Can universal basic income help society?

The Economist
13 Feb 201905:36

Summary

TLDRThe script discusses the concept of Universal Basic Income (UBI) as a solution to job insecurity and inequality, especially with the rise of automation. In Stockton, California, Mayor Michael Tubbs is initiating an experiment where 100 residents will receive $500 monthly, regardless of employment status. Proponents like Chris Hughes, a Facebook co-founder, argue UBI could support the working poor and provide a safety net. Meanwhile, Sam Altman is planning a larger-scale experiment to study UBI's long-term effects on 3,000 people. Critics fear it may discourage work, but supporters believe it could redefine work and unlock potential in a future where AI and automation reduce the cost of goods and services.

Takeaways

  • 💡 The concept of Universal Basic Income (UBI) is being explored as a potential solution to economic inequality and job insecurity, especially with the advent of automation.
  • 🏦 Stockton, California, is initiating an experiment where 100 residents will receive a guaranteed income of $500 per month, regardless of employment status, to study its impact on poverty and financial stability.
  • 👨‍💼 Mayor Michael Tubbs of Stockton believes UBI could be pivotal for the working poor, those who are employed but struggle to make ends meet.
  • 🤔 Critics are concerned that unconditional cash handouts might discourage people from seeking employment.
  • 💼 Chris Hughes, a Facebook co-founder, is funding the Stockton experiment, viewing UBI as a necessary step towards a fairer society amidst the gig economy and part-time job growth.
  • 💼 Proponents of UBI, like Chris Hughes, argue that modest cash injections are used by recipients to improve their lives and are not linked to a decrease in workforce participation.
  • 🚀 The rise of automation and AI is a driving force behind the consideration of UBI, as it's expected to replace tens of millions of jobs, necessitating a new social safety net.
  • 🧠 Sam Altman, president of a Silicon Valley startup school, is leading a large-scale UBI experiment, providing 3,000 people with either $50 or $1,000 per month to gauge long-term effects.
  • 💰 Most economists view a basic income as currently unaffordable for governments, but Altman suggests that advancements in AI could reduce the cost of goods and services, potentially funding UBI.
  • 🔄 Supporters of UBI argue it could redefine work, freeing individuals from jobs they dislike and allowing them to pursue more fulfilling endeavors, thereby creating more value for society.

Q & A

  • What is the concept of Universal Basic Income (UBI) mentioned in the script?

    -Universal Basic Income (UBI) is an idea where every citizen receives an unconditional cash payment, regardless of their employment status, to ensure a basic level of financial security.

  • Why is Stockton, California, experimenting with UBI?

    -Stockton was declared bankrupt five years ago, and now faces high unemployment and economic insecurity. The mayor, Michael Tubbs, initiated a UBI experiment to combat these issues and provide a safety net for its residents.

  • How much guaranteed income will the residents of Stockton receive as part of the UBI experiment?

    -A hundred residents of Stockton will receive a guaranteed income of $500 per month, irrespective of whether they are working or not.

  • What is the primary goal of Mayor Tubbs' UBI plan?

    -The primary goal is to help the working poor, those who have jobs but struggle to make ends meet, by providing them with a financial safety net.

  • Who is funding Mayor Tubbs' UBI experiment in Stockton?

    -Chris Hughes, a co-founder of Facebook and an advocate for a fairer society, is one of the people funding the UBI experiment in Stockton.

  • What is the potential impact of automation on the job market according to the script?

    -The script suggests that automation could lead to a jobless dystopian future, with tens of millions of jobs being replaced by technologies like self-driving cars and trucks.

  • What is the argument against no-strings-attached cash payments?

    -Skeptics argue that such payments could discourage people from working, as they might rely on the handouts instead of seeking employment.

  • What does Chris Hughes believe happens when people receive modest amounts of cash?

    -Chris Hughes believes that people use modest amounts of cash to improve their lives and the lives of their family, investing it in themselves, and do not drop out of work en masse.

  • What is the most rigorous basic income experiment being planned in the script?

    -The most rigorous experiment is being planned by Sam Altman, where 3,000 people will receive either $50 or $1,000 per month with no strings attached for several years.

  • How does Sam Altman suggest the rise of AI could affect the feasibility of providing a basic income?

    -Sam Altman claims that with the rise of AI, the cost of goods and services will decrease dramatically, potentially leading to increased GDP growth and making a basic income more feasible.

  • What do supporters of basic income believe it can change about people's attitudes towards work?

    -Supporters believe that a basic income can change people's attitudes towards work by allowing them to redefine what work means and potentially unlocking their potential by freeing them from having to work jobs they dislike just to survive.

Outlines

00:00

💼 Universal Basic Income Experiment in Stockton

Stockton, California, a city that was once bankrupt, is now experimenting with a Universal Basic Income (UBI) program. Mayor Michael Tubbs has initiated a plan to provide a hundred residents with a guaranteed income of $500 per month, irrespective of their employment status. This UBI concept aims to address the growing inequality and job insecurity. The experiment will assess how these payments impact recipients' lives, with the expectation that it could alleviate poverty and support the working poor. The initiative is funded by Chris Hughes, a Facebook co-founder, who is concerned about the job displacement due to automation and the gig economy. The video suggests that UBI could be a solution to an impending jobless future, as it provides a financial safety net and potentially changes people's attitudes towards work.

05:00

🚀 Redefining Work in the Age of Automation

The second paragraph discusses the potential of Universal Basic Income to transform not just economic stability but also the very concept of work. It suggests that with UBI, individuals could be liberated from jobs they dislike, solely for survival, thus unlocking their potential to create more value for society. The narrative implies that as technology advances, the nature of work will evolve, necessitating a redefinition of what constitutes 'work'. The idea is that by providing a financial cushion, people can pursue more fulfilling endeavors, which could lead to broader societal benefits. This perspective is rooted in the belief that the future, marked by automation, will require a reimagining of how individuals engage with labor and what motivates them to do so.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Universal Basic Income (UBI)

Universal Basic Income (UBI) refers to a policy where every citizen receives a regular, unconditional sum of money from the government, regardless of their employment status or income level. In the video, UBI is presented as a potential solution to economic insecurity and inequality, especially in the face of increasing automation and job displacement. The experiment in Stockton, California, is an example of UBI in action, where 100 residents will receive $500 per month to assess its impact on poverty and financial stability.

💡Automation

Automation is the use of technology, such as robots and artificial intelligence, to perform tasks that would otherwise be done by humans. The video discusses the impending impact of automation on the job market, suggesting that it could lead to a dystopian future where many jobs are replaced by machines. The concern is that this could result in widespread unemployment and economic instability, making initiatives like UBI more relevant.

💡Gig Economy

The gig economy is characterized by short-term, flexible jobs instead of permanent, full-time positions. It often involves freelance or contract work, as opposed to traditional employment. In the script, the gig economy is mentioned as a growing sector that contributes to job insecurity and the need for a new kind of social safety net, such as UBI, to provide stability for workers who face unpredictable income.

💡Economic Inequality

Economic inequality refers to the unequal distribution of income and wealth among a population. The video highlights the increasing economic inequality and how UBI could be a tool to combat it. The mayor of Stockton, California, aims to use UBI to help the working poor who struggle to make ends meet despite being employed, illustrating the video's focus on addressing this inequality.

💡Jobless Dystopian Future

A jobless dystopian future is a hypothetical scenario where widespread unemployment leads to a society characterized by poverty, social unrest, and a lack of opportunity. The video suggests that the advent of automation could potentially lead to such a future, making the exploration of solutions like UBI all the more urgent to prevent this bleak outcome.

💡Safety Net

A safety net is a social welfare system designed to protect individuals and families from falling into poverty or experiencing severe hardship. The video discusses the need for a new kind of safety net in response to changing economic conditions, such as the rise of automation and the gig economy. UBI is presented as a potential component of this new safety net, providing a financial cushion for individuals regardless of their employment status.

💡Part-Time Jobs

Part-time jobs are employment opportunities that typically involve fewer hours than full-time positions. The video mentions the growth in part-time jobs as part of the changing job market, which can lead to financial instability for workers. UBI is proposed as a way to supplement the income of those in part-time or unstable work, ensuring they have a basic level of financial security.

💡Contingent Workers

Contingent workers are individuals who do not have a permanent employment relationship with a single employer. They often work on a contract or as temporary employees. The video points out the rise of contingent workers in the gig economy and the associated risks and insecurities, emphasizing the need for a new social safety net like UBI to provide stability.

💡Stockton, California

Stockton, California, is a city mentioned in the video as a location for a UBI experiment. The city has faced economic challenges, including bankruptcy and high unemployment rates. The UBI initiative in Stockton is intended to test the effectiveness of providing a guaranteed income to residents, regardless of their employment status, as a means to combat poverty and economic insecurity.

💡Chris Hughes

Chris Hughes is a co-founder of Facebook mentioned in the video as a financial supporter of the UBI experiment in Stockton. He represents the perspective of tech entrepreneurs who are concerned about the potential societal impacts of automation and are exploring solutions like UBI to ensure a fairer society. His involvement underscores the video's theme of tech innovation driving the need for new economic models.

💡Silicon Valley

Silicon Valley is a region in California known for its high-tech innovation and venture capital. In the video, Silicon Valley is portrayed as both a driver of economic disruption through automation and a source of ideas for new economic models like UBI. The video features Sam Altman, a figure from Silicon Valley, who is launching a large-scale UBI experiment, highlighting the region's role in exploring solutions to the challenges posed by technological advancements.

Highlights

Imagine a future where people receive cash without any conditions, regardless of employment status.

The concept of Universal Basic Income (UBI) is proposed as a solution to a potential jobless future due to automation.

In Stockton, California, a city once declared bankrupt, an experiment with UBI is being planned to address job insecurity.

Unemployment in Stockton is nearly double the national average, with many living paycheck to paycheck.

Mayor Michael Tubbs' plan involves providing a guaranteed income of $500 per month to 100 residents, regardless of whether they work.

The experiment aims to measure the impact of these payments on recipients' lives and potentially help the working poor.

Proponents of UBI believe it could decrease poverty levels and spark more discussions about social safety nets.

Chris Hughes, a Facebook co-founder, is funding the Stockton experiment, reflecting on the online revolution's impact on job security.

The rise of part-time jobs and gig economy workers indicates a need for a new kind of safety net.

Critics argue that unconditional cash handouts could discourage people from working.

Research suggests that modest cash payments improve lives without leading to a mass dropout from the workforce.

Automation is expected to replace tens of millions of jobs, making the discussion around UBI more pertinent.

Silicon Valley figures are exploring UBI as a response to the uncertainties brought by technological advancements.

Sam Altman, president of a Silicon Valley startup school, is launching a large-scale basic income experiment in the U.S.

The experiment will provide 3,000 people with either $50 or $1,000 per month for several years to study the effects.

Economists argue that a basic income is too costly, but Altman suggests AI and automation could offset the costs by reducing the price of goods and services.

Supporters of UBI argue it can redefine work and unlock potential by freeing people from jobs they dislike for survival.

Transcripts

play00:02

Imagine paying people no-strings-attached cash

play00:05

whether they have a job or not.

play00:08

There's the need for a new kind of safety net.

play00:11

It's a utopian idea that some think

play00:14

could be the solution to a potentially

play00:16

jobless dystopian future.

play00:18

This way of automation is coming and it hasn't crashed

play00:21

over society yet but it's going to.

play00:23

In California, two experiments

play00:25

are being planned that could point

play00:27

to a radically different future of work.

play00:42

Stockton, California.

play00:44

Just five years ago, the city was declared bankrupt.

play00:49

Free haircuts today.

play00:51

Today, unemployment is almost double

play00:53

the national average and many people

play00:55

live paycheck to paycheck.

play00:58

Hello, how are you?

play00:59

Good to see you.

play01:01

But the city's mayor, Michael Tubbs has a plan

play01:04

to combat an increasingly unequal and insecure jobs market.

play01:12

Starting this year, a hundred residents will receive

play01:15

a guaranteed income of $500 per month.

play01:18

Whether they work or not.

play01:23

The mayor's plan is inspired by the radical idea

play01:25

of a Universal Basic Income, or UBI.

play01:29

An unconditional cash payment for all citizens.

play01:34

The experience will measure the impact of these payments

play01:36

on the recipients' lives.

play01:39

Mayor Tubbs believes it could be the key to helping

play01:42

the working poor.

play01:43

Those who have jobs but find it hard to make ends meet.

play01:49

If Universal Basic Income works out in Stockton

play01:51

you will see the poverty levels decrease.

play01:55

I do think there'll be more discussions about things

play01:58

like social safety net and basic income, for sure.

play02:01

The truth is, one in two of every American

play02:03

can't afford one $500 emergency.

play02:06

Which means the majority

play02:07

of the country's not doing that well.

play02:11

I'm the first to say that for three years worth of work,

play02:14

I ended up with nearly half a billion dollars.

play02:18

That is not how the economy is supposed to work.

play02:24

Chris Hughes is one of the people paying

play02:26

for Mayor Tubb's experiment.

play02:28

He made his money as a co-founder of Facebook.

play02:31

But the online revolution he's profited from could

play02:34

mean rising insecurity for the workers of tomorrow.

play02:37

Now, he spends his time looking for new ways to deliver

play02:42

a fairer society.

play02:43

We're seeing massive growth in the number

play02:45

of part-time jobs, contingent workers, in the gig economy,

play02:49

and with that instability comes a need

play02:53

for a new kind of safety net.

play02:55

$500 a month in the background every single month

play02:58

for people who need it so that in the great months

play03:01

you know that you're gonna be good.

play03:02

And in the months when work isn't quite as stable,

play03:04

you know you're at least halfway to making rent.

play03:10

Skeptics argue no-strings-attached

play03:13

handouts could discourage people from working.

play03:16

But Chris Hughes says research to date suggests

play03:19

that top ups have beneficial effects.

play03:22

When people get modest amounts of cash,

play03:25

they use it to improve their lives

play03:27

and the lives of their family.

play03:29

They invest it in themselves.

play03:30

Most importantly, people don't drop out of work en masse.

play03:34

Our generation is gonna have to deal with tens of millions

play03:37

of jobs replaced by automation

play03:38

like self-driving cars and trucks.

play03:40

Silicon Valley seemed awash with billionaires

play03:44

eager to allay fears about an uncertain future of work.

play03:47

Fears stoked by the very innovations

play03:49

that have made them their billions.

play03:52

Universal Basic Income is one of these ideas

play03:55

that's been talked about and debated a lot.

play03:57

So we thought it'd be really good, given what we think

play04:00

is gonna happen in the world if we could get some data.

play04:04

Sam Altman is president of a Silicon Valley

play04:06

school for startups and he is about to launch the most

play04:09

rigorous experiment in basic income

play04:12

ever carried out in America.

play04:14

3,000 people will receive either $50 or $1,000

play04:18

with no-strings-attached every month for the next few years.

play04:27

Most economists argue a basic income would be just

play04:30

too expensive for governments to provide today.

play04:33

But Sam Altman claims the rise of the robots

play04:36

could ultimately have an answer for that.

play04:38

If the AI comes, the good news is the cost of goods

play04:41

and services come down dramatically because computers

play04:45

can do them so inexpensively.

play04:47

In a world like that, you know, we'd see effected GDP growth

play04:49

in terms of purchasing power skyrocket.

play04:52

In the world where the AI really does arrive,

play04:55

there'll be plenty of money.

play05:00

Supporters of a basic income even believe

play05:03

it can change people's attitudes towards work itself.

play05:06

We'll definitely have to redefine

play05:08

what we think of this work.

play05:09

But we've had to do that many times before.

play05:10

One of the things that we learned in Silicon Valley

play05:12

is just how much potential some people have.

play05:15

And if you can unlock that, if you can free them

play05:17

from having to work a job that they hate

play05:20

just to be able to survive,

play05:21

we'll create hugely more value for the world.

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Ähnliche Tags
Basic IncomeAutomationJob MarketStocktonCaliforniaEconomic SafetyTech InnovationWealth InequalitySocial ExperimentFuture of Work
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