Israel wants a wider war with Ismail Haniyeh’s assassination in Iran

Summary

На радио 786 обсуждается гибель Исмаила Хании, политического лидера ХАМАС, убитого в результате израильского авиаудара в Тегеране. Удар произошел на фоне продолжающегося конфликта между Израилем и палестинскими силами сопротивления. Обсуждаются последствия атаки для региональной безопасности и возможные ответные меры со стороны союзников ХАМАС, таких как Иран и Ливан. Также рассматривается роль США в этом конфликте и возможные сценарии дальнейшего развития событий.

Takeaways

• 📻 На радио 786 обсуждается гибель Исмаила Хании, лидера движения ХАМАС.
• 🎙 Хания был убит израильским ударом в Тегеране 31 июля 2024 года.
• 🔫 Хания был политическим лидером ХАМАС и ранее служил премьер-министром Палестины.
• 👨‍👩‍👦‍👦 Он был не только политиком, но и мужем и отцом, его семья также пострадала от израильских атак.
• ⚔️ Израиль стремится к расширению конфликта, пытаясь втянуть в войну Иран и другие силы сопротивления.
• 🛡 Сопротивление готово к ответным мерам, но стремится избежать эскалации.
• 🌍 США и другие страны Запада поддерживают Израиль, что увеличивает напряженность в регионе.
• 🔍 Важность стратегических расчетов в военных действиях и возможных последствиях для обеих сторон.
• 🚨 Убийство Хании изменяет правила ведения конфликта и может привести к непредсказуемым последствиям.
• 🤔 В социальных сетях распространяются теории заговора, но доказательства указывают на израильский след в атаке.

Q & A

Что произошло в 2 часа ночи 31 июля 2024 года в Тегеране?

Израильский ракетный удар убил Исмаила Ханию, руководителя политбюро движения ХАМАС.

Какую роль играл Исмаил Хания в движении сопротивления?

Исмаил Хания был ключевой фигурой в движении сопротивления, он был лидером ХАМАС и выполнял важные дипломатические функции.

Какие реакции последовали после убийства Хании?

Многие движения сопротивления, включая ХАМАС, заявили, что это изменяет правила игры и может привести к дальнейшей эскалации конфликта.

Какова была реакция американских властей на нападение?

США заявили о готовности защищать Израиль в случае любой формы ответного удара.

Какая была цель нападения на Ханию, по мнению аналитика?

Израиль пытался спровоцировать более широкий конфликт, вовлечь Иран и другие силы сопротивления, а также привлечь США на свою сторону.

Какие аргументы приводятся против теории о причастности Ирана к убийству Хании?

Иран поддерживает движение сопротивления и оказывает им помощь, поэтому ему невыгодно способствовать убийству лидера ХАМАС.

Какое влияние убийство Хании может оказать на внутриизраильскую политическую ситуацию?

Убийство может помочь Биньямину Нетаньяху укрепить свою позицию, несмотря на внутренние трудности и критическую ситуацию в Газе.

Какие угрозы прозвучали со стороны сил сопротивления после убийства Хании?

Силы сопротивления предупредили о возможности ответного удара, который может быть не ограничен.

Какие действия Израиль предпринял против других лидеров сопротивления в последние дни?

Израильские атаки были направлены на лидеров в Ливане, Ираке, Йемене и Сирии, что вызвало международное осуждение.

Какие долгосрочные последствия может иметь убийство Хании для региона?

Это может привести к более широкой войне на Ближнем Востоке, вовлечению других стран и усилению напряженности.

Outlines

00:00

📜 Введение и цитата из Корана

Текст начинается с цитаты из Корана и вводит слушателей в специальное вещание на радио 786. Описывается недавняя атака, в результате которой был убит Исмаил Хания, лидер ХАМАС, в Тегеране.

05:02

⚔️ Анализ атаки на Иран

Эксперт Элайджа Манье обсуждает последствия атаки на Иран и её возможные цели. Он утверждает, что Израиль пытается спровоцировать более широкую войну, втягивая в конфликт Иран, США и Запад.

10:03

🔥 Угроза эскалации

Элайджа Манье объясняет, что атаки Израиля могут привести к масштабной эскалации. Он подчеркивает, что сопротивление тщательно планирует свои действия, чтобы избежать неизбирательных атак на мирных жителей.

15:04

🛡️ Реакция и балансирование

Манье подчеркивает, что силы сопротивления должны тщательно обдумывать свои ответные действия, чтобы не привести к ещё большим жертвам среди мирного населения. Он также обсуждает роль США и их поддержку Израилю.

20:06

🔍 Последствия расширения конфликта

Манье анализирует возможные последствия расширения конфликта для Израиля. Он считает, что Нетаньяху стремится сохранить свою власть, расширяя войну, и это может привести к серьёзным последствиям для региона.

25:08

🤔 Подозрения в отношении Ирана

Манье отвергает конспирологические теории о причастности Ирана к убийству Хании. Он объясняет, что Иран поддерживает сопротивление, а убийство лидеров не ослабляет, а наоборот, укрепляет их борьбу.

Keywords

💡Исмаил Хания

Исмаил Хания был политическим лидером движения ХАМАС и занимал должность главы политического бюро. Он был убит в результате атаки, что вызвало реакцию со стороны различных сопротивленческих движений и изменило правила игры в регионе.

💡ХАМАС

Исламское сопротивление, также известное как ХАМАС, является палестинской суннитской исламской организацией. Оно активно участвует в сопротивлении против Израиля, рассматривается как террористическая организация некоторыми странами и играет ключевую роль в конфликтах в регионе.

💡Ционистский режим

Этот термин используется для обозначения государства Израиль в контексте критики его политики и действий, особенно в отношении палестинцев. В видео упоминается как агрессивная сила, ответственная за нападения и убийства палестинских лидеров и граждан.

💡Газа

Сектор Газа — это узкая прибрежная полоса на Ближнем Востоке, являющаяся одним из центральных пунктов конфликта между Израилем и палестинцами. В видео Газа упоминается как место, где происходят военные действия и гуманитарные катастрофы.

💡Иран

Иран активно поддерживает различные сопротивленческие движения в регионе, включая ХАМАС и Хезболлу. В видео обсуждается роль Ирана в поддержке этих группировок и его участие в конфликтах на Ближнем Востоке.

💡Операция 'Аль-Аа'

Эта операция, начатая сопротивлением 7 октября 2023 года, привела к увеличению напряженности в регионе. Видео описывает, как эта операция повлияла на ситуацию и привела к изменению правил игры.

💡Убийство

Термин относится к целенаправленному устранению лидеров сопротивления, таких как Исмаил Хания. Видео обсуждает, как убийства используются в качестве тактики в конфликте и как они влияют на ситуацию в регионе.

💡Сопротивление

Сопротивление относится к различным движениям и группам, которые противостоят Израилю. Включает ХАМАС, Хезболлу и другие группировки. Видео рассматривает их действия и роль в конфликте.

💡Соединенные Штаты

Соединенные Штаты играют ключевую роль в поддержке Израиля и являются важным игроком в геополитике региона. Видео обсуждает их вмешательство и влияние на конфликты на Ближнем Востоке.

💡Расширение конфликта

Видео обсуждает возможность расширения конфликта на другие страны и вовлечения в него других региональных игроков, таких как Иран, Ливан и Йемен. Обсуждается вероятность возникновения более широкомасштабной войны.

Highlights

Israeli airstrike kills Hamas politburo chief Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran.

Haniyeh's assassination marks a significant escalation in the Israel-Palestine conflict.

Haniyeh was a key figure in the Palestinian resistance movement, serving as Hamas' political leader.

This attack follows multiple assassination attempts on Haniyeh by Israel.

The assassination was part of a broader strategy by Israel to provoke a wider conflict involving Iran and other resistance groups.

The attack occurred in Iran, signaling a bold move by Israel to strike within a foreign nation's borders.

Haniyeh's death may change the rules of engagement for Hamas and other resistance movements.

Reactions from various resistance movements suggest increased tensions and potential for broader conflict.

Expert analysis suggests Israel is aiming to drag the US and other Western allies into a larger war.

The current US administration's handling of the situation is seen as a critical factor in the conflict's trajectory.

Netanyahu's political motivations, including domestic challenges, are influencing Israel's aggressive actions.

Iran's long-standing support for Palestinian resistance and its potential retaliation are key elements in the unfolding events.

The assassination has raised questions about the future strategies of resistance movements and their responses.

The involvement of various regional powers, including Lebanon and Yemen, adds complexity to the conflict.

The assassination underscores the fragile balance in West Asia and the potential for rapid escalation.

Transcripts

the road to Liberation ala flood

[Music]

[Laughter]

[Music]

oh Believers patiently endure persevere

stand on God and be mindful of Allah so

that you may be successful Al Quran

Surah Al Iman verse 200

as recited there by the marted leader of

the Islamic resistance movement Hamas is

Hanah assalamu alaikum and welcome to

this special coverage here on radio 786

100.4 FM Al AA flood the road to

Liberation the location is tan the

Iranian Capital 31st July 2024 just

around 2: a.m. local time a mile most

certainly fired by the Zionist regime

Israel strikes a building killing the

polit bureau chief of the Palestinian

Islamic resistance movement Hamas isma

hania he was 62 years

old a leader with an extensive history

in the resistance he has served in

senior positions including as the

elected prime minister of Palestine in

the 2006 Palestinian elections

eventually he would become and continue

to lead under diff ult and treacherous

circumstances which tested the unity of

the Palestinian people surviving various

assassination attempts by the Zionist

entity Hanah as leader of a people under

the most brutal modernday Siege would go

on to become an international face of

resistance resilience and Defiance

moving from Gaza to Qatar and assuming

the role of the polit bureau chief of

the Islamic resistance

movement during the operational AA flood

launched by the resist on the 7th of

October

2023 he eventually became perhaps one of

the key faces of the movement outside of

Palestine playing a key role in

mediation efforts and the Relentless

struggle to achieve an end to the

Zionist genocide against the

Palestinians at the Diplomatic

level he may have been outside of

Palestine but the Palestinian identity

of Ismael hania's blood ran deep a

husband father fighter and leader his

family remained in Gaza at the cold face

of the Zionist aggression not only did

he sacrifice himself in the path of

resistance for the liberation of all KS

and Palestine but his family also Rose

to martydom the Israeli occupation

entity has deliberately targeted hanah's

family in its efforts to weaken their

will but they like many Palestinian

families have persevered and

strengthened their resolve to continue

the fight for what is right and

just you're tuned in special coverage

here on radio 786 on this occasion of

the martydom of isma Hanah during the

early hours of this morning in the

Iranian Capital tan together with him

mared in that operation was Wasim Abu

Shaban his bodyguard and

companion there have been reactions from

a number of resistance movements

including Hamas who has suggested that

this certainly changes the Rules of

Engagement to discuss this now we are

joined by El Elijah Mania who is a

brussels-based veteran War correspondent

and a senior political risk analyst with

nearly 40 years of experience in

covering West Asia we welcome him now to

the special coverage here on radio 786

Elijah good evening and thank you for

joining us here on radio

786 thank you for having me an important

aspect of any military exercise is the

calculation of of risk this attack did

not only target the polit bureau chief

of Hamas it also staged an attack on a

foreign Nation soil in this case Iran

and we've seen this sort of action from

The zist Entity with the strike earlier

on the Iranian mission in

Syria did Israel miscalculate

here I don't think Israel is

miscalculating Israel is looking for a

wider War trying to drag Iran and the

rest of the aess of the resistance into

a war by pulling also the Americans and

the West into it now there is nobody who

is ruling the White House President Joe

Biden is not fully in control those who

are leading the country are the

Secretary of State um Anthony blinkin

and the defense secretary Lloyd Austin

and all the others are managing the

country as they can they not a president

and the president seems not active all

the time so it's basically Benyamin

Netanyahu who's leading the game even if

this American Administration is busy in

the presidential

elections benam Nano is fully aware of

the handicap of the administration and

is pulling it by force to defend Israel

whenever Israel wants to widen the war

because prime minister bamin Netanyahu

is in domestic difficulties he's not

managing to control

364 square kilometers that represent the

Gaza Strip and his army is incapable of

uh defeating the resistance so he

is directing himself toward a attacking

tan by assassinating one of the members

the leaders of the axis of the

resistance is Hani he's attacking Beirut

and in the capital the suburb of Beirut

in hat the Americans yesterday attacked

also has shabi in Baghdad Iraq and then

the few days ago Benyamin Netanyahu

attacked Heda in Yemen mhm so these

messages across all the members of the

axis of resistance is extremely

provocative to a wider War now it is up

to the access of the resistance to

respond and it the response will happen

but will happen coordinated in a way for

the Israelis either to debat the third

and not do it again or to enlarge the

war in case Israel would retaliate there

is that timeline that you talk about

these multiple attacks on all of the key

resistance movements within the region

that have been engaged in this struggle

for the end and the liberation of the

Gaza

Strip this however came after Benjamin

netanyahu's visit to the United States

during that period Israeli media were

reporting that he had been he had

received the green light for the

expansion particularly

as far as Lebanon is concerned do you

think that what we see playing out here

with this assassination on is as well as

the one in Beirut which again Zionist

media indicated the Americans were aware

of not necessarily the time and the

place but at least that the target was

uh uh locked in by the Zionist entity

does this give us a clear indication in

terms of this green lighting from the

United States and that particularly

there might be an appetite for some sort

of expansion from its

side well I think it give us even more

than that the Americans sent a message

to Lebanon several days ago that Israel

will not hit Beirut neither the subb

suburb of Beirut nor the airport so that

was a lie because the Americans thought

that they were aware of the attack

against one of the top Hezbollah

commanders in Beirut so it is not

attacking Beirut but also attacking a

commander of hisbah and killing many

civilians and uh I think the Americans

um maybe thinks that Iran will retaliate

as it has done when its consulate was

attacked in Damascus I think this time

they are really misreading the access of

the resistance including Iran

retaliation because this time there will

be no warning the attack would be

coordinated and will come also on from

the Lebanese borders without giving the

Israelis the time to retaliate or to

intercept neither for the Americans to

support the Israelis which are already

supporting they are already supporting

the Israeli they are patrolling the

Mediterranean they are um Downing all

the uh drones and the missile fight by

ansar in Yemen and they are uh hitting

Anar the British and the Americans which

means that they offering all the support

for Israel because Israel is weaker than

fighting against more than one front but

I think this time they are going to make

a bigger mistake because this time

they're going to do very little to

support Israel

the delicate Balancing Act here is that

the Zionist entity has been pushing for

this escalation and expansion the

resistance movements have been showing

an extensive element of restraint and

have been indicating that the main issue

is the end to the hostilities and the

aggression and the genocide that's

taking place in Gaza they do not want

any form of escalation however with

these developments how will the

resistance Coalition be able to balance

that reaction and response to this

Zionist aggression considering the

balance of not expanding but sending

that firm

message um the fact that the aess of the

resistance is dealing with such a brutal

and immoral Army that has not hesitated

to commit war crimes crimes against

humanity and genocide against the

civilians of Gaza killing and wounding

more than 130 to

140,000 people of which 70% are children

and women it is wise for the access of

the resistant to think carefully how to

hit Israel to deter the Israelis but at

the same time not to cause a fire back

against their civilians because the

Israelis will not hesitate to start

bombing indiscriminately the civilians

because the access of the resistance is

not dealing with proper human being who

can abide by the international laws the

Geneva Convention the United Nation

resolution and already Antonio gues

United Nations Secretary General

consider Israel as a terrorist Nation

because it is equal to Al-Qaeda and Isis

for all the crime that is committing so

the Israelis have nothing to lose really

but not for that they should be left

alone without being taught a harsh

lesson and the only harsh lesson is for

Israel to feel threatened by its

presence on Palestinian soil occupying

it and for that they need to feed the

heat in its infrastructure that will be

damaged in haa and T Aviv otherwise it

is in the interest of Ben nany to

continue the war waiting for Donald

Trump to return to power and give him

more free hand to kill as many more

Palestinians as

possible as a Veteran War correspondent

as a senior political risk analys

analyst here the announcement from Yemen

from the ansar movement when they struck

T Aviv and when Huda was particularly

hit by the Zionist entity was that we

will react and it will not be a limited

strike we are not like the brothers in

Iran who had of course responded to the

attack on the uh Iranian mission in

Damascus we've also seen say Hassan

nasah statement that if you dare to

enter Lebanon you will not have any

tanks left we have also had Iran after

that retaliation to the attack on its

mission in Damascus saying that the next

uh incident should there be such an

attack will not be a limited one are we

now entering a phase of the

unknown or can we somehow based on the

readings of how the resistance has been

handling the situation thus far can we

make an assessment of what the type of

reaction will be

I think the Israelis crossed all red

lines and is no longer abiding by the

rule of Engagement and because of that

uh I think the resistance and the access

of the resistant members will go in the

same way against the Israelis to bring

it back to the Rules of Engagement the

key Point here is how Israel is going to

retaliate to the

retaliation if the Israelis want an

allout War then they will go an attack

again and this is where we're going

toward the unknown yes I agree and it

will all depend on the assessment of

Netanyahu who is not facing enough

opposition domestically and the knet has

gone into a three-month holiday so he

doesn't have any opposition at the

moment for the next three month where he

can act freely

and do whatever he wants with the

Israelis but the reaction domestically

if the hit is hard enough then maybe the

society in Israel will no longer support

him as it is supporting him today but uh

unfortunately I can say the Middle East

is going a new toward a new phase where

we don't know what is going to happen in

the next days or weeks at points like

this one doesn't want to be

alarmist but we also know that West Asia

has always been a critical focal point

for the major world powers the United

States has already issued a statement in

which it says that it is ready to and

will defend in its words Israel should

there be any form of retaliation we saw

this with the Iranian strike where it

was not just the United States but even

some of the Arab regimes that were

standing ready to uh protect the Zionist

entity this also comes on the back of

the agreement that was broken by the

Chinese for Unity among the

Palestinians when we look at the region

and the developments that are now

starting to

unfold is there potential that this

could expand into something much larger

than the region and just the Zionist

entity and the resistance

Coalition it is not advantage of the

Americans to see a large War because the

Americans will not know how this is

going to end moreover the Americans have

military bases in Iraq and Syria and

have other military bases spread around

West Asia they are setting ducks for the

missiles of the access of the resistance

in case they want to actively

participate overtly to the war they

already helping Israel in offering

ammunition intelligence 2,000 of the

Delta troop are in Tel Aviv and

experienced generals are working with

the Israeli generals so we understand

that the America is involved in this war

but will America be involved even more

than it is current involvement that's

another thing because then what's going

to happen with the presidential

elections is it going to be in favor of

the Democrat that are ruling today or is

going to be counterproductive when the

black bag with American soldiers Return

To America with soldiers killed by the

aess of the resistance if the Americans

want to participate to all the Israeli

attacks against Lebanon or Iraq or Syria

or even Iran so all these are still um

question marks because it is not in

advantage to for the Americans to see

the the war is growing this is why all

the American officials will be running

toward tan indirectly to mediate and

Lebanon to ask for deescalation but it's

not going to happen

because the Americans are partners with

the Israelis and the deescalation will

not teach the Israeli a lesson next time

they will say we found a very valuble

Target that is wanted by the US and by

Israel so we are doing you Washington a

favor by eliminating this target it's

not going to work like that because if

isra Israel is not stopped then it's

going to continue the killing and the

assassination and will go even further

and Beyond assassinating top commanders

but they will go to several top

commanders to kill simultaneously so so

it is time for Israel to be stopped but

without triggering a wider war and fall

into the hand of pami nety you're tuned

into special coverage here on radio 7861

100.4 FM this in light of the

assassination by the Zionist entity of

the poit bureau chief of Hamas isah in

the early hours of this morning in the

Iranian Capital tan we also uh currently

working on some breaking news that is

coming through concerning the fate of of

the hisbah leader and Commander fad

shukar who was of course targeted in an

Israeli air strike in the southern

suburbs of Beirut last night do stay

tuned as we will be keeping you up to

date as soon as we've got exact

confirmation on those details that are

coming out at this point in time Elijah

just looking at the fact that as we've

discussed here Benjamin Netanyahu has

been looking at this expansion we've

seen the performance of the Zionist

entities occupation forces in the Gaza

Strip and its failure to achieve any of

its goals since the launch of this

latest aggression against the

Palestinian people the question then is

how would this or how could any of this

end for the Zionist regime if it if

Benjamin netan does in fact get that

expansion of this conflict bringing in

Lebanon bringing in Iran bringing in

Yemen who will say that Israel is

attacked on different fronts and that

there is no way Israel is going to go

through uh a new or an early elections

which means securing his space and his

place as a prime minister until October

2026 until the war ends this is why he's

rejecting any deal with the Palestinian

in Gaza and every time there is a

delegation he sabotage the negotiation

and he introduces new elements so for

him it is important to widen the war and

it's important for him to continue as a

prime minister otherwise he will face

charges of Corruptions and he will be

accountable for the failure of

predicting the 7th of October and

protecting the Zionist settlers

MH Elijah I'd like to just turn our

attention now to the actual strike on is

Hanah that took place in the early hours

of this morning and of course if we look

at social media uh of course do not

adhering to the standards of Journalism

or the tests and the measures that we

put in place as journalists uh to verify

information but of course the conspiracy

theories are now starting and a

suggestion that Iran somehow may have

had a hand in this assassination now I'm

not trying to give any Credence to this

but you certainly do have information

relating to some of the details at least

of how Israel carried out this attack on

ishia first of all the Iranians have

been at war with Israel since February

1979 when the Islamic Republic invited

yaser Arafat and gave him the Israeli

Embassy and became the first Embassy of

Palestine in uh Iran and the same street

was called was called and still called

the street of

philistine uh secondly the Iranians do

not interfere in other countries Affairs

but they support the access of the

resistance when they ask for the support

and according to the Iranian

Constitution

15253 the Iranians are uh offering

themsel biding themsel to support all

the oppressed people around the world

and that is as Iran supported South

Africa against the appetite regime uh

Venezuela uh the Lebanese during the

1982 Invasion uh Syria when the West

NATO was planning for a kudeta turkey

when it was against a k of against

President erogan and Iraq when Isis was

in control of Iraq and Yemen when Yemen

needed support they are the people who

ask for the support when Yer Arafat went

and signed the deal the Oslo agreement

1993 and the OS to

1995 and he was promised to to be given

a state in

1999 Iran did not take a position of an

enemy against yaser Arafat on the

contrary Iran said I am willing to

support those who want to continue to

return their land from the oppressor and

in the year 2000 yaser Arafat realized

that he was uh cheated by the Americans

and that he will never get a state for

the Palestinians so he orchestrated the

second intifada and asked Iran to be to

supply him with weapons and the Karen a

ship was arrested by the Israelis while

they were shipping weapons to the

Palestinians so they continue their

struggles when part of the Palestinians

turned against President Bashar Al Assad

in Syria Iran did not turn its back to

the Palestinians and those who remain

directed toward the liberation of

Palestine continue receiving support

from Iran because they became an organic

part of Iran and Iran an organic part of

them so they are part of the National

Security of Iran that Iran cannot do

without them and they cannot do without

Iran and they are the Frontline

defending Iran and Iran is defending

them so killing isma Hani is

counterproductive for the access of the

resistance and is giving a false

tactical Victory to Benyamin Netanyahu

the butcher the killer who is considered

a war criminal by the

IC how would Iran imagine to go and help

eni n in killing isma Han who is the

political leader and who killing as all

the non-state actors they have a

horizontal leadership where where is one

leader that is removed or assassinated

another one will be appointed and this

is what is going to happen after Friday

when Han will be buried so it is only

people who have no intelligence about

how non-state actors operate and how

their leadership operate this is not the

first time that Hamas loses a leader

Ahmed Yin was killed in the past rantisi

was killed uh so many leaders uh ayash

was killed in 96 so so many leaders of

hamash were killed and military leaders

and spiritual leaders and hamash became

stronger so killing um SM Han

significantly as strategically speaking

it doesn't offer anything to Israel but

it offer a small tactical victory

therefore there is no point in saying

well Iran contributed or not in killing

a personage that is not going to make

any difference in the course of war

against the Zionist in Palestine and in

Lebanon indeed and that's the note on

which we will leave it for this evening

Elijah Mania a brussels-based Veteran

War correspondent also senior political

risk analyst with nearly 40 years of

experience in covering West Asia thank

you very much for having joined us here

on radio 786 on the special coverage

thank you for having me