeah it was uh it was a

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Tuesday night I had just gotten home

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from spitting I went out for my midnight

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lurk you know I was just being creepy

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and weird and that's when I saw it it

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was a home so for me when I actually saw

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this I was thoroughly impressed because

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I've seen a lot of different AI videos

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and this was one that actually made me

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smile and I got to be honest I was truly

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engaged at the thought of watching a

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full episode of this now once Things

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become more streamlined and there's a

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lot of plug-and playay I do think we

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might get automated TV shows but for

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those of you guys who think this was

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written by an AI it actually wasn't it

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was written by a human with the

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production basis actually being AI so I

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do think that you guys should check this

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out as always I'll leave a link to

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everything and hopefully you have a

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wonderful day

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