Как Россия воюет без мобилизации?

История всего

14 Mar 202408:38

Summary

TLDRThe script discusses the ongoing war in Ukraine and the mobilization efforts on both sides. It highlights Ukraine's continuous general mobilization since the Russian invasion, facing challenges after two years due to a shortage of volunteers. Russia, initially avoiding mobilization, has faced personnel shortages, leading to partial mobilization in September 2022 to recruit 300,000 soldiers. The script also covers Russia's methods of replenishing its army without active mobilization, including covert mobilization, recruitment in prisons, hiring mercenaries from third countries, and attracting ideological volunteers and contract soldiers. The narrative suggests that despite the war's challenges, the Kremlin has managed to maintain its military strength through various means without resorting to full-scale mobilization.

Takeaways

🇺🇦 The war in Ukraine has been ongoing for over 2 years, consuming significant resources from both sides, including human resources such as soldiers.
📣 Active mobilization is taking place in Ukraine, with a general mobilization declared since the beginning of the conflict that continues to this day.
🇷🇺 Russia has not conducted active mobilization and has claimed that the 'special military operation' did not imply any mobilization.
📉 Russia faced a shortage of personnel by the summer of the second year of the conflict, which contributed to Ukrainian military successes in certain areas.
🔄 On September 21st of the second year, Russia initiated a partial mobilization aiming to recruit 300,000 people, which was claimed to have ended but in practice continues.
🤫 Covert mobilization continues in Russia at a slower pace, with processes still ongoing but not as noticeable to the general public.
🏭 Mobilization in prisons has been used as a means to replenish the army, with significant potential due to the large prison population.
🌍 Russia has also been recruiting mercenaries from third countries, with private military companies like Wagner Group being involved in such activities.
💡 Ideological volunteers who believe in the cause are also joining the Russian military, showing the effectiveness of Russian propaganda.
💰 Contract soldiers are another significant source of recruitment, especially from impoverished regions where the army offers a social ladder and higher wages.
💼 Regional authorities are also stimulating recruitment with one-time large payments, making the army an attractive option for many Russians.

Q & A

How long has the conflict in Ukraine been ongoing?
-The conflict in Ukraine has been ongoing for over two years.
What type of resources are being consumed in the conflict in Ukraine?
-The conflict is consuming enormous resources, including human resources, such as soldiers for the front.
What has been the mobilization process like in Ukraine since the beginning of the conflict?
-The mobilization process in Ukraine began with the Russian invasion and has continued with a general mobilization that is still in effect.
How did Russia's stance on mobilization change over the course of the conflict?
-Initially, Russia did not conduct mobilization and referred to the action as a special military operation. However, by the second year of the conflict, Russia faced a shortage of personnel and initiated a partial mobilization in September.
What was the goal of the partial mobilization that began in Russia in September of the second year?
-The goal of the partial mobilization was to recruit 300,000 people.
How has the mobilization process continued in Russia despite the official end?
-The mobilization process has continued in a covert manner, with small-scale activities and occasional news about mobilization, including of migrants and students.
What role do prisons play in Russia's military recruitment?
-Prisons have been a source of recruitment for the Russian military, with a significant number of men in prisons being mobilized, initially through the Wagner Group.
How does Russia recruit mercenaries from third countries?
-Russia has been recruiting mercenaries from third countries, particularly from poorer regions, offering salaries significantly higher than what they would earn in their home countries.
What is the role of ideological volunteers in the Russian army?
-Ideological volunteers, influenced by Russian propaganda, have been a significant source of recruitment for the Russian army. These volunteers are motivated by their beliefs rather than financial incentives.
How has the situation for contract soldiers in Russia changed since the start of the war?
-Contract soldiers, particularly from poorer regions, have been a significant part of the Russian military even before the war. With the start of the conflict, the rates for contract soldiers have increased, and recruitment has become more active.
What is the current situation with conscripts in the Russian military?
-Initially, conscripts were used to fill gaps in the military. However, in the current reality, conscripts are not being sent to the front, which is an important social factor considering the public dissatisfaction it caused during the Chechen wars.
What are some speculations about potential changes in Russia's mobilization efforts after Putin's elections?
-There are speculations in some Western media that Putin might announce a full mobilization after the elections. However, given the current situation, there is no immediate need for such a measure.

Outlines

00:00

🌐 War Mobilization in Russia and Ukraine

The script discusses the ongoing war in Ukraine, which has lasted over two years, consuming significant resources from both sides, including human resources, specifically soldiers for the front. In Ukraine, the mobilization process started with Russia's invasion and has continued with a general mobilization. Initially, there were many volunteers, but after two years of war, the number of volunteers has decreased significantly, and the demand for personnel remains high. Russia, on the other hand, did not conduct mobilization at the start of the conflict, stating it was a special military operation. However, by the second year, Russia faced a shortage of personnel, which led to a partial mobilization in September 2022, aiming to recruit 300,000 people. Despite President Putin's announcement of the end of mobilization, it continues unofficially, and can be reactivated at any time without bureaucratic complications. The script also touches on the mobilization of convicts in prisons and the recruitment of mercenaries from third countries, which has become a common occurrence on the Ukrainian front.

05:01

📢 Various Methods of Army Reinforcement in Russia

This paragraph delves into the different methods Russia uses to reinforce its army without resorting to mass mobilization. It includes ongoing, albeit slower, hidden mobilization processes, the recruitment of convicts in prisons which has been a significant source of additional troops, and the recruitment of mercenaries from third countries, including Nepal. The script also mentions the recruitment of volunteers who join based on ideological principles, influenced by Russian propaganda which has been highly effective. Contract soldiers, who come from poorer regions seeking a social lift and higher wages, are another significant source of reinforcement. The script highlights that despite comparable military wages in Ukraine, people there are not willing to risk their lives for money. Lastly, it touches on the potential for full mobilization in Russia after Putin's elections, which some Western media speculate could occur if the situation on the front becomes critical for the Ukrainian side.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Mobilization

Mobilization refers to the process of assembling and preparing troops and supplies for war. In the video, it discusses the differences in how Ukraine and Russia have mobilized their forces, with Ukraine initiating a general mobilization at the start of the conflict and Russia conducting a partial and more covert mobilization later on.

💡Volunteers

Volunteers are individuals who willingly join the military to fight without being compelled. Initially, Ukraine had a significant number of volunteers when the war began, but this number has dwindled over time. The video highlights how the supply of volunteers has been crucial in the early stages of the conflict.

💡Conscription

Conscription is the compulsory enlistment of people in a national service, most often the military. The video contrasts how Russia has not officially declared a full conscription but instead uses partial and hidden conscription methods to gather troops.

💡Special Military Operation

Special Military Operation is the term used by Russia to describe its actions in Ukraine, rather than calling it a war. This distinction was initially used to justify the lack of a general mobilization, emphasizing the limited scope of their military engagement.

💡Contract Soldiers

Contract Soldiers are individuals who enlist in the military based on a formal contract, typically motivated by financial incentives. The video notes that many Russians from poorer regions enlist as contract soldiers due to the relatively high pay compared to their local economies.

💡Wagner Group

The Wagner Group is a private military company known for recruiting prisoners and mercenaries to fight in conflicts, including in Ukraine. The video explains how the Wagner Group has been instrumental in bolstering Russia's military numbers through such recruitment practices.

💡Prisoner Recruitment

Prisoner Recruitment involves enlisting prisoners to serve in the military in exchange for incentives like early release. This strategy has been employed by Russia, notably by the Wagner Group, to supplement their military forces.

💡Foreign Mercenaries

Foreign Mercenaries are hired soldiers from other countries who fight for financial gain rather than allegiance to a nation. The video mentions Russia's efforts to recruit mercenaries from various Third World countries, offering them significant financial rewards.

💡Economic Incentives

Economic Incentives refer to financial rewards or benefits used to encourage people to join the military. The video discusses how economic incentives, like high salaries and one-time payments, have been used by Russia to attract volunteers and contract soldiers.

💡Public Mobilization

Public Mobilization is the process of enlisting the general population into military service. While Russia has not fully engaged in public mobilization, the video indicates that hidden and partial mobilization efforts continue to quietly support their military needs.

Highlights

The war in Ukraine continues for over 2 years, consuming significant resources from both sides.

Active mobilization is ongoing in Ukraine since the Russian invasion, with a general mobilization declared.

Russia has not conducted mobilization, creating an impression of sufficient resources for continuing the war.

Russia faced a personnel shortage by the summer of the second year of the conflict.

Ukrainian forces took advantage of Russia's personnel shortage to make significant territorial gains.

On September 21st of the second year, partial mobilization began in Russia, aiming to recruit 300,000 people.

Russian authorities claimed the mobilization ended, but the document to formalize it was never signed, suggesting it continues unofficially.

Covert mobilization continues in Russia at a slower pace, affecting thousands periodically.

There are reports of mobilization targeting recent Russian passport holders and students as a form of punishment.

Mobilization in prisons began recently, with a significant potential due to the large prison population.

The Wagner Group was involved in recruiting prisoners, offering amnesty after six months of service.

Mercenaries from third countries have become a common occurrence on Ukrainian fronts.

Russia has been recruiting foreign fighters, especially from the Third World, with high salaries.

Volunteers motivated by ideological principles have been joining the Russian army, despite the war.

Contract soldiers, a significant pre-war category, are still joining the Russian army for better pay and social mobility.

Regional authorities offer large one-time payments to stimulate recruitment, reaching up to 500,000 rubles.

Private military companies in Russia offer material incentives to attract people to their ranks.

Conscripts are not being sent to the front, which is an important social factor in Russia.

There is speculation that after Putin's elections, a full mobilization could be declared.

The Kremlin has found ways to replenish the army without mass mobilization of the population.

The current format of recruitment allows Russia to avoid full mobilization and conduct it in a very soft format.