Preparing For a BEAR Market!! Complete 101 Guide!! ๐Ÿป

Coin Bureau
22 Jun 202119:46

Summary

TLDRThe video discusses the uncertainty surrounding the crypto market, questioning whether a bear market is imminent or if the bull market is poised for a resurgence. It explains market cycles, the impact of human emotions, and macro factors like the debt cycle on asset prices. The presenter, Guy, predicts a potential bear market in mid-2022, influenced by the four-year crypto cycle and the bitcoin halving event. He outlines three bear market scenarios and offers strategies for preparation, including dollar-cost averaging and cautious market entry. The video is educational and not financial advice, encouraging viewers to consult professionals for personalized guidance.

Takeaways

  • ๐Ÿ“‰ The crypto market has been moving sideways since mid-May, with uncertainty about whether a bear market is imminent or if the bull market will rebound to new highs.
  • ๐Ÿ“š A bear market is part of the natural market cycle for assets and is characterized by a sustained long-term downtrend in price.
  • ๐Ÿง Human psychology and emotions like fear and greed are fundamental drivers of asset price fluctuations, affecting both fiat currencies and cryptocurrencies.
  • ๐Ÿš€ Cryptocurrencies are highly volatile due to the uncertainty about their true value and the potential they have to revolutionize financial systems.
  • ๐Ÿ”— Macro factors, including the debt cycle, have a significant impact on asset markets over the long term, influencing both bull and bear markets.
  • ๐ŸŒ The cryptocurrency market has shown a correlation with the stock market, suggesting that bear markets in these markets may occur concurrently.
  • ๐Ÿ”ฎ Predicting the exact timing and severity of a bear market is challenging, but historical patterns and economic indicators can provide some insights.
  • ๐Ÿ’ก Dollar-cost averaging is recommended for long-term investors in crypto, as it reduces the risk associated with market timing.
  • ๐Ÿ›‘ In a hyperinflation scenario, the value of cryptocurrencies in fiat terms may increase, but their purchasing power could decrease, affecting their utility as a store of wealth.
  • ๐ŸŒ A potential global depression could lead to a prolonged bear market in cryptocurrencies, emphasizing the importance of being prepared for various economic scenarios.
  • ๐Ÿ“ˆ Despite the risks of a bear market, cryptocurrencies have seen enough adoption to likely survive and may present opportunities for investors with a long-term perspective.

Q & A

  • What is the current sentiment in the crypto market according to the video?

    -The video suggests that there is uncertainty in the crypto market, with some believing we are on the brink of a bear market, while others think the bull market might recover and reach new highs.

  • What is the general pattern of asset market cycles as described in the video?

    -The video describes a market cycle that includes periods of booms and busts, influenced by human psychology and emotions such as fear and greed, which cause prices to fluctuate.

  • Why are cryptocurrencies considered more volatile than fiat currencies?

    -Cryptocurrencies are more volatile because their value is not as clearly defined and understood as fiat currencies, leading to larger fluctuations in price due to speculation and mixed perceptions about their worth.

  • What is the role of the debt cycle in influencing asset market trends?

    -The debt cycle, as explained by Ray Dalio, is a significant macro factor that influences market trends. It consists of short-term and long-term cycles, where borrowing leads to economic growth and bull markets, while debt repayment leads to spending reductions and bear markets.

  • How does the cryptocurrency market's four-year cycle relate to Bitcoin halving?

    -The cryptocurrency market follows a four-year cycle that correlates with Bitcoin halving, which occurs every four years. This event reduces the amount of newly mined BTC by 50%, leading to a reduction in supply and typically an increase in price.

  • What are the potential bear market scenarios for cryptocurrencies discussed in the video?

    -The video discusses three potential bear market scenarios: a regular bear market, a hyperinflation bear market, and a depression bear market, each with different impacts on the value and utility of cryptocurrencies.

  • How can one prepare for a regular cryptocurrency bear market according to the video?

    -The video suggests that long-term investors should consider holding their positions and using dollar-cost averaging to add to their holdings during a regular bear market.

  • What is the concept of 'bull traps' in the context of cryptocurrency markets?

    -Bull traps refer to short-term price spikes that may give the false impression of a market recovery, only for the prices to continue their downward trend. Filtering out bull traps can be achieved by observing the market on a monthly scale to identify true trend reversals.

  • What is the potential impact of hyperinflation on cryptocurrencies?

    -In a hyperinflation scenario, while the nominal value of cryptocurrencies might increase, their purchasing power could decrease. People may not use them as mediums of exchange if they are hoarded as stores of wealth.

  • How might a global depression affect the cryptocurrency market?

    -A global depression could lead to a prolonged bear market for cryptocurrencies, as people tend to focus on acquiring essentials for survival and items that provide relief, which cryptocurrencies do not typically offer.

  • What are some of the assets that tend to hold their value during a depression according to the video?

    -The video mentions that during a depression, assets such as shelter, energy, clothing, food, water, alcohol, cigarettes made of various plants, news media, and entertainment like movies and TV tend to hold their value.

  • What is the speaker's personal stance on holding Bitcoin through different bear market scenarios?

    -The speaker expresses a personal commitment to holding onto their Bitcoin regardless of the bear market scenario, suggesting a belief in its long-term value.

Outlines

00:00

๐Ÿป Crypto Bear Market Speculations and Market Cycles

The paragraph discusses the uncertainty surrounding the current state of the crypto market, with some suggesting a bear market is imminent while others believe the bull market may still surge. The speaker emphasizes the importance of understanding market cycles and the psychological factors that drive asset prices, such as fear and greed. They introduce the concept of the 'Wall Street Cheat Sheet' to illustrate the typical pattern of market cycles, and highlight the extreme volatility of cryptocurrencies compared to traditional assets. The paragraph also touches on the various perspectives on the value of cryptocurrencies and the influence of macroeconomic factors like the debt cycle on market trends.

05:01

๐Ÿ“ˆ Crypto Market Cycles and Economic Correlations

This section delves into the relationship between the debt cycle and market cycles, explaining how borrowing and spending can lead to bull markets, while debt repayment leads to bear markets. The speaker draws parallels between the historical cycles of the stock market and the emerging patterns in the cryptocurrency market, suggesting a correlation between the two. They also discuss the impact of institutional exposure on the crypto market since 2017 and predict that the next bear market for cryptocurrencies may align with the stock market's cycle, potentially occurring around mid-2022, based on the four-year cycle influenced by Bitcoin halving events.

10:02

๐Ÿ’ธ Preparing for Different Crypto Bear Market Scenarios

The speaker outlines potential scenarios for the upcoming crypto bear market, including a regular bear market, a hyperinflation bear market, and a depression bear market. They advise long-term investors to consider dollar-cost averaging and caution against trying to time the market. For those looking to trade, the speaker recommends using monthly charts to identify trend reversals and avoid 'bull traps.' The paragraph also discusses the complexities of valuing cryptocurrencies during periods of hyperinflation and the potential for a prolonged depression-like scenario, suggesting that cryptocurrencies may not serve as effective stores of value in such conditions.

15:03

๐ŸŒ Global Economic Factors and Crypto Market Outlook

In this paragraph, the speaker considers the broader economic factors that could influence the crypto market, such as the possibility of a global depression and the role of central bank digital currencies (CBDCs). They suggest that while cryptocurrencies have been adopted widely enough to survive various bear market scenarios, a hyperinflation bear market could be a strategic move for governments to transition to CBDCs. The speaker also expresses their personal strategy for navigating the bear market, emphasizing the importance of holding onto Bitcoin and being prepared for any scenario. They conclude by encouraging viewers to stay informed and engaged with the crypto market through various social media platforms and newsletters.

Mindmap

Keywords

๐Ÿ’กCrypto Bear Market

A crypto bear market refers to a period of declining prices in the cryptocurrency market, often characterized by investor pessimism and low market confidence. In the video, the concept is discussed in the context of market cycles and the potential for a bear market to occur in the future. The script mentions that while the bear market might not be here yet, it is on the horizon, indicating a need for preparedness.

๐Ÿ’กMarket Cycles

Market cycles are the natural fluctuations in the value of assets over time, typically involving periods of growth (bull markets) and decline (bear markets). The video script discusses the market cycles of cryptocurrencies, suggesting that each asset has its own cycle of booms and busts, which is crucial for understanding the broader economic trends that affect crypto valuations.

๐Ÿ’กHuman Psychology

Human psychology in the context of the video refers to the emotional factors such as fear and greed that influence the behavior of investors and, consequently, the short-term price movements of assets, including cryptocurrencies. The script highlights how these emotions play a significant role in market volatility and the fluctuation of asset prices.

๐Ÿ’กDebt Cycle

The debt cycle is a macroeconomic concept that describes the pattern of borrowing and lending that influences economic activity over time. The video mentions Ray Dalio's explanation of the debt cycle, which includes both short-term and long-term phases, and how it impacts the overall health and direction of financial markets, including the potential for a bear market in cryptocurrencies.

๐Ÿ’กBitcoin Halving

Bitcoin halving is an event that occurs approximately every four years, reducing the reward for mining new blocks in half. The video script explains that this event is believed to influence the cryptocurrency market cycle, often leading to a bull market as supply decreases and demand remains steady or increases.

๐Ÿ’กDollar Cost Averaging

Dollar cost averaging (DCA) is an investment strategy where an investor consistently buys a fixed dollar amount of a particular asset, regardless of its price. The video suggests that DCA is a statistically successful long-term investment strategy in the context of preparing for a bear market, as it reduces the impact of volatility on the overall investment.

๐Ÿ’กHyperinflation

Hyperinflation refers to a rapid and out-of-control increase in the money supply, leading to a sharp devaluation of the currency and a significant rise in prices. The video discusses the potential for a hyperinflation bear market, where cryptocurrencies might increase in nominal terms but decrease in purchasing power, affecting how investors should value and trade them.

๐Ÿ’กDepression Bear Market

A depression bear market is a severe and prolonged downturn in the economy that lasts for many years, often characterized by high unemployment and a decline in asset values. The script raises the possibility of the next crypto bear market being part of a global depression, which would have significant implications for investment strategies and market behavior.

๐Ÿ’กTechnical Analysis

Technical analysis is a method used by traders to forecast the future price movements of assets based on historical price data and chart patterns. The video mentions technical analysis in the context of trading cryptocurrencies, suggesting it as a tool for investors to learn and use to make informed decisions.

๐Ÿ’กCentral Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs)

CBDCs are digital forms of a country's legal tender, issued and regulated by the country's central bank. The video script speculates on the potential transition to CBDCs as a response to devaluation of cash due to hyperinflation, and how this might affect the role and adoption of cryptocurrencies as alternative forms of currency.

๐Ÿ’กInflation

Inflation is the rate at which the general level of prices for goods and services is rising, and subsequently, the purchasing power of currency is falling. The video discusses the impact of inflation on the valuation of cryptocurrencies, suggesting that while nominal prices may increase, the real value (purchasing power) of cryptocurrencies could be affected by broader economic trends.

Highlights

The crypto market has been moving sideways since mid-May, with uncertainty about whether a bear market is imminent or if the bull market will rebound to new highs.

A bear market is on the horizon for cryptocurrencies, but its exact timing remains unknown.

The importance of having a bullish bias in the current bull market, while also preparing for the inevitable bear market.

A disclaimer that the video is for educational and entertainment purposes only and not financial advice.

The Coin Bureau focuses on high-quality crypto content, minimizing hype and emphasizing the truth.

Cryptocurrency market cycles follow a pattern similar to the 'Wall Street Cheat Sheet', driven by human psychology and emotions.

Cryptocurrencies are highly volatile due to the uncertainty of their true value and the influence of human emotions.

Macro factors, such as the debt cycle, have a significant impact on asset markets in the long term.

Cryptocurrency market cycles show a correlation with the stock market, suggesting a potential bear market in mid-2022.

The cryptocurrency market follows a four-year cycle influenced by the Bitcoin halving event.

The possibility of a cryptocurrency market super cycle where cryptocurrencies replace the current financial system.

The potential for a hyperinflation bear market where cryptocurrencies' fiat value increases but purchasing power decreases.

Preparing for a regular bear market involves dollar-cost averaging and waiting for a clear trend reversal.

In a hyperinflation bear market, the focus should be on estimating cryptocurrencies' value relative to other needed assets.

The possibility of a depression bear market, which could last a decade and significantly impact the cryptocurrency market.

The importance of holding onto Bitcoin through various bear market scenarios, as a form of wealth preservation.

Transcripts

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the crypto bear market is here

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or at least that's what clickbait news

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headlines

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would have you believe it's no mystery

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that the crypto market has been moving

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sideways

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since mid-may and sometimes it does feel

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like we might be on the brink of another

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big

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crash that begins the bear market other

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times

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it seems like the bull market is about

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to spring back to its feet

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and sprint to new all-time highs it's

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wise to have

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a bullish bias in a bull market like

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this one but the truth is that a bear

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market

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is somewhere on the horizon although the

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bear market might not be here yet

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it will come eventually but when how

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will you know

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when we're in a bear market how can you

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prepare for it what even

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is a bear market now if these are the

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sorts of questions that have been

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bouncing around your brain then this

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video is

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for you

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i know you're eager to start but diving

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in without a disclaimer wouldn't be

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smart

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you need to know that i can't help you

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with your financial matters

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this video is just for your education

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and entertainment

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so if you need help with your money then

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please consult a financial planner

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if this is your first time here my name

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is guy and crypto

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is my career the coin bureau is where i

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create the highest quality crypto

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content you'll find

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anywhere on the internet coins tokens

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news and reviews

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i keep the hype to a minimum and focus

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on the truth

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as the saying goes knowledge is power so

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if you want to increase your power level

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subscribe to the channel and ping that

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notification bell to make sure you get

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this content on the hour

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your time is priceless which is why i've

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left timestamps in the video timeline

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so you can see today's topic list feel

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free to skip ahead if you see something

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that catches your eye

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remember though that watching the whole

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way through will make it easier for

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others to find

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now that we're on the same page let's

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get into the crypto market spare phase

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every single asset has its own market

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cycle of booms

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and busts while each asset's market

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cycle

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tends to vary in length and volatility

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all of them

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follow a similar pattern to this famous

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photo the so-called

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wall street cheat sheet as the photo

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suggests the fundamental

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reason why the price of an asset goes up

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and down in the short term

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has to do with human psychology

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specifically human emotions like

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fear and greed this is why even fiat

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currencies fluctuate in value

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every day they're not really stable it's

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just that the degree to which fiat

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currencies fluctuate

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is often small enough that they can be

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considered stable

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even then there's an entire foreign

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exchange market where traders make

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millions of dollars of percentage in

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point changes or

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pips in various fiat currencies that's

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one hundredth of one percent now by

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contrast

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cryptocurrencies can change in value by

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hundreds and sometimes

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thousands of percentage points per day

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this puts them

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on the opposite end of the asset

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volatility spectrum

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the reason why cryptocurrencies are so

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volatile is because nobody knows for

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sure

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what they're actually worth take a

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cryptocurrency like ethereum for example

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ethereum makes it possible to do things

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like lend borrow

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and save money without a middleman like

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a bank and all you need

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is an internet connection to access

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these services

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there's even something called a flash

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loan that lets you borrow over 20

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billion dollars of cryptocurrency for 15

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seconds

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with zero collateral and zero risk you

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just need to pay a small network

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fee now what kind of price tag do you

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put on a technology like that

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some would argue that cryptocurrencies

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are worth more than all the money in the

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world since they exist

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to replace the financial system others

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say

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that cryptocurrencies should be worth at

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least as much as their real world

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equivalents

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as they slowly take on similar roles in

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certain regions of the world

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a few still insist that cryptocurrencies

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are nothing more than a ponzi scheme

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and to be fair some cryptocurrencies are

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nothing short of that these mixed

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messages

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result in mixed emotions for the average

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trader who typically

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buys and sells cryptocurrencies based on

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how they feel

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this is actually the basis of technical

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analysis trading

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and you can start learning about it by

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watching my first

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technical analysis tutorial using the

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link up there

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in the top right besides human emotions

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there are also macro factors at play

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which influence the ebb and flow of any

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given asset market

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these tend to have a much larger impact

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in the long term

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according to famous hedge fund manager

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ray dalio the most

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important macro market factor is

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something called the debt cycle

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this debt cycle is broken down into two

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phases

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a short-term debt cycle which lasts five

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to eight years

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and ends in a recession and a long-term

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debt cycle which lasts 75 to 100 years

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and ends in a depression i'll leave a

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link to rey's own explanation of the

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debt cycle in the video description if

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you're interested but the tldr

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is basically this borrowing money

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creates economic growth

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in the short term individuals typically

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use borrowed money to buy more stuff

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corporations use it to create more stuff

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and governments use it to fund more

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programs this creates a bull market for

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most asset classes

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a sustained long-term uptrend in price

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higher highs lower lows all that fun

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stuff

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eventually that debt piles up and all

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these individuals corporations and

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governments need to start

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paying off some of that debt this

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requires a reduction

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in spending this reduction in spending

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means that individuals buy less stuff

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corporations

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make less stuff and governments cut back

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on their

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programs this creates a bear market for

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most asset classes

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a sustained long-term downtrend in price

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lower lows lower highs definitely not

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the fun stuff if you look at the price

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history of a big stock market index like

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the s p

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500 you can clearly see this debt cycle

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in action

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from 1997 to 2002 from 2002 to 2009

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from 2009 to 2016 and

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from 2016 to whenever this cycle ends

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note that i'm counting the end of each

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cycle from the start of each bear market

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not the bull market peak what's

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interesting is that when you compare

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cryptocurrencies previous market cycles

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to the stock market you can see

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a surprising degree of correlation in

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other words

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whenever the crypto market was reaching

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its highs chances are the stock market

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was doing something similar and vice

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versa

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now this makes sense because we live in

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a globalized world where all assets are

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linked in some way

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even more so for cryptocurrency since

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2017

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when the institutions got exposure via

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bitcoin's cme futures

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case in point bitcoin hit its highest

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correlation to the stock market

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last year now why does this matter

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well it means that the cryptocurrency

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market will probably see its bear market

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around the same time the stock market

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does

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the stock market's price history

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suggests this will be sometime in mid

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2022 and this happens to correspond to

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what cryptocurrency's

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own market cycle is signaling

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as most of you will know by now the

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cryptocurrency market follows a

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four-year cycle that seems to be caused

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by the bitcoin halving which

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surprise surprise occurs every four

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years

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the halving reduces the amount of newly

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mined btc

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by 50 and this reduction in supply

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coupled with a gradual increase in

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demand means

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btc goes up in price because almost

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every cryptocurrency is correlated to

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bitcoin

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the rest of the market responds in kind

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the last bitcoin halving took place in

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may last year and

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assuming history repeats itself this

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means the top of this bull market will

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happen sometime

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this summer or in the early fall if you

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want an in-depth video of how to spot

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the top of this crypto market you can

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watch my video about that

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using the link up there in the top right

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anyways after the crypto market top we

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will see a big

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crash and then about a year of gradual

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price decline

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until we hit the bottom of this current

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cycle to clarify

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this decline is the start of the bear

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market and the bear market bottom

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should be sometime in the summer or fall

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of 2022

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there are just two caveats here firstly

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there is a chance that this

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cryptocurrency bull market continues

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indefinitely into the future

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as all the cryptocurrency coins tokens

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and technologies

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swoop in to replace the current

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financial system

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this is called the cryptocurrency market

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super cycle and even though it is

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possible

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it's not very plausible this is simply

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because it's logistically impossible to

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accomplish something like this

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in such a short period of time the

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adoption of cryptocurrencies

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has been and will continue to be a

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gradual process with lots of hurdles and

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red tape

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that said cryptocurrencies could see a

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super cycle in fiat terms because of

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hyperinflation

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this is arguably more likely than an

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adoption-driven super cycle

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governments around the world have been

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printing currency like mad

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and the inflationary effects of this are

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only just beginning to surface

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the thing is that just because the

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prices of bitcoin and ethereum are in

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the hundreds of millions of dollars in

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paper terms

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it doesn't necessarily mean that the

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purchasing power of btc or eth has gone

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up

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bitcoin and ethereum could technically

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be in a bear market but still be

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increasing

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in nominal terms just because the value

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of money is going down

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due to inflation this inflationary

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effect has probably played a role in the

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so-called bubbles in housing stocks and

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cryptocurrencies we're supposedly seeing

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i'll leave a link to my video about

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inflation in the video description if

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you want to learn more about that and i

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recommend you check it out when you get

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a chance

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the second caveat involves the

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possibility that the next crypto bear

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market will last

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a lot longer than a year or two as i

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mentioned earlier the long-term debt

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cycle lasts between 75

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and 100 years assuming this model is

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correct

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a depression could be around the corner

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this is because the last depression took

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place in the 1930s which was around

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90 years ago some economists have argued

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we are in a depression

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already because of the pandemic others

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insist

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that the depression should have happened

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in 2008 but the governments have managed

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to keep kicking that can down the road

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by printing money like mad a few even

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believe

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that there will never be a depression

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again because of our magical

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modern monetary policy when the

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depression

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inevitably happens history suggests that

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it could last as long as a decade

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again the next depression could be many

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years away and there's no guarantee

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it will happen but this is something you

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need to keep in mind

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when planning for the next crypto bear

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market

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on that note let's take a look at how

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you can prepare

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for these different bear market

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scenarios

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to quickly recap there are three

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possible crypto bear market scenarios

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a regular bear market a hyper inflation

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bear market

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and a depression bear market regarding a

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regular bear market i'll start by saying

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that if you're in crypto for the long

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run you're better off huddling what you

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have and adding to your position

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on a regular basis this is called dollar

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cost averaging

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and it is statistically the most

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successful

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long-term investment strategy regardless

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of the asset

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if you're looking to ride the wave the

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first thing you need to understand

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is that it is extremely unlikely that

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you will buy the absolute bottom

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of the next bear market where that

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bottom will be

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is anyone's guess and my personal guess

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is that the bear market bottom

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will be somewhere in the 20 to 30k range

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assuming we have

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a regular bear market on the way down to

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the bottom of the bear market we're

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going to see a series of bull traps

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this is where the price suddenly spikes

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in the short term before continuing its

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collapse

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the easiest way to filter out these bull

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traps is to set the price chart to

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monthly

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this will give you a better view of the

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longer term price trend

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in terms of entry what you'll be looking

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for is a clear trend reversal

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now using bitcoin's previous bear market

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as an example this was around the six

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thousand dollar mark in may 2019

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note that i'm now on the weekly chart

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while it would have been ideal to get in

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at the 3 000

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range there's no way of knowing if that

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was really the bottom

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and you'll be kicking yourself if you go

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all in at that price

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and it keeps dropping it's better to be

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on the safe side

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and wait for that reversal especially if

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we're dealing

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with the other two bear market scenarios

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in a hyper inflation bear market the

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price of cryptocurrencies will probably

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go through the roof

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but their purchasing power will decrease

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this might sound surprising because it's

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often said that assets like bitcoin and

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gold

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thrive under these inflationary

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conditions apparently

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this is not all that accurate a

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financial youtuber called starpath

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academy recently made a series of videos

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about the value of precious metals

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during the hyperinflationary period in

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romania in the 1990s

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at the time the annual inflation rate of

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the romanian lay

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was well over 100 percent and even went

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over 200 percent for two straight years

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gold and silver were not used as mediums

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of exchange and this was primarily

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because

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most people didn't have any gold or

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silver

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those that did hold gold and silver

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understood that precious metals are the

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best way to store your wealth long term

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so it was often the last thing they sold

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this ties into something called

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gresham's law which states that people

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generally use the least valuable form of

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money they have

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to buy things with anyways the practical

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effects of this precious metal hoarding

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meant that whenever someone did sell

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gold or silver

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this meant they had nothing left to sell

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the person buying could therefore offer

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a much lower price than what the gold or

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silver was really worth

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because the seller was desperate now

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this consequently crashed the value of

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gold and silver relative to other assets

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that were used as currency in romania at

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the time

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such as food livestock building

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materials and tools

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what this means is that if we enter some

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sort of bear market hyperinflationary

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period

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the last thing you'll want to do is buy

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or sell your cryptocurrencies

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based on their fiat value instead you'll

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have to do your best to estimate

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how much value your cryptocurrencies

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have relative to other assets

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that you actually need or want and buy

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and sell your crypto

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based on that information by that point

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i reckon you'll have bigger concerns

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than buying the bear market bottom and

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this will probably also be the case

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with the third bear market scenario

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if the next cryptocurrency bear market

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ends up being part of a global

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depression

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it will make for an amazing dollar cost

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averaging opportunity

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assuming you have the funds to spare of

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course the problem with spotting

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depressions

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is that you don't know you're in one

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until much later

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typically they start off like a regular

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recession slash bear market

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and that means a big old crash and lots

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of lost

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jobs although the crypto market hasn't

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gone through a depression before

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history suggests that it won't hold up

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too well and the price

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could continue to drop for years

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this is because people tend to buy two

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types of things

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during depressions the things that they

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need to survive

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and things that take the edge off

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cryptocurrencies don't fall into either

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of these categories

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the things that do fall into these

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categories are shelter

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energy clothing food water and

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interestingly alcohol cigarettes made of

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various plants

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news media and even entertainment like

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movies and tv

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all the companies that provided these

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much needed outlets during such

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stressful

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times fared pretty well during the great

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depression and some of them

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even managed to grow during this period

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the only cryptocurrencies that could

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potentially provide the same outlet are

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those that power virtual worlds like

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decentraland and those that are used in

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esport

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and video games like engine coin now

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something tells me that people won't be

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too eager to spend their limited funds

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on some sort of in-game nfts

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but i could totally see people gambling

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their crypto in decentraland during the

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next depression

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you can learn more about decentraland by

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watching my video about it

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and you already know where to find that

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link yes you do yeah well

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top right if you forgot

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the thought of a crypto bear market

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might make you worry but it's a normal

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and necessary part of every assets

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market cycle

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this is easy to forget when you're used

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to seeing your favorite cryptos

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consistently go up by double digits

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on a weekly basis the last month of

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choppy price action

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might make you feel like the bear market

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is here but the global

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and crypto macro economic factors

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suggest that this is not the case

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assets are continuing to rally across

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the board and even though there is

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some volatility in the short term the

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long term

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upward trend continues what comes up

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must come down though and 2022 seems to

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be the year

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when that decline begins the real

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question

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is how hard the next spare market will

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be on cryptocurrencies

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the good news is that cryptocurrencies

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have seen enough adoption

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that they are likely to survive every

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type of bear market scenario on the

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table

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a regular bear market would be ideal but

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i have a gut feeling that we might end

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up with one of the more severe bear

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market scenarios

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i lean towards a hyperinflation bear

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market because it would be a convenient

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way

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for governments around the world to

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transition their populations

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to central bank digital currencies

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governments probably know they can't

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convince their citizens to give up their

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cash

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but they can devalue it to the point

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that people start looking

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for alternative forms of currency you

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could argue that cryptocurrencies would

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fill this void but the fact of the

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matter is

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that there is no cryptocurrency on the

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market today that is ready to become the

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planet's payment network

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now for what it's worth i'd much rather

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have a dystopian cbdc than a world war

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which seems to be what ended the last

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depression

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no matter what happens though i plan to

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hold on to my bitcoin for dear life

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with some luck i'll have enough stashed

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away to deal with whatever bear market

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scenario comes my way

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if you learned something new today smash

play18:43

that like button to make my day

play18:46

subscribing to the channel and pinging

play18:47

that notification bell is a great idea

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too

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you can even follow me on social media

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if you want to stay in the loop

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i've got a twitter tic top instagram and

play18:56

even a free telegram channel

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where i give you my take on the crypto

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market every day

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if you're into newsletters and who isn't

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i happen to have one myself

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it's jam-packed with everything you need

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to know to supercharge your

play19:10

crypto portfolio you even get to see

play19:12

mine

play19:13

and how it changes from week to week if

play19:15

you're a real crypto freak

play19:17

head on over to the coin bureau merge

play19:18

store to get some awesome crypto teas

play19:20

and hoodies

play19:21

i know you want to join the 21 million

play19:23

club

play19:24

links to all of these resources are in

play19:27

the video description

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you can't miss them that's all i've got

play19:30

for today folks

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many thanks for watching and i'll see

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you all next time

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[Music]

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you

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