Mercado aguarda ansioso inflação dos EUA; local olha fiscal: Minuto Touro de Ouro

Pablo Spyer
10 Oct 202402:37

Summary

TLDRThe global stock markets opened slightly negative on Thursday, as investors await U.S. inflation data (CPI) following last week's stronger-than-expected jobs report. Concerns about rising inflation could impact potential interest rate cuts, pushing markets lower. U.S. markets hit record highs, while European stocks showed slight declines. Oil prices rose due to concerns over potential conflicts in Iran and Hurricane Milton's impact on Gulf of Mexico oil supplies. Iron ore prices fluctuated, and the U.S. dollar remained strong with a high likelihood of rate cuts. Bitcoin is at $61,000.

Takeaways

  • 🌍 Global stock markets are slightly negative this Thursday, waiting for the release of the US consumer inflation data (CPI).
  • 💼 Last Friday's US job data (CAGED) showed a much stronger-than-expected labor market, reflecting a robust economy.
  • 📉 Investors are concerned that if inflation in the US is higher, it may prevent further interest rate cuts, potentially lowering stock markets and pushing the dollar higher.
  • 📈 The US stock market closed at a historic high yesterday, setting a new record.
  • 📉 European stock markets are down on average by 0.2%, while the US markets are relatively flat.
  • 🛢️ Oil prices are rising, with Brent crude up 1.5%, as investors remain nervous about potential retaliatory strikes by Israel against Iran, which could affect the oil industry.
  • 🌪️ Hurricane Milton hit Florida weaker than expected at Category 3, but it may still impact oil supply in the Gulf of Mexico.
  • ⚒️ Iron ore prices fell by 1% overnight but rebounded by 2% in Singapore, with investors hoping for new economic stimulus measures from China on Saturday.
  • 💵 The US Dollar Index (DXY) is stable but has risen for eight consecutive sessions due to the strong US economy and expectations of slowing interest rate cuts.
  • 📊 In the US, there is an 87% probability of a 25 basis point interest rate cut, according to CME data.

Q & A

  • What is the current state of global stock markets?

    -Global stock markets are slightly negative, with investors awaiting important inflation data from the U.S.

  • Why are investors closely watching U.S. inflation data?

    -Investors are anxious to see if U.S. inflation will rise, which could prevent further interest rate cuts and negatively impact stock markets and push the dollar higher.

  • What recent economic data from the U.S. surprised investors?

    -The recent U.S. employment data came in much stronger than expected, showing more job creation and indicating a robust economy.

  • How did the U.S. stock market perform yesterday?

    -The U.S. stock market closed at a historical high, reaching a new record level.

  • What is the current state of the European stock markets?

    -European stock markets are down by 0.2% on average.

  • Why is there concern about rising oil prices?

    -Oil prices are rising due to investor fears of a potential counterattack by Israel on Iran, which could affect Iran's oil industry.

  • What impact has Hurricane Milton had on oil production?

    -Hurricane Milton, which hit Florida as a category 3 storm, may have caused damage to oil production in the Gulf of Mexico, but details are still pending.

  • What is happening with the price of iron ore in Singapore?

    -Iron ore prices initially fell by 1%, but then rebounded and are now up 2% as investors expect China to announce new economic stimulus measures.

  • How is the U.S. dollar performing?

    -The U.S. dollar index (DXY) is currently stable at 0%, but it has risen for eight consecutive sessions due to the strong U.S. economy and expectations of slower interest rate cuts.

  • What is the current state of Bitcoin?

    -Bitcoin is trading at $61,000.

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Global MarketsInflation DataOil PricesU.S. EconomyStock MarketInvestorsGeopoliticsDollar StrengthStimulus MeasuresEconomic News
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