Cómo China y Rusia cooperan para crear un nuevo orden mundial
Summary
TLDREl guion ofrece una visión de la relación estratégica entre China y Rusia y su impacto en la seguridad global. Se discute cómo la dependencia de China en la importación de energía, principalmente de Rusia, fortalece su alianza, y cómo ambos países han beneficiado mutuamente en términos militares. El guión también explora la posibilidad de un escenario bélico conjunto contra Estados Unidos y la preocupación de los planificadores de defensa estadounidenses ante una potencial cooperación militar entre China y Rusia. Además, se abordan las tensiones en las relaciones fronterizas entre China e India, y la posición de Rusia en la expansión de la OTAN y el conflicto en Ucrania. El análisis concluye con la importancia de la autonomía estratégica y la necesidad de preparación para posibles conflictos futuros, subrayando la creciente influencia de China y Rusia en la dinámica global.
Takeaways
- 📈 La dependencia de China en la importación de energía es alta, con el 70% de su energía dependiendo de importaciones, y Rusia puede ayudar significativamente en este aspecto.
- ⚖️ La relación entre China y Rusia se ha fortalecido debido a la ayuda militar y la percepción compartida de un enemigo común: los Estados Unidos.
- 🔄 Desde la década de 1990, la ayuda militar de Rusia ha permitido que las fuerzas armadas chinas se fortalezcan considerablemente.
- 🤝 La cooperación estratégica entre China y Rusia incluye la realización de patrullas conjuntas en el mar y en la air, que demuestran una integración creciente entre las dos naciones.
- 🛰️ La capacidad nuclear de China está en aumento, con predicciones de que aumentará significativamente su arsenal nuclear en las próximas décadas.
- 🚧 La frontera entre China y Rusia, después de la desintegración de la Unión Soviética, se ha establecido como una prioridad para mantener la paz entre los dos países.
- 💪 La ayuda de Rusia ha sido crucial para mantener la industria militar china, a pesar de las sanciones impuestas a China después de la masacre en Tiananmen.
- 🔄 La economía de Rusia, debido a las sanciones, se está diversificando hacia Asia-Pacífico, con China como su principal socio comercial.
- 🔄 La alianza entre China y Rusia podría representar un desafío para los intereses estadounidenses y la seguridad global.
- 🌎 La expansión de las alianzas de seguridad de EE. UU. es un tema de preocupación para Rusia y China, quienes buscan cooperar para contrarrestar la influencia estadounidense.
- ⏰ La guerra en Ucrania y la creciente presencia de China en el Asia-Pacífico representan desafíos para la planificación de defensa de los Estados Unidos y sus aliados.
Q & A
¿Cuál es la dependencia de China en la energía importada y cómo puede ayudar Rusia en este aspecto?
-El 70% de la energía de China depende de la importación y Rusia puede ayudar de manera significativa en este aspecto, posiblemente aportando recursos energéticos y diversificando las fuentes de energía para China.
¿Cómo ha beneficiado la cooperación entre Rusia y China en términos militares?
-La cooperación entre Rusia y China ha beneficiado enormemente a las fuerzas armadas chinas, especialmente después de la década de 1990, proporcionándoles tecnología y equipo militar avanzado.
¿Por qué la relación entre China y Rusia es considerada crucial por parte de los Estados Unidos?
-La relación entre China y Rusia es vista como crucial porque ambos países pueden combinar sus planes de guerra para crear una fuerza muy eficaz en el objetivo de los Estados Unidos, lo que podría representar una amenaza considerable.
¿Qué factores podrían llevar a una situación en la que los Estados Unidos tenga que planificar para una guerra con China y Rusia trabajando juntas?
-Un factor clave sería una maniobra militar grande de Rusia o un aumento de la tensión en Ucrania coincidiendo con un movimiento de China hacia Taiwán, lo que podría poner a los planificadores de defensa de EE. UU. en una difícil posición.
¿Cómo se describe la relación entre China y Rusia en términos de recursos naturales y tecnología?
-Rusia tiene abundantes recursos naturales y necesita capital y tecnología, mientras que China es lo contrario; tiene tecnología y capital pero necesita recursos naturales, lo que hace que la alianza sea un 'matrimonio natural'.
¿Cómo ven los líderes chinos la expansión de la OTAN y la influencia de los Estados Unidos en la región?
-Los líderes chinos ven la expansión de la OTAN y la influencia de los Estados Unidos como una amenaza y una forma de dominio, lo que los lleva a buscar aliados y tácticas para contrarrestar esa influencia.
¿Qué papel desempeña la sanción económica en la relación entre Rusia y China?
-Las sanciones económicas impuestas a Rusia por Occidente han llevado a Rusia a diversificar su economía hacia Asia-Pacífico, donde China se ha convertido en un socio clave, proporcionando un mercado para los recursos y la tecnología que Rusia necesita.
¿Cómo podría la creciente alianza entre Rusia y China afectar a la India?
-La creciente alianza entre Rusia y China podría tener consecuencias negativas para India, especialmente si Rusia decide apoyar abiertamente a China en cuestiones multilaterales, lo que podría desestabilizar la región y aumentar la tensión entre India y China.
¿Qué estrategia está considerando China en su relación con Rusia durante la guerra en Ucrania?
-China está manteniendo una posición de no violar las sanciones impuestas y no proporcionar bienes militares que podrían ayudar significativamente al esfuerzo militar ruso, pero al mismo tiempo, apoya a Rusia económicamente, lo que les permite continuar la guerra.
¿Cómo podría la tecnología de misiles de crucero sigilosos afectar la estabilidad en la relación entre Rusia, China y los Estados Unidos?
-La tecnología de misiles de crucero sigilosos podría acortar el tiempo de toma de decisiones en una crisis, aumentando el riesgo de una respuesta rápida y posiblemente un conflicto armado si se sospecha que el otro lado está a punto de发动攻击 (atacar).
¿Por qué los Estados Unidos deberían mantener abiertas las posibilidades de tener conversaciones de control de armas con China?
-A medida que China se vuelva más confiable en su poder y capacidades nucleares, es posible que esté más dispuesta a tener conversaciones de control de armas, lo que podría ayudar a prevenir un posible brazo de armas y garantizar la estabilidad global.
Outlines
😀 Alianza estratégica entre China y Rusia
Se discute la relación estratégica entre China y Rusia, destacando la dependencia energética de China y cómo Rusia puede ser de ayuda. Se menciona que el 70% de la energía de China depende de importaciones y cómo la cooperación militar entre ambos países ha beneficiado a las fuerzas armadas chinas. Además, se explora la idea de que ambos países podrían unir sus planes de guerra para hacer frente a los Estados Unidos, y se cuestiona si es necesario planificar para un posible conflicto bélico.
🚀 Desarrollo militar y cooperación Sino-Rusa
Se aborda el crecimiento del ejército chino, que ha sido posible gracias a la importación de tecnología militar rusa desde la década de 1990. Se destaca la importancia de la relación entre Moscú y Pekín en la resolución de disputas territoriales y el enfoque en la cooperación mutua. Además, se menciona el papel de Rusia como proveedor de hardware militar después del colapso de la Unión Soviética y la ventaja que China ha obtenido con la adquisición de tecnología sofisticada.
🌍 Control de Ucrania y la visión de Putin
Se analiza la obsesión de Putin con el control de Ucrania y su percepción de que sin él, Rusia no sería una gran potencia. Se cuestiona por qué la dominación de una nación de 40 millones de personas es vital para la prosperidad y seguridad de Rusia en el siglo XXI, y se refleja en la creencia de Putin en la importancia de esta cuestión.
🔄 Redistribución de poder global y la ascensión de China
Se habla sobre la visión de China para convertirse en la principal potencia mundial para el bicentenario de la fundación del Estado Popular de China en 2049. Se discute cómo las tensiones con los Estados Unidos, la creciente presión sobre Taiwán y la formación de alianzas alrededor de China afectan la inseguridad de este país. Además, se explora la animosidad compartida hacia los Estados Unidos como el factor unificador entre China y Rusia.
🤝 Relaciones personales entre líderes y su influencia
Se destaca la importancia de las relaciones personales entre los líderes de Rusia y China, comparando sus experiencias y trayectorias similares. Se sugiere que estos vínculos personales son cruciales para la cooperación entre los dos países y se menciona la importancia.
Mindmap
Keywords
💡Energía de China
💡Cooperación militar
💡Alianza entre China y Rusia
💡Planificación militar conjunta
💡Escalada en Ucrania
💡Control de Putin sobre Ucrania
💡Superpotencia global de China
💡Tarifas y presiones de Trump
💡Alianzas de los Estados Unidos
💡Desafío de India con China
💡Armas nucleares y planificación
Highlights
70% of China's energy depends on imports, and Russia can significantly help in this area.
China's military has greatly benefited from Russian military imports since the 1990s.
Transcripts
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the
this is just a natural match made in
heaven 70% of China energy depends on
import and CH Russian can really help in
a big way on those import China's
military has benefited tremendously from
U Russian military
input cin ping really views Vladimir
Putin as a crucial partner in weakening
the United States Russia is a very
useful and important asset and partner
in this long-term struggle it's
increasingly the emperor and the SAR
both China and Russian
felt a lot of similar sentiment that
been they have been forced by the US uh
to stick
together China and Russia could combine
their War plans and create an extremely
effective Force for targeting United
States the question is whether we have
to plan in the event that we had a war
with China that China and Russia would
be working
together the realities of conventional
War I mean it's not something of the
past it can still happen that is
something we need to be preparing for
now imagine that Russia does a large
exercise or escalates in Ukraine at the
time where China wants to make a move on
Taiwan I think that what puts a lot of
us defense planners into a tough spot
the whole mankind is at the Crossroad
World Peace will be will be ENT
you know going back to the Stone Age and
and you know the very very
dangerous
la
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in recent years we have also done some
uh what we call the join the patrol be
it in the air and oil be at the sea so
this kind of joint of Patrol uh are not
exercises they're just kind of joint
operations
Chinese military has benefited
tremendously from U Russian military
import ever since the
1990s so today Chinese military is uh
growing with strength
but uh without Russia's assistance yeah
for decades and our own efforts probably
the Chinese military would not be as
strong as it is
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today
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in the 80s when pragmatic leadership
arrived uh in Moscow and Beijing they
decided that sorting out this
territorial dispute not investing a lot
of resources and money into this
potential confrontation between two
nuclear Powers but focusing elsewhere is
worth it and that's where they found
foundation for the relationship was
built
Alexander after collapse of the Soviet
Union Russia emerged as the major
provider of military hardware to China
China was under sanctions following the
10 and Men massacre in 89 and Russia was
the only source of sophisticated
military technology and China obviously
used that to its advantage to buy a lot
of stuff and by the way keep the Russian
military industry
afloat
in 2006 the Border was finally
demarcated and since that time
maintaining peace along this more than
4,000 kilm border is Paramount for both
beijin and
Moscow
Russia this is just a natural match made
in heaven Russia has abandons of Natural
Resources needs capital in technology
China is the exact
opposite China is one of the secrets for
longevity and survival of the system
that Vladimir Putin used to build
ch
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Putin uh is obsessed over control of
Ukraine he believes that without control
over Ukraine Russia is not a great power
it's not an Empire uh and I think that
this proposition has never been tested
in the Russian domestic discourse like
why dominating this 40 million nation is
vital for Russia's prosperity and
Security in the 21st century but that's
what Mr Putin
believes
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History
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taian
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the Optics is very much the Centennial
of creation of the People's Republic of
China that will be in
2049 and by the time the party strives
to turn China into number one Global
power and ending 500 centuries of global
dominance of the collective vest so
Global power redistribution and of China
as number one Global
superpower Donal Trump
joid
we're getting billions of dollars a year
from
tariffs
was
us is putting a lot of pressures on
China on Taiwan and and many other
issues so you can see that also us
formed so many uh Alli surrounding
China
so so all those things make China
insecure as well and I think Russian
probably feel feel the same and I think
in that sense they have some common uh
feelings because they they all feel this
uh Western pressure led by the us both
China and Russian
felt a lot of similar sment that been
they have been forced by the US uh to
stick
together
shared animosity towards the US is very
much the glue that brings the two men
together it's increasingly the emperor
and the SAR and since it's far less an
organized institutionalized autocracy
but a just more personalized regime
definitely relationship between the two
men is of Paramount importance cgp and
Putin are age mates uh Putin is just
six-month Elder they are in a way
soulmates there are so many similar
traits they have hardships in their
youth both fathers fought in World War
II against the Germans and the Japanese
they both have daughters so there is a
lot in common that brings them together
and I've seen them in person I think
once and you see from the body language
that the report is really
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there
for
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Fore
based on what I know they danc around
the topics and China's primary concern
was nothing happens before the end of
the Olympics and what they were
anticipating was just a very limited
scope military operation maybe uh
focused on eastern Ukraine not an allout
assault on
Ukraine
Russia doesn't really have alternative
economic Partners amid Western sanctions
Russia is the most sanctioned Nation on
Earth so Russia is rapidly diversifying
its economy towards Asia Pacific and
that's where China is definitely the
major partner that provides market for
the Russian resources technology that
Russia relies on including military
technology and dual use
Goods
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I think that the structural factor is
the most important and if we can imagine
different leaders presiding over pretty
similar power structures with
non-democratic us skeptical regimes we
might end up in the same result
the Russian view is that the US wants to
bring down Russia first and then add
rest China that's something what the
conspiratorial minded Russian leadership
believes uh it might not be true but
that's unfortunately what drives a lot
of their calculations also including war
in Ukraine they are concerned in very
physical sense about expansion of US
security alliances and where they seek
to work together to undermine this us
dominance in the
system
we see China dominating at the Human
Rights Council and inserting some of C
jinping's phrases about community of
shared future into
documents
Bon German Marshall Fund in
Washington convincing countri
that human rights should be underpinned
by um economic uh definitions uh not
necessarily the kind of freedoms that we
think about in the
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West
and Russia have uh voted together now to
not impose more sanctions uh on North
Korea they don't uh want to continue to
implement uh these sanctions so they see
North Korea as continuing partner of uh
Russia and
China this would protect themselves
because they could control the further
control the amount of information coming
into their socities um and uh try to
gain advantages in the ways that cyber
could even be used uh in
Wartime
as
war in Ukraine it's a mixed bank for
China on one hand it's really keeps the
US distracted a lot of resources are
being spent on European security the
flip side is that the global economy
gets more destabilized then also China
sees certain alienation of Europe from
China and then when people say we should
focus more on potential nightmar
scenario in the Taiwan Strait because of
what happened in Ukraine and we need to
start to dur risk diversify way frore
offshore uh so all of that discussion is
Amplified by Russia's war in
Ukraine
China would not give Russia an article 5
type of guarantee because it would
ultimately need to be involved in war in
Ukraine which it doesn't want to if
China uh provided military assistance to
Russia then we probably were going to
have a uh really the dawn of the third
world war with China Russia standing on
one side and uh NATO that by us on the
other side this is the worst the
nightmare so so
China's nonp participants yeah in this
kind of war is is out of its own
interest of course but it is also has
demonstrated huge huge responsibilities
for the
world
I think that the way that c came to
Moscow showing his unequivocal support
basically not saying that he approves of
the war against Ukraine but saying that
the first state visit is to Russia he
comes extra to see his friend in the Kum
spend nearly 3 days with him that's a
big show of
support both countries are religious
about strategic autonomy but they can
integrate their militaries and
military-industrial complexes without
giv this formal commitments and that
will make it far more
dangerous
there had been some rumors that we were
under counting the number of nuclear
launchers in China
we had seen some construction of a
limited number of silos at a um concepts
of operation site um at a place called
ganai a silo is effectively a large
reinforced hole in the ground that you
can um launch a missile out of and so we
decided we're going to go basically look
for to see if they had built up
significant numbers of those
um patterns of silos and we finally came
across the ones um near a place called
um where they're building about 120
solid fuel missile
silos you had these inflatable covers
all of them were spaced 3 km apart and
we saw um trenches for communications
wiring to cut and cover underground
command
buers well China's Arsenal uh has been
for a very long time uh relatively small
but it is growing and by 20 uh 30 I
think the prediction is that they will
have about 1,000 warheads and by the
middle of the
2030s uh as many
as500 so uh China is is clearly on a
trajectory of uh doubling and then
tripling its nuclear
Arsenal
or most of China's existing ICBM that
are currently deployed um are on mobile
trucks they drive trucks around they
have tunnels and the idea is that um it
makes it harder for the US to Target
them because they're always moving the
problem with that is that it's a really
really expensive and complicated Force
to operate
no
it's just a much more responsive Force
you have when you're it's already in The
Silo if you are on alert most of the
time you have a near instantaneous
launch
position we should not
underestimate the degree to which Russia
and China will work together for example
um uh developing uh shared uh nuclear
planning I think that's an area that
would be extremely detrimental to
Western interests their combined forces
are going to outnumber us current forces
um if the current trajectory
holds and so the fear I would say is
that you know the fear has been that
China and Russia could combine their War
plans and create an extremely effective
Force for targeting the United
States
the question is whether we have to plan
in the event that we had a war with
China that China and Russia would be
working together um and I think that in
our nuclear planning in the past that
has not been the Assumption and of
course if you combine those two arsenals
then we would be facing a massive
threat in a situation which there is a
crisis or limited war with China um
making sure that there are still deterr
Assets in place to make sure that Russia
doesn't um do something in Europe or
vice versa if there's a limited war with
Russia making sure that China doesn't
see the opportunity to DET take Taiwan
that's the problem that we have right
now when you have these new technologies
like stealth cruise
missiles you're getting into territory
in which it's possible that you could
destroy almost the entirety of the
opponent's missile forces very
quickly and when you're in that
situation the solution is effectively
that you need to be the first mover
right so that's what I worry about
situation which both for example Russia
and the United States have stealth
cruise missiles or both Russia and and
China and the United States have stealth
cruise
missiles
the room for decision making is very
very short the window for decision here
is extremely small and that's what I
worry about and that's the stabilizing
right because you have a situation in
which now any amount of hesitation on
one side would result in um possibly
unaccept
the United States first called for
trilateral uh Arms Control discussions
in the Trump administration of course
the Chinese were not interested and I
think it is unlikely that the Chinese
are going to agree to that today today
uh but going forward as China becomes
more confident in its power and
particularly in its nuclear capabilities
I think we should hold open the
possibility that we can have arms
control talks with China it may be
bilaterally it may be trilaterally but
this is not something that we should
rule
out
I don't think that we're currently in
that big of an arms race I think it's
possibly we might enter one sometime
soon but again that depends I think
largely in part on a how bad the Russ
situation gets and two
how China views its forces and how they
want to talk about it cuz if China
doesn't want to talk about it then that
limits a lot of what we can do I'm
hopeful that China will'll talk about it
um but we'll
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see
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EST
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e 60 years of Border architecture went
up in Flames overnight uh since then
there has been significant uh troop
build up by both sides um and this is a
live
problem when uh prime minister modi's
government first came into power they
really tried hard to reach out to
China we often heard of the China model
of development being touted in India um
really a hope of uh forging good ties
and relationships with with China um
however that was spurned from the
Chinese side when we almost
simultaneously with these meetings
started seeing more incursions on the
India China
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border
in Sri
Lanka in
Bangladesh all they see is now patterns
of um intimidation and an aggression
followed by China with most of its close
neighbors where Japan of course with the
case of Taiwan in South China Sea and
now on the Himalayan
border what kind of international actor
would China be as it rises um and the
answer unfortunately is quite um is is
is a difficult one it's a scary one you
have seen now the conversation in India
change completely within the political
Spectrum there is no single political
party that sees China as a friend China
is seen as the most consequential
foreign policy issue an existential
threat to
India the Indi Russia relationship I
like to say is one deeply rooted in
Nostalgia um Russia previously the
Soviet played a very important role in
the history of Independent India India
as it was building its institutions
including the Indian military so for
example my parents generation have a
very uh romanticized view of the
country
it is definitely moving into the
direction of Moscow being Junior partner
to Beijing and that really is a
difficult scenario for India given that
China is the most important threat India
faces right now La
India
Shai I've even spoken to certain folks
in New Delhi who mentioned that they
were surprised by Russia's Behavior
they've been surprised at how openly
Russia has been batting for Chinese
positions in these multilateral formats
where in the past Russia would often
hedge with India they would use India
they brought India into SEO to balance
China the reality
of conventional War I mean it's not
something of the past it can still
happen it happened in Europe it can
happen in in parts of the Indo Pacific
and I think that is something Taiwan
contingencies what happens next on the
amalian border that is something we need
to be preparing for now rather than
waiting for it to happen or hoping that
it wouldn't that Russia could
potentially play a spoiler role in the
case of um when the India China conflict
On the Border heats up even if it
doesn't play spoiler it plays neutral it
can still have you know tilt the scales
in China's favor um and those are really
dire
consequences possibility of a Pakistan
Russia China access for India is really
the nightmare scenario given its
geographical location given its history
with at least two of these actors given
its dependence on Russian uh weapons and
arms and Military
technology as Russia China alignment
grows closer and stronger there will
certainly be tensions and fraying in
India Russia
ties the real push in Delhi right now is
to make sure somehow slow down this
growing alignment between Russia and
China and to see where India can still
play a role in keeping Moscow separate
and keeping them engaged and slowing
down this what through the rest of us
seems inevitable
process
prime minister modi's visit to
Washington DC resulted in some takeaways
for India which are often only given to
us allies India is not one but it is
still has still developed a very very
close partnership with the United States
with Japan with Australia in the
quad I think the Indian vision is still
very much
multipolarity um the idea would be to
have several poles in the world uh which
is another reason why it continues to
work with Russia and hopes that it isn't
isolated continues to deal with China in
certain formats as well um but I think
the the ideal vision of multipolarity
when confronted with the realities of
the world has meant that India has had
to change track I think currently all of
India's foreign policy choices its
vision from the world is seen through
the lens of the China problem um all the
Partnerships that India has all
relationships that India has is
refracted through the China lens who can
help balance China who can help compete
with China who can help provide
alternatives to
China
for
China wants to be more as a guaran as a
helper as a
imediator uh as some kind of a you know
uh convenor I mean anything that China
is needed China will be willing do and
China wants to see the War ending and
China's president is talking to
president zalanski has talked to
President
Putin Putin actually uh is not the first
Russian president who won go against
NATO expansion actually this k
from a Soviet leader like mik gach down
to borison and then to Putin so Putin's
difference from uh his predecessor is
that he not only give warning but he
also carried it into
action
China well China certainly doesn't favor
any NATO expansion if Ukraine stays out
of the NATO probably things could be
easier to reach a peace peaceful
process
China does at least three things it
keeps the Russian economy going by
purchasing Russian hydrocarbons and
other Commodities by providing Russia uh
access to
R&B China keeps Russian industry going
including military industry the red line
for the Chinese communicated by the
Americans is not violation for of
sanctions in a very avert way and no
supply of kinetic military goods that
would dramatically help the Russian
military effort I think that for the
time being China Kips these two red
lines and respects them but I think that
everything outside of the scope is red
lights is really helpful for Russia to
continue this lengthy and tragic war of
attrition
I believe the best outcome
is Ukraine will lose some new
territories in addition to
Crimea uh so where are these new
territories it is somewhere within the
provinces that are already declared by
Russia to be Russian
territories
uh then the worst outcome is uh uh
President Putin decided to use a
tactical nuclear weapon and the whole
mankind is at the Cross Road War peace
we we may end up you know going back to
the Stone Age and and you know the
whever
dangerous
it feels pretty confident that time is
on his side that things don't go well in
the front lines but they don't go
utterly miserably for him and then at
some point the Western will to support
Ukraine might be broken we might have
Donald Trump back we might have a
different president in France we might
have a different Chancellor in Germany
and that's where ukrainians start to
fight internally and that's ultimately
he doesn't get control over Ukraine but
he keeps what's left of Ukraine broken
dysfunctional miserable depopulated and
that's a good enough outcome that's his
b right now there is a war yeah uh uh in
Europe which will last for many years
nobody knows how many years but this is
the only conclusion we know that it was
simply lost so for for for many years uh
NATO will simply be buen down in Europe
imagine that uh Russia does a large
exercise or escalates in Ukraine at the
time where China wants to make a move on
Taiwan I think that what puts a lot of
us defense planners into a tough spot
because you obviously need to allocate
resources to address the challenge in
the West in in in
Europe
for concerned about potential
instability in in Russia is going to be
there going forward and Beijing will be
watching this
closely cing really views Vladimir Putin
as a as a crucial partner in weakening
the United States it is my view that it
is no longer possible to drive a wedge
between Russia and China if it was ever
possible the view in Beijing is that
China is in the spirit of prolonged
confrontation with the United States and
nothing short of full surrender will
deliver fundamental Improvement in us
China ties so China thinks about its
relationship with Russia in a way in
counterfactuals so what if we throw
Vladimir Putin under the bus criticize
his unlawful invasion of Ukraine uh
introduce sanction of our own demand
that he Vates all of the Ukrainian
territory including in Crimea then
probably Putin's regime is doomed at
some point and it collapses and then
there is a new government that wants to
be friends with the West so the West
will just pocket this concession and say
thank you China good Boe now what about
Shan what about Taiwan what about yourp
theft what about your technological
programs that really challenge the US
dominance in those fields what about
your military buildup so China will lose
a very valuable partner and instead get
even more problems with the United
States
for
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