Sam Altman and Bill Gates Talk AI | Is GPT-5 close?

AI Unleashed - The Coming Artificial Intelligence Revolution and Race to AGI
12 Jan 202408:13

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Transcripts

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there's the chance of the system taking

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control and for some reasons I'm I'm

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less concerned about that I'm glad other

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people are the one that that sort of

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befuddles me is human purpose when the

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machine says to me Bill go play pickle

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ball I've got malar radication you're

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just a slow thinker then you know it is

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a philosophically confusing thing and

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how you organized Society yes we're

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going to improve education but education

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to do what there's a lot of

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psychologically difficult parts of

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working on the technology but this is

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the for me the most difficult cuz I also

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yeah satisfaction from that and it's

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like in some real sense this might be

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like the last hard thing I ever do well

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our minds are so organized around

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scarcity scarcity of teachers and

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doctors and good ideas I do wonder if a

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generation that grows up without that

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scarcity will find the philosophical

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notion of how to organize society and

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what to do maybe they'll come up

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solution and I I'm afraid my mind is so

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shaped around scarcity I I even to have

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a hard time thinking of it if we can get

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into this world of post scarcity we will

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find new things to do they'll feel very

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different but I think the only way out

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is through we just have to go do this

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thing it's going to happen this is like

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now an Unstoppable technological course

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the value is too great and I'm pretty

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confident very confident we'll make it

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work but it does feel like it's going to

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all be so different yeah I think if it

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comes across as asking for a Slowdown

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that'll be really hard if it instead

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says okay do what you want but any

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compute cluster above a certain

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extremely high power threshold and given

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the cost here we're talking maybe five

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in the world something like that any

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cluster like that has got to submit to

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the equivalent of international weapons

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inspectors and the model there has to be

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made available for safety audit pass

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some tests during training and before

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deployment that feels possible to me I

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wasn't that sure before but I did a big

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trip around the world this year talked

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to heads of state in many of the

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countries that would need to participate

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in this and there was like almost

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Universal support for it right now I

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guess the we're looking a lot of

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productivity improvement from AI which

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you know that's overwhelmingly a very

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good thing which areas are you most

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excited about yeah so first of all I

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always think it's worth remembering that

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we're just sort of on this long

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continuous curve um so like right now we

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have an we have ai systems that can do

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tasks they certainly can't do jobs but

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they can do tasks and there's

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productivity gain there eventually

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they'll be able to do more things that

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we think of like a job today um and

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we'll of course find new jobs and better

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jobs and I totally believe that if you

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give people way more powerful tools it's

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not just they can work a little faster

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they can do qualitatively different

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things and so you know right now maybe

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we can speed up a programmer 3x it's

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about what we see I mean that's one of

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the categories that we're most excited

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about it's it working super well but if

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you make a programmer three times more

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effective it's not just that they can

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write they can do three times more stuff

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it's that they can at that higher level

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of abstraction using more of their brain

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power they can now think of totally

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different things and it's like you know

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going from Punch Cards higher level

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languages didn't just let us program a

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little faster and let us do these

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qualitatively new things but I think

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it's worth always putting in context of

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this technology that at least for the

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next five or 10 years will be on very

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steep Improvement curve um these are the

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stupidest the models will ever be but

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coding is probably the area the single

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area from a productivity gain we're most

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excited about today Healthcare and

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education are two things that are coming

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up that curve that we're very excited

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about too so how do you see robotics

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super excited for that we started robots

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too early um and so we had to put that

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project on on hold it was hard for the

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wrong reasons it wasn't helping us make

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progress with the difficult parts of the

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ml research and you know we were like

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dealing with bad simulators and breaking

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tendons and things like that and also we

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realized more and more over time that

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what we really first needed was

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Intelligence and cognition and then we

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could figure out how to adapt it to

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physicality and it was easier to start

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with that with the way we've built these

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language models but we have always

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planned to come back to it we've started

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investing a little bit in robotics

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companies I think on the physical

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Hardware side there's finally for the

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first time that I've ever seen really

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exciting new platforms being built there

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and at some point we will be able to use

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our models as you were saying with their

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language understanding and future video

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understanding to say all right like

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let's do amazing things with a with a

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robot and what about the competition is

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that kind of a fun thing that you know

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many people are working on this all at

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once it's you know both like annoying

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and motivating and fun I'm sure you felt

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similarly but it does push us to be

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better and do faster and we're very

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confident in our approach we have like a

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lot of people that I think are like

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skating to where the puck was and we're

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going to where the puck is going and

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feels all right Bill Gates interviews

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Sam Alman on Bill's podcast called

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unconfuse me which was apparently on

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YouTube this whole time it's pretty

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interesting it's pretty General they

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don't go too deep into anything but it

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is an interesting thing to watch those

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two kind of discuss where they think AGI

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AI where the world is going and how AI

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will affected but one thing that really

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caught my attention didn't happen at

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that interview but it sounds like it was

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happening while that interview was being

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released so this is kickoff for YC Y

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combinator where they get a lot of the

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founders of these startups it sounds

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like it took place at opening ice

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headquarters in San Francisco Sam Alman

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was there now for the life of me I can't

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find any video of this I can barely find

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any images but in his sort of initial

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speech to the new Founders to these Tech

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Founders that are all building their own

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companies samman suggested people build

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with the mindset that gpc5 and AGI will

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be achieved relatively soon that most

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GPT 4 limitations will get fixed in GPT

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5 here are some key takeaways one

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startups need contextual optimization

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more than Behavior optimization

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providing more information via rag Etc

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can be more beneficial than fine-tuning

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two openai API will continue to be

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faster more reliable and cheaper however

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there will always be a balance between

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performance and cost for example iPhone

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will keep its one one and a half day

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battery life to optimize for performance

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even though Battery Technology has

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improved significantly and three it's

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not advisable to build companies that

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Focus primarily on addressing current

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GPT 4 limitations most limitations will

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get partially SL entirely fixed in GPT 5

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this was published in the standard a few

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days earlier Chad GPT 5 release date

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what we know about Open the Eyes next

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chatbot in recent months hype has been

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building around a new and more powerful

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version of the tech that underpins Chad

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GPT the language model that will be

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dubbed at GPT 5 Altman allegedly spoke

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about gbt 5 and gbt 6 during a talk at

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his former Venture Capital firm Y

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combinator at the alumni reunion in

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September according to two people who

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attended the event he said that both the

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AI models were in the bag there's not

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too many more details about one it's

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going to be available so we'll see are

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we going to see GPT 4.5 are we going to

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see GPT 5 we have yet to see in other

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news there's this apparently someone

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found the Kryptonite to chbt apparently

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if you upload this this image to Chad

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GPT and ask it what do you see or

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something to that effect it just breaks

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why who knows a lot of people reporting

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being able to break Chad gbt with that

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with that image I don't know why in

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other news Sam Alman got married but yes

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it's true Sam Alman did say AI do like I

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do a I do I don't know it's really late

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right now either way congratulations to

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him that's it for me for today here's

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Andre karpathy explaining the meaning of

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life in it is really interesting to

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think about like what the puzzle of the

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universe is did the creator of the

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universe uh give us a message like for

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example in the book contact UM Carl Sean

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uh there's a message for human for any

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civilization in the digits in the

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expansion of Pi in base 11 eventually

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which is kind of interesting thought uh

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maybe maybe we're supposed to be giving

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a message to our creator maybe we're

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supposed to somehow create some kind of

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a quantum mechanical system that alerts

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them to our intelligent presence here

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because if you think about it from their

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perspective it's just s quantum field

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Theory massive like silure tonaton like

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thing and like how do you even notice

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that we exist you might not even be able

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to pick us up in that simulation and so

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how do you uh how do you prove that you

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exist that you're intelligent and that

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you're part of the universe