NFL Week 11 NFL Line Moves | Tuesday November 12th Market Rundown | The Simple Handicap Podcast

Summary

This NFL Week 11 preview covers a comprehensive analysis of upcoming games, betting lines, and market trends. It provides insights on matchups like Washington vs. Philadelphia, Green Bay vs. Chicago, and Cleveland vs. New Orleans, with a focus on key injuries, weather conditions, and potential betting shifts. Notable opinions include betting on the Ravens to cover against Pittsburgh, Seattle’s value as an underdog against San Francisco, and the over on the Browns-Saints game. The script also touches on important player injuries and adjustments that could impact the outcome of the games, offering valuable advice for bettors.

Takeaways

• 😀 Washington is a 3-point underdog against the Philadelphia Eagles in Thursday Night Football. Injury news on Brian Robinson to watch.
• 😀 Green Bay Packers are 6.5-point favorites against the Chicago Bears, with weather conditions expected to affect the game. The Bears have shown signs of quitting recently.
• 😀 Cleveland Browns are down to a 1-point underdog against the New Orleans Saints, with betting action pushing the line down. The game has a total of 44.5, with potential for an over.
• 😀 Baltimore Ravens are 3-point favorites against the Pittsburgh Steelers, with news on multiple injuries, including safety Kyle Hamilton. A low-scoring game is anticipated.
• 😀 Detroit Lions are a 13.5-point favorite against Jacksonville, driven by speculation about Trevor Lawrence's injury. The Lions are in a strong position after their win over Houston.
• 😀 Minnesota Vikings are 6-point favorites against the Tennessee Titans, with the total set at 39.5. The line could move as Titans' money is expected to come in.
• 😀 San Francisco 49ers are a 6.5-point favorite against the Seattle Seahawks. The Seahawks are coming off a bye and could see wide receiver DK Metcalf return.
• 😀 Denver Broncos have become 2.5-point favorites against the Atlanta Falcons after an initial move toward the Falcons. The total is trending toward the over at 44.
• 😀 Kansas City Chiefs are 2.5-point underdogs to the Buffalo Bills. There are key injuries on both teams, including Dalton Kincaid for the Bills, which could impact the game.
• 😀 Cincinnati Bengals are now 1-point underdogs to the Los Angeles Chargers, with the over total continuing to rise as both offenses are expected to be productive.
• 😀 Indianapolis Colts are now 3.5-point underdogs to the New York Jets. The game has seen some market resistance, but Jets money has pushed the line up slightly.
• 😀 Houston Texans are a 7.5-point favorite against the Dallas Cowboys on Monday Night Football. The Cowboys will start Cooper Rush, and the Texans are coming off a loss but have key players returning.

Q & A

What is the latest betting line for the Thursday Night Football game between Washington and Philadelphia?

Philadelphia is favored by 3 points, with the total set at 49. There are some minor injury concerns, including Brian Robinson for Washington.

Why is the Green Bay vs. Chicago game considered to have potential weather issues?

High winds and potential precipitation are forecasted, marking it as the first true weather game of the season. This could significantly impact game conditions.

How has the betting market reacted to the Green Bay vs. Chicago game, and what could happen if the line moves higher?

The Packers are currently favored by 6.5 points, but if the line moves towards 7, there could be some 'number grabbing' with bettors potentially taking the Bears at that price.

What is the current betting situation for the Cleveland vs. New Orleans game?

The Saints are now favored by 1 point, with the total at 44.5. The Browns' offensive numbers have been lower than expected, but they may benefit from a healthier offensive line and running back.

What role do injuries play in the Baltimore vs. Pittsburgh matchup?

The Ravens are favored by 3 points, with some injury concerns, including for safety Kyle Hamilton. Despite a rotating backfield, the Ravens could take money at the -3 line as the week progresses.

How has the market moved for Detroit vs. Jacksonville, and what is the reason for the shift?

Detroit is favored by 13.5 points, up from 10.5, largely due to injuries to key offensive players for Jacksonville, including quarterback Trevor Lawrence.

What is the current situation with the Minnesota vs. Tennessee game, and how might the market react?

Minnesota is favored by 6 points. The total is trending downward, and there is speculation that the Titans could see some money come in, potentially pushing the line further.

Why are the San Francisco 49ers favored by 6.5 points against Seattle, and what should bettors be aware of?

San Francisco is favored by 6.5 points after a strong performance, while Seattle is coming off a bye. The key injury to monitor is DK Metcalf, who is expected to return to practice.

How has the market moved for Atlanta vs. Denver, and what is driving the shift?

The line has shifted from Atlanta being a slight favorite to Denver now being favored by 2.5 points. This move is driven by increased betting interest in the Broncos, particularly against the Falcons’ inconsistent play.

What is the current betting situation for Kansas City vs. Buffalo, and what impact do injuries have?

Buffalo is a 2.5-point favorite. The game could be a high-scoring affair, but key injuries, particularly to Dalton Kincaid for Buffalo, could affect how the teams perform offensively.

What trends are emerging in the Cincinnati vs. Los Angeles Chargers game, and why is the total moving up?

Cincinnati is now a slight underdog, with the line moving toward the Chargers being favored by just 1 point. The total has risen to 47.5 due to both teams being high-scoring offenses, especially with Cincinnati’s offense clicking.

What are the latest developments in the Indianapolis vs. New York Jets matchup?

The Jets are now favored by 3.5 points after initial Colts money. The total is holding steady at 44, with injuries and the Jets’ inconsistent offensive play as key factors to watch.

What is the situation for the Houston Texans vs. Dallas Cowboys game, and how is Cooper Rush’s involvement affecting the line?

Houston is favored by 7.5 points. With Cooper Rush starting again for Dallas, Houston’s defense, which has been dominant recently, could play a significant role in this game, especially if key Texans players like Collins return.