What does AI mean to leadership | Milo Jones | TEDxIEMadrid

TEDx Talks
21 Jul 201715:17

Summary

TLDRIn this TEDx talk, the speaker explores the implications of AI for leadership in the new normal. Starting with a humorous look at AI's past with 'Clippy', the speaker moves to discuss AI's current capabilities, referencing AI's victory over the world's best Go player. Drawing on his experience in the US Marine Corps, the speaker emphasizes the importance of character in leadership. Using the analogy of 'centaur' chess, where humans and computers compete as teams, he highlights the need for a good process and humility in leadership, suggesting that the combination of human judgment and AI advice can outperform both AI and human experts alone.

Takeaways

  • 🧠 Artificial Intelligence (AI) is an integral part of the new normal and is set to redefine leadership.
  • 📈 Major tech companies like Google, Apple, Facebook, IBM, and Microsoft are heavily investing in AI, indicating its significance.
  • 🤖 The speaker's initial perception of AI was negative, associating it with the annoying 'Clippy' from Microsoft Office, but acknowledges that AI has evolved significantly.
  • 🔍 AI today is exemplified by virtual assistants like Siri, Cortana, and Alexa, which demonstrate the practical utility of AI in daily life.
  • 😨 There are concerns about AI leading to technological unemployment and the rise of machines, but the speaker encourages a balanced view.
  • 🏆 AI's capabilities were highlighted by its victory over the world's best Go player, showcasing its advanced strategic abilities.
  • 🤝 Leadership in the Marine Corps emphasizes leading by example and looking out for subordinates, principles that remain relevant in the AI era.
  • 🤔 The speaker uses chess as a metaphor for discussing the future of leadership with AI, drawing on historical AI milestones in the game.
  • 🏆 The concept of 'Freestyle Chess' introduced by Gary Kasparov, where humans and AI collaborate, offers insights into effective human-AI teamwork.
  • 🌐 The victory of the 'Zachary' team in Freestyle Chess demonstrates that a good process for integrating human and AI decisions can outperform both individual excellence and superior technology.
  • 🛠️ Leadership in the AI era calls for a focus on process and humility, recognizing the strengths of both humans and machines and their collaborative potential.

Q & A

  • What is the main topic of the TEDx talk?

    -The main topic of the TEDx talk is the implications of artificial intelligence for leadership in the new normal.

  • Why does the speaker mention Clippy when discussing AI?

    -The speaker mentions Clippy to contrast the outdated and ineffective AI of the past with the advanced AI capabilities of today, highlighting the evolution of AI.

  • What are some examples of modern AI that the speaker mentions?

    -The speaker mentions Siri, Microsoft's Cortana, and Amazon's Alexa as examples of modern AI that can assist with various tasks.

  • What does the speaker suggest is a common thread among Google, Apple, Facebook, IBM, and Microsoft?

    -The speaker suggests that these companies are all actively pursuing deals in artificial intelligence, indicating its significance.

  • What is the significance of AI beating the world's best human Go player?

    -The speaker highlights this event as a milestone, demonstrating AI's advanced capabilities and its potential impact on the future of leadership and strategy.

  • What are the two fundamental principles of leadership in the United States Marine Corps according to the speaker?

    -The two fundamental principles are leading by example and looking out for the welfare of subordinates.

  • What is 'Freestyle Chess' as mentioned in the talk?

    -Freestyle Chess is a format where teams of humans and computers play against each other, with the rules of chess remaining the same but allowing for collaboration between humans and AI.

  • Who won the Freestyle Chess match organized by Gary Kasparov, and what does this imply for leadership in AI?

    -A team of two amateur chess players with decent AI advice and a good process for decision-making won. This implies that a combination of human judgment and AI advice can outperform both superior AI alone and better human players without a structured process.

  • What does the speaker suggest is the role of human leaders in an AI-driven world?

    -The speaker suggests that human leaders should lead by example, look out for the welfare of their subordinates, focus on process, and exhibit humility, accepting that certain decisions are better made by AI.

  • How does the speaker envision the future integration of AI into everyday life?

    -The speaker envisions a future where intelligence is embedded in everything, similar to how electricity is today, and where AI becomes the new normal without removing the need for human leadership.

Outlines

00:00

🤖 The Dawn of AI in Leadership

The speaker introduces the topic of AI's impact on leadership, reflecting on the new normal and the pervasive presence of AI in modern life. They share their experience as a business school professor and former US Marine, highlighting the foundational leadership principles of leading by example and looking out for subordinates' welfare. The speaker also recalls the historical milestones of AI, such as IBM's Watson winning Jeopardy and AlphaGo defeating the world's best Go player, to emphasize AI's rapid evolution and its potential to redefine leadership strategies.

05:01

🏆 Chess, AI, and Lessons in Leadership

This section delves into the history of AI through the lens of chess, starting with IBM's Deep Blue defeating world chess champion Garry Kasparov in 1997. The speaker discusses Kasparov's response to his loss, the creation of freestyle chess, which involves teams of humans and computers. The surprising outcome of a freestyle chess tournament, where a team of average chess players using basic laptops outperformed both AI experts and grandmasters, underscores the importance of process and human-AI collaboration in leadership. The speaker suggests that effective leadership in an AI-driven world will require a balance of human intuition and AI-powered decision-making.

10:02

🧩 Embracing the New Normal of AI

The speaker addresses the fear and uncertainty surrounding AI's role in the future, drawing parallels to the past when electricity revolutionized society. They argue that AI is becoming the new normal, much like electricity, and will be embedded in all aspects of life without replacing human roles. The speaker emphasizes the importance of character in leadership, suggesting that in the age of AI, leaders should focus on process, humility, and recognizing when to defer to machine capabilities. They conclude by encouraging the audience to accept AI as a new normal that remains human-centric and to learn from the centaur model of human-AI collaboration in chess.

15:04

👏 Closing Remarks

The speaker concludes the presentation with a round of applause, signifying the end of the discussion on AI and leadership. This section serves as a transition to the end of the talk, where the audience is left to reflect on the insights shared and the implications of AI for leadership in their respective fields.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Artificial Intelligence (AI)

Artificial Intelligence refers to the simulation of human intelligence in machines that are programmed to think like humans and mimic their actions. In the video, AI is presented as a significant part of the 'new normal,' impacting various aspects of society and leadership. The speaker discusses AI's evolution from a mere concept to a reality that influences leadership strategies, as seen in examples like IBM's Watson winning Jeopardy and Google's DeepMind's AlphaGo defeating a Go champion.

💡Leadership

Leadership in the context of the video is about guiding and directing a group or organization. The speaker emphasizes that while AI is becoming a new normal, the fundamental principles of leadership such as leading by example and looking out for the welfare of subordinates remain unchanged. However, the approach to strategy may evolve with AI's integration, requiring leaders to understand and manage 'centaurs'—teams of humans and computers.

💡New Normal

The 'new normal' is a term used to describe the state of affairs following significant changes, where what was once unusual becomes the standard. The video discusses AI as a part of this new normal, suggesting that it will become as ubiquitous as electricity and will require leaders to adapt their strategies and processes to effectively incorporate AI into their decision-making.

💡Centaurs

In the video, 'centaurs' is a metaphor for teams consisting of both humans and AI, working together to achieve a common goal. The term is derived from the mythical half-human, half-horse creatures. The speaker uses the example of 'Freestyle Chess,' where such teams competed, to illustrate how the combination of human intuition and AI analysis can outperform either component alone, emphasizing the importance of process and humility in leadership.

💡Freestyle Chess

Freestyle Chess is a concept introduced in the video where teams of humans and AI compete against each other. It represents a collaborative approach to problem-solving where AI provides analytical support, and humans make strategic decisions. The video highlights a Freestyle Chess tournament organized by Gary Kasparov, where a team of average chess players with AI assistance won against both superior chess players and advanced AI, showcasing the power of human-AI collaboration.

💡Process

Process in the video refers to the systematic series of actions directed towards a particular end. The speaker suggests that in the age of AI, leaders should focus on establishing robust processes for decision-making that incorporate AI insights effectively. The example of the Freestyle Chess tournament winner, a team with a good process for integrating AI advice, illustrates the importance of having a structured approach to leveraging AI in leadership.

💡Humility

Humility is portrayed in the video as a crucial leadership trait in the AI era. It involves recognizing the limitations of human cognition and the value of AI's analytical capabilities. The speaker implies that leaders should be humble enough to accept that certain decisions are better made by AI, while humans should focus on what they do best, thus complementing AI's strengths with human intuition and creativity.

💡Technological Unemployment

Technological Unemployment is the concept that advancements in technology, including AI, could lead to job losses as machines replace human labor. The video briefly touches on this fear, referencing Gary Kasparov's loss to Deep Blue as a symbol of machines surpassing human capabilities in certain domains. However, the speaker shifts the narrative to focus on collaboration between humans and AI, suggesting that the future lies in working together rather than competition.

💡Economic Singularity

Economic Singularity is a hypothetical point at which technological growth becomes uncontrollable and irreversible, leading to unforeseeable changes in the economy. The video mentions this concept as part of the broader discussion on AI's impact, suggesting that leaders should be aware of and prepared for such potential disruptions. It serves as a cautionary note amidst the excitement surrounding AI's capabilities.

💡Master Algorithm

The 'Master Algorithm' is a theoretical concept referring to a single algorithm capable of learning any function, which could revolutionize AI capabilities. While not directly elaborated upon in the video, it is mentioned as part of the broader discourse on AI's potential to disrupt and transform various fields. It represents the aspirational goal of AI research and the video encourages leaders to stay informed about such advancements.

Highlights

AI is part of the new normal and has implications for leadership.

AI today is exemplified by virtual assistants like Siri, Cortana, and Alexa.

Major tech companies are actively pursuing AI deals, indicating its importance.

AI's potential impact on leadership includes fear of technological unemployment and economic singularity.

AI has recently surpassed human capabilities in complex games like Go.

Leadership in the Marine Corps emphasizes leading by example and looking out for subordinates' welfare.

The history of AI includes significant milestones like IBM's Watson winning Jeopardy.

Deep Blue's victory over chess champion Garry Kasparov marked a shift in perceptions of AI.

Freestyle chess, a combination of human and AI players, offers insights into AI's impact on leadership.

In freestyle chess, the winning team was not composed of top AI experts or chess grandmasters.

The importance of process and humility in combining human and AI decision-making.

AI is becoming commonplace and is the new normal in various industries.

Leaders should focus on process and humility rather than raw intelligence or strategy alone.

AI does not make humans irrelevant; it changes the nature of tasks and leadership.

The future will likely be characterized by intelligence embedded in everyday objects, similar to electricity.

Leadership in the age of AI requires acceptance of the new normal and a focus on human strengths.

Transcripts

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[Music]

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good evening thank you tedex and thank

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you all for coming to hear these

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wonderful talks but also to hear me talk

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about what what does AI mean for

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leadership and I think Ju Just so we can

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start slow because among working for

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other Banks I was also a US so we have

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to start slow want to start slow what AI

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is artificial intelligence um and we're

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here today to discuss the new normal and

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I think artificial intelligence is part

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of that new normal and so you guys need

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to be knowing something about what

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artificial intelligence might mean for

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leadership and when when I also in

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addition to the many things I do I I

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teach at IE business school and when you

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when you're a business school Professor

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you start looking into Ai and you

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instantly you're met with these deals

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right that that Google and apple and

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Facebook and IBM and Microsoft

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everybody's chasing deals in artificial

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intelligence and and you think well it

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must be important but I'm sorry most of

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you are younger than I am but when I

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think

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AI I'm turning 50 this year when I think

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AI I think of poor clippy right

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like there's this thing that pops up on

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my screen it is says you're you're going

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to write a letter are you going to write

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a letter no actually you're completely

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useless so I'm going to close you as

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quickly as I can and and sort of curse

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the people who produce you that that is

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not if that is not AI today AI today is

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pretty cool AI today is different AI

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today is things like Siri and micro uh

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Cortona and and Amazon's Alexa and you

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know they'll help you with almost

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anything and that's pretty Co so when

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when when you're thinking about the

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future of AI you absorb that and you say

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well okay that's pretty cool and if I'm

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thinking about the new normal maybe I

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need to look into this AI

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stuff and then I started looking into it

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and I started getting scared because you

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hear about oh my God there's some sort

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robots are coming and and apparently

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they're going to rise and and it's a

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technological threat and and and wait

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hold on apparently there's something

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called an economic Singularity coming

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and I need to worry about that and oh my

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God there's some sort of Master

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algorithm that's at work and we need to

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worry about that and oh wait hold on

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it's apparently it's our final invention

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and and what's going to happen then and

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wait wait hold put the brakes on it's

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merely the second mine age that's going

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to utterly upend capitalism but fear not

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that's okay because apparently with

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super intelligence there there are

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Pathways strategies and dangers that we

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we all need to be thinking

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about but you know the Romans said your

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character is your

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fate and I think that's

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true and to think about it we we need to

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think about the immediate present which

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by the way just last month artificial

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intelligence beat the world's best human

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go player at go and if if you're not a

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fan of board games by the way go is much

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much much more complicated than

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chess and I'm here to talk to you about

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the future of leadership in an age of

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artificial intelligence I'm actually

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going to use the lens of Chess even

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though please for the record I routinely

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go online and play chess games and I

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lose to sixy olds I'll admit like in

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seconds Checkmate no problem

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nevertheless we're going to approach the

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future of leadership in an age of

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spreading II through chess but we we

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we've got we've got to get we're going

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to go there through some byways and the

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first byway again as I say your

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character is your fate you need to know

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something else about me I spent four

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years in the United States Marine Corps

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and the United States Marine Corps is a

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very practical

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organization it's very focused on

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leadership too and the two fundamentals

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of

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leadership in the United States Marine

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Corp are lead by example and look out

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for the welfare of your subordinates

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those are fundamental and and I don't

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think those change in the world of

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AI

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but focus on strategy that may change

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and through chess I hope to tell you why

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but first I have to tell you a little

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something about the history of AI or

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probably remind you of a little

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something about the history of AI to do

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that let's let's not think about last

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month when the world's best go player is

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defeated by Alpha go in China let's

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think about Watson and the game show

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Jeopardy when in 2007 you know the game

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show Jeopardy I mean most of you are

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probably not the demographic that

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watches Jeopardy you're not over 65 an

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American but

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nevertheless I think you're familiar

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with the game it's it's a general

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knowledge quiz and it's not only based

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on language remember the touring test

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and the idea that human a computer might

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pretend to be a human and that would be

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a good test Jeopardy is special because

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it's a general knowledge quiz but it's

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often based on language and

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puns and in just seven years ago the

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world's best Jeopardy player Ken

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Jennings who'd won seven uh sorry

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64 Jeopardy

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tournaments against human players is

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beaten by IBM's

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Watson so that that that might indicate

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to us maybe let's pay attention to AI

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but I don't think the lessons are there

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the lessons to learn the lessons of the

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importance of AI for leadership we have

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to keep going back practically to the

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Paleolithic of AI which in fact was

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1997 and the defeat of the world's best

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human chess player by Gary uh Gary

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Kasparov by IBM's deep

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blue he you know if you're worried about

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technological unemployment you can think

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of Gary Kasparov is the first human to

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ever lose his job to a computer suddenly

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you know computers are better than

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humans and and it was

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shocking now was deep blue

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intelligent I don't know he CLA Gary

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Kasparov claimed deep blue was no more

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intelligent than the average

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programmable alarm clock but he admitted

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it didn't feel very good to lose to a

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$10 million program B alarm

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clock so let's look at what we might

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learn from Gary Kasparov because chess

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believe it or not is a quite warlike

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competitive Sport and Gary tried to

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learn from his defeat what sort of

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things did he learn well after a few

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years of being depressed Gary Kasparov

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organized something called freestyle

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chess and he did it not far from here he

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did it over can I say this he did it in

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Barcelona

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okay and he got the world's best chess

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players because if you're Gary Kasparov

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sorry you know some good chess players

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and he also he knew a few people who are

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pretty good at artificial intelligence

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and he got them all to play Freestyle

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chess and you're all thinking what the

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hell is freestyle chess and why should I

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care I'm I'm going to get there I'm G to

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get there I

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promise freestyle chess is teams of

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humans and computers playing against

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other teams of humans and computers the

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rules of Chess are the same but you

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can't there's no such thing as cheating

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with artificial help so to put this in

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perspective Kasparov said that even if

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Satan himself perches on your shoulder

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and gives you advice about what moves to

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make perfectly legal no problem so you

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know how bad can AI be it's not Satan

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it's it's giving you advice on the move

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to make and

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he called these teams of humans and

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computers playing chess against other

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humans and

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computers

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centaurs okay after the half horse half

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man figures in Greek mythology you know

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sooner or later your character is your

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fate and your your your biography is

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your destiny and I'm an art history

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major so I'm going to get to the parthan

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on freeze at some point so there we go I

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got the Parthenon freeze half man half

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course Kasparov called these half human

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half human chess half human half machine

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chess plane combination

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centaurs and we can learn a lot about

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the future of leadership by looking at

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centaurs and how centaurs functioned

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against each other because let's be

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clear about what they are they're teams

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of humans and computers competing

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against other teams of humans and

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computers so by the way if you're in

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finance or medicine or the law or even

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retailing

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today probably the organization you work

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for in some sense is a centaur you're

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leading teams of humans and computers

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competing against other teams of humans

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and computers so maybe even if you don't

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play chess you want to pay

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attention first indication of what this

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might mean to the future of leadership

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is simply to accept that as a leader

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you're going to be

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judging hold on should I listen to the

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marketing

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Centaur they have an algorithm that's

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telling us we need to put more money

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into a magazine campaign running in

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Madrid this month or should I listen to

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the logistics center that is saying no

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no no no that same 10 million euros you

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were planning to invest that needs to go

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into our new Distribution Hub in malago

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or

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whatever you as a leader are going to

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have to be judging the output of human

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machine

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teams but it actually gets more

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interesting than that when you consider

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who won this match this freestyle chess

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match that Kasparov organized because

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the winner and here we have a sort of

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Swiss watch diagram of who the winners

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were but I want you to think back to

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what I said Kasparov knew a lot of

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people who were very good at chess and

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he also knew a lot of people were very

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good at

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AI but the winner shocked everybody

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because the winner was this team Zach s

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and what do you think was it was it the

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the AI Geniuses no was it the chess

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Grand Masters

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no Zack s was a team of two so so chess

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players not so so by the standards of

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Milo Jones that like is beaten by a

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six-year-old

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but you know in the world of Chess

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genius is so s

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and they had three sort of Dell laptops

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and I'm not endorsing or or not

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endorsing Dell in any sense in this

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video but the they they weren't using

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the latest AI what did they have what

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can we learn from Zach s's Victory

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against on the one hand the

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AI technology Giants and on the other

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hand the chess Geniuses well Kasparov

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sums it up for us pretty well it turns

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out in a world of AI in a world of

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centaurs that a human

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team with decent algorithmic advice AI

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advice and a good process for deciding

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what decisions they make versus what

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decisions the algorithm makes Beats not

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only the best AI by itself which you

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might hope as a human that would be true

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but it also Beats

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objectively better

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players with better machines but a bad

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process for figuring out what decisions

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they should make versus what decisions

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the ALG algorithm should make so there's

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some

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combination of

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process and

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humility implied by this that I think

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informs the future of leadership

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all of us are facing a world of amazing

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possibilities and you're hearing about

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some of them

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today AI is going to become commonplace

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artificial intelligence is the new

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normal but if you're worried about

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leadership I urge you as a former Marine

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lead by example look out for the welfare

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of your subordinates but don't think as

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much about raw IQ don't think as much

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about strategy think about

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process and think about humility and

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think about hold on there are certain

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moves that I simply need to accept are

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better made by a computer but that

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doesn't mean humans are Irrelevant in

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the

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process when we're thinking about the

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new normal I call your attention to a

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sign that used to appear in hotel rooms

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all of us 20 years from now I believe

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are going to have a difficult time

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imagining a world where everything isn't

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smart where intelligence isn't embedded

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the same way that most of us were kind

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of aware that there was a world before

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electricity but we rely on it without

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thinking and it hasn't removed our

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humanity and it hasn't removed our need

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to do things like lead people but it has

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changed things

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artificial intelligence is the new

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normal and I think there are lessons in

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Centaur about process and humility and

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doing better what humans do as opposed

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to What machines do that you can learn

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if you're open-minded and not worried

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about AI taking over the world but

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instead accepting The New Normal remains

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human so with that I appreciate your

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attention

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[Applause]

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[Music]

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[Applause]

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