MASSIVE Rolex Market Shift! – Watch Dealers Honest Market Update - September 2024

The Honest Watch Dealer
29 Sept 202415:14

Summary

TLDRIn this video, the presenter discusses the fluctuating market for Rolex watches and advises on whether to buy from authorized dealers or the gray market. They highlight the pros and cons of each, noting that while authorized dealers may not prioritize customer loyalty, gray market dealers offer better service and value. The video also reviews the best-selling Rolex models over the last month, emphasizing the enduring popularity of the Daytona and Submariner lines.

Takeaways

  • 📉 The market for luxury watches, particularly Rolex, has seen a decline in prices over the last 12 months, making it a potentially good time for buyers.
  • 📈 Despite the price decline, the watch market remains stable and busy, with the speaker's company experiencing growth in sales and new clients.
  • 🛍️ Some Rolex models are still hard to acquire, suggesting that certain models retain their desirability and exclusivity.
  • ❌ Rolex authorized dealers are criticized for not valuing customer loyalty, often pushing unwanted models onto customers during the market boom.
  • 🤔 The speaker advises business owners to prioritize client satisfaction and avoid stocking overpriced watches that may devalue.
  • 📉 The gray market for Rolex watches is highlighted as an alternative, where buyers can find better deals and service, especially for harder-to-get models.
  • 💸 Gray market dealers are portrayed as more customer-focused, aiming to build long-term relationships and provide better value for money.
  • 🚫 The concept of loyalty to Rolex authorized dealers is questioned, with the speaker suggesting that the gray market can offer better immediate satisfaction.
  • 🏆 The Rolex Submariner, especially the steel variant, is identified as a top-selling model, indicating its ongoing popularity.
  • 🥈 The GMT Master 2, particularly the Pepsi model, is highlighted as another strong seller, with the Jubilee bracelet variant being especially popular.
  • 🥇 The Rolex Daytona tops the list of bestsellers, with the oyster Flex model and the iconic stainless steel Daytona being the most sought-after.

Q & A

  • What is the current trend in Rolex watch prices?

    -The prices of Rolex watches have been slowly declining over the last 12 months, but the market remains stable and busy.

  • Why might it be a good time to buy a Rolex watch?

    -It's a good time to buy because the market has changed, and certain models that were previously hard to get are now more accessible.

  • What is the speaker's opinion about Rolex authorized dealers?

    -The speaker believes that Rolex authorized dealers do not care about customer loyalty and are more interested in pushing watches that customers may not want.

  • What advice does the speaker give about dealing with Rolex authorized dealers?

    -The speaker advises business owners to prioritize their clients and not to stock watches that are not worth the current market value. They suggest considering the gray market for certain models.

  • What is the gray market and why might someone consider buying from it?

    -The gray market refers to sales channels outside of authorized dealers. Buyers might consider it because they can find certain hard-to-get models at potentially better prices.

  • What is the 'dance' with Rolex authorized dealers?

    -The 'dance' refers to the process of maintaining a relationship with authorized dealers in hopes of obtaining highly sought-after models.

  • Why might someone continue to 'dance' with Rolex authorized dealers?

    -Some people might continue because they value the relationship and hope to eventually get the specific models they desire directly from the dealer.

  • What are some examples of Rolex models that are considered good value on the gray market?

    -Some models considered good value include big gold pieces, steel and gold pieces, and certain models like the Sky-Dweller that often sell for less than retail price.

  • What are the best-selling Rolex models according to the speaker?

    -The best-selling models mentioned are the Rolex Submariner, GMT Master 2, and the Daytona, with specific variants like the Pepsi, Batman, and Daytona oyster Flex being particularly popular.

  • What is the Daytona train mentioned in the script?

    -The Daytona train refers to the ongoing popularity and high demand for Rolex Daytona models, which shows no signs of slowing down.

  • What does the speaker suggest for those looking for specific Rolex models?

    -The speaker suggests that those looking for specific models should consider the gray market, do their research, and find a credible dealer to potentially get the watch they want on the day they want it.

Outlines

00:00

📉 Market Trends and Rolex Authorized Dealers

The speaker discusses the shifting trends in the watch market, noting a decline in prices over the last year. Despite this, the market remains stable and busy, particularly at LWC where sales and new clients have grown. The speaker highlights the difficulty in acquiring certain Rolex models and questions the value of maintaining a relationship with Rolex authorized dealers (ADs). They suggest that ADs may not prioritize customer loyalty, often pushing unwanted models and not providing the desired watches. The advice is to prioritize client satisfaction and avoid stocking overpriced watches to maintain long-term customer relationships.

05:02

🛍️ The Gray Market Alternative

The speaker explores the gray market as an alternative to buying from Rolex authorized dealers. They mention that while some may be skeptical of the gray market, there are credible and trustworthy dealers available. The gray market offers the potential for better service and experiences, as these dealers are more focused on retaining customers. The speaker also discusses the concept of the 'weight list' at authorized dealers, where clients are often told they must wait years for popular models. They suggest that the gray market can provide these models at a slight premium or even at retail price, with immediate availability.

10:04

🏆 Bestselling Rolex Models at LWC

The speaker reviews the best-selling Rolex models at LWC over the last four weeks, emphasizing the importance of staying updated with market trends. The Submariner, particularly the steel variant with and without a date, tops the list, with retail prices around £8,500 and £9,000, respectively, and selling for approximately £11,000 to £12,000. The GMT Master 2, especially the Pepsi model, is also popular, with prices ranging from £13,500 to £14,500 for the Jubilee bracelet version. The Batman and the meteorite dial variants are highlighted as particularly good value propositions in the market.

15:06

🏅 The Resilience of the Daytona

The speaker concludes with the Daytona as the top-selling Rolex model, with a focus on the Oyster Flex variant. They mention the Ghost, Paul Newman, and stainless steel Daytonas as particularly desirable, with prices ranging from £36,000 to £37,000 for the white gold variant and £25,000 to £27,000 for the stainless steel models. A special mention is given to the platinum Daytona, which is offered at a competitive price compared to the retail price, indicating its value. The speaker suggests that the Daytona's popularity shows no signs of slowing down.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Rolex Authorized Dealer

A Rolex Authorized Dealer is an official retailer appointed by Rolex to sell their watches. These dealers are recognized for their commitment to maintaining the brand's high standards. In the video, the speaker discusses the pros and cons of buying from these dealers versus the gray market, noting that authorized dealers may not always prioritize customer loyalty or satisfaction.

💡Gray Market

The gray market refers to unofficial channels through which products, such as luxury watches, are sold outside of the manufacturer's authorized distribution channels. The video discusses the gray market as an alternative to buying from authorized dealers, highlighting the potential for better service and value, but also cautioning the need to find credible dealers.

💡Market Value

Market value in the context of the video refers to the current selling price of a watch in the open market, which can be influenced by supply and demand. The speaker mentions that some Rolex authorized dealers may sell watches at prices higher than their market value, which could lead to customers losing money if they decide to resell.

💡Sky-Dweller

The Rolex Sky-Dweller is a luxury watch model known for its complex features, including a dual-time zone display. In the script, the Sky-Dweller is used as an example of a watch that is sold at a significant discount to its retail price, illustrating the price discrepancies that can exist between authorized dealers and the gray market.

💡Retail Price

Retail price is the price at which a product is sold to the end consumer by the retailer. The video contrasts the retail prices set by Rolex with the actual prices at which watches are sold in the gray market, indicating that the latter can be significantly lower.

💡Submariner

The Rolex Submariner is a highly sought-after dive watch model. The video mentions the Submariner as one of the best-selling models at the gray market dealer 'LWC', indicating its popularity and desirability among watch enthusiasts.

💡GMT Master

The Rolex GMT Master is another popular watch model, known for its functionality as a dual-time watch. The video highlights the GMT Master 2, particularly the 'Pepsi' bezel variant, as a top seller, reflecting its strong market presence and customer preference.

💡Daytona

The Rolex Daytona is a prestigious watch model, often considered the 'Holy Grail' of luxury watches. The video discusses the Daytona's enduring popularity and its status as the best-selling model at LWC, with various references and materials mentioned to illustrate its appeal.

💡Panda Dial

A panda dial refers to a watch face with a black and white color scheme, resembling a panda's face. The video mentions the stainless steel Daytona with a panda dial as a highly desirable model, suggesting that despite its iconic status, it has been outsold by the black variant in the recent market.

💡Oyster Flex

The Oyster Flex is a type of bracelet used in Rolex watches, known for its comfort and durability. The video references the Daytona with an Oyster Flex bracelet as a top seller, indicating consumer preference for this particular combination of model and bracelet style.

💡Platinum

Platinum is a precious metal used in high-end watch models for its rarity and value. The video discusses a platinum Daytona as an example of a top-tier watch, highlighting its exclusivity and the significant price point, which represents a high level of investment in a luxury timepiece.

Highlights

Trends in the Rolex market are changing, with prices slowly declining over the last 12 months.

It's currently a good time to buy as the market is stable and busy, especially for harder to get models.

Rolex authorized dealers may not prioritize customer loyalty, often pushing unwanted watches onto clients.

The importance of looking after clients is emphasized, with a focus on not stocking watches that aren't worth the market value.

Some Rolex authorized dealers are willing to sell anything in stock without concern for customer loss.

There are credible and trustworthy gray market dealers who offer better service and aim to retain clients.

The gray market can offer better value on certain Rolex models, such as the Sky-Dweller, which often sells under retail price.

Some models like big gold pieces have been underperforming in the market, offering good value on the gray market.

The gray market can provide watches like the GMT and Submariner at a slight premium or retail price, bypassing long waitlists.

There's no loyalty with Rolex authorized dealers, and clients are advised to explore the gray market for better service.

The Rolex Submariner, especially the steel variant, remains one of the top-selling models.

The GMT Master 2, particularly the Pepsi variant, is another top seller with high demand.

The Daytona remains the number one bestseller, with the oyster Flex being particularly popular.

The market for Rolex watches is dynamic, with different models' popularity changing month to month.

The Daytona in stainless steel is considered the 'Holy Grail' and is highly sought after.

The platinum Daytona is a top-tier watch offering great value for money, especially in the pre-owned market.

Transcripts

play00:00

Trends are certainly changing and in

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this video I'm going to be discussing

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the pros and cons of buying from your

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Rolex authorized dealer against buying

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from the gray market for you guys that

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follow the channel and also follow the

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market I'm sure you're probably aware

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that prices over the last 12 months have

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been slowly declining yes it is still a

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stable Market yes it's still a very busy

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Market yes we are still very busy at lwc

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what does that mean that means it's a

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good time for you guys to buy out there

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certainly for us here at lwc we've seen

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the the company grow over the last 12

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months with regards the sales and the

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new clients we've had to the boutique

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but you know some of the harder to get

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models out there you know they're still

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proving hard to get in the marketplace

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is now the time to buy from the gray

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Market permanently or should you

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continue to do the dance with your Rolex

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a let's start with the Rolex authorized

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dealers some of you guys watching this

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may not like this but I'm going to tell

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you now from my experience of the last

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10 years Rox ads genuinely do not care

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about you and your business and your

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loyalty and what do I mean by that

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they're more than happy to push watches

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to you that you've not requested not on

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your list and certainly not ones that

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you actually want to buy because the

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market was booming over the last sort of

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two or three years you guys out there

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will have to take anything from your

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authorized dealer you could literally

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sell it for a profit within an hour of

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taking it the market certainly changed

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now so regarding your relationship with

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your roal xad is it really worth it

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that's the big question when you get the

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call do you need to be taking that call

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do you need to be not taking that call

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well my advice to you is certainly as a

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business owner rule 101 of of being a

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business owner is to look after your

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clients that is the most important thing

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for me and that also means us not

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stocking certain watches that you know

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we think are not worth the current

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market value because at the end of the

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day I want to keep you as a client if I

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sell you a watch you buy it from lwc 6

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months later you decide you don't want

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it and we just turn around and go

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actually don't want that watch or I've

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overcharged you for that watch that's

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not something we've ever done at lwc the

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Rolex authorized deals are slightly

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different they're more than happy to

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sell you anything that they've got in

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stock and they don't care whether you

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lose money we've covered it in so many

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videos where some of the bigger pieces

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out there the big gold pieces the Big

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Sky dwellers we own the notoriously

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under list price I've got one to show

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you here for example this is a sky

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Diller we had one recently and we showed

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it on the channel same model this is a

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brand new unworn Sky Diller 18 karat

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yellow gold with a black dial the retail

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price from relx is around £37,000 now

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we're selling is for £28,000 to nearly 9

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,000 under list price so this is a prime

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example if you get the call from your Ro

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xad they W happen to sell you this watch

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at full retail price but bear in mind

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when you come to sell it you have to go

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to the gray Market to sell this watch

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and what are they going to tell you it's

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worth literally 30 to 35% less than

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Rolex retail price some of the models

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that have been in the danger zone of the

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last 12 months we've covered in many

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many videos if you've not seen them

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check them out on the channel but they

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are the big gold pieces they are the

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steeling gold pieces some of them ask

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really good value on the gray market and

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I'd advise going out there find yourself

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a credible dealer you know looking at

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what they've got in stock do your

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homework on them you know because for

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you guys out there and you're all going

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to start there looking at me here and

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going yeah but I don't trust the gray

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Market where can I go in the gray Market

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this is why we continue to do the dance

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with the your Rolex authorized dealer

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well I can tell you you know there's

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plenty of credible honorable trustworthy

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gray Market dealers out there do your

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research go find them and I'll guarantee

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you'll have a better service and

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experience than you will have at your

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authorized dealer because they genuinely

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want your business they genuinely want

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to retain you as a client and at the end

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of the day yes we have a margin to make

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yes we are a business but it's also very

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important for you guys to understand

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it's not just about selling one watch

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it's continuing that relationship

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building new relationships and keeping

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you guys as one of our clients forever

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one thing I do want to discuss is the

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authorized dealer weight list something

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that we have many conversations with our

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clients every day of the week at lwc is

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is it superficial is this weightless

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superficial I can tell you from my

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experience that majority of clients out

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there watching this that all you want is

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your GMT all you want is your submarin

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dat you know you are struggling to get

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it it's now a place in the market where

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you can actually go to the gray market

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and pay a tiny bit over retail for some

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or retail for others and you can pick it

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up on the day you know some of these

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watches that you've been actually told

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it's two three year four years I can

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tell you stories all day long from my

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clients that come to see me and some

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stories you actually would not believe

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what they're told and the serious people

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who spend you know decent money with

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Rolex over a period of time and what you

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got to remember is there's no loyalty

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with Rolex anymore you know yes I sell

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Rolex watches yes are they the best

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brand in the world in my opinion yes you

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know have we built our business around

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Rolex models yes we have but when it

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comes to the authorized dealer and the

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way they Supply you guys that's where I

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have a problem so for me personally you

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know if you're looking at being retained

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as a client you know I think it's very

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important that they should be looking

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after you more and like I said before if

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you're looking for that watch you know

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get yourself into the gray Market do

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your home there's enough information out

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there and buy yourself your watch on the

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day so to answer the question that I

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started this video with should you

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continue to do the dance or should you

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go straight to the gray I would honestly

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say in the current market for some of

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you yes continue doing it you've always

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got a bit of a relationship you've maybe

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took the watches you didn't want you're

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now getting the cream the really nice

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watches that you've always wanted yes

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continue but for the majority of people

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are certainly people new to the market

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i' actually say know there's no point

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doing that sort of two three four year

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for your watch get yourself out there

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you know find yourself a credible dealer

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keep on the list with your Rolex ad you

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never know you might get the call but

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what I would say to some clients this is

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and we say this clients all day every

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day is look stay on the list with your

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Rolex ad come buy a watch let's say from

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lwc if you get the call for that watch

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we more happen to buy that from you or

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we'll buy the watch that we've sold you

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back and then you can just literally

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keep the new one from your ad so either

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way you're playing the game as always

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we'll jump into the bestselling models

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of the last four weeks at lwc the market

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Market has changed and this is why it's

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very important to tune in for Market

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updates and follow the market because

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month on month each months are actually

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different with the watches that we

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actually sell and some that are popular

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one month as sometimes the following

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month are not as popular so number four

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in the category is the Rolex Submariner

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again covered this in so many videos the

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top of the charts in this particular

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category is the Submariner date and no

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date the steel variant we've got a

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couple to show you here for you guys

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that have not seen them this is the new

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41 mil so we've got the no date and

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we've also got the date which I might I

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just have one in my drawer here let me

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just double check here we have so these

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are the two here for you so we've got

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some of date and no date 41 mil like I

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said the absolutely bullet proof s after

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goto watch that's our top one in the

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Submarina range let you guys know retail

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on the no day which is this one is 8,50

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retail is 9,000 on that one we sell

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these around 11,000 sell these around 12

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12,000 let's go to the next one in the

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Submarina range the other top three that

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were our best sellers was the Starbucks

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I've actually got a couple to show you

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here we've got the Mark 1 and Mark 2 for

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you guys that don't know the mark one is

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the darker one this is one the darker

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green bezel which is now discontinued

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they've got the mark 2 which is this one

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here which is the lighter green bezel we

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sld pretty much similar amounts of both

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as probably say the lighter green is the

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most popular I actually really like the

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dark green now I think it's a really

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nice color and a bit more subtle but

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again you know Beauty in the eye of the

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beholder you guys certainly will choose

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the one that you like again pricewise on

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these the retail is just under 10,000

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and we sell these for around about

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anywhere between 12 1/2 to 13 half

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thousand and then we've got the blues I

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think we sold out actually we had one in

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the other day this is like the the

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bestselling submar in my opinion no

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matter what the Market's doing the blues

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it the iconic blue dial and Blue Bezel

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been selling those as well and let's

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move on to category number three coming

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in at number three is the GMT Master 2

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the 40 mm variant no surprise to you

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guys our bestselling the last four weeks

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is the GMT Master 2 Pepsi the beautiful

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blue and red bezel on the Jubilee oyster

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but Jubilee as we all know is the best

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seller again what else is good in that

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lineup we've been sell quite a few of

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the bat girls and Batmans got a couple

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to show you here this is the new one

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with the Jubilee bracelet literally sell

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so many of these at lwc we'll stock and

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buy as many as we physically can if you

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look website we probably got four or

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five them at the minute just because we

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like them so much again retail wise on

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this just under 10k we retail anywhere

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between sort of like 135 to 145 15

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depending on the year in condition and

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we've got the Batman as well actually

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this is obviously a really nice watch as

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well on the oyster bracelet again retail

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price just under 10k 95 is I'm going to

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say we sell these for around about

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144,000 just to let you know for brand

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new and wars and considering that how

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hard they are to get both of these

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models I think they're really well

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priced in the market I can see why you

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guys are pulling trigger cuz the blue

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and black is really nice got a couple of

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others in this range as well we've been

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selling got Sprite again the Jubilee

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always out sells the oyster I think I've

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got an oyster in the back there you know

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these have come down a little bit in

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price I think they're certainly well

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priced in the market I've always said

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these are really good long termers

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leftand drives but I think considering

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that these are for sale between sort of

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15 and 16,000 online I think they're

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really really good value consider this

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particular one here has been out for a

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few years this is the new model the new

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reference obviously it's the new one the

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new release from Rolex and I think it's

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a really good watch so for you guys out

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there 15 to 16k I think it's really good

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value for money and another one this is

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really exciting one actually we had the

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GMT Master 2 meteorite dialing this is

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where the market is and this is show how

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rare this watch is and what I think is

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extremely good value I think we've only

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ever had two GMT Master 2 meteorite

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dials it's in the white gold variant 18

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karat white gold this particular watch

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to give you guys an idea the retail is

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just under 40 was around £39,000 we sold

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a 2023 one very lightwear um literally

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like brand new for £43,000 considering

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the market compare that to the Rolex

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data owner on a full gold bracelet what

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does that sell for that's literally

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nearly doubl in price depending on the

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precious metal combination so for me the

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metri GMT and I know a lot of you guys

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watching this absolutely love that watch

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I think it is fantastic value for money

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and it did not last long online and

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number two of our best sellers vwc which

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is a complete reversal from the month

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before and this is why it's important to

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follow market trends and certainly our

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videos is the Daye just range had a

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Renaissance of date just buyers and the

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most popular and the same as the top

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category and sellers like for like is

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the date just 41 and also the date just

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31 this is where the markets we've said

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you see very very few dat just 31's

play10:40

coming through they're very hard to get

play10:41

from your Rolex authorized dealer

play10:43

whenever we get the LC we'll buy as many

play10:44

as we can and will sell them out pretty

play10:46

quickly we've sold a beautiful floral

play10:48

Diamond Motif dial we've sold the

play10:50

diamond six the pink one beautiful watch

play10:53

we've got a couple of those in the back

play10:54

but certainly for you guys out there the

play10:56

41 again we've got the Wimbledon I won't

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talk too much about because we've

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covered that in many videos the best

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sellers for us out is the dark blue had

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a client collect one yesterday same

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combination flued Jubilee and we also

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sold the mint green and also this

play11:10

particular combination but if you guys

play11:12

out there looking for something a bit

play11:13

different and I really like this watch

play11:14

and it does seem really popular in the

play11:16

market and it's the exact same

play11:17

combination what I mentioned but with

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the smooth stainless steel bezel mint

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green dial if you guys wanted something

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that is my opinion quite a lot of watch

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for the money this is retailed by us

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under £10,000 around 9750 the retail

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price from Rolex is around £ 7,300 so

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yeah a couple of, more over this you're

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going to pick yourself up a brand new

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unworn mint top of the 13 dials top of

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the tree as far as dial color from a

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gray Market dealer and you going to get

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something really nice for under £10,000

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coming in number one no surprise to you

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guys out there the Rolex Daytona let me

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tell you the Daytona train is not

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stopping the biggest seller in this

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particular category is the Rolex Daytona

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oyster Flex I've got quite a few to show

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you today I'll quickly fly through them

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the number one as always the Daytona

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ghost 18 karat white gold gray dial

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black subd this is the new reference

play12:10

these are really really hard to get in

play12:12

2024 we've hardly seen any coming

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through whatsoever and over the last

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week we've been had the opportunity to

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buy quite a few so that tells me the

play12:19

Rolex authorized dealers are pushing

play12:21

them out this week so for me this is the

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second one we've had in as many days had

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a client pick one up yesterday retail

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price from Rox 29 three we sell these

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online for between 36 and

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£37,000 I've got the old reference to

play12:34

show you here again really like this

play12:37

watch these are really good value in the

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market anywhere between sort of like 30

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to 33,000 depending on the year what a

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watch they are then into the sort of the

play12:46

Paul Newman I've got a bit of a treat

play12:47

for you guys as well today so we've got

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the new reference with the new obviously

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bezel New Movement this is the 126 Paul

play12:53

Newman and I've actually got the old one

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as well I've got another one here and

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that's got the beautiful red hand which

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I know a lot of you guys out there

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absolutely cover so I've got one of the

play13:02

old one of the new pricewise on these

play13:05

early 30s to mid-30s on those did have a

play13:07

Pikachu like mine unfortunately it has

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gone sold pretty quickly we've also got

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this one which is the sundust again rose

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gold variant listed 293 we sell these

play13:16

around about 35 36,000 so one last week

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stocked another one so that're really

play13:21

popular and hard to get then we're into

play13:23

the next best selling in this particular

play13:25

category and it is the stainless steel

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Daytona the iconic the Holy Grail we've

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actually got two variants to show you

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here so I've actually got the black one

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and believe it or not this is outsold

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the new reference Panda this only

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arrived yesterday so for you guys out

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there I'm sure at some point on your

play13:41

Watch Journey you need to get this watch

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it's got that you've got to get it on

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your sort of list so this one here is

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the black variant to get you guys know

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the retail for both these ones is £

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13,200 we sell these around 25 26 and we

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sell these for around

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£27,000 again we all know how hard they

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are to get but for us the black in the

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last four weeks has outs sold the panda

play14:04

and then the last one I'd like to talk

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about is actually a platinum Dayton I've

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got another one to show you here this

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one is the old reference it's the

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double1 16506 reference discontinued

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when we're talking value for money when

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we talking something a little bit

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different when we're talking the elite

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top tier of watches and models within

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the Daya on the lineup this is right

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there aka the dadic we all know this

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watch and if you see that ice blue you

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noce a platinum the weight is

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unbelievable

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this is on for sale online on our

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website for under the new Rolex retail

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price which is 66,800 is I'm going to

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say we've got this for sale for around

play14:39

65 66,000 what a watch what great value

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for money we sold a newer one this is

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2016 by the way we sold a

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2022 to a client bought it for her

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husband for gift he's not actually got

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it yet so I hope he doesn't watch this

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video before it goes out but it's coming

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to you very soon and we sold that for

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£75,000 so so for me the daytonas the

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train is not stopping hope you enjoyed

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