ПОРТНИКОВ 🔥 Путін МОЖЕ ЗАСТОСУВАТИ ЯДЕРКУ, АЛЕ... | OBOZ.TALK

Summary

The transcript discusses the ongoing situation in Kursk, Russia, where evacuations are taking place and the impact on Russian leadership and elites. It questions the effectiveness of Putin's control over the state and the potential for a change in leadership. The conversation also touches on the influence of the Chekist regime and the idea of restoring the Soviet Union's borders, which is not just Putin's personal ambition but a collective goal of the security service. The discussion highlights the complexities of Russia's geopolitical stance, including its relations with the West and China, and the potential for escalation or de-escalation of the conflict.

Takeaways

• 😐 The situation in Kursk region has led to the evacuation of some local residents, and the breach of the border has an impact on Russians and the leadership of Russia.
• 😟 There is speculation about the mood in the Kremlin and whether panic is present among Russian elites, with some suggesting that Putin may be experiencing a political and security defeat.
• 🧐 The ability of Putin to control the situation within the state and the perception of him by Russian elites is questioned, with some suggesting a need for a different leader to navigate the situation.
• 🤔 The script discusses the possibility of Russia being influenced by a Chechen regime and the thoughts of those close to Putin about his ability to overcome Ukraine.
• 💥 There is a call for decisive action against Russia, emphasizing that if the Russian elite abandons Putin, it could be beneficial for peace and the end of the war.
• 🕊️ The narrative challenges the idea that the end of Putin's rule would automatically mean the end of the war, highlighting the Chekist ideology behind the push for a restored Soviet Union.
• 👥 The script mentions the role of the Russian Federal Security Service (FSB) as a mafia-like organization that believes in dominating the former Soviet Union, indicating a larger issue beyond Putin's personal rule.
• 🗣️ President Biden is quoted as considering the situation in the Kursk region and the dilemma Putin faces, suggesting a political perspective that differs from Putin's view of Russia's territory.
• 🚫 The West's misunderstanding of Russia is highlighted, with the script suggesting that the West has always struggled to comprehend Russia's actions and motivations.
• 🛡️ The importance of strategic cooperation with the People's Republic of China for Russia is emphasized, as it provides a safeguard against potential threats and enables military focus elsewhere.
• 💣 The script raises the question of whether Russia would use nuclear weapons in response to the operation in Kursk, discussing the conditions under which such a move might be considered.

Q & A

What is the situation being discussed in Kursk Oblast?

The situation in Kursk Oblast involves evacuation from four districts due to a border breakthrough, and it is affecting the Russians and the leadership of Russia, including the elites and President Putin.

What is the impact of the border breakthrough on the Russian leadership and Putin?

The border breakthrough is perceived as a significant political and security defeat for Russia's leadership, particularly for President Putin, raising questions about his ability to control the situation within the state.

What is the concern regarding the Russian elites' view on the current situation?

There is a concern that the Russian elites may believe that Putin is no longer capable of handling the situation and that a different leader is needed to navigate the country out of the current crisis.

What is the significance of the comparison between the current situation and the Chechen regime?

The comparison highlights the potential for those close to Putin to think that he cannot defeat Ukraine and that someone else might be needed to eliminate this threat, reflecting the internal power dynamics and potential shifts in leadership.

What is the role of the Chekist regime in the current conflict?

The Chekist regime is portrayed as a powerful organization that believes in dominating the former Soviet Union territories and is driving the conflict, regardless of whether Putin is in power or not.

What does President Biden's recent statement about the situation in Kursk Oblast imply?

President Biden's statement suggests that he views the situation as a dilemma for Putin, who may either regain control over his territories or continue the war, with parts of Russia under Ukrainian control.

What is the difference in perspective between President Biden and President Putin regarding the conflict?

President Biden, as a politician, sees the conflict from a Western perspective, while President Putin views the conflict as a fight to restore the Soviet Union's territories, leading to a fundamental difference in their understanding of the situation.

What is the significance of the Western stance on Russia's territorial claims?

The West does not recognize Russia's territorial gains and demands that Russia return to the 1991 borders, which is a point of contention and reflects the ongoing geopolitical struggle.

What is the potential impact of the operation in Kursk Oblast on the Russian-Ukrainian border?

The operation could lead to a significant reinforcement of the Russian-Ukrainian border in Belgorod, Kursk, and Bryansk regions, potentially requiring Russia to maintain a large military presence there.

What is the possibility of Russia using nuclear weapons in response to the current situation?

While Russia's military doctrine allows for the use of nuclear weapons in case of aggression threatening the state's existence, the decision to use them would depend on Putin's assessment of the necessity and risks involved, which currently do not seem to warrant such action.

Why did the local population in Kursk Oblast not organize a defense or resistance against the Ukrainian military operation?

The local population did not organize a defense because the area was quickly occupied by Russian forces, and the government instructed them to evacuate rather than engage in guerrilla warfare, reflecting a difference in government approach and trust in state functions.