$396K profit in ONE MONTH Day Trading… full breakdown

Umar Ashraf
13 Nov 202324:11

Summary

TLDRIn this trading recap video, the speaker details their $396,000 earnings from day trading in October, emphasizing the importance of focusing on 'R multiples' to measure performance relative to risk rather than just profits. They review their trading strategies, discuss their best and worst trades, and share insights on market themes, win-loss ratios, and the significance of having a process-driven approach to trading for consistent improvement.

Takeaways

  • 📈 The trader made $396,000 in October through day trading, emphasizing that the absolute profit figure is less important than the risk-adjusted performance measured by R multiples.
  • 📊 The focus should be on R multiples, which represent the ratio of profit to risk in a trade, rather than just the profit amount, as it accounts for different account sizes and risk tolerances.
  • 🎯 The trader achieved an R multiple of 61 for the month, indicating a strong performance relative to the risk taken, which is a key metric for evaluating trading success.
  • 🤔 The trader had a win-to-loss ratio of 2.11, suggesting that for every dollar lost, two dollars were made, but acknowledges that this ratio needs improvement for better consistency.
  • 📉 Despite a high win percentage, the trader experienced a significant loss on one day, highlighting the importance of not being biased and being able to adapt to market conditions.
  • 📝 The trader's best setups were identified as continuation selloffs, which were particularly effective during the bearish market theme in October.
  • 🗓️ The trader was selective with trades, allowing the market to come to them and not rushing into positions, which contributed to the high win percentage.
  • 🕒 The trader increased their time horizon, allowing trades to develop beyond the market open and capitalize on opportunities that presented themselves later in the day.
  • 📉 The trader's largest loss came from being biased on market direction and not adapting when the market moved against their position, resulting in a loss of nearly $30,000.
  • 📝 The importance of having a pre-market game plan and being able to read market cues is stressed, as it helps in executing trades effectively and avoiding potential pitfalls.
  • 🔑 The trader advises focusing on the trading process rather than just the P&L, as a disciplined approach to the process will naturally lead to better P&L outcomes over time.

Q & A

  • What was the speaker's total earnings from day trading in October?

    -The speaker made $396,000 from day trading in the month of October.

  • What is the significance of the 'R multiple' in trading performance according to the speaker?

    -The 'R multiple' is significant as it measures the performance in terms of the risk taken. It represents the ratio of the profit made to the amount risked on a trade, which is a more relevant measure of performance regardless of different account sizes and risk tolerances.

  • What does the speaker emphasize as the only number that matters in terms of performance?

    -The speaker emphasizes that the 'R multiple' is the only number that matters in terms of performance, rather than the absolute profit figures.

  • What was the speaker's R multiple for the month of October?

    -The speaker's R multiple for October was 61, meaning they made 61 times what they risked during the month.

  • What is the speaker's view on the importance of win-to-loss ratio for traders?

    -The speaker believes that the win-to-loss ratio is important for traders to understand how much each winning trade makes compared to each losing trade, and it should be a focus for improvement.

  • What was the speaker's win-to-loss ratio for October?

    -The speaker had a win-to-loss ratio of 2.11 for October, indicating that for every $1 lost, they made $2.11 on average.

  • How did the speaker's win percentage in October compare to their typical performance?

    -The speaker's win percentage in October was one of their best of the year, typically ranging between 40-60%, and in October, they were green every day except for one, where they had a significant loss.

  • What trading strategy did the speaker find particularly successful during October?

    -The speaker found the 'continuation selloff' strategy particularly successful during October, capitalizing on the bearish market theme.

  • What was the speaker's biggest trading loss in October, and what led to it?

    -The speaker's biggest trading loss in October was close to $30,000, which occurred because they were biased and did not adapt to the market's strong rally on the 23rd.

  • What advice does the speaker give for traders to improve their performance?

    -The speaker advises traders to focus on their trading process rather than their P&L, to recap trades regularly, and to have a process-driven system that they follow each day.

  • What does the speaker suggest as the last metric to review in one's trading performance?

    -The speaker suggests that P&L should be the last metric to review in one's trading performance, emphasizing the importance of focusing on the process and execution of trades.

Outlines

00:00

📈 Month of October Trading Recap

The speaker reflects on their October trading performance, emphasizing the importance of focusing on the R multiple, which measures the risk-to-reward ratio of trades, rather than the absolute profit figures. They discuss the significance of the R multiple in evaluating performance across different account sizes and risk tolerances. The speaker also introduces their overall performance metrics for the month, including a high win percentage and an R multiple of 61, and sets the stage for a detailed breakdown of their trades and strategies.

05:01

📉 Trading Performance Analysis and Market Themes

This paragraph delves into the speaker's trading performance, highlighting a bearish market theme in October and their ability to capitalize on this trend. The speaker reviews their win-to-loss ratio, which indicates a need for improvement, and their win percentage, which was one of the best of the year. They also discuss the importance of being selective with trades and allowing them to run beyond the planned R multiple, leading to significant profits on certain days. The speaker acknowledges a single day of significant losses due to market bias and the challenges it presented.

10:02

📝 Trade Execution and Setups Review

The speaker provides an in-depth look at their trading setups and execution, focusing on a continuation selloff strategy that was particularly successful. They describe the criteria for this strategy, including market gaps, key level consolidations, and weak imbalances that signal continued selling pressure. The speaker shares specific examples of trades that resulted in substantial profits, emphasizing the importance of market recognition and the ability to adapt to market movements for successful trading.

15:04

📉 Overcoming Bias and Market Adaptation

In this paragraph, the speaker discusses the challenges of overcoming personal biases and the importance of adapting to market conditions. They admit to missing out on trades due to preconceived notions about market direction and the difficulty this caused in recognizing opportunities in the opposite direction. The speaker also revisits the need to improve the win-to-loss ratio and the impact it can have on profitability, even with a strong win percentage.

20:05

📊 Trading Insights and Process-Driven Approach

The speaker concludes with a focus on the importance of tracking setups, identifying trading strengths and weaknesses, and having a process-driven approach to trading. They share insights on specific trades, including an exhaustion reversal strategy used in response to market overreactions. The speaker advises viewers to shift their mindset from focusing on P&L to focusing on performance metrics like R multiple and win-to-loss ratio. They encourage traders to develop a systematic approach to reviewing and improving their trading process.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Day Trading

Day trading refers to the practice of buying and selling financial instruments within the same trading day. It is a short-term trading strategy that aims to capitalize on small price movements, often using leverage. In the video, the speaker discusses their experience with day trading in October, highlighting the trades they took and the profits they made.

💡R Multiple

The R multiple is a performance metric used in trading to measure the return on a trade relative to the risk taken. It is calculated by dividing the profit or loss of a trade by the amount risked. The speaker emphasizes the importance of focusing on R multiple rather than absolute profit figures, as it accounts for the risk size and provides a more accurate measure of trading performance.

💡Win-Loss Ratio

The win-loss ratio is a measure of the average profit per winning trade compared to the average loss per losing trade. A higher ratio indicates that the trader is making more on average when they win compared to when they lose. The speaker mentions their win-loss ratio of 2.11, indicating that for every dollar lost, they made two dollars on average on winning trades.

💡Risk Management

Risk management in trading involves the process of identifying, analyzing, and accepting or mitigating uncertainty in investment decisions. The speaker discusses the importance of risk management by emphasizing the R multiple as a key performance indicator and by sharing their experiences with different levels of risk in various trades.

💡Trade Setups

A trade setup refers to the specific conditions or patterns that a trader looks for before entering a trade. The speaker breaks down their successful trade setups during the month, such as the continuation selloff, which is a strategy based on the market's trend and specific market conditions that they identified and capitalized on.

💡Market Theme

The market theme refers to the overarching sentiment or trend in the market over a certain period. In the video, the speaker describes the market theme in October as extremely bearish, which influenced their trading decisions and setups, allowing them to capitalize on the selloff.

💡Performance Analysis

Performance analysis in trading involves reviewing and evaluating the outcomes of trades to understand the effectiveness of one's trading strategy. The speaker provides a detailed analysis of their performance over the month, focusing on metrics like R multiple and win-loss ratio, rather than just profit and loss figures.

💡Execution

In trading, execution refers to the process of carrying out a trade according to a plan or strategy. The speaker reflects on their execution during the month, noting instances where they were able to effectively capitalize on market conditions and times when they could have improved their entry or exit strategies.

💡Bias

Bias in trading is a preconceived notion or opinion about the direction of the market that can influence trading decisions. The speaker discusses the impact of having a bias on their trading, mentioning how it led to missed opportunities and a significant loss on one particular day.

💡Continuation Selloff

A continuation selloff is a trading setup where a trader expects the market to continue its downward trend after a gap down or a strong selling pressure. The speaker describes using this setup effectively during the month, providing examples of trades where they profited significantly by shorting the market after recognizing a continuation selloff pattern.

💡Recap

Recapping in the context of trading refers to the process of reviewing past trades to learn from them and improve future performance. The speaker emphasizes the importance of recapping trades, discussing what they did well and what they need to improve, as a key part of their trading process.

Highlights

Made $396,000 day trading in October and aims to break down the trades and process.

Emphasizes the irrelevance of the total profit figure and the importance of 'R multiple' as a performance metric.

R multiple is the ratio of profit to risk, providing a standardized measure of trading performance.

October's trading performance was evaluated with a 61R, meaning 61 times the risked amount was made.

Discusses the need to improve the win-to-loss ratio, which was 2.11 for the month.

October had one of the best win percentages of the year, but it's not typical and can vary.

Every trading day in October was profitable, except for one day with a significant loss.

16 trading days with 35 trades, focusing on best setups in a bearish market theme.

Continuation selloff setups were particularly successful during the month.

Reflects on the importance of market reads and capitalizing on market movements.

Shares insights on being selective with trades and allowing them to run beyond planned R multiples.

Mentions the importance of having a process-driven system and focusing on the process rather than P&L.

Provides examples of trades, including entries, exits, and the thought process behind them.

Discusses the impact of bias on trading decisions and the importance of being adaptable.

Shares personal notes on what was done well and areas for improvement in trading.

Advises traders to recap trades regularly, focusing on performance metrics over P&L.

Encourages traders to develop scenarios for each trading day to be prepared for various market outcomes.

Concludes with advice to take trading seriously, recap trades, and focus on process improvement.

Transcripts

play00:01

$396,000 is what I made day trading in

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the month of October and in this video I

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want to break down exactly what trades

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I've taken what my trade process was

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what days I traded what the best setups

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were what are things I did great and

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what are things I did bad I just want to

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walk you through a whole trading month

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and just give you guys an insight to my

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performance so with that being said

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let's dive into it now first and

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foremost for all the naysayers that are

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new here here is my broker statement and

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as you guys can see

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$396,000 from October 1st to November

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1st just to kind of get that out there

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right now with that let's dive into

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these trades now one thing I want to be

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crystal clear on is that I know I was

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talking about this number of

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$396,000 and I know when people see this

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number this is what they focus on now

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what I want you all to understand and

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what I want every single person watching

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to realize is that this number does not

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matter this number is irrelevant the

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only number that matters in terms of

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performance is this R multiple right so

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when I come in here what is the r

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multiple of that day what is the r

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multiple of that week of that month the

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reason that's the only number that

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matters is because we are all trading

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with different risk size different

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account size we have a different

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approach to the market just from the

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risk side right forget what our approach

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is from Traders and so on but from a

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risk perspective we are all risking

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different percentages uh we all have

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different account sizes as mentioned but

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what we can look at to analyze

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performance is R multiple now what is r

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multiple is R multiple is basically if

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I'm risking $200 on a trade and let's

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just say I make

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$600 R multiple is saying my R multiple

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on that trade was 3 R meaning I made

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three times what I risked on the trade

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now some people might see a 600 $100 day

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some people might see a $60,000 day now

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what they're both contingent on is what

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the underlying risk was both of these

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people could have risked a different

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amount which is why we want to always

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focus on the r multiple so if I have a

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day or a month where I make $660,000 but

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I've essentially risked let's say 30,000

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to make that 60 right my R multiple is a

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two meaning I made twice my risk amount

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if someone has a profitable trade of

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5,000 and they risked 1,000 their R

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multiple is five okay that's why this is

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the number I want every single person to

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focus on this is a number when you guys

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are evaluating your days your weeks this

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is what you should focus on now going

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into my trading performance yeah it's

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cool 396,000 which is once again what

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everyone is going to be focused on but I

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want to once again focus on this R point

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61r is what I made made on the month so

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I made 61 times what I risked if we take

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this number out we could maybe look look

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to see that hey I probably made $10,000

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if I made $10,000 I made 61 times what I

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risked whatever that risk amount comes

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to maybe I made $30,000 I made 61 times

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what I risked in terms of R now going on

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to each and every single day if we look

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at some days I you know made or lost 3.6

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R so I could have been risking or let's

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say risking $1,000 here right if I

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risked $1,000 here I lost about

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$3,600 right if I was risking $1,000 I

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lost about $36,000 so if we go into this

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day and we take a look right I lost

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$29,000 right and obviously the amount I

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risked was about $10,000 but I ended up

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losing a lot more than what my R was

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same thing if I go into one of these

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days I have a 2 R I have a three R I

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have a seven R I made seven times what I

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risked okay so now recapping my month

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some of the stats we want to go over

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went over these let's go over my win to

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loss ratio right that is something that

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I know needs Improvement right I had a

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2.11 win loss ratio and this is also a

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number that I believe every Trader

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should be focused on uh just to kind of

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understand how much is each winner

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making and how much is each loser making

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so if my average win to loss is a 2.11

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if I'm losing $1,000 per trade I'm

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making $2,000 per trade this is pretty

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good right OB if we can get this number

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higher and we can have a bigger

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discrepancy between this number that'll

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give us more comfortability uh I did

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have a good win percentage now one thing

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I do want to focus on is this has been

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one of my best win percentages of the

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Year I'll typically have a 40 to 60% win

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percentage uh sometimes 40% and and I'm

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able to be profitable uh this was one

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month that obviously trades just came to

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me came to me a lot better and not every

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month is also like this so I also want

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to point that out day win percentage

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essentially I was green every day which

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is once again not the case I had one

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losing day where I lost roughly about

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$299,000 in that one particular day okay

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now when I'm basically recapping my

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months as mentioned these are some of

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the stats I'm looking at just in terms

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of uh performance how is my performance

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what is my R multiple and so on now just

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to recap this day this month I had 16

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trading days uh 35 trades uh what were

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my best setups and go through some of my

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setups and my setups guys are always

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contingent on the theme of the market so

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October as you guys have probably seen

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the theme of the market was extremely

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bearish right start October off with a

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little bit of a sell-off quick bounce

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the first week and then a massive

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selloff afterwards so because of this

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selloff and because I was able to

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recognize this selloff I was able to I

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was able to capitalize on that movement

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right so once again these are some of

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the three setups that I have that are

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that did really really well so if I go

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into to my playbook and let's say I just

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look through some of my setups here uh

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some setups I have continuation selloff

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did really really well on this I'll go

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through some of the trades here about

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236k most likely just on the year on

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that setup uh some days I'm going to

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break down for you guys in the bit and

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then here are my notes for the month

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right so things I did well so every

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every month or and every week I like to

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go through things I did well things I

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did bad so these are some of the things

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I did very well this month I was able to

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cap capitalized on the market read

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pretty well so meaning how the market

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was able to sell off I was able to

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capitalize on that so if you look at the

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p&l aspect as you guys can see pretty

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strong start I had a strong start around

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11 12th I kind of got a little bit shaky

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13th I didn't go in with a lot of risk

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so this week of 11 12 13 when we come

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here right 11 12 13 I'm kind of confused

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on what the market direction is and then

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the next week is where I got really

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really comfortable or a little bit more

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comfortable as you guys can see to take

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on trades same thing again 18th 19th uh

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missed out on some days uh wasn't sure

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if we're going to see a continuation

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selloff same thing on the 19th even

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though in the 19th I think was a pretty

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good day and now where my trading really

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picked off right and I'll show you these

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days are the 25th 26th and 27th so let

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me go to the 25th 26th and 27th are the

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days where I was able to make a lot of

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my trading p&l for the month right and

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the reason for that is because I had one

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setup that typically happen all three

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days and I'll show you guys that in a

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bit and I was able to maximize on that

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setup consistently right but just

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putting the dollar value aside again and

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going to these three days and looking at

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the r multiple one day 4 R 8 R 10 R this

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day I rised whatever I risked and I made

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about 60 Grand where whatever I rised I

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made 4.5 times that amount right same

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things this day whatever I made whatever

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I risked I made about eight times that

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risk amount and when we look at this

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trade about 64 ,000 about 169% and these

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big wins guys didn't start coming in

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until the end of the month right prior

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to the end of the month my biggest

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winning day was about 42k but the these

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three days I was able to make about

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close to 200 Grand in just three trading

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Days by capitalizing on a setup that the

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market presented and that's what I was

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talking about when I was going through

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things I did well I capitalized on the

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market read really well right I also

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allowed my trades to run and hit beyond

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my planned R and that's what happened on

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these three days my planed R was

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probably a 2 five maybe a three tops

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right but I was able to get a eight

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maybe a 10 in conjunction with the other

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two trades because these trades were

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Trend days and I'll talk about that in a

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bit I also executed well best winning

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percentage month of the year and I was

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very selective of my trades I liked how

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this month I was very calm I was

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selective I was letting the trades come

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to me I wasn't rushing them I've also

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increased my time Horizon so you'll see

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some of the trades that I've taken

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aren't on the open there're trades that

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are kind of like I'm letting the market

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formulate and and the market come to me

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and they're happening at 11:00 a.m.

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eastern time maybe 12:00 p.m. eastern

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time maybe even 1 p.m. where I'm

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allowing these trades to generate and

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continue the sell off right now things I

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need to improve after recapping uh

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someone became buy Som days I was able

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to read that but I was very biased

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before the day started and I was kind of

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stuck on oh man I think we're going to

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we're going to go lower or we're going

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to go higher and because the market

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started selling off it became really

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hard to read the updates even though I

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was able to capitalize on one or two of

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the updates right uh this led to my

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biggest trading loss of the month so the

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biggest trading loss I had which was

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close to 30

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grand uh it was because I was short on

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the 23rd and when we go to the 23rd we

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we gap down but we had a strong rally

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towards the upside right so I lost or

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had the biggest losing day of the month

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because I was biased right and then uh

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when we go into a few more notes uh

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being biased made it difficult for me to

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take an additional trade so a lot of

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times because I was biased the other

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direction of the trade that was there I

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wasn't able to capitalize on it my winto

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loss ratio needs work 2.11 isn't the

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best especially with my R and win

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percentage I had a pretty strong win

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percentage let's just get that clear

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this is not an average win percentage

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where I'm right 7 70% 80% of the time

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this is not normal just want to be super

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clear about that right so because I had

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a good win percentage if this win

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percentage was to go lower to let's say

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50% I would still be profitable but my

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p&l would take a drastic hit so this to

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me a lot of times I'm trying to be at

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the 2.5 to3 right I'm trying to make two

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and a half times to three times what my

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losers are right that puts me at a more

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comfortable state of being wrong more

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times and still being profitable and

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this means when I do take a loss it's

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bigger than it should be my strong win

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rate helped me here but a weak win rate

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would drastically impact my p&l as

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mentioned right so now let's go through

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some of the trades and let's go through

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some of the setups so here I am on my

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playbook section right uh let's go

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through some of these setups so one

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setup that I that did really well for me

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this month is my continuation selloff

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right so this is what I want to share

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with you guys so these three days where

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I was able to really capitalize on the

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market especially these two days guys

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the market presented the same exact

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opportunity and I want to show you guys

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that really quick took one trade that

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was it okay looking at this trade I'll

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show you my entries I'll show you my

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exits I'll show you all that stuff in a

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bit but let's go into my Daily Journal

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right so this is what happened on the

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25th and then I want to show you what

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happens the next day right so we have

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the 25th let's go on the 26th and let's

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look at that day too right let's look at

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both of these days let's just look at

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the charts just to get an idea of my

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continuation selloff so this is the

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first trade where I was able to make

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about $59,000 right now the trade I had

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here was a continuation selloff and in

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this continuation selloff when I do go

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to my playbook these are the following

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criterias I am looking for and these are

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the criterias that worked back to back

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right one what I typically look for is I

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look for some sort of strong selling

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happening around the open right we get

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some strong selling maybe we get a gap

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down into a key level so this is the

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25th right Wednesday 25th we gap down as

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we gap down we push right below

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yesterday's range we start consolidating

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and right when we consolidate of course

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after consolidation sometimes I am

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expecting some sort of reversal now if

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there is a reversal that is the key area

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I'm watching for and I'm watching that

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key area to see if this reversal has any

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strength behind it is it actually a

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strong move are we just going towards a

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liquidity area that I'm watching to

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maybe just kind of reject off the key

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Zone and then do we start selling off

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from there so all of these things are

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question marks so what do I do so a few

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things that I I look at when I am

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analyzing my trades uh I am looking at

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let me see if I have it here I am right

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here I am looking at a footprint chart

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to give me confirmation to show me are

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they trap buyers are they trap

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participants are they aggressive buyers

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aggressive sellers who is in control so

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I look at this a lot to get a good idea

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right but before I even get there I'm

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looking at the structure and the

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structure here is once we start going up

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to to this area we're hitting our key

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key zone right once we hit our key zone

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I'm seeing a downside structure which

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started off today and I'm seeing a weak

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imbalance what that means is I'm still

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seeing that sellers are in control no

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strong buyer has entered the market yet

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this leads me to have a continuation

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selloff meaning I'm looking for that

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continued play Maybe into new low of the

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day or maybe even a lower point which is

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4200 on that day so when I see that I am

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taking on a short position so when we

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see my short position on this right when

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we go to the

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25th right this is what I am essentially

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looking at so when I go to the 25th as

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you guys can see around 11:05 a.m. is

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where I take my short and right when I

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take my short at 11:05 a.m. I just rided

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towards the low of the day right so in

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terms of my risk I'm risking about

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$3,500 on this particular day I ended up

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making about $60,000 and I ended up

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making 4.4 R now a few things I want to

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show you about this trade which are

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which are pretty cool put about $38,000

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once again not typical trades these were

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Trend days on Trend days I because I'm

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trading options I'm looking for

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maximized returns don't happen every day

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but let's just say someone risked $1,000

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on a 4 r trade or 4.4 R trade you're

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looking at a 4500 return once again this

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is not happening every day this is

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happening on trending days especially

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when the market is selling off and for

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anyone that's not familiar I am trading

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options right second uh a few

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interesting things about this trade

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entry solid exit I left you know

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obviously I left some money on the table

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if we do look at it because I sold a

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little bit way too early if I held I

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would have made more money but my exit

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on these continuation sell-offs most of

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the time right are happening I am

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looking for the low of the day I don't

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want to get trapped in a low of the day

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where I start getting trapped and we

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start seeing a reversal now some things

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I could have done better and this is

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where recapping is really helpful is I

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wish I left some Runners if I left some

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Runners I could have possibly made more

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but once again making more is a concept

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in trading where sometimes I'll hit

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profit targets and if I I don't even

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want Runners just for the mental sake

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where I'm like you know what I've hit my

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profit Target I don't want to have the

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mental up and down of I could have or

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should have made whatever amount it is

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and I'll just take my full position off

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especially if I have a trade where I'm

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making a good percentage or I'm making a

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4 r or 5 R I'll take that R and I'll say

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you know what this R is big and this

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means more to me than giving some of it

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up so I'll take that trade now if you

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look at the structure of this trade and

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you look at the structure of everything

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that's happened here we're going to go

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to the next trade and I'll show you guys

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how a lot of times your setups

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especially when you're in tune with the

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market and you are recapping you are

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going through your trades and so on are

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very consistent right so if I go through

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the next day right guys look

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relatively we had a similar structure

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right this is the day

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before that I did really really well on

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right we gap down right Gap outside of

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yesterday's levels retrace into the key

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Zone same cell imbalance weakness right

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there continue to a new low right we

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look at this day same exact thing we gap

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down from yesterday's area once again

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not a massive Gap but we gap down we gap

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down below 4200 keyzone in es 4200 is a

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massive massive level we gap down right

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below that we open we get the morning

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kind of ShakeOut which I didn't trade

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and I wish I traded that right we get

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the morning ShakeOut right I don't you

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know obviously I didn't take the morning

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ShakeOut which I wish I did but I was

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patient and this is what I was talking

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about me being selective this month I

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was extremely selective on letting

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certain trades play out if I wasn't

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selective maybe I could have taken on

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more trades who knows if they would have

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worked or wouldn't have worked but I was

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just letting trade ideas formulate right

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so coming to this trade uh same exact

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thing we open gap down right from

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yesterday's area we start selling off we

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establish a bottom around 4170 4175 we

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establish a bottom we hang out at the

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bottom and we have a quick move into the

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opening price of

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4200 this is once again where I start

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looking for the following right going

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into my playbook did we hit the key

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level yes we did seeing a downside

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structure yes we are is there a weak

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imbalance yes there is because of these

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things I'm able to go and I'm able to

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take on my short position that I want to

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take on for this particular day and

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seeing seeing so allows me to capitalize

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on this particular trading day and when

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I go into this trading is action right

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guys can see same exact thing we go in

play18:40

at

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1055 we see the rejection hit the

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opening area I go short boom take the

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low of the day same thing here I didn't

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sell I didn't scale out I didn't get the

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perfect exit my entry I was happy about

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I didn't get the perfect exit it's okay

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I got the low of the day at that

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particular point and I will live with

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that when I say I live with that I'm

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talking about a8r trade meaning I risk

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$7500 of my Capital on this trade yes I

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put 30 thou

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$37,000 but in terms of r i risk $7,500

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these are trades that I'm really really

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happy about right now when we go to

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trades that I'm not happy about right I

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want to focus on one or two more days

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and I'll kind of take it from there

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right when we go into another trade that

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we've we've even had in

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in November and you know when I do my

play19:30

November recap I'll show you guys but

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this is another uh trade exhaustion

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reversal right we've been seeing this a

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lot especially when we're getting

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massive big down dayss or up days so

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just to kind of give you guys a theme

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right whenever we have a very aggressive

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sell-off in the market continuously

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there are days where I'm looking for a

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squeeze and you know in November we've

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had that already if you guys have seen

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November's uh market we've gotten a

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squeeze like three times right so this

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play I've taken in November to and I'll

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show you guys in the upcoming weeks too

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but this is basically where I'm seeing

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an exhaustion squeeze so this happened

play20:05

in the beginning of the month so just

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kind of walking you through some of the

play20:10

ideas so on the 6th of Friday uh of

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October 6th we had NFP we had non-farm

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payroll it came out at a key key level

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Market dumped right so if we go here we

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look at this Market dumps after we have

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non-farm payrolls we go to an exhaustion

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point and Market tends to hold so I want

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to show you guys what I mean by this so

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here's a chart just to take a look at

play20:35

this we have non-farm payroll right we

play20:38

have econom economic event for anyone

play20:39

that's not familiar Market gaps down

play20:42

after selling off from this level this

play20:43

is the level that market sold off from

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we open up and the interesting thing

play20:47

that happens here are buyers are able to

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maintain control the whole day and

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because buyers are able to maintain hold

play20:54

on the open that showcases that this was

play20:57

an overreaction move and during days

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like this especially when we've gapped

play21:01

down uh we've seen overreacted moves

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right we held the area pretty strong

play21:07

right passive buyers are stepping in and

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accumulating these areas over and over

play21:11

again and we're able to move with

play21:13

strength these days to me replicate a

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squeeze replicate a strong move to to

play21:19

the upside and that's exactly what we've

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seen in November so this is where guys

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tracking your setups tracking your days

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identifying the days you are trading

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well identifying the days you're not

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trading well is extremely important and

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one thing I I do and I I recommend

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everyone to do is before you start your

play21:35

trading day have scenarios for the day

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what are the scenarios maybe the market

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overreacting we recover after massive

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selloff maybe we get some short covering

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so I'm already looking for that recovery

play21:45

for this day I'm already looking for

play21:46

that exhaustion that's happening because

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hey we sold down over and over again

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during this time and I'm just looking

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for a reversal if the market gives me

play21:54

clues that's why tracking these things

play21:57

paying attention to these things things

play21:58

are extremely extremely important now

play22:00

just to leave you guys off with a few

play22:02

things just going over this once again

play22:05

guys when you guys are trading and just

play22:07

leave you with some advice don't look at

play22:10

pnls don't look at my p&l I I post these

play22:12

numbers and realistically I hate posting

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that I made this dollar amount but I

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understand that is what is going to get

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you guys to watch this video if I said

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hey I made $9,000 this month and let's

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say I did you guys don't care right but

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if I made $99,000 and I risked only

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$1,000 and I had a 9 month that is

play22:30

phenomenal so I want you guys to switch

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your mindset and start thinking in terms

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of R start thinking in terms of

play22:38

performance stop thinking in terms of

play22:40

p&l right every month when I go through

play22:43

my p&l my last metric is my p&l there's

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months where I have great p&l months and

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I've traded terribly and there's months

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that when I focus on the process of what

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is my winto loss ratio what is my R

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multiple what are my best setups am I

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executing my best setups you know

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effectively am I taking my trades in a

play23:04

good way am I being selective right do I

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have good pre-market game plans do I

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have good biases for the day do I have

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good reads in the market when I focus on

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this this allows my p&l and my results

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to be better than saying well I need to

play23:19

go and make a hundred grand like remove

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that so if you are going into November

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you are going into December you are

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going into the end of the year go and

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say let me start recapping my trades on

play23:30

a weekly basis and looking at areas I'm

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doing well areas I'm doing bad in and

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what I need to focus on in terms of my

play23:35

process and not my p&l if you do that

play23:38

for 6 months and so on you will see that

play23:41

week after week your trading starts

play23:44

improving because your p&l is a

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byproduct of your performance and your

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performance is what you need to focus on

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and your performance is not p&l it is

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your process that you follow each and

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every single day so with that being said

play23:58

I hope you guys enjoy this recap I hope

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you guys start taking your trading more

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seriously and you start recapping your

play24:04

trades and you have a process driven

play24:06

system with that being said I will see

play24:08

you guys on the next video thank you

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