French Army Going to Ukraine Will Be a DISASTER

Summary

The video script discusses the potential for French military intervention in Ukraine amid rising tensions, with President Macron's consideration of direct involvement sparking debates. It outlines possible military operations, France's current support to Ukraine, and the logistical challenges of such an endeavor. The script also delves into historical context, comparing past French interventions and their outcomes, while questioning the political motivations behind Macron's stance ahead of the European elections.

Takeaways

• 🌐 French President Emanuel Macron is contemplating direct military intervention in Ukraine, which has raised concerns about escalating tensions towards World War III.
• 🗺️ Since May 2022, France has been leading a NATO task force of 1,000 soldiers in Romania under Mission 'Eagle', which could potentially be used for operations in Ukraine.
• 🏰 France has already supplied Ukraine with significant military equipment, including anti-tank rockets, self-propelled howitzers, and armored personnel carriers.
• 📉 Despite France's support, there are concerns about the country's ability to sustain ammunition production for prolonged conflict, with current production rates only sufficient for a few days of battle.
• 🤔 There is speculation that Macron's rhetoric may be a political strategy ahead of the European parliamentary elections, aiming to position himself against the far-right opposition.
• 🛡️ France's military capabilities are questioned, with some analysts suggesting that their force projection is limited and may not be sufficient for a large-scale operation.
• 🔄 France is reportedly reducing its military presence in West Africa, possibly to redeploy forces to Europe, indicating a strategic shift towards the Eastern theater.
• 🔄 There is an ongoing debate about the feasibility and implications of a French military intervention in Ukraine, with varying opinions on the readiness and willingness of French forces.
• 💣 The historical precedent of French military involvement in Ukraine in 1918 ended in failure, serving as a cautionary tale for current considerations of intervention.
• 🔄 France has signed a defense agreement with Moldova, potentially indicating a broader strategic interest in the region beyond direct conflict with Russia.
• 🚀 The potential for a direct confrontation between French and Russian forces carries significant risks, including the possibility of escalating to a nuclear conflict.

Q & A

What is the context of President Macron's consideration for direct intervention of French military personnel in Ukraine?

President Macron is considering the direct intervention of French military personnel in Ukraine due to the ongoing conflict and the potential threat to European security. This consideration is part of a broader discussion on how France can best support Ukraine in its struggle against Russia.

What is NATO's Mission Egg and what role is France playing in it?

NATO's Mission Egg is a task force led by France, consisting of 1,000 soldiers deployed in Romania. Its true purpose is to act as an observation force that could potentially be strengthened and upgraded into a quick reaction brigade in response to the situation in Ukraine.

What are the potential operations France might launch in Ukraine according to the script?

The script mentions three potential operations: Operation CANT (possibly aimed at securing Odessa and preventing Ukraine from becoming landlocked), Operation BBC (possibly involving Belarus Border Coordination), and an unspecified third option involving Moldova.

What is the historical precedent for French military involvement in Ukraine?

In December 1918, French troops disembarked in Odessa to support the White Army against the Bolsheviks during the Russian Civil War. However, the operation ended in failure, highlighting the challenges of intervening in another nation's civil war.

What military equipment has France supplied to Ukraine so far?

France has supplied Ukraine with a significant amount of military equipment, including anti-tank rockets, anti-tank missile systems, self-propelled howitzers, air defense missile systems, light tanks, and armored personnel carriers.

What is the current state of France's ammunition production and how does it compare to Russia's?

France's ammunition production is limited, with the capacity to produce only 20, 155 mm shells per year, which is enough to support Ukraine for 3 to 4 days of battle. In contrast, Russia is producing about 250,000 artillery munitions per month.

What is the potential impact of French military intervention on the European political landscape?

French military intervention in Ukraine could have significant political implications, potentially influencing the upcoming European parliamentary elections and serving as a test of France's commitment to European security.

What logistical challenges would France face in deploying troops to Ukraine?

France would face significant logistical challenges, including the distance between France and the Romanian-Ukrainian border, the need for NATO support, and the complexity of evacuating and deploying large numbers of military personnel and equipment.

What is the potential risk of escalating the conflict between French and Russian forces?

The risk of escalating the conflict between French and Russian forces could lead to a larger-scale war, potentially involving nuclear weapons, which would have catastrophic global consequences.

How might the French public and political establishment react to Macron's warmongering rhetoric?

The French public and political establishment might view Macron's warmongering rhetoric as a political strategy ahead of the European elections, with some parties supporting the stance on Ukraine but opposing the commitment of ground troops.

What is the significance of the historical lesson provided at the end of the script?

The historical lesson serves as a reminder of the perils of intervening in another nation's civil war, highlighting the challenges and failures of the French military intervention in Ukraine in 1918-1919.