SECRET METHOD Banks Use To Control The World

George Gammon
18 Sept 202426:41

Summary

TLDRThis video script delves into the intricate world of banking, revealing how banks can seemingly print money and control global assets. It outlines a three-step process: banks create money through loans, engage in a shadow banking system to transfer assets globally, and face constraints due to risk and interest rates. The script challenges viewers to consider risk analysis over central bank actions when making investment decisions, emphasizing the importance of understanding the banking system's impact on wealth-building.

Takeaways

  • 💡 Banks have the ability to create money through the process of lending, which initially did not exist before the loan was created.
  • 🏦 The balance sheet of a bank is crucial, with assets like loans on one side and liabilities like deposits on the other.
  • 🔄 When a loan is paid to another bank, the transferring bank must either offset the liability with an asset or transfer reserves to maintain balance.
  • 🌐 The concept of 'shadow banking' refers to banking activities conducted outside the regulatory oversight of central banks like the Federal Reserve.
  • 🌿 Shadow banks can operate without the need for traditional bank reserves, potentially allowing for unlimited money creation.
  • 💸 Banks can create their own reserves and money, but they are constrained by the risk associated with the assets they purchase with the created money.
  • 📉 Market risks, such as changes in interest rates, can significantly affect the value of assets, potentially leading to bank insolvency.
  • 🚫 The video emphasizes that despite the ability to create money, banks are ultimately limited by the perceived risk and creditworthiness of their assets and counterparties.
  • 💼 For investors, understanding the dynamics of risk and the global monetary system is more important than just focusing on central bank actions like quantitative easing or tightening.
  • 🌟 The video suggests that risk analysis should be the starting point for investors trying to navigate financial markets influenced by central banks and large financial institutions.

Q & A

  • What is the main claim about banks' ability to control the world as presented in the script?

    -The main claim is that banks have the ability to create money and manipulate the financial system, particularly through the process of lending and the creation of deposits, which can be used to buy assets and influence the global economy.

  • How does the script explain the process of money creation by banks?

    -The script explains that when a bank creates a loan, it effectively creates new money by adding a new deposit to its balance sheet, offset by the loan as an asset. This process is illustrated through the example of Joe borrowing money to buy a car from Moody.

  • What is the role of the Federal Reserve in the process described in the script?

    -The Federal Reserve plays a central role by acting as the clearinghouse for interbank transactions. It facilitates the transfer of reserves between banks to balance their balance sheets when deposits are transferred between different banks.

  • What is the significance of the term 'shadow banking system' mentioned in the script?

    -The 'shadow banking system' refers to banking activities conducted outside the traditional banking system, which are not subject to the same regulations. This system allows banks to create money and reserves without the direct oversight of central banks like the Federal Reserve.

  • How does the script describe the process of transferring money between banks, particularly internationally?

    -The script describes the process of transferring money internationally by showing how banks credit each other's accounts and use reserves to offset liabilities. This is illustrated with the example of Exxon transferring money from Chase New York to City Bank in London.

  • What is the concept of 'ledger money' as mentioned in the script?

    -The concept of 'ledger money' refers to the credit entries made by banks on their balance sheets to balance transactions. It's a form of money that exists as a record of debt within the banking system, rather than physical currency.

  • Why doesn't the script suggest that banks would actually buy everything in the world despite their ability to create money?

    -The script suggests that while banks can create money and credit, they are constrained by risk, particularly the risk associated with the assets they purchase. If the value of these assets plummets, banks can become insolvent, which limits their ability to buy everything.

  • What is the role of risk in the banking system as discussed in the script?

    -Risk plays a critical role in the banking system by constraining banks' ability to create money and buy assets. The script emphasizes that banks must manage credit risk, interest rate risk, and counterparty risk, which can affect their solvency and the stability of the financial system.

  • How does the script relate the concept of risk to the actions of central banks like the Federal Reserve?

    -The script argues that while central banks' actions, such as quantitative easing or tightening, can influence liquidity, the perception of risk in the global monetary system is a more significant factor. It suggests that investors should focus on understanding risk levels rather than solely on central bank policies.

  • What is the practical implication of the script's discussion on banking and money creation for individual investors?

    -The practical implication for individual investors is to focus on understanding the risks in the financial system, which can affect asset prices and the value of investments. The script suggests that being aware of these risks can help investors make more informed decisions about where to allocate their capital.

Outlines

00:00

🏦 Understanding Bank Money Creation

This paragraph introduces a secret method banks use to control the world through money creation. It outlines three steps to explain the process. Step one focuses on the ability of banks to print money, raising the question of why they don't buy everything if they can print it. The explanation involves the balance sheet mechanics of banks, illustrating how banks create new money through loans. The example of Joe borrowing money to buy a car from Moody is used to demonstrate how banks create deposits and transfer them between banks, using reserves at the Federal Reserve as offsetting assets. The paragraph sets the stage for further exploration of how banks operate and the implications of their money creation abilities.

05:03

🌐 Exploring Offshore Banking and the Shadow System

Paragraph two delves into offshore banking, also known as the shadow banking system, which operates outside the direct oversight of the Federal Reserve. It discusses how banks can transfer funds internationally, using Exxon's transfer of money from Chase New York to City London as an example. The process involves moving deposit liabilities and reserves between banks, highlighting how the shadow banking system can operate without the need for physical reserves. The paragraph introduces Perry Meiring, an expert on the subject, who explains the concept of euro dollars and how banks can create their own reserves, thus controlling the money supply beyond the constraints of traditional banking regulations.

10:06

💵 The Potential of Banks to Buy Everything

Paragraph three explores the theoretical ability of banks to buy all assets in the world if they so desired. It uses a simplified scenario with two banks, Bank A (JP Morgan) and Bank B (HSBC), to illustrate how banks can create money and use it to purchase assets like treasuries. The process involves crediting accounts and transferring liabilities between banks to balance their books. The paragraph emphasizes the concept of 'ledger money,' where banks essentially create credit entries to facilitate transactions. It also introduces the idea that banks can effectively create their own reserves, which challenges the traditional understanding of money creation being solely the domain of central banks.

15:07

📉 Risk and the Limitations of Bank Money Creation

Paragraph four introduces the concept of risk as a critical factor in bank money creation. It explains that while banks can create money and credit, the value of the assets they purchase with this money is subject to market risks, such as interest rate fluctuations. Using the example of Bank A buying a treasury that later loses value, the paragraph demonstrates how banks can become insolvent if the assets they hold decline in value. It challenges the idea that banks can endlessly create money without consequence, emphasizing that the solvency of banks is tied to the perceived risk of their assets and the trust other banks place in them.

20:12

⚠️ The Importance of Risk in Global Monetary Systems

The final paragraph emphasizes the importance of understanding risk in the context of global monetary systems. It argues that while central bank actions, such as quantitative easing or tightening, are important, the perception of risk and counterparty risk within the banking system are even more critical. The paragraph suggests that an informed investor should focus on risk analysis rather than solely on central bank policies. It concludes by encouraging viewers to consider the broader implications of the banking system's operations on their investment decisions, hinting at the interconnectedness of risk perception and monetary policy.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Money Printing

Money printing refers to the process by which a central bank or financial institution creates new money. In the video, it's discussed as a capability of banks, suggesting they can generate their own funds, which raises questions about why they don't simply buy everything. The concept is central to understanding the video's theme of financial control and the mechanisms through which banks operate.

💡Balance Sheet

A balance sheet is a financial statement that displays the assets, liabilities, and equity of a company or individual at a specific point in time. In the video, the balance sheet is used to illustrate how banks manage their assets and liabilities, particularly when creating loans and transferring funds between banks, which is fundamental to the video's explanation of banking operations.

💡Federal Reserve

The Federal Reserve, often referred to as 'the Fed,' is the central banking system of the United States. It plays a critical role in the country's financial system, including the regulation of commercial banks. The video mentions the Fed in the context of how it interacts with commercial banks and the creation of reserves, highlighting its importance in the broader financial system.

💡Deposit Liability

A deposit liability in banking refers to the amount of money that customers have deposited into their accounts with a bank. The video explains how banks treat these deposits as liabilities because the bank owes this money back to the depositor. This concept is used to describe the process of transferring money between banks and the creation of new money through loans.

💡Shadow Banking System

The shadow banking system refers to the collection of non-bank financial intermediaries that provide services similar to traditional banks but are not subject to the same regulations. The video delves into how this system operates outside the direct oversight of entities like the Federal Reserve, allowing for the creation of money and reserves without direct constraints, which is a key aspect of the video's discussion on financial control.

💡Bank Reserves

Bank reserves are funds that banks are required to hold and cannot lend out, typically held at the central bank. In the video, the concept of reserves is crucial in explaining how banks manage their liquidity and settle transactions. The video also discusses how, in the shadow banking system, banks can effectively create their own reserves, which is a significant point in the narrative about financial power.

💡Asset Risk

Asset risk refers to the potential for a decline in the value of assets, such as loans or investments, held by a financial institution. The video uses the concept of asset risk to explain the limitations on banks' ability to create money and buy assets. It suggests that while banks can create money, the risk associated with the assets they purchase can constrain their actions, which is a critical factor in the stability of the financial system.

💡Counterparty Risk

Counterparty risk is the risk that the other party in a financial contract will fail to fulfill their obligations. The video emphasizes the importance of perceived counterparty risk in the global monetary system, suggesting that it can influence liquidity and financial stability more than actions like quantitative easing or tightening by central banks.

💡Quantitative Easing (QE)

Quantitative easing is a monetary policy in which a central bank purchases government securities or other securities from the market to increase the money supply and encourage lending and investment. The video mentions QE in the context of how it's often misunderstood by the public and the media, arguing that the perception of risk is a more critical factor in liquidity than the actions of the Fed.

💡Settlement

Settlement in finance refers to the process of completing a securities transaction by exchanging the security for cash. The video discusses the settlement process to explain how banks transfer funds and liabilities between each other, which is integral to understanding the mechanics of interbank transactions and the creation of money.

Highlights

Banks have the ability to print money, raising the question of why they don't simply buy everything.

The process of money creation through loans is explained, showing how banks can create new money that didn't exist before.

The balance sheet dynamics of banks are detailed, with assets like loans and liabilities like deposits.

The transfer of deposits between banks and the role of the Federal Reserve in facilitating these transfers are discussed.

The concept of shadow banking is introduced, explaining how banks operate outside the direct oversight of the Federal Reserve.

The mechanics of transferring funds internationally within the shadow banking system are outlined.

The ability of banks to create their own reserves and money in the shadow system is highlighted.

The potential for banks to buy all assets in the world is explored, considering the constraints they might face.

The role of risk in banking operations is emphasized, explaining how it can limit the banks' ability to create unlimited money.

The impact of interest rate changes on the value of assets like treasuries and the solvency of banks is discussed.

The importance of perceived counterparty risk in the global monetary system is explained.

The video argues that risk analysis should be the starting point for investors, rather than just focusing on the Federal Reserve's balance sheet.

The video concludes by emphasizing the importance of understanding the banking system's inner workings for informed investing.

Transcripts

play00:00

this is the secret method Banks use to

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control the world I'm going to explain

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this to you in three simple fast step

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step number one they can print money

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which begs the question if they can

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print their own money why don't they buy

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everything the answer is they can we're

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going to address that more in Step

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number three but before we get there

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let's go over how this process typically

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works so we've got the average Joe right

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here and we have everyone's favorite

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Millennial Moody the millennial with

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their blue hair because I do not know

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their preferred pronouns so Joe Banks

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with bank a moody banks with bank B

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we've got the Federal Reserve here in

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the middle and as always we have assets

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on the left liabilities on the right we

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have the balance sheet for the

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individual entities so Joe needs to

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borrow some money let's say to buy a car

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from Moody so Bank a says yeah we can go

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ahead and do that we will go ahead and

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create a brand new deposit for you Joe

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which is what they do when they create a

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loan this creates brand new money that

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didn't exist before so if the balance

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sheet starts with let's say Bank

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Reserves on the left those are those

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assets that they hold at the fed and we

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have one deposit now we've added another

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deposit but the offsetting asset is the

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loan to Joe so Joe needs to pay for the

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car that he's buying from Moody and

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Moody Banks obviously with a different

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bank so Bank a has to transfer this

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liability called it Commercial Bank

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deposit liability but it's just a a

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deposit in your checking account so this

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deposit liability has to go over here to

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bank B well if they do that then they're

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going to have negative equity they also

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have to either offset the liability by

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the same amount or they have to transfer

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over an

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asset aha so what they do is they take

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this bank reserve and they say fed go

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ahead and shoot this over to bank B's

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account and that will be the offsetting

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asset for this liability we just

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transferred so then we get to the point

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where the balance sheets look more like

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this so this deposit liability has gone

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over here so now it's no longer on the

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balance sheet of Bank a and then with

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the fed has done is they have taken the

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reserves the Bank Reserves from A's

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account and they've moved them into B's

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account so when all is said and done

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with bank B they now have that bank

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reserve and the deposit they started

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with but then they also have the

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additional Deposit they got from Bank a

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as well as the bank reserve that was

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from Bank a but really it was a

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liability of the Fed so they just

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transferred it from A's account down to

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B's account but here is where the story

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gets interesting you see now Bank a only

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has this loan as an asset and a deposit

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they don't have any more Bank Reserves

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so what do they do well they have to go

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out to let's say Bank B and they have to

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borrow some of these Bank Reserves if

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they want to transfer or if one of their

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customers wants to transfer this deposit

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over to bank C so just say that Joe has

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this deposit as well for 100 bucks and

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he owes Larry which I didn't put on the

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board here but let's say Larry banks

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with c and he needs to pay Larry that

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$100 that's in his account so Bank a

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will transfer this $100 deposit

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liability over to bank C but wait a

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minute they're not going to be able to

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transfer that loan as the offsetting

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asset so what on Earth do they do well

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what they'll likely do is go in into the

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open market borrow the Bank Reserves

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from Bank

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B and then they'll transfer those Bank

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Reserves over to bank C's balance sheet

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so when everything is said and done now

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they still have that loan but instead of

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the deposits they have an IOU

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to bank B because they owe them the Bank

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Reserves that bank B was nice enough to

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transfer over to bank C for them so Bank

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a could settle up with bank C but the

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whole key to step number one

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lies right

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here I'm talking about this red

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arrow that's highlighting the fact that

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when this transaction is done

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effectively Bank B has accepted

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IUS from Bank a as the offsetting

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asset to that deposit

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liability and if you have a hard time

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following this or if it doesn't quite

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make sense don't worry because we're

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going to dive into this in even greater

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detail in Step number two which is going

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to show you how Banks if they wanted to

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could quite literally buy everything in

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the world but there is one constraint

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and again we're going to get into that

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at the end of this

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video step number two now let's talk

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about how the banks operate

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offshore outside of the purview of the

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FED we call this the shadow banking

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system and just like its name implies it

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is very mysterious but once we start to

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dive into these details you see how

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these Banks can really control the world

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so let's start by looking at a paper

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from a professor I believe at Boston

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University and they basically go over

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something similar that we went over on

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the whiteboard in Step number one but

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they're starting with Exxon and they've

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got assets on the left liabilities on

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the right and Chase New York Chase City

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now they get into City London so City

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Bank of London but let's hold off on

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that for just a moment because I want

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you to see kind of the how the

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transaction plays out so we've got Exon

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and they want to transfer let's to say

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$10 probably more like 10 billion

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dollars or 10 or 10 million or something

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but they want to transfer

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$10 from Chase New

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York to City New

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York okay great very simple process we

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just went over this so what happens is

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they decrease the assets they have on

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deposit with Chase and increase the

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assets they have with City but then

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Chase New York has to transfer those

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deposit liabilities over to City so it's

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a minus here A Plus here but then they

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also have to transfer them the Bank

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Reserves so it's a minus on the asset

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side of their balance sheet A Plus on

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the asset side of City therefore

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everything balances out in the end so

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now let's assume Exxon didn't really

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want transfer the money to City New York

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they wanted to transfer it to city in

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London City Bank in London their Branch

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over there okay fine well how does it

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differ so what would happen in this case

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is the deposit and the reserves would go

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from Chase to City New York but then

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what would happen is City New York would

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Credit City London's

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account that City London has with City

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New York so what I'm saying here is this

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Bank in London has an account with the

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bank in New York just like you have an

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account with Wells Fargo or Bank of

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America these banks have accounts with

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one another so what city does is they

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credit London's account with the 10

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bucks those reserves back up that

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liability and then what they do is they

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transfer this liability that originally

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started on Chase New York's balance

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sheet over to City London because

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remember that's where Exxon actually

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wants the

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deposit and then the offsetting asset

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for London would be the increase of $10

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to their account that they have with

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city in New York so why this is so

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important is because now what we've done

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is we've taken dollars and they're

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outside of the United States but more

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importantly they're in a system that

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doesn't necessarily need Bank Reserves

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in other words they don't need the

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Federal Reserve in other

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words there's nothing constraining the

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amount of money they create

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except one thing that we're going to go

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over in Step number three now if you're

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having a hard time getting your head

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around this no problem let's go over to

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a video from I believe the author of

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this paper and this guy's absolutely

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brilliant his name is Perry Merling and

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he's got all the credentials you would

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expect PhD from Harvard he went to the

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London School of Economics so let's go

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over there and hear how he describes

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this because he's probably going to do a

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much better job than I just

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did now

play10:00

these deposits that City London has in

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City New York are essentially reserves

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that's the city London cannot have a

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deposit account at the FED it cannot

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have it's not allowed but it can have a

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deposit account at a bank that has a

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deposit account at the fed and so it can

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sort of indirectly have a deposit

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account at the fed and that's what it's

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operating so it has these deposits and

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the way it will it it uses them as money

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the way it it if Exxon wants to transfer

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this deposit to somebody else okay City

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London uses its deposit in in in New

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York to do that so there's these like

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layers of reserves that are

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happening I would like to suggest

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revised version of this where Exxon is

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transferring its money to credit

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Leon

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C and credit Leon is using a deposit at

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City New York as its

play11:01

Reserve okay so its deposit is in

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another bank a different bank not its

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own bank that makes it much clearer

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what's going on here that this is a

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correspondent kind of relationship so

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the when we talk about euro dollar we're

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talking about this stuff here that's on

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the balance sheet of banks that are

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outside the United States now we have

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this bank credit Leon C

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Leon it's a bank

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it can go into the dollar deposit

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business it can go into the dollar

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lending business it has

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reserves in its correspondent

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bank plus dollar

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loans plus dollar deposits you know it

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can make loans by creating

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deposits okay and if somebody withdraws

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those deposits it can use these deposits

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in New York at to make to make payment

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okay so it can go into the dollar

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borrowing lending business even though

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it's in

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France so the main takeaway from Step

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number two is once you get into this

play12:07

rather mysterious Shadow banking system

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they can create not only their own money

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but they can also create their own

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reserves to have the ability to transfer

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that deposit liability to another bank

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so if they can create their own money if

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they can create basic basically their

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own reserves just like the Federal

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Reserve creates their own Bank Reserves

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then why don't they go out there and buy

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all the treasuries all the real estate

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all the businesses all the gold all the

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Bitcoin all the

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stocks and completely own the entire

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world it's a good question and to a

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certain degree they could and we're

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going to discuss that right now

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step number three the banks buy

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everything remember what they've been

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telling

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you you'll own

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nothing and you'll be happy here's how

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this would work out as far as the

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balance sheets let's say there are only

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two banks in the world to keep things

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super simple we'll call it Bank a or

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maybe JP

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Morgan and Bank B maybe City Bank bank

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or

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HSBC so before we get into what this

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Bank buys buying all the assets all the

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Bitcoin all the gold all the real estate

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all the treasuries all the stocks

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Etc let's go back to what Perry Merling

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was saying at least this is his View and

play13:53

there are different views out there more

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on that in just a moment but the Banks

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can effectively create their own

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reserves they can create their own money

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they can create their own assets their

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own

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liabilities so let's just put that or

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let me just give you a real world

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example so before we get to this part

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let's just assume that bank B has an

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account with bank a that's their

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liability and Bank a has an account with

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bank B and this is Bank B's liability so

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there's only two Banks they know each

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other well they've been doing business

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with each other for the last 40 years

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and they say look let's go ahead and uh

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start by I'll just credit your account a

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100 bucks and Bank a says well that's

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mighty nice of you Bank B I'll go ahead

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and respond in kind by crediting your

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account 100 bucks so the balance sheets

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all

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balance from the

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standpoint of Bank a has this $100 asset

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that's how much money is in their

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account at Bank B and Bank B has this

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$100 asset which is the amount that they

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have their balance in their account at

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Bank a okay now let's go ahead and

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continue so Bank a says well boy I want

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to go out there and buy some Treasury

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IES they're looking real good so they

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say I'm going to go ahead and buy

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treasury from XYZ non-bank entity and

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we'll go ahead and credit their account

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with us let's say they just buy it from

play15:43

the average Joe so we'll credit Joe's

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account by

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$100 we'll assume they're buying $100

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worth of treasuries okay so the $100 wor

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of treasuries become the asset on their

play15:59

balance sheet that's what bank a is

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trying to buy but the $100

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deposit is now a liability that would be

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Joe's asset the asset that he now has

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for selling his treasuries to bank a to

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begin with all right but then George

play16:18

remember we've got that settlement issue

play16:21

that we were talking about in steps one

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and two so let's assume that Joe wants

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to transfer this deposit liability over

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well Commercial Bank deposit liability

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over to bank B all right well what

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happens because Bank a doesn't have

play16:39

anything to really settle with because

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they want to keep that

play16:44

treasury so this deposit goes over to

play16:47

their balance sheet which we can see

play16:48

right here so now on the liability side

play16:52

of Bank B's balance sheet they have

play16:56

$200 when they only had 100 to begin

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with and they only started with $100 in

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their account at Bank

play17:05

a but Bank a says well here's what we'll

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do we'll go ahead and transfer you this

play17:11

liability we want to keep our treasury

play17:13

so we'll just go ahead and add another

play17:18

$100 to bank B's account that they have

play17:22

with

play17:23

us this is why my good friend Jeff

play17:26

Snider calls this simply Ledger

play17:29

money that's all it is is they're just

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getting their books to balance they're

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just creating this

play17:37

network of ledgers or balance sheets if

play17:41

you will so now that the transaction is

play17:44

done let's

play17:46

see if these things balance

play17:51

out so Bank a has now $200 worth of

play17:55

assets $200 worth of

play17:57

liabilities Bank

play17:59

B 200 worth of

play18:02

assets 200 worth of

play18:04

liabilities Bank a has purchased

play18:08

treasuries effectively for free with

play18:11

money that they just created due to this

play18:15

scheme if you want to call it that with

play18:18

bank

play18:18

B whoa timeout I know a lot of you are

play18:22

probably watching this saying George

play18:23

this is absolutely

play18:25

impossible this this can't be right I

play18:28

mean at the end of the day these aren't

play18:30

dollars I mean they're just it's just

play18:34

credit back and forth they're just

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IUS and at the end of the day they're

play18:39

just claims on dollars and we know that

play18:43

the only entity that can create actual

play18:46

dollars is the Federal Reserve this is

play18:49

what we call Base money or m0 so again

play18:52

these are just all claims on dollars and

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there's no way these banks at the end of

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the day when they settle would accept

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just a claim on a dollar they would

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actually want the real

play19:05

thing okay but let me ask you the last

play19:09

time you were paid let's say

play19:12

$1,000 or maybe you received your

play19:15

paycheck and that was deposited into

play19:17

your account did you receive claims on

play19:22

dollars or did you actually receive

play19:25

dollars see unless you received Green

play19:28

Piece P of paper then you did not

play19:31

receive dollars you did not receive base

play19:33

money you did not receive m0 you did not

play19:37

receive a liability of the fed you

play19:40

received claims on

play19:42

dollars that for you was just as good

play19:47

because you can spend those claims on

play19:49

dollars or those IUS from the bank just

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like you can the green pieces of paper

play19:55

it's the exact same thing here oh but

play19:57

wait there is more if you've really been

play20:00

paying attention you know that

play20:02

throughout this entire video I've been

play20:03

hinting at the fact there is a

play20:07

constraint So in theory this all works

play20:11

but in practice it's quite a bit

play20:15

different and there's one word that

play20:18

tells us everything we need to

play20:23

know

play20:25

risk and I'm not necessarily talking

play20:27

about the risk initially from from One

play20:30

bank to the other but what I'm more so

play20:33

talking about is the risk with the

play20:36

assets they actually purchase with all

play20:40

this money they create out of thin air

play20:43

let me show you what I'm referring to so

play20:45

remember Bank a bought a treasury from

play20:47

the average Joe that at the time let's

play20:51

say was yielding 5% and therefore it was

play20:55

worth

play20:57

$100 but but let's assume for a moment

play21:00

that interest rates go up very quickly

play21:04

and very dramatically where have we seen

play21:07

this happen

play21:09

before so you guys know by watching my

play21:12

videos that there's an inverse

play21:13

relationship between the interest rate

play21:16

and the value of the actual treasury so

play21:20

if these interest rates go up and go

play21:22

Skyhigh the value of this treasury

play21:26

plummets now for the sake this example

play21:29

to keep things super simple let's say

play21:31

the value of the treasury goes down to

play21:33

zero now the value of the treasury

play21:35

wouldn't go down to zero in real life

play21:36

but again just for the sake of this

play21:39

example so now all of a

play21:43

sudden this

play21:46

asset basically goes away because it has

play21:50

no value again it's gone down to zero so

play21:55

now all of a sudden Bank a is is

play21:59

insolvent they have negative equity

play22:02

because they have $200 worth of

play22:04

liabilities but they now only have $100

play22:07

worth of

play22:09

assets and you say oh George well that

play22:11

isn't a problem because remember what

play22:13

you're telling us right up here in this

play22:16

phase of the game that they could just

play22:19

go to bank B and say Bank B hey credit

play22:22

my account for another

play22:24

$100 and then everything will go back to

play22:27

balancing out out and Bank B says yeah

play22:31

you're my good buddy but that ain't

play22:33

going to happen because let's think

play22:36

about it if Bank B added another

play22:38

$100 to bank A's

play22:42

account they would be putting themselves

play22:44

in the exact same position as Bank a and

play22:49

that is up a certain creek without a

play22:52

paddle as we used to

play22:54

say when I was a kid because if they

play22:57

added another $100 now they would have

play23:00

$300 in

play23:03

liabilities and only 200 in assets so

play23:07

the constraint on the banks is the risk

play23:10

it's the interest rate risk it's the

play23:13

credit risk meaning what if they don't

play23:15

even get paid

play23:17

back then they can create as much money

play23:20

as they want or lend each other as much

play23:23

money or reserves as they want and it

play23:26

doesn't bail them out

play23:29

and this is why I always say what really

play23:31

drives liquidity in global markets is

play23:34

perceived counterparty risk it isn't

play23:38

necessarily the fed's balance sheet

play23:40

whether they're expanding it or

play23:42

Contracting it so Bank B looks at A's

play23:45

balance sheet and says yeah that ain't

play23:47

looking too good then they're going to

play23:50

hesitate or they're not going to create

play23:53

credit for them and vice versa so it's

play23:56

all about the

play23:59

Asset Risk and then the perceived

play24:03

counterparty risk within the network of

play24:07

the banking system itself or the global

play24:10

monetary system if you will in other

play24:12

words these banks that operate in the

play24:16

shadows I know right about now many of

play24:18

you are asking the most important

play24:20

question of this entire

play24:23

video George why on Earth does this

play24:26

matter I understand and this network

play24:29

that you're talking about and all the

play24:31

balance sheets and the money Printing

play24:32

and the banks and oh all this is just

play24:34

mumbo jumbo at the end of the day I'm

play24:37

just an average investor trying to

play24:39

figure out whether I should buy some

play24:41

real estate maybe some stocks bonds

play24:44

maybe some gold or Bitcoin none of this

play24:47

matters to me at

play24:51

all and this is where I would disagree

play24:55

with you let me explain so if you're

play24:57

there watching CNBC or Bloomberg If the

play25:00

Fed is doing quantitative tightening as

play25:02

an example they are going to tell you

play25:05

that oh my gosh this means that

play25:08

liquidity in the global monetary system

play25:12

is going to shrink is going to decrease

play25:15

and therefore X Y and Z will be the

play25:19

likely outcome but you as an informed

play25:22

investor will know that while it's

play25:25

important to pay attention to the fed's

play25:27

balance sheet sheet what's even more

play25:30

important is to try to determine what is

play25:34

happening with the amount of perceived

play25:38

counterparty risk or risk in general in

play25:42

the global monetary system because if

play25:46

risk is going up and the fed's doing QE

play25:50

it's not going to have that much of an

play25:52

impact and if risk is going down then

play25:56

conversely if they're doing quantitative

play25:58

tightening then that also isn't going to

play26:01

have much impact it's all about your

play26:05

starting point are you starting by

play26:08

trying to analyze risk or are you

play26:11

starting by trying to analyze the fed's

play26:14

balance sheet and the whole point of

play26:16

this video is to try to impress upon you

play26:21

my view and it's just my opinion that

play26:24

the starting point should be risk

play26:28

for more content that'll help you build

play26:31

wealth and thrive in a world of out of

play26:33

control central banks and big

play26:35

governments check out this playlist

play26:37

right here and I will see you on the

play26:39

next video

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